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Migration and Development
27 June 2008Geneva
Denis DrechslerOECD Development Centre
More Coherence for Better Outcomes
2
Overview of the Presentation
1. What do we think we know?
2. What do empirics say?
3. What can we do?
3
Two Main Messages
The good news: Migration can contribute to development and poverty reduction
The (potentially) inconvenient news:Development and development aid will not stop migration flows.
4
What do we think we know?
• International migration is exploding
• Most migrants to OECD countries come from poor regions
• The loss of human capital (brain drain) reduces countries’ development prospects
• Financial returns by migrants (remittances) replace development aid
6
Effects on Sending Regions
• Migration of low-skilled workers– Higher financial returns
– Larger impact on poverty reduction
– Potential improvements in low-wage sector
– Increase of productivity
• Migration of the highly skilled– Possible knowledge transfer
– Incentive to invest in human capital
– Potentially a win-win situation
– However: particularly problematic in poor developing countries
7
Migration of University Graduates (in %)
Source: OECD Database on Expatriates and Immigrants, 2004/2005; Cohen and Soto
(2001)
8
Remittances are important…
Source: IMF Current Accounts; UN Trends in Migrant Stock, 2000.
Annual transfer of a migrant, in USD (2000)
9
Quelle: Fomin, Pew Hispanic Center
78.0
7.0 5.0 4.0 1.0
Cons. Educ. Saving Other Invest.
…and mostly go into consumption
Use of remittances, Mexico 2000 (in %)
10
Summing up
• Migration is an integral part of globalisation
• International mobility can be expected to increase with development
• Development potential of migration is currently insufficiently utilised
• Need for partnerships and more coherent policies
11
What can we do?
• Donors– Introduce more flexibility: towards circular
migration– Improve guidelines for recruitment of the highly
skilled– Initiate concerted actions with banks and other
financial institutes to reduce transfer costs of remittances
• Partner Countries– Integrate migration into development strategies– Improve human resource management to
compensate the consequences of migration– Invest in transport and communication
infrastructure to increase mobility of workers