Upload
others
View
0
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
META-TRENDS & MINDSETS
Peter H. Diamandis, MD
The Future Is Faster Than You ThinkHow Converging Technologies Are
Transforming Business, Industries & Our Lives
We are living during the most extraordinary time in
human history
“People have no idea how fast things are changing.”
- Undisclosed Silicon Valley CEO
©2018 PHD Ventures, Inc. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
Local + Linear
Human development over 150,000+ years…
©2018 PHD Ventures, Inc. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
GLOBAL + EXPONENTIAL
Human development over 150,000+ years…
©2018 PHD Ventures, Inc. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
Disruptive Stress orOpportunity
Exponential TrendLinear Trend
CONVERGENCE
Faster,Cheaper,
ComputingPower
Sensors NetworksArtificial IntelligenceRobotics3D PrintingVR & ARSynthetic BiologyBlockchain
Converging Into:
New Business
Models &
Ecosystems
MINDSETS:
• Exponential Mindset
• Purpose-Driven (“Solution”) Mindset
• Longevity Mindset
• Abundance Mindset
IS THE WORLD GETTING BETTER
OR WORSE?
©2018 PHD Ventures, Inc. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
“ABUNDANCE MINDSET”
A DECADE OF ABUNDANCE2010 - 2020
2020 Singularity Education Group. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
Source: World Bank, Our World In Data
Percentage of population in extreme poverty
15.7% (2010)
8.6% (2018)
EXTREME POVERTYSINCE 2010, WE CUT GLOBAL EXTREME POVERTY IN HALF
2020 Singularity Education Group. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
CHILD MORTALITY22% DECLINE IN CHILD MORTALITY (under age 5)
Source: United Nations, Our World In Data
6.99 Million 5.42
Million
12 million
10 million
8 million
6 million
4 million
2 million
01990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2017
2020 Singularity Education Group. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
Annual Rate Of People Dying Due To A Famine Globally, Per Decade (Per 100,000 People)
Source: Our World In Data
FAMINE9X LESS PEOPLE DIED FROM FAMINE
2000’s: 4.3 deaths/100K
2016 : 0.5 deaths/100K
2020 Singularity Education Group. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
GLOBAL LIFE EXPECTANCY: MANKIND GAINED 2.7 YEARS FROM 2010-2019
Source: Our World In Data
69.9 years (2010)
72.6 years (2019)Average Global Life Expectancy
2020 Singularity Education Group. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
FOR THE FIRST TIME, MORE THAN 50% OF THE WORLD IS USING THE INTERNET (DEC. 2018)
Percentage Of The Global Population Using The Internet
Source: The World Bank
2020 Singularity Education Group. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
700 MILLION MORE PEOPLE HAVE ACCESS TO ELECTRICITY
Source: The World Bank, Our World In Data
6.5 B (2016)
5.79 B(2010)
2020 Singularity Education Group. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
RENEWABLE ENERGY10X SOLAR ENERGY CAPACITY
565 Gigawatts(2018)
40 Gigawatts (2010)
2020 Singularity Education Group. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
WORLD GDP 33% HIGHER OVER LAST DECADE
Nominal World GDP
Source: The World Bank
$66 Trillion (2010)
$88 Trillion (2019)
Trill
ions
USD
(201
0)
2020 Singularity Education Group. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
2X INCREASE IN INTERNATIONAL FINANCING FOR RENEWABLE ENERGY IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
$18.6B(2018)
$9.9B (2010)
Source: United Nations Stats
2020 Singularity Education Group. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
30X MORE BATTERY ELECTRIC VEHICLES ON THE ROAD
Source: Statista, IEA.org
3.2 million(2018)
113,000 (2012)
2020 Singularity Education Group. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
MOST VALUABLE COMPANIES ON EARTH BETWEEN 2010 – 2020 / TECH > OIL
Source: Ranking The World, YouTube
©2018 PHD Ventures, Inc. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
Questions?
©2018 PHD Ventures, Inc. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
Exponential Mindset
2020 Singularity Education Group. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
100 Years Ago…. 1920
(4 Innovations)
2020 Singularity Education Group. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
The first commercial radio station (KDKA) begins operation in Pittsburgh.(Broadcasts results of the Harding-Cox presidential election.)
1920 – 1st Commercial Radio Station
1
2020 Singularity Education Group. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
1920 – The Handheld Hair Dryer
2
2020 Singularity Education Group. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
1920 – The Band-Aid
3
2020 Singularity Education Group. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
1920 – The Three-Lens Traffic Light
4
2020 Singularity Education Group. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
PROOF WE’RE IN 2020My Favorite Top 20 Tech Stories in 2019
2020 Singularity Education Group. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
Health & Biotech
2020 Singularity Education Group. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
Doctors treated an 8 year old girl with a deadly brain disease (Batten) with a drug designed, tested, and approved just for her in <1 year.
N of 1 MEDICINE: PERSONALIZED/FAST DRUGSequenceà In Vitroà Animalà Antisense Oligonucleotide Therapy
2020 Singularity Education Group. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
FIRST U.S. PATIENT WITH A GENETIC DISORDER (SICKLE CELL ANEMIA) TREATED WITH CRISPR
CRISPR gene editing corrects a single nucleotide mutation.
2020 Singularity Education Group. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
PRIME EDITING: A NEW DNA EDITING TOOL WITH THE POTENTIAL TO CORRECT 89% OF GENETIC DEFECTS
"You can think of prime editors to be like word processors, capable of searching for target DNA sequences and precisely replacing them….”
- Dr David Liu, Broad, MIT
2020 Singularity Education Group. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
3D PRINTING
2020 Singularity Education Group. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
LOW-COST & FUNCTIONAL
2020 Singularity Education Group. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
LARGE & LOW-COST & FUNCTIONAL
2020 Singularity Education Group. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
LARGE & COMPLEX & REVOLUTIONARY
2020 Singularity Education Group. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
ROBOTICS & TRANSPORT
2020 Singularity Education Group. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
FLYING CARS MAKE MAJOR PROGRESS
JOBY RAISES $590M (TOYOTA) - AIRTAXI SERVICE
EHang GOES PUBLIC ON NASDAQ FOR $700M UBER & HYUNDAI DEBUT NEW DESIGN AT CES
Every Major Aviation Manufacturer
> 100 Startups> $1 Billion per year
2020 Singularity Education Group. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
AUTONOMOUS CARS MAKE MAJOR PROGRESS
WAYMO: Driven >10 million miles in the real world >10 billion miles in simulation
WAYMO TESLA
TESLA: ~ 2 Billion actual miles driven using autopilot
2020 Singularity Education Group. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
STARSHIP TESTS THOUSANDS OF AUTONOMOUS DELIVERY ROBOTS ON COLLEGE CAMPUSES
• Each on-demand delivery costs only $2.00• 100+ Universities to be added within 24 months
©2018 PHD Ventures, Inc. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
BOSTON DYNAMICS’ ATLAS ROBOT (2019)
2020 Singularity Education Group. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE
“There will be two kinds of companies at the end of this decade….
…those who are using AI.…and those who are out of business.”
© 2020 Singularity Education Group. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
MY THOUGHTS….
“Those who rule data will rule the entire world.”
“Artificial intelligence, deep learning, machine learning, whatever you’re doing if you don’t
understand it learn it. Because otherwise you’re going to be a dinosaur within three years.” - Mark Cuban
- Masayoshi Son, Softbank
“Artificial intelligence could have more profound implications for
humanity than electricity or fire.”- Sundar Pichai, CEO, Alphabet
© 2020 Singularity Education Group. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
“Companies have to race tobuild AI or they will be made uncompetitive. Essentially, if your competitor is racing to
build AI, they will crush you.”
- Elon Musk© 2020 Singularity Education Group. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
AI-driven companies will take $1.2 trillion from competitors by 2020.
Forrester Predictions:Artificial Intelligence Will Drive The Insights Revolution
POTENTIAL OF AI
2020
© 2020 Singularity Education Group. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
POTENTIAL OF AI
2020 2021
© 2020 Singularity Education Group. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
AI-driven companies will take $1.2 trillion from competitors by 2020.
Forrester Predictions:Artificial Intelligence Will Drive The Insights Revolution
AI will generate $2.9 trillion in business value and recover 6.2 billion hours of
worker productivity by 2021.- Gartner Predictions (Forbes)
POTENTIAL OF AI
2020 2021
© 2020 Singularity Education Group. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
2030
AI will generate $2.9 trillion in business value and recover 6.2 billion hours of
worker productivity by 2021.- Gartner Predictions (Forbes)
By 2030, the potential contribution to the economy from Artificial Intelligence will be
$15.7 trillion, and global GDP could increase by 14% as a result of AI.
- PwC Global Estimates
©2018 PHD Ventures, Inc. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
DEEPMIND: ALPHA ZERO MASTERS ALL
©2018 PHD Ventures, Inc. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
“WHO, NOT HOW”
“When faced with a business problem,
don’t figure out HOW to solve it;
determine WHO is best equipped to do so.”
- Dan Sullivan, Strategic Coach
© 2020 Singularity Education Group. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
©2018 PHD Ventures, Inc. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
SaaS & AI is your new WHO.
“Systematize the predictable, so you can humanize the exceptional!”
– Four Seasons Hotel
© 2020 Singularity Education Group. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
“WHO, NOT HOW”
2020 Singularity Education Group. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
GLOBAL COMMUNICATIONS
2020 Singularity Education Group. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
5G BEGINS DEPLOYMENT GLOBALLY
The U.S., U.K., China, South Korea, Germany, were among the first to roll out blazing fast 5g networks.
2020 Singularity Education Group. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
SPACEX LAUNCHED 3RD BATCH OF STARLINK INTERNET SATELLITES (240 IN TOTAL TO DATE)
SpaceX plans to launch 20+ Starlink missions in 2020 as the company builds out a broadband mega-constellation of up to 42,000 satellite.
2020 Singularity Education Group. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
ONEWEB LAUNCHED THEIR SECOND GROUP OF SATELLITES: 12 OF 648 PLANNED SATELLITES
2020 Singularity Education Group. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
BRAIN-COMPUTER INTERFACE
2020 Singularity Education Group. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
PARALYZED MAN WALKS IN MIND-READING EXOSKELETON
2020 Singularity Education Group. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
RESEARCHERS DESIGNED ‘RICE-SIZED’ BRAIN IMPLANTS THAT CAN COMMUNICATE WITH EACH OTHER AT 10 MBPS
“neurograins”
2020 Singularity Education Group. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
NEURALINK BUILDING BROADBAND BRAIN TO COMPUTER INTERFACE – IN PRIMATES NOW/HUMANS NEXT YEAR.10 Chips to provide about 2 Gbps connection
2020 Singularity Education Group. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
GOOGLE CONFIRMS ‘QUANTUM SUPREMACY’ BREAKTHROUGH WITH SYCAMORE PROCESSOR
Google says that its 54-qubit Sycamore processor was able to perform a calculation in 200 seconds that would have taken the
world’s most powerful supercomputer 10,000 years.
2020 Singularity Education Group. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
©2018 PHD Ventures, Inc. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
Questions?
©2018 PHD Ventures, Inc. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
“PURPOSE DRIVEN MINDSET”
2020 Singularity Education Group. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
“To inspire and guideentrepreneurs to create a hopeful, compelling and
abundant future for humanity.”What’s Yours?
MY MTP
© 2018 PHD Ventures, Inc. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
• $10 million purse
• Privately funded teams
• 3 person crew
• 100 km altitude
• Two flights within 2 weeks
© 2018 PHD Ventures, Inc. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
ARCA Space Transport
Pablo DeLeonStarChaser Scaled Composites
DaVinci Project Canadian Arrow Rocketplane
Armadillo Aerospace
WINNING THE $10M ANSARI XPRIZE• 26 Teams• From 7 Nations• Spending > $100 million
© 2018 PHD Ventures, Inc. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
History Was Made
© 2018 PHD Ventures, Inc. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
© 2018 PHD Ventures, Inc. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
ELON MUSKCEO, Tesla & SpaceX
RAY KURZWEILInventor & Futurist
JIM GIANOPULOSCEO, PARAMOUNT
Jim Gianopulos
WENDY SCHMIDTSchmidt Family Fndtn
Wendy Schmidt
DEAN KAMEN, CEO, DEKA Research
LARRY PAGE,CEO, Google
Dr. ANOUSHEH ANSARIAstronaut & CEO
ARIANNA HUFFINGTONThrive Global
RATAN TATAChairman, Tata Group
JAMES CAMERONFilmmaker/Explorer
Jim Cameron
BOARD OF TRUSTEES & BENEFACTORS
© 2018 PHD Ventures, Inc. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
PRIZE SUMMARY
UNDER DEVELOPMENT>$200M+
AWARDED & ACTIVE~$200M
© 2018 PHD Ventures, Inc. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
• $15 Million Purse (Elon Musk + Tony Robbins)• Teach reading, writing & math in 15 months. • 700+ teams entered• 2500 Children in Tanzania• $300 Million spent to win the $15M Purse• 1 Hour of Tablet Use = Full-time school
© 2018 PHD Ventures, Inc. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.2018 TED Luncheon
• $7 Million Purse• Map 250 Sq. Km of Ocean Floor.• In 24 hrs @ 4,000 meters depth• Launch from shore or air• 32 teams• Winner reduced ocean-mapping time 30x
Sponsor: SHELL ($6 million) & NOAA ($1 million)
© 2018 PHD Ventures, Inc. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.Sponsor: TATA GROUP & AUSTRALIAN AID
• $1.5 Million Purse • Extract 2,000 liters of water per day
from the atmosphere• Using 100% renewable energy• Cost <2 cents per liter• Awarded October 2018
© 2018 PHD Ventures, Inc. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
• $10 Million Prize Purse• Transmit your Senses & action to
a Robotic Avatar.• Disaster relief, health assistance• 100+ Teams from 15 countries
Sponsor: ALL NIPPON AIRWAYS (ANA)
Rainforest$10M“Rapidly and accurately survey the greatest biodiversity of a rainforest in 24 hours.”
Objective: A Rainforest is worth more standing than being cut down.
© 2018 PHD Ventures, Inc. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
New XPRIZEsUnder Development
Feeding The Next Billion
A new source of protein for the growing middle class
$30M prize producing beef, chicken & fish from “Cellular Agriculture” that is cheaper, healthier and tastes better.
CORAL RESTORATION
99% of coral reefs could be gone by 2050.
$10M prize for scaling the replanting or reseeding of coral reefs.
Carbon RemovalRemove 10 gigatons of CO2
Per Year by 2050.
A $100M Purse.
Objective: Demonstrate the lowest cost, most scalable CO2 removal solution
WildfireWildfires kill 340,000 people a year globally, cost the US $350 billion.
Winning Team Will: A US$10M prize for the Team that can Autonomously detect and suppress a wildfire anywhere in a 256,000 acre grid within 10 minutes of detection.”
©2018 PHD Ventures, Inc. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
Questions?
©2018 PHD Ventures, Inc. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
“LONGEVITY MINDSET”
2019 PHD Ventures A360 LLC. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
“Making 100 Years old, the new 60”
2019 PHD Ventures A360 LLC. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
• Advanced Diagnostics (HLI)• Stem Cells (Celularity & Fountain)• NAD+ (Harvard University)• Senolytic Medicines (Unity Bio)• wnt Pathway (Samumed)• New Organs (UnitedTherapeutics)• mRNA (Moderna)• Vaccines (United Neurosciences)• GDF-11 (Elevian)• CrispR/Gene Therapy (Editas)• wnt Pathway (Samumed)
“Making 100 Years old, the new 60”
FOUNTAIN LIFE
Millions/Integrated Health Records
Machine Learning/Data Mining
Human Genome
Full-body MRIMicrobiome Metabolomics
Phenotype Data
HEALTH NUCLEUS/HUMAN LONGEVITY (HLI)
2019 PHD Ventures A360 LLC. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
PNAS paper: 2020
POWERED BY
1.7% Confirmed Cancer
2.5% Body or brain aneurysms
7.0% Moderate/Severe cardiovascular risk (calcium score >300)
16% Aberrant cardiac structure/function
29% Elevated liver fat (fatty liver disease)
86% Genetic carriers of diseases. (17% that affect their health.)
POWERED BY
Actionable Results from 1,200 “healthy” Clients
[email protected] (20% discount)
CFU
-F/1
06 M
NC
s
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
00 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
R2 = 0.51
Drs. Hariri & Caplan showed: Number of stem cells in our body diminish 100x –1000x; The stem cells undergo epigenetic changes and loose their effectiveness.
Stem Cell Exhaustion
Loss of Stem Cell Quantity and Quality with Age
2019 PHD Ventures A360 LLC. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
In the U.S., there are 1M+ people living with end stage organ diseases in need of new hearts, kidneys, lungs, etc.
UNITED THERAPUTICS 3D PRINTS LUNGS
2019 PHD Ventures A360 LLC. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
SAMUMED REACHED $12 BILLION VALUATION TARGETS AGING VIA THE WNT PATHWAY
Preclinical à Phase-1 à Phase-2 à Phase-3
Solid Tumor/Oncology Phase 1 TrialAlzheimer’s Disease Phase 1 TrialDegenerative Disc Disease Phase 1 TrialTendinopathy Phase 2 TrialIdiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis Phase 2 TrialOsteoarthritis Treatment Phase 3 TrialHair Loss (Alopecia) Phase 3 Trial
2019 PHD Ventures A360 LLC. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
ELEVIAN: GDF11 (Harvard/Parabiosys)
“We have identified the key Protein in ’young blood’ called GDF11, that rejuvenates old mice.” - Mark Allen, PhD
BLOOD BOY… Silicon Valley
2019 PHD Ventures A360 LLC. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
Dr. DAVID SINCLAIR: INFO THEORY OF AGING
Dr. David Sinclair, reveals a bold new theory for why we age: “The Information Theory of Aging”.
“Aging is a disease, and that disease is treatable.”
- David Sinclair, PhD
2019 PHD Ventures A360 LLC. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
“Fountain Life is the most premium, trusted, longevity platform, blending data and cutting-edge science with
spa-like service to extend your healthspan.”
Booth in Sage Room
FOUNTAIN LIFE
• Fiduciary for your Health• APP: Data Driven (Wearables/Blood Tests)• Annual Membership• Placental derived Stem Cells• Exosomes• RELIEF Therapy• Consultation on Sleep, Exercise, Diet
“A LIFE-LONG, LONG-LIFE Membership”
2019 PHD Ventures A360 LLC. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.© 2020 Singularity Education Group. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
Trip #1: Aug. 19 - 23, 2020 Trip #2: Sept. 16 – 20, 2020
LONGEVITY ADVENTURE TRIP
5-Star Service (includes):• Private Jet Service• 5-Star Hotels• Michelin-star Chefs• Spa Treatments• Longevity Consultation• Top Longevity experts join you
as your personal guide• Peter’s personal engagement
5-day Deep Dive in The Bay Area & San Diego (24 Participants)
• Top Labs & Institutes: Stanford, Berkeley, Buck, UCSD, Scripps and many others.
• Top Startups & Companies: Cutting edge start-ups & leading companies delivering therapies.
• Personalized Experience/Treatments: Access to therapies & personalized consultations.
“Meet the top scientists & entrepreneurs driving the longevity revolution.”
©2018 PHD Ventures, Inc. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
“A negative mind will never give you a positive life.”
Final Abundance Thought…
©2018 PHD Ventures, Inc. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
“ The World’s Biggest Problems are the World’s Biggest Opportunities.”
Final Abundance Thought…
We are living during the most amazing time
ever to be alive… DON’T BLINK!
©2018 PHD Ventures, Inc. All rights reserved. Do not reproduce without written permission.
www.abundance360.comwww.SingularityU.orgwww.xprize.org
For a copy of these slides, email: