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Meteorologisk Institutt met.no Ocean Surface Warming by Polar lows - Observational Evidence from Microwave Data Øyvind Saetra, Torsten Linders and Steinar Eastwood Norwegian Meteorological Institute

Meteorologisk Institutt met.no Ocean Surface Warming by Polar lows - Observational Evidence from Microwave Data Øyvind Saetra, Torsten Linders and Steinar

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Page 1: Meteorologisk Institutt met.no Ocean Surface Warming by Polar lows - Observational Evidence from Microwave Data Øyvind Saetra, Torsten Linders and Steinar

Meteorologisk Institutt met.no

Ocean Surface Warming by Polar lows- Observational Evidence from Microwave DataØyvind Saetra, Torsten Linders and Steinar EastwoodNorwegian Meteorological Institute

Page 2: Meteorologisk Institutt met.no Ocean Surface Warming by Polar lows - Observational Evidence from Microwave Data Øyvind Saetra, Torsten Linders and Steinar

Meteorologisk Institutt met.no

Background

• Tropical hurricanes induces intense vertical mixing in the ocean that leads to entrainment of cold subsurface water to the surface and hamper hurricane intensification

• Over loop-currents in the Gulf of Mexico, deep war cores of warm waters prevent this surface cooling and hurricane intensification is often observed

• Is there any corresponding effects for polar lows?

Page 3: Meteorologisk Institutt met.no Ocean Surface Warming by Polar lows - Observational Evidence from Microwave Data Øyvind Saetra, Torsten Linders and Steinar

Meteorologisk Institutt met.no

The Nordic Seas

• Hydrography of the Nordic Seas is very different from the Tropical oceans– Density is mainly determined by salinity– Temperatures may increase with depth without

compromising stability

• Warm saline water transport by The North-Atlantic Current (NAC)

• At high latitudes, the NAC sub-ducts under colder and less saline waters and results in the frequently observed temperature inversions

Page 4: Meteorologisk Institutt met.no Ocean Surface Warming by Polar lows - Observational Evidence from Microwave Data Øyvind Saetra, Torsten Linders and Steinar

Meteorologisk Institutt met.no

How may this interact with polar lows?

• Can surface entrainment of this water mass be induced by strong winds from polar lows?

• If so, is this a possible positive feedback mechanism for polar lows?

• And also, can this be a mechanism for ocean cooling subsequently strengthening of the thermohaline circulation?

Page 5: Meteorologisk Institutt met.no Ocean Surface Warming by Polar lows - Observational Evidence from Microwave Data Øyvind Saetra, Torsten Linders and Steinar

Meteorologisk Institutt met.no

Hydrographic data from IMR

Highest frequency of polar lows

Page 6: Meteorologisk Institutt met.no Ocean Surface Warming by Polar lows - Observational Evidence from Microwave Data Øyvind Saetra, Torsten Linders and Steinar

Meteorologisk Institutt met.no

Temperature inversion (Gimsøy section)

CoastContinental shelfDeep Sea

Page 7: Meteorologisk Institutt met.no Ocean Surface Warming by Polar lows - Observational Evidence from Microwave Data Øyvind Saetra, Torsten Linders and Steinar

Meteorologisk Institutt met.no

Vertical temperature profile

Page 8: Meteorologisk Institutt met.no Ocean Surface Warming by Polar lows - Observational Evidence from Microwave Data Øyvind Saetra, Torsten Linders and Steinar

Meteorologisk Institutt met.no

SST response

Page 9: Meteorologisk Institutt met.no Ocean Surface Warming by Polar lows - Observational Evidence from Microwave Data Øyvind Saetra, Torsten Linders and Steinar

Meteorologisk Institutt met.no

Heat and moist fluxes

Page 10: Meteorologisk Institutt met.no Ocean Surface Warming by Polar lows - Observational Evidence from Microwave Data Øyvind Saetra, Torsten Linders and Steinar

Meteorologisk Institutt met.no

Observational evidence of surface warming

• Polar low observation in the Norwegian Sea 18 December 2004 from NOAA satellite images

• Strong signal of surface warming observed in microwave satellite data in areas affected by the polar low

Page 11: Meteorologisk Institutt met.no Ocean Surface Warming by Polar lows - Observational Evidence from Microwave Data Øyvind Saetra, Torsten Linders and Steinar

Meteorologisk Institutt met.no

Satellite data from REMSS

Page 12: Meteorologisk Institutt met.no Ocean Surface Warming by Polar lows - Observational Evidence from Microwave Data Øyvind Saetra, Torsten Linders and Steinar

Meteorologisk Institutt met.no

SST 17/12 2004

Page 13: Meteorologisk Institutt met.no Ocean Surface Warming by Polar lows - Observational Evidence from Microwave Data Øyvind Saetra, Torsten Linders and Steinar

Meteorologisk Institutt met.no

SST 18/12 2004

Page 14: Meteorologisk Institutt met.no Ocean Surface Warming by Polar lows - Observational Evidence from Microwave Data Øyvind Saetra, Torsten Linders and Steinar

Meteorologisk Institutt met.no

Difference in SST between 17 and 18 December 2004 (interval is 0.25 deg)

Page 15: Meteorologisk Institutt met.no Ocean Surface Warming by Polar lows - Observational Evidence from Microwave Data Øyvind Saetra, Torsten Linders and Steinar

Meteorologisk Institutt met.no

17/12

18/12

19/12 20/12

21/1228/12

Page 16: Meteorologisk Institutt met.no Ocean Surface Warming by Polar lows - Observational Evidence from Microwave Data Øyvind Saetra, Torsten Linders and Steinar

Meteorologisk Institutt met.no

Daily averages based on the satellite swathsOnly highest confidence level data

16/12 2004 18/12 2004

Page 17: Meteorologisk Institutt met.no Ocean Surface Warming by Polar lows - Observational Evidence from Microwave Data Øyvind Saetra, Torsten Linders and Steinar

Meteorologisk Institutt met.no

19/12 2004

Page 18: Meteorologisk Institutt met.no Ocean Surface Warming by Polar lows - Observational Evidence from Microwave Data Øyvind Saetra, Torsten Linders and Steinar

Meteorologisk Institutt met.no

Microwave data compared with buoy observations

• Two buoys deployed in the Barents Sea in March 2007

• The buoys record the water temperature at 3 meter depth

• Daily averages from the buoys have been compared with the SST from optimally SST product from Remote Sensing Systems over the period 15/3-15/11 2007

Page 19: Meteorologisk Institutt met.no Ocean Surface Warming by Polar lows - Observational Evidence from Microwave Data Øyvind Saetra, Torsten Linders and Steinar

Meteorologisk Institutt met.no

Buoy locations

Page 20: Meteorologisk Institutt met.no Ocean Surface Warming by Polar lows - Observational Evidence from Microwave Data Øyvind Saetra, Torsten Linders and Steinar

Meteorologisk Institutt met.no

Page 21: Meteorologisk Institutt met.no Ocean Surface Warming by Polar lows - Observational Evidence from Microwave Data Øyvind Saetra, Torsten Linders and Steinar

Meteorologisk Institutt met.no

Error statistics

St1

St2

RMS (K)

0.57 0.49

BIAS (K)

-0.29 -0.17

STD (K)

0.49 0.46

Page 22: Meteorologisk Institutt met.no Ocean Surface Warming by Polar lows - Observational Evidence from Microwave Data Øyvind Saetra, Torsten Linders and Steinar

Meteorologisk Institutt met.no

Summary

• surface warming observed by satellite is consistent with the hypothesis: vertical mixing induced by strong winds– No warming observed in area outside the North Atlantic

current– Strongest signal on the maximum wind side

• Signal is present the satellite data for almost a week• Satellite data show more small scale temporal

variations than the buoy data – this may however, be caused by the fact that the buoys observe the 3 metre temperature