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Corporate Real Estate Portfolios 2040according to ICT trends
Master Thesis R.P.C. (Robert) Rosa
Content• Introduction• Introducing topic
• Trends towards 2040• Future Demand 2040
• Matching• Step by step towards 2040
• Conclusion• Questions
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Methodology
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Methodology
Introducing Topic
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Topic
Corporate Real Estate Portfolios 2040according to ICT trends
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“Increasing mismatch between static office supply and fast changing demand office use”
Problem
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Problem
“The effects of the new way of working in addition to office downsizing due to the economic crisis form a real problem. There seems to be a double dip. The high office vacancy rate is an economic and social problem” (van der Meer, 2010).
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Main research question
What is the future demand of office workers for corporate real estate portfolios in the Netherlands in the year 2040 as a result of ICT developments over the next two decades and how can the supply be matched with this demand?
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Introducing the world of office work
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Introducing the world of office work
(source: Rummler and Brache, 2012)
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Introducing the world of office work
(source: van Meel et al., 2010)
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Introducing the world of office work
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Trends towards 2040
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Trends towards 2040
(source: Gartner, 2012)
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Trends towards 2040
ICT Real Estate
Ways of working
Workers
Regus
KPN (Getronics)Future check
CrozzRoads
NS Stations
CISCO
JJVO
USMedia
MicrosoftKNS
Automatisering
Talent FirstSaskia de Bel
Transpolis
Decos
SpacesThe Hub
YNNO
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Trends towards 2040Trends Definition
BYOD Bring your own device (BYOD) is an alternative strategy allowing employees, business partners and other users to utilize a personally selected and purchased client device to execute enterprise applications and access data. Typically, it spans smartphones and tablets, but the strategy may also be used for PCs. It may include a subsidy.
Reading Listening Watching Writing/drawing
Operate computer applications
CMC (Computer mediated communication)
Natural communication
Commuting
Not relevant
BYOD
Freedom
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Trends towards 2040
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Trends towards 2040
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Future Demand 2040:Choice in place & Freedom in Technology
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Future Demand 2040:Choice in place & Freedom in Technology
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Future Demand 2040:Choice in place & Freedom in Technology
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Future Demand 2040:Choice in place & Freedom in Technology
(source: CBS (2010: PBK (2011)
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Future Demand 2040:Choice in place & Freedom in Technology
(Creative) outputs of value to organisation
Competition
Freedom + Mobility + Generations + Slower Workforce Growth
War for talent
Knowledge workers determine demand!
The most convenient: Workplace, Location, Time, ICT
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Future Demand 2040:
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Future Demand 2040:
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Current ‘Assigned’ supply ≠Future ‘Freedom & Choice’ demand
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Current ‘Assigned’ supply ≠Future ‘Freedom & Choice’ demand
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Mobile devices + Cloud + BYOD/CYOD => Mobility (work anywhere at any time)
Future Demand 2040:
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Future Demand 2040:
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Matching: future demand withcorporate real estate portfolios 2013-2040
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Matching
Source: JLL (20)2
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Matching
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Matching
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Step by step plan:First, second welcome third
Source: DEGI Deutsche Gesellschaft für Immobilienfonds mbH (German Society for Real Estate Funds)
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Step by step plan
Source: DEGI Deutsche Gesellschaft für Immobilienfonds mbH (German Society for Real Estate Funds)
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Step by step plan
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Step by step plan
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Future supply:Bits, Bricks & Brains
Conclusion
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“Increasing mismatch between static office supply and fast alternating changing demand for innovative workplaces.”
Problem Solved
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2040