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Market Reaction to Corporate News and the Influence of
the Financial Crisis
Andreas Neuhierl∗
University of Augsburg
Anna Scherbina†
UC Davis
Bernd Schlusche‡
UC Berkeley
January 15, 2010
ABSTRACT
Having obtained a complete dataset of corporate press releases issued between April2006 and August 2009, we analyze the stock price reactions to various types of corporateevents. Besides confirming the previously-documented empirical regularities about thereaction to financial news, we also document a strong market response to news aboutcorporate strategy, customers & partners, products & services, management changes,and legal issues. In addition, we find that return volatility generally increases andliquidity decreases in the month after the announcement. Investigating separately thetime periods before and during the financial crisis, we observe that the response tocertain types of news has changed. For example, during the crisis period, news thatsignal higher and more stable future cash flows, such as announcements about corporaterestructuring, new corporate partners, successful research completion, FDA approvals,and legal settlements lead to more positive price reactions. On the other hand, eventsthat are perceived to decrease future cash flows and increase their uncertainty, suchas announcements about legal troubles, FDA rejections, and failed research effortshave a more negative effect on stock prices. Moreover, announced plans to raise fundsthrough equity or debt offerings are perceived less negatively, and announcements ofshare buybacks lead to even higher abnormal returns than in the pre-crisis period. Wealso show that during the more uncertain crisis period, news announcements tend tolead to larger volatility increases.
JEL classification: G01, G10, G14, G30.
Keywords: Corporate News, Event Study, Market Efficiency, Financial Crisis
∗Address: Department of Statistics and Mathematical Economic Theory, University of Augsburg, Universitätsstrasse 16,86159 Augsburg, Germany. E-mail: [email protected]†Address: Graduate School of Management, University of California, Davis, One Shields Avenue, Davis, CA 95616. E-mail:
[email protected]. Phone: (530) 754-8076. Fax: (530) 725-2924.‡Address: Haas School of Business, University of California, Berkeley, 2220 Piedmont Avenue, Berkeley, CA 94720. E-mail:
Market Reaction to Corporate News and the Influence of
the Financial Crisis
ABSTRACT
Having obtained a complete dataset of corporate press releases issued between April2006 and August 2009, we analyze the stock price reactions to various types of corporateevents. Besides confirming the previously-documented empirical regularities about thereaction to financial news, we also document a strong market response to news aboutcorporate strategy, customers & partners, products & services, management changes,and legal issues. In addition, we find that return volatility generally increases andliquidity decreases in the month after the announcement. Investigating separately thetime periods before and during the financial crisis, we observe that the response tocertain types of news has changed. For example, during the crisis period, news thatsignal higher and more stable future cash flows, such as announcements about corporaterestructuring, new corporate partners, successful research completion, FDA approvals,and legal settlements lead to more positive price reactions. On the other hand, eventsthat are perceived to decrease future cash flows and increase their uncertainty, suchas announcements about legal troubles, FDA rejections, and failed research effortshave a more negative effect on stock prices. Moreover, announced plans to raise fundsthrough equity or debt offerings are perceived less negatively, and announcements ofshare buybacks lead to even higher abnormal returns than in the pre-crisis period. Wealso show that during the more uncertain crisis period, news announcements tend tolead to larger volatility increases.
I. Introduction
On January 9, 2007, Apple Inc. issued a press release, headlined “Apple Reinvents the Phone
with iPhone.” The first few sentences of the press release read:
“... today introduced iPhone, combining three products—a revolutionary mobile
phone, a widescreen iPod with touch controls, and a breakthrough Internet commu-
nications device with desktop-class email, web browsing, searching and maps—
into one small and lightweight handheld device.”
The press release also contained a quote from Apple’s CEO, Steve Jobs, stating that
“...iPhone is a revolutionary and magical product that is literally five years ahead of any
other mobile phone,” and then went on to describe in more detail the various features of the
new product. On the day of the announcement, the stock trading volume increased more
than four-fold and remained almost as high on the following day before dropping by half the
day after. The stock price also significantly increased from the day before the announcement
to five days after; precisely, Apple’s stock realized a cumulative return of 9.31% in excess of
the market. In the month after the announcement the return volatility increased by nearly
5%, while the stock’s illiquidity, as measured by the Amihud (2002) specification, decreased
by 46%.
The strong market reaction to the press release and its careful and precise phrasing illus-
trate just how important corporate news announcements are for stock prices. Corporate
press releases became highly prevalent after the SEC’s Regulation Fair Disclosure (Reg FD),
implemented in October 2000, mandated that publicly traded companies have to disclose all
information that may have an impact on the firm’s market value. The regulation stated:
“With advances in information technology, most notably the internet, information can be
communicated to shareholders directly and in real time, without the intervention of an inter-
mediary. This online revolution has created a greater demand, expectation, and need for
direct delivery of market information. As many individual commenters noted, under this
paradigm, analysts still provide value for investors by using their education, judgment, and
expertise to analyze information.”1
1The entire document can be found at http://www.sec.gov/rules/final/33-7881.htm.
1
Corporations’ press releases reach investors almost instantaneously via services such as
PR Newswire, BusinessWire, Globenewswire, Marketwire, and the like. We form our dataset
of corporate press releases between April 2006 and August 2009, which is to the best of
our knowledge the most complete among such datasets, by combining observations from all
major news wire services. For that reason, we believe that our dataset contains all press
releases that were issued in this time period. Additionally, we manually classify the press
releases into several news categories. For example, the Apple announcement above is classified
under the category Products & Services → New Product. We analyze how various types of
news coming from a firm affect its stock’s return, liquidity, and volatility. This allows us to
estimate the news-worthiness of the information released by the firm and the extent to which
this information changes the investors’ priors about the proper valuation model and how it
affects the informational advantage of better-informed investors. Moreover, we study how
the reaction to different types of news has changed during the more uncertain crisis period.
The impact of financial news has been extensively studied in the literature. We confirm
that several documented regularities exist in the most recent data. For example, announce-
ments of better-than-expected financial results are accompanied by high returns, and financial
results that fall below market expectations are accompanied by negative returns. Announce-
ments of financial decisions, such as dividend payments, share repurchases, and forward stock
splits lead to positive price reactions and announcements about secondary debt and equity
offerings by negative price reactions. News related to mergers and acquisitions also elicit a
strong and positive response.
However, we find that just as important are announcements of other corporate events.
Such announcements were not mandatory in the past and only came about as a result of
Reg FD. Hence, our study attempts to study stock price reactions to a comprehensive set
of corporate news in a systematic manner. For example, we find that stock prices react
strongly to customer losses and acquisitions. Such seemingly non-news-worthy events such as
company awards, announcements of new meetings and events, as well as news about reaching
new sales milestones are also accompanied by significantly positive returns. The underlying
reason might be a temporary or a permanent increase in investor attention (Merton (1987)).
2
The market reacts negatively to unfavorable legal news, management terminations, as well
as announcements about FDA rejections and product defects. On the other hand, news
releases about new partnerships formed, legal settlements, management additions, FDA
approvals, and achievements in research are accompanied by significantly positive excess
returns. Besides negative financial results, the news categories that have the largest effect
on post-news return volatility jumps are announcements about SEC investigations, FDA
rejections, M&A activities, and management terminations.
We further split our time series into two subsamples—before and during the financial
crisis. We assume that the financial crisis, which originated in the sub-prime mortgage crisis,
ceased to be viewed as an issue for only the sub-prime mortgage originators and turned global
on March 17, 2008. This day is the Monday following the weekend during which troubled Bear
Stearns, having lost considerable amounts of money on its hedge funds that had exposure
to the subprime mortgage market, signed a merger agreement with JP Morgan Chase. This
date splits our sample at about 23.5 months of data assigned to the before-crisis period, and
16.5 months to the period since the start of the crisis. Investigating the price reactions to
various news categories in the before-crisis period and during the crisis period, we find that,
on average, the post-event stock volatility has increased considerably more following news
announcements during the more uncertain crisis time. The post-announcement decrease in
stock liquidity has also become more pronounced.
However, the most intriguing result is that price reactions to certain types of news
announcements have changed. Since the crisis is characterized by a widespread difficulty
in obtaining credit, the announcements of secondary equity offerings are accompanied by
significantly less negative stock returns, and the returns around share buyback announce-
ments are significantly more positive. Any news potentially signaling larger and more stable
future cash flows (such as announcements of FDA approvals, research achievements, new
products, customer wins, new partnerships, and generally good financial results) lead to
higher contemporaneous returns than in the period before the crisis. On the other hand,
news that are detrimental to future cash flow expectations (such as announcements about
legal troubles, FDA investigations, and negative news about corporate credit) are accom-
3
panied by more negative price reactions. Finally, any news about corporate reorganization
or restructuring are viewed in a significantly more positive light.
This paper studies price reactions to news coming from primary news sources, i.e. corpo-
rations themselves. Another strand of literature that has recently gained momentum has
focused on the importance of news media and internet chat board postings in disseminating
new information to the market. These papers typically try to assess whether new information
has a positive or a negative content based on the presence of positive or negative words in
news stories or chat board messages and investigate whether thus quantified qualitative news
stories can predict future returns (e.g., Chan (2003), Antweiler and Frank (2004), Das and
Chen (2007) for internet message boards; Tetlock (2007), Tetlock, Saar-Tsechansky, and
Macskassy (2008) for news stories, and Engelberg (2008) for news stories that accompany
earnings announcements). Moreover, Tetlock (2009) investigates the effect of being in the
news on the stock’s order flow and the information environment, as well as return patterns.
Here, we work exclusively with information coming directly from firms themselves. Further,
besides classifying whether an announcement contains positive or negative information about
the firm, our paper is, to the best of our knowledge, the first study that hand-classifies
corporate news based on the content of the announcement and investigates what types of
corporate announcements are deemed most important by the market and are found to have
an unanticipated component to actually affect stock prices, as well as how various news
categories change stocks’ informational environment.2 We have a total of ten major news
categories and 55 subcategories, with a total of 288,716 unique press releases.
The rest of the paper proceeds as follows. Section II describes the data. Section III
explains the test methodology and shows the test results of the basic hypotheses. It also
presents additional empirical hypotheses and results for the crisis period. Section IV concludes.
2According to the rational expectations theory, mere announcements should not affect stock prices; whatmatters for stock prices is unanticipated news revealed through corporate announcements.
4
II. Data
A. Regulation Fair Disclosure and Corporate Press Releases
Regulation Fair Disclosure (Reg FD), implemented in October of 2000, requires that publicly
traded companies disclose all information that might impact their market valuation simulta-
neously to everyone. The goal of this regulation was to address the recent analyst scandal,
where firms could disclose material information to select analyst and thus force analysts to
issue favorable reports in return for valuable information. Reg FD forced firms for the first
time to disclose all information, favorable or unfavorable, all at once , via a preferred method,
and without any delay. This created the possibility to form a dataset of news that firms deem
to be important for their valuation and to study the market reaction to different types of
corporate action and news otherwise unrelated to firms’ strategies (passive news).
Prior to the adoption of Reg FD, companies issued press releases, but these press releases
did not have to contain negative news. The new SEC regulation stated explicitly that firms
had to disclose all information in order not to give anyone an advantage of insider knowledge
and to disclose the new information soon after it has become known. Though the SEC
did not specifically list the types of news that had to be reported, it stated that news
that are “material” and “nonpublic” and when “there is a substantial likelihood that a
reasonable shareholder would consider it important” are deemed important (page 9). The
SEC’s document further provides examples of these types of news that might be considered
to be of investment value. On page 10 it states:
“While it is not possible to create an exhaustive list, the following items are some
types of information or events that should be reviewed carefully to determine
whether they are material: (1) earnings information; (2) mergers, acquisitions,
tender offers, joint ventures, or changes in assets; (3) new products or discoveries,
or developments regarding customers or suppliers (e.g., the acquisition or loss of
a contract); (4) changes in control or in management; (5) change in auditors or
auditor notification that the issuer may no longer rely on an auditor’s audit report;
(6) events regarding the issuer’s securities—e.g., defaults on senior securities, calls
5
of securities for redemption, repurchase plans, stock splits or changes in dividends,
changes to the rights of security holders, public or private sales of additional
securities; and (7) bankruptcies or receiverships.”
The innovation that enabled companies to release new information to the public simul-
taneously rather than through analysts as intermediaries was the internet. The document
states: “With advances in information technology, most notable the internet, information
can be communicated to shareholders directly and in real time, without the intervention of
an intermediary” (page 3). The SEC even suggested the steps in which the information could
be released. On page 15 of the document, it suggests the following steps for releasing new
information to the public:
• First, issue a press release, distributed through regular channels, containing the
information...
• Second, provide adequate notice, by a press release and/or website posting, of
a scheduled conference call to discuss the announced results...
• Third, hold the conference call in an open manner...
B. Our Dataset
Our press release dataset comprises all corporate press releases issued by over 6,500 US
companies which are publicly traded on NASDAQ, NYSE, and AMEX over the period from
April 2006 to August 2009. The number of press announcements grows at a rate of roughly
750 releases per day.3
Corporate press releases are issued via news wire services which further distribute the
information to corporate and individual subscribers. Some of these services, such as Reuters
and Dow Jones, charge very higher fees since they include additional news items about firms
and the economy. The fees of others, such as PR Newswire, are lower. Obviously, the various
news wire datasets have considerable overlap. Our dataset is consolidated from the various
news wire services, such as PR Newswire, BusinessWire, GlobeNewswire, MarketWire, and
3Throughout the paper, we used the terms (corporate) press release, news event, and news announcementinterchangeably.
6
many others. PR Newswire contains 50%-60% of all publicly traded firms, BusinessWire
about 30%, and GlobeNewswire and MarketWire are the next in terms of coverage, and the
rest contains significantly fewer firms. We hope that the resulting dataset contains the entire
sample of corporate press releases.
Among all postings, corporate press releases can be identified by the “source” printed at
the bottom of the report. We only include those items issued by corporations rather than
news agencies.4 The items are then manually classified into various news categories based on
the content of the announcement texts. In the future, this classification can be automated
based on search words. We have obtained our dataset with the help of iMiners, Inc., and we
have worked with the company to refine the news classifications to balance the generalness
and the specificity within each category.
For the sake of brevity, we remove press releases for which we do not have any priors in
terms of what influence they would have on stock returns (for example, news releases about
a company’s participation in a charity event, establishing industry-wide awards and competi-
tions, announcing various types of meetings, webcasts, conference calls, and the participation
in environmental initiatives, making various statements regarding labor strikes, announcing
various employee and industry initiatives, changes in internal policies, announcing the partic-
ipation in various corporate surveys (such as the diversity of the labor force, security assess-
ments, etc.), announcing forthcoming speaking engagements of their executives, the partici-
pation in news campaigns, and so on). Furthermore, we discard categories with fewer than
30 observations. This leaves us with 288,716 corporate press releases divided into ten major
categories each of which, in turn, is split up into several subcategories as described in Table
I. Besides the number of news announcements in each major category, Table I gives a brief
description for each of the 55 subcategories. The categories span a wide array of categories
of significantly different size. The size of the categories ranges from large categories with
more than 50,000 announcements to very small categories with just over 500 press releases.
The largest category, Customer & Partnerships, contains 54,552 observations and includes
announcements on a company’s customers and partners, such as customer losses or customer
4An exception is the category Analyst Action that, in addition to press releases by firms, contains newsissued about the firm by firms that employ securities analysts.
7
wins. The second largest category comprises a total of 54,111 announcements and conveys
financial news, e.g., on secondary offerings or on dividend payments. The category that
provides news on a company’s products and services, such as new products, product defects,
approvals by the FDA etc., follows with 50,194 press releases. With a mere 548 observa-
tions, Analyst Action is the smallest category, and contains announcements of a company’s
upgrading or downgrading by analysts, as well as information about the initiation of analysts’
coverage of a company.
Table II presents summary statistics on the monthly press release activity across firms.
Panel A of the table reports the statistics for the entire sample and Panel B shows the
statistics by size categories; Panel A shows that the average number of corporate press
releases per firm is 1.244 per month. Panel B of the table shows that the number of press
releases increases with firm size. The left-hand side of Panel B reports the statistics for the
sample divided every month into NYSE-based size quintiles, and the right-hand side shows
the statistics of sample-based size quintiles, which are constructed every month such that each
quintile contains roughly the same number of stocks. Not surprisingly, the results indicate
that large firms, on average, issue more corporate press releases in a given month than small
firms. In particular, the average number of monthly news announcements increases with firm
size from 0.434 for the smallest NYSE-based size quintile (1.072 for the smallest sample-based
size quintile) to 3.177 for the largest NYSE-based quintile (1.528 for the largest sample-based
quintile).
All other data, i.e., time series of daily stock prices/returns, trading volumes (number
of shares traded), and the return of the CRSP value-weighted index are obtained from the
CRSP daily files. The dollar trading volume needed for the construction of the Amihud
(2002) illiquidity measure in Section B.2 is computed as the product of the daily trading
volume (number of shares traded) and the end-of-day stock price.
III. Test Results
In this section, we investigate the impact of various types of news on stock returns, volatility
and liquidity. News that the market deems most material for the stock prices but that are also
8
relatively easy to interpret will be accompanied by larger immediate price reactions. Those
news that are somewhat unusual and unique to a company will likely not lead to an immediate
price reaction, but will create a larger informational asymmetry between investors who are
better- and worse-informed about the impact of the news on the fair firm value. Finally, some
of such press releases will create the need for the additional news or the interpretation of the
impact of the original news announcements and will lead to higher future stock volatility and
more informational asymmetries until a sufficient amount of new information is released and
market participants agree on the new equilibrium valuation.
A. News’ Impact on Stock Returns
A.1. Event Study Methodology
To assess the immediate impact of news releases on stock prices, we follow the common event
study methodology. For each firm i, the abnormal return on day t, ARit, is specified as:
ARit = Rit − E(Rit|Xt), (1)
where Rit and E(Rit|Xt) are the actual and normal returns respectively for day t, and Xt is
the conditioning information for the model. Assuming that returns can be described by the
market model, the abnormal return is defined as:
ARit = Rit − α̂i − β̂iRmt, (2)
where Rit and Rmt are the day-t returns on security i and the market portfolio, which we
proxy with the CRSP value-weighted index. The coefficients α̂i and β̂i are OLS estimates
from regressions of firm i’s daily returns on the return on the market portfolio over the 200
days prior to the event window.
The event window extends from one day before to five days after the day of the press
release. As is common in event studies, we start the window one day before the actual
announcement day in case the news has leaked to the market before the actual press release.
We keep the event window relatively short because a) we are interested in the short-term
9
impact of news on stock prices and b) we want to minimize the incidence of overlapping
event windows across firms. Thus, we first compute the average daily abnormal return for
each firm i issuing a press release on day t:5
CARit =1
7
t+5∑τ=t−1
ARiτ , (3)
Next, we calculate the average CAR across all firm-announcement observations. In order
not to understate the standard errors for statistical inference, we correct for the correlation
between individual CARs estimated over overlapping event windows by clustering errors by
the week in which the press release was issued.
A.2. Event Study Results
Before turning to the actual test results, consider first the plot of individual CAR observations
for each news categroy in Figure 1. The plot shows that different types of news categories
lead to different standard deviations of CARs. Moreover, some categories result in more
negatively-shifted and some in more positively-shifted CARs. The plot of the CARs of all
categories in Figure 2 shows clearly that most press releases convey information affecting
firm valuations. Positive news lead to positive CARs, while negative news to negative
CARs. Individual plots of CARs for select news categories are presented in Figure 3. The
left-hand side of the figure shows plots for categories that include positive announcements
(introductions of a new product, FDA approvals, legal settlements, new partnerships, and
a research achievements); the right-hand side shows plots for categories containing news
with a negative impact on firms’ stock prices (product defects, FDA rejections, announce-
ments about legal troubles, such as a stockholder lawsuit, management terminations, and
secondary debt offerings). All plots show that news leak in the market prior to the official
news announcements. However, following news announcements, prices adjust and generally
stabilize at the new level without reverting back to the pre-announcement level. Table III
presents the results of the formal test for the sign of the price reaction following different
types of news announcements. The table reports the average CAR and the p-value of the
5Henceforth, for convenience we refer to the average daily abnormal return as CAR.
10
two-sided t-test. The results confirm the previously reported regularities, especially when it
comes to financial news that have been extensively studied in prior literature.
The first category, Analyst Action, is somewhat unusual in that besides the press releases
issued by the firm itself it also includes announcements that have been issued by firms that
employ securities analysts, such as Zacks. Consistent with prior literature (e.g., Barber,
Lehavy, McNichols, and Trueman (2001), McNichols and O’Brien (1997)) we find that news
of recommendation upgrades and initiation of coverage lead to positive price reactions and
downgrades cause prices to fall. Indeed, the average CAR is significantly positive and equal
to 0.174% for analyst recommendation upgrades, 0.534% for the initiation of coverage, and
significantly negative (-1.035%) for analyst downgrades.
Similarly, when firms succeed or fail in obtaining financing capital and/or rating agencies
make public positive or negative announcements about the corporate debt (in Positive Credit
News and Negative Credit News), stock prices react positively and negatively, respectively,
though insignificantly. Prior literature that studied debt ratio changes is somewhat split
in the empirical findings; some studies claim that stock prices do not react to changes in
bond ratings (e.g., Kliger and Sarig (2000)) while others find that equity prices react only to
rating downgrades (Hand, Holthausen, and Leftwich (1992) and Goh and Ederington (1993)).
Consistently with the latter findings, Dichev and Piotroski (2001) show that long-run stock
returns are negative following bond downgrades, and that this underperformance is most
pronounced for small firms with low-rated debt.
Turning to financial decisions, extensively-studied in prior literature, our results are
consistent with prior findings. In particular, corporate announcements of dividend payments
result in positive CARs (see Fama (1998) and Brealey, Myers, and Allen (2006) for a liter-
ature review). According to the asymmetric information models of Myers and Majluf (1984)
and Myers (1984), also summarized in detail in Brealey, Myers, and Allen (2006), secondary
equity offerings signal that stocks might be overpriced, and equity prices should fall upon the
announcement. This theory is confirmed by Smith (1986), among others. Similarly issuance
of additional debt may be also interpreted as a negative signal in some circumstances, and
prices would react negatively as well. For example, Akhigbe, Easterwood, and Pettit (1997)
11
show that prices react negatively to announcements of new debt issuances when the need
to raise debt is motivated by an unexpected cash shortfall. Poor negative performance for
firms that issue stocks through secondary equity offerings is documented in Loughran and
Ritter (1995). On the other hand, a share buyback signals that equity might be undervalued,
and prices should react positively (first reported by Lakonishok and Vermaelen (1990) and
Ikenberry, Lakonishok, and Vermaelen (1995)). In a more recent study, Peyer and Vermaelen
(2009) confirm the existence of the repurchase anomaly in more recent data. The price
reactions that we document are consistent with these hypotheses. Additionally, press releases
announcing forward stock splits are accompanied by positive price reactions, also consistent
with the signaling models and previously documented, for instance, by Ikenberry, Rankine,
and Stice (1996). Large positive (negative) abnormal returns around announcements about
forward (reverse) stock splits suggest that markets underreact to both forward and reverse
stock splits (e.g., Desai and Jain (1997)).6
Negative news about corporate performance (such as lower-than-expected earnings and
sales) result in negative price reactions. Lower-than-expected financial results, summarized
within the category Negative Financial Results, lead to significantly negative CARs, while
higher-than-expected earnings, reported within Positive Financial Results, lead to signif-
icantly positive CARs (see, for example, Ball and Kothari (1991), Stice (1991), Kothari
(2001), and Vega (2006) who study stock price reactions to earnings surprises).
Among the less-frequently analyzed news categories, we show that news that potentially
signal higher and more stable future cash flows, such as announcements about product
approvals, FDA drug approvals (in the U.S. and in Europe), new patents, the successful
completion of research projects, the acquisition of new customers and joint partnerships, are
accompanied by positive price reactions (see, e.g., Pakes (1985), Jaffe (1986), and Austin
(1993)). The positive market reaction to the announcement of joint partnerships has been
previously documented by McConnell and Nantell (1985) using a sample of 210 firms involved
in 136 joint ventures and Woolridge and Snow (1990) using 197 joint venture announcements.
The positive reaction to new product announcements that we document here is also consistent
6See Yildizhan (2009) for a survey on this topic.
12
with the earlier result in Woolridge and Snow (1990) who show this effect using a sample of
241 such announcements.
Not surprisingly, negative news about current or future cash flows (customer/partner
loss, FDA rejection, product defect, etc.) are accompanied by significantly negative price
reactions (see, e.g., Jarrell and Peltzman (1985), Barber and Darrough (1996), Alexander
(1999), and Fornell, Mithas, Morgeson III, and Krishnan (2006)). Interestingly, Jarrell and
Peltzman (1985) find that the penalty in terms of stock returns even exceeds the direct costs
associated with product recalls.
Spin-off announcements can be expected to be positive as they signal that corporations
refocus the attention on their core business (see Cusatis, Miles, and Woolridge (1993), Desai
and Jain (1999), and Chemmanur and Yan (2004), among others). However, examining
78 voluntary corporate spin-offs that were completed between 1972 and 1987, Seward and
Walsh (1996) do not find that spinoff announcements are accompanied by positive abnormal
returns. Yet, in our more comprehensive and more recent dataset, we document that the
market indeed reacts positively to spinoff announcements.
As for corporate infrastructure investments, a study by Woolridge and Snow (1990) shows
that the market tends to react positively to corporate investment announcements. We,
however, document no significant reaction to the announcements of neither additional capital
investment nor the scaling back or the abandonment of ongoing corporate operations (Positive
and Negative Infrastructure News categories).
Announcements of negative legal issues, such as stockholder lawsuits, are responded to
negatively and announcements of settlements positively, confirming the findings of, e.g.,
Bhagat, Brickley, and Coles (1994) and Bizjak and Coles (1995).
As for announcements of changes in the management team, management additions are
interpreted as good news, and management terminations (voluntary and involuntary combined)
are reacted to negatively. These findings contribute to previous literature on stock price
reactions following managerial turnover, such as Furtado and Rozeff (1987), Weisbach (1988),
Bonnier and Bruner (1989), and Huson, Parrino, and Starks (2001).
13
Finally, consistent with the Merton (1987) hypothesis that attention increases the investor
base and decreases the cost of capital, the types of news that put firms in the limelight, such
as announcements in the category Company Awards, as well as news on sponsorships of
industry events, and investor meetings, are accompanied by positive returns.
B. News’ Impact on the Informational Environment
Besides the impact of corporate press releases on stock returns, news could affect the stocks’
informational environment. We investigate changes in volatility and liquidity following news
announcements. (Idiosyncratic) volatility measures how prices move in response to new
information and how frequently new information is released. If valuation priors are weakened
as a result of a news announcement, there is an increased demand for new information or
for additional information clarifying the impact of the news announcement. Moreover, prices
would move more in response to new information as a greater degree of updating on the
news is taking place. Hence, news releases that decreases valuation uncertainty would lead to
volatility decreases. Announcements that increase valuation uncertainty and whose impact on
a firm’s valuation is difficult to assess would result in higher future (idiosyncratic) volatility.
Liquidity measures how much a unit of trade moves prices. When the degree of informa-
tional asymmetry is low, prices would not respond as strongly to trades, as traders are not
perceived to trade because of an informational advantage but rather for liquidity reasons.
When concerns about informational asymmetries are high, prices would move more in the
direction of the trade and their liquidity will be lower.
We employ the Amihud (2002) measure of liquidity, which produces a good approxi-
mation of liquidity that can be calculated from trade-by-trade high-frequency transaction
data. If a news announcement is hard to interpret, concerns might arise that some investors,
perhaps insiders, are better adept at processing this information, and, as a consequence, the
stock’s liquidity will decrease. If, on the other hand, new information removes the informa-
tional advantage of better-informed traders and levels the playing field, then liquidity should
increase.
14
We measure volatility and liquidity in the periods before and after news announcements
and check whether they increase or decrease as a result of the news releases.
B.1. Change in Volatility
In order to test variance changes across firms, we estimate for each news announcement
the pre-event variance and the post-event variance over 21 days.7 We then calculate for
each corporate press release the ratio of the two variances and test the null hypothesis that
the average ratio (across firms) is equal to one using a standard parametric Student t-test.
Formally, the null hypothesis is stated as
H0 : var [Rpost]− var [Rpre] = 0, or equivalently,
var [Rpost] /var [Rpre] = 1,
where [Rpre] denotes returns from periods before a news announcement and [Rpost] denotes
returns from periods after a news announcement. Following Ohlson and Penman (1985), we
use the approximation var [Rδ] = E [R2δ ] , δ = {pre, post}, and rewrite the null hypothesis as
H0 : E[R2post
]− E
[R2pre
]= 0, or equivalently,
E[R2post
]/E[R2pre
]= 1.
Not many papers have specifically studied changes in volatility following certain firm
events, which is somewhat surprising since the consequences of event-induced volatility could
be substantial for firms in several ways. Specifically, “increased volatility could alter the
firm’s investment policy going forward via an increased cost of capital or by a reduction in the
attractiveness of the firm’s equity as a medium for acquisitions or compensation. Increased
volatility also could affect the various agency relationships in the firm, exacerbating conflicts
7Throughout the paper, the tests on changes in variance are performed by using the variance of returns.As a robustness check, we have also estimated idiosyncratic volatilities and re-run the tests based on theseestimates. The results are similar and the conclusions remain the same.
15
between stockholders and bondholders and hindering resolution of stockholder-management
problems...” (Clayton, Hartzell, and Rosenberg (2005), pages 1779-1780). Among the few,
that have studied that question, Kliger and Sarig (2000) find that when Moody’s announces
better- (worse-) than-expected ratings, the volatilities implied by prices of options on the fine-
rated issuers’ shares decline (rise). Clayton, Hartzell, and Rosenberg (2005) find that CEO
departures, especially the forced ones that in the authors’ view create “higher uncertainty
over the firm’s strategic direction and management’s ability to run the firm” (page 2), lead
to significant increases in stock volatility. Besides, event-induced changes in volatility are
found for announcements of stock splits by Ohlson and Penman (1985), Dubofsky (1991),
and Koski (1998).
Table IV presents the mean of the ratio of pre- to post-event variance for each subcat-
egory. In addition, the table lists the p-values for the null hypothesis that the mean ratio
is different from one.8 Except for the category Class Action (with an insignificant decrease
in post-event volatility), volatility ratios are exceeding one for all categories, meaning that
stock return volatility increases following press releases. As indicated by p-values close to
zero, these increases in volatility are significant (at least) at the 5% level for all categories.
We observe the highest event-induced volatilities for news announcements in the categories
Negative Pre-Announcements and FDA Rejection, with increases in volatility of 80% and
62%, respectively. These types of news apparently lead to an immense uncertainty with
regard to the firms’ correct valuation and, consequently, to strong price movements following
news releases. Announcements about analyst upgrades of firms’ ratings and news about
secondary offerings are accompanied with low levels—of just about 10%—of event-induced
volatility, indicating their marginally destabilizing effect on stock prices.
B.2. Change in Liquidity
Following Amihud (2002), we employ the ratio of the absolute daily stock return to its dollar
trading volume as a measure for illiquidity.9 The ratio reflects the daily price response per
8The standard deviations of volatility changes are clustered for events within the same month.9We chose the Amihud (2002) measure as an indicator for illiquidity due to its simple data requirements
compared to those of other illiquidity measures.
16
one dollar of trading volume. Formally, we calculate the illiquidity measure, Illiq, for stock i
on day t as follows:
Illiqi,t =|Ri,t|
Volumei,t, (4)
where Ri,t is the return on stock i on day t and Volumei,t is corresponding trading volume in
dollars.
In order to test for changes in (il-)liquidity across firms, we employ a similar procedure
to that described for the increase in variance. In particular, we first calculate for each news
announcement the Amihud (2002) measure over the 21 days before and after the event.
Second, we compute for each news event the ratio of the pre- and post-event measure and
test the null hypothesis that the average ratio of pre- and post-event illiquidity (across firms)
is equal to one using a standard t-test. The null hypothesis is formalized as:
H0 : Illiqpost − Illiqpre = 0, or equivalently,
Illiqpost/Illiqpre = 1,
where Illiqpre and Illiqpost denote Amihud (2002) illiquidity measures before and after a news
announcement, respectively.
Most previous studies on liquidity changes around corporate events focus on the impact
of announcements of share buybacks (e.g., Singh, Zaman, and Krishnamurti (1994) and
Ginglinger and Hamon (2007)), secondary equity offerings on stocks’ liquidity (e.g., Kothare
(1997)), and index changes (e.g., Hegde and McDermott (2006)). Our results for changes
in the Amihud illiquidity measure after various types of corporate news announcements
are presented in Table V.10 Values of the illiquidity measure greater than one for almost
all categories indicates that news announcements generally lead to higher informational
asymmetry and, consequently, to lower liquidity, implying the informational environment
becomes more uncertain. That is, owing to the fear of better informed or more sophisticated
10The standard deviations of liquidity changes are clustered for events within the same month.
17
market participants, fewer people are willing to trade stocks after corporate press releases.
Moreover, most of the decreases in liquidity, as indicated by p-values close to zero, are signif-
icant. With drops of roughly 40%, the largest significant decreases in liquidity are found for
the categories Negative Pre-Announcements, FDA Rejection, and Reverse Split. Among the
few exceptions that do not (significantly) reduce liquidity are press releases about delisting
rumors, class action lawsuits against the firms, and approvals of drugs in Europe.
C. The Impact of the Financial Crisis
The current financial crisis has been called the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression.
The crisis has originated in the collapse of the housing bubble. The after-effects of the
bubble’s collapse and scope of its effect on the rest of the economy emerged only gradually.
In 2006-2007, the effect of the collapsing bubble was felt by home construction and real estate
lending companies, many of which reported significant losses and filed for bankruptcy. Over
time, hedge funds and investment banks with exposure to mortgage-backed securities began
reporting investment losses as well. We argue that the crisis turned global—affecting all
sectors of the U.S. economy and the international markets—after the first investment bank,
Bear Stearns, fell and had to be sold in a fire-sale to JP Morgan Chase on March 16, 2008
in order to avoid filing for bankruptcy. This major bank failure at once raised the level of
the crisis among concerns about contagion to an economy-wide phenomenon; worries about
credit supplied by hedge funds and investment banks spread to all sectors of the economy.
Some argue that the crisis really started with the collapse of Lehman Brothers, which did not
happen until September 17, 2008. It is also possible to argue that the crisis started earlier,
when major mortgage lending companied had failed. While it is impossible to pinpoint
precisely the start date of the crisis, choosing any date between the third quarter of 2007
when the effects of the collapsing real estate market started to be widely felt and the collapse
of Lehman Brothers will likely not significantly change the outcome of our analysis. Here,
we assume that the market was under the impression that the U.S. economy has entered
the crisis period on Monday, March 17, 2008, the first trading day after the fire-sale of Bear
Stearns to JP Morgan was finalized.
18
The financial crisis was characterized by a shortage of credit, falling consumer demand,
and widespread legal scandals. In this environment, it is natural to expect that certain types
of corporate news would be perceived differently by the market. For example, the news about
plans to raise additional capital would be perceived less negatively because it was believed
that additional capital was truly needed due to the freezing of credit markets. Any good news
about future cash flows would be perceived much more positively. Likewise, any negative
news about future cash flows would be perceived much more negatively due to potential
bankruptcy concerns. Figure 4 plots individual CAR observations separately for the periods
before and after the start of the economic crisis, and confirms the conjecture that the market
reaction to different types of news has changed after the start of the crisis. Besides changes in
the mean CARs, the figure shows that the crisis period is characterized by a higher dispersion
of how the market reacts to news. Figure 5 provides a graphical illustration of the differences
in the impact of news announcements on stock returns. For each subcategory, the figure
plots the mean CAR for the periods before the crisis (indicated by the dark bars) and after
the start of the crisis (indicated by the light bars). The general picture of the figure is that
the market reaction to both negative and positive press releases are stronger since the start
of the crisis; positive news are followed by more positive price reactions, while negative news
are associated with more negative price reactions.
Additionally, news releases are likely to have a larger impact on stocks’ return volatility
and liquidity, since the crisis period is characterized by a more uncertain informational
environment. Priors on the correct valuation have likely become more diffuse during the
crisis period, and, hence, new information would likely produce a significant shift in the
priors in the highly uncertain crisis period. In particular, we expect news announcements to
increase the level of informational asymmetry more since the start of the crisis—and conse-
quently reduce post-event liquidity more significantly—as well as to induce larger increases in
volatility. A quick first indicator for this conjecture is the comparison of the CAR variances
for each subcategory in both the pre-crisis and the crisis period. The plots of the CAR
variances in Figure 6 show that, with very few exceptions, the variance of the CAR in a
given subcategory is larger in the crisis period than before the start of the crisis, indicating
19
an increase in informational uncertainty and asymmetry during the crisis. Figures 7 and 8
provide a comparison of the ratios of return variances and liquidities, respectively, for both
sample periods, and confirm that post-event increases in volatility and decreases in liquidity
became larger since the start of the crisis. In the following, we formally check whether the
conjectures hold true by investigating the differences in the market response to corporate
press releases in the periods before and during the crisis.
Before turning to the actual test results for the periods before and during the crisis, it
is interesting to see to what extent the content of press releases issued by firms has changed
during the economic crisis compared to the pre-crisis period. For each period, Table VI
presents the number of news announcements in each subcategory as well as the respective
percentage fraction in the total number of press releases for a given category. (Since the time
period before the crisis is longer than that after the start of the crisis, it contains more obser-
vations of press releases.) We observe some interesting changes in the nature of corporate
announcements. While there are fewer positive news about corporate performance (e.g.,
Positive Credit News and Positive Infrastructure News), there are relatively more announce-
ments about negative performance results. For instance, the percentage share of Delisting
Rumors increases from below 1% to more than 2%, and the frequency of announcements
about firms’ difficulties in obtaining credit (Negative Credit News) almost triples. A similar
pattern is found in the category Financial ; positive financial news become less frequent,
whereas negative financial announcements become more frequent. The frequency of news
covering the launch of a new product or the introduction of a new service provided by the
company decreases by three percentage points, which is the news category that has experi-
enced the largest decline.
C.1. Test Results for the Cumulative Abnormal Returns
Turning to the actual test results on the reaction to corporate press releases for the periods
before and during the crisis, we first consider differences in the stock price response to
corporate announcements. For each subcategory, the mean of the CARs and the p-value
of the corresponding t-test for the average CAR being equal to zero for the respective sample
20
periods are provided in Table VII. Furthermore, the last column of the table presents, for
each subcategory, the result of the t-test for the null hypothesis that the mean event-CARs
for the periods before and during the crisis are equal. For the sake of brevity, we focus the
description of the results on the most conspicuous and significant findings with respect to a
change in the market reaction to news from the pre-crisis period to the period after the start of
the crisis. As mentioned earlier, we observe that for the majority of subcategories the average
CAR is larger in magnitude while having the same sign during the crisis. On the one hand,
cash-flow stabilizing or, potentially, cash-flow increasing news, such as the launch of a new
product or a new partnership, and various news within the category M&A are accompanied
with more positive price reactions during the crisis than before the crisis. Furthermore, the
market values the positive signal of share buybacks more during the crisis period, resulting in
an increase in the mean CAR from 0.350% before the crisis to 0.593% during the crisis. On
the other hand, news on downgrades of a firm’s rating as well as announcements that lead
to higher cash-flow uncertainty or, otherwise, negatively affect a company’s outlook (e.g.,
customer loss, failed research, product defect, negative legal issues) are followed by more
negative price responses. However, there are exceptions to this general tendency towards
more extreme price reactions. For instance, news on secondary equity offerings (SEOs) are
followed by less negative price reactions during the crisis period (CAR is equal to −0.045%
with an insignificant p-value) than during the pre-crisis period (CAR is equal to −0.163%
and the p-value is significant at the 1% level). It seems that the market is less concerned
about the possibility that stocks are overpriced and more sympathetic to the possibility
that firms do need capital in light of the prevailing credit crunch. Therefore, firms are no
longer penalized for issuing equity. Interestingly, for other subcategories, such as Reorga-
nization and Retirement, the direction of the market’s reaction to press releases reverses
relative to the pre-crisis period. While before the crisis restructuring efforts by the firms’
management as well as any type of managerial change or re-organization were perceived as
negative news, as indicated by negative CARs (e.g., CARs for Reorganization and Retirement
equal to −0.132% and −0.091%, respectively), the same type of news is followed by positive
price reactions during the crisis period (CARs for Reorganization and Retirement equal to
21
0.430% and 0.031%, respectively). It seems that since the beginning of the crisis the market
is more concerned about corporate governance mechanisms, in particular negative effects on
firms’ performance due to the agency problem which arises from the separation of ownership
and control (management).11 As a result, announcements regarding the improvement of
managerial structures or changes in management are perceived as good news and therefore
accompanied by positive stock price reactions.
As indicated by significant p-values in the last column of Table VII, the difference in mean
CARs for the periods before and after the start of the crisis are statistically significant in
many cases. For example, while the price reactions to FDA approvals are significant in both
periods, the reaction in the post-crisis period is significantly stronger. Similarly, while being
significantly positive for both periods before and during the crisis, announcements about
legal settlements are perceived as significantly more positive during the crisis.
C.2. Test Results for Changes in Volatility and Liquidity
This section outlines the results for differences in event-induced changes in stocks’ volatility
and liquidity. For the periods before and during the crisis, Table VIII presents, for each
subcategory, the average ratio of post-to pre-event volatility. In addition, the table includes
the p-values of the t-tests for event-induced changes in volatility for both periods before
and during the crisis, and the test results for the null hypothesis that these changes are the
same for both periods. Similarly, Table IX presents the results for event-induced changes
in liquidity. Variance ratios in Table VIII larger than one in connection with significant p-
values, for almost all categories, confirm that the post-event volatility tends to be higher for
both sub-periods. Comparing the magnitudes of these increases, we find that some events
result in larger and some in smaller increases in volatility for the two sub-periods. During the
crisis period, post-event volatility tends to be larger following news about delisting rumors,
mergers and acquisitions, and rating downgrades, among others. This implies that these
types of news lead to larger post-announcement valuation uncertainty during the crisis than
in the pre-crisis period, and, as a consequence, to larger volatility increases. On the contrary,
some types of press releases are found to create smaller increases in valuation uncertainty for
11Shleifer and Vishny (1997) provide a survey on the topic of agency problems in corporations.
22
the crisis period. Examples for such press releases are the announcements of both positive
and negative financial results and pre-announcements, as well as news on SEC investigations
and other legal troubles. These news became more common, and not surprisingly, the market
learned how to interpret such news.
The findings for event-induced changes in liquidity (Table IX) are similar to those for
changes in volatility. For both the pre-crisis period and the period after the start of the
crisis, corporate press releases, generally, lead to decreases in liquidity, indicating the higher
post-event informational asymmetry in the second sub-period. As for the magnitude of
post-event decreases in liquidity, there is no clear tendency, as is the case for event-induced
volatility.
IV. Conclusion
For this paper we have collected a comprehensive dataset of corporate press releases, which
since the SEC’s Regulation Fair Disclosure include all the corporate news that are deemed
to be material for firm valuation. Using this unique dataset on corporate events, we further
classified the news into various categories and investigated the impact of the different types of
news on stock prices and the informational environment. We also subdivided our time series
into the sub-periods before and during the financial crisis. Not surprisingly, we found that
announcements about secondary equity offerings were viewed less negatively and positive
cash flow news were perceived significantly more positively by the market. On the other
hand, among the widespread bankruptcy concerns, the market reacted significantly more
negatively to negative cash flow news and the announcements of legal troubles. In future
work, we plan to further the scope of our research by assessing the process of price discovery
using high-frequency return data and by investigating what factors influence the speed of
post-event price discovery across firms and industries.
23
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Appendix
Appendix A. Typical Press Release Headlines
Here we provide some examples of typical press release headlines within each news category.
1. Analyst Action
(i) Downgrade
Aetna Inc. (AET) 27-04-2006 15:16:14 S&P Equity Research Downgrades Shares of
Aetna to ’Hold’ (3-STARS) from ’Buy’ (4-STARS)
Biovail Corporation (BVF) 20-06-2008 12:31:00 CIBC World Markets Equity Research
Downgrades Target Price of BVF from $12.00 to a Staggering Low of $7.50 Based on
Potential Incumbent Win in Proxy Battle
(ii) Initiation
American Capital Ltd. (ACAS) 17-05-2006 11:11:26 William Blair & Company Initiates
Coverage of American Capital Strategies, Ltd. With Outperform Rating
(iii) Upgrade
Alcoa Inc. (AA) 19-10-2006 10:24:30 Alcoa’s Hungary Operations Named Most Efficient
Based on Financial Measure
Affiliated Computer Services, Inc. (ACS) 05-02-2007 08:15:00 ACS Rates ’Positive’ in
Leading Analyst Firm’s Latest MarketScope Report for HRO Services
2. Awards
(i) Company Award
Dell Inc. (DELL) 26-04-2006 12:00:05 Dell Receives Top U.S. Government Award for
Workplace Diversity Efforts
Constellation Engy (CEG) 31-03-2006 9:44:40 Baltimore Gas and Electric Company
Ranks Highest in the East Region With Business Customers According to the 2006 J.D.
Power and Associates Electric Utility Business Customer Satisfaction Study
(ii) Product Award
Oracle Corp. (ORCL) 07-06-2006 8:02:20 Oracle’s Siebel Universal Customer Master
Wins ’Gold Award’ for Master Data Management in Bloor Research Study
30
Xerox Corp. (XRX) 13-06-2006 6:00:01 Xerox Imaging and Repository Operations Earn
ISO/IEC 27001 Accreditation for Security
3. Corporate
(i) Delisting Rumors / Possibility
Circuit City Stores, Inc. (CCTYQ) 30-10-2008 16:05:00 Circuit City Stores, Inc. Receives
Notification from NYSE about Non-Compliance with a Continued Listing Standard
(ii) Difficulties
Williams-Sonoma, Inc. (WSM) 08-01-2009 06:00:03 Williams-Sonoma, Inc. Announces
a 22.6% Decrease in 2008 Holiday Revenues
(iii) Improvements
Hayes Lemmerz International, Inc. (HAYZ) 07-04-2006 8:00:30 Hayes Lemmerz Initiates
Major Restructuring to Enhance Competitive Position
(iv) IPO Filing with SEC
Stoneridge, Inc. (SRI) 23-10-2007 16:47:00 Stoneridge, Inc. Announces Brazilian Joint
Venture IPO Filing
(v) Negative Credit News
Affiliated Computer Services, Inc. (ACS) 20-03-2007 15:49:27 Fitch Places Affiliated
Computer Services on Rating Watch Negative On LBO Offer
(vi) Negative Infrastructure News
Furniture Brands International, Inc. (FBN) 05-02-2006 16:46:01 Thomasville Furniture
Industries Announces Closing of Case Goods Manufacturing Facility
Arapaho Capital Corp. (AHO) 07-06-2006 17:13:53 Ahold intends to divest 46 Tops
stores in Northeast Ohio
(vii) Positive Credit News
Gasco Energy Inc. (GSX) 30-03-2006 16:15:27 Gasco Energy Secures Revolving Line of
Credit
Autonation Inc. (AN) 03-04-2006 8:47:50 AutoNation, Inc. Receives Lender Commit-
ments for $600 Million Term Loan
31
(viii) Positive Infrastructure News
Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ) 25-04-2006 8:57:07 Verizon Wireless Expands Its
Network in Rensselaer County
Centerra Gold Inc. (CG) 29-03-2006 8:30:02 Centerra Gold Continues to Expand
Kumtor SB Zone and Adds 1 Million Ounces of Reserves at the Gatsuurt Project
4. Customers and Partnerships
(i) Customer / Partnership Loss
Anika Therapeutics, Inc. (ANIK) 03-12-2007 18:01:01 Anika Therapeutics and Galderma
Complete Termination of License, Development and Supply Agreements
America Service Group Inc. (ASGR) 21-08-2006 18:30:25 America Service Group to
Terminate Contract with Florida Department of Corrections
(ii) Customer Win
Electro Scientific Industries, Inc. (ESIO) 25-04-2006 21:22:01 ESI Receives Follow-on
Multi-System Order from Hynix Semiconductor Inc. for Its Model 9830 Semiconductor
Link Processing System; 9830 Order Furthers ESI’s Momentum in the Asia Market
The Boeing Company (BA) 25-04-2006 5:00:33 Singapore Aircraft Leasing Enterprise
Orders 10 More Boeing 737s
(iii) Milestones
Travelzoo Inc. (TZOO) 04-06-2006 8:11:01 Travelzoo(R) Publications Surpass 10 Million
Subscribers; Travel Enthusiasts Trust Internet Media Company on Where to Find the
Best Travel Offers
Cyberonics, Inc. (CYBX) 05-01-2006 16:01:44 Cyberonics Announces 1,100th Patient
Treated With VNS Therapy(tm) for Treatment-Resistant Depression (TRD) Since FDA
Approval
(iv) New Partnership
Independence Holding Company (IHC) 25-07-2006 16:21:44 Independence Holding Company
Announces New Relationship with Carolina Benefit Administrators to Market and Admin-
ister Group and Individual Major Medical
32
Dolby Laboratories, Inc. (DLB) 31-07-2006 8:00:51 Dolby Announces Deal With Infitec
GmbH to Provide 3-D Technology for Dolby Digital Cinema; New technology to Provide
High-Quality and Flexible Digital 3-D Solution
5. Financial
(i) Dividend Payments
NSC Groupe SA (NSC) 25-04-2006 9:41:49 Norfolk Southern Declares Quarterly Dividend
Holly Energy Partners, L.P. (HEP) 25-04-2006 6:45:29 Holly Energy Partners Declares
Distribution; Increases Quarterly Distribution From 0.625to0.64 Per Unit
(ii) Forward Split
Cascade Financial Corporation (CASB) 25-04-2006 20:00:10 Cascade Financial Corpo-
ration Declares 5-for-4 Stock Split
Sonic Corporation (SONC) 04-06-2006 17:00:30 Sonic Declares Three-for-Two Stock
Split
(iii) Negative Financial Results
Silicon Motion Technology Corp. (SIMO) 27-04-2006 17:00:43 Silicon Motion Technology
Corporation Announces First Quarter Results for the Period Ended March 31, 2006:
Market Conditions Contribute to Sequential Weakness but Growth Expected to Pick
Up in Q2
RPM International Inc. (RPM) 08-01-2009 07:30:00 RPM Reports Decline in Sales, Net
Income for Fiscal 2009 Second Quarter
(iv) Negative Pre-Announcement
Keynote Systems, Inc. (KEYN) 04-03-2006 7:30:02 Keynote’s Preliminary Second Quarter
2006 Revenue Below Expectations
(v) Positive Financial Results
Kennametal Inc. (KMT) 26-04-2006 7:30:39 Kennametal Reports Strong Third Quarter
(vi) Positive Pre-Announcement
OM Group, Inc. (OMG) 25-04-2006 7:01:50 OM Group Increases Outlook for 2006 First
Quarter Earnings Per Share
33
(vii) Restatement
Richardson Electronics, Ltd. (RELL) 04-04-2006 19:00:27 Richardson Electronics, Ltd.
to Restate its Financial Statements
(viii) Reverse Split
Sequenom, Inc. (SQNM) 06-02-2006 12:52:08 Sequenom Implements Reverse Stock Split
Idera Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (IDRA) 22-06-2006 9:00:12 Idera Pharmaceuticals to Effect
a Reverse Stock Split
(ix) Secondary Offering: Debt
Dean Foods Company (DF) 05-10-2006 6:30:27 Dean Foods Announces Launch of $300
Million Senior Notes Public Offering
(x) Secondary Offering: Equity
Kimco Realty Corporation (KIM) 30-03-2006 8:01:40 Kimco Announces Offering of 10
Million Shares of Common Stock
(xi) Share Buyback
Papa John’s Int’l, Inc. (PZZA) 19-04-2006 18:08:01 Papa John’s Increases Stock Repur-
chase Authorization to $575 Million
6. Legal
(i) Class Action
Pixelplus Co., Ltd. (PXPL) Shareholder Class Action Filed Against Pixelplus Co., Ltd.
by the Law Firm of Schiffrin & Barroway, LLP
(ii) Negative Legal Issues
LifePoint Hospitals, Inc. (LPNT) 17-04-2006 14:07:01 Dissident Stockholder Files Suit
against LifePoint Hospitals, Inc.
(iii) SEC Investigation
One Liberty Properties, Inc. (OLP) 21-06-2006 16:30:01 One Liberty Properties Receives
Notification of Formal Investigation from the SEC
(iv) Settlement
Freddie Mac (FRE) 18-04-2006 15:53:42 Freddie Mac Settles With Federal Election
Commission
34
7. M&A
(i) Acquisition
Plains Exploration & Production Company (PXP) 24-04-2006 7:58:41 PXP Announces
Agreement to Acquire Stone Energy and Elimination of 2007 and 2008 Crude Oil Collars
(ii) Merger
Gerdau Ameristeel Corporation (GNA) 28-04-2006 16:14:05 Sheffield Steel Announces
53% Shareholder Agreement of Merger With Gerdau
(iii) Spinoff
Level 3 Communications, Inc. (LVLT) 20-07-2006 16:19:01 Level 3 Signs Agreement to
Sell Software Spectrum Subsidiary for $287 Million
8. Management
(i) Additions
Guest-Tek Interactive Entertainment Ltd. (GTK) 25-04-2006 9:03:26 Lottery Industry
Veteran Connie Laverty Joins GTECH as Senior Vice President and Chief Marketing
Officer
(ii) Compensation
Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) 04-06-2006 16:05:31 Duke Energy Releases Details of
CEO Compensation Package
(iii) Promotions
EMCOR Group, Inc. (EME) 04-03-2006 10:32:01 Mark A. Pompa to Succeed Leicle
E. Chesser as Chief Financial Officer of EMCOR Group; Mr. Chesser to become Vice
Chairman of EMCOR Group, to retire at the end of 2006
(iv) Reorganization
PepsiAmericas, Inc. (PAS) 15-05-2006 17:01:05 airforce(R) Nutrisoda(R) Announces
New Management Team
(v) Retirement
Safeguard Scientifics, Inc. (SFE) 24-05-2006 11:37:01 Safeguard Scientifics Announces
Retirement of Directors Anthony L. Craig and Robert Ripp
35
(vi) Termination
Energy Partners, Ltd. (EPL) 19-04-2006 18:07:01 EPL Announces Departure of David
Looney as Chief Financial Officer
9. Meetings and Events
(i) Company Sponsored
Arrow Electronics, Inc. (ARW) 26-04-2006 17:16:01 Arrow Electronics Works with
Technology Suppliers to Facilitate 2006 Open Architecture Seminars
(ii) Industry Events
Aspect Medical Systems, Inc. (ASPM) 25-04-2006 9:45:01 Aspect Medical to Webcast
Presentation at Deutsche Bank 31st Annual Health Care Conference on May 2, 2006
(iii) Investor Meetings
N S Group Inc. (NSS) 16-06-2006 9:26:01 NS Group to Present at the NIRI Regional
Investor Conference in Cincinnati, Ohio; Presentation June 20th
Socket Mobile Inc. (SCKT) 27-06-2006 16:05:31 Socket Communications to Present to
Investors at the C.E. Unterberg, Towbin Emerging Growth Conference
10. Products and Services
(i) Failed Research
Bristol Myers Squibb Co. (BMY) 18-05-2006 14:00:30 Bristol-Myers Squibb Announces
Discontinuation of Development of Muraglitazar, an Investigational Oral Treatment for
Type 2 Diabetes
(ii) FDA / general Approval
General Electric Company (GE) 20-04-2006 9:00:07 U.S. FDA Approves GE Healthcare’s
Next-Generation Digital Mammography System for Improved Breast Care
(iii) FDA Investigation
Pharmacyclics, Inc. (PCYC) 05-09-2006 7:30:56 Pharmacyclics to Submit New Drug
Application for Xcytrin(R) for Treatment of Lung Cancer Patients With Brain Metas-
tases
(iv) FDA Rejection
36
Cephalon, Inc. (CEPH) 08-09-2006 17:02:18 Cephalon Receives Non-Approvable Letter
on SPARLON(TM)
(v) New Product
Nokia Corporation (NOK) 25-04-2006 5:44:57 Digitally Divine Nokia N73 - the Ultimate
Challenge to the Digital Camera
(vi) Patent Award
Assurant, Inc. (AIZ) 28-06-2006 12:50:04 Assurant Awarded Patents for Call Processing
System
(vii) Pharmaceutical Approval EU
Biogen Idec Inc. (BIIB) 29-06-2006 2:30:21 TYSABRI(R) Receives Approval in European
Union for the Treatment of Relapsing Remitting Forms of Multiple Sclerosis
(viii) Product Defect
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) 31-03-2006 17:08:26 Ortho-Clinical Diagnostics Issues a Voluntary
Product Recall for VITROS(R) Immunodiagnostic Products Signal Reagent
(ix) Research Achievements
Somaxon Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (SOMX) 04-10-2006 6:01:04 Somaxon Pharmaceuticals
Announces Positive Phase 3 Results with SILENOR(TM) for the Treatment of Adults
with Chronic Insomnia
(x) Updates & Upgrades
Sony Corporation (SNE) 06-01-2006 13:00:28 Sony Strengthens BRAVIA Flat-Panel
LCD Line With Full HD Models and 1080p Inputs
37
−0.2 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2
Updates & UpgradesResearch AchievementsProduct DefectPharmaceutical Approval EUPatent AwardNew ProductFDA RejectionFDA InvestigationFDA ApprovalFailed ResearchApprovalsInvestor MeetingsIndustry EventsCompany SponsoredTerminationRetirementReorganizationPromotionsCompensationAdditionsSpinoffMergerAcquisitionSettlementSEC InvestigationNegative Legal IssuesClass ActionShare BuybackSecondary Offering: EquitySecondary Offering: DebtReverse SplitRestatementPos. Pre−AnnouncementPos. Financial ResultsNeg. Pre−AnnouncementNeg. Financial ResultsForward SplitDividend PaymentsNew PartnershipMilestonesCustomer WinCustomer LossPositive Infrastructure NewsPositive Credit NewsNegative Infrastructure NewsNegative Credit NewsIPO Filing with SECImprovementsDifficultiesDelisting RumorsProduct AwardCompany AwardUpgradeInitiationDowngrade
mean abnornal return
mean abnormal return
Figure 1. Boxplot of the Cumulative Abnormal Returns. For each news category, the cumulativeabnormal returns of each news event are plotted.
38
Fig
ure
2:P
lot
ofth
eC
um
ula
tive
Abnor
mal
Ret
urn
for
all
Sub
cate
gori
es.
Th
efi
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ula
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ab
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al
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om21
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eth
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al
retu
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are
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ng
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od
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orm
al
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39
New Product
FDA Approval
Settlement
New Partnership
Research Achievements
Product Defect
FDA Rejection
Negative Legal Issues
Termination
Secondary Offering: Debt
Figure 3. Plots of the Cumulative Abnormal Return for Select Categories. For select categories,which have not been covered in previous literature, the figure plots the cumulative abnormal return over theperiod from 21 days before the event to 21 after the event. Abnormal returns are computed using the marketmodel as a measure for the normal return.
40
Fig
ure
4:B
oxplo
tof
the
Cum
ula
tive
Abnor
mal
Ret
urn
s.F
or
each
new
sca
tegory
,th
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lati
veab
norm
al
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each
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ent
are
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tted
sep
arat
ely
for
bot
hth
ep
erio
db
efor
ean
dd
uri
ng
the
cris
is.
41
Figure 5. Means of the Cumulative Abnormal Returns Before and After the Crisis. For eachnews category, the means of the cumulative abnormal returns are plotted for the period before (dark bars)and during the crisis (light bars).
42
Figure 6. Variances of the Cumulative Abnormal Returns. For each news category, the variancesof the cumulative abnormal returns are plotted for the period before (dark bars) and during the crisis (lightbars).
43
Figure 7. Variance Ratios Before and After the Crisis. For each news category, the variance ratiosare plotted for the period before (dark bars) and during the crisis (light bars).
44
Figure 8. Amihud Ratios Before and After the Crisis. For each news category, the ratios of theAmihud illiquidity measure are plotted for the period before (dark bars) and during the crisis (light bars).
45
Table I
Press Release Categories
Category Subcategory Obs. Description
1. Analyst Downgrade 77 Rating of company is downgradedAction Initiation 114 Coverage of company is initiated(548) Upgrade 357 Rating of company is upgraded
2. Awards Company Award 10,903 Company is rewarded for achievements(13,574) Product Award 2,671 Company receives award for one of its products
3. Corporate Delisting Rumors 3,916 Receipt of notice of non-compliance/potential delisting(13,773) Difficulties 283 Negative performance, e.g. decrease in sales
Improvements 1,455 Positive performance, e.g. increase in sales or revenue growthIPO Filing with SEC 218 Filing for Initial Public Offering, e.g. of subsidiary, with SECNegative Credit News 230 Financing pressure or difficultiesNegative Infrastructure News 55 Company has to close facilities or needs to exit certain marketsPositive Credit News 976