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Mega-Ship Math –Determining a Winning Formula
Sponsored By:
May 8, 2014
Setting the Table• Ship sizes inevitably increase ascarriers seek economies of scale and reduced costs on per box basis• Mega vessels entering Asia-Europetrade forcing cascade of “former” mega vessels into TP trade• Opening of new Panama Canallocks in 2015 to allow larger vessels to call U.S. East Coast without going via Suez• East Coast ports competing to begateway of choice for larger vessels
2
How Big are We Talking?
3
• Not the biggest shipsin the world (those are in Asia-Europe)• On average notsignificantly smaller than ships serving USWC ports• Remains to be seen ifdemand will drive plethora of big ships to USEC
Maximum Vessel Size Asia-USWC
4
9,700
11,660
13,092
13,092
13,092
9,465
9,200
9,200
10,114
10,114
0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Asia to U.S. Pacific Northwest
Asia to U.S. Pacific Southwest
Source: BlueWater Reporting (as of April each year)
Average Vessel Size Asia-USWC
5
5,879
5,625
6,159
6,274
6,082
6,267
6,306
5,952
5,965
6,468
5,200 5,400 5,600 5,800 6,000 6,200 6,400 6,600
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Asia to U.S. Pacific Northwest
Asia to U.S. Pacific Southwest
Source: BlueWater Reporting (as of April each year)
Maximum Vessel Size Asia-USEC
6Source: BlueWater Reporting (as of April each year)
8,411
9,465
9,200
9,200
9,300
8,411
9,465
9,200
9,200
9,300
7,800 8,000 8,200 8,400 8,600 8,800 9,000 9,200 9,400 9,600
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Asia to U.S. South Atlantic
Asia to U.S. North Atlantic
Average Vessel Size Asia-USEC
7Source: BlueWater Reporting (as of April each year)
4,875
5,207
5,399
5,200
5,347
4,896
5,154
5,304
5,126
5,444
4,500 4,600 4,700 4,800 4,900 5,000 5,100 5,200 5,300 5,400 5,500
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Asia to U.S. South Atlantic
Asia to U.S. North Atlantic
Biggest Ships by Carrier Asia-Pacific SW
8Source: BlueWater Reporting (as of April 2014)
6,103
10,516
8,9128,549
6,0766,429
4,685
6,625
5,231
7,712
2,716
5,794
9,516
6,003
7,538
1,512
4,433
5,675
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
Biggest Ships by Carrier Asia-Pacific NW
9Source: BlueWater Reporting (as of April 2014)
8,514
5,342
4,117
6,119
7,410
5,867
8,575
5,594
8,142
7,121
8,063
4,250 4,338
2,169
4,864
9,527
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
Biggest Ships by Carrier Asia-North Atlantic
10
5,343
8,514
4,444 4,2104,532
4,247
5,883
4,706
5,452
8,142
5,766
8,748
5,271
6,976
4,254
5,4144,891
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
Source: BlueWater Reporting (as of April 2014)
Biggest Ships by Carrier Asia-South Atlantic
11
5,343
6,356
4,250 4,2104,532
4,247
5,883
4,706
5,452
7,523
5,766
8,748
5,271
6,976
4,254
5,4144,891
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
Source: BlueWater Reporting (as of April 2014)
Implications of Big Ships on East Coast Ports• Longer turn times or delayed cargoreleases?• Can inland infrastructure keep up withsize of ships?• Will larger ships exacerbate equipmentissues?• Will chassis problems worsen?• Impact on shippers’ carrierdiversification?• Does risk for shippers rise with fewerships handling more of their cargo?
12
Mega Ship Math Virginia Maritime Association May 8, 2014
INF Marketing & Logistics
14,000 TEU
Big Ship Evolution – The Trickle Down Effect
8,000 TEU
4,500 TEU
5,000 TEU NYK CONSTELLATION – PANAMAX CLASS 4882 TEU Capacity, 650 Reefer Slots DWT – 65,867, LOA – 294.10 M (669 feet) Beam - 32.2 M (105 feet) , Height ? Draft - 13.5 M (44 feet) Containers Across - 11
12,000 TEU MSC FABIOLA – NPX CLASS 12,562 TEU Capacity, 650 Reefer Slots DWT – 65,867, LOA – 366 M (1,201 feet) Beam - 48.2 M (158 feet) , Height 195 - 210’ aprx. Draft - 13.5 M (44 feet) Containers Across - 15
8,000 TEU OOCL LONG BEACH – PPX CLASS 8063 TEU Capacity, 700 Reefer Slots DWT – 99,500, LOA – 323 M (1059 feet) Beam – 42.8 M (140 feet), Height ? Draft - 14 M (46 feet), Containers Across – 13
Post Panamas
New Panamax
Panamax
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Mega Vessel
18,000 TEU MAJESTIC MAERSK TRIPLE E CLASS
18,270 TEU Capacity, Reefer Slots DWT – 196,000, LOA – 399 M (1309 feet) Beam – 59 M (193.6 feet), Height – 73 M (239’ 6”) Draft - 14.5 M (48 feet) Containers Across - 23
E Class / Explorer Class Vessels
16,020 TEU CMA CGM ALEXANDER VON HUMBOLDT ULCV
CALSS 16,020 TEU Capacity , Reefer Slots 1,100 DWT – 157,092, LOA – 395 M (1296 feet) Beam – 54 M (177 feet), Height ? Draft – 16 M (52’ 6”) Containers Across - 21
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* From Liebherr Brochure
Typical Quayside Crane a. Gantry Span – 15 – 35 M ( 49 - 115)b. Outreach – Typically 12 to 15 TEUc. Backreach – 25 M (82 feet)d. Lift Height – 24 M (78’) aprxe. Clearance under Sill Beam 12 – 18 M (39’ – 59’)
Panamax Quayside Crane a. Gantry Span – 15 – 35 M (49 - 115 feet)b. Outreach – 30 to 40 M (98 to 131 feet)c. Backreach – 25 M (82 feet)d. Lift Height – 24 to 30 M (78’ to 98’)
Travel Speed – 25 M/min ( 82’/min)
SWL 40/50 T Single 65 T Twin
Post Panamax Quayside Crane a. Gantry Span 15 – 35 M (49 - 115 feet)b. Outreach 46 to 69 M (150’ to 226’)c. Backreach – 25 M (82 feet)d. Lift Height – 35 to 49 M (115’ to 161’)
Travel Speed – 45 M/min (147’/min)SWL 40/50 T Single 65 T Twin
Mega Max (SPP) Cranes a. Gantry Span 35 M (115 feet)b. Outreach 46 to 69 M (150’ to 226’)c. Backreach – 25 M (82 feet)d. Lift Height – 35 to 49 M (115’ to 161’)
Travel Speed – 45 M/min (147’/min)
SWL 65 T Twin 80 T Tandem
A – Gantry Span B – Outreach
C – Backreach D – Lift Height
E – Clearance under Sill Beam SWL – Lift Weight
Travel Speed partially determines lifts per hour
Bayonne Bridge
• Air Draft will be an issue
for some East Coast Ports
Adaptation from PANYNJ Slide
Getting out the gate
Thank you Thank you
SCIG is expected to
handle
approximately
570,800 TEUs
(twenty-foot
equivalent units)
By 2035, SCIG is
projected to handle
a maximum of 2.8
million TEUs.
BNSF Southern California Intermodal Gateway
Battle for Discretionary Cargo
LA/LB
OAK
Sea/Tac
Houston
Savannah
Norfolk
NY/NJ
Lazaro Cardenas
Prince Rupert
Eastern Canada
Depth 50’ or greater
Depth 45’ or less
Global
Terminal
NY& NJ RR
Carfloat Yard
Proposed Intermodal
Rail Facility
Additional Container
Terminal
Conrail Auto
Rail Terminal
BMW
Vehicle
Processin
g
PANYNJ Greenville Expansion Project
A B
Mega Ship Math Virginia Maritime Association May 8, 2014
INF Marketing & Logistics