Upload
microequities-pty-ltd
View
217
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
7/31/2019 Microequities High Income Value Microcap Fund July 2012 update
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/microequities-high-income-value-microcap-fund-july-2012-update 1/1
MICROEQUITIES ASSET MANAGEMENT |AFSL 287526 |Suite 702, 109 Pitt Street, Sydney NSW 2000
Office: +61 2 9231 6169 Fax: +61 2 9475 1156 [email protected]
JULY 2012 PERFORMANCE UPDATE by Carlos Gil, Chief Investment Officer
MARKETS AND ECONOMY:
The risk free rate is an integral part of investing for two key reasons; it is the return that a “risk free” asset provides a n
investor that wants no exposure to risk, the bird in the hand. For those investors that are willing to assume an investment
with some level of risk, it is used to calculate expected future cash flow returns from that investment and therefore are
integral to calculating intrinsic value of the investment. The lower the risk free rate the higher the value of our investments
because future expected cash flows are discounted at a lower rate. The Australian Government 10 year bond yield is
currently around 3.10%, historically low levels. This low risk free rate is pushing up the intrinsic value of our owned
businesses whilst at the same time the alternative uses of our capital remaining in cash, are paying considerably lower
returns. These conditions are occurring at a time when poor market sentiment and risk aversion has driven market pricing
down for some very good businesses, this scenario provide us with a rather obvious conclusion, we have never experienced
risk free returns as low as these, whilst, for our owned businesses the gap between market value and intrinsic value
continues to widen. In all our Funds we will continue to deploy cash and new investment inflows because we consider the
current opportunities to be highly compelling from a long term, value investment perspective.
Microequities High Income Value Microcap Fund returned a positive +5.76% versus the All Ordinaries Accumulation
Index positive +3.74% in July.
We do not believe the Fund’s current forecast grossed up dividend yield of +12.16% will be sustainable over the medium to
long term. Not because the businesses we own will lower or cease their dividend payments, but because we believe that
the market prices of some of these businesses will rise as investors reassess risk assets. Given the risk free rate stands at
3.10%, our businesses are forecast to yield a grossed up dividend income of over 900 basis points higher than the risk free
rate. Logic would suggest that the gap will tighten though admittedly the market can stay illogical for a quite some time.
The good news though, is that if the scenario does eventuate our investors will derive capital appreciation via higher
market prices.
Current Forecast Grossed Up Dividend Yield of the Fund*: +12.16%*Forecast Grossed up Yield is based on internal forecasts and actual results may vary. Investors should note that Gross Dividend Yield is not a forecast
distribution as distributions will depend on actual dividend income received and actual number of units on issue at the time a distribution is made.
*High Income Value Microcap Portfolio as of 31st
of July
4.0%
50.9%
8.4%2.9%
8.1%
3.9%
4.7%
6.3%
6.3% 4.4% Cash
Software & Services
Consumer Durables
Apparel
Capital Goods
Media
Comercial Services &
Supplies
Diversified Financials
Retailing
Banks
Real Estate
Latest Unit Price
$1.0056Latest Fund Performance as at July 31, 2012
FUND AOAI* OP*
1 Month +5.76% +3.74% +2.02%
3 Month -0.62% -3.17% +2.55%6 Month
12 Month
Inception +3.70% -0.98% +4.68%
(Returns are calculated after all fees and expenses and
reinvestment of distributions. Inception of Fund March 1, 2012)
*AOAI: All Ordinaries Accumulation Index. *OP: Out-
performance.
Past performance is not indicative of future performance.