7/31/2019 Matt Smith Internal Poll (SD-37)
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Smith ahead in the pollsSmith leads Raja by double digits,
54%-38%
Wednesday, August 29th
Mt. Lebanon, PA - Rep. Matt Smith today released a polling memo
showing him with acommanding 54%-38% lead over Raja in the race to
replace retired State Sen. JohnPippy in the 37th Senate
district.
Im extremely proud of the vast and growing support that I have
received in mycampaign for the State Senate. It is clear that the
voters support my vision for buildingthe future here in Western
Pennsylvania by investing in education and creating jobs,and I
intend to work hard to earn the privilege of serving the residents
of the 37th districtas their State Senator.
The full polling memo is attached.
# # #
Campaign Contact:
Jake [email protected]
mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]:[email protected]
7/31/2019 Matt Smith Internal Poll (SD-37)
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August 10, 2012
TO: Interested PartiesFR: Marc SilvermanRE: Polling results in
Pennsylvania Senate District 37
Recent polling in Pennsylvanias 37th
State Senate district shows Democrat Matt Smith inposition to
win this Republican-held seat. Smith leads Republican State Senate
candidate Raja
by double-digits. The 37th
district is a true swing district, with a nearly even generic
ballot. Mitt
Romney has a slight advantage over President Obama, while U. S.
Senator Bob Casey leads in
his race. Smith should be able to hold onto this lead and win as
long as he has the resources toeffectively communicate with
voters.
The Current Vote
Smith is over 50% on the current vote and leads Raja by 16
points (54% Smith / 38%Raja / 8% undecided).
Raja finds himself with a difficult task as he must drive voters
away from Smith, who isalready over 50%, while winning over nearly
every undecided voter. Unfortunately,undecided voters identify
themselves as 44% Democratic / 39% Republican / 17%
independent, so Raja has no built-in advantage with them.
Rajas task is even more daunting because he begins this race
with a net-unfavorablerating (36% favorable / 41% unfavorable / 23%
cant rate), and voters are already
inclined not to vote for him.
The Political Environment
The generic ballot is extremely competitive with Republicans
holding a two-pointadvantage, 44% Democratic / 46% Republican / 12%
persuadable. Rajas net-
unfavorable rating is taking a toll on his vote total as he
cannot even hold on to genericballot Republicans.
The race for President is very close with Mitt Romney holding a
one-point lead (46%Obama / 47% Romney / 7% undecided).
U.S. Senator Bob Casey leads Republican Tom Smith by 4 points
(50% Casey / 46%Smith / 4% undecided).
Thirty-Ninth Street Strategies conducted N=400 interviews with
likely 2012 general election voters in
Pennsylvanias 37th State Senate District. Interviews were
conducted August 6-9, 2012. Respondents were
selected at random, with interviews apportioned geographically
based on past voter turnout. Expected margin of
sampling error for these results is +4.9% with a 95% confidence
level.
