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META-TRENDS & MINDSETS Peter H. Diamandis, MD The Future Is Faster Than You Think How Converging Technologies Are Transforming Business, Industries & Our Lives

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Page 1: META-TRENDS & MINDSETS › resources › assets › ... · 2020-02-24 · 22% DECLINE IN CHILD MORTALITY (under age 5) Source: United Nations, Our World In Data 6.99 Million 5.42

META-TRENDS & MINDSETS

Peter H. Diamandis, MD

The Future Is Faster Than You ThinkHow Converging Technologies Are

Transforming Business, Industries & Our Lives

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We are living during the most extraordinary time in

human history

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“People have no idea how fast things are changing.”

- Undisclosed Silicon Valley CEO

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Local + Linear

Human development over 150,000+ years…

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GLOBAL + EXPONENTIAL

Human development over 150,000+ years…

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Disruptive Stress orOpportunity

Exponential TrendLinear Trend

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CONVERGENCE

Faster,Cheaper,

ComputingPower

Sensors NetworksArtificial IntelligenceRobotics3D PrintingVR & ARSynthetic BiologyBlockchain

Converging Into:

New Business

Models &

Ecosystems

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MINDSETS:

• Exponential Mindset

• Purpose-Driven (“Solution”) Mindset

• Longevity Mindset

• Abundance Mindset

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IS THE WORLD GETTING BETTER

OR WORSE?

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“ABUNDANCE MINDSET”

A DECADE OF ABUNDANCE2010 - 2020

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Source: World Bank, Our World In Data

Percentage of population in extreme poverty

15.7% (2010)

8.6% (2018)

EXTREME POVERTYSINCE 2010, WE CUT GLOBAL EXTREME POVERTY IN HALF

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CHILD MORTALITY22% DECLINE IN CHILD MORTALITY (under age 5)

Source: United Nations, Our World In Data

6.99 Million 5.42

Million

12 million

10 million

8 million

6 million

4 million

2 million

01990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2017

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Annual Rate Of People Dying Due To A Famine Globally, Per Decade (Per 100,000 People)

Source: Our World In Data

FAMINE9X LESS PEOPLE DIED FROM FAMINE

2000’s: 4.3 deaths/100K

2016 : 0.5 deaths/100K

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GLOBAL LIFE EXPECTANCY: MANKIND GAINED 2.7 YEARS FROM 2010-2019

Source: Our World In Data

69.9 years (2010)

72.6 years (2019)Average Global Life Expectancy

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FOR THE FIRST TIME, MORE THAN 50% OF THE WORLD IS USING THE INTERNET (DEC. 2018)

Percentage Of The Global Population Using The Internet

Source: The World Bank

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700 MILLION MORE PEOPLE HAVE ACCESS TO ELECTRICITY

Source: The World Bank, Our World In Data

6.5 B (2016)

5.79 B(2010)

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RENEWABLE ENERGY10X SOLAR ENERGY CAPACITY

565 Gigawatts(2018)

40 Gigawatts (2010)

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WORLD GDP 33% HIGHER OVER LAST DECADE

Nominal World GDP

Source: The World Bank

$66 Trillion (2010)

$88 Trillion (2019)

Trill

ions

USD

(201

0)

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2X INCREASE IN INTERNATIONAL FINANCING FOR RENEWABLE ENERGY IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES

$18.6B(2018)

$9.9B (2010)

Source: United Nations Stats

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30X MORE BATTERY ELECTRIC VEHICLES ON THE ROAD

Source: Statista, IEA.org

3.2 million(2018)

113,000 (2012)

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MOST VALUABLE COMPANIES ON EARTH BETWEEN 2010 – 2020 / TECH > OIL

Source: Ranking The World, YouTube

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Questions?

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Exponential Mindset

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100 Years Ago…. 1920

(4 Innovations)

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The first commercial radio station (KDKA) begins operation in Pittsburgh.(Broadcasts results of the Harding-Cox presidential election.)

1920 – 1st Commercial Radio Station

1

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1920 – The Handheld Hair Dryer

2

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1920 – The Band-Aid

3

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1920 – The Three-Lens Traffic Light

4

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PROOF WE’RE IN 2020My Favorite Top 20 Tech Stories in 2019

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Health & Biotech

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Doctors treated an 8 year old girl with a deadly brain disease (Batten) with a drug designed, tested, and approved just for her in <1 year.

N of 1 MEDICINE: PERSONALIZED/FAST DRUGSequenceà In Vitroà Animalà Antisense Oligonucleotide Therapy

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FIRST U.S. PATIENT WITH A GENETIC DISORDER (SICKLE CELL ANEMIA) TREATED WITH CRISPR

CRISPR gene editing corrects a single nucleotide mutation.

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PRIME EDITING: A NEW DNA EDITING TOOL WITH THE POTENTIAL TO CORRECT 89% OF GENETIC DEFECTS

"You can think of prime editors to be like word processors, capable of searching for target DNA sequences and precisely replacing them….”

- Dr David Liu, Broad, MIT

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3D PRINTING

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LOW-COST & FUNCTIONAL

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LARGE & LOW-COST & FUNCTIONAL

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LARGE & COMPLEX & REVOLUTIONARY

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ROBOTICS & TRANSPORT

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FLYING CARS MAKE MAJOR PROGRESS

JOBY RAISES $590M (TOYOTA) - AIRTAXI SERVICE

EHang GOES PUBLIC ON NASDAQ FOR $700M UBER & HYUNDAI DEBUT NEW DESIGN AT CES

Every Major Aviation Manufacturer

> 100 Startups> $1 Billion per year

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AUTONOMOUS CARS MAKE MAJOR PROGRESS

WAYMO: Driven >10 million miles in the real world >10 billion miles in simulation

WAYMO TESLA

TESLA: ~ 2 Billion actual miles driven using autopilot

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STARSHIP TESTS THOUSANDS OF AUTONOMOUS DELIVERY ROBOTS ON COLLEGE CAMPUSES

• Each on-demand delivery costs only $2.00• 100+ Universities to be added within 24 months

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BOSTON DYNAMICS’ ATLAS ROBOT (2019)

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ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE

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“There will be two kinds of companies at the end of this decade….

…those who are using AI.…and those who are out of business.”

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MY THOUGHTS….

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“Those who rule data will rule the entire world.”

“Artificial intelligence, deep learning, machine learning, whatever you’re doing if you don’t

understand it learn it. Because otherwise you’re going to be a dinosaur within three years.” - Mark Cuban

- Masayoshi Son, Softbank

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“Artificial intelligence could have more profound implications for

humanity than electricity or fire.”- Sundar Pichai, CEO, Alphabet

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“Companies have to race tobuild AI or they will be made uncompetitive. Essentially, if your competitor is racing to

build AI, they will crush you.”

- Elon Musk© 2020 Singularity Education Group. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.

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AI-driven companies will take $1.2 trillion from competitors by 2020.

Forrester Predictions:Artificial Intelligence Will Drive The Insights Revolution

POTENTIAL OF AI

2020

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POTENTIAL OF AI

2020 2021

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AI-driven companies will take $1.2 trillion from competitors by 2020.

Forrester Predictions:Artificial Intelligence Will Drive The Insights Revolution

AI will generate $2.9 trillion in business value and recover 6.2 billion hours of

worker productivity by 2021.- Gartner Predictions (Forbes)

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POTENTIAL OF AI

2020 2021

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2030

AI will generate $2.9 trillion in business value and recover 6.2 billion hours of

worker productivity by 2021.- Gartner Predictions (Forbes)

By 2030, the potential contribution to the economy from Artificial Intelligence will be

$15.7 trillion, and global GDP could increase by 14% as a result of AI.

- PwC Global Estimates

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DEEPMIND: ALPHA ZERO MASTERS ALL

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“WHO, NOT HOW”

“When faced with a business problem,

don’t figure out HOW to solve it;

determine WHO is best equipped to do so.”

- Dan Sullivan, Strategic Coach

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SaaS & AI is your new WHO.

“Systematize the predictable, so you can humanize the exceptional!”

– Four Seasons Hotel

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“WHO, NOT HOW”

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GLOBAL COMMUNICATIONS

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5G BEGINS DEPLOYMENT GLOBALLY

The U.S., U.K., China, South Korea, Germany, were among the first to roll out blazing fast 5g networks.

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SPACEX LAUNCHED 3RD BATCH OF STARLINK INTERNET SATELLITES (240 IN TOTAL TO DATE)

SpaceX plans to launch 20+ Starlink missions in 2020 as the company builds out a broadband mega-constellation of up to 42,000 satellite.

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ONEWEB LAUNCHED THEIR SECOND GROUP OF SATELLITES: 12 OF 648 PLANNED SATELLITES

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BRAIN-COMPUTER INTERFACE

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PARALYZED MAN WALKS IN MIND-READING EXOSKELETON

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RESEARCHERS DESIGNED ‘RICE-SIZED’ BRAIN IMPLANTS THAT CAN COMMUNICATE WITH EACH OTHER AT 10 MBPS

“neurograins”

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NEURALINK BUILDING BROADBAND BRAIN TO COMPUTER INTERFACE – IN PRIMATES NOW/HUMANS NEXT YEAR.10 Chips to provide about 2 Gbps connection

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GOOGLE CONFIRMS ‘QUANTUM SUPREMACY’ BREAKTHROUGH WITH SYCAMORE PROCESSOR

Google says that its 54-qubit Sycamore processor was able to perform a calculation in 200 seconds that would have taken the

world’s most powerful supercomputer 10,000 years.

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Questions?

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“PURPOSE DRIVEN MINDSET”

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“To inspire and guideentrepreneurs to create a hopeful, compelling and

abundant future for humanity.”What’s Yours?

MY MTP

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• $10 million purse

• Privately funded teams

• 3 person crew

• 100 km altitude

• Two flights within 2 weeks

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ARCA Space Transport

Pablo DeLeonStarChaser Scaled Composites

DaVinci Project Canadian Arrow Rocketplane

Armadillo Aerospace

WINNING THE $10M ANSARI XPRIZE• 26 Teams• From 7 Nations• Spending > $100 million

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History Was Made

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ELON MUSKCEO, Tesla & SpaceX

RAY KURZWEILInventor & Futurist

JIM GIANOPULOSCEO, PARAMOUNT

Jim Gianopulos

WENDY SCHMIDTSchmidt Family Fndtn

Wendy Schmidt

DEAN KAMEN, CEO, DEKA Research

LARRY PAGE,CEO, Google

Dr. ANOUSHEH ANSARIAstronaut & CEO

ARIANNA HUFFINGTONThrive Global

RATAN TATAChairman, Tata Group

JAMES CAMERONFilmmaker/Explorer

Jim Cameron

BOARD OF TRUSTEES & BENEFACTORS

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PRIZE SUMMARY

UNDER DEVELOPMENT>$200M+

AWARDED & ACTIVE~$200M

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• $15 Million Purse (Elon Musk + Tony Robbins)• Teach reading, writing & math in 15 months. • 700+ teams entered• 2500 Children in Tanzania• $300 Million spent to win the $15M Purse• 1 Hour of Tablet Use = Full-time school

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© 2018 PHD Ventures, Inc. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.2018 TED Luncheon

• $7 Million Purse• Map 250 Sq. Km of Ocean Floor.• In 24 hrs @ 4,000 meters depth• Launch from shore or air• 32 teams• Winner reduced ocean-mapping time 30x

Sponsor: SHELL ($6 million) & NOAA ($1 million)

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© 2018 PHD Ventures, Inc. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.Sponsor: TATA GROUP & AUSTRALIAN AID

• $1.5 Million Purse • Extract 2,000 liters of water per day

from the atmosphere• Using 100% renewable energy• Cost <2 cents per liter• Awarded October 2018

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• $10 Million Prize Purse• Transmit your Senses & action to

a Robotic Avatar.• Disaster relief, health assistance• 100+ Teams from 15 countries

Sponsor: ALL NIPPON AIRWAYS (ANA)

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Rainforest$10M“Rapidly and accurately survey the greatest biodiversity of a rainforest in 24 hours.”

Objective: A Rainforest is worth more standing than being cut down.

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New XPRIZEsUnder Development

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Feeding The Next Billion

A new source of protein for the growing middle class

$30M prize producing beef, chicken & fish from “Cellular Agriculture” that is cheaper, healthier and tastes better.

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CORAL RESTORATION

99% of coral reefs could be gone by 2050.

$10M prize for scaling the replanting or reseeding of coral reefs.

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Carbon RemovalRemove 10 gigatons of CO2

Per Year by 2050.

A $100M Purse.

Objective: Demonstrate the lowest cost, most scalable CO2 removal solution

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WildfireWildfires kill 340,000 people a year globally, cost the US $350 billion.

Winning Team Will: A US$10M prize for the Team that can Autonomously detect and suppress a wildfire anywhere in a 256,000 acre grid within 10 minutes of detection.”

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Questions?

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“LONGEVITY MINDSET”

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“Making 100 Years old, the new 60”

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• Advanced Diagnostics (HLI)• Stem Cells (Celularity & Fountain)• NAD+ (Harvard University)• Senolytic Medicines (Unity Bio)• wnt Pathway (Samumed)• New Organs (UnitedTherapeutics)• mRNA (Moderna)• Vaccines (United Neurosciences)• GDF-11 (Elevian)• CrispR/Gene Therapy (Editas)• wnt Pathway (Samumed)

“Making 100 Years old, the new 60”

FOUNTAIN LIFE

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Millions/Integrated Health Records

Machine Learning/Data Mining

Human Genome

Full-body MRIMicrobiome Metabolomics

Phenotype Data

HEALTH NUCLEUS/HUMAN LONGEVITY (HLI)

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PNAS paper: 2020

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POWERED BY

1.7% Confirmed Cancer

2.5% Body or brain aneurysms

7.0% Moderate/Severe cardiovascular risk (calcium score >300)

16% Aberrant cardiac structure/function

29% Elevated liver fat (fatty liver disease)

86% Genetic carriers of diseases. (17% that affect their health.)

POWERED BY

Actionable Results from 1,200 “healthy” Clients

[email protected] (20% discount)

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CFU

-F/1

06 M

NC

s

350

300

250

200

150

100

50

00 10 20 30 40 50 60 70

R2 = 0.51

Drs. Hariri & Caplan showed: Number of stem cells in our body diminish 100x –1000x; The stem cells undergo epigenetic changes and loose their effectiveness.

Stem Cell Exhaustion

Loss of Stem Cell Quantity and Quality with Age

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In the U.S., there are 1M+ people living with end stage organ diseases in need of new hearts, kidneys, lungs, etc.

UNITED THERAPUTICS 3D PRINTS LUNGS

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SAMUMED REACHED $12 BILLION VALUATION TARGETS AGING VIA THE WNT PATHWAY

Preclinical à Phase-1 à Phase-2 à Phase-3

Solid Tumor/Oncology Phase 1 TrialAlzheimer’s Disease Phase 1 TrialDegenerative Disc Disease Phase 1 TrialTendinopathy Phase 2 TrialIdiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis Phase 2 TrialOsteoarthritis Treatment Phase 3 TrialHair Loss (Alopecia) Phase 3 Trial

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ELEVIAN: GDF11 (Harvard/Parabiosys)

“We have identified the key Protein in ’young blood’ called GDF11, that rejuvenates old mice.” - Mark Allen, PhD

BLOOD BOY… Silicon Valley

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Dr. DAVID SINCLAIR: INFO THEORY OF AGING

Dr. David Sinclair, reveals a bold new theory for why we age: “The Information Theory of Aging”.

“Aging is a disease, and that disease is treatable.”

- David Sinclair, PhD

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“Fountain Life is the most premium, trusted, longevity platform, blending data and cutting-edge science with

spa-like service to extend your healthspan.”

Booth in Sage Room

FOUNTAIN LIFE

• Fiduciary for your Health• APP: Data Driven (Wearables/Blood Tests)• Annual Membership• Placental derived Stem Cells• Exosomes• RELIEF Therapy• Consultation on Sleep, Exercise, Diet

“A LIFE-LONG, LONG-LIFE Membership”

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2019 PHD Ventures A360 LLC. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.© 2020 Singularity Education Group. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.

Trip #1: Aug. 19 - 23, 2020 Trip #2: Sept. 16 – 20, 2020

LONGEVITY ADVENTURE TRIP

5-Star Service (includes):• Private Jet Service• 5-Star Hotels• Michelin-star Chefs• Spa Treatments• Longevity Consultation• Top Longevity experts join you

as your personal guide• Peter’s personal engagement

5-day Deep Dive in The Bay Area & San Diego (24 Participants)

• Top Labs & Institutes: Stanford, Berkeley, Buck, UCSD, Scripps and many others.

• Top Startups & Companies: Cutting edge start-ups & leading companies delivering therapies.

• Personalized Experience/Treatments: Access to therapies & personalized consultations.

[email protected]

“Meet the top scientists & entrepreneurs driving the longevity revolution.”

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“A negative mind will never give you a positive life.”

Final Abundance Thought…

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“ The World’s Biggest Problems are the World’s Biggest Opportunities.”

Final Abundance Thought…

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We are living during the most amazing time

ever to be alive… DON’T BLINK!

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www.abundance360.comwww.SingularityU.orgwww.xprize.org

For a copy of these slides, email:

[email protected]