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MEPAGFEBRUARY 2008
Alan SternAssociate Administrator/SMD
Alan SternAssociate Administrator/SMD
SMD’s Science Program Leads The World
$4.441B/yr budget.
Large Earth science, heliophysics, planetary science, & astrophysics programs.
53 flight missions in operation.
41 flight missions in development.
3000+ operating R&A grants.
These numbers exceed the combined efforts of all other Earth & space science programs of the World.
SMD Major Activities: Next 12 months
COST OVERRUNS AND UNEXPECTED MISSION EXPENDITURES
But SMD’s Science Over-Runs Are Debilitating
FY09 SMD Budget Overview Recent MEP History Mars Next Decade MSL Issues Thought Questions
PRESENTATION OVERVIEW
FY09 PRESIDENT’S BUDGET: OVERVIEW
We will get more science done within our budget.
We will help ensure that U.S. Space Exploration Policy succeeds.
We will promote U.S. leadership across all of SMD’s science disciplines.
We will improve SMD’s actual and its perceived impact on, and relevance to,
the public.
We will create a better workplace.
SMD MANAGEMENT OBJECTIVES
SMD’S CROSS-CUTTING FY09 BUDGET OBJECTIVES
Accelerate the Earth Science Decadal Survey mission queue.
Increase space science R&A/MO&DA to get better value from our flight missions.
Increase the number of planned missions in all four of SMD’s science theme areas.
Support NRC Decadal Survey priorities.
Initiate an SMD lunar robotic science program.
Increase space science suborbital research programs to foster PI on-ramps, technology demonstration, and accomplish more science.
* FY2007 * FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013
Total NASA $16,231.0 $17,300.5 $17,610.7 $18,022.9 $18,457.0 $18,901.6 $19,355.4
Science $4,609.9 $4,706.2 $4,441.5 $4,482.0 $4,534.9 $4,643.4 $4,761.6
Earth Science $1,198.5 $1,280.3 $1,367.5 $1,350.7 $1,250.9 $1,264.4 $1,290.3
Planetary Science $1,215.6 $1,247.5 $1,334.2 $1,410.1 $1,537.5 $1,570.0 $1,608.7
Astrophysics $1,365.0 $1,337.5 $1,164.5 $1,122.4 $1,057.1 $1,067.7 $1,116.0
Heliophysics $583.7 $590.9 $575.3 $598.9 $689.4 $741.2 $746.6
DSN / Ground Network $247.2 $250.0
Aeronautics Research $593.8 $511.7 $446.5 $447.5 $452.4 $456.7 $467.7
Education $114.1 $137.9 $112.1 $122.7 $120.4 $120.4 $120.4
Exploration Systems $2,837.6 $3,143.0 $3,500.5 $3,737.7 $7,048.2 $7,116.8 $7,666.8
Constellation Systems $2,114.7 $2,471.9 $3,048.2 $3,252.8 $6,479.5 $6,521.3 $7,080.5
Advanced Capabilities $722.9 $671.1 $452.3 $484.9 $568.7 $595.5 $586.3
Space Operations $5,093.5 $5,526.2 $5,774.7 $5,872.7 $2,900.1 $3,089.9 $2,788.5
Space Shuttle $3,295.3 $3,266.7 $2,981.7 $2,983.6 $95.7
International Space Station $1,469.0 $1,813.2 $2,060.2 $2,277.0 $2,176.4 $2,448.2 $2,143.1
Space and Flight Support (SFS) $329.2 $446.3 $732.8 $612.1 $628.0 $641.7 $645.4
Cross-Agency Support $2,949.9 $3,242.9 $3,299.9 $3,323.9 $3,363.7 $3,436.1 $3,511.2
Agency Management and Operations $971.2 $830.2 $945.6 $945.5 $939.8 $950.5 $961.3
Institutional Investments $223.8 $319.7 $308.7 $331.7 $335.9 $330.4 $338.3
Congressionally Directed Items $80.0
Center Management and Operations $1,754.9 $2,013.0 $2,045.6 $2,046.7 $2,088.0 $2,155.2 $2,211.6
Inspector General $32.2 $32.6 $35.5 $36.4 $37.3 $38.3 $39.2
* FY07-08 are consistent w ith IBPD, and exclude latest Operating Plans. Subsequent charts INCLUDE Operating Plans.
NASA AND SMD PRESIDENT’S BUDGET: FY09-FY13
Heliophysics
Planetary Science
Astrophysics
Earth Science
Ground Network / DSN
$0
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
$3,000
$3,500
$4,000
$4,500
$5,000
FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013
SMD BUDGET BY SCIENCE THEME
MAJOR FY09 BUDGET INITIATIVES
Increased commitment to Earth Science over 5 years. Initiated seven new FY09 mission starts: more than in the past
four budgets combined; at least one per SMD science area: Earth Science: SMAP and IceSat II (2012, 2015 launches) Astrophysics: JDEM (launch in 2014/2015) Heliophysics: Solar Probe Plus (launch in 2015) Planetary: Outer Planets Flagship (launch by 2017) small
lunar science orbiter (launch by 2011), and lunar mini-landers (launch by 2014).
Substantial increases in astrophysics, heliophysics, and planetary science R&A/MO&DA.
Increased budgets for suborbital rockets and balloons.
Baseline Plan
SMD PLANETARY DIVISION’S CENTRAL ORGANIZING THEME THAT
STRETCHES ACROSS THE SOLAR SYSTEM
Fund a new start for the outer planets flagship mission (LRD 2016/2017); fund Cassini through 2011.
Initiate a new lunar robotic science flight mission line, with first launch (LADEE small orbiter) by 2011, second launch (two ILN landers) by 2014.
Continue all existing Mars missions; launches in 2009, 2013, 2016; also fund US ExoMars participation for 2013 launch; initiate sample return studies leading to 2018 and 2020 MSR missions; augment Mars DA and R&A (58% FY08, 7% FY09, 11% by FY10).
Fully fund Juno (2011 launch) and New Frontiers 3 (2016 launch), as well as GRAIL (launch by 2011) and the next Discovery launch in 2014.
Augment general planetary R&A 29% in FY09.
SELECTED FY09 BUDGET HIGHLIGHTS: PLANETARY
Baseline Plan
Launches by Calendar Year
New Horizons
STEREO
ST-5
* Hinode
ST-6
TWINS-A
CALIPSO
CloudSat
Phoenix
Daw n
GLAST
THEMIS
AIM
TWINS-B
* M3
HST SM-4
Kepler
* Herschel
* Planck
SDO
SOFIA
LWS SET-1
CINDI
IBEX
Glory
OCO
OSTM
MSL
WISE
ST-7
NPP
* Aquarius
Juno
Mars Scout
Discovery
RBSP
Mars 2013
Discovery
JWST
MIDEX
MMS
GPM Core
Earth Syst
* GPM Const
LDCM
Discovery
Sentinels
Mars 2016
New Frontiers
Einstein 1
ESSP
Discovery
MIDEX
Earth Syst
CY06 CY07 CY08 CY09 CY10 CY11 CY12 CY13 CY14 CY15 CY16 CY17
Earth
Helio
Astro
Planetary
Missions Led by International Partner Indicated By *
Airborne or Suborbital Missions Indicated By Italics
SMD’S FLIGHT PROGRAM: JANUARY 2007
Launches by Calendar Year
New Horizons
STEREO
ST-5
Hinode
ST-6
TWINS-A
CALIPSO
CloudSat
Phoenix
Daw n
THEMIS
AIM
* M3
HST SM-4
GLAST
* Herschel
* Planck
SDO
IBEX
LWS SET-1
CINDI
TWINS-B
Glory
OCO
OSTM
MSL
SOFIA
Kepler
WISE
ST-7
NPP
* Aquarius
Juno
GRAIL
LADEE
NuSTAR
LDCM
SMEX
RBSP
Mars Scout -Aeronomy
Lunar Mini-Lander 2
Lunar Mini-Lander 1
* ExoMars
JWST
SMEX
BARREL
BARREL
GPM Core
Discovery
MMS
* GPM Const
SMAP
JDEM
SMEX
Solar Probe
* Solar Orbiter
ICESat II
Mars 2016
New Frontiers
Venture 2
Venture 1
OPF
Discovery
ExoPlanet 1
ES Decadal 3
CY06 CY07 CY08 CY09 CY10 CY11 CY12 CY13 CY14 CY15 CY16 CY17
Earth
Helio
AstroPlanetary
Missions Led by International Partner Indicated By *
Airborne or Suborbital Missions Indicated By Italics
SMD’S FLIGHT PROGRAM: JANUARY 2008
M3 MoO
MMS
IBEX
ST-9
RBSP ExoMars MoO
LDCM
GRAIL
EPOXI MoO
NExT MoO
NuSTAR
Solar Orb MoO
BARREL MoO
OPF
LADEE
Scout 2013
New Frontiers
JDEM
SMEX 2012
SMEX 2013
SMEX 2015
SMEX MoO
Solar Probe
ICESat II
SMAP
FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09
Heliophysics
Planetary
Earth Science
Astrophysics
NEWLY STARTED MISSIONSNew Starts Defined as a Phase A Start Year or Final Downselect Year—Whichever is Later.
MEP Program FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13
Odyssey $12,858Mars Express $4,306Mars Exploration Rover $20,000 $20,000MRO $37,066 $25,721 $10,379 $1,727Mission Operations $1,809 $1,820 $1,820 $1,820Extended Mission $0 $29,878 $46,014 $30,000 $20,000 $20,000Phoenix $30,109 $499MSL $354,986 $223,331 $68,980 $54,575 $37,586Scout 2011 $2,250 $6,697 $68,527 $152,515 $170,746 $121,752Mars 2016 $10,000 $20,164 $30,829 $160,183MSR 20/22 $5,000 $35,000ExoMars $5,189 $13,244 $23,267 $18,352 $6,470 $6,385Technology $11,764 $10,000 $10,000 $10,000 $10,000 $10,000R&A $23,333 $24,938 $25,925 $26,712 $27,069 $27,511Program Management & Reserve $23,937 $30,398 $34,674 $28,619 $31,580 $31,142Total Mars $527,607 $386,525 $299,586 $344,483 $339,280 $411,973
FY09 MARS PROGRAM PLAN
Mars Exploration Program FY09 President's Budget Submit
Mission OpsR&A
Prog Mgt, Technology
MSL
Scout 2013
ExoMars
Mars 2016
MSR 20/22
$0
$100,000
$200,000
$300,000
$400,000
$500,000
$600,000
FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13
$ th
ousa
nds
MSR
PLANETARY BUDGET CHANGES07-12
FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 Total
Content Changes from FY08 -75.9 6.6 -108.3 -90.4 22.5 54.8 -190.7
Outer Planets Flagship 11.2 130.3 204.1 220.6 566.2
Lunar Science Research 20.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 70.0 270.0
Planetary / Mars R&A 16.3 28.0 27.5 36.8 40.7 41.3 190.6
GRAIL 35.1 122.4 122.8 113.1 24.9 418.3
Discovery Future -43.5 -68.1 -163.3 -204.0 -173.3 10.8 -641.4
In-Space Propulsion / RPS -0.6 -17.6 -18.6 -16.4 -15.2 -15.5 -83.9
MSL 74.3 44.0 9.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 127.8
Mars Scout 2011 slip to 2013 -58.7 -138.3 -91.5 38.5 134.7 -115.3
ExoMars 13.2 23.3 18.4 6.5 61.4
Other Mars -73.7 0.9 -40.7 -182.4 -292.2 -417.4 -1,005.6
All Other -48.7 23.0 9.0 30.6 28.4 -21.0 21.3
FY09 President's Budget, $1330M
GRAIL9%
Juno18%
Lunar Science Program8%
PDS & Curation 1%
MSL17%
Future Discovery4%
Discovery Op Msn + M34%
Mars Op Msn8%
Scout 13, ExoMars & beyond2%
Cassini, Rosetta, Hayabusa
7%
OPF 1%
NF Op Msn + Mgt1%
R&A
Technology5%
PLANETARY DIVSISION BUDGET SPLITS
MARS BUDGET HISTORY
Mars, as % of Total Planetary Funding, Since 1959
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Mariner
Viking
Mars Observer
MGS, Pathfinder, Mars 98, Odyssey, MER, MRO, Phoenix,
MSL, Scout…
1985-2013 average = 27.3%
MARS PROGRAM CONTENT
Existing Flight Missions (5)Mars OdysseyMars Recon OrbiterMER-SpiritMER-OpportunityPhoenix
Missions in Development (3)MSL Flagship ($1830M)Mars Scout 2 ($475M)ExoMarsx2 ($61M)
Additional Missions Funded in FY09 Budget (2)Mars 2016 Ramp Up ($220M)Mars Sample Return ($68M: studies & tech)
COMPARE TO ALL OTHER PLANETARY CONTENT
Existing Flight Missions (4)CassiniNew HorizonsMESSENGERDawn
Missions in Development (2)Outer Planets FlagshipLADEE Lunar Micro-Orbiter
Additional Missions Funded in FY09 Budget (3)Discovery 2014Lunar micro-landers 2014New Frontiers 2016
PLANETARY BUDGET RUNNOUT TO 2020
Research (Cassini, R&A, Lunar Sci,+)
Discovery Program
New Frontiers Program
Technology (AMMOS/RPS)
Mars Program
Flagship (w /out ESA, 2017)
$0
$250
$500
$750
$1,000
$1,250
$1,500
$1,750
$2,000
$2,250
FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20
2.4%/yr SMD Growth Line
RECENT MEP BUDGET HISTORY
MEP ’07-08 BUDGET EVENTS
Jan: PHX $25M Build Cost Increase.June: MSL Sample Caching, $2M Added.May: MEP Next Decade MSR Re-Focus.Aug: Phoenix launch.Sep: Phoenix $5M Mission Ops Increase.Sep: MSL $62M Re-baseline.Sep: Funded New MER Extensions Thru FY08 ($10M) With Commitment for FY09 ($10M) If Still Operating.Feb: FY09 Budget Request Released. R&A Increased. No Mars Cancellations.
MARS NEXT DECADE
Mars Exploration Program FY09 President's Budget Submit
Mission Ops R&A Prog Mgt, Technology
MSLScout 2013
ExoMars Mars 2016
MSR 20/22
$0
$100,000
$200,000
$300,000
$400,000
$500,000
$600,000
$700,000
$800,000
$900,000
$1,000,000
FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20
$ th
ousa
nds
MARS PROGRAM PLAN
Mars Program - Next DecadeLaunch Year
2020
TBD mission based on
budget and science feed-forward
TBD mission based on
budget and science feed-forward
MSR Element #1MSR Element #1
Sample Receiving Facility online by 2022
MSR Element #2MSR Element #2
MSL
August 2006: MSL Confirmed at a development (C/D) cost of $972M.– Program added $32M to increase reserves to 35% (~60% on the S-Curve).
Late ’06/early ’07: ~$20M in descopes were taken to control cost growth:– TLS, Corer, Sample Crusher, CheMin dual X-ray source, EDL latitude
performance.June ’07: MSL descopes and cash of $62M. Sources of growth included:
– Instruments; SAM, CheMin, ChemCam, Malin Space Science Systems cameras.
– Mechanical Design of Rover body, Corer/drill, Sample Acquisition/Sample Processing and Handling
– Actuator Design– Thermal Protection System testing– Parts Procurements– Fabrication Services/Labor
Jan ’08: MSL estimated need for $165M-$200M cash. Sources of growth include:– Actuators, Thermal Protection System testing– Parts, Subsystems, Testing– Fabrication Services/Labor
MSL COST GROWTH HISTORY
MSL GROWTH BY SUBSYSTEM
Largest contributors to growth
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
120000
Chem
Cam
Groud
Dat
a sy
stem
Proj S
cienc
e O
ffice
Miss
ion s
yste
mPSE
FS PP
Miss
ion a
ssur
ance
Projec
t Mgm
t
Msn
des
ign
& nav
Flight
Sys
tem
Mgm
t
PL Offi
ce
Teleco
mFSW
Therm
al co
ntro
l
FS PA
Propu
lsion
subs
yste
m
CheM
in
FS sys
tem
eng
SAM
SA/SPaH
GN&C
PL M
SSS Cam
eras
proj
ect s
yste
ms I
&T
GN&C rada
r
Mec
hanic
al C
EDL
Mec
hanic
al o
ther
Mec
hanic
al ro
ver
Avioni
cs
$ t
ho
us
an
ds
April EAC July EAC Nov EAC
NOTE: See also Aerospace Corp EVM Charts in b/u at WBS levels 3/4
Radar
ATLO
w/EMs
ATLO
ATLO KSCFlt. A
vionicsD
escent Stage
DrillR
adar
CDRJune 2007
LaunchSept. 2009July 2008March 2008
ShipMay 2009
Deliveries
As of Jan. 2008EAC increased > $200M
Since June 2007
KSCDeliveries
Jan. 2009
MSL Development Flow CompressionF
lt. Heatshield
Flt. Avionics
Descent S
tage
Drill
As of June 2007CDR
Possible delays but flexibility available
Flt. H
eatshield
Original content marked “SBU”; deleted for publication
Sensitive But Unclassified (SBU)
MSL PROJECT BUDGET GROWTH HISTORY
MSL Historical Direct LCC
$1,400
$1,450
$1,500
$1,550
$1,600
$1,650
$1,700
$1,750
$1,800
$1,850
PNAR(2/2006)
NAR(8/2006)
Confirmation(8/2006)
Current(12/2007)
Projectedw /PICA
JPL projectedEAC
$(M
)
12/07/07Current JPL
Projected
Blue line $1699Mcorresponds tothe 70% onSRB’s S-curvedevelopment cost predicted at confirmation
SOME THOUGHT QUESTIONS
What does a balanced planetary program look like?
What should we fly for MEP 2016?
What Mars efforts could be proposed to Discovery and New Frontiers?
What Mars-Moon flight program synergies exist?
Is MSR the right central organizing theme?
Is there a serious science loss if MSL arrival slips?
BACKUP
FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15
B C & D E
LADEE Launch Goal Mini Lander Launch Goal
Lunar Research and Analysis
ILN Operation Start Goal
Mission of OpportunityScience-Funding-Opportunity Driven
A
Node I & II Operations
Science Definition
Cruise
B EA
Launch date to be set during Phase A
TBD during Phase A
LUNAR ROBOTIC SCIENCE MISSION INITIATIVE
LADEE
Mini Lander
LRO
E+
Possible Intl. Partner Early Operations
EC/D
ESMD SMD
B C & D E
SMD-Discovery Mission
Cruise
GRAIL
SDT
B/C/D duration finalized during A
020308
SM
D-F
ull
Mo
on
Mis
sio
ns
Science Definition SDT
* FY07 * FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13
FY09 President's Budget * 1,200.4 1,246.5 1,334.2 1,410.1 1,537.5 1,570.0 1,608.7
Discovery 119.4 147.6 247.0 258.3 256.0 326.1 140.5Discovery Future 4.4 35.2 50.4 49.1 65.4 239.8 90.7GRAIL 35.1 122.4 122.8 113.1 24.9 5.7M3 6.6 3.9 2.7 2.6 0.5Discovery Research 11.9 15.7 18.8 16.5 15.7 16.9 17.3Operating Missions and Data Analysis 96.5 57.7 52.6 67.3 61.3 44.6 26.8
New Frontiers 106.3 132.2 263.9 250.3 232.3 227.7 236.9Juno 87.8 110.1 245.0 225.2 168.0 14.4 17.8Other Missions and Data Analysis 18.5 22.2 19.0 25.1 64.3 213.3 219.1
Technology 84.2 68.7 64.9 69.3 69.6 71.3 73.0
Planetary Science Research 178.1 273.2 270.8 315.8 355.6 373.2 382.6Research & Analysis 111.7 137.4 142.4 145.1 150.4 155.2 159.0 Outer Planet Mission Studies 4.2Lunar Science Research 42.0 105.0 122.0 140.0 150.0 151.9Operating Missions and Analysis 20.4 18.6 19.5 21.4 22.2 22.3 22.7Education and Directorate Management 46.0 71.0 3.9 27.4 43.1 45.7 49.0
Mars Exploration 634.1 541.8 386.5 299.6 344.5 341.1 413.8MSL 2009 416.8 355.0 223.3 69.0 54.6 37.6Scout 2013 5.3 2.3 6.7 68.5 152.5 170.7 121.8JPL Building Support 26.8 14.2Mars R&A 14.2 23.3 24.9 25.9 26.7 27.1 27.5Operating Missions and Data Analysis 171.0 147.0 131.6 126.2 90.5 69.9 69.3 Mars Next Decade 10.0 20.2 35.8 195.2
Outer Planets 78.3 82.9 101.1 216.7 279.4 230.6 362.0Cassini 78.3 82.9 81.8 81.5 75.3 10.0 10.0Outer Planets Flagship 19.3 135.2 204.1 220.6 352.0
* FY07 and FY08 reflect latest Operating Plan, in FY09 structure
PLANETARY PROGRAM BUDGET CONTENT
-- -- ---- --{
--
FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013
Mars Exploration 634.9 553.5 386.5 299.6 344.5 341.1 413.8
2009 Mars Science Lab 416.8 305.5 223.3 69.0 54.6 37.6
Mars Scout (2013) 5.3 57.7 6.7 68.5 152.5 170.7 121.8
Mars Research and Analysis 14.2 27.4 24.9 25.9 26.7 27.1 27.5
Operating Missions and Data Analysis 171.8 149.4 131.6 136.2 110.7 105.7 264.5
Mars Sample Return
10.0 20.2 31.0 160.2
Mars Technology Program
5.0 13.0 23.0 18.013.7
ExoMars
Mars-16
5.0 35.0-- -- --6.0 6.03.0
9.2 10.0 10.0 10.0 10.0 10.0