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Metropolitan Transport Forum
Are Melbourne’s Growth Areas Sustainable?
Griff DavisGeneral Manager Advocacy and Communications
22 February 2012
REG IO NALCO NTEXT
ESSEN D O NAIRPO RT
M ELBO URNEAIRPO RT
M O O RABBIN(HARRY HA W KER)
AIRPO RTAVALO NAIRPO RT
P O IN T C O O KRA A F BA SE
C .B .D .
G EELO NG C .B.D.
C ITY O FW HITTLESEA
H U M E
N IL L U M B IK
B A N Y U L E
D A R E B IN
M O R E L A N D
REG IO NALCO NTEXT
ESSEN D O NAIRPO RT
M ELBO URNEAIRPO RT
M O O RABBIN(HARRY HA W KER)
AIRPO RTAVALO NAIRPO RT
P O IN T C O O KRA A F BA SE
C .B .D .
G EELO NG C .B.D.
C ITY O FW HITTLESEA
H U M E
N IL L U M B IK
B A N Y U L E
D A R E B IN
M O R E L A N D
An interface municipality - part urban/part rural• Area of 490 sq kms• Metropolitan Ring Road• Melbourne Airport – 17 minutes• Docks 27 minutesGrowth:• 2009/10 growth 173 residents/week (net) • 2010-15 anticipated growth 35,000 people• 2010 approx. 5,550 new lots created• 2010 4,700 building permits• Last 4 years 17,100 building permits• Existing suburbs as well as new suburbs• South Morang Rail Extension (SMRE)• Melbourne Wholesale Fruit & Vegetable MarketCurrent Population: 162,000• In raw numbers Whittlesea is currently the
second largest growing LGA in Victoria• Expected to grow to 295,000 persons
by 2031, with 90,000 persons within new UGB area
Context: Location and Growth
Indicators Growth Areas vs Metro
Growth rate 2.7% 1.5% ?Jobs to population 27% 43%
Education, health, 6% 9%comm services andrec facilities service index
Yr 12 quals 39% 48%
Higher quals 10% 19%
Unemployment 5% 4%
Detached houses 82% 65%
Housing stress 19% 17%
**Youth disengagement 19% 15%**Source: SGS Economics and Planning for NGAA Cost Benefit Analysis of Investment in Growth Areas Nov 2009
• Narrow and vulnerable employment base• Lower education reduced opportunities • Escalated need for early intervention services (14%
growth since 2009, 20% growth anticipated over next two years)
• 45% increase in HACC services between 2005 and
• Community transport has a two year waiting list 2009
• Dental services – 2 years
• Respite services - coming
Concentration of DHS funded
*Community Service Organisations
*Excludes kindergartens
Oil and mortgage vulnerability in Melbourne, 2001.
'Unsettling Suburbia: The New Landscape of Oil and Mortgage Vulnerability in Australian Cities‘(Griffith University Urban Research Program )
Oil and mortgage vulnerability in
Melbourne, 2006.
Transport in the City of Whittlesea
•Public transport deficiencies in new residential developments fosters isolation and inhibits a sense of community connectedness.•Rapid population growth is overtaxing the area’s road and transport links. •Residents across the municipality are heavily car dependent.•Households spend a disproportionate amount of money operating cars to access schools, jobs, shopping, medical appointments etc.
H e a v y R a i l
In t e r c h a n g e
F r e e w a y s
M a in R o a d s
L ig h t R a i l
URBANGROW TH
AREASReservoir
YanYean
Reservoir
Tree
MILLPARK
EPPING
KANGAROO GROUND
RESEARCH
NUTFIELD
ARTHURS CREEK
WHITTLESEA
CRAIGIEBURN
DONNYBROOK
KALKALLO
W OODSTOCK
HUMEVALE
W OLLERT
SOMERTON
CAMPBELLFIELD
YARRAMBAT
DIAMONDCREEK
GREENSBOROUGH
ELTHAM
BUNDOORA
RESERVOIR
THOMASTOW N
WATTLEGLEN
HURSTBRIDGE
YANYEAN
E x is t in g U r b a n A r e a s
H e a v y R a i l
In t e r c h a n g e
F r e e w a y s
M a in R o a d s
L ig h t R a i l
URBANGROW TH
AREASReservoir
YanYean
Reservoir
Tree
MILLPARK
EPPING
KANGAROO GROUND
RESEARCH
NUTFIELD
ARTHURS CREEK
WHITTLESEA
CRAIGIEBURN
DONNYBROOK
KALKALLO
W OODSTOCK
HUMEVALE
W OLLERT
SOMERTON
CAMPBELLFIELD
YARRAMBAT
DIAMONDCREEK
GREENSBOROUGH
ELTHAM
BUNDOORA
RESERVOIR
THOMASTOW N
WATTLEGLEN
HURSTBRIDGE
YANYEAN
M a jo r A c t iv i t y C e n t r e s
E m p lo y m e n t
R e s id e n t ia l
G r o w t h A r e a s :
SOUTHMORANG
EMPLOYMENTAREA
YanYean
Reservoir
Tree
SOUTHMORANG
DOREENMERNDA
YanYean
Reservoir
Tree
YanYean
Reservoir
Tree
COOPERSTREET
EMPLOYMENTAREA
YanYean
Reservoir
Tree
EPPINGNORTH
YanYean
Reservoir
Tree
F in d o n R o a d U p g r a d e
R o a d P r o je c ts :
P le n t y R o a d U p g r a d e
E p p in g R o a d U p g r a d e
E d g a r s R o a d E x t e n s io n
B r id g e In n R o a d U p g r a d e
C r a ig ie b u r n B y p a s s
E 6 A r t e r ia l
H e a v y R a i l R e s e r v e /T r a n s p o r t C o r r id o r
F u t u r e T r a n s i t :
L ig h t R a i l E x t e n s io n
Vic Urban - Aurora10,000 lots approx.
A V Jennings - Lyndarum1400 lots approx.
Miracle Investments - Horizons 3076200 lots approx.
Hayston Valley Pty Ltd - Hayston Valley375 lots approx.
Australand - Legends Hill105 lots approx.
Miracle Investments - Bluestone Views200 lots approx.
Epping North East LSP5,000 lots approx.Incl. Investa (Eucalypt)Evolve (Summerhill), AVJ (Lyndarum 2), and Villawood
Epping North Growth Area
20,000 lots total
Joint responsibility of all levels of Government to define appropriate directions and to provide certainty in tangible ways
LG has varying capacity to define appropriate directions and to provide certainty but does not have the capacity to deal with the broader structural issues in isolation
Growth areas must be viewed within a broader metropolitan contextGrowth areas can no longer be viewed as single purpose housing destinations
Work towards a fully resolved growth areas frameworkAll growth areas have common servicing requirements at a structural level
• Application of traditional neighbourhood design philosophy for growth areas
Promote a sense of community and place via creation of neighbourhoods as the fundamental building block
Certainty of partnership with State A successful growth area is a triple bottom line positive effect for the State
Attributes of Growth Area Planning
New Facilities included in 15 Year New Works Program
Facility Type Numberof
Facilities
2010/11to
2014/15
2015/16to
2019/2020
2020/21to
2024/25
Community Activity Centres (CAC) 12 9 3 0
Pavilions 18 10 8 0
Football/Soccer Ovals 20 13 7 0
Tennis Courts 6 4 1 0
Aquatic/Leisure Centres 2 0 2 0
Libraries 2 0 2 0
Primary Schools 25-30 20?
Secondary Schools 5-10 4?
Hospitals 1
Council’s Financial Planning
Accumulated Deficit for the Next 15 Years
$30.5
$66.9
$139.1
$171.5
$111.8
$47.4
$176.5
North Growth Corridor
$0.0
$50.0
$100.0
$150.0
$200.0
20
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Mill
ion
s
The Victorian Government develop infrastructure provision plans as the next step below its Growth Corridor Plans addressing both local and regional service delivery requirements and funding.
In collaboration with the Federal Government develop an Infrastructure Fund involving among other mechanisms infrastructure bonds.
Recommendations
Transport – the Key to Liveability
There is a strong link between transport disadvantage, social exclusion and well being..........
especially in the Interface Councils.
The Australian Research Council Project on Transport Disadvantage,
Social Exclusion and Well Being – Policy implications for the Interface Councils of Melbourne
(Stanley, Currie & Delbosc, November 2010)