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    Measles and Measles Containing Vaccine

    Progress in Global Measles

    Mortality Reduction

    Vaccine Supplier MeetingCopenhagen, 3 - 4 April 2008

    Edward Hoekstra, MD, MScSenior Health Specialist

    Co-ordinator Global Measles ProgramUNICEF / New York

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    Overview

    Goal

    Strategy

    Achievements

    3 - 5 year agenda

    Future

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    Malnourished girl hospitalized with post - measles encephalitis Kratie,Cambodia, 2001 (Photo: Keith Feldon)Estimated 1,700 children died in Cambodia of measles in 2001

    Measles kills

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    Corneal scarringcausing blindness

    Encephalitis

    Pneumonia &diarrhea

    Measles disables

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    Causes of 1.7 million global vaccine-preventable deaths among children, 2000

    Source: World Health Report 2001

    Measles

    HIB

    MNT

    Pertussis

    YF

    Diphtheria

    Polio

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    No second opportunity for measles immunization (47)

    98% of all measles deaths

    We knew WHERE

    Data year 1999

    757,000 deaths from measles in 2000

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    1. Strong routine immunization of > 80%

    2. Provide a 2nd opportunity for measlesimmunization

    3. Surveillance

    4. Improved measles case management

    We knew HOW

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    Measles Control Goalsby WHO Region, 2008

    2000

    2010

    2010 2012

    Africa and SE Asia havemortality reduction goals

    Americas, Europe, E. Mediterranean, W. Pacific have elimination goals

    GIVS Goal:90% reduction in deathsby 2010 (vs. 2000)

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    From 2001 - - 47 countries BEGAN

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    Success To Date

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    1st Dose Measles Coverage in 47 MeaslesPriority Countries, 2000 - 2006

    50%

    55%

    60%

    65%

    70%

    75%

    80%

    2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

    Source: WHO / UNICEF coverage estimates, 1999 - 2006 as of August 2007

    Percent

    56 %

    67 %

    80 %

    72 %Global Coverage 1st dose

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    Measles Mortality Reduction47 UNICEF / WHO Priority Countries

    2000

    No second opportunity 2005 (47)

    94 % of all measles deaths

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    Measles Mortality Reduction47 UNICEF / WHO Priority Countries

    2006

    Nationwide second dose of measles introduced (42)

    Partial implementation of second dose of measles introduced (3)

    No second opportunity 2005 (2)

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    Estimated measles deaths, 2000, 2006

    Dots are randomly distributedin countries.

    Data source: WHO/IVB, November 2007

    2000 757 000 deaths

    2006 242 000 deaths

    = 500 deaths 74%

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    Estimated Measles Deaths, 2000-2006

    Global Measles Deaths

    -

    200,000

    400,000

    600,000

    800,000

    1,000,000

    2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

    68%reduction

    2005Goal

    Source: Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. 2007;56(47):1237-41. A Dabbagh et al.

    2010Goal

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    Reduction in Estimated Measles Deathsby WHO Region, 2000 to 2006

    -100

    -90

    -80

    -70

    -60

    -50

    -40

    -30

    -20

    -10

    0

    AFR SEAR WPR EMR GLOBAL

    %r

    educ

    tion

    68%81%91% 78%

    90% 2010 reduction goal

    26 %

    Source: Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. 2007;56(47):1237-41. A Dabbagh et al.

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    Integrated Campaigns

    VitaminA

    PolioVaccination

    DewormingTablets

    Bednets

    > 87 million > 29 million > 30 million > 31 million

    In 2007, 84% of the 37 campaigns were integrated with at leastone other intervention

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    MR or MMR introduction

    Higher income countries

    One large scale introduction campaign

    Followed up by 2 dose routine immunization

    Not for Sub - Saharan Africa and South Asia

    Will see most activities in East Asia

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    IFFIm

    IFFIm

    IFFIm

    IFFIm

    MR Supplementary Immunization Activities(2007-2008)

    Country Dates Target Age Target population Coverage

    (reported)Armenia 1-13 Oct 07 6-27 yrs 942,767 96,8%

    Turkmenistan 12-25 Nov 07 7-23 yrs + 24-40yrs

    2,264,026 96.4%

    Uzbekistan 12-25 Nov 07 11-29 yrs 8,143,635 99.8%

    Georgia Sep-Oct 08 5-26 yrs 1,100,000

    Ukraine 08 15-29 yrs 9,000,000

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    Looking ahead

    Where we are going

    http://customersrock.files.wordpress.com/2007/04/binoculars.jpg
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    Planned Measles SIAs, 2008

    MeaslesMeasles - Rubella

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    Figure 2: Measles Initiative Annual Donations (2001-2007) and Financial

    Resource Requirements, Contributions, & Funding Gap (2008-2010)*

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

    $USMillion

    Donations Funds from 2007 Funds projected or pledged Funding Gap

    2001-2007

    Total donations: US$ 635 million

    2008: Funding gap US$ 23 million

    2009: Funding gap US$ 76 million

    2010: Funding gap US$ 102 million

    * Excluding anticipated country contributions for catch-up and follow-up SIAs for 2008-2010

    Annual Donor Expenditure and FinancialResource Requirements, 20012010*

    C

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    Figure 3: External contributions since 2001, and Funding Gap for 2008-2010

    UNICEF

    Japan

    UNF*ARC**

    CDC

    CIDAGAVI IFFIm

    2008-2010 funding

    gap $202 million

    * includes UNF and partners: The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Izumi,Vodafone, The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-Day Saints

    ** includes ARC and The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-Day Saints

    Total: $973 million (excluding country contributions)

    External Contributions since 2001, andFunding Gap for 2008 - 2010

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    Estimated Measles Vaccines Shipped by UNICEF1999 2007 and projections - 2020

    020406080

    100120

    140160180200220240260

    1999

    2001

    2003

    2005

    2007

    2009

    2011

    2013

    2014

    2016

    2018

    2020

    Dose

    sMillions

    India Needs

    http://www.unicef.org/infobycountry/27402_30951.html
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    Summary

    Most ambitious measles goal

    Less than 3 years to go

    The strategy works

    Africa already reached 2010 goal

    South East Asia accounts for 74% remaining deaths

    Secure funding for 2009 and beyond

    http://www.unicef.org/infobycountry/27402_30951.html
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    Measles InitiativeWorking Together to Save Lives

    Thank You

    Melinda and Bill GatesFoundation

    IFFIm

    JapaneseGovernment

    Vodafone