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Copyrights © 2010 by CODELCO-CHILE. All Rights Reserved.Copyrights © 2011 CODELCO-CHILE. Todos los Derechos Reservados. Copyrights © 2011 by CODELCO-CHILE. All Rights Reserved.
MELBOURNE MINING CLUB
LUNCHEON SERIESThe Copper Industry and Codelco:
Opportunities and Challenges
Diego Hernández C.
CEO
August 4th, 2011
3
Copyrights © 2010 by CODELCO-CHILE. All Rights Reserved.Copyrights © 2011 CODELCO-CHILE. Todos los Derechos Reservados. Copyrights © 2011 by CODELCO-CHILE. All Rights Reserved.
Chile in Brief, 2010
Population (million) 17.2
GDP (US$ billion) 203.2
GDP per capita (PPP)
(current international dollar)15,002
GDP by Sector*
* Current prices. Sources: Central Bank of Chile, IMF.
Diego Hernández | August 2011
4
Copyrights © 2010 by CODELCO-CHILE. All Rights Reserved.Copyrights © 2011 CODELCO-CHILE. Todos los Derechos Reservados. Copyrights © 2011 by CODELCO-CHILE. All Rights Reserved.
Chile: An Attractive Mining District Selected Products
Selected Products
(Tonnes)
2010
Production
Global
Position
Share in
Global
Production
Share in
Global
Reserves
Metal Mining
Copper 5,349,099 1st 34% 30%
Molybdenum 37,186 3rd 16% 13%
Rhenium 25.0 1st 52% 52%
Silver 1,276 7th 6% n/a
Gold 38.4 18th 2% 4%
Industrial Minerals
Natural Nitrates 1,058,712 1st 100% 100%
Lithium Carbonate 8,800 1st 35% 58%
Iodine 18,000 1st 62% 60%
Diego Hernández | August 2011
5
Copyrights © 2010 by CODELCO-CHILE. All Rights Reserved.Copyrights © 2011 CODELCO-CHILE. Todos los Derechos Reservados. Copyrights © 2011 by CODELCO-CHILE. All Rights Reserved.
Chile and Codelco: Leaders in Copper Reserves
Note: Other countries = 13%.
Source: U.S. Geological Survey, January 2010.
1%
Canada
United States
6%
Mexico 7%
12%
Peru
20%Others Chile
CODELCO
5%Poland 4%
Russia
3%
Kazakhstan
5%
China
3%
4%
6%
Indonesia
Australia
Zambia
10%
Diego Hernández | August 2011
6
Copyrights © 2010 by CODELCO-CHILE. All Rights Reserved.Copyrights © 2011 CODELCO-CHILE. Todos los Derechos Reservados. Copyrights © 2011 by CODELCO-CHILE. All Rights Reserved.
Codelco: Operations and Global Commercial Presence*
* Commercial subsidiaries.
Diego Hernández | August 2011
Chuquicamata
Copper
Division
New York - USA
Codelco Group Inc.Düsseldorf - Germany
Codelco KupferhandelGMHB
London - UK
Chile Copper Ltd.Radomiro Tomic
Copper
Division
Andina
Copper
Division
Salvador
Copper
Division
El Teniente
Copper
Division
Gabriela Mistral
Copper
Mine Ventanas
Smelter & Refinery
Division
Shanghai - China
RepresentativeOffice
Santiago
Headquarters
Ministro Hales
Copper
Division
7
Copyrights © 2010 by CODELCO-CHILE. All Rights Reserved.Copyrights © 2011 CODELCO-CHILE. Todos los Derechos Reservados. Copyrights © 2011 by CODELCO-CHILE. All Rights Reserved.
Chile and Codelco: Leaders in Copper Production
Share of World Copper ProductionChile‟s Copper Production
„000 tonnes
Diego Hernández | August 2011
8
Copyrights © 2010 by CODELCO-CHILE. All Rights Reserved.Copyrights © 2011 CODELCO-CHILE. Todos los Derechos Reservados. Copyrights © 2011 by CODELCO-CHILE. All Rights Reserved.
Contribution to Fiscal RevenuesCodelco and Large-Scale Private Mining CompaniesUS$ million, nominal
(1) Total income tax paid by 10 largest private copper mining companies.
Source: Budget Office.
Diego Hernández | August 2011
9
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Codelco and Rest of Mining as Share of Total Chilean Exports%
Diego Hernández | August 2011
10
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Structural Demand Changes and Copper Price, 1908-2011*c/lb, 2010
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
19
08
19
11
19
14
19
17
19
20
19
23
19
26
19
29
19
32
19
35
19
38
19
41
19
44
19
47
19
50
19
53
19
56
19
59
19
62
19
65
19
68
19
71
19
74
19
77
19
80
19
83
19
86
19
89
19
92
19
95
19
98
20
01
20
04
20
07
20
10
* 2011, average to July 25th.
World War I:
Military demand
Post-World War II:
Golden years in USA
European reconstruction
Japanese miracle
Oil crisis
Substitution
Emergence of China,
India and Other
Developing Economies
Great
Depression
Diego Hernández | August 2011
11
Copyrights © 2010 by CODELCO-CHILE. All Rights Reserved.Copyrights © 2011 CODELCO-CHILE. Todos los Derechos Reservados. Copyrights © 2011 by CODELCO-CHILE. All Rights Reserved.
World Refined Copper Consumption, 1950-2010
Solid Medium and Long-Term Market Fundamentals
Urbanisation and Copper Consumption per Capita, 1950-2010
Sources: WBMS, IMF, World Bank, United Nations and Codelco. * PPP, 2005 US$.
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20,000
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Developed Countries
Developing
Countries
China
„000 tonnes
—
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
Kg of copper per capita
Urbanisation rate (%)
USA
China
India
Japan
World
0
4
8
12
16
20
24
28
32
0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000
GDP per Capita and Consumption per Capita, 1980-2010
China
USAJapan
South
Korea Germany
Russia
Kg of copper per capita
GDP per capita*
Taiwan
0
2
4
6
0 6,000 12,000
GDP per capita*
Kg of copper per capita
China
Brazil
India
Diego Hernández | August 2011
12
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0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
The Challenge of GrowthWorld Mine Copper Production Potential*‘000 tonnes
*: Without disruptions and market adjustments.
**: Net of secondary production.
Source: Brook Hunt (2ndQ 2011). Assumes annual refined consumption growth rate of 3.6% in 2011-2020.
Operations
Probable projects
Possible projects
Possible greenfield projects
Possible brownfield projects
Probable greenfield projects
Probable brownfield projects
Consumption**
Operations
Consumption**
Diego Hernández | August 2011
13
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Downward Trend in Average Copper Grades Puts Upward Pressure on Costs
Sources: Codelco and Brook Hunt.
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
240
260
280
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
2010
19852000
19951990
2005
Accumulated production (million tonnes)
c/lb, nominal
Diego Hernández | August 2011
Average Copper GradeCopper Industry Supply
Curve Cash Cost (C1)
14
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Rising Project Development Costs
COPPER PROJECT CAPEX HAS INCREASED
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20,000
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Collahuasi
Los Pelambres
Cerro Verde Mill
Tenke Fugurume
Oyu Tolgoi
Lumwana
Capex/average production
US$ 2010 / tonne
Salobo I
Toromocho
Caserones
Gaby
RT Sulphides
Andina Phase I
MH
MAJOR EQUIPMENT PRICE ESCALATION*
* Equipment data includes principally manufactured equipment (e.g. heavy-walled vessels, large heaters or exchangers, coker drums and metal
tanks). Cost escalation trends are shown in US$. Updated to May, 2011. Source: IPA.
Global trend as from January 2003
(January 2003 = 1.00)
Diego Hernández | August 2011
15
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Long-Term Copper Price Expectations Increasec/lb, 2011
Bank & Analysts‟ Forecasts Recent Forecasts*
*: Published during 2011.
Diego Hernández | August 2011
16
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Codelco: Key Strategic Objectives
To maintain the company's reputation and leadership position: “its licence to operate”
To assure its planned level of production during the coming years so as to take advantage of the current
high-price cycle
To materialise its Key Structural Projects to develop Codelco‟s mining resources and maintain its leadership
in world copper production
To assure medium and long-term competitiveness, introducing new technologies, rationalising its
organisation and improving its decision-making process
Diego Hernández | August 2011
17
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Codelco‟s 2011 Business and Development Plan Copper production‘000 tonnes
ENMS
Closure
Salvador
Oxides
Closure
RT Oxides
Closure
Chuqui Pit
Closure
Rajo Sur
MH
San
Antonio
Quetena
RT Phase II
NEW MINE
LEVEL
PDA
PHASE II
CHUQUI
U/G.
Diego Hernández | August 2011
18
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Description
• New copper deposit near Chuquicamata (Calama).
• Important content of silver.
• Open pit, concentrator and roaster.
Capacity* • 170,000 fmt/year.
Start-Up Date • 2013.
Status
• MH Division created.
• Investment approved.
• In execution.
Structural Projects as the Priority (I)
MH
Diego Hernández | August 2011
*: Average production during the first 10 years at design capacity
19
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Description
• Development of a new level of extraction at El Teniente.
• Increase the extraction rate to 137,000 tpd, avoiding the descent of
production in the Division.
Capacity* • 430,000 fmt/year.
Start-Up Date • 2017.
Status
• Investment approved.
• Early works in construction
(Platform, Decline).
Structural Projects as the Priority (II)
El Teniente New Mine Level
Diego Hernández | August 2011
*: Average production during the first 10 years at design capacity
20
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Description• Development of an underground mine at Chuquicamata.
• Production of copper and molybdenum.
Capacity* • 315,000 fmt/year.
Start-Up Date • 2018.
Status
• In feasibility (conclusion in 2013).
• Beginning of early works
in the fourth quarter of 2011.
Structural Projects as the Priority (III)
Chuquicamata Underground
Diego Hernández | August 2011
*: Average production during the first 10 years at design capacity
21
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Description• Capacity increase from 94,000 to 244,000 tpd.
• Open pit and underground operations.
Capacity* • >350,000 fmt/year (additional to current level of production).
Start-Up Date • 2018.
Status • In feasibility.
Structural Projects as the Priority (IV)
Andina Phase II
Diego Hernández | August 2011
*: Average production during the first 10 years at design capacity
22
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Structural Projects as the Priority‘000 tonnes
Note: Includes 49% stake in El Abra.
Source of projections: 2011: budget; 2012: Triennial Plan proposed to Finance and Mining Ministries; 2020: 2011 Business and Development Plan and
2011 Plan without Development, plus El Abra.
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2,000
2,200
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2020
History
Projection
With
Projects
Without
Projects
Diego Hernández | August 2011
23
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Source: 2011 onwards, Triennial Plan proposed to the Finance and Mining Ministries Business and Business and Development Plan (PND) 2011.
Note: Projects, mine development and investment in related companies are included (since 1990).
Codelco: An Unprecedented Investment ChallengeUS$ million, 2011 currency
June 2011
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
1976-1980
1981-1985
1986-1990
1991-1995
1996-2000
2001-2005
2006-2010
2011-2015
2016-2020
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
1976-2010 2011-2022
Annual Average of Investments by Period Total Investmentes by Period
35 years 12 years
Diego Hernández | August 2011
24
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0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
Codelco (1) Xstrata Freeport McMoran BHP Billiton Anglo American Southern Copper Chinese Companies Rio Tinto Vale Antofagasta Plc
2010 2015 2020
Maintaining Leadership in the Copper Industry: Expected Production of Codelco and Other Companies*‘000 fmt
Source: Codelco.
Notes:
* Attributable copper production. Codelco figures correspond to 2011 Business and Development Plan. Projections for rest of the industry updated to May 2011.
(1) Includes 49% stake in El Abra; figures correspond to 2011 Business and Development Plan. (2) Own production and stake in Yunnan Copper; excludes stake in Rio Tinto.
(3) Corriente Resources is a joint venture between Tongling and China Railways.
Diego Hernández | August 2011
25
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Ensuring the Very Long Term Codelco‟s Exploration Activities Focus
Exploration Budget 2011
US$ 62 million (up by 42% on 2010)
Exploration in Chile (81%)
• Priority is around existing Codelcooperations (brownfield).
• Discovery of new areas of interestwithin the main metallogenic belts,located mostly in covered areas(greenfield).
International exploration (19%)
• Opportunities in early stages ofdevelopment. Growth determined byresults.
• Prospects in Brazil, Ecuador andColombia.
Discoveries that are not part of the corebusiness could be developed with thirdparties as joint ventures.
Diego Hernández | August 2011
BRAZIL:
Active since 2000. Operated by Codelco do Brasil Mineração, based in Rio de Janeiro.
ECUADOR:
Active since 2009. Agreement with government to evaluate areas of mining interest. Under development.
COLOMBIA:
In process of identifying business opportunities in exploration.
Underway.
CHILE:
Where all the company’s operations are located and the main focus of its exploration efforts.
In the past, Codelco has explored in:
Mexico (2000-2008), Argentina and Peru (not systematically) and Zambia (1998).
26
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Codelco International: Spreading the Company‟s Wings
Creation of a Special Purpose Vehicle (SPV) with assets in
exploration, development and production
Focused on leveraging the value of the company’s current
portfolio and taking advantage of new investment
opportunities
The SPV will give Codelco the financial flexibility to develop
new operations
Permits investment in an SPV with assets in one of the
world’s most attractive mining jurisdictions
Diego Hernández | August 2011
27
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Codelco‟s Licence to Operate:
Safety and Occupational Health
Management Focus
Safety and
Occupational
Health at
Codelco
Standards of control of
professional illnesses
Learning
Behavioural safety
Leadership
Standards of control of fatalities
Diego Hernández | August 2011
28
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Codelco‟s Licence to Operate:
Environment and Communities
Operational
Discipline
Communications
Strategic
Framework
and Culture
Socio-Environmental Vulnerabilities
Socio-environmental
culture
Compliance with regulation and
corporate standards
Skills
Management of knowledge and
innovation
Community development
Management Focus
Diego Hernández | August 2011
29
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Creating Competitive Advantage through People
Human
Capital
Generational
Change
Attraction,
Development and
Retention of
Talent
Cultural Change
Labour
Relations
Organisational
Effectiveness
Workforce
Optimisation
Diego Hernández | August 2011
30
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Codelco: A Great Future
Useful Life
YearsChuquicamata 50RT 30MH 40Salvador 25Andina 67El Teniente 68Gaby 13
Diego Hernández | August 2011
31
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MELBOURNE MINING CLUB
LUNCHEON SERIESThe Copper Industry and Codelco:
Opportunities and Challenges
Diego Hernández C.
CEO
August 4th, 2011