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Electric Vehicle Market – India
November 2014
2 ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET IN INDIA 2014.PPT
Executive Summary
Market
Drivers & Challenges
Competition
Indian electric vehicle market is expected to reach INR a6 mn units in 20------, growing sharply at a CAGR of x%,
from INR a1 mn units in 20-----
Segment 2 accounts for ~b2% of the electric vehicle market
Trends Entry of New Players
Retro Hybrid Fitment Kit
Drivers:
• Government Initiatives
• Rise in Fuel Costs
• Low Operating and Maintenance Cost
• Foreign Dependence for Crude Oil
• Environment Friendly
Government Initiatives
Alternate Fuels for Surface Transportation Programme (AFSTP)
National Electric Mobility Mission Plan 20--
• Demand Generation
• Research and Development
• Manufacturing Incentives
• Infrastructure Development
Challenges:
• Low Vehicle Performance
• Inefficient Battery
• Price Constraint
• Power Shortage
• Lack of Infrastructure
Major Players
Company A Company B Company C Company D Company E
3
•Macro Economic Indicators
•Introduction
•Market Overview
• Electric Vehicle
• Major Segments
•Market Analysis
•Drivers & Challenges
•Government Initiatives
•Trends
•Competitive Landscape
•Strategic Recommendations
•Appendix ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET IN INDIA 2014.PPT
4
SAMPLE Macro Economic Indicators (1/3)
INR tn
a
b
c
d
e
Q-
y4
z4
k4
Q-
y3
z3
k3
Q-
x2
y2
z2
k2
Q -
x1
y1
z1
k1
20-- 20-- 20-- 20--
GDP at Factor Cost: X
Inflation Rate: Y
%
f
g
h
i
j
k
20--
a5
20--
a4
20--
a3
20--
a2
20--
a1
ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET IN INDIA 2014.PPT
5
SAMPLE Electric vehicles are battery operated vehicles, primarily categorized into four different types
• Electric vehicles are propelled by an electric motor (or motors) powered by rechargeable battery packs
oAvailable in various segments across the globe, ranging from bicycles to cars, three wheelers to heavy commercial vehicles
Electric Vehicle – Introduction
Electric drive train primarily consists:
Component 1 Component 2 Component 3 Component 4
Types of Electric Vehicles – Technology-wise
• Description 1 • Description 2 • Description 3 • Description 4
Battery Electric Vehicles Plug in Hybrid Electric
Vehicles Hybrid Electric Vehicles Fuel Cell Electric Vehicles
BEV PHEV HEV FCEV
ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET IN INDIA 2014.PPT
6
Targeted fuel savings and reduction in pollution within 20--will ensure a sustained growth of the electric vehicle market
Market Overview – Electric Vehicles
• Electric vehicle market in India is at a nascent stage, providing huge untapped market potential for the players to
capitalize upon
• Market comprises of segment 1, segment 2, segment 3 and other types of vehicles
Currently, segment 2 dominates the market accounting for b1% of the overall electric vehicle sales in India
• Greater adoption of electric vehicles will aid in bringing down the level of pollution along with significant fuel savings in
the country
Government support in four primary categories namely demand generation, research and development, manufacturing incentives and
infrastructure development, will create an economically feasible and self sustaining electric vehicle market in the coming years
Market Share – Segment-wise (20-----) Market Size & Growth
mn units
a
b
c
d
+x%
20----e
a6
20-----e
a5
20-----e
a4
20-----e
a3
20-----e
a2
20-----
a1 95%
3% 1%
1%
Others
Segment 3
Segment 2
Segment 1
ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET IN INDIA 2014.PPT
7
Supply Chain Cost Comparison – Electric Vehicle vs. ICE Vehicle
Research and Development
Assembly Marketing Component Production
Sales and Distribution
After Sales Service
a
b
c
d
e
f
g
h
i
0
a12% a11%
a10% a9%
a8% a7%
a6% a5%
a4% a3%
a2% a1%
ICE vehicle Electric Vehicle (High Volume)
> Accounts for ~x% of vehicle lifecycle cost for a 4W
Vehicle Lifecycle Cost Comparison – Supply Chain Wise
ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET IN INDIA 2014.PPT
8
Segment 1 to witness phenomenal growth with increasing consumer acceptability and government support
Market Overview – Segment 1
Consumer Preference – Electric Vehicle Technology-wise
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
units
20----- e
+x%
a6
20----- e 20----- e
a5
20----- e 20----- e
a3 a1
20-----
a4
a2
70%-75% 25%-30%
Share of Consumers prefer Segment 1 than ICE
Others
50%
32%--33% 17%-18%
Preference for Technology 1
Preference for Technology 2
Preference for Technology 3
Poor pick up, low top speed and battery replacement issues are
restricting the adoption of Technology 3 type Segment 1
electric vehicles
• Segment 1 has huge potential in India wherein
consumers have higher preference for Technology1
Segment 1 electric vehicles
Major auto players such as company A, company B and
company C are evaluating the electric car market
• Government support for demand creation coupled with
improvements in technology and infrastructure will drive
this segment
Market Size & Growth
ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET IN INDIA 2014.PPT
9
SAMPLE
Matrix of Key Challenges to Electric Vehicle Adoption – Segment-wise
Comparative Factors 4W 2W 3W LCV Bus Ranking
Factor 1
Factor 2
Factor 3
Factor 4
Factor 5
Finding 1
4
5
3
2
1
ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET IN INDIA 2014.PPT
10
Drivers & Challenges – Summary
Drivers
Government Initiatives
Rise in Fuel Costs
Low Operating and Maintenance Cost
Foreign Dependence for Crude Oil
Environment Friendly
Challenges
Low Vehicle Performance
Inefficient Battery
Price Constraint
Power Shortage
Lack of Infrastructure
ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET IN INDIA 2014.PPT
11
Impact
Government initiatives and subsidies to emerge as a major growth…
Government Initiatives (1/3)
• Finding 1
• Finding 2
• Finding 3
• Finding 4
Sub-finding 1
Sub-finding 2
• Finding 5
x% Subsidy on base price
Refund of road tax and registration charges
y% exemption on VAT
ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET IN INDIA 2014.PPT
12
Alternate Fuels for Surface Transportation Program was adopted to…
Alternate Fuels for Surface Transportation Program (AFSTP) (1/3)
Targets and Incentive Layout (FY20-- and FY20--)
Electric Vehicle – Segments Type of Vehicle Target ( no. of vehicles) Assistance per
vehicle Cap on
Incentives
Segment 1 Type 1 a1 b1
z% ex-factory cost of vehicles
INR c1
Type 2 a2 b2 INR c2
Segment 2 Type 3 a3 b3 INR c3
Segment 3 Type 4 a4 b4 INR c4 mn
Segment 4 Type 5 - - INR c5 mn
• AFSTP was announced in Nov 20-- and was run by the Ministry 1
• Government had allocated INR x mn to provide financial incentives during 20-----
• OEMs were required to register with Organization 1 in order to benefit from this scheme
They had to provide a minimum y year warranty period along with setting up z service stations across country 1
Manufacturers sold the electric vehicles at a subsidized rate to the customers and later claimed a refund from the
government
Scheme Adoption
ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET IN INDIA 2014.PPT
13
SAMPLE
NEMMP 20-- to support the long term growth and development of the domestic electric vehicle market
National Electric Mobility Mission Plan 20-- sets the future outlook and objective along with laying down the pathway for accomplishing considerable penetration of electric vehicles (including hybrids) in India by 20--
Benefits
Benefits
• NEMMP 20-- has been approved by the Organization 1 on xth Aug 20-- with a target of producing z mn green
vehicles by 20--, out of which z1-z2 mn are expected to be type 1 vehicles
• Total investment required over the next f years: INR a1-a2 bn
• Government plans to provide d% of the resources with an investment of INR b1-b2 bn and the remaining should
come from the industry for developing infrastructure and encouraging the use of environment friendly electric
vehicles
Results
National Electric Mobility Mission Plan 20-- (NEMMP 20--)
ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET IN INDIA 2014.PPT
14
NEMMP 20-- – Potential Roadmap for Hybridization/ Electrification
20-- 20-- 20----- 20--
Year
Electric Vehicle Penetration
4. Point 4
1. Point 1
2. Point 2
3. Point 3
“Analysis 2”
“Analysis 3”
“Analysis 4”
“Analysis 1”
Finding 2
Finding 1
SAMPLE
ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET IN INDIA 2014.PPT
15
Projected Demand in India (20--e) – Electric Vehicle Technology-wise and Segment-wise
• Finding 1
• Finding 2
• Finding 3
• Finding 4
Electric Vehicle Technology
Electric Vehicle Segments
Potential Demand for Electric Vehicles (20--e)
(mn units)
Technology 1 Technology 2 Technology 3
Segment 1 Segment 2 Segment 3
a1-a2 a3-a4 a5-a6
Total Potential Demand for
Electric Vehicles (20--e)
a7-a8
SAMPLE
ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET IN INDIA 2014.PPT
16
SAMPLE High Priority R&D Area for Electric Vehicle in India (1/2)
Transmission System (Hybrids)
Electric Motor
Power Electronics (Hybrids)
BMS
Battery Cell
Technology Ranking – Priority-
wise
• Finding 1
• Finding 2
Sub-finding 1
• Finding 3
Sub-finding 2
Sub-finding 3
a1
a2
a3
a4
a5
ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET IN INDIA 2014.PPT
17
Phased manufacturing strategy for electric vehicles in India
• Finding 1 • Finding 2 • Finding 3
Phase 1
Phase 2
Phase 3
Phase 4
> Year q
Year y
Year x
Year z
Condition 1 Initiative 1 Strategy 1
Condition 2 Initiative 2 Strategy 2
Condition 2 Initiative 3 Strategy 3
Condition 2 Initiative 4 Strategy 4
SAMPLE
ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET IN INDIA 2014.PPT
18
SAMPLE
Charging Infrastructure Associated Key Findings – Electric Vehicle Segment-wise (2/4)
Share of consumers considering technology 1
scooters to be worse than ICE (based on
range)
Two Wheelers
54% 46%
Share of consumers considering the following parameters to be a key barrier for adoption
0
10
20
30
40
50
%
Charging Infrastructure
a6 a5
Charging Time
a4 a3
Range
a2 a1
Sensitivity
• Sensitivity 1
• Inference 1
Share of consumers considering technology 2
bikes to be worse than ICE (based on range)
54% 46%
Segment 2 Segment 1
ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET IN INDIA 2014.PPT
19
SAMPLE
Infrastructure needed to support the power requirement of electric four wheelers by 20--
Assumption 1 leading to Finding 1 Assumption 2 leading to Finding 2
Four Wheelers
Extra Power Generation Required 20--
(with x% peak charging)
a1 MW
Charging Infrastructure Investment 20--
INR b1 bn
20-- t t1 t2 t3
Type 3 Type 2 Type 1
Share of Total no. of Charging Terminals (20--)
Extra Power Generation Required 20--
(with x% peak charging)
a2 MW
Charging Infrastructure Investment 20--
INR b2 bn
Share of Total no. of Charging Terminals (20--)
20-- c c1 c2 c4
Type 3 Type 2 Type 1
Scenario II – HG/HEV Scenario III – HG/HEV/BEV
in ‘000 in ‘000
ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET IN INDIA 2014.PPT
20
Total Proposed Investment under NEMMP 20-- – Electric Vehicle Segment-wise (1/4)
4W
t1
6%
10%
10%
7%
68%
Segment 6 Segment 5 Segment 3 Segment 2 Segment 1
2W
t2
10%
33%
5%
52%
t3
4% 8% 8%
80%
3W LCV
t4
2% 5%
4%
89%
Bus
t5
8.2% 0.5%
0.5%
45.5%
45.5%
Total
t6
7.6%
4.0%
20.3%
7.4%
60.6%
Total Proposed Investment (INR bn): Scenario II – HG/HEV (Lower Limit)
ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET IN INDIA 2014.PPT
21
Trends – Summary
Entry of New Players
Retro Fitment Hybrid Kits
Key Trends
ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET IN INDIA 2014.PPT
22
SAMPLE
Competitive Benchmarking (1/5)
Public Trading Comparables (FY 20--)
Company A Company B Company C
Market Capitalization (INR mn) - - -
Share Price (INR) - - -
EV/EBITDA (x) - - -
EV/Revenue (x) - - -
PE Ratio - - -
ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET IN INDIA 2014.PPT
23
Public: Domestic Company – Company A (1/4)
Key People
Products and Services
Company Information Offices and Centres – India
Category Products/Services
Segment Product 1, product 2, product 3,………………….
Others Product 1, product 2, product 3………
Name Designation
Person 1 Designation
Person 2 Designation
Person 3 Designation
Person 4 Designation
Head Office
Corporate Address Company Address
Tel No. +91-xx- yyyyyyyyy
Fax No. +91-ww-zzzzzzzz
Website www.companyA.com
Year of Incorporation 19--
Ticker Symbol ------
Stock Exchange Exchange Name
ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET IN INDIA 2014.PPT
24
Financial Snapshot Key Ratios
Financial Summary
• The company earned a net profit of INR x4 mn in FY 20--, as compared to net profit of INR x3 mn in FY 20--
• The company reported total Income of INR y4 mn in FY 20--registering an increase of x% over FY 20--
• The company earned an operating margin of p% in FY 20--, a decrease of y percentage points over FY 20--
• The company reported debt to equity ratio of q in FY 20--, an increase of r% over FY 20--
Financial Summary
Indicators Value Market Capitalization (INR) z1
Total Enterprise Value (INR) z2
EPS (INR) z3
PE Ratio (Absolute) z4
Profit / Loss
Total Income
20--
d
Profit INR mn
f
g
h
Total Income INR mn
a
b
y4
x4
y3
20--
x3
20--
c
y2
x2
20--
y1
x1
Public: Domestic Company – Company A (2/4)
Particulars y-o-y change
(20-----) 20-- 20-- 20-- 20--
Profitability Ratios Operating Margin -3.31 7.37% 10.69% 11.63% 14.80%
Net Margin -6.73 4.02% 10.75% 12.08% 7.61%
Profit Before Tax Margin -5.22 6.52% 11.74% 15.66% 11.00%
Return on Equity -7.25 5.51% 12.76% 13.22% 9.02%
Return on Capital Employed -2.22 8.50% 10.73% 12.11% 16.70%
Return on Working Capital -7.92 20.82% 28.74% 28.25% 56.05%
Return on Assets -1.89 6.67% 8.56% 10.77% 14.08%
Return on Fixed Assets -4.90 26.02% 30.92% 33.44% 41.15%
Cost Ratios Operating costs (% of Sales) 3.47 92.50% 89.03% 87.70% 84.70%
Administration costs (% of Sales)
5.78 33.11% 27.33% 22.91% 25.64%
Interest costs (% of Sales) -0.24 0.82% 1.06% 1.21% 1.74%
Liquidity Ratios Current Ratio 0.43% 2.49 2.48 4.42 2.60
Cash Ratio -14.77% 0.53 0.63 1.76 1.09
Leverage Ratios Debt to Equity Ratio 7.22% 0.32 0.30 0.01 0.02
Debt to Capital Ratio 5.46% 0.24 0.23 0.01 0.02
Interest Coverage Ratio -12.08% 9.10 10.35 10.14 8.78
Efficiency Ratios Fixed Asset Turnover 23.09% 3.47 2.82 2.72 2.69
Asset Turnover 14.00% 0.89 0.78 0.88 0.92
Current Asset Turnover 6.29% 1.66 1.56 1.78 2.26
Working Capital Turnover 5.98% 2.78 2.62 2.30 3.66
Capital Employed Turnover 14.65% 1.02 0.89 1.02 1.13
ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET IN INDIA 2014.PPT
25
SAMPLE
Key Business Segments Key Geographic Segments
Business Highlights (1/2)
Description News
Overview
• Company A is a multi-divisional ISO xxxx:yyyy certified company with a market share of x kW in
the metal melting industry globally
Holds more than x% market share in induction melting equipments used by the engineering and automotive
industry in country 1
Has worldwide presence with specific focus on the country 1, country 2, country 3, country 4 and country 5
while catering to z1 countries around the world
Electric Vehicle Division
• Company has developed and introduced electric bikes and scooters under the brand name brand
1 with an annual installed capacity of c1 mn units
76% 88% 85% 65%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
20--
13% 2%
19%
20--
4% 1%
11%
20--
0% 1%
11%
20--
3%
21%
Segment 4
Segment 3
Segment 2
Segment 1
13%0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
20--
5%
95%
20--
3%
97%
20--
3%
97%
20--
87%
Country 2 Country 1
Public: Domestic Company – Company A (3/4)
ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET IN INDIA 2014.PPT
26 ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET IN INDIA 2014.PPT
T O
W S
Public: Domestic Company – Company A – SWOT Analysis (4/4)
27
Strategic Recommendations (1/2)
Manufacturers
• Recommendation 1
• Recommendation 2
• Recommendation 3
• Recommendation 4
Marketing
• Recommendation 5
• Recommendation 6
• Recommendation 7
• Recommendation 8
Target Consumers
• Recommendation 9
• Recommendation 10
ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET IN INDIA 2014.PPT
28
Electric Vehicle Market – India 2014 report is part of Netscribes’ Automotive and Logistics Industry Series. For any queries or customized research requirements, contact us at:
ELECTRIC VEHICLE MARKET IN INDIA 2014.PPT
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