Market study

Macro industry & outlook:

https://www.reportbuyer.com/product/2166032/Global-Poultry-Feed-Market-–-Trends-And-Forecasts-2014-2020.html

Global Poultry feed market is expected to grow from a $ 182.5 Billion in 2013, to $220 Billion market by 2020, growing at a CAGR of 2.7%

during the forecast period.

Poultry is the largest meat production segment in the global meat industry. Poultry meat is universally consumed and, unlike beef and pork,

is devoid of any religious impact. Globally poultry meat production is expected to increase from 95.7 million tons in 2011 to 124.6 million tons

by 2017.

The highest poultry production is expected in developing parts of the world such as China and Brazil because of rising living standards,

production cost benefits, and strong export and domestic demand. The poultry industry in these countries also benefits from lenient feed

related regulations.

Trade

Importing countries to produce more, trade diversions expected due to highly pathogenic avian influenza

Growth in global poultry production is forecast to be “limited” this year, reports the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) Food Outlook published this month, with output rising by only 1.4 percent to 111.8 million tones, half the 3 percent trend observed over the last decade.

While falling feed prices have supported growth in many countries, challenges in China continue to weigh on the world total. In China, concerns over avian influenza have caused demand for poultry to stall, and overall production this year is forecast to be stagnant at 18.5 million metric tons.

Excluding China, the tendency in all other largest producing countries is expected to be positive. The report, written before the full the extent of the U.S. avian influenza outbreak had become apparent, forecast that the U.S. poultry industry could grow by 0.8 percent this year to 20.7 million metric tons. Gains were also forecast for the EU, Brazil, the Russian Federation, Mexico, India, Iran and Turkey.

Slow growth in poultry meat trade

Although the volume of trade in poultry has increased by 55 percent over the past decade, growth has slowed since 2013, and this trend is expected to continue this year. The FAO believes that the global trade in poultry meat will rise by only 2.6 percent this year to 13.1 million metric tons.

This is due, in part, higher production in importing countries, reducing their need to import. Additionally, outbreaks of highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) in some areas of the U.S. from January onward has caused numerous countries to suspend imports from this country, pending its containment and eradication.

The two major poultry meat importers, China and Japan, are projected to maintain their purchases at similar levels to last year. Stable to positive growth in imports by other major markets including Mexico, Saudi Arabia, the EU and Vietnam is expected to contrast with a second year of falling purchases by the Russian Federation. In the latter, imports are provisionally estimated to decline by 12 percent, stemming from abundant domestic production and the August 2014 trade ban on imports from specific countries.

In Africa, imports as a whole are forecast to rise by 6.7 percent. Among the main importing countries Angola and Benin are anticipated to purchase more as income growth strengthens demand, while imports by South Africa are forecast to rise by 1 percent.

New export opportunities

The three leading exporters, Brazil, the U.S. and the EU, which together account for almost three quarters of global poultry exports, have seen little expansion in sales in recent years. This situation may change in 2015, when Brazilian sales may receive a boost from the US HPAI  outbreaks and related export restriction and from the opening up of opportunities in Russia.

Brazil, along with second tier exporters such as Thailand and Turkey, are projected to drive expansion of world poultry exports in 2015. Argentina, however, which has also seen substantial growth in recent years, suffered a decline in its principal market Venezuela in 2014, and a further overall decline in sales is anticipated this year.

Egypt

Industry Trend Analysis - Positive Outlook For Egypt's Poultry Sector - FEB 2015Middle East & Africa February 2015 / Egypt / Industry

BMI View : Egypt's livestock sector will post solid growth out to 2018/19 on the back of an improving investment environment, strong domestic demand and low input costs. We expect the country's poultry sector to grow the strongest over this time frame

Egypt's poultry sector will post strong output and consumption growth over the next few years, outperforming the country's beef industry. The production of pork in Egypt remains marginal and illegal, but anecdotal reports suggest the unofficial sector is growing, following a crackdown by the government in 2009 in light of swine flu and political unrest.

We forecast poultry output in Egypt to increase by 2.1% year-on-year (y-o-y) in 2014/15, to reach 955,000 tonnes. We believe that beef production will fall by 6.3% y-o-y to come in at 300,000 tonnes. Beef output will decline in 2014/15 due to lower heads of cattle and herd rebuilding, following very strong production growth in 2013/14. Poultry output, on the other hand, will expand due to increasing demand, a stronger investment environment within Egypt and cheap input costs. Our Food & Drink team holds a positive view on the Egyptian food processing sector, as political stability will reinvigorate economic growth and investment in the country 

gypt - Beef & Poultry Production ('000 tonnes)

GAIN Report 4/23/2014 Grain and Feed Annual 2014

Most of the imported corn is being used in feed production for the poultry industry. Post predicts that imports of corn will increase in 2014/15 due to expansion in the poultry and feed industry.

it became increasingly common for farmers to purchase subsidized bread as feed for their poultry due to its low cost and high feed value compared to bran.

A recovery of the poultry industry is expected to solidify imports at around 6.5 MMT.

Food Outlook - Food and Agriculture Organization of the ...