Mid Fiscal Review 2010

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    ZIMBABWE

    THE 2010 MID-YEAR FISCAL POLICY REVIEW

    Presented by the Minister of Finance

    Hon. T. Biti, M.P.

    14 July 2010

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    Table of Contents

    INTRODUCTION .............................................................................................................. 7 Recalling STERP I & II .................................................................................................. 8

    GLOBAL ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS ................................................................... 13 Inflation ......................................................................................................................... 16 Commodity Prices ......................................................................................................... 17

    Metals and Minerals ................................................................................................. 17 Crude Oil .................................................................................................................. 18

    Agricultural Commodities ......................................................................................... 19 Implications for Developing Countries ......................................................................... 22

    SECTORAL DEVELOPMENTS ..................................................................................... 23 Agriculture .................................................................................................................... 25

    Cereal Production .................................................................................................... 26 Mining ........................................................................................................................... 30

    Diamonds .................................................................................................................. 36

    Manufacturing ............................................................................................................... 37 Food, Beverages & Tobacco ..................................................................................... 38 Cotton, Clothing & Textiles ...................................................................................... 38 Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals ................................................................................. 39 Metal Industry ........................................................................................................... 39

    Leather Industry ........................................................................................................ 40 Fertilizer ................................................................................................................... 40

    Tourism ......................................................................................................................... 41 Construction .................................................................................................................. 43 Consumption & Investment .......................................................................................... 43 Inflation ......................................................................................................................... 44

    Financial Sector ............................................................................................................ 46 Zimbabwe Stock Exchange ....................................................................................... 49

    External Sector .............................................................................................................. 51 FISCAL DEVELOPMENTS ............................................................................................ 53

    Revenue......................................................................................................................... 54 Value Added Tax (VAT) ............................................................................................ 55 Customs Duty ............................................................................................................ 55

    Pay As You Earn (PAYE) .......................................................................................... 56 Corporate Tax ........................................................................................................... 56

    Excise Duty ............................................................................................................... 57 Mining Revenue ........................................................................................................ 57

    Other Taxes ............................................................................................................... 57 Non-Tax Revenue ...................................................................................................... 58

    Expenditure ................................................................................................................... 58 Recurrent Expenditures ........................................................................................... 60 Employment Costs ..................................................................................................... 60 Civil Service Wage Bill ............................................................................................. 61 Operations and Maintenance .................................................................................... 63

    Payments to Service Providers ................................................................................. 64

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    Foreign Travel .......................................................................................................... 64 Foreign Missions ...................................................................................................... 65 Social Service Delivery ............................................................................................. 65 Grants and Transfers ................................................................................................ 66

    Capital Expenditures ..................................................................................................... 67

    Energy ....................................................................................................................... 67 Transport .................................................................................................................. 69 Road Dualisation ...................................................................................................... 69 Airports Infrastructure .............................................................................................. 69 Railway Infrastructure .............................................................................................. 70 Road Maintenance .................................................................................................... 70 Water and Sanitation ................................................................................................ 72

    Agriculture Support .................................................................................................. 73 Telecommunications ................................................................................................. 77

    Housing ..................................................................................................................... 77 Vote of Credit ............................................................................................................... 78

    STRUCTURAL CHALLENGES ON THE ECONOMY ................................................ 80

    Reconstruction .......................................................................................................... 80 Equitable Growth ...................................................................................................... 81 Stabilisation .............................................................................................................. 81

    Lack of Capital .......................................................................................................... 82 Foreign Direct Investment ........................................................................................ 83 The Liquidity Crunch and the High Cost of Money .................................................. 83

    Lack of Fiscal Space ................................................................................................. 84 Debt Overhang .......................................................................................................... 85 Management of Public Resources ............................................................................. 86

    Lack of Project Implementation Capacity ................................................................ 86 Skills Gap .................................................................................................................. 87

    Energy ....................................................................................................................... 87 High Cost of Utilities ................................................................................................ 90 Other Tariffs .............................................................................................................. 90

    Labour Costs ............................................................................................................. 91 Land Utilisation ........................................................................................................ 91 Infrastructure ............................................................................................................ 93 Human Development ................................................................................................. 93 Environmental Protection ......................................................................................... 93 Hyperinflation Hangover .......................................................................................... 94 Accountability over Public Resources ...................................................................... 94 Common Vision ......................................................................................................... 94

    Business as Usual Mentality ..................................................................................... 95 REVISED MACRO-ECONOMIC FRAMEWORK ........................................................ 95 POLICY INTERVENTIONS ........................................................................................... 99

    Inflation ....................................................................................................................... 102 Duty on Basic Commodities .................................................................................... 104

    Lines of Credit ............................................................................................................ 104 Available Facilities in the Second Half of 2010 ..................................................... 106

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    Diaspora Bond ........................................................................................................ 106 SADC Support ......................................................................................................... 107

    Foreign Direct Investment .......................................................................................... 107 Leveraging Mineral Resources ................................................................................... 109

    Mineral Policy ........................................................................................................ 109

    Mining Claims ......................................................................................................... 110 Mineral Beneficiation ............................................................................................. 110 Mineral Taxation .................................................................................................... 110

    Inter-Generational Fund ......................................................................................... 111 Diamonds ................................................................................................................ 111 Rule of Law ............................................................................................................. 111 Commitment to the Kimberly Process ..................................................................... 112 Sale of Diamonds within the Kimberly Process ...................................................... 112

    Amendments to the ZMDC Act ................................................................................ 113 Diamond Act ........................................................................................................... 114 Past Diamond Sales ................................................................................................ 115

    Public Utilities ............................................................................................................ 116

    Debtors .................................................................................................................... 117 Wage/Revenue Ratios .............................................................................................. 117 Capitalisation .......................................................................................................... 118

    Rationalisation of State Enterprises ....................................................................... 118 Over-sight over Public Utilities .............................................................................. 119

    Public-Private Partnerships ......................................................................................... 120 Fuel Importation Transport Mode .......................................................................... 120 Review of Labour Laws ........................................................................................... 121

    Financial Sector Reforms ............................................................................................ 123 Central Bank Reforms ............................................................................................. 123 Currency Reforms ................................................................................................... 126 Smaller Denominations ........................................................................................... 126 Micro Finance Institutions ...................................................................................... 127

    Lender of Last Resort .............................................................................................. 127 Securities Market ........................................................................................................ 128

    Securities Rules & Regulations ............................................................................... 128 Central Securities Depository ................................................................................. 128

    Automated Trading System ..................................................................................... 129 Insurance and Pensions ............................................................................................... 130 Debt Relief Strategy & Process .................................................................................. 130

    Debt Management Office ........................................................................................ 131 Multi Donor Trust Fund .............................................................................................. 132

    Aid Coordination and Management ........................................................................ 133 Data Availability ......................................................................................................... 134 Revenue Retention Funds ........................................................................................... 135

    POTRAZ Universal Service Fund ........................................................................... 137 Public Shareholding ................................................................................................ 141 Reserve Fund .......................................................................................................... 142

    EXPENDITURE RATIONALISATION........................................................................ 143

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    Recurrent Expenditure ................................................................................................ 144 Outstanding Bills to Service Providers ................................................................... 144 Social Protection ..................................................................................................... 145

    Foreign Service Payments ...................................................................................... 145 Other Recurrent Expenditures ................................................................................ 146

    Capital Expenditure .................................................................................................... 146 Energy ..................................................................................................................... 146 Debtors .................................................................................................................... 147 Maintenance Fund .................................................................................................. 148

    Pre Payment Meters ................................................................................................ 149 Water and Sanitation .............................................................................................. 149 Transport ................................................................................................................ 150

    Aviation ................................................................................................................... 150 Rail .......................................................................................................................... 150 Social Service Delivery ........................................................................................... 151

    Education ................................................................................................................ 151

    E-learning ............................................................................................................... 152

    PUBLIC EXPENDITURE MANAGEMENT ................................................................ 153 Public Finance Management Legal Framework ......................................................... 153

    Public Finance Management Act ............................................................................ 153 Audit Office Act ....................................................................................................... 154

    Public Finance Management System .......................................................................... 155 Quality Assurance ................................................................................................... 155

    Equipment Procurement ......................................................................................... 156 Training ................................................................................................................... 156

    Internal Audit Training ........................................................................................... 157 District Roll Out ...................................................................................................... 157 Help Desk ................................................................................................................ 157 Curbing Accumulation of Bills ................................................................................ 158 Vehicle Hire ............................................................................................................ 158

    Loss of Public Assets ............................................................................................... 159 Tendering ................................................................................................................ 160

    Advance Payment .................................................................................................... 161 Contract Management ................................................................................................. 162

    Non Performing Contractors .................................................................................. 162 Electronic Funds Transfer ........................................................................................... 163

    REVENUE MEASURES ............................................................................................... 164 Redrafting of the Income Tax Act ........................................................................... 164 VAT Fiscalised Recording of Taxable Transactions .............................................. 165

    Electronic Cargo Tracking System ......................................................................... 166 Revenue Enhancing Measures .................................................................................... 167

    Tax Exemptions and Deductions ............................................................................. 167 Suspension of Duty on Motor Vehicles Imported by Tourist Operators ................. 167

    Rebates of Duty which no longer reflect Policy Priorities ..................................... 168 Taxation of the Mining Sector .................................................................................... 169

    Review of Royalties on Minerals ............................................................................. 169

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    Export Tax on Unprocessed Chrome ...................................................................... 170 Special Initial Allowance ........................................................................................ 171

    Fees, Charges and Fines .............................................................................................. 171 Fines on Motor Vehicles Used to Smuggle Goods .................................................. 171

    Relief Measures .......................................................................................................... 172

    Regional Integration ............................................................................................... 172 Duty on Competing Products Imported under SADC ............................................. 173 Suspension of Duty on Inputs used by the Local Industry ...................................... 174

    Review of Suspension of Duty on Basic Commodities ............................................ 175 Dumping of Sub-standard Imported Products ........................................................ 177 Rebate of Duty on Fiscalised Electronic Tax Registers and Fiscal Memory Devices................................................................................................................................. 178

    Duty on Textiles, Clothing and Footwear ............................................................... 178 Administration of Certificates of Origin ................................................................. 179 Export of Scrap Metal ............................................................................................. 180

    Alternative Energy Sources ........................................................................................ 180

    Excise Duty ................................................................................................................. 181

    Bond Requirements for Excisable Products ........................................................... 182 Pay As You Earn (PAYE)........................................................................................... 183

    Tax-Free Threshold ................................................................................................ 183 Remittance Date ...................................................................................................... 183

    Value Added Tax ........................................................................................................ 184 Remittance Period ................................................................................................... 184 VAT Zero Rating - Day Old Chicks ........................................................................ 184

    Withholding Taxes ...................................................................................................... 185 Non-Resident Tax on Remittances .......................................................................... 185

    Capital Gains Tax ....................................................................................................... 186 Withholding Tax on Unlisted Securities ................................................................. 186

    Penalties for Late Payment of Tax .............................................................................. 186 Departmental Practice Notes .................................................................................. 186

    Tax Amnesty ............................................................................................................... 187 Dispute Resolution, Objections and Appeals.............................................................. 188 Customs Administration ............................................................................................. 188

    Transit Fraud .......................................................................................................... 188 Pre-Clearance of Goods ......................................................................................... 189

    Re-organising ZIMRA ................................................................................................ 190 ZIMRA Structure ..................................................................................................... 190

    CONCLUSION ............................................................................................................... 191

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    And what the land is, whether it

    be fat, or lean, whether there be

    wood therein, or not. And be you

    of good courage, and bring of the

    fruit of the land. Now the time

    was the time of the first ripe

    grapes. [Numbers 13:20]

    INTRODUCTION

    1. Mr Speaker Sir, in Article 3 of the Global Political Agreement,

    the Parties to the same agreed to give priority to the

    restoration of economic stabilisation and growth in Zimbabwe

    and committed to work together on a fully and comprehensive

    economic programme aimed at addressing economic

    production, food security, poverty and unemployment, and the

    challenges of inflation and high exchange rates.

    2. It is exactly 668 days and 5 hours since the Global Political

    Agreement (GPA) was signed on 15 September 2010. The

    critical question that arises is whether or not the Inclusive

    Government has implemented what was agreed under Article

    3:1 of the GPA.

    3. The 2010 Mid-Year Fiscal Policy Review seeks to update

    Honourable Members on the 2009 outturn as well as fiscal and

    economic developments to June 2010, that way, Mr Speaker

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    Sir, providing an assessment of economic performance under

    the Inclusive Government over the past seventeen months.

    4. The Review also proposes the necessary policy interventionsand other measures for the remaining half of 2010, critical for

    the economy to remain on course towards realising our set

    targets outlined in our Three Year Macro-economic Policy and

    Budget Framework for 2010 2012.

    5. Honourable Speaker Sir, I need to make it very clear that the

    current Mid Term Review is only but a review and not a

    supplementary Budget.

    6. I seek no additional charges to the Consolidated Revenue Fund

    as defined by Section 103 of the Constitution. The 2010

    Budget will remain the same, with revenue and expenditures of

    US$2.25 billion.

    7. However, adjustments and re-alignments in certain Votes will

    have to be made, largely as a result of the underperformance

    of the Vote of Credit.

    Recalling STERP I & II

    8. Honourable Members will recall that a month after its

    inauguration on 16 February 2009, the Inclusive Government

    launched the Short Term Emergency Recovery Programme

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    (STERP) as a critical tool in addressing the fundamental

    economic challenges and dis-equilibriums affecting and

    arresting the country.

    9. STERP provided an ideological campus for navigation towards

    the rebuilding of the Zimbabwean economy through the

    following fundamental matrices:

    Creation of a responsive, yet efficient State that uses

    redistributive mechanisms, social rights, while maintaining

    social development;

    Building of a strong economy, based on market principles

    with careful State interventions to advance social

    protection and justice; and

    Establishment of a participatory political democracy

    through the new people driven Constitution and the

    rebuilding of fundamental democratic institutions in our

    country.

    10. Mr Speaker Sir, on 23 December 2009, STERP was succeeded

    by the Three Year Macro-Economic Policy and Budget

    Framework 2010 2012 (STERP II).

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    11. The Vision of this Framework was to build a dynamic, stable

    and sustainable developmental economy whose objectives as

    read together with the 2010 National Budget were:

    Sustaining macro-economic stabilisation and consolidating

    STERP;

    Support for rapid growth and employment creation; Ensuring food security; Restoring basic services; Encouraging public and private investment; Promoting regional integration; Restoring basic freedoms; and Restoring international relations.

    12. Furthermore, it was recognised right from the onset that

    achieving the above objectives would require unequivocal and

    unmitigated commitment to a National Vision that was above

    narrow parochial political interests and recognised the

    immutability of a minimum bundle of certain invaluable rights.

    13. In short, the development of our own Jeffersonian Principles on

    agreed inalienable rights a counter cyclical political vision that

    would remain intact irrespective of changes in the political

    landscape.

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    14. Apart from the National Vision, it was recognised that the rule

    of law, restoration of basic freedoms and democracy were a

    necessary precondition for sustained economic recovery.

    15. Therefore, the implementation of agreed positions in the Global

    Political Agreement around issues of the rule of law, the

    Constitution, security of persons and prevention of violence,

    freedom of expression and communication, among other things

    was imperative.

    16. Over and above this, it was recognised that fiscal discipline was

    critical for stabilising the economy and, hence, the adopted

    principle of living within our means. Therefore, the Revised

    2009 Budget of 17 March 2009 made it clear that What we

    Gather is what we Eat .

    17. The net effect of the above was the attainment of substantialstabilisation of the economy in 2009, with huge gains

    particularly in the following areas:

    Inflation reduction; Improved capacity utilisation in productive sectors of

    agriculture, mining and manufacturing, from below 10%to around 30% to 50%;

    Removal of price distortions in both foreign exchange and

    goods markets;

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    Resuscitation of financial sector services; Some improvement in public service delivery, particularly

    in the areas of water and sanitation, transport, health and

    education sectors; Improvement in social protection programmes for

    vulnerable groups;

    Overall business confidence building; Policy consistency and predictability on key policy

    fundamentals;

    The enactment of key legislation dealing with credibility

    and accountability over the use and management of

    public resources; and

    Re-engagement with the international community.

    18. Mr Speaker Sir, the above economic gains achieved in 2009 are

    under threat of being eroded owing to a number of challenges

    during the first half of 2010.

    19. Shortcomings in the economy have included the threat to

    macro-economic stabilisation through the resurgence of

    inflation. Over and above this, has been the lack of capital,

    modest recovery in capacity utilisation, and more importantly, ageneral drop in hope and confidence in the economy.

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    20. It is imperative that a new paradigm be adopted during the

    second half of 2010. In our view we have to go back to basics

    and abandon the business as usual mentality. This

    economy requires Regeneration, Revival and Refocusing .

    These three Rs, should underpin the basis of a frontloaded

    growth in the second half of the year.

    21. In Regenerating, Reviving and Refocusing this economy

    we have to draw the line and adopt a business unusual

    stance.

    22. In drawing this line, this Review will thus:

    a. Refocus the economy back to the 2009 trajectory of

    discipline and stabilisation.

    b. Re-energise and kick-start the economy towards real

    growth and real delivery.

    c. Re-targeting Government expenditure so that pro-poor

    social spending targets on health, education and welfare

    are met.

    d. Relay the foundation of a common vision on the

    developmental State.

    GLOBAL ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS

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    23. The global economy is beginning to show some signs of

    emergence from the devastating economic crisis of 2008/2009,

    against the background of global financial cooperation, extra-

    ordinary fiscal stimulus policy interventions, capital injections

    into failing financial institutions, lowering of borrowing costs, as

    well as greater labour markets flexibility.

    24. However, no sooner was Africa and the rest of the world

    beginning to emerge from the global economic crisis was the

    world hit by the Euro zone debt crisis, initially centred around

    the Greek economy. Concerns also remain over the

    performances of other economies, including Spain and

    Portugal.

    25. The responses of the Euro zone countries to the new debt crisis

    have been dramatic and decisive. In Greece for instance, an

    Emergency Economic Protection Act was passed on 28 March

    2010, generating savings of 4.8 billion that benefitted from

    public wage reductions.

    26. The slashing of expenditure was met by corresponding

    increases in taxes. VAT for instance was increased to 23% andthere was a 10% rise in luxury taxes.

    27. In the United Kingdom, the new Government unveiled an

    emergency austerity Budget on 22 June 2010. Its main thrust

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    was to address structural budget deficits through cuts in budget

    spending, anticipated to amount to savings of 6.3% of GDP by

    2014 2015. To raise revenue, VAT was also reviewed from

    17.5% to 20%, while capital gains tax rose to 28%.

    28. Globally, against the background of the anticipated recovery,

    world economic growth is projected at a little over 4% in 2010

    from an estimated under 1% in 2009.

    29. Emerging and developing economies are expected to register

    growth of over 6% in 2010, up from under 2.5% in 2009.

    Remarkable growth is particularly expected from China and

    India with an over 8% growth projection.

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    30. If sustained, global economic recovery should underpin

    anticipated improved growth of over 4.5% in 2010 for Sub

    Saharan Africa. This would also be on the back of continued

    implementation of strong fiscal and monetary policies. Last

    year, at the height of the global financial crisis, growth for the

    sub-region was an estimated 2%.

    Inflation

    31. In the outlook, inflation which had declined in 2009 to marginallevels in developed economies and to around 5% in emerging

    and developing economies, is projected to rise respectively to

    around 1.5% and 6% in 2010. In 2011, decline in inflation is

    anticipated.

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    Commodity Prices

    32. Increased world economic activity will auger well for

    international commodity prices, improving export revenuerealisations and growth prospects for commodity exporting

    countries.

    33. However, vulnerabilities to exogenous shocks remain in

    emerging and developing economies.

    Metals and Minerals

    34. So far, however, gold prices, which averaged US$973 per

    ounce in 2009 have been increasing, from US$1 113 in March

    2010 to US$1 200 by June.

    35. Similarly, platinum prices which had declined from US$1 566.5

    per ounce in 2008 to US$1 153.8 in 2009 have been on a

    recovery path, reaching US$1 530 in June 2010.

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    36. Nickel prices, which had slumped from US$21 000 per tonne in

    2008 to US$10 471 in the first quarter of 2009, recovered

    remarkably to US$26 031 by the first quarter of 2010.

    Crude Oil

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    37. On the negative, oil prices have since been rising in tandem

    with the recovery in the global economy to levels averaging

    US$78.71 per barrel by the first quarter of 2010.

    38. Crude oil prices had succumbed to the effects of the global

    economic crisis, falling sharply from US$96.99 per barrel in

    2008 to US$44.11 by March 2009.

    Agricultural Commodities

    39. On the agricultural front, cotton prices which had dropped in

    2009 to US138.2 cents per kg from US157.4 cents, also

    recovered in 2010, averaging US198.6 cents by May.

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    40. This compares unfavourably with an average of US60 cents and

    US42 cents offered to local cotton growers in 2009 and 2010,

    respectively.

    41. International average prices for tobacco improved from

    US$4.24 per kg in 2009 to US$4.47 in February 2010, before

    easing to US$4.39 in April.

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    42. Grain commodity prices, however, remain depressed with the

    international price of maize falling sharply from US$223.1 per

    tonne in 2008 to stabilise at around US$165 in 2009 and 2010.

    43. Similarly, wheat prices have been in decline, reaching US$271.7

    per tonne in 2010 from US$300 in 2009 and US$454.6 in 2008.

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    Implications for Developing Countries

    44. Looking ahead, the sluggish recovery in output associated with

    high debt and the state of distress of financial markets in most

    advanced economies poses major concerns for developing

    countries, including Zimbabwe.

    45. In this regard, challenges and competition among developing

    economies over regaining export markets and attracting critical

    investment for sustaining growth will intensify.

    46. This makes resolving all the constraints to unlocking new

    capital inflows unavoidable. Critical is the finalisation of our

    external payment arrears clearance programme, central to

    increased access to new financing from potential cooperating

    partners and investors.

    47. The establishment and maintenance of a conducive investment

    environment, underpinned by honouring of Bilateral Investment

    Promotion and Protection Agreements will also be necessary.

    48. Among others, this will encompass further strengthening of

    macro-economic stability, and sustenance of the liberalised

    business environment ushered by STERP, free of unnecessary

    restrictions and distortions.

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    SECTORAL DEVELOPMENTS

    49. The positive turnaround in economic activity experienced

    during 2009, which saw overall economic growth for the year

    revised upwards from 3.7% to 5.7% continued to face

    challenges during the first half of 2010.

    50. Major challenges undermining robust growth of the productive

    sectors relate to the absence of medium to long term financing.

    This has constrained critical investment in infrastructure

    rehabilitation and the maintenance and upgrading of such key

    enablers as sustainable supply of power generation capacity.

    51. Furthermore, companies have not been able to realise

    meaningful lines of credit to re-tool and access raw materials

    for the restoration and improvement of production capacityutilisation, vital for lowering unit production costs. The

    available limited facilities have remained short-term and at high

    cost.

    52. Our original growth projection for 2010 was 7%. However,

    fragile prospects for recovery in economic performance demand

    a reduction of this figure. We have, thus, revised our growth

    projection for 2010 to 5.4%.

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    53. The revised projection figure of 5.4% should not be taken for

    granted. A business as usual mentality will certainly

    guarantee a further downward revision.

    54. Indicators of positive performance in the first half of 2010 have

    included growth in VAT revenue and output in agriculture

    (18.8%), as well as projected growth in mining (31%),

    manufacturing (4.5%), distribution, hotels and restaurants

    (3.5%) and transport and communication (3%).

    Sectoral Growth RatesSector 2008

    ActualRevised

    2009 Est.Original

    2010 Proj.

    2010(Revised

    Proj.) Agriculture -39.3% 14.9% 10% 18.8%

    Manufacturing -33.4% 10.2% 10% 4.5%

    Mining -17.1% 8.5% 40% 31%

    Tourism 2.8 % 6.5% 10% 3.5%Electricity Gas

    and Water

    -36.5% 1.9% 3.4% -1.8%

    Construction -8.5% 2.1% 3.2% 1.5%

    Finance and

    Insurance

    -27.9% 4.5% 5.5% 2.0%

    Real Estate -36.4% 2.0% 2.2% 1.5%

    Transport andCommunication

    5.4% 2.2% 4% 3%

    Public

    Administration

    0% 2.0% 3% 2.0%

    Overall GDP -14.8% 5.7% 7% 5.4%

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    Source: CSO, Ministry of Finance & the Reserve Bank

    Agriculture

    55. Agricultural growth of 18.8% in 2010 is up on last years

    14.9%. This is mainly driven by tobacco, up 67.3% from 55.6

    million kgs in 2009 to 93 million kgs; maize, up 3% from 1.24

    million tonnes to 1.33 million tonnes; and beef up 2% from 93

    000 tonnes to 95 000 tonnes.

    56. Sustaining viable tobacco pricing in the liberalised marketing

    environment should offer scope for increased hectarage under

    tobacco production over the coming seasons.

    57. In the current season, some 86.5 million kgs of tobacco have

    been sold at an average price of US$2.98 per kg by end June

    2010. This compares with last years auction floor sales of 55.6

    million kgs at an average price of US$3.01 per kg during the

    same period.

    58. Horticulture production in 2010 is also projected to register

    growth, rising to 43 000 tonnes against last years 35 000

    tonnes. There is still much more investment to be undertaken

    before production levels rise to levels above 60 000 tonnes

    experienced previously.

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    59. Depressed cotton prices and financing constraints in 2009

    undermined cotton production which decreased from 246 000

    tonnes in 2009 to 172 000 tonnes in 2010.

    60. However, following interventions by Government and

    subsequent review by cotton merchants, the price for cotton

    increased to US45 cents per kg this year, up from US30 cents

    per kg in 2009.

    61. Sugar production during 2010 is also projected to decline belowlast years levels. In 2009, sugar production was 286 000

    tonnes. This year, an estimated 250 000 tonnes of sugar is

    anticipated.

    Agricultural Production, Main Products (000 tons) 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

    Tobacco 74 55 80 56 55 93

    Maize 750 1,485 953 575 1,240 1,300

    Beef 90 90 95 90 93 95

    Cotton 198 260 235 226 247 172

    Sugar 430 447 442 298 286 250

    Horticulture 60 64 66 60 35 43Source: Ministry of Agriculture

    Cereal Production

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    62. Recovery in cereal production, including maize, during the

    2009/2010 agricultural season benefitted from improved

    support, timely availability of inputs through the open market

    as well as the liberalised marketing environment, which

    enhanced viability of farming and boosted overall confidence.

    63. The upturn in maize production when taken together with other

    grains resulted in an increase in cereal production from 1.51

    million tonnes to 1.52 million tonnes against a national

    requirement of 1.95 million tonnes, giving a cereal deficit of

    432 540 tonnes.

    64. The 3% increase in maize production over last seasons

    production was in spite of poor performance in the southern

    provinces of the country.

    65. Improvement in Government support extended to farmers saw

    a total of US$227.4 million or 25.9% of total Budget

    expenditure mobilised in support of cereal production and local

    grain purchase. Of this, US$197.1 million was availed in

    support of A2 and vulnerable A1 and communal farmers.

    Commercial Credit Scheme

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    66. Of the financial support to A2 farmers, Government, in

    conjunction with commercial banks secured credit facilities

    totalling US$82.9 million for inputs through the GMB.

    67. Over-procurement, however, meant that out of the inputs

    secured, farmers only collected inputs worth US$59.5 million.

    This has left a carry-over stock of inputs valued at US$23.4

    million being held at GMB depots comprising 3 685 tonnes of

    fertilizer and 8 228 tonnes of seed.

    Crop Input Pack Scheme

    68. With regard to A1 and communal farmers, Government

    financial support largely related to provision of subsidised

    fertilizer inputs. Under this scheme, a 50kg bag of AN fertilizer

    was sold at US$7 against the market price of US$28.

    69. Overall, farmers accessed 32 843 tonnes of top-dressing

    fertilizers which Government subsidised to the tune of US$40

    million.

    70. Government support for agriculture was complemented by

    resources amounting to US$74 million mobilised by cooperating

    partners under the coordination of the Food and Agriculture

    Organisation.

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    71. These supported over 738 000 vulnerable households under the

    input pack scheme, where each household received two 50kg

    bags of fertilizer, one AN and one compound D, as well as 10kg

    of maize seed.

    72. The combined impact of Government and cooperating partner

    support for small holder farmers boosted communal farmers

    maize output to 966 755 tonnes in 2009/2010. In the previous

    season, their output amounted to 902 158 tonnes.

    Winter Wheat

    73. Notwithstanding Governments US$20 million seeds and

    fertilizer inputs support for preparations for the winter wheat

    crop, uncertainty in the supply of electricity throughout the

    crop cycle has seen an increasing number of farmers reluctantto invest in wheat production.

    74. By the end of the planting season on 31 May 2010, only 10 000

    ha had been put under wheat, against the targeted 30 000 ha.

    75.

    Consequently the uptake on the inputs secured by Governmentstood at 84 tonnes for seed and 2 015 tonnes of compound D.

    This was against available stocks of 720 tonnes for seed and 14

    415 tonnes for compound D as at 11 June 2010.

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    Mining

    76. In mining, productivity in the sector continues to be hamstrung

    by erratic power supply. This has meant that mining houseshave not been able to sustain increased production even in

    cases where they have had limited access to lines of credit in

    support of recapitalisation.

    77. As a result, realised output during the first half of 2010 has

    prompted downwards revision to overall mining sector growthfrom 40% to 31% in 2010. Most of this growth is underpinned

    by continued bullish mineral and metal prices.

    Mineral Production

    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010Jan Feb Mar Apr

    Gold (t) 13.45 10.80 6.80 3.07 4.97 0.61 0.57 0.76 0.52

    Nickel (t) 9.47 9.20 9.25 6.35 4.86 0.55 0.48 0.53 -

    Coal (t) 3,468.94 2,200.00 2,600.00 1,701.60 1,606.32 193.01 194.18 158.16 140.00 Asbestos () 123.15 110.00 115.00 11.49 5.50 0.86 0.63 0.36 0.10

    Chrome (t) 831.88 690.00 693.45 442.58 201.00 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04

    Platinum (t) 4.56 5.19 5.30 5.50 6.86 0.79 0.68 0.75 -

    Source: Ministry of Mines, Chamber of Mines

    Gold Production

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    Chrome Production

    Nickel Production

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    Platinum Production

    Coal Production

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    Asbestos Production

    Gold and Platinum Production: 2005 - 2009

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    Nickel Production: 2005 - 2009

    Chrome Production: 2005 - 2009

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    Coal Production: 2005 - 2009

    Asbestos Production: 2005 - 2009

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    Shipments Contribution by Minerals for the first half of 2010

    Diamonds

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    78. A total of over 4.4 million carats were produced since the

    beginning of the year to May 2010 from the countrys four

    diamond mines, which includes Mbada, Canadile, Murowa and

    River Ranch.

    79. Currently, there is no marketing of the countrys diamonds as a

    result of issues related to the Kimberly Process Certification

    Scheme, a situation which has also affected traditional

    producers - Murowa and River Ranch mines, respectively.

    Manufacturing

    80. The momentum of recovery in the manufacturing sector has

    not been sustained during the first half of 2010 as reflected by

    sluggish gains in average capacity utilisation levels still hovering

    around 35-40%.

    81. Notable exceptions have, however, been noted in the food and

    beverages sub-sector where major gains in capacity utilisation

    have left some firms operating at about 70%.

    82.

    In line with the experiences of the other production sectors,manufacturing continues to face major power outages, over

    and above absence of meaningful lines of credit in support of

    improved capacity utilisation.

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    83. This has sustained production costs at relatively high levels,

    with negative implications on the general competitiveness of

    domestic manufactured goods against imports from the region

    and beyond.

    Food, Beverages & Tobacco

    84. The food and beverages sub-sector has witnessed notable

    growth following liberalisation and the introduction of multiple

    currencies in 2009. This allowed increased investment in newplant and equipment, particularly in the beverages sector where

    capacity utilisation increased beyond the initial STERP targets.

    85. In line with the other sectors, challenges relate to erratic power

    and water supplies, coupled with shortages of working capital

    resources.

    Cotton, Clothing & Textiles

    86. Capacity utilisation in the cotton, clothing and textiles sector

    during the first half of 2010 remains below potential production

    levels of 700 000 tonnes.

    87. During this period, the ginning industry managed to produce

    only 240 000 tonnes of lint, also against cotton farmer viability

    challenges.

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    88. Other challenges facing clothing and garment manufacturing

    include lack of investment, which is constraining industry

    efforts to modernise plant and adopt newer and more efficient

    technologies. In the absence of this, competition over the

    domestic as well as export markets will intensify.

    Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals

    89. The local pharmaceutical manufacturing industry has thecapacity to supply more than 122 products, which translates to

    47% of the countrys essential drugs requirements.

    90. However, primarily owing to lack of working capital and skills

    shortages, the industry operated at average capacity of below

    25% during the first half of 2010.

    Metal Industry

    91. The metals sub-sector provides strong backward and forward

    linkages to sectors such as mining, construction, agriculture,

    machinery, and transport. The sub-sector is operating at an

    average capacity of below 40%.

    92. Challenges associated with Zisco Steel, previously the countrys

    major steel producer, have further exacerbated the domestic

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    metals sub-sector. Zisco accounted for 80% of raw materials

    required in the production of steel and other related products.

    Leather Industry

    93. The leather and leather products industry has capacity to

    produce a wide range of products such as semi-produced

    leathers, finished leathers, leather clothing, travel bags and

    cases, footwear and accessories.

    94. Realising this potential, and raise capacity utilisation above

    40%, will require major investments to overcome shortage of

    working capital and antiquated machinery.

    Fertilizer

    95. The fertilizer and chemical industry has a strong impact on both

    agriculture and manufacturing sector performance. Currently,

    about 32% of fertilizer supplies are produced locally, while the

    balance are imports.

    96. Capacity utilisation currently stands at 40% against the 19%

    recorded in 2009. This is expected to increase to around 45%

    by the end of 2010, mainly driven by refurbishment of plant at

    Sable Chemicals, which will help boost fertilizer output from 40

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    000 tonnes produced in 2009 to 100 000 tonnes by the end of

    2010.

    Tourism

    97. In the first half of 2010 the distribution, hotels and restaurants

    sector which grew by an estimated 6.5% in 2009 showed

    further positive signs of growth, recording increased tourist

    arrivals, average room occupancy (37%) and overall earnings.

    98. Arrivals to March 2010 were up 0.7% to 319 788 over the first

    quarter of 2009. To year end, tourist arrivals are projected to

    remain upward against the background of sustained macro-

    economic and social stability.

    99.

    The market share for the overseas market stood at 12% in firstquarter of 2010. Europe remains the major contributor to the

    overseas market arrivals in first quarter of 2010 having

    contributed 42% of the overseas market despite a 43%

    decrease in tourist arrivals from the region. America has the

    second largest overseas market share (22%) after Europe.

    100. Africa which is the countrys traditional main contributor to

    overall tourist arrivals, recorded an 11% increase in tourist

    arrivals from 254 911 in the first quarter of 2009 to 282 528 in

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    the first quarter of 2010, with South Africa alone accounting for

    76%.

    2006-2010 First Quarter Tourist Arrivals

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    101. Overally, the tourism sector is expected to grow by 3.5%

    during the year 2010.

    Construction

    102. The construction industry, also a barometer for underlying

    business developments, has also been showing signs of

    resuscitation during the first half of 2010. In this regard,

    increased demand for such building materials as cement and

    bricks is being experienced.

    103. Cement production is, therefore, projected to soar up by 140%

    to about 555 000 tonnes in 2010. Similarly, suppliers of bricks

    and other building materials have also been experiencing gains

    in production, notwithstanding production challenges related to

    erratic power supplies and unavailable lines of credit.

    Consumption & Investment

    104. The adverse effects of accelerating inflation on real incomes

    and tighter liquidity conditions slowed down both Government

    and private consumption during the first half of the year.

    Reflecting this, aggregate consumption during 2010 isprojected to register decline of 2.4%, following a growth of

    4.3% in 2009.

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    105. Similarly, aggregate investment growth is forecast to also

    decelerate to 26.8% in 2010. The slow down in investment is

    attributed to inadequate efforts to mobilise domestic savings,

    exacerbated by the wait and see attitude of investors linked

    to the perceived uncertainties related to the Indigenisation and

    Empowerment Regulations.

    GDP by Expenditure current prices

    GDP Expenditure(Current Prices)

    2009 (est) 2010 (proj)

    Nominal GDP (US$ mil) 5,220 5,517% Change 5.7 5.4

    (% Change) Final Consumption 4.3 -2.4

    Private Consumption -4.4 -5.5Government Consumption 618.9 26.8

    Total Investment 748.1 25.1Government 216.3 298.2

    Exports -7.2 23.7Imports 23.2 5.3

    Source: CSO, Ministry of Finance

    Inflation

    106. Inflationary pressures picked up during the first half of 2010with year-on-year inflation recording 0.7% in January, 1% in

    February, 3.5% in March, 4.8% in April 2010 and 6.1% in May

    2010.

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    Consumer Price Inflation monthly % changes

    -6.0

    -5.0

    -4.0

    -3.0

    -2.0

    -1.0

    0.0

    1.0

    2.0

    3.0

    J a n - 0 9

    F e b - 0 9 M a

    r - 0 9

    A p r - 0

    9

    M a y - 0

    9 J u n

    - 0 9 J u l

    - 0 9 A u

    g - 0 9 S e p

    - 0 9 O c

    t - 0 9 N o

    v - 0 9 D e

    c - 0 9 J a n

    - 1 0 F e b

    - 1 0 M a

    r - 1 0

    A p r - 1

    0

    M a y - 1

    0

    Source: CSOCPI annual % chg eop CPI food inflationCPI non food inflation

    107. The upward movement in prices of the above items partly

    reflects wage increases awarded in the first quarter of the year,

    which in turn increased unit costs of domestic production.

    Tariff adjustments for public utilities, as well as the

    strengthening of the South African rand against the US dollar

    also contributed to the price increases.

    108. However, during the second quarter of 2010, the exchange rate

    between the rand and the US dollar had stabilised.

    109. Failure to put a tight lid on the resurgence of domestic inflation

    would only serve to reduce the competitiveness of local goods

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    in both the domestic and export markets. The impact on our

    already income constrained consumers would be further resort

    to lower priced imported products, with adverse consequences

    for local production and employment.

    Price Indexes Tradable and Non-Tradable Good and services

    Consumer Price Index Dec 2008 = 100Tradable and Non Tradable Goods and Services

    80

    82

    84

    86

    88

    90

    92

    9496

    98

    100

    D e c - 0 8

    J a n - 0 9

    F e b - 0

    9

    M a r

    - 0 9

    A p r - 0 9

    M a y

    - 0 9

    J u n - 0 9

    J u l - 0 9

    A u g - 0 9

    S e p - 0 9

    O c t - 0 9

    N o v - 0 9

    D e c - 0 9

    J a n - 1 0

    F e b - 1

    0

    M a r

    - 1 0

    A p r - 1 0

    M a y

    - 1 0

    Source: Based on CSO CPI data

    TradablesNon TradablesAll Items

    Financial Sector

    110. With regards to the financial sector, the challenges remain the

    limited domestic deposit base to gradually improve the capacity

    of banks to provide meaningful credit to the private sector.

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    Banking Sector Deposits and Loans

    Banking Sector Depostis and Loans

    (millions US$ and Depostits/Loans ratio)

    0.0

    0.5

    1.0

    1.5

    2.0

    M a r - 0

    9 A p r - 0

    9

    M a y - 0

    9 J u n

    - 0 9 J u l

    - 0 9 A u

    g - 0 9 S e p

    - 0 9 O c

    t - 0 9 N o

    v - 0 9 D e

    c - 0 9 J a n

    - 1 0 F e b

    - 1 0 M a

    r - 1 0 A p

    r - 1 0

    Source: RBZ

    -

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    Banks Deposits Banks Loans Loans/Depisit Ratio

    111. This has meant that although there has been some increase in

    bank lending throughout the first half of 2010, most loans

    remain short term (90 days or less) with longer-term loans

    accounting for less than 3% of the overall deposits. This has

    created serious challenges for the provision of longer-term debt

    capital thereby, limiting the intermediary role of the financial

    sector.

    112. Credit costs of as much as above 30% and bank spreads of

    around 30% remain high, reflecting high credit risks and the

    liquidity crunch in the economy.

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    Banking Interest rates on loans and deposits

    Banking Interest Rates on Loans and Deposits and Spread(maximum annualized rates charged)

    0.05.0

    10.015.020.025.030.0

    M a r - 0 9

    A p r - 0 9

    M a y - 0 9

    J u n - 0 9

    J u l - 0 9

    A u g - 0 9

    S e p - 0 9

    O c t - 0

    9

    N o v - 0 9

    D e c - 0 9

    J a n - 1 0

    F e b - 1 0

    M a r - 1

    A p r - 1

    M a y - 1 0

    Source: RBZ Deposit Rates Lending RatesSpread

    113. In terms of loans distribution, agriculture, transport and

    distribution followed by manufacturing were the biggest

    beneficiaries while construction got the least.

    Sectoral Distribution of Loans

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    S ectoral Dis tribution of L oans

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%20%

    25%

    30%

    M a n u

    f a c t u r

    i n g

    T r a n s

    & D i s t

    A g r i c

    u l t u r e

    S e r v i

    c e s

    I n d i v i d

    u a l s

    M i n i n

    g

    C o n s

    t r u c t i

    o n

    O t h e

    r

    S ectoral Loan D istribution(31 Oc tober2009)S ectoral Loan Dis tribution(31 Dec ember2009)S ectoral Loan Distribution 31 A ril 2010

    Zimbabwe Stock Exchange

    114. Trading on the Zimbabwe Stock Exchange has largely been low,

    mainly due to market illiquidity in the first half of the year.

    115. Foreign participation has remained subdued with investments

    mainly confined to portfolio restructurings. Corporate results

    have also failed to uplift the equity market as most corporates

    are still undercapitalised and also suffering from subdued

    demand.

    116. Of the companies that sought recapitalisation mainly through

    rights issues, shareholder support averaged 50% with the

    balance being taken over by the underwriters.

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    117. The Tables below illustrate trading at the Zimbabwe Stock

    Exchange:

    Jan Feb March April May JuneIndustrials 156.52 158.07 142.37 139.01 129.40 127.46Minings 209.81 215.03 216.85 167.90 159.28 143.08

    Source: Zimbabwe Stock Exchange

    118. The industrial index which started the year at a high of 156.52

    had dropped to 127.46 by June 2010, whilst the mining index

    fell from an opening of 209.8 to 143.08.

    119. Similarly, market capitalisation fell from US$3.97 billion in

    January 2010 to US$3.19 billion by end of June 2010.

    JanUS$ bn

    FebUS$ bn

    MarUS$ bn

    AprUS$ bn

    MayUS$ bn

    JunUS$ bn

    3.97 3.55 3.67 3.49 3.25 3.19Source: Zimbabwe Stock Exchange

    120. The poor performance is as a result of investors pulling out

    their investments reflecting depressed investors sentiment over

    perceived financial risks, especially following gazetting of the

    Indigenisation Regulations on March 1.

    121. In particular, foreign investors contribution to market turnover

    fell from between 40-50% to an average 20% per month.

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    Zimbabwe Stock Exchange Indices

    Zimbabwe S toc k E xc hang e Indices

    0

    50100

    150200

    250300

    350

    Apr-09

    May-09

    Jun-09

    Jul-09

    Aug-09

    S ep-09

    Oct-09

    Nov-09

    Dec-09

    Jan-10

    Feb-10

    Mar-10

    Apr-10

    0.00%0.20%0.40%0.60%0.80%1.00%1.20%1.40%1.60%

    Industrial Index Mining Index Make rt L iquidity Indicators

    External Sector

    122. The overall highlights in the external sector are that

    developments in the first half of the year point to further

    deterioration in the balance of payments to the end of the year

    2010. This is against the background of slower recovery of

    exports, absence of external financial inflows, and growing

    reliance on imports.

    123. Total exports for the first four months of 2010 were US$870

    million against imports of US$1 544.5 million, resulting in a

    trade deficit of US$675 million.

    124. Notwithstanding some commodity price gains, notably gold and

    platinum, overall deterioration in the terms of trade during the

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    first half of 2010 will make it more difficult to finance the trade

    and current account deficits.

    125. The current account gap is projected to widen further in 2010

    to US$1.3 billion as imports rise to a projected US$3.6 billion

    for the rest of the year. This is against exports of US$1.9

    billion and net private transfers of US$0.6 billion.

    126. The current account deficit was largely financed by SDR

    allocations and reduction in banks foreign assets.

    -30.0

    -20.0

    -10.0

    0.0

    10.0

    20.0

    30.0

    40.0

    50.0

    60.0

    70.0

    % o

    f G D P

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    Years

    Exports, Imports & Current Account Balance (% of GDP)

    Exports Imports Current Acc ount Deficit

    2009-2010 Monthly Exports and Imports (millions US$) Source : CSO/ZIMSTAT

    Note: Imports exclude imports of electricity

    Balance of Payments. Trade Account and Financing

    Balance of Payments 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Est. 2010 Proj.

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    (US$ Mil) (US$ Mil) (US$ Mil) (US$ Mil) (US$ Mil) (US$ Mil)Current Account (excl.officialtransfers) -549 -365 -243 -779 -928 -1326

    % GDP -9.7 -6.7 -4.6 -15.7 -17.8 -24

    Trade Balance -406 -475 -294 -972 -1622 -1706

    Exports fob 1588 1721 1819 1657 1591 1930

    % GDP 3.6 3.8 4.4 4.6 5.8 7.2

    Imports fob 1994 2196 2113 2630 3213 3636

    % GDP 35.2 40.3 40.1 53 61.6 65.9

    Non factor services (net) -109 -121 -143 -207 -32 -55

    Income (net) -197 -209 -245 -224 -200 -203

    Private transfers (net) 163 439 440 625 926 638

    Capital Account (Incl. OfficialTransfers) 3 88 166 273 -70 729

    Overall balance -208 -286 -323 -725 -1908 -597

    Memorandum items:

    Gross Official Reserves 61 74 153 76 366 156

    Months of imports cover 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.3 1.2 0.5

    Source: RBZ

    FISCAL DEVELOPMENTS

    127. Cumulative tax revenue collections significantly improved in the

    first half of the year as a result of an increase in tax revenue

    and a slowdown in the growth of current expenditures.

    128. Revenues for the year are projected to increase to US$1.75

    billion, mostly stemming from increased VAT and PAYE

    collections, which in turn reflect improved economic activity as

    well as increased collection efforts at ZIMRA.

    129. Notwithstanding increased tax revenue collections, the fiscal

    position remains fragile. The projected growth of revenue of

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    US$300 million falls far short of the projected shortfalls in the

    Vote of Credit US$810 million financing of the original 2010

    Budget expenditures of US$2.25 billion.

    130. Developments during the first half of 2010 confirm that the

    Vote of Credit has not performed at all. If not reversed, this

    threatens to leave the 2010 Budget as originally outlined in an

    unsustainable position.

    131. This will simply mean that the Government will not be able tofulfil on some of those programmes it set out to undertake.

    Sadly, the bulk of the affected areas are in the key Public

    Sector Investment Projects, provision of social services

    including health and education.

    132. This is precisely why a new paradigm is required. Indeed it is

    precisely why Refocusing, Regeneration and Revival is

    essential. It cannot be business as usual .

    Revenue

    133. Whereas Customs Duty and VAT collections on imports

    accounted for two thirds of revenue during the first fourmonths of 2009, taxes on income and profits have rebounded

    as economic recovery began to take root. Hence, domestic tax

    resources now account for two thirds of total revenue.

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    134. Cumulative tax revenue collections for the period January-June

    2010 amounted to US$930.7 million, against a revised target of

    US$830.5 million. VAT, Pay As You Earn (PAYE) and Customs

    Duty contributed significantly to total revenue.

    Value Added Tax (VAT)

    135. VAT contributed US$349.7 million or 37.6% of total revenue

    against a target of US$320.9 million. VAT on domestic and

    imported goods and services accounted for US$196.7 million

    and US$153.1 million, respectively.

    Customs Duty

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    positive performance is mainly on account of increased

    estimated profit margins emanating from improved capacity

    utilisation.

    Excise Duty

    140. Excise duty collections amounted to US$76.3 million against a

    revised target of US$100.6 million. The bulk of excise duty was

    collected from fuel and beer, which contributed US$40.8 million

    and US$16.7 million, respectively.

    Mining Revenue

    141. Mr Speaker Sir, the contribution of mining to Budget revenue

    during the first half of the year remained low. This is indicative

    of key structural deficiencies in our taxation of mining sector

    activity.

    142. Hence, while it is fact that Zimbabwe has a diverse spread of

    exploitable mineral resources, it is fact that the contribution of

    this sector to the fiscus has been minimal.

    Other Taxes

    143. Revenue collections from other taxes for the period under

    review amounted to US$54.9 million or 5.9% of total revenue.

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    capital development projects. The balance of US$32.4 million

    was spent under the ZIMRA grant.

    148. The amount attributed to capital expenditure falls far short of the requirements, if we are to address the infrastructure

    challenges facing this economy.

    149. First half expenditure performance is shown on the pie chart

    below.

    150. The current expenditure structure of the Budget where 82% of

    expenditure is recurrent underpins a complete absence of fiscal

    space and is unsustainable. This is precisely why this Review

    proposes a Refocus for the second half of the year.

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    Recurrent Expenditures

    151. The bulk of the current expenditures of US$720.5 million for

    the six months January-June 2010 were on employment costsinclusive of pension, goods and services and transfers to grant

    aided institutions as detailed below.

    152. The positive revenue performance during the past six months

    should ordinarily have allowed us more flexibility in addressing

    other critical expenditure issues affecting the country,particularly infrastructure. However, this was not possible as

    some budget items, particularly the wage bill continued to

    crowd out social and development expenditures.

    Employment Costs

    153. Employment costs comprised the civil service wage bill,

    pensions and remuneration to grant aided institutions. These

    amounted to US$493.2 million against total Government

    revenue collections of US$930.7 million.

    154. As a result of the wage bill absorbing a disproportionate shareof revenue, fiscal space for non-wage operational expenditures

    as well as critical capital expenditures urgently needed for

    rehabilitation and infrastructure development was reduced.

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    Civil Service Wage Bill

    155. The graph below illustrates developments and fluctuations on

    the payroll and wage bill for the civil service.

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    156. The wage bill has been steadily growing over the last six

    months, from an average of US$50 million over the first two

    months, rising to US$55.1 million by June.

    157. This outturn is mainly because of a net growth in employment

    levels of 19 170, for which the Ministry of Education, Sport, Arts

    and Culture is accounting for 15 197 (79%) as illustrated in the

    graph below:

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    158. The current wage bill levels of around 60% of the total Budget

    and 15% of GDP compromises both non-wage operational and

    critical capital expenditures. Regional best practices indicate

    levels of 30% of the total Budget and 10% of GDP.

    Operations and Maintenance

    159. To date, expenditure on Operations and Maintenance stands at

    US$126.1 million against a target of US$120 million. The

    expenditures are comprised as follows: rentals and vehicles and

    other hire services (US$31.6 million), foreign travel (US$13.1

    million), Ministries programme expenses (US$35.2 million),

    maintenance of buildings and equipment (US$14.3 million),

    domestic travel (US$4.6 million) and other operational

    expenses (US$27.3 million) as indicated in the graph below.

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    Payments to Service Providers

    160. The 2010 Budget Statement to Parliament reaffirmed

    Governments commitment to clear all outstanding payments to

    service providers in such areas as telecommunication, vehiclehire, office accommodation, water and other utilities. These

    arrears stood at US$46 million as at January 2010. We have

    managed to pay US$18 million so far. Notwithstanding this

    payment, our arrear position as at June 2010 stands at US$58

    million.

    Foreign Travel

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    161. Expenditure on foreign travel declined significantly to 10% of

    operational expenditure in the period up to June 2010. This is

    comparable to a share of 24% for the same period in 2009.

    162. It remains essential that we tighten control on travel expenses

    given the need to free resources for other critical service

    delivery oriented expenditures.

    Foreign Missions

    163. Support to Foreign missions in the first half of 2010 amounted

    to US$12 million. Notwithstanding this expenditure level,

    Government has not made any progress in halting the

    accumulation of arrears.

    Social Service Delivery

    164. Whilst resources at the disposal of Government remain limited,

    notable investments have been made in the health sector to

    reverse decline suffered over a number of years.

    165. To date, nine hospitals, namely Harare, Mpilo, Ngomahuru,

    Mutare, Ingutsheni, Gweru, Karoi, Masvingo and Gwanda are

    already benefiting under the targeted approach. The

    intervention by Government has resulted in an improvement in

    the availability of drugs, medical equipment, other medical

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    supplies, food, linen and improvement in the general ambiance

    of the hospitals.

    166. As resources become available more hospitals will be targeted.

    167. In the education sector, support amounting to US$8 million has

    been received targeting the BEAM programme and

    procurement of textbooks.

    168. The achievements attained in the social sectors would not havebeen possible without the much appreciated support from our

    cooperating partners.

    Grants and Transfers

    169. A total amount of US$29.7 million was expended with respect

    to the non-wage operational expenses of grant-aided

    institutions as well as payments of contributions to regional and

    international organisations.

    170. From the US$28.1 million disbursed as operational support to

    granted-aided institutions, US$1.9 million supported the

    operations of State Universities, local and foreign based

    students (US$5.7 million) and the processing and marking of

    national examinations by ZIMSEC (US$1.3 million). Health

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    institutions, including Mission Hospitals and Parirenyatwa Group

    of Hospitals received US$4.3 million.

    171. The Central Statistical Office received US$0.5 million to financethe conduct of the field mapping exercise critical for the holding

    of the 2012 Population Census.

    Capital Expenditures

    172. Capital expenditures amounted to US$123.7 million as at end of

    June, inclusive of US$20.9 million under the Vote of Credit.

    173. The total resources spent on total capital expenditure to date is

    14% which is a marked improvement from the 4.5% spent in

    2009. The fact of the matter is that there has to be a Refocus

    of expenditures to achieve sustainable levels of capital

    expenditure given the state of infrastructure in Zimbabwe. It

    cannot be Business as Usual .

    Energy

    174. The focus of Budget intervention in the power sector during the

    first half of 2010 has been to reverse decline in domestic

    generation capacity particularly at Hwange Power Station.

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    Hwange Power Station

    175. Government has availed US$10 million for the procurement of

    critical spares and plant items. This intervention will alsoenable the ZPC to maintain the safety of the Ash Dam.

    176. The above amount falls short of the US$125 million required at

    Hwange Power Station in order to increase production from the

    current 300 MW to 780 MW as well as achieve reliability of the

    plant.

    177. Most of the plant equipment is unreliable resulting in irregular

    generation and supply of electricity to the economy. Whilst the

    plant requires regular maintenance, it has not been possible

    over the years to maintain the plant as per the prescribed

    frequencies largely due to lack of resources.

    178. Major areas such as coal handling facilities, boilers, water

    pumps, auxiliary plant, etc all require major rehabilitation to

    improve the performance of the plant.

    Kariba Power Station

    179. Kariba Power Station, which currently produces 750 megawatts

    of power, remains the only reliable source of power to the

    country. To ensure continued production and reliability of the

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    plant, an amount of US$14 million is required for refurbishment

    and rehabilitation of plant and equipment.

    180. Equally there are challenges with regards to the transmission

    and distribution networks that have to be addressed with

    urgency.

    Transport

    181. An amount of US$33.4 million was disbursed for road

    dualisation and bridge construction (US$10.3 million) as well as

    the railway track infrastructure (US$5 million) and upgrading of

    airports (US$18.1 million).

    Road Dualisation

    182. Work is already underway to complete the dualisation of

    Harare-Masvingo and Harare-Gweru road including construction

    of Manyame and Mukuvisi bridges.

    Airports Infrastructure

    183. Resources amounting to US$18.1 million have also been

    provided for the rehabilitation of taxiway at Harare

    International Airport and completion of J.M Nkomo Airport

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    which is due to be opened before the end of the year. I am

    aware that CAAZ had requested resources for the construction

    of the car park at J.M Nkomo Airport. Such a project is ideal

    for public private partnership arrangement, CAAZ, therefore,

    should start engaging the private sector in this regard.

    Railway Infrastructure

    184. With regards to railway infrastructure, focus has been on the

    rehabilitation of track infrastructure as well as signaling, to

    improve communication and reduce accidents along the line.

    Road Maintenance

    185. Large requirements in support of road maintenance have

    necessitated the introduction of toll gate fees to complement

    the limited available Budget resources, for which an amount of

    US$1.1 million was availed from the fiscus towards re-grading

    of 23 roads of 1 121 km during the first half of the year.

    186. The introduction of toll fees has provided additional resources

    for the maintenance and rehabilitation of our road network which spans about 90 000 kilometres.

    187. For the first five months of this year, ZINARA has raised

    US$23.2 million from toll and road access fees. Of this amount,

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    US$15 million has already been disbursed to the road

    authorities for the maintenance of our road network as follows:

    ROAD AUTHORITY DISBURSEMENTS TOJUNE 2010

    Urban Councils 200,571Department of Roads 4,984,251DDF 1,193,000Rural District Councilsow

    8,330,139

    Beitbridge 32,534 Bikita 26,179 Bindura 2,590,000 Chamunika 510,000 Chimanimani 54,869 Chipinge 46,147 Chivi 50,321 Gokwe North 28,293 Guruve 10,000 Gwanda 52,079

    Hwange 65,659 Karoi 24,267 Kusile 37,983 Makonde 46,049 Matopo 38,575 Mazowe 190,000 Mberengwa 42,248 Mhondoro-Ngezi 1,830,000 Mudzi 25,754

    Mutare 65,568 Mutoko 56,569 Muzarabani 27,319 Mwenezi 59,841 Nkayi 53,000 Nyaminyami 30,315

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    Nyanga 46,362 Pfura 137,655 UMP 23,632 Zaka 24,112

    Zibagwe 34,000 Zvimba 2,070,809

    GRAND TOTAL 14,707,961

    Water and Sanitation

    188. Budget interventions in the water and sanitation sector during

    the first half of 2010 remained focused at supporting therestoration of minimum adequate services. This is against the

    background of the cholera outbreak of 2008 which brought to

    the fore the problems afflicting the sector.

    189. In this regard, Government has called upon local authorities to

    play a more meaningful role in the restoration of the water andsanitation infrastructure by dedicating a percentage of the

    revenue collected from water and sewerage charges for re-

    investment.

    190. Government has already availed US$7 million for the

    construction of the Mtshabezi pipeline. Furthermore, resourcesfor the rehabilitation of water and sewage infrastructure have

    been provided to Bulawayo City Council (US$6.4 million),

    Marondera Town Council (US$2.9 million), and Mut