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  • Production Analysis Prof Prema Basargekar

  • Introduction

    Basic concepts

    Production function with one variable

    Optimal use of the variable input

    Production function with two varible

    inputs

    Optimal combination of inputs

    Returns to scale

    Innovation process

  • Production and cost belong to supply side

    economics.

    The core concern and survival of the firm is to

    become competitive, both in terms of price and

    quality.

    Managers try to minimize cost and optimize

    production within given resources(inputs).

  • How can production be optimized or cost minimized.

    How does output behave when quantity of inputs is increased? How does technology matter in reducing the cost.

    How can the least-cost combination of inputs be achieved.

    Given the technology what happens to the rate of return when more plants are added to the firm.

  • Production : Transformation of inputs or resources into outputs of goods & services. It refers to all activities involved in production of G &S, from borrowing to set up plant to running quality control to market G & S.

    Inputs: All the resources used in the production of G & S - Labor, Capital, Land, mgmt, technology, entrepreneur, information

    Fixed Inputs: Those which cannot be changed during a time period under consideration such as Plant, machinery, permanent staff (K)

    Variable Inputs : Those which can be varied easily & on a very short period of timem such as Raw material, Casual labour which can vary according to the output (L)

  • Short Run

    At least one input is fixed

    Long Run

    All inputs are variable

    Short run / Long run is relative & differs from

    industry to industry

    The importance of FOPs is also relative

  • Production function is an equation, table or graph showing the maximum output of a commodity that a firm can produce per period of time with each set of inputs.

    Inputs & outputs are measured in physical qty rather than in monetary units.

    Technology is assumed to be constant.

    Q = f(X, Y) = XY

    If Q = 2X + 7Y; then if X = 10 & Y = 7; then Q = 70

    Q = f(L, K)

  • In the short run the input output relationship is studied with one variable input & other inputs considered as constants. It is also known as Laws of Variable Proportions or Laws of Returns to Variable Inputs or Law of Diminishing Returns or Laws of Return to Factor.

    Assumptions:

    A. Technology is constant

    B. Labour is homogeneous

    C. Input prices are given

  • K Q

    6 10 24 31 36 40 39

    5 12 28 36 40 42 40

    4 12 28 36 40 40 36

    3 10 23 33 36 36 33

    2 7 18 28 30 30 28

    1 3 8 12 14 14 12

    1 2 3 4 5 6 L

    Q = f(L, K)

  • Discrete Production Surface

  • Eg. Sachin Tendulkars score:

    Total runs in 3 Matches: 150

    Average runs : 50

    Runs scored in 4th match: 70

    Total runs : 150 +70 = 220

    Average runs : 220/4 = 55

    Marginal runs : 220-150=70

    Runs scored in 5th match = 40

    Total runs: 220+40 = 260

    Average runs : 260/5 = 52

    Marginal runs : 260-220 = 40

  • When average is rising, marginal is above

    the average.

    When average is falling, marginal is below

    the average.

    When average remains constant, marginal

    and average are equal to each other.

  • Total Product

    Total product is whole output.

    Marginal product is the change in output caused by increasing any input X.

    If MPX=Q/X> 0, total product is rising.

    If MPX=Q/X< 0, total product is falling (rare).

    Average product

    APX=Q/X.

  • Returns to a Factor

    Shows what happens to MPX as X usage grows.

    MPX> 0 is common.

    MPX< 0 implies irrational input use (rare).

    Diminishing Returns to a Factor Concept

    MPX shrinks as X usage grows, 2Q/X2< 0.

    If MPX grew with use of X, there would be no

    limit to input usage.

  • Total Product

    Marginal Product

    Average Product

    Production or

    Output Elasticity

    TP = Q = f(L)

    MPL = TP

    L

    APL = TP

    L

    EL = MPL APL

  • L Q MPL APL EL

    0 0 - - -

    1 3 3 3 1

    2 8 5 4 1.25

    3 12 4 4 1

    4 14 2 3.5 0.57

    5 14 0 2.8 0

    6 12 -2 2 -1

    Total, Marginal, and Average Product of Labor, and Output Elasticity

  • LDR postulates that production undergoes three stages

    Stage 1 of production refers to the rate of increase in average product of the variable input up to the pt where AP & MP are equal.

    Stage 2 is the range of maximum average product of the variable input to where the marginal product of the input is zero

    Stage 3 of the production refers to the negative range of marginal product of the variable input

  • As the fixed factor capital has some given

    capacity, it gets better utilised as we go

    on increasing the variable input labour.

    In this process because of division of

    labour the productivity of the labour also

    increases.

    Once the maximum capacity of the

    capital is utilised further increase in

    labour results in fall of production.

  • Stage I of the production states that MP of labour is rising; thus it will help firm to increase the production by increasing L.

    Stage III of the production states that MP of Labour is negative. Hence even if labour is available free of cost, rational producer will not operate in this stage.

    Stage II of the production states that MP of L & C are positive but is declining; the stage in which the rational producer will operate. The point at which he will operate will depend on prices of inputs & prices of outputs.

  • A well known economist Thomas Malthus

    believed in the law of diminishing returns

    from agriculture. Because land is limited in

    quantity and marginal and average

    productivity of labour would always fall, the

    agriculture production would not be

    sufficient to feed rising population and

    eventually it would lead to mass starvation.

    Fortunately Mathus was proved wrong

    technological improvements in agriculture

    increased land and labour productivity

    multiple times.

  • How much labour the firm should employ?

    As long as extra revenue generated from the sale of the output exceeds extra cost of hiring the labour.

    MRPL = Extra revenue generated by use of additional unit of labour

    MRCL = Extra cost of hiring additional labour

  • Marginal Revenue

    Product of Labor MRPL = (MPL)(MR)

    Marginal Resource

    Cost of Labor MRCL =

    TC

    L

    Optimal Use of Labor MRPL = MRCL

  • L MPL MR = P MRPL MRCL

    2.50 4 $10 $40 $20

    3.00 3 10 30 20

    3.50 2 10 20 20

    4.00 1 10 10 20

    4.50 0 10 0 20

    Use of Labor is Optimal When L = 3.50

  • LDR addresses questions such as how much to produce and what no. of variable inputs to apply to a given fixed income.

    In stage 3, labour capital ration is very high which suggests that additional employment of labour is not desirable.

    In stage 1, since capital is underutilised firm can increase the labour input to optimise its production.

    Whereas stage second provides the best opportunity to the firm to determine its level of production.

  • Maruti Udyog Ltd. Has a physical capital stock valued

    at about Rs. 144.5 Crs. About 4004 workers are

    employed to use this employment of labour?

    In general, to maximise profits, the firm should hire

    labour as long as the additional revenue associated

    with hiring of another labour exceeds the cost of

    employing that labour.

    For instance, if marginal product of additional labour

    is two units of output (two cars) and each unit is

    worth Rs. 2 lakh. The additional revenue is Rs. 4

    lakh. If additional cost of employing is Rs. 3 lakh,

    then the firm can and should employ him or her. If

    additional cost is Rs. 4.5 lakh, the firm should not

    employ him/ her.

  • In the long run both the inputs viz L & C

    are variable.

    The Supply of both the units is elastic &

    firms can hire larger quantities ofboth the

    inputs.

    The technological relationship between

    both the inputs is given by Laws of Returns to Scales

  • K 6 10 24 31 36 40 39

    5 12 28 36 40 42 40

    4 12 28 36 40 40 36

    3 10 23 33 36 36 33

    2 7 18 28 30 30 28

    1 3 8 12 14 14 12

    1 2 3 4 5 6

    L

  • Isoquants show combinations of two

    inputs that can produce the same level

    of output.

    Firms will only use combinations of two

    inputs that are in the economic region of

    production, which is defined by the

    portion of each isoquant that is negatively

    sloped.

  • Isoquants

  • Economic

    Region of

    Production

  • Marginal Rate of Technical Substitution: Isoquatnt has a negative slope in the economic region; or the region in which substitution between two inputs is possible.

    The negative slope implies that if one input is reduced, the other input has to be so increased that the total output remains unaffected.

  • The manger can choose from among various

    different combinations of K and L.

    The optimal combination is one which

    maximises the output with the lowest cost.

    This combination comes where MP divided by

    input price is same for all inputs used.

    = MPl/Pl = MPk/Pk or MPl/w = MPk/r

  • Suppose C = 100K + 250L

    Budget is Rs. 1500

    Thus 1500 = 100K + 250L

    Thus K = 15 2.5L

    If budget increases to Rs. 2000

    Then K = 20 2.5L

    If relative factor prices change, the slope of

    isocost line will change.

  • Farmers in USA & Canada usually use more

    capital intensive technology as compared to

    farmers in India & China where more labour

    intensive technology is used.

    This means that the same quantity of foodgrain

    (eg wheat) can be produced either with using

    more capital or more labour.

    Suppose the isoquant showing an output of

    10,000 quintals is using L of 500 hours & K of 100

    machine hours. If the farmer decides to

    experiment with using 90 hours of machine and

    he needs to replace this machine with 260 hours.

    It means MRTS is equal to 0.04(-10/260 = 0.04)

  • Production Isoquants

    Show efficient input combinations.

    Technical efficiency is least-cost production.

    Isoquant shape shows input substitutability.

    Straight line isoquants depict perfect substitutes.

    C-shaped isoquants depict imperfect substitutes.

    L-shaped isoquants imply no substitutability.

  • Marginal Rate of Technical Substitution

    Shows amount of one input that must be

    substituted for another to maintain constant

    output.

    For inputs X and Y, MRTSXY=-MPX/MPY

    Rational Limits of Input Substitution

    Ridge lines show rational limits of input

    substitution.

    MPX

  • Isocost lines represent all combinations of two

    inputs that a firm can purchase with the same

    total cost. By using Isocost & Isoquant a firm

    can determine the optimal input combination to

    maximise the profits.

    C wL rK

    C wK L

    r r

    C TotalCost

    ( )w WageRateof Labor L

    ( )r Cost of Capital K

  • MRTS = w/r

  • Suppose a firm is using two inputs K and L.

    MPl = 5 and MPk = 40.

    The prices of inputs are Pl = Rs. 5 and Pk =

    Rs. 25.

    Is the firm optimizing the use of its

    resources? If not explain.

  • Here MPl/Pl = 1 and MPk/Pk = 1.6

    MPl/Pl < MPk/Pk

    So the firm would be better of by using less

    labour and more capital.

    If the firm spends additional Rs. 25 on labour

    it gain less than 25 units of output.

    But if it spends additional Rs. 25 on capital it

    would gain 40 units of output.

  • Budget Lines

    Show how many inputs can be bought.

    Least-cost production occurs when MPX/PX = MPY/PY and PX/PY = MPX/MPY

    Expansion Path

    Shows efficient input combinations as output grows.

    Illustration of Optimal Input Proportions

    Input proportions are optimal when no additional output could be produce for the same cost.

  • Production Function Q = f(L, K)

    Q = f(hL, hK)

    If = h, then f has constant returns to scale.

    If > h, then f has increasing returns to scale.

    If < h, the f has decreasing returns to scale.

  • Constant

    Returns to

    Scale

    Increasing

    Returns to

    Scale

    Decreasing

    Returns to

    Scale

  • Economic Productivity

    Productivity growth is the rate of change in

    output per unit of input.

    Labor productivity is the change in output per

    worker hour.

    Causes of Productivity Growth

    Efficiency gains reflect better input use.

    Capital deepening is growth in the amount of

    capital workers have available for use.

  • Product Innovation

    Process Innovation

    Product Cycle Model

    Just-In-Time Production System

    Competitive Benchmarking

    Computer-Aided Design (CAD)

    Computer-Aided Manufacturing (CAM)

  • Units of labour Total Product Avg Product Mar Product

    1 40

    2 48

    3 138

    4 44

    5 24

    6 210

    7 29

    8 -27

  • Production function for an agricultural

    commodity is

    TP = 15L2 L3

    A. How much labour (L) should be employed

    to maximise the output?

    B. What is the value of MPL when TP is at

    maximum?

  • TP is maximised when MPL = 0

    = TP/ L = 30L 3L2 = 0

    = L (30 -3L) = 0

    = L = 10

    Output is maximum when L = 10

    MPL is zero when TP is maximum.

  • Production function

    Short run and long run production function

    Law of variable proportions/ Law of

    diminishing returns/ Law of returns to

    variable inputs

    Law of returns to scale

    Isoquant & isocost

    Marginal rate of technical substitution

    Increasing, constant & decreasing returns to

    scale