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Contact:[email protected]
Bionest Partners19 rue du Général Foy75008 ParisFranceTel: +33 1 58 05 14 00
Tower 49, 12th floor12 East 49th StreetNew York, NY 10017 USATel: +1 (646) 386 2900
Frédéric Desdouits
Managing Partner
Georges-David Medina
Partner
Catherine Pichereau
Manager
Rodolphe Journoud
Associate
Thomas Ranson
Associate
Louis Labriffe
Analyst
Myriam Makhloufi
Analyst
Contact:[email protected]
Minimums.
Q3 2008
► Research-based Companies Valuation
Strong and steady trend in anti-infectious
► Initial Public Offerings
Counting withdrawals, not IPOs
► Follow-on Offerings
Infectious, definitely
► Equity Indices and Sub-Sector Trackers
Oncology on the rise while Vaccines are plunging
Equity MarketsPages 2 to 5
Mergers & Acquisitions in Biotech
► Transactions
It is deal time in small, mid and large Biotechs. Roche on fire!
► Partnerships
Big value in preclinical and Phase I
Page 6 & 7
► Venture Capital
Over €200m invested this quarter in Europe
► Buy Outs
Smaller deals but still active
Private Equity ActivityPage 8 & 9
Page 10
► We bring high quality financial services to the healthcare industry
Bionest Selected Completed Transactions
Financia
l Adviso
ry News
letter
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
39373533312927252321191715131197531
# of 3Q08 Weeks
Point Value in EURm
Vaccines Cardiovascular Neurology
Infl. & Autoimmune Anti-Infectious Cancer
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
39373533312927252321191715131197531
# of 3Q08 Weeks
Point Value in EURm
EU & US EU US
Global
Average
Cardiovascular
Neurology
Infl. &
AutoimmuneAnti-Infectious
Vaccines
Cancer
0
100
200
300
400
500
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
Average Pipeline Size (*)
Average MPV in EURm
192
24
29
11
34
80
26
+20%
+18%
Research-based Companies Valuation
Contact:[email protected]
September 2008Page 2 of 10
Equity Markets
Global Overview
EU vs. US – All Therapeutic Areas EU & US – Breakdown by Therapeutic Area
Regional
What is Bionest MPVTM?
► Bionest MPV™ (Market Pipeline Value) is a proprietary
benchmarking approach that compares the value of 200
research-based, mainly loss making, publicly listed
companies in Europe and in the United States
► Bionest MPVTM is based on a pipeline scoring system and the
value of publicly traded companies
► This approach allows to quickly assess the value of a clinical-
stage portfolio of products with a limited amount of information
Regional & Therapeutic Historical Breakdown
* Based on Bionest's proprietary scoring system Note: Bubble size represents the number of companies
Sources: Bionest Research, FactSet, BioCentury, Dowjones
► Parameters remain the same since last quarter except for Vaccines
► Average Vaccines MPV per company dropped from 260 to 200
Sources: Bionest Research, FactSet, BioCentury, Dowjones
► Anti-Infectious is the big winner so far this year, with a jump of value of 50%
► Interestingly, Vaccines are loosing grip since last summer
Bionest MPV™ Universe
138
54
0
100
200
300
400
0 10 20 30 40
Average Pipeline Size (*)
Average MPV in EURm
US
EU
Cancer
39%
Neurology
17%
Anti-Infectious
14%
Cardiovascular
12%
Inflammatory &
Autoimmune
11%
Vaccines
5%
Others
2%
Therapeutic Area
Genfit
Alternext
Cytotools
Frankfurt
4SC
Frankfurt Zurich
NorDiag
Oslo Copenhagen
BioAlliance Wilex
Euronext Euronext Frankfurt
Prostrakan Ipsen Bioxell AlphaHelix Santhera Vita 34 Vivalis
London Euronext Zurich Stockholm Zurich Frankfurt Euronext
Topotarget Exonhit Curalogic Biovitrum Innate Tigenix AMT
Copenhagen Alternext Copenhagen Stockholm Euronext Euronext Euronext
Ardana Devgen NascaCell Genovis Biofrontera Cosmo Exiqon Hybrigenics
London Euronext Oslo Frankfurt Stockholm Frankfurt Zurich Copenhagen Alternext
Intercell Arpida Orexo Geneart Liponova Algeta Addex Merrion PCI Biotech
Vienna Zurich Stockholm Frankfurt Oslo Frankfurt Oslo Zurich Dublin Oslo
Paion Galapagos Speedel Jerini Renovo OctoPlus Cellectis GenOway MolMed Ipsogen
Frankfurt Euronext Zurich Frankfurt London Euronext Euronext Alternext Alternext Euronext Milan Alternext
1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 4Q05 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08
Biotec
Pharmacon
Onco
Methylome
Newron
Pharma
Lifecycle
Pharma
AblynxThrombo-
genics
Clavis
Pharma
234
277
135
430
221
388
106
641
469
749
37
360
61
100%
55%
77%
82%
50%
64%
55%
31%
30%
28%94% 019
45%
23%
100%
18%
100%
50%
36%
45%
69%
70%
100%
72%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
1Q052Q053Q054Q051Q062Q063Q064Q061Q072Q073Q074Q071Q082Q083Q08
Cumulative Amount Raised
Bars - in EURm
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
Last 12 Months Cumulative Amount Raised
Lines - in EURm
3
5
1
8
65
10
5 5
3
12
4
2
4
2
5
5
2
6
8
10
2
7
1
7 7
5
10
5
11
7
16
13
15
2
10
2
0
2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 4Q05 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q061Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08
Cumulative Number of IPOs
Bars
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Last 12 Months Cumulative Number of IPOs
Lines
Initial Public Offerings
Contact:[email protected]
September 2008Page 3 of 10
Equity Markets
Cumulative Amount Raised and Number of IPOs
European Biotech Listings
Q3 2008 Listing Focus
► The IPO window clearly shut this
quarter, confirming previous trends
► We do not see the IPO market
reopening before H2:09
► The number of companies lining-up
for the next window is growing
rapidly in Europe
Sources: Bionest Research, FactSet, BioCentury, Dowjones
Sources: Bionest Research, FactSet, BioCentury, Dowjones
EU vs. US – Amount Raised EU vs. US – Number of IPOs
US EU US EU
Sources: Bionest Research, FactSet, BioCentury, Dowjones
Company Country
Company Name
Trading Place
� How to read it?
Alternext
Eurolist A
Eurolist B
Eurolist C
Other Exchanges
Trends
► In the US, Fluidigm, XDx, Codexis,
Insys, and Zogenix pulls their IPO
► In Europe, only Kedrion disclosed its
postponed listing
► After 8 IPOs withdrawn in Q1 & Q2,
the rhythm tends to accelerate
6 withdrawn IPOs in Q3
Follow-On Offerings
Contact:[email protected]
September 2008Page 4 of 10
Equity Markets
Europe
United States
Q3 2008 Follow-On Focus
Sources: Bionest Research, FactSet, BioCentury, Dowjones
Sources: Bionest Research, FactSet, BioCentury, Dowjones
Sources: Bionest Research, FactSet, BioCentury, Dowjones
0
53
0
150
55
99
0 0 0
35261116
253
4
1
11
2
4
1
2
1
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 4Q05 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08
Cumulative Amount Raised
Bars - in EURm
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
Last 12 Months Cumulative Amount Raised
Lines - in EURm
735 709
1 039
771
1 950
467
1 062
537
941
707
468
693
377
537
14 10
16
16
12
11
11
9
20
17
11
7
7
2
4
640
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 4Q05 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08
Cumulative Amount Raised
Bars - in EURm
0
1 000
2 000
3 000
4 000
5 000
Last 12 Months Cumulative Amount Raised
Lines - in EURm
► Despite terrible
market conditions
Vertex
(Nasdaq:NRTX)
performed well after
its fund raising
thanks to good results
on second lead
compound Telaprevir
(Ph II/HCV Infection)Data in EURm
Company Country Therapeutic Area FO DateMarket Cap
at Deal
Amount
Raised
Share Price Variation
since Deal
SkyePharmaSKP
GB Drug Delivery 25/09/2008 41 26 -1%
VertexVRTX
US Infectious, Cancer 18/09/2008 2 885 155 +22%
AcordaACOR
US CNS 07/08/2008 575 85 +9%
IlluminaILMN
US Molecular Testing 07/08/2008 3 271 228 +7%
IncyteINCY
USCancer, CNS,
Diabetes, HIV31/07/2008 504 70 +3%
Total 564
Average 113
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
Jan-08 Feb-08 Mar-08 Apr-08 May-08 Jun-08 Jul-08 Aug-08 Sep-08
Absolute Perform
ance
Bionest Vaccines Bionest Inf. and Autoimmune
Bionest Cancer Bionest Neurology
+17%
-15%
+31%
-4%
160
200
240
280
320
360
Sep-07 Dec-07 Mar-08 Jun-08 Sep-08
Absolute Perform
ance
Bionest Animal Health (Rel. to Pharma S&P 500)
Bionest Animal Health (Abs.)
-8%
-2%
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
Sep-07 Dec-07 Mar-08 Jun-08 Sep-08
Rebased Perform
ance
European Biotech (Abs.)
European Biotech (Rel. to Stoxx Pharma)
+9%
+5%
250
300
350
400
450
500
Sep-07 Dec-07 Mar-08 Jun-08 Sep-08
US Pharma S&P 500 (Abs.)
US Pharma S&P 500 (Rel. to S&P 500)
+7%
-1%
250
300
350
400
450
500
Sep-07 Dec-07 Mar-08 Jun-08 Sep-08
EUR Pharma Stoxx (Abs.)
EUR Pharma Stoxx (Rel. to Stoxx)
+12%
+3%
Equity Indices and Sub-Sector Trackers
Contact:[email protected]
September 2008Page 5 of 10
Equity Markets
Pharmaceutical Sector Absolute & Relative Performance
Bionest Therapeutic Trackers
European Pharmaceutical Sector Performance
Sources: Bionest Research, FactSet, BioCentury, Dowjones
Sources: Bionest Research, FactSet, BioCentury, Dowjones
Sources: Bionest Research, FactSet, BioCentury, Dowjones
EU Pharmaceutical Sector Performance US Pharmaceutical Sector Performance
Absolute Performance Relative Performance to Nasdaq Biotech
Animal Health Sector Performance Biotech Sector Performance
► As always in falling markets, Pharmaceuticals have played their defensive role
► Oncology is on the rise in Europe and US while Vaccines is strongly declining
► The biotech sector resisted well in the current difficult market
► The Animal-Health sector remains atone
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
Jan-08 Feb-08 Mar-08 Apr-08 May-08 Jun-08 Jul-08 Aug-08 Sep-08
Rel. Perf. to Nasdaq Biotech
Bionest Vaccines Bionest Inf. and Autoimmune
Bionest Cancer Bionest Neurology
+26%
+14%
-18%
-8%
1
4
4
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
1Q08 2Q08 3Q08
Cumulative Deal Size
EURbn
Transactions
Contact:[email protected]
September 2008Page 6 of 10
M&A in Biotech
Global Overview: It is deal time!
Deal Split per Size
Top Stories: Roche on fire!
Sources: Bionest Research, FactSet, BioCentury, Dowjones, MergermarketNote: Numbers on the top indicate the number of transactions
Note: Numbers on the top indicate the number of transactions
Disclosed transactions only
Undisclosed Deals
Disclosed Deals
Corporate deals worldwide in the pharma/biotech industryScope of our Analysis
Deals < €100m Deals > €500mDeals €100 < 500m
Sources: Bionest Research, FactSet, BioCentury, Dowjones, Mergermarket
► Big pharmaceutical companies
demonstrated high level of
interest for companies
developing breakthrough
therapeutics or diagnostic
products through a proprietary
technology platform
► Roche proceeded in no less
than 3 major acquisitions in
the US, granting access to
new and innovative
technologies
Technology Reward
► Date 22/07/2008
► Target Mirus Bio
► Lead Product Market
► Area na
► Deal Value €78.8m
Mirus Bio develops transfection and
molecular labeling technology
products
► Date 21/07/2008
► Target Genentech
► Lead Product Market
► Area Oncology
Immunology
► Deal Value €27.6bn
Roche acquired the remaining
44.1% stake it does not already
own in Genentech Inc
► Date 23/07/2008
► Target Arius Research
► Lead Product Preclinical
► Area Oncology
ance
► Deal Value €72.5m
Arius Reaserch developed a
fragment-based drug discovery
platform (“FAST”)
Targets Localization vs. Acquirers Region North American Acquirors
86%
7% 7%
European Acquirors
39%
57%
4%
RoW Acquirors
67%
11%
22%
US EU RoW
19
30
24
7
26
34 34
410
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
1Q08 2Q08 3Q08
Number of Deals
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
1Q08 2Q08 3Q08
Cumulative Deal Value
EURbn
15
18
12
0
100
200
300
400
500
1Q08 2Q08 3Q08
Cumulative Deal Size
EURm
3
8
8
0
400
800
1 200
1 600
2 000
2 400
2 800
1Q08 2Q08 3Q08
Cumulative Deal Size
EURm
Roche/
Genentech
Deal
In % of deals volume
196173
463
151
315
163
361
215
97113
163161
86
493
212181
485
115
427
232
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
MarketedApprovedFiledPhase IIIPhase II/IIIPhase IIPhase I/IIPhase IPreclinicalDiscovery
Average Deal Value in EURm
7 3 5 2 3 1 4 5 2 4 1 1 1 1 25 5 3 4 2
Q108 Q208 Q308
Note: Numbers on the top indicate the number of transactions; One deal therapeutic area not disclosed in Q3
Disclosed partnerships only with deal values equal to $100m or above
Partnerships
Contact:[email protected]
September 2008Page 7 of 10
Global Overview
Partnerships by Development Phase
Partnerships by Therapeutic Area
► Date 07/08/2008
► Acquirer Roche
► Target Metabasis
► Dealed Product HepDirect®
► Status Technology
► Area Anti-Infectious
► Deal Value €132m
Agreement to apply Metabasis'
HepDirect® liver-targeting technology
to Roche's proprietary lead nucleosides
to develop new treatments for
Hepatitis C
Top Story Focus
Sources: Bionest Research, FactSet, BioCentury, Dowjones, Recombinant Capital
Sources: Bionest Research, FactSet, BioCentury, Dowjones, Recombinant Capital
Sources: Bionest Research, FactSet, BioCentury, Dowjones, Recombinant Capital
Note: Numbers on the top indicate the number of partnerships
Disclosed partnerships only with deal values equal to $100m or above
Note: Numbers on the top indicate the number of transactions; Two deal phases not disclosed in Q3
Disclosed partnerships only with deal values equal to $100m or above
M&A in Biotech
Biotech or pharma product transaction between global parties, for which the terms are disclosed, with a total deal value reaching $100m at least
Scope of our Analysis
280 304
360423
313
208253
25
19
28
18
2625
19
0
100
200
300
400
500
1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08
Average Deal Value in EURm
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Number of Deals
► Big value in discovery, Phase I and Phase III
► CNS is on the rise
99
265
222
508
689
306
141
372
147
202
85
376
189
132
409
194
292
375
183
87
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
Anti-Infectious Cancer Cardiovascular CNS Dermatology Gastrointestinal Gynaecology Inflammatory &
Autoimmune
Metabolic Ophthalmology Respiratory &
Allergy
Other
Average Deal Value in EURm
4
32
4
6
1
2
2
135
1
1
0
4 1 3 2 1 3 5 10 1 3 1 3 42 323344
Q108 Q208 Q308
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
4Q05 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08
Last 12 Months Cumulative Amount Raised
in EURm
Autoimmune Diseases CNS Inflamation Vaccine
+69%
+137%
-94%
+36%
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08
Last 12 Months Cumulative Amount Raised
in EURm
PC Ph I Ph II Ph III Mkt
+7%
-16%
-13%
-32%
-33%
Last Quarter Variation
Private Fund Raisings in Europe
Contact:[email protected]
September 2008Page 8 of 10
Private Markets
Cumulative Amount Raised...
... per Development Stage
... per Selected Therapeutic Focus
Sources: Bionest Research, FactSet, BioCentury, Dowjones
Sources: Bionest Research, FactSet, BioCentury, Dowjones
Sources: Bionest Research, FactSet, BioCentury, Dowjones
Last Quarter Variation
293
164
257
197
176
148
205
305
252 246
296 295
315
143
208
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 4Q05 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08
Cumulative Amount Raised by Quarter
Bars - in EURm
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
12 Months Cumulative Deal Value
Lines - in EURm
Buy Out Transactions in EuropePrivate Markets
Contact:[email protected]
September 2008Page 9 of 10
Sources : Bionest Research, Private Equity Insight, Merger Market
Global Overview of Q3 08 Buy Out Healthcare Transactions
Total Buy Out Deals vs Healthcare Deals
2008 Healthcare Sector Distribution (Number of Deals)
Value of Deals Number of Deals Average Size of Deals
Q1 2008 Q2 2008 Q3 2008
Healthcare Provider65%
Pharmaceuticals21%
Medical Equipment14%
Healthcare Provider56%
Pharmaceuticals22%
Medical Equipment22%
9 deals
Healthcare Provider41%
Pharmaceuticals18%
Medical Equipment36%
Medical Supplies5%
14 deals
22 deals
2 2 1
21 22
16
10%
8%
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Q1 2008 Q2 2008 Q3 2008
in EUR bn
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
Proportion of the healthcare deals
229 14
139 169139
16%
5%
10%
0
50
100
150
200
Q1 2008 Q2 2008 Q3 2008
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
Proportion of the healthcare deals
143 135
111127
255
134
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Q1 2008 Q2 2008 Q3 2008
in EUR m
All Sectors Healthcare Sector
7%
Healthcare Sector Other Sectors Healthcare proportionHealthcare Sector Other Sectors Healthcare proportion
Target Company Sub Sector Value €m Target Country Acquirer
September 2008
Carewatch Care Services Ltd Health Care Providers 46 UK Lyceum Capital
Veris Polska Pharmaceuticals ND Poland Penta Investment
August 2008
Independent Clinical Services Ltd Health Care Providers 75 UK Inflexion PE Partners LLP
Care Inspirations Ltd Health Care Providers 75 UK Global Innovations Partners LLC
Bioton SA Pharmaceuticals 205 Poland Windstorm Trading & Investment Ltd
Raphael Healthcare Ltd Health Care Providers 38 UK RJD Partners Ltd
July 2008
Medicom System Health Care Providers 100 Greece Global Finance SA
Photonis SA Medical Equipment ND France Astorg Partners
Istituto Il Baluardo Health Care Providers ND Italy 3i/Labco France
Labco Diagnostics Network Health Care Providers 258 France 3i/Natexis PE/CIC Finance/TCR Capital
Excent BV Health Care Providers ND Netherlands Friesland Bank Investments
Craegmoor Group Health Care Providers 341 UK Advent International
OLMED Operation Medical Equipment ND Sweden Maquet Holding
Phythea SAS Pharmaceuticals 70 France AtriA Capital Partenaires
1 208
134
Q3 Total Transaction Value (5 deals undisclosed)
Q3 Average Deal Amount (5 deals undisclosed)
This publication has been prepared by Bionest Partners (19 rue du Général Foy – Paris, France) and is provided solely for the information of the recipients who are expected to make their own investment decisions without undue reliance on this report. The information herein is not intended as an offer to buy or sell, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument. The information herein has been obtained from, and any opinions herein are based upon, sources believed to be reliable, but Bionest Partners makes no representation as to its relevance, accuracy or completeness and it should not be relied upon as such. As a result, Bionest Partners accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this report or its contents.
This report shall not be reproduced, distributed or published by any recipient for any purpose without the prior consent of Bionest Partners.
All opinions and estimates herein reflect the judgement of Bionest Partners on the date of this report and are subject to modifications without notice. Any investments referred to herein may involve significant risks and are not necessarily available in all jurisdictions, may be illiquid and may not be suitable for all investors. The value of, or income from, any securities referred to herein may fluctuate and/or be affected by changes in exchange rates. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors are expected to make their own investment decisions without relying on this publication. Only investors with sufficient knowledge and experience in financial and business matters to evaluate the relevant merits and risks should consider an investment in any issuer or market discussed herein.
The information contained in this publication is not available to a person who would be categorized as a private customer under the rules of the FSA. To the extent that any securities, or any broker-dealer, investment adviser or other services, are deemed to be offered herein for purposes of U.S. law, such securities or services are not being offered in the United States or to U.S. persons absent from an exemption under applicable U.S. law. This report is not intended for distribution to, or use by, U.S. persons without such an exemption.
Bionest Partners: (a) may have managed or co-managed a public offering of the subject companies securities in the past 12 months; (b) may have received compensation for investment banking services from the subject companies in the past 12 months; and (c) expect to receive or intends to seek compensation for investment banking services from the subject companies in the next 6 months.
Disclaimer
Contact:[email protected]
September 2008Page 10 of 10
Selected Bionest Financial Advisory Completed Transactions
2008
Has been acquired
by
Sole Advisor
2008
Sole Advisor
Tier 1 Private Equity Fund
Commercial Due Diligence
for
2008
Has Out-licensed
Research L-Asparaginase
to
Sole Advisor
2008
Sole Advisor
Has Out-licensed
Preclinical OP-R003
to
2007
Has Sold Ginkor Fort
to
Sole Advisor
2006
Co-Advisor
Raised €15m
Listed on Alternext
2008
Oncology
-
Assessment of
Product Franchise
Sole Advisor
Selected Bionest Transaction Services Assignments
2007
Commercial Due Diligence
for
Co Advisor
2006
Sole Advisor
Has been acquired
by
2008
Has Divested
MAb Research Business
to
Sole Advisor
2008
Oncology
(Financing Round)
2008
Mature Products
(Financing Round)
Corporate
Valuation
Corporate
Valuation
Notes