MC meeting Bucuresti 19-20 th of May, 2010

ES0601 Action progress report

COST ES0601 MC5 Bucuresti, 19-20 May 2010

Advances in HOmogenisation MEthods for climate series

an integrated approach

COST ES0601 “HOME”

MC meeting Bucuresti

19-20th of May, 2010



Agenda 19th morning

• Welcome of participants (09H30-10H00)• Adoption of minutes of last meeting• Adoption of Agenda• Presentation of new delegates• Matters arising• News from COST Office (Chandrasa)• Report from Grant Holder (Berta)• Status of Action



Agenda 19th, afternoon

• Progress report of Wgs (14H00)– Bibliography (Enric)– Benchmark (Victor)– Practical recommandations (Ingeborg)– Daily data (Petr, Olivier)



Agenda 20th Morning

• 09H00– Preparation of Annual Progress Conference

(Activity report)– Action planning– Action budget planning– Meeting plannings



20th Afternoon• 14H00

– planning of additional meetings and STSMs for period june 2010 – September 2010

– organization of R summer school– Preparation of year 4 workplan and budget

plan; next MC…– Constitution of WG5 : WG leader, volunteers– Vote for extension of the Action to additional 6

months (Training)– Publications…– AOB– Closing



MC opened

• Adoption of Agenda Y/N

• Adoption of minutes of last MCY/N

• Welcome to new delegates

• Matters arising Y/N



Report from COST Office

• COST Office news



Report from GH

• Status of budget



Main achievements this year

• Bibliography

• Intercomparison simulations

• Benchmark experiment - and Mallorca meeting

• Practical recommandations

• Advances in Dailies



To be improved

• Unification of procedures

– Blocking point for software implementation



To be discussed

• WG 5 constitution (software)

• Additional 6 months (training)



Progress Report

• WG1: Bibliography

– Enric, your turn…

• WG2/3 Benchmark results

– Victor….



Progress Report

• WG2/3 Practical recommandations

– Inge…



News from WG3 (correction)

• From bibliography• Multivariate

–MASH–Caussinus Mestre–Mixed Linear Models

• Unification of the 3 models (Tamas, Anders, Olivier)

• March meeting did not occur (agenda) - discussions

• To be organized asap <> software



WG3 : UBRIS2 experiment

• Urban effect and homogenisation

Mestre, Böhm, Auer, Stepanek, – C&M correction model, modified to take into account

additional non-climatic trends, adapted to monthly scale– Tested on a set of 13 Viennese series, Bucuresti and

Praha series – Allowed testing significance of urban trends and

correction



WG4 : daily values

• Petr : your turn...



Experiment on simulated data

• Great help from Christine Gruber STSM• Couple of series simulated according to a

bivariate AR(1) process• Allows control precisely temporal and

spatial correlations, as well as variance• Vincent, HOM and SPLIDHOM for various

correlations



Added inhomogeneities



Corrected vs Raw



Corrected vs Raw



ACTION PLANNING

• Elaborated with care• As detailed as possible



ACTION PLANNING

• PRIORITIES

UNIFICATION OF PROCEDURES

FINAL BENCHMARK ANALYSIS

HOMOGENISATION OF BENCHMARK DAILY DATASET

CONSTITUTION OF WG5



Suggestions for remaining budget

• Depending on actual MC expenses

• On a basis of 25k€ => 35k€ left– R summer school (already voted) ~12k€– 5 STSMs (1xUBRIS (?), 4x dailies~10k€– 1xEM (Paris, July, 4 persons) ~4k€– 1xEM (Zurich, september) ~2k€– 1xWG dedicated to Benchmark ~10k€

• VOTES



Additionnal Votes…

• Preparation of Second Installment of the Grant (MC approval)

• Preparation of next year Grant (MC approval)



WG5

• Volunteer….



FUTURE

• Date, place next MC• Date, place final event• Vote in favor of 6 months extension

Training purposes



Votes

• Remaining budget– STSMs– EMs– WG



THANKS SORIN!!!





European Added value

• Everybody is on board

• Large enough to interest other people

NOAA : Matt Menne

Canada : Lucie Vincent

Australia



Coordination

• Action is large (26 countries)

• Relying more on small WG/expert meetings and STSMs

• Management Committee = Dissemination of the results to all partners



Young people

• WG leaders and Chairman are not so old

• 2 STSMs (only), more in the future (6 planned next year)

Recall this is only our first year



Non-COST

• Andorra– Active participation to the “Catalan

experiment”– Motivated people

• Australia : quite recent



Dissemination

• homogenisation.org



Conferences

• ECSN, November 2007, Vienna

• EGU, April 2008, Vienna

• 6th Seminar on homogenisation, May 2008, Budapest



Articles

• At least 3 articles fully realized thanks to COST should be published in peer reviewed journals during year 2

• More articles written by COST members will acknowledge COST



Problems

• Web site– Used to be quite empty (much improved now)– Forum had to be closed

• Administration– Thanks to Carine and Chandrasa– Sorry to always forget signing the attendance list– Plenty of (small?) mistakes

• Personal involvement of the Chair : too large!



Further plans

• Large intercomparison experiment, based on the benchmark dataset

• Continue exploring mathematical procedures for detection

• Unifying correction procedures

• Encourage procedures for daily values



Further plans

• More STSMs (at least 6)

• Improving the web

• Publications



Thanks…

• To Sylvain and ESSEM DC, for having selected our Action

• To Carine & Chandrasa

• To the Action Rapporteur John Sweeney, who attended our last MC

(may we expect a milder review after that?)

Documents

MC meeting Bucuresti 19-20 th of May, 2010