1
Inside Global Emissions CONTRACTION Budget Peak 2020 @ 13 Gt C then decline @ 5.3% increments for 19 years to zero 2039 for 250 Gt C integral 250 Gt Carbon Emissions Budget but EXCLUDING FEEDBACK EFFECTS. Carbon Atmosphere Concentraons to 4 5 0 PPMV but EXCLUDING FEEDBACK EFFECTS. 0 Gt C 2 Gt C 4 Gt C 6 Gt C 8 Gt C 10 Gt C 12 Gt C 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 2110 Rest of World India China USA FSU OECD - USA 0 t C 1 t C 2t C 3t C 4t C 5t C 6t C ROW India China FSU USA OECD - US Wave Nuclear Earth/Bio Wind Solar Water Per Capita Emissions CONVERGENCE Average Diverse RENEWABLE TECNOLOGIES & TECHNIQUES? Peak 2020 @ 13 Gt C then decline @ 5.3% increments for 19 years to zero 2039 for 250 Gt C integral 250 Gt Carbon Emissions Budget but EXCLUDING FEEDBACK EFFECTS. Carbon Atmosphere Concentraons to 4 5 0 PPMV but EXCLUDING FEEDBACK EFFECTS. 0 Gt C 2 Gt C 4 Gt C 6 Gt C 8 Gt C 10 Gt C 12 Gt C 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 2110 USA Rest of World India China FSU OECD - USA Wave Nuclear Earth/Bio Wind Solar Water 0 t C 1 t C 2t C 3t C 4t C 5t C 6t C ROW India China FSU USA OECD - US Average Peak 2020 @ 13 Gt C then decline @ 5.3% increments for 19 years to zero 2039 for 250 Gt C integral 250 Gt Carbon Emissions Budget but EXCLUDING FEEDBACK EFFECTS. Carbon Atmosphere Concentraons to 4 5 0 PPMV but EXCLUDING FEEDBACK EFFECTS. 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 2110 China USA 0 Gt C 2 Gt C 4 Gt C 6 Gt C 8 Gt C 10 Gt C 12 Gt C Rest of World India FSU OECD - USA Wave Nuclear Earth/Bio Wind Solar Water But as temperature rises feedback effects will accelerate at some rates over me & damage trends from changing climate will rise as well. Where will these trends go? Who can say who must die? 0 t C 1 t C 2t C 3t C 4t C 5t C 6t C ROW India China FSU USA OECD - US Average CONTRACTION & CONCENTRATIONS WITH CONTRATION & CONVERGENCE CONTRATION & CONVERGENCE WITH EXPANSION & CONVERSION EXPANSION & CONVERSION WITH GROWTH & DAMAGES MIND MAP [SYNTAX] FOR AN EMERGENCY CLIMATE AGREEMENT FOR UNFCCC-COMPLIANCE & AVOIDING RUNAWAY RATES OF CHANGE EXPLORE IN MORE DETAIL WITH CARBON BUDGET ANALYIS TOOL [CBAT] hp://www.gci.org.uk/All_Info.html DAMAGES & GROWTH

MIND MAP [SYNTAX] FOR AN EMERGENCY CLIMATE … · mind map [syntax] for an emergency climate agreement FOR UNFCCC-COMPLIANCE & AVOIDING RUNAWAY RATES OF CHANGE EXPLORE IN MORE DETAIL

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    6

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: MIND MAP [SYNTAX] FOR AN EMERGENCY CLIMATE … · mind map [syntax] for an emergency climate agreement FOR UNFCCC-COMPLIANCE & AVOIDING RUNAWAY RATES OF CHANGE EXPLORE IN MORE DETAIL

Inside Global Emissions CONTRACTION Budget

Peak 2020 @ 13 Gt C then decline @ 5.3% increments for 19 years to zero 2039 for 250 Gt C integral

250 Gt Carbon Emissions Budgetbut EXCLUDING FEEDBACK EFFECTS.

Carbon Atmosphere Concentrations to 450 PPMVbut EXCLUDING FEEDBACK EFFECTS.

0 Gt C

2 Gt C

4 Gt C

6 Gt C

8 Gt C

10 Gt C

12 Gt C

2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 2110

Rest of World

India

China

USA

FSU

OECD - USA

0 t C

1 t C

2t C

3t C

4t C

5t C

6t C

ROW

India

China

FSU

USA

OECD - US

Wave

Nuclear

Earth/Bio

Wind

Solar

Water

Per Capita Emissions CONVERGENCE

Average

Diverse RENEWABLE TECNOLOGIES & TECHNIQUES?

Peak 2020 @ 13 Gt C then decline @ 5.3% increments for 19 years to zero 2039 for 250 Gt C integral

250 Gt Carbon Emissions Budgetbut EXCLUDING FEEDBACK EFFECTS.

Carbon Atmosphere Concentrations to 450 PPMVbut EXCLUDING FEEDBACK EFFECTS.

0 Gt C

2 Gt C

4 Gt C

6 Gt C

8 Gt C

10 Gt C

12 Gt C

2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 2110

USA

Rest of World

India

ChinaFSU

OECD - USA Wave

Nuclear

Earth/Bio

Wind

Solar

Water

0 t C

1 t C

2t C

3t C

4t C

5t C

6t C

ROW

India

China

FSU

USA

OECD - US

Average

Peak 2020 @ 13 Gt C then decline @ 5.3% increments for 19 years to zero 2039 for 250 Gt C integral

250 Gt Carbon Emissions Budgetbut EXCLUDING FEEDBACK EFFECTS.

Carbon Atmosphere Concentrations to 450 PPMVbut EXCLUDING FEEDBACK EFFECTS.

2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100 2110

China

USA0 Gt C

2 Gt C

4 Gt C

6 Gt C

8 Gt C

10 Gt C

12 Gt CRest of World

India

FSU

OECD - USA Wave

Nuclear

Earth/Bio

Wind

Solar

Water

But as temperature risesfeedback effects will accelerate

at some rates over time &damage trends from changing

climate will rise as well.

Where will these trends go?Who can say who must die?

0 t C

1 t C

2t C

3t C

4t C

5t C

6t C

ROW

India

China

FSU

USA

OECD - US

Average

CONTRACTION & CONCENTRATIONSWITH CONTRATION & CONVERGENCE

CONTRATION & CONVERGENCEWITH EXPANSION & CONVERSION

EXPANSION & CONVERSIONWITH GROWTH & DAMAGES

MIND MAP [SYNTAX] FOR AN EMERGENCY CLIMATE AGREEMENT FOR UNFCCC-COMPLIANCE & AVOIDING RUNAWAY RATES OF CHANGE

EXPLORE IN MORE DETAIL WITH CARBON BUDGET ANALYIS TOOL [CBAT]http://www.gci.org.uk/All_Info.html

DAMAGES & GROWTH