Markets Derivatives

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    IAPM

    FNC-602

    Instructor: Dr. Kumail Rizvi

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    DERIVATIVEMARKETSAND

    INSTRUMENTS2

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    WHATISADERIVATIVE?

    A derivative is an instrument whose value dependson, or is derived from, the value of another asset.

    Examples: futures, forwards, swaps, options,exotics

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    WHYDERIVATIVESAREIMPORTANT

    Derivatives play a key role in transferring risks in theeconomy

    The underlying assets include stocks, currencies,interest rates, commodities, debt instruments,electricity, insurance payouts, the weather, etc

    Many financial transactions have embeddedderivatives

    The real options approach to assessing capitalinvestment decisions has become widely accepted

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    MAJORPLAYERSINDERIVATIVESMARKET

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    DERIVATIVEDEALERS

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    CLEARINGHOUSE

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    EXPOSUREWITHOUTCLEARINGHOUSE

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    EXPOSUREWITHCLEARINGHOUSE

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    MECHANISMTOREDUCECOUNTERPARTY

    RISK

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    EXCHANGESANDCLEARINGHOUSE

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    SIZEOFOTCANDEXCHANGE-TRADED

    MARKETS

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    Source: Bank for International Settlements. Chart shows total principal amounts for

    OTC market and value of underlying assets for exchange market

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    THELEHMANBANKRUPTCY

    Lehmans filed for bankruptcy on September 15, 2008.

    This was the biggest bankruptcy in US history

    Lehman was an active participant in the OTC derivativesmarkets and got into financial difficulties because it tookhigh risks and found it was unable to roll over its shortterm funding

    It had hundreds of thousands of transactions outstanding

    with about 8,000 counterparties Unwinding these transactions has been challenging for

    both the Lehman liquidators and their counterparties

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    HOWDERIVATIVESAREUSED To hedge risks

    To speculate (take a view on the futuredirection of the market)

    To lock in an arbitrage profit To change the nature of a liability

    To change the nature of an investmentwithout incurring the costs of selling one

    portfolio and buying another

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    TYPESOFDERIVATIVEINSTRUMENTS

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    FORWARDPAYOFF

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    PAYOFF

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    FORWARDPRICE

    The forward price for a contract is the deliveryprice that would be applicable to the contract if itwere negotiated today (i.e., it is the delivery

    price that would make the contract worth exactlyzero)

    The forward price may be different for contractsof different maturities (as shown by the table)

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    FOREIGNEXCHANGE(USD)QUOTESFOR

    GBP, MAY24, 2010

    21Bid Ask

    Spot 1.4407 1.4411

    1-month forward 1.4408 1.4413

    3-month forward 1.4410 1.4415

    6-month forward 1.4416 1.4422

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    TERMINOLOGY

    The party that has agreed to buy has whatis termed a long position

    The party that has agreed to sell has what

    is termed a short position

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    EXAMPLE

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    HEDGINGWITHFORWARDS

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    FOREIGNEXCHANGE(USD)QUOTESFOR

    GBP, MAY24, 2010

    25Bid Ask

    Spot 1.4407 1.4411

    1-month forward 1.4408 1.4413

    3-month forward 1.4410 1.4415

    6-month forward 1.4416 1.4422

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    EXAMPLE

    On May 24, 2010 the treasurer of a corporationenters into a long forward contract to buy 1 millionin six months at an exchange rate of 1.4422

    This obligates the corporation to pay $1,442,200 for

    1 million on November 24, 2010

    What are the possible outcomes?

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    PROFITFROMALONGFORWARDPOSITION(K=

    DELIVERYPRICE=FORWARDPRICEATTIMECONTRACTISENTEREDINTO)

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    Profit

    Price of Underlying at

    Maturity, STK

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    PROFITFROMASHORTFORWARDPOSITION(K=DELIVERYPRICE=FORWARDPRICEATTIMECONTRACTIS

    ENTEREDINTO)

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    Profit

    Price of Underlying

    at Maturity, STK

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    FUTURESCONTRACTS

    Agreement to buy or sell an asset for a certain priceat a certain time

    Similar to forward contract

    Whereas a forward contract is traded OTC, afutures contract is traded on an exchange

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    EXCHANGESTRADINGFUTURES

    CME Group (formerly Chicago MercantileExchange and Chicago Board of Trade)

    NYSE Euronext

    BM&F (Sao Paulo, Brazil)

    TIFFE (Tokyo)

    and many more

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    FUTURESCONTRACTS

    Available on a wide range of assets

    Exchange traded

    Specifications need to be defined: What can be delivered,

    Where it can be delivered, &

    When it can be delivered

    Settled daily

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    FORWARDVS. FUTURES

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    SPECIFICATIONSOFFUTURESCONTRACT

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    EXAMPLESOFFUTURESCONTRACTS

    Agreement to:

    Buy 100 oz. of gold @ US$1400/oz. in December

    Sell 62,500 @ 1.4500 US$/ in March

    Sell 1,000 bbl. of oil @ US$90/bbl. in April

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    OILFUTURES

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    CORNFUTURES

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    STOCKFUTURES

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    OTHERTYPESOFFUTURES

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    MINISTOCKFUTURESCONTRACTS

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    MARGINREQUIREMENT

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    EXAMPLEOFAFUTURESTRADE

    An investor takes a long position in 2 Decembergold futures contracts on June 5

    contract size is 100 oz. futures price is US$1250

    initial margin requirement is US$6,000/contract(US$12,000 in total)

    maintenance margin is US$4,500/contract (US$9,000in total)

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    A POSSIBLEOUTCOME

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    Da

    y

    Trade

    Price

    ($)

    Settle

    Price

    ($)

    Daily

    Gain ($)

    Cumul.

    Gain ($)

    Margin

    Balance

    ($)

    Margin

    Call ($)

    1 1,250.00 12,0001 1,241.00 1,800 1,800 10,200

    2 1,238.30 540 2,340 9,660

    .. .. .. ..

    6 1,236.20 780 2,760 9,240

    7 1,229.90 1,260 4,020 7,980 4,020

    8 1,230.80 180 3,840 12,180

    .. .. .. ..

    16 1,226.90 780 4,620 15,180

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    ANOTHEREXAMPLE

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    MARGINCASHFLOWSWHENFUTURES

    PRICEINCREASES

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    Long Trader

    Broker

    Clearing HouseMember

    Clearing House

    Clearing HouseMember

    Broker

    Short Trader

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    MARGINCASHFLOWSWHENFUTURES

    PRICE

    DECREASES

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    Long Trader

    Broker

    Clearing HouseMember

    Clearing House

    Clearing HouseMember

    Broker

    Short Trader

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    CRUDEOILTRADINGONMAY26, 2010

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    Open High Low Settle Change Volume Open Int

    Jul 2010 70.06 71.70 69.21 71.51 2.76 6,315 388,902

    Aug 2010 71.25 72.77 70.42 72.54 2.44 3,746 115,305

    Dec 2010 74.00 75.34 73.17 75.23 2.19 5,055 196,033

    Dec 2011 77.01 78.59 76.51 78.53 2.00 4,175 100,674

    Dec 2012 78.50 80.21 78.50 80.18 1.86 1,258 70,126

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    REGULATIONOFFUTURES

    In the US, the regulation of futures markets isprimarily the responsibility of the Commodity

    Futures and Trading Commission (CFTC)

    Regulators try to protect the public interest andprevent questionable trading practices

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    OPTIONS

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    OPTIONS

    A call option is an option to buy a certain asset by acertain date for a certain price (the strike price)

    A put option is an option to sell a certain asset by acertain date for a certain price (the strike price)

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    TYPESOFOPTION

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    OPTIONSVSFUTURES/FORWARDS

    A futures/forward contract gives the holder theobligation to buy or sell at a certain price

    An option gives the holder the right to buy or sell ata certain price

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    OPTIONPAYOFF

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    CALLOPTIONPAYOFFTOLONG

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    PROFITTOLONGCALLBUYER

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    OPTIONPOSITIONS

    Long call

    Long put

    Short call Short put

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    SHORTCALL

    Profit from writing one European call option: optionprice = $5, strike price = $100

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    -30

    -20

    -10

    05

    70 80 90 100

    110 120 130

    Profit ($)

    Terminal

    stock price ($)

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    LONGPUT

    Profit from buying a European put option: option price= $7, strike price = $70

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    30

    20

    10

    0

    -770605040 80 90 100

    Profit ($)

    Terminal

    stock price ($)

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    PAYOFFS FROM OPTIONS

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    PAYOFFSFROMOPTIONS

    WHATISTHEOPTIONPOSITIONINEACH

    CASE?

    K= Strike price, ST= Price of asset at maturity

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    Payoff Payoff

    ST

    ST

    K

    K

    Payof

    f Payoff

    ST

    ST

    K

    K

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    ASSETSUNDERLYING

    EXCHANGE-TRADEDOPTIONS

    Stocks

    Foreign Currency

    Stock Indices

    Futures

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    SPECIFICATIONOF

    EXCHANGE-TRADEDOPTIONS

    Expiration date

    Strike price European or American

    Call or Put (option class)

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    TERMINOLOGY

    Moneyness :

    At-the-money option

    In-the-money option

    Out-of-the-money option

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    EXAMPLE

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    SOLUTION

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    HEDGINGWITHAPUTOPTION

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    SOLUTION

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    SPECULATINGWITHOPTIONS

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    SOLUTION

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