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Value creation of investment bank participation in the German
M&A-Business
Derick Beitela and Dirk Schiereckb
Working paper November, 9th 2003
Abstract
Although the recent downturn in M&A-activity, over the last 10 years, the M&A-market in
Germany showed a sharp increase in terms of transaction volume and number of deals. Along
with a growing market, investment banks play a more and more important role in the German
M&A-market. Investment bank participation in Germany has not been studied in much detail.
This study investigates the role investment banks play in creating value in M&A-transaction
of German acquirers. We find, that investment bank participation as well as reputation does
have a very limited impact on value creation.
Key words: Investment banks, investment banking, Mergers & Acquisitions,
German M&A-market
JEL classification: G24, G34
a Derick Beitel is research assistant at the Institute for Mergers & Acquisitions at the
University of Witten/Herdecke. E-mail address: [email protected] Dirk Schiereck is professor at the Endowned Chair of Banking and Finance at the European
Business School in Oestrich-Winkel. E-mail address: [email protected]
Value creation of investment bank participation in the German M&A-Business
1. Introduction
Over the last 15 years, the M&A-activity in Germany showed a sharp increase in terms of
transaction volume and number of deals.1 Although traditionally the vast majority of trans-
actions in Germany have been done without external M&A-advisors, investment banks are
becoming more and more important in the German M&A business.2 Advisory services of
investment banks can be viewed as capital investments. As an example, Saunders and
Srinivasan (2001) show (on the basis of 611 US M&A transactions between 1985 and 1998)
an average fee-payment of USD 4 m. Mandating an investment bank therefore only makes
sense if a company gains an advantage that the firm could not achieve without the advisory
services Empirical studies focusing on the role of investment banks in M&A transactions are
rare. Almost all existing studies focus on the US-market. The role of investment bank
participation in the German M&A-business has not been studied in much detail. Because of
the relatively immature M&A-market in Germany and structural differences between the US
and Germany (e.g. in corporate ownership and control) we take a deeper look at the German
M&A-market.
Value creation of investment bank participation can be measured in different ways. Referring
to the existing body of empirical studies in this field, this paper concentrates on the following
research questions:
1. Do shareholders of German buyers gain if their management uses an investment bank?
2. Are there a differences in the purchase prices if German buyers use external M&A-
advise?
3. Do shareholders benefit from investment bank participation in the mid-term?
Besides the shareholder wealth effects and purchase prices, this paper analyzes whether
transactions advised by investment banks are completed in a shorter period of time compared
to those without external M&A-advisors. The fourth research question is:
4. Does investment bank participation has an influence on the duration between the
announcement and the time a transaction is completed (time to completion)?
1 According to Thomson Financial SDC, the average CAGR of the transaction volume in Germany between 1990 and 2001 was 17%.
2 This goes along with the increased presence of investment banks in Germany over the last decade.
2
Besides investment bank participation, we also explore potential differences in the “quality”
of investment banks used, measured by reputation. The structure of this paper includes a short
review of the literature followed by a description of the data and methodology used. After
presenting the results of the study, the paper ends with a conclusion.
2. Review of the literature
There is mixed evidence on the shareholder wealth effects of investment banks acting as
M&A-advisors.3 For acquiring firms, Servaes and Zenner (1996) find no impact of investment
banks on the returns earned by the acquiring firms’ shareholders. Allen et al. (2001), who
compare transactions advised by commercial banks against those advised by investment banks
show, that returns are higher for acquirers that employ no advisor at all. Looking at the
reputation of investment banks, Bowers and Miller (1990), Servaes and Zenner (1996), Kale
et al. (1998), Rau (2000), Hunter and Jagtiani (2000) or Rau and Rodgers (2002) come to a
similar conclusion: First-tier investment banks are not better in providing superior shareholder
wealth effects compared to lower tier investment banks. Concentrating on target firm
shareholders, Kale et al. (1998) find, that cumulative abnormal returns are lower if only the
target firm chooses external M&A-advise. In contrast, target firm shareholders benefit, if
either the bidder or the target firm is advised by a first-tier compared to a lower-tier
investment bank. Bowers and Miller (1990) show similar results. Hunter and Walker (1990)
compare combined abnormal Dollar-returns against combined fee payments. They show an
average cumulated abnormal Dollar-return of USD 85m versus a combined average fee
payment of USD 5m. Bowers and Miller (1990) who concentrate on first- versus lower-tier
investment banks find, that combined wealth effects are higher, if the target, the bidder or
both are advised by a high quality investment bank. Kale et al. (1998) come to similar
conclusions.
Investigating the premiums paid by acquiring firms, Hunter and Walker (1990) find no impact
of investment bank participation. Instead, acquirers pay higher premiums, if the cash/asset-
ratio of target firms are high. Concentrating on the reputation of investment banks, Michel et
al. (1991), McLaughlin (1992) or Rau (2000) show, that acquiring firms pay a higher
premium if they are advised by a first-tier M&A-advisor. In the transaction sample of Rau
(2000), acquirers with first-tier investment banks pay an acquisition premium (median) of
3 For a detailed summary of the current empirical literature on the role of investment banks in mergers and acquisitions, see Beitel and Schiereck (2004a).
3
56,3%. The premium paid by acquirers with third-tier banks equals 38,1%. McLaughlin
(1990), McLaughlin (1992), Kesner et al. (1994), McLaughlin (1996), Rau (2000) or
Saunders and Srinivasan (2001) analyse fee payments. The results convey a positive
correlation between the absolute amount of fee payments and transaction volumes. On
average, dependent on the transaction type, up to 70% of fee payments are paid as contingent
fees. Saunders and Srinivasan (2001) show, that first-tier investment banks earn higher
(absolute) fee payments compared to lower-tier banks. However, the average transaction
volume advised by first-tier investment banks is also higher. Investigating the relationship
between fee payments and shareholder wealth effects, McLaughlin (1992) finds, that higher
fee payments are not related to higher acquisition returns of acquiring firms’ shareholders.
3. Value creation of investment bank participation in the German M&A-Business
3.1 The data
The transaction sample includes 398 M&A-transactions of German buyers between January
1995 until December 2001.4 The sample is drawn from the Securities Data Corporation (SDC)
database and has been completed by transaction published in the Computasoft M&A and the
Bloomberg databases. Capital market information (e.g. market capitalization of the trans-
action partners) is taken from Thomson Financial Datastream. Firm specific data is drawn
from the transaction databases used as well as from the Markus and Amadeus databases or
directly from annual reports.5 The criteria for choosing a transaction are:
• the announcement day is between January 1st, 1995 and December 31st,, 2001,
• the status of the transaction is completed,
• the transaction volume is at least 25 Mio. EUR,
• the home country of the acquirer is Germany,
• the transaction includes a change of control (i.e. before the announcement of the trans-
action the buyer owns less and after completion of the transaction more than 50% of the
shares/assets of the target),
• the business focus of the transaction partners is not mainly in the financial services
industry nor in the real estate business.
On the basis of these criteria we built two samples: 1) Transactions of German buyers with
investment banks („IB-sample“) and 2) Transactions of German buyers without investment 4 We analyze German acquirers only because for targets relevant data is often unknown. 5 Because of limitation in data (e.g. financials of non-quoted targets are often unknown) we always
indicate the number („N“) of parameters analyzed.
4
banks („Non-IB-sample“). The IB-sample comprises 172 transactions, the Non-IB-sample
226 transactions.
In order to reflect the minimum transaction volume demanded by most of the investment
banks analyzed, we only considered transactions with a minimum transaction value (rank
value) of EUR 25 m.6 Restrictions on the business focus were done to increase the
comparability of the transactions analyzed. Table 1 shows the time structure and the
transaction volume of the M&A transactions analyzed.
Table 1: Time structure and transaction volume of data sample
Source: Thomson Financial SDC, Computasoft M&A-Data and Bloomberg.
The average transaction size in the IB-sample is approximately 8.8 times higher than in the
Non-IB-sample. In 80% of the transactions, German buyers with investment banks, acquire
targets outside of Germany. The percentage of cross border transactions amounts to 65% in
the Non-IB-sample.7
To be able to analyze abnormal returns gained by the shareholders involved, only quoted
companies can be examined. Out of the 172 transactions in the IB-sample, there are 142
quoted buyers and 60 quoted targets. In the Non-IB-sample, 145 buyers and 28 targets are
publicly listed. To explore the impact of investment bank reputation, we further classify our
IB-sample into two different sub-samples.8 We classify an investment bank as one with “high
reputation”, if the advisor was among the top-five investment banks, in terms of advised
6 For more details on minimum transaction volumes, see Lüdke and Frien (2001). 7 Further analyses on the transaction parameters and its impact on the decision of German buyers to
use investment banks can be found in Beitel and Schiereck (2004b).8 Reputation of investment banks is often used as a proxy-variable for the quality of its advisory
services. Empirical (M&A-focused) studies, investigating investment banks by its reputation can be found in Bowers and Miller (1990), McLaughlin (1990), Michel et al. (1991), McLaughlin (1992), Servaes and Zenner (1996), Kale et al. (1998), Rau (2000), Hunter and Jagtiani (2000), Saunders and Srinivasan (2001), Schiereck and Unverhau (2002) or Rau and Rodgers (2002).
5
IB-sample Non-IB-sample
Year Number of transactions
in % Average transaction volume (in EURm)
2001 25 14,5% 1.330,982000 53 30,8% 1.843,441999 42 24,4% 2.388,571998 21 12,2% 2.168,641997 11 6,4% 1.222,041996 14 8,1% 601,761995 6 3,5% 1.070,34
Total 172 100% 1.777,57
Year Number of transactions
in % Average transaction volume (in EURm)
2001 31 13,7% 111,762000 56 24,8% 225,951999 40 17,7% 206,381998 37 16,4% 289,061997 23 10,2% 162,911996 23 10,2% 186,221995 16 7,1% 163,56
Total 226 100% 202,28
IB-sample Non-IB-sample
Year Number of transactions
in % Average transaction volume (in EURm)
2001 25 14,5% 1.330,982000 53 30,8% 1.843,441999 42 24,4% 2.388,571998 21 12,2% 2.168,641997 11 6,4% 1.222,041996 14 8,1% 601,761995 6 3,5% 1.070,34
Total 172 100% 1.777,57
Year Number of transactions
in % Average transaction volume (in EURm)
2001 31 13,7% 111,762000 56 24,8% 225,951999 40 17,7% 206,381998 37 16,4% 289,061997 23 10,2% 162,911996 23 10,2% 186,221995 16 7,1% 163,56
Total 226 100% 202,28
(cumulative) transaction volume in the two years preceding the transaction analyzed.9 As we
analyze German buyers acquiring mainly European targets, we use European league tables to
classify our sample. Table 2 shows all investment banks who have been among the top-ten
M&A-advisors in Europe between 1993 and 2001.
No investment bank has been consistently among the top-5 M&A-advisors over the complete
period analyzed. Morgan Stanley (6-times), UBS Warburg (6-times), Lazard (4-times), JP
Morgan (3-times) and Goldman Sachs (3-times) were among the top-five banks the most
often. 47 German buyers (27%) have been advised by investment banks with high reputation.
Table 2: Top-10 investment banks in European M&A-transactions between 1993 and 2001
Investment bank Year / Ranking1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
Goldman Sachs 10 10 6 6 4 2 1 1 1JP Morgan 8 6 1 3 6 3 4 4 2Morgan Stanley 7 4 2 2 1 1 3 2 3Merrill Lynch >10 9 >10 >10 >10 7 2 9 4Dresdner Kleinwort Wasserstein 2 >10 >10 >10 7 >10 10 10 5Salomon Smith Barney 5 5 7 7 8 6 >10 3 6ING Barings >10 7 5 10 >10 >10 >10 >10 7Lazard 4 2 4 4 3 9 9 7 8UBS Warburg 1 1 3 1 2 5 5 6 9Credit Suisse First Boston >10 3 8 8 5 4 8 5 10Rothschild 9 >10 10 9 9 8 6 8 >10Societe General 6 >10 >10 >10 >10 >10 >10 >10 >10Deutsche Bank 3 8 9 >10 10 >10 7 >10 >10BNP Paribas >10 >10 >10 5 >10 10 >10 >10 >10
Source: Thomson Financial SDC.
3.2 Methodology
In order to address the four different research questions described above, we analyze the
(short-term) cumulative abnormal returns (CARs), the purchase prices and the mid-term
9 If a buyer has been advised by more than one investment bank, we use (in conjunction with McLaughlin (1992) and Rau (2000)) the reputation of the bank with the highest reputation. see McLaughlin (1992), p. 239 or Rau (2000), p. 303.
6
acquisition performance of German buyers. In addition we look at the duration between
transaction announcements and completions (time to completion). The methodology used for
measuring CARs builds on the event study methodology (OLS market model) as introduced
by Brown and Warner (1980), Dodd and Warner (1983) and Brown and Warner (1985).
Referring to the existing literature, we consider several event windows around the
announcement day in intervals of -20 to +20 trading days.10 To calculate the market model
regression parameters, we use a clean period of -301 to -21 trading days.11 For acquirers and
targets who were not publicly traded over the complete clean period, estimates for the
regression parameters are done with the corresponding period of time.12 For German buyers
and targets, we used the Morgan Stanley Dean Witter MSCI Standard Market Index for
Germany. For foreign targets, the corresponding MSCI country index was used. Actual
returns were calculated on the basis of the „total return index“ as computed by Thomson
Financial Datastream for each trading day.13
To compare the different transaction samples described above, univariate comparisons are
made between the IB- and the Non-IB-sample as well as between the samples with investment
banks of different reputation. Because the precondition of normal distributed data is not
always met, we use non-parametric (Mann-Whitney rang sum tests) as well as parametric
tests (t-tests). Similar methodology is used by Servaes and Zenner (1996) or Rau (2000).14 To
control for other variables influencing value creation in M&A-transactions, we also ran
multivariate OLS-regressions. As proxies for purchase prices, we looked at acquisition
premiums and transaction multiples, as described in table 3.
Table 3: Acquisition premiums and transaction multiples Acquisition premiums Description
iZCAR )( • CAR(Z)i = cumulative abnormal returns of the target i over the event window
10 If the announcement day falls on a weekend or holiday, we use the first trading day after the announcement day.
11 This period is consistent with the one used by Bowers and Miller (1990). Hunter and Walker (1990), Kale et al. (1998), Saunders and Srinivasan (2001) and Schiereck and Unverhau (2002) use a similar period. McLaughlin (1992), Servaes and Zenner (1996), Rau (2000), Allen et al. (2001) or Rau and Rodgers (2002) use a slightly shorter period of time.
12 17 acquirers in the IB- and 18 acquirers in the Non-IB-sample are not quoted over the complete clean period. The average clean period of these companies is 179 trading days in the IB- and 171 trading days in the Non-IB-sample.
13 The advantage of using the total return index is, that several adjustments (e.g. for dividend payments) are already included.
14 See Servaes and Zenner (1996), p. 798 respectively Rau (2000), p. 305.
7
i
i
TotAss
TAVol • TAVoli = transaction volume (100% of acquired shares)
• TotAssi = Total assets of target i, as shown in the last annual statement prior to the announcement of the transaction
Transaction multiples Description
iSales
TAVol • TAVol = transaction volume (for 100% of the acquired shares)
• Salesi = Sales of target i as shown in the last annual statement prior to the announcement of the transaction
iEBITDA
TAVol • EBITDAi = Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization of target i , referring to the last annual statement prior to the announcement of the transaction
The method for measuring mid-term acquisition performance builds on the adjusted abnormal
stock return of the acquiring company over a period of 125 trading day as well as 250 trading
days. To compute abnormal returns, we compare actual stock returns against the performance
of the corresponding market indices. The mid-term acquisition performance is then calculated
in analogy to the market model used to calculate (short-term) CARs.15
3.3 Results
Table 4 shows the CARs of German buyers in the IB- and Non-IB-sample over different
event windows. CARs of the acquirers in the IB-sample, as well as in the Non-IB-sample are
not significantly different from zero. The percentage of transactions with positive CARs is
similar in both samples and varies around 50%. CARs of German buyers with and without
investment banks are not significantly different. German acquirers do not earn higher or lower
CARs is they are advised by investment banks. The results in table 4 confirm the results
obtained in earlier (US-focused) studies: Investment bank participation in M&A-transactions
does neither have a significant positive nor negative effect on CARs earned by shareholders
of acquiring companies.
Table 4: CARs of German buyers with and without investment banksIB-sample Non-IB-sample
Event window CAR p-value TA w/ CAR>0
CAR p-value TA w/ CAR>0
Difference CAR
t-test p-value
15 Referring to Rau and Rodgers (2002) we only analyzed transactions, where the transaction volume is at least 10% of the market capitalization of the buyer (20 trading days before the announcement of the transaction).
8
(IB-sample: N=142, Non-IB-sample: N=145)
[-20;0] 1,61 0,441 53,5 0,92 0,468 52,4[-10;0] 1,37 0,431 49,3 0,89 0,457 49,7[-3;0] 0,57 0,452 51,4 1,47 0,384 55,9[0] 0,08 0,486 50,7 0,34 0,446 55,2[-1;+1] 0,93 0,410 57,7 0,83 0,423 55,9[-3;+3] 0,23 0,485 52,8 1,03 0,438 51,0[-10;+10] 0,71 0,474 52,8 -0,40 0,514 45,5
0,69 0,3520,48 0,352
-0,90 0,128-0,26 0,2870,10 0,352
-0,80 0,2131,11 0,248
[-20;+20] 0,23 0,494 52,8 -1,36 0,534 44,1 1,59 0,247
Besides CARs of German buyers, we also looked at the combined cumulative abnormal
returns. In six out of eight event windows analyzed, the combined CARs in the IB-sample are
lower as those in the Non-IB-sample. In no case, they are significantly lower. Table 5 shows
the results.
Table 5: Combined CARs with and without investment banks advising German buyersIB-sample Non-IB-sample
Event-window
CAR Median
TA w/ CAR>0
CAR Median TA w/ CAR>0
Difference medians
t-test p-value
MWU p-value
(IB-sample: N=47; Non-IB-sample: N=18)
[-20;0] 3,96 3,53 63,8 6,11 2,87 72,2 0,66 0,250 0,289[-10;0] 3,75 2,08 66,0 4,44 3,59 66,7 -0,41 0,403 0,391[-3;0] 2,32 1,10 55,3 4,10 2,24 66,7 -2,03 0,215 0,178[0] 1,66 0,51 59,6 2,10 0,68 66,7 -1,59 0,403 0,459[-1;+1] 2,95 1,92 66,0 2,06 2,42 72,2 -0,14 0,493 0,489[-3;+3] 1,90 0,62 53,2 3,13 3,28 72,2 -2,51 0,310 0,206[-10;+10] 2,41 2,80 61,7 2,49 3,76 72,2 0,31 0,491 0,294[-20;+20] 1,86 1,13 51,1 4,83 6,22 72,2 -3,70 0,257 0,219
Besides pure investment bank participation German buyers might benefit if they receive
advise by investment banks with high reputation. Table 6 summarizes the results.
Table 6: CARs of German buyers with investment banks with different reputation and combined CAR with investment banks with different reputation advising German buyers
IB with high reputation IB with low reputation
Event window
CAR Median
TA w/ CAR>0
CAR Median TA w/ CAR>0
Difference medians
t-test p-value
MWU p-value
9
A. CAR German buyers(IB w/ high reputation: N=41; IB w/ low reputation: N=101)
[-20;0] -0,30 -1,82 41,5 2,38 1,82 58,4 -3,64** 0,227 0,033[-10;0] 0,17 -1,77 41,5 1,86 0,41 52,5 -2,18* 0,233 0,089[-3;0] -0,23 -0,80 43,9 0,90 0,47 54,5 -1,27 0,204 0,147[0] 0,34 0,23 56,1 -0,02 0,00 48,5 0,23 0,340 0,494[-1;+1] 0,32 0,25 58,5 1,18 1,14 57,4 -0,89 0,419 0,371[-3;+3] -0,95 -0,76 46,3 0,71 0,53 55,4 -1,29* 0,154 0,088[-10;+10] -0,52 -0,35 46,3 1,20 1,33 55,4 -1,68 0,273 0,242[-20;+20] -1,11 -2,78 39,0 0,77 2,47 58,4 -5,25 0,320 0,182
B. Combined CAR (IB w/ high reputation: N=20; IB w/ low reputation: N=27)
[-20;0] 3,75 2,78 65,0 4,12 3,68 63,0 -0,90 0,470 0,366[-10;0] 5,97 4,13 70,0 2,11 1,05 63,0 3,08 0,099 0,253[-3;0] 4,03 0,73 50,0 1,06 1,10 59,3 -0,37 0,095 0,296[0] 2,50 0,39 55,0 1,04 0,51 63,0 -0,12 0,022 0,350[-1;+1] 4,54 3,51 80,0 1,78 0,67 55,6 2,84** 0,040 0,022[-3;+3] 3,78 1,96 65,0 0,52 -0,18 44,4 2,14 0,103 0,172[-10;+10] 6,92 6,34 65,0 -0,94 2,37 59,3 3,97** 0,015 0,041[-20;+20] 4,66 4,54 55,0 -0,22 -1,67 48,1 6,21 0,152 0,145
* = significant at the 10%-level, ** = significant at the 5%-level.
CARs of German buyers are in seven out of eight event windows smaller, if the acquirers are
advised by high reputation investment banks. In three event windows ([-20;0], [-10;0] and
[-3;+3]) the difference is significant according to the relevant Mann-Whitney-tests. Also we
find differences in combined CARs. The combined CARs in the sample with investment
banks with high reputation are significantly higher in the [-1;+1] and [-10;+10] event
windows compared to the sample with investment banks with low reputation. Similar to the
studies made by Kale et al. (1998), Bowers and Miller (1990) or Hunter and Walker (1990)
the results show, that transactions advised by investment banks with high reputation show
higher combined CARs. Although this result is interesting from a macro economic point of
view, German acquirers – as shown above – do not benefit from these advisory services.16
As described above we also looked at acquisition premiums and transaction muliples as
proxies for purchase prices. Table 7 summarizes the premiums and multiples paid by German
acquirers with and without investment banks.
Table 7: Acquisition premiums and transaction multiples paid by German buyers with and without investment banks
IB-sample Non-IB-sample
Average Median (N) Average Median (N) Difference medians
t-test p-value
MWU p-value
16 Comparing CARs of German buyers with high reputation investment banks with those obtained by German buyers without extern advise, we find that in six out of eight event periods, the CARs are lower in the high reputation investment bank sample (not shown). In contrast, CARs of German acquirers with investment banks with low reputation are almost always higher than in the Non-IB-sample. Looking at combined CARs we find no consistent results.
10
A. Acquisitions premiums
iZCAR )( (a) 29,24 27,08 60 10,99 8,55 28 18,53*** 0,007 0,006
i
i
TotAss
TAVol1,98 1,30 76 1,29 1,08 48 0,22*** 0,000 0,000
B. Transaction multiples
i
i
Sales
TAVol3,46 0,98 92 1,39 0,85 76 0,13 0,007 0,130
i
i
EBITDA
TAVol16,59 11,32 60 10,74 8,05 35 3,27*** 0,028 0,003
*** = significant at the 1%-level.
(a) CARi of targts in the [-20;+20] event window
Three out of four variables show significant results. German buyers advised by investment
banks pay significantly higher acquisition premiums and transaction multiples compared to
those without investment banks. No similar results can be shown for German acquirers with
investment banks of different reputation (not shown).17
Value creation in M&A-transactions is not only influenced by investment bank participation.
To control for other variables, we ran multivariate OLS-regressions (table 8,9 and 10). The
control variables analyzed mainly build on the existing literature. The results in table 8
confirm the previous results. Investment bank participation or reputation does not influence
CARs received by shareholders of German acquirers. The regression analyzes – considering
only investment bank participation (model 1) or reputation (model 3) – does not explain
CARs (p-value = 0,705 respectively p-value = 0,839). Also while taking into consideration
other variables (model 2 and model 4), investment bank participation or reputation does not
have any significant explanatory power (model 2: German buyers with investment banks p-
value = 0,239, model 4: German buyers with high reputation investment banks p-value =
0,295).
In contrast to investment bank participation or reputation we find a significant positive impact
with the relative transaction size (relative transaction volume: p-value = 0,000 (model 2)
respectively p-value = 0,014 (model 4)) as well as with the business area of the target
(business area of target in new economy: p-value = 0,016 (model 2)). Negative explanatory
power we find regarding the absolute size of transaction volume and the dummy variable
describing business related transactions (model 2: p-value = 0,046 respectively p-value =
17 Comparing transactions with investment banks with high or low reputation with those advised by no external financial advisor, we find a similar result (not shown). German acquirers with investment banks pay, independent from the reputation of their advisor, higher acquisition premiums and transaction multiples compared to those buyers without investment banks.
11
0,096). Similar results we obtain while looking at acquisition premiums and transaction
multiples (table 9 and 10). In contrast to our previous finding investment bank participation,
and reputation, does not have a significant impact on premiums and multiples if other
variables are taken into consideration. Significant explanatory power we find regarding the
absolute transaction size (table 9, model 3 and 4 and table 10, model 1,2,3 and 4), the cash-
asset-ratio of the targets (table 9, model 3 and 4), the country focus (cross-border transactions:
table 10, model 4), the existence of a major shareholder (table 10, model 3) and the business
focus of the target. In almost every regression analysis, the “new economy-dummy“ is
significantly positive. Negative impact on premiums and multiples we find with public targets
and (to our surprise) regarding the transaction experience of German buyers (both in table 10,
model 3 and 4).
In contrast to investment bank participation or reputation, the results of the regression analysis
show that the number of investment banks involved has a positive impact on CARs received
by the shareholders of German buyers. Table 8 model 4 shows, that CARs of German buyers
are higher, if the acquirers use more than one investment bank. The beta-coefficient of the
variable “number of investment banks of German acquirer“ is positive and significant (p-
value = 0,027). No impact can be shown regarding acquisition premiums or transaction
multiples.
Table 8: OLS-regression analysis for CARs of German buyers
Parameters CARs of German acquirer
model 1 model 2 model 3 model 4
German acquirer with investment bank -0,019(0,705)
-0,100(0,239)
German acquirer with high reputation investment bank
-0,017(0,839)
0,112(0,295)
12
Number of investment banks of German acquirers
0,261**(0,027)
Acquisition of single assets -0,027(0,738)
-0,032(0,777)
Transaction volume -0,138(0,110)
-0,246**(0,046)
Relative transaction volume 0,279***(0,000)
0,267***(0,014)
Cross-border transactions -0,119(0,122)
-0,055(0,587)
Payment not only cash 0,102(0,215)
0,140(0,216)
Market capitalization German acquirer -0,106(0,219)
-0,134(0,281)
Same (3-digit) industry code of transaction partners
-0,106(0,162)
-0,177*(0,096)
Number of industry codes target 0,030(0,699)
0,070(0,518)
Business area of target in New Economy 0,197**(0,016)
-0,005(0,965)
Prior stake of German acquirer in target (> 5%) 0,004(0,961)
-0,065(0,527)
Target with investment bank -0,058(0,561)
-0,116(0,339)
Target with high reputation investment bank -0,026(0,748)
0,014(0,901)
Transaction experience German acquirer 0,116(0,147)
0,077(0,468)
German acquirer with major shareholder (>25% of the shares)
-0,003(0,973)
-0,117(0,259)
(N) 287 177 142 100
Intercept 0,014**(0,014)
0,023(0,195)
0,012(0,102)
-0,022(0,493)
R2 (Adj.) -0,003 0,115 -0,007 0,111
F-value 0,144(0,705)
2,432***(0,003)
0,042(0,839)
1,775**(0,049)
Durbin-Watson-value 1,864 1,877Table 8 shows the coefficients of the OLS-regressions measuring the impact of various parameters on the CARs of German buyers in the event window [-1;+1]. The corresponding p-values are shown in brackets. * = significant at the 10%-level, ** = significant at the 5%-level, *** = significant at the 1%-level.
Table 9: OLS-regression analysis for acquisition premiums paid by German buyers
Parameters CAR target TAVol / TotAss
model 1 model 2 model 3 model 4
German acquirer with investment bank -0,504(0,236)
0,079(0,648)
German acquirer with high reputation 0,166 -0,144
13
investment bank (0,447) (0,424)
Number of investment banks of German acquirers
0,029(0,931)
0,016(0,920)
Transaction volume -0,232(0,309)
-0,243(0,374)
0,395***(0,005)
0,433**(0,026)
Relative transaction volume -0,168(0,391)
-0,194(0,483)
0,052(0,683)
0,135(0,438)
Cross-border transactions 0,048(0,837)
0,105(0,705)
0,158(0,278)
0,217(0,201)
Payment not only cash -0,414*(0,065)
-0,405(0,118)
Market capitalization German acquirer -0,150(0,588)
-0,243(0,374)
-0,064(0,693)
0,085(0,659)
Same (3-digit) industry code of transaction partners
0,261(0,215)
0,230(0,339)
0,110(0,398)
0,130(0,438)
Number of industry codes target -0,121(0,533)
-0,165(0,468)
-0,150(0,215)
-0,107(0,509)
Business area of target in New Economy 0,226(0,286)
0,230(0,333)
0,273**(0,037)
0,266*(0,091)
Prior stake of German acquirer in target (> 5%) -0,012(0,962)
-0,067(0,818)
0,159(0,213)
0,141(0,395)
Target with investment bank 0,729*(0,096)
0,329(0,191)
0,012(0,938)
-0,085(0,672)
Target with high reputation investment bank -0,137(0,601)
-0,067(0,818)
-0,022(0,883)
-0,028(0,880)
Cash/asset ratio target -0,194(0,334)
-0,245(0,297)
0,318**(0,010)
0,334**(0,043)
Publicly listed target -0,178(0,160)
-0,235(0,183)
Transaction experience German acquirer -0,004(0,984)
-0,033(0,880)
-0,016(0,901)
-0,057(0,726)
German acquirer with major shareholder (>25% of the shares)
-0,189(0,342)
-0,169(0,445)
-0,029(0,807)
-0,103(0,525)
(N) 39 35 64 45
Intercept 0,047**(0,044)
-0,006(0,925)
0,059(0,589)
0,198(0,389)
R2 (Adj.) 0,031 -0,078 0,284 0,207
F-value 1,081(0,422)
0,847(0,628)
2,666***(0,005)
1,716(0,102)
Durbin-Watson-value 1,872 1,861 2,245 2,165Table 9 shows the coefficients of the OLS-regressions measuring the impact of various parameters on the acquisition premiums. The corresponding p-values are shown in brackets. * = significant at the 10%-level, ** = significant at the 5%-level, *** = significant at the 1%-level.
Table 10: OLS-regression analysis for transaction multiples paid by German buyers
Parameter TAVol / Sales TAVol / EBITDA
model 1 model 2 model 3 model 4
German acquirer with investment bank 0,061(0,696)
0,161(0,349)
German acquirer with high reputation 0,053 0,035
14
investment bank (0,688) (0,804)
Number of investment banks of German acquirers
0,022(0,885)
0,182(0,217)
Transaction volume 0,567***(0,000)
0,483***(0,005)
0,365**(0,010)
0,344**(0,044)
Relative transaction volume -0,077(0,499)
-0,003(0,981)
0,041(0,752)
0,007(0,960)
Cross-border transactions 0,066(0,614)
0,137(0,356)
0,159(0,274)
0,360**(0,035)
Market capitalization German acquirer 0,006(0,969)
0,120(0,467)
0,187(0,209)
0,411**(0,011)
Same (3-digit) industry code of transaction partners
0,172(0,140)
0,186(0,196)
0,094(0,478)
0,106(0,482)
Number of industry codes target -0,165(0,128)
-0,155(0,270)
-0,154(0,240)
-0,079(0,593)
Business area of target in New Economy 0,265**(0,027)
0,326**(0,021)
0,246*(0,081)
0,371**(0,042)
Prior stake of German acquirer in target (> 5%) 0,089(0,437)
0,056(0,697)
0,143(0,254)
0,040(0,775)
Target with investment bank 0,058(0,665)
0,057(0,747)
0,120(0,425)
-0,054(0,804)
Target with high reputation investment bank -0,030(0,816)
-0,039(0,800)
0,167(0,261)
0,145(0,395)
Cash/asset ration target 0,115(0,285)
0,048(0,722)
-0,065(0,609)
-0,179(0,288)
Publicly listed target -0,154(0,175)
-0,214(0,161)
-0,411***(0,002)
-0,299*(0,092)
Transaction experience German acquirer -0,052(0,654)
-0,079(0,574)
-0,263*(0,069)
-0,280*(0,055)
German acquirer with major shareholder (>25% of the shares)
0,005(0,964)
-0,021(0,883)
0,229*(0,086)
0,258(0,141)
(N) 63 44 51 35
Intercept 0,107(0,763)
-0,073(0,919)
1,161*(0,055)
0,457(0,654)
R2 (Adj.) 0,436 0,439 0,437 0,583
F-value 4,196***(0,000)
3,100***(0,005)
3,588***(0,001)
3,972***(0,003)
Durbin-Watson-value 2,033 2,216 1,894 2,329Table 10 shows the coefficients of the OLS-regressions measuring the impact of various parameters on the transaction multiples. The corsponding p-values are shown in brackets. * = significant at the 10%-level, ** = significant at the 5%-level, *** = significant at the 1%-level.
Besides CARs and purchase prices, investment bank participation might be advantageous to
German acquirers if the M&A-advisors are able to influence the time to completion of a
transaction.18 A shorter time to completion reduces confusion surrounding a transaction (e.g.
uncertainty of staff, clients or suppliers) and therefore transaction costs (e.g. in the form of
18 It would be also interesting to investigate whether investment bank participation or reputation has an impact on the total duration of transaction execution. As public information on this period of time is not available, we cannot analyze this period.
15
lost customers or key staff). Table 11 shows the time to completion of the transactions in our
samples. The average time to completion in the IB-sample is 102 days, whereas it is 42 days
in the Non-IB-sample. The period between transaction announcement and completion for
German buyers with investment banks is more than twice as long as the corresponding period
in the Non-IB-sample.
Table 11: Time to completion
One important factor influencing time to completion is the transaction size: The average time
to completion increases with higher transaction volumes. Looking at different transaction size
sub-samples, we still find, that time to completion is significantly higher in the IB-sample.19
To control for other variables influencing time to completion, we ran multivariate OLS-
regressions. The results shown in table 12 do not support our previous findings.
Table 12: OLS-Regression analysis for the time to completion
Parameters Time to completion
model 1 model 2
German acquirer with investment bank 0,081(0,290)
German acquirer with high reputation investment bank 0,040(0,662)
19 Transaction volume between 25 and 99 Mio. EUR: MWU p-value < 0,000, transaction volume between 100 and 499 Mio. EUR: MWU p-value < 0,000, transaction volume greater than 500 Mio. EUR: MWU p-value = 0,088.
16
IB-Sample Non-IB-Sample
66 68
151
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
25-99 101-499 >500
Transaktionsvolumen in Mio. EUR
Tag
e
–
31
44
102
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
25-99 101-499 >500
Transaktionsvolumen in Mio. EUR
Tag
e
IB-Sample Non-IB-Sample
66 68
151
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
25-99 101-499 >500
Transaktionsvolumen in Mio. EUR
Tag
e
–
31
44
102
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
25-99 101-499 >500
Transaktionsvolumen in Mio. EUR
Tag
e
Number of investment banks of German acquirers 0,329***(0,002)
Acquisition of single assets 0,080(0,294)
0,057(0,582)
Transaction volume 0,159**(0,042)
0,109(0,313)
Relative transaction volume 0,097(0,157)
0,041(0,654)
Cross-border transactions -0,098(0,156)
-0,049(0,586)
Payment nor only in cash 0,142*(0,062)
0,119(0,229)
Market capitalization German acquirer 0,063(0,419)
-0,035(0,747)
Publicly listed target 0,074(0,361)
-0,115(0,308)
Same (3-digit) industry code of transaction partners 0,048(0,484)
0,017(0,852)
Number of industry codes target -0,035(0,618)
0,027(0,775)
Business area of target in New Economy -0,116(0,121)
-0,111(0,274)
Prior stake of German acquirer in target (> 5%) 0,098(0,159)
0,187**(0,043)
Target with investment bank 0,110(0,182)
0,125(0,208)
Target with high reputation investment bank -0,061(0,412)
-0,010(0,921)
Transaction experience German acquirer 0,126*(0,080)
0,148(0,114)
(N) 212 124
Intercept 4,109*(0,071)
-3,298(0,466)
R2 (Adj.) 0,117 0,161
F-value 2,856***(0,000)
2,480***(0,003)
Durbin-Watson-value 2,014 2,130Table 10 shows the coefficients of the OLS-regressions measuring the impact of various parameters on the time to completion. The corresponding p-values are shown in brackets. * = significant at the 10%-level, ** = significant at the 5%-level, *** = significant at the 1%-level.
After controlling for other variables, investment bank participation does not have a significant
impact on time to completion (table 12, model 1: German acquirer with investment bank: p-
value = 0,290, model 2: German acquirer with high reputation investment bank: p-value =
0,662). Positive impact we find regarding the transaction volume (model 1: p-value = 0,042),
the method of payment (payment not only cash, model 1: p-value = 0,062), prior stake of
German acquirer in target (model 2: p-value = 0,043) and regarding transaction experience of
German buyers (model 1: p-value = 0,080).
17
In contrast to investment banks participation or reputation, again the number of investment
banks involved does have a significant impact on the duration between transaction
announcement and completion. The corresponding beta-coefficient in table 12, model 2
(“number of investment banks of German acquirer“) equals 0,329 (p-value = 0,002).
We already showed that investment bank participation nor reputation does have an impact on
CARs, purchase prices or time to completion. But do German buyers benefit from investment
bank participation or reputation in the mid-term? Table 13 summarizes the results: The mid-
term acquisition performance of the analyzed buyers with and without investment banks do
not differ significantly. Also investment bank reputation has no impact (table 14).
Table 13: Mid-term acquisition performance of German buyers with and without investment
banks
IB-sample Non-IB-sampleSub-samples Aver-
ageMedian (N) Aver-
ageMedian (N) difference
medianst-test
p-val.MWU
p-value
125 trading days 4,62 -1,52 61 1,14 -9,41 53 7,89 0,371 0,328250 trading days 2,81 -8,04 61 -1,54 -11,58 53 3,54 0,367 0,472
Table 14: Mid-term acquisition performance of German buyers with investment banks with different reputation
IB with highreputation
IB with low Reputation
Sub-samples Aver-age
Median (N) Aver-age
Median (N) difference medians
t-test p-val.
MWU p-value
125 trading days -3,19 -11,88 15 7,56 0,00 46 -11,88 0,231 0,319250 trading days -10,36 -7,11 15 7,47 -7,53 46 0,42 0,135 0,433
4. Summary and conclusion
In this paper, we analyzed four research questions. We investigated whether investment bank
participation and/or reputation has an impact on (short-term) CARs of German buyers, on
purchase prices and on time to completion. Further we looked at the mid-term acquisition
performance of German acquirers. The results confirm the existing (US-focused) empirical
literature. Investment bank participation and/or reputation does not have a significant impact
18
on abnormal cumulative returns received by shareholders of German acquirers. The mid-term
acquisition performance of German acquirers is also not influenced by investment bank
participation nor reputation. Also transactions with (short-term) CARs do not show positive
mid-term acquisition performances more often if investment banks are involved. Similar
results we find regarding acquisition premiums and transaction multiples. While looking at
investment bank participation alone, we find that German acquirers pay higher acquisition
premiums and transaction multiples in transactions advised by investment banks. However
this results can not be confirmed taking into consideration other variables in the regression
analyzes. In contrast to investment bank participation we find, that other deal-characteristics,
like the transaction volume or the business focus of the target do have significant explanatory
power in explaining CARs and purchase prices. German buyers do not pay higher premiums
and multiples if they use investment banks, but if they proceed in bigger transactions or if
they acquire targets in business areas with (potentially) greater revenue potentials. In this
aspect, this study confirms the results obtained by Hunter and Walker (1990) or Servaes and
Zenner (1996) who can not find a significant relations-ship between investment bank
participation and acquisition premiums. In contrast to Michel et al. (1991), McLaughlin
(1992) or Rau (2000) we can not show, that German buyers advised by investment banks with
higher reputation pay higher acquisition premiums. German acquirers pay similar acquistion
premiums and transaction multiples independent from the reputation of the respective M&A-
advisors.
A different result we find regarding the number of investment banks involved. Shareholders
of German acquirers do benefit if its management mandates more than one investment bank.
This results confirms the results of Hunter and Jagtiani (2000). The number of investment
banks does not only influence CARs, but also the duration between transaction announcement
and completion. The shareholders of German acquirers benefit if its management uses more
than one M&A-advisor. At the same time they „suffer“ from longer time to completions.
A possible explanation for the positive impact of more than one investment banks could be
the combination of different product- and transaction-expertise of the various investment
banks involved that leads to better results. Also competition among the advisors for potential
add-on mandates could play an important factor. A reason for the increased time to
completion might be that the investment banks need more time to coordinate their advisory
services.
19
As the main results of this study we find that investment bank participation and reputation
does have a very limited impact on value creation in M&A-transactions of German acquirers.
In this aspect, the management of German acquirers can not rely on the investment banks
involved. Instead the ultimate responsibility for value creation in M&A-transactions rests with
the management.
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