The Implications of Future and TheoryThis debate is based on Dr. Peter

Ferdinand Drucker and his findings from “The Near Future” - Claudia Sanchez and Syed Ehsan Azam

Who is Dr. Peter Ferdinand Drucker

O Dr. Peter Ferdinand Drucker (born 1909) is known as the father of modern management.

O A prolific writer, business consultant and self-described “social ecologist”, and lecturer

O Survived WWI and WWII (Lived in Both EU and North American Society)

O Famous Professor and Business Consultant to Masatoshi Ito of Ito –Yokado Group

Case O “Be it resolved that Peter

Drucker’s vision of the future of society is sound” – based on “The Near Future”

O Representing in favor of the findings from Dr. Peter Ferdinand Drucker and his logical, realistic assumptions

First Case ArgumentO Current and future demographics of

shrinking younger population in Workforce and major predictions by 2050 is visible

O (FACT: Birth rate of females in China and Brazil is suffering from Live Births per woman of reproductive age is 2.2% less than the replacement rate its own)

O (FACT: USA, Australia and Japan is up Next to suffer the side effects of low birth rate 2050)

Second Case

ArgumentImmigration and Its

Implications vs Pros and Cons (Fact: Germany will

have to Import 1M working age each year simply to maintain its

workforce, Fact: America prefers

immigrants that are younger with higher

reproductive rates is visible among them) both Legal

and illegal category

Immigration and It’s implications

(Needed but Unwanted)• Dependencies among countries and

political ties may change based on these facts (Trade Barriers, Political threats at times)

• Immigrants can be taken advantage of at times as cheap labor (USA is a big example)

• Discrimination and crime rate can arise based on some theorists

Immigration rate in U.S.A

Amount of immigration (%) Age Category

Third Case ArgumentO Knowledge Based society – The theory

for solution of future demand of a workforce that is adverse and “UNISEX” without Age discrimination

O History shows example of Gender Discrimination (Knowledge based economy and workforce will create meaningful, unbiased and more freedom for individuals)

O Creates value for everyone – Purpose for everyone

Change in Demography

What does those charts mean how does it relate to Dr.

Drucker's findings?O “Economically, the decline in the young

population will change markets in fundamental ways”

O “Politically, This means that immigration will become and highly divisive issue in all rich countries”

O By 2030 at the latest, the age at which full retirement benefits start will have risen to the mid-70s in all developed countries, and benefits for healthy pensioners will be substantially lower than they are today.

So.. What Else did he believe in?

O Knowledge is the Key to the futureO Knowledge based society creating

skilled job that we can already see examples of (More white color with less on manufacturing jobs)

O “Upward mobility potentially unlimited” -

O Knowledge is highly portable among both sex and it is a fact

The EndO Citation : “Survey: The Near Future”,

Peter. Drucker, The Economist, November 2, 2001

O Pictures : www.Google.com