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7/28/2019 May 20, 2013 AIC Presentation Slides
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7/28/2019 May 20, 2013 AIC Presentation Slides
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GROWTH IN GLOBAL ART SALES HAS BEEN PRINCIPAL DRIVER OF SOTHBYS EARNING
2
$0
$10,000,000
$20,000,000
$30,000,000
$40,000,000
$50,000,000
$60,000,000
$70,000,000
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Global Art Sales 1!
1 The source for Global Art Sales is the TEFAF (The European Fine Art Foundation) Art Market report prepared by Art Economist, Clare McAndrew, and updated annually. Reports are available at www.tefaf.com !
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GLOBAL ART SALES VS. VARIOUS INDICES
3
1 The source for Global Art Sales is the TEFAF (The European Fine Art Foundation) Art Market report prepared by Art Economist, Clare McAndrew, and updated annually. Reports are available at www.tefaf.com !
0
5
10
15
20
25
1 9 9 0
1 9 9 1
1 9 9 2
1 9 9 3
1 9 9 4
1 9 9 5
1 9 9 6
1 9 9 7
1 9 9 8
1 9 9 9
2 0 0 0
2 0 0 1
2 0 0 2
2 0 0 3
2 0 0 4
2 0 0 5
2 0 0 6
2 0 0 7
2 0 0 8
2 0 0 9
2 0 1 0
2 0 1 1
2 0 1 2
Global Art Sales 1 vs. Various Indices
10 Year Treasury
S&P500
VIX
Gold
Global Art Sales
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CHRISTIES HAS WON SHARE 8 OUT 13 YEARS, FIVE OF THOSE SOTHEBYS POSTED LOSSES1
4
1Loss Years: 2000, 2001, 2002, 2003, 2009
$0.0 !
$0.5 !
$1.0 !
$1.5 !
$2.0 !
$2.5 !
$3.0 !
$3.5 !
$4.0 !
$4.5 !
$5.0 !
$5.5 !$6.0 !
2012 !2011 !2010 !2009 !2008 !2007 !2006 !2005 !2004 !2003 !2002 !2001 !2000 !
B i l l i o n s
Sotheby's and Christie's Auction Sales !
Sotheby's ! Christie's !
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THE CONTEMPORARY ART SECTOR HAS OVERTAKEN CHINESE AT SOTHEBYS & CHRIS
Data: Artvest Partners!
$0 !
$200 !
$400 !
$600 !
$800 !
$1,000 !
$1,200 !
$1,400 !
$1,600 !
$1,800 !
2006 ! 2007 ! 2008 ! 2009 ! 2010 ! 2011 ! 2012 !
M i l l i o n s
NY Impressionist & Modern
NY Post-War & Contemporary
HK Chinese Art
Totals are based on hammer prices plus buyers premium !
5
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SELECTED CAUSES OF MARKET SHOCKS
Natural Disaster War/Terrorism Political Disruption Fraud Regulatory Change Liquidity Crisis
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DISASTER LOSSES
10,000,000
100,000,000
1,000,000,000
10,000,000,000
100,000,000,000
2000 2005 2010 2015
Hurricane
Art
EarthquakeTerrorist
$1 Billion
$100 Million
Sandy
9/11
9/11
Katrina Japan Tsunami
Momart
Year
$100 Billion
$10 Billion
T
a
L
L
Scae
Sandy
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FINANCIAL FRAUD
10,000,000
100,000,000
1,000,000,000
10,000,000,000
100,000,000,000
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
FinancialArt
Stanford
Dreier
FrankelSalander
Knoedler
Beltracchi
$100 Billion
$10 Billion
$1 Billion
$100 Million
Year
Ta
L
L
Scae
Madoff
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FINANCIAL FRAUD
10,000,000
100,000,000
1,000,000,000
10,000,000,000
100,000,000,000
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
FinancialArt
Stanford
Dreier
FrankelSalander
Knoedler
Beltracchi
$100 Billion
$10 Billion
$1 Billion
$100 Million
Year
Ta
L
L
Scae
Madoff
?
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QUESTIONS?