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Medium‐term Business Plan“PEGASUS PhaseⅡ”(2014~2015):Tasks and Strategies for 2015
Please refer ”Notes” on page 45.
March, 2015 (Corrected on March 26, 2015)
SHOWA DENKO K.K.Hideo Ichikawa President & CEO
【Contents】
1. PEGASUS PhaseⅡ (2014~2015)
2. Business strategies for 2015
3. Strategies for major businesses
4. Priority tasks
Appendix
2
1. PEGASUS PhaseⅡ(2014~2015)
3
PhaseⅠ(2011‐2013)
PhaseⅡ(2014‐2015)
Measures taken in PEGASUS
PEGASUS(2011‐2015)Post‐PEGASUS
PEGASUSStructural reform to cope with drastic changes in the business environment1) Strategy to accelerate growth2) Restructuring of business scheme3) R&D focusing on promising themes2015: Acceleration of structural reform
⇒ Improvement in earning power
Post‐PEGASUSFaster Growth
4
1. PEGASUS Phase Ⅱ(2014 ‐ 2015)
Business portfolio in PEGASUS PhaseⅡ
5
Rare earths
SiC epi-wafer for power devices
PetrochemicalsBasic chemicals / Industrial gases
Aluminum cans
LBP cylinders
Inorganic functional materials LEDs
LIB materials
Fuel cell catalysts
Growth
NewGrowth
Base (Stable)
Functional chemicals
Semiconductor-processing high-purity gases
High-purity aluminum foil
ShoticTM
Base(Growth)
HD media
Graphite electrodes
PhaseⅡ
1. PEGASUS Phase Ⅱ(2014 ‐ 2015)
Restructuring of business scheme
2011 2012 2013 2014
▼Aluminum heat exchanger for cars (Sold)
▼VGCFTM‐X (Terminated)▼GaN LED (Separated into a JV) ▼Power generation (New contract)
▼Ethyl acetate・Change in production method (Japan)・Closed a plant in Indonesia ▼Venalum (Wrote‐down, aluminum
smelter in Venezuela)
▼Alumina・Closed Yokohama Plant・Plant in Indonesia started operation
6
Acquisition of treasury stocks
To boost shareholders’ return:Acquired treasury stocks amount to
68.3 million shares (¥10 billion)
▼Ceramics・Integration of domestic plants
【Power generation plant in Kawasaki】
1. PEGASUS Phase Ⅱ(2014 ‐ 2015)
▼Aluminum panels(Sold)
▼Aluminum alloys(Sold)
2. Business strategies for 2015
7
World economy forecast
3.32.4
0.8
7.4
0.1
3.5 3.6
1.2
6.8
0.6
3.73.3
1.4
6.3
0.8
World U.S.A. Europe China Japan
2014 2015 2016
【IMF: World economy forecast (in real GDP growth rates)】
(January 2015)
8
Overseas
U.S.A.: Strong growthChina: Slower growth (New normal)Europe: Prolonged stagnant moodASEAN: Slower but steady growth
We watch impacts of plunges in crude‐oil prices on world economy
Japan
Mild recovery with uncertaintyPickup in consumer spendingBenefits of a weak yenBottoming out of crude‐oil pricesEnforcement of growth strategy by the government expected
2. Business strategies for 2015
200
220
240
260
280
300
320
340
Jan.2013
Apr. Jul. Oct. Jan.2014
Apr. Jul. Oct. Jan.2015
forecast
Apr. Jul. Oct.
Changes in the business environment
(US$/t)
【Naphtha and crude‐oil prices】(US$/bbl.)
50
80
110
140
170
350
450
550
650
750
850
950
1050
Jan2013
Apr. Jul. Oct. Jan.2014
Apr. Jul. Oct. Jan.2015 forecast
Apr. Jul. Oct.
Naphtha prices (left)
Crude oil prices(Brent)
9
(Thousand ¥/t)
【Aluminum ingot prices, domestic】
2014Naphtha and petrochemicals prices plummeted
Aluminum ingot prices soared
2015 forecastNaphtha price will rise somewhat in 2HAluminum ingot prices will fall back but yen‐based prices will remain high
2. Business strategies for 2015
“Growth”: Accelerate intensive business expansions overseas. Strengthen earning power.
“Base (Stable)”: Maintain stable operation and high operating rates of plants
“New Growth”: Monetize businesses through expansion
Priority tasks under PhaseⅡ business portfolio
“Base (Growth)”:HD media: Expand sales of media for near‐line serversGraphite electrodes: Expanded production facilities in the U.S.
will start operation
10
2. Business strategies for 2015
2014 financial results; Plans for 2015
2013Results
2014Results
2015Plan* b ‐ a
Net sales 848.1 876.6 900.0 +23.4
Operating income 26.0 20.9 40.0 +19.1
Net income 9.1 3.5 15.0 +11.5
Dividends ¥3 ¥3(planned) ¥3
【Assumptions for 2015】Exchange rate: 115 yen/US$Naphtha price: 1H: ¥45,000/kl 2H: ¥57,000/kl
11
a b (Billions of Yen)
2. Business strategies for 2015
* Announced on February 12, 2015
12
2013Results
2014 Results
2015Plan* b ‐ a
Petrochemicals Net Sales 286.7 281.4 262.0 ‐19.4O.I. ** 4.4 ‐4.9 7.0 11.9
Chemicals Net Sales 130.7 139.1 153.0 13.9O.I. 2.6 5.5 9.5 4.0
Electronics Net Sales 136.5 138.5 149.0 10.5O.I. 21.9 25.8 24.0 ‐1.8
Inorganics Net Sales 65.9 67.6 80.0 12.4O.I. ‐0.8 ‐0.3 4.0 4.3
Aluminum Net Sales 90.4 98.0 111.0 13.0O.I. 5.8 3.0 2.5 ‐0.5
Other Net Sales 176.5 195.0 182.0 ‐13.0O.I. ‐0.6 ‐0.7 1.0 1.7
Adjustments Net Sales ‐38.7 ‐43.0 ‐37.0 6.0O.I. ‐7.3 ‐7.4 ‐8.0 ‐0.6
Total Net Sales 848.1 876.6 900.0 23.4O.I. 26.0 20.9 40.0 19.1
(Billions of Yen)
Sales and operating income by segment
** O.I.: operating income * Announced on February 12, 2015
2. Business strategies for 2015
ba
6.7
14.812.4 13.4 12.5
20.5
‐0
4.4
‐1.9 ‐3.0 ‐2.5
9.5
‐5.0
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
Operating income
13
1H 2H2013
1H 2H2014
1H 2H2015 Plan
6.7
19.2
10.5 10.4 10.0
30.0(Billions of Yen)
2. Business strategies for 2015
No shutdown maintenance+3.0
2014 2015Plan
Petrochemicals
Price
Cost reductions
20.9
+8.0
‐8.0
+11.9
40.0
+6.0
Exchange rate
Factors for increases in operating income, 2014 vs. 2015
14
Price +5.0Cost reductions+2.0Inventory valuation +1.9
Segments other than petrochemicals
+7.1
Volume, etc.
+1.1
(Billions of Yen)
2. Business strategies for 2015
Vietnam Rare earths Aluminum cans
IndonesiaCeramics
MalaysiaShoticTM
U.S.A. Graphite electrodes
Taiwan Semiconductor-processing high-purity gases
15
Ongoing investment projects under PhaseⅡ
China Graphite electrodes High-purity aluminum foil Semiconductor-processing
high-purity gases BMC new plant
KoreaSemiconductor-processing
high-purity gases
Strategy to accelerate growth2. Business strategies for 2015
16
44.4 47.351.2
39.8 40.7 42.6
2013 2014 2015Plan*
Capital investment Depreciation expenses
(Billions of Yen)
Capital investment plan
Concentrating on carefully selected projectsStrategic investment: Overseas market, centering on Asia
* Announced on February 12, 2015
2. Business strategies for 2015
¥51.2billionfor 2015
Petrochemicals
Chemicals
ElectronicsInorganics
Aluminum
Others
【Capex by segment】
Cost reduction plans for 2015
17
【Cost reduction by segment】
¥10.0billion
for 2015
Petrochemicals
Chemicals
Electronics
Inorganics
Aluminum
Others
2. Business strategies for 2015
Cost reduction plan : ¥10.0 billionTake strategic measures
3. Strategies for major businesses
18
■ HDD (million units)
950 961 980 1010 1050
552 565 560 550 540
1.75 1.70
1.75 1.85
1.95
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
-100
100
300
500
700
900
1100
1300
1500
HD media ‐1
Leading the industry with “Best in Class” strategy
Important themes
Market: Demands for near‐line servers will further increase
Aluminum substrates:Supply and demand situation will be tighter
Strengthen integrated production of media and substrates, and expand sales of media for near‐line servers ⇒Ratio of aluminum media and D/D
ratio will rise
Base (Growth)
【HDD/HD media market forecast】
(TSR and SDK estimates.)19
D/D ratio■ HD media(millions)
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
3. Strategies for major businesses
WesternDigital 28%
Seagate40%
Toshiba16%
HGST16%
2006786 mil.
units
19%
HGST
17%Seagate
29%
2014961 mil.
units
24%Western Digital
19%Fujitsu 3%Maxtor 5%HOYA 7%
Fuji Electric 5%
Western Digital
25%
Fuji Electric11%
Seagate 24%
HGST 12%
【HDD market by supplier】
2014 565 mil.
2014565 mil.
Enterprise 12%
Mobile* 52%
Desktop 36%
【HDD market by application】
【HD media market by company】
20(TrendFocus, TSR and SDK estimates.)
3. Strategies for major businesses
HD media ‐2Steadily increasing our market share, as our technical advantages are recognized
Base (Growth)
*Mobile: PC, external, auto, etc.
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
HD media ‐3SDK continues displaying technology leadership2.5” Marketed 8th generation media (750GB) with PMR technology
⇒ Accelerate technology development to realize 1TB/pl.3.5” Started commercial production of 1.1 ‐ 1.3TB/pl. media
(SDK estimates.) 21
1TB
500GB 500GB
670GB750GB
1TB
(GB/pl)【Progress in media density and capacity】
1.5TB2TB
PMRPMR
SMRSMR
HAMRHAMR
2.5”pl.
3. Strategies for major businesses Base (Growth)
2013 2014 2015 PlanOmachi U.S.A. Sichuan
Graphite electrodes (GE) ‐1Returns to growth trackWorld’s EAF production: +3 ‐ 5%/y growth expected
Important themes
Improve profitabilityU.S.A.Increased capacity⇒More high‐end products
JapanFacility renewal⇒Raise productivity
ChinaStarts commercialproduction of UHP
22
【Sales of SDK’s graphite electrodes】
110120
100
(%)
3. Strategies for major businesses Base (Growth)
6572
77 79 80 83
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
N/C/S America Europe/CISAsia (excepting China) MENA
23Estimate
Supply & demand gap narrows thanks to reduction in global capacity and demand recovery in US.【GE Global Supply/Demand gap】
0
(SDK estimates.)
Sur
plus
Shor
tage
(Net S/D gap)
3. Strategies for major businesses
Graphite electrodes (GE) ‐2
2014UHP(GE)global supplier
Graftech23%
NCK,4%
TKC13%
Other3%
SGL21%
SEC,3%
India20%
13%
【GE production capacity by supplier】
Base (Growth)
Capacity utilization rate
0
50
100
150
2013 2014 2015
Sales in four “Growth” businesses
Semiconductor‐processing high‐purity gases
Functional chemicals
High‐purityaluminum foil
Aluminum cans
(Billions of yen)
Plan24
Accelerate business expansion centering on Asia
3. Strategies for major businessesGrowth
NH3 N2O HBr Cl2Othergases
Infrastructure
Appli‐cation
Material gas Etching
JapanIncrease(‘15)
Increase(‘15)
New/Increase(‘15)
ChinaIncrease(‘15)
New/Increase(‘15)
New site(‘15)
TaiwanIncrease(‘15)
Acquisition(‘14)
Expansion(‘14)
KoreaIncrease(‘15)
Singapore
Expansion(‘14)
Semiconductor/LCD processing high‐purity gasesAccelerate growth through Matrix Strategy
Growth
Showa Specialty Gas (Taiwan) Co., Ltd.
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
2013 2014 2015 2016(WSTS)
【Semiconductor market in Asia Pacific】
Important themes
($ billion)
25
3. Strategies for major businesses
■ Forecast in spring 2014■ Increased in autumn 2014
Functional chemicalsExpanding Chinese marketSDK locates Second Bulk Molding Compound Plant in China
Important themes
Composite materialsEstablish second BMC production
site in ChinaConsolidate a subsidiary in
Shanghai (1Q)Increase sales for infrastructure
use
BionolleTM (Biodegradable plastic)Europe & China: Stricter
environmental regulation⇒Aggressive marketing focusing
on expanding markets
26
BMC
BionolleTM
Europe
Zhuhai
China
BMC productionsite
3. Strategies for major businessesGrowth
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
'10 '13 '15 '18 '10 '13 '15 '18
Japan China
【Electrolytic foil (high voltage) market forecast】
High‐purity aluminum foilEstablished two production site formation, one in Japan and the other in China, to accelerate growth
Important themes
Nantong, ChinaCommercial operation startedImproved profitabilityCapacity 400⇒600t/month (March)Expand sales in China
JapanMore production of high-value-added
products⇒Increase domestic market share to
be more than 60%Improve profitability by thorough cost
reductionRevise role margin (processing fee)
27(SDK estimates.)
(thousand ton/year)
3. Strategies for major businesses
■ High‐end ■ Volume
Growth
Aluminum cansDevelop Vietnamese market in full‐scaleRecover earning power in Japanese market
Important themes
28
2013 2015 Plan
conventional for coffee Vietnam
【Sales of SDK’s aluminum cans】
3. Strategies for major businesses
Vietnam (Hanacans)Improve quality⇒Sales
expansionLid production starts (4Q)
JapanExpand sales of cans for coffee with milk
Continue negotiation to revise prices
Growth
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
'14/Jan. Apr. Jul. Oct. '15/Jan. Apr.
Steady supply-demand balance of olefin in East AsiaMarket prices: Recovery expected in
2H of 2015Ethylene: Full capacity operation
continuesAcetyls: Contribute to increasing
profitPromote regional cooperationNew production method for butadiene
⇒Commercial application in 2018
Petrochemicals
“Compact, Open, Well balanced”
Important themes
Base(Stable)
【Market prices of ethylene and naphtha】($/t)
29
Ethylene
Naphtha (3 months before)
Spread
Spread worsened(Naphtha price plummeted)
3. Strategies for major businesses
Chemicals
We will do our best to recover our revenue base
Important themes
NH₃: Increase the percentage of feedstock from used plastic to 65%
Acrylonitrile: Improve spread Chloroprene: Increase sales to
the U.S. A. marketCO2 gas, Dry ice: Tight supply‐
demand situationOpen up new market
Power generation business: Improve profitability
30
3. Strategies for major businesses Base(Stable)
R&D focusing on promising themes
【Strengthening】SiC epitaxial wafersPlant factory unitsFull lineup of nano‐carbons(CNT, Fullerene, Graphene)
Development in area related to growth sectors
Strengthenexisting businesses Projects
Growth & New growth sectors(Electronics / Energy & Environment)
Institute for Polymers &Chemicals
Institutefor Advanced and CoreTechnology
Developmentdepartmentsat plants
31
Focuses on supporting expansion of existing businesses
New Growth
3. Strategies for major businesses
【Carbon nanofiber (VGCFTM)】
Lithium ion battery materialsRespond to the emerging large‐scale LIB marketGo in to growth track
Important themes
32
Laminated filmAdded production lines started commercial operationImprove quality⇒Accelerate development of new
products
Anode material (SCMGTM)Expand sales of new grade products for car applicationsAccelerate development of large capacitance products
Carbon nanofiber (VGCFTM)Expand applicability to car use
3. Strategies for major businesses New Growth
Home appliancesInverter air conditionersPower control unit for solar panels
RailcarsApplied to commuting trains in 2015
Car applicationWidely applied by 2020
Smart grids
SiC epitaxial wafers for power devices
Improve our position in line with the market expansion
Important themes
Expanded production lines for 6” SiC epitaxial wafersCapacity has been tripledImproved productivity
Strengthen R&D powerAttain fewer surface defectsImprove uniformity
33
3. Strategies for major businesses New Growth
4. Priority tasks
34
Zero disaster, Zero accidentMore safe and stable operation of plants
Take measures considering the next medium term business planIdentify milestones to boost the competitiveness of the SDK
Group
SDK Group’s priority tasks
Commitment to achieving the targetsStrategies anticipating changes in the environment:
Promote globalization and diversityGrasp customer needs quickly and achieve the targets earlier
than planned
35
4. Priority tasks
Notes
Performance forecast and other statements pertaining to the future as contained in this presentation are based on the information available as of today and assumptions as of today regarding risk factors that could affect our future performance. Actual results may differ materially from the forecast due to a variety of risk factors, including, but not limited to, the economic conditions, costs of naphtha and other raw materials, demand for our products, market conditions, and foreign exchange rates. We undertake no obligation to update the forward‐looking statements unless required by law.
36
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