MissionZero Lecture Moneyball GREENBUILD SF

7/30/2019 MissionZero Lecture Moneyball GREENBUILD SF

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Slides in this presentation may beused with proper credit for non-commercial use only.

Matthew Grocoff , Esq., LEED-GAPrincipal, THRIVE

Original presentation included

audio & video not included in this PDF

[email protected]

a net zero consulting collaborative

To arrange speaking engagements, contact:Bonnie Schmick, Clean Energy [email protected] | (734) 585-5720, ext. 33

Tuesday, November 20, 12
mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]


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a net zero consulting collaborative

Matthew Grocoff, Esq., LEED-GA, Living Buildings,Net Zero Energy Consulting

[email protected]

734-224-8877

Shelter from the Storm :How to Destroy the Planetfrom the Comfort of Home

mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]


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350". . .too high to maintain the climate to which

humanity, wildlife, and the rest of thebiosphere are adapted." - James Hansen


This is the number Bill McKibben says is the mostimportant number in the world.


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0Tuesday, November 20, 12

350 is for the climate scientists . . . 0 is for YOU. This is your tool.


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Stabilizing atmosphericCO2 and climate requires that net CO2 emissionsapproach zero

- J Hansen et al.


SAYS REQUIRES - this is NOT A SUGGESTION!!! Its a REQUIREMENT if we choose to continueto enjoy the type of planet to which humanity adapted. Its zero - or nothing.


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USA TODAY - best green home in America - ATLANTIC - Sustainable Perfection - but its NOT - well register for LIVING BUILDING CHALLENGE a nd target theideal as the indicator of success.Fewer than 100 net zero homesFirst documented total zeh in MICHIGANOldest in AMERICA - NOT A TITLE I WANT TO HOLD FOR LONG
http://www.grist.org/green-home/2011-07-30-net-zero-living-in-a-walkable-neighborhoodhttp://www.grist.org/green-home/2011-07-30-net-zero-living-in-a-walkable-neighborhoodhttp://www.grist.org/green-home/2011-07-30-net-zero-living-in-a-walkable-neighborhoodhttp://www.treehugger.com/files/2010/10/americas-oldest-michigan-first-net-zero-energy-home.phphttp://www.treehugger.com/files/2010/10/americas-oldest-michigan-first-net-zero-energy-home.phphttp://www.solartoday-digital.org/solartoday/201103#pg22http://www.solartoday-digital.org/solartoday/201103#pg22http://www.solartoday-digital.org/solartoday/201103#pg22http://www.greenbuildingadvisor.com/blogs/dept/green-building-news/seeking-nze-charming-leaky-old-victorianhttp://www.greenbuildingadvisor.com/blogs/dept/green-building-news/seeking-nze-charming-leaky-old-victorianhttp://www.greenbuildingadvisor.com/blogs/dept/green-building-news/seeking-nze-charming-leaky-old-victorianhttp://www.greenbuildingadvisor.com/blogs/dept/green-building-news/seeking-nze-charming-leaky-old-victorianhttp://www.huffingtonpost.com/robyn-griggs-lawrence/historic-home-produces-mo_b_852148.htmlhttp://www.huffingtonpost.com/robyn-griggs-lawrence/historic-home-produces-mo_b_852148.htmlhttp://www.huffingtonpost.com/robyn-griggs-lawrence/historic-home-produces-mo_b_852148.htmlhttp://www.hourdetroit.com/Hour-Detroit/March-2011/The-Nation-039s-Oldest-Net-Zero-Home-Belongs-to-a-Green-Ann-Arbor-Family/http://www.hourdetroit.com/Hour-Detroit/March-2011/The-Nation-039s-Oldest-Net-Zero-Home-Belongs-to-a-Green-Ann-Arbor-Family/http://www.hourdetroit.com/Hour-Detroit/March-2011/The-Nation-039s-Oldest-Net-Zero-Home-Belongs-to-a-Green-Ann-Arbor-Family/http://www.foxbusiness.com/personal-finance/2010/12/22/save-green-energy-efficient-home-improvements-tax-credit/http://www.foxbusiness.com/personal-finance/2010/12/22/save-green-energy-efficient-home-improvements-tax-credit/http://www.foxbusiness.com/personal-finance/2010/12/22/save-green-energy-efficient-home-improvements-tax-credit/


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HOUSE D R E A M


Everything a couple could dream of . . . asbestos siding


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HOUSE D R E A M


zero insulation except for a layer of newspaper dated 1901


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HOUSE D R E A M


zero insulation except for a layer of newspaper dated 1901


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HOUSE D R E A M


lead paint


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HOUSE D R E A M


windows sealed shut for over 20 years


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HOUSE D R E A M


carpeting


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HOUSE D R E A M


1989 refrigerator


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HOUSE D R E A M


5 gallon ush toilet


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HOUSE D R E A M


genuine certied faux pink marble Formica & pink towel curtains


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HOUSE D R E A M


3 gpm faucets


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HOUSE D R E A M


1957 Mueller Climatrol gas furnace

T R A D I T I O N A L B OX


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T R A D I T I O N A L B OXSCORES MISLEAD HERS 37

E N E R G Y B A L L NET 0


Zero is the only rational target. Otherwise we get bogged down in all the wrong metrics.20% better than code is an arbitrary target being measured by another arbitrary measure. Wehave HERS score of 37 but an actual performance of net zero. Somewhere between 37 and 0is what all of our measurements are missing, We need to play ENERGYBALL.


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ENERGYBALL


2002 Oakland As - Lost top 3 players - won 20 consecutive games with the lowest payroll inmajor league. High performing. Low cost. They did it by looking at the right numbers.


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STOLENBASES

RBIBATTING

AVERAGE


Baseball measured things in isolation from the whole. Paying more for a player with great RBIdidnt actually help the team win games.

BASE ON


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BASE ONBALLS

OB%BETTER PERFORMANCE INDICATORS


Turns out - there are better performance indicators.


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IF YOU DONTKNOW WHEREYOURE GOING...YOU MIGHT NOT

GET THERE YOGI BERRAPsychology of the EndgameTuesday, November 20, 12


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THIS IS THE END GAME - ZERO EMISSIONS - ZERO WASTE. Harvest own energy, water andmanage own waste.


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MISSION ZERO

100%ENERGY H2OZERO WASTERESTORATIVE


These goals will inform the decisions you make EVERYDAY .


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IDEAL


This is the ideal. My daughter, Jane, will NEVER know what its like to grow up in a carbonconsuming home. Shes the rst generation in human history that will be able to make thatclaim. Exciting times!


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This is the home my daughter Jane is growing up in.


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GAUSS History - Philip and Elizabeth Gauss - we boughtthe house from their daughter Gertrude who was born in

l


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GAUSS History


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GAUSS History - we still have those hydrangeas


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GAUSS History - Philip Gauss saloon. Its the workplace of the owner of our house. Now its Grizzly Peak brew pub that we visit. This photo wasthe day our neighborhood was wired for electricity and began converting coal to kWh to put carbon into the atmosphere.


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WHEN GOINGBACK MAKESSENSE YOU

MOVE FORWARD WENDELL BERRYTuesday, November 20, 12

more wendell berry - less Angry Birds


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PATT

ERNSO F

N ATU R E


MYTH OF THE NOBLE HOUSE - we like to say that old homes are the greenesthomes. - managed own waste with outhouse / net zero water - with well and cistern / natural daylight / naturalventilation / chicken coop / rabbit hutch / veg garden / local materials . . . BUT NOT SUSTAINABLE PERFECTION


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1200LBS

COAL MONTH


Gauss heated & cooked with coal - 1899 typical stove perMONTH 100 lbs of ash


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R I V E R S SEWERS


This is Allen Creek on Washington St. - part of creek runs next to our home. Becameindustrial sewer. Now buried in Drainpipe underground - no one in Ann Arbor knows itsthere.


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Only humans burn thingsTuesday, November 20, 12Before coal we burned HUGE volumes of wood for cooking and heat - only humans burnthings.


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4 x 16 x 40


Before coal used 15-20 cords per year. 4x16x40 stack - in 1800 Michigan had INEXHAUSTIBLE white pineforests - squirrel could go from upper peninsula of Michigan to N. FL w/o touching ground


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A century later - shrank by 95% - Hermansville MI 1890 - cant go back to burningwood


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LIGHTING


Lamp stores sold any kind of oil that burned - whale oil, lard, kerosene, camphene, alcohol,para f n


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10X CO2


Not so noble - cant go back to candle light -


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This is what all those incandescent bulbs look like from space. Looks like the world is on re. In a way it is.Were burning millions of years of stored solar energy and dumping it into our atmosphere. And - its notequitable - it aint the third world doing this.


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Homes responsible for 1/4 of carbon emissions.


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California - very ambitious net zero by 2020. But how much does that REDUCE our carbonoutput?


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We can keep adding net zero homes - it wont bring down emissions unless we addressexisting buildings. 397ppm + 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 still equals 397. We need some carbonsubtraction. Old homes that emit carbon must be reduced to near zero emission.

IF IT


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- Amory Lovins

IF ITEXISTS . . .IT MUST BEP O S S I B L E


PROOF OF CONCEPT

WHATS POSSIBLE


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Oct 2011 thru Oct 2012

WHAT S POSSIBLE

9,523 +2,0407,483 =-Tuesday, November 20, 12

On-site, all-electric - produce more than consume


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SEP 2012 ENERGY BILL-$88.26Total Current Charges -$88.26


recent utility bill


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$283,004

7% ($234,000 at 5.5%)

30 YEARSTuesday, November 20, 12

WEALTH CREATING - including RECs and eliminated utility bill we have a cash swing of $283,004. Assuming energy ination of 7%. You may say that its unfair to use 7% energyination since we dont know what price will be in future. AND THATS EXACTLY THEPOINT . . . .

SEARCHING


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F O R G A S


We keep looking for MORE stu to burn - I KNOW - youre saying we dont know that energy prices will rise by 7%annually! - Thats the point! Not even the BEST commodity trader in the world can tell you the RAW cost of coal,crude oil, or natural gas will be at the closing bell today. BUT - anyone can tell you that the RAW cost of wind orsolar today, tomorrow and 10,000 years.

LOSE LESS, USE LESS


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. . . .THEN PRODUCE

t h a t s

m e!



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EAT THE FEETTuesday, November 20, 12

Singapore based energy performance expert Lee Eng Lock says that e f ciency should be likeChinese cooking. Use everything. Eat the feet. Anything that consumes energy MUST BEQUESTIONED.


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SUN POWEREDTuesday, November 20, 12

Were not hippies bathing in our pasta water. We have greater health and comfort than mosthomes. We have the same appliances than most - were smart about how we choose themand how we control them (and dont let them control us) - Wendell Berry - How to be a poet- . . . Stay away from screens - of any kind


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SMART STATSTuesday, November 20, 12

Control HVAC NOT with programmable stats - but with SMART stats. Use technology to helpprovide superior service and lower energy cost.


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L E C T U R E G R A P H

[ PERMISSION TO NAP]Tuesday, November 20, 12Smart stat optimizes compressor stage - ensures we get 100% benet for every unit of energy. If energy is used it should be USEFUL.


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LIGHTS ARE ON

BUT NOBODYSH O M ETuesday, November 20, 12

Snooki syndrome. Should use vac/occ sensors on EVERY switch - no exceptions. If energy isused it should be USEFUL. Lights on in unoccupied room have a percentage of usefulness of ZERO. Need to turn model on its head.


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Close 15% of U.S. Coal-Fired Power Plants


CFL are 8-Track Cassette of lighting world. Switching to LED could close 200 of the1400 U.S. coal plants. Lighting is 18% of U.S. energy = 252 coal plants. LED 80%more e f cient so .80 x 252 = 200.


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NATURAL DAYLIGHTINGa.k.a. We Opened Our CurtainsTuesday, November 20, 12


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NATURAL DAYLIGHTINGa.k.a. We Opened Our CurtainsTuesday, November 20, 12

FIRST STRATEGY - design and rely on primarily natural daylighting. Old homes have them -but others can be retrot. Heres how technology can be biophilic - tube skylights, beroptics, reective adjustable shades to bounce light into space.

GETTING


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SCREWED INTHE SHOWER

16,000

GALLONSHOT WATER


SHOWERS CONSUME ENERGY!!!

45%95%INDUCTION


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ALL ELECTRIC APPLIANCES

INDUCTION

Same Service - Less Energy Tuesday, November 20, 12gas stove very ine f cient - cheap energy for now - but ine f cient - our 1969 Magic Chef - 3 pilot lights24/7/365 . . . OY!there are few appliances we live without : microwave; toaster; mixer; computers; stereos; fridge (19cf);

christmas lights (on timer); saws; drills; sanders; electric mower (and reel); LIVE SMART


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FORD brought All-electric Focus to our all-electric house for centerfold spread of MyFORDmagazine and ranked us the #1 Electric Innovator. But theyll be upset with next photo . . .


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TANK FULL O SUNSHINETuesday, November 20, 12

Our brand new Chevy Volt - we use excess solar to help charge - well get more panels forkitchen roof and be net zero at home charging for car as well.


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Return of the root cellarWhen going back makes sense

R O O TCELLAR


We can use modern design, engineering and technology to go back to the smart things theGauss did.


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R O O TCELLAR


Tell your clients its a wine cellar . . . .


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I C EB O X


Can we go back to the ICE BOX? We used to harvest ice from lakes . . .


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. . . . and deliver them in wagons along with COAL . . .


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P H A S EC H A N G E


But ICE is just a phase change material . . .


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P H A S EC H A N G E


What if we use phase change material in the fridge? Students at Cal Tech and University of Mexico City designed afridge with smarter compartments to access frequently used items - and powered it with a phase change materialthat requires the fridge to run only once a day!


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+R E S T O R E


We restore - rather than replace - our 100+ year old windows - kept the materials, stories, beauty and elegance -used modern weatherstripping and storms to achieve near Energy Star 3.0 level of air tightness.

ONLY


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ONLYR-13WALLS


Did NOT do a gut rehab - saved ALL original materials - removed no plaster - kept SAME FOOTPRINT - NOAddition. only R-13 in walls - NOT ABOUT PERFECTION its about PERFORMANCE!!!!!!


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FRESH AIRTuesday, November 20, 12


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GO DEEPTuesday, November 20, 12


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GO NUCLEAR93 million miles


Go nuclear - but put the plant at least 93 million miles away and power it wirelessly.


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290800,00 YEARS


Go back to the simple math. 290 was where we were for all of human history until begin of Ind Rev.


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350 is the number we must get below


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397 is were we peaked in June of this year (and it will be higher next year - as has been).That correlates with almost a 1C degree of temp increase. In perspective - a decrease of 1Ccaused the little ice age. This is what a 1 degree increase looks like . . .


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860This projection is made in C-ROADS , a scientifically reviewed climate simulator. The analysisaccounts for the voluntary emissions reductions pledges of parties to the UNFCCC. This CO2 levelrepresents a global temperature increase of about 4.4 C. (UN Framework Convention on ClimateChange)


860 is where UNFCCC calculates well be in 2100 if all nations meet their voluntary pledges.
http://climateinteractive.org/simulations/C-ROADS/technical/scientific-review/scientific-review-of-c-roadshttp://climateinteractive.org/simulations/C-ROADS/technical/scientific-review/scientific-review-of-c-roadshttp://climateinteractive.org/simulations/C-ROADS/overviewhttp://climateinteractive.org/simulations/C-ROADS/overview


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This is my daughter JANE. Shell be 92 in the year 2100. These are NOT the storms of our grandchildren. Theyare OUR storms. They are Janes storms.

Ambitiousness of this goal is matched by its urgency . Scale of the challenge is daunting. But it begins witheveryone in this room.

The greatest possible


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irony would be if in ourendless quest to ll our

lives with comfort andhappiness we created a

world that had neither .- Bill Bryson


We PROVEN we CAN live in a world of comfort and joy AND live oncurrent solar income


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We will have a much higher quality of life than those who are addicted to to fossil fuels -And even if were wrong we create a healthier world where we spend more time with our families and communities, we know our neighbors, shop locally, ride bikes and walk well-traveled sidewalks and respect the sanctity of creation . . .


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IF WE CAN DO IT . . .


Like Ray Anderson said about a little carpet company that could . . . If we can do it, anyone can. If anyone can,everyone can. That includes YOU.

Stay in touch


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m g r o c o f f @ g m a i l . c o m7 3 4 - 2 2 4 - 8 8 7 7

Matthew Grocoff, Esq., LEED-GA

mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]

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MissionZero Lecture Moneyball GREENBUILD SF