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Market Reaction to Corporate News and the Influence of the Financial Crisis Andreas Neuhierl * University of Augsburg Anna Scherbina UC Davis Bernd Schlusche UC Berkeley January 15, 2010 ABSTRACT Having obtained a complete dataset of corporate press releases issued between April 2006 and August 2009, we analyze the stock price reactions to various types of corporate events. Besides confirming the previously-documented empirical regularities about the reaction to financial news, we also document a strong market response to news about corporate strategy, customers & partners, products & services, management changes, and legal issues. In addition, we find that return volatility generally increases and liquidity decreases in the month after the announcement. Investigating separately the time periods before and during the financial crisis, we observe that the response to certain types of news has changed. For example, during the crisis period, news that signal higher and more stable future cash flows, such as announcements about corporate restructuring, new corporate partners, successful research completion, FDA approvals, and legal settlements lead to more positive price reactions. On the other hand, events that are perceived to decrease future cash flows and increase their uncertainty, such as announcements about legal troubles, FDA rejections, and failed research efforts have a more negative effect on stock prices. Moreover, announced plans to raise funds through equity or debt offerings are perceived less negatively, and announcements of share buybacks lead to even higher abnormal returns than in the pre-crisis period. We also show that during the more uncertain crisis period, news announcements tend to lead to larger volatility increases. JEL classification: G01, G10, G14, G30. Keywords: Corporate News, Event Study, Market Efficiency, Financial Crisis * Address: Department of Statistics and Mathematical Economic Theory, University of Augsburg, Universit¨atsstrasse 16, 86159 Augsburg, Germany. E-mail: [email protected] Address: Graduate School of Management, University of California, Davis, One Shields Avenue, Davis, CA 95616. E-mail: [email protected]. Phone: (530) 754-8076. Fax: (530) 725-2924. Address: Haas School of Business, University of California, Berkeley, 2220 Piedmont Avenue, Berkeley, CA 94720. E-mail: [email protected].

Market Reaction to Corporate News and the In uence of the … ANNUAL... · 2016. 11. 7. · Market Reaction to Corporate News and the In uence of the Financial Crisis Andreas Neuhierl

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  • Market Reaction to Corporate News and the Influence of

    the Financial Crisis

    Andreas Neuhierl∗

    University of Augsburg

    Anna Scherbina†

    UC Davis

    Bernd Schlusche‡

    UC Berkeley

    January 15, 2010

    ABSTRACT

    Having obtained a complete dataset of corporate press releases issued between April2006 and August 2009, we analyze the stock price reactions to various types of corporateevents. Besides confirming the previously-documented empirical regularities about thereaction to financial news, we also document a strong market response to news aboutcorporate strategy, customers & partners, products & services, management changes,and legal issues. In addition, we find that return volatility generally increases andliquidity decreases in the month after the announcement. Investigating separately thetime periods before and during the financial crisis, we observe that the response tocertain types of news has changed. For example, during the crisis period, news thatsignal higher and more stable future cash flows, such as announcements about corporaterestructuring, new corporate partners, successful research completion, FDA approvals,and legal settlements lead to more positive price reactions. On the other hand, eventsthat are perceived to decrease future cash flows and increase their uncertainty, suchas announcements about legal troubles, FDA rejections, and failed research effortshave a more negative effect on stock prices. Moreover, announced plans to raise fundsthrough equity or debt offerings are perceived less negatively, and announcements ofshare buybacks lead to even higher abnormal returns than in the pre-crisis period. Wealso show that during the more uncertain crisis period, news announcements tend tolead to larger volatility increases.

    JEL classification: G01, G10, G14, G30.

    Keywords: Corporate News, Event Study, Market Efficiency, Financial Crisis

    ∗Address: Department of Statistics and Mathematical Economic Theory, University of Augsburg, Universitätsstrasse 16,86159 Augsburg, Germany. E-mail: [email protected]†Address: Graduate School of Management, University of California, Davis, One Shields Avenue, Davis, CA 95616. E-mail:

    [email protected]. Phone: (530) 754-8076. Fax: (530) 725-2924.‡Address: Haas School of Business, University of California, Berkeley, 2220 Piedmont Avenue, Berkeley, CA 94720. E-mail:

    [email protected].

  • Market Reaction to Corporate News and the Influence of

    the Financial Crisis

    ABSTRACT

    Having obtained a complete dataset of corporate press releases issued between April2006 and August 2009, we analyze the stock price reactions to various types of corporateevents. Besides confirming the previously-documented empirical regularities about thereaction to financial news, we also document a strong market response to news aboutcorporate strategy, customers & partners, products & services, management changes,and legal issues. In addition, we find that return volatility generally increases andliquidity decreases in the month after the announcement. Investigating separately thetime periods before and during the financial crisis, we observe that the response tocertain types of news has changed. For example, during the crisis period, news thatsignal higher and more stable future cash flows, such as announcements about corporaterestructuring, new corporate partners, successful research completion, FDA approvals,and legal settlements lead to more positive price reactions. On the other hand, eventsthat are perceived to decrease future cash flows and increase their uncertainty, suchas announcements about legal troubles, FDA rejections, and failed research effortshave a more negative effect on stock prices. Moreover, announced plans to raise fundsthrough equity or debt offerings are perceived less negatively, and announcements ofshare buybacks lead to even higher abnormal returns than in the pre-crisis period. Wealso show that during the more uncertain crisis period, news announcements tend tolead to larger volatility increases.

  • I. Introduction

    On January 9, 2007, Apple Inc. issued a press release, headlined “Apple Reinvents the Phone

    with iPhone.” The first few sentences of the press release read:

    “... today introduced iPhone, combining three products—a revolutionary mobile

    phone, a widescreen iPod with touch controls, and a breakthrough Internet commu-

    nications device with desktop-class email, web browsing, searching and maps—

    into one small and lightweight handheld device.”

    The press release also contained a quote from Apple’s CEO, Steve Jobs, stating that

    “...iPhone is a revolutionary and magical product that is literally five years ahead of any

    other mobile phone,” and then went on to describe in more detail the various features of the

    new product. On the day of the announcement, the stock trading volume increased more

    than four-fold and remained almost as high on the following day before dropping by half the

    day after. The stock price also significantly increased from the day before the announcement

    to five days after; precisely, Apple’s stock realized a cumulative return of 9.31% in excess of

    the market. In the month after the announcement the return volatility increased by nearly

    5%, while the stock’s illiquidity, as measured by the Amihud (2002) specification, decreased

    by 46%.

    The strong market reaction to the press release and its careful and precise phrasing illus-

    trate just how important corporate news announcements are for stock prices. Corporate

    press releases became highly prevalent after the SEC’s Regulation Fair Disclosure (Reg FD),

    implemented in October 2000, mandated that publicly traded companies have to disclose all

    information that may have an impact on the firm’s market value. The regulation stated:

    “With advances in information technology, most notably the internet, information can be

    communicated to shareholders directly and in real time, without the intervention of an inter-

    mediary. This online revolution has created a greater demand, expectation, and need for

    direct delivery of market information. As many individual commenters noted, under this

    paradigm, analysts still provide value for investors by using their education, judgment, and

    expertise to analyze information.”1

    1The entire document can be found at http://www.sec.gov/rules/final/33-7881.htm.

    1

  • Corporations’ press releases reach investors almost instantaneously via services such as

    PR Newswire, BusinessWire, Globenewswire, Marketwire, and the like. We form our dataset

    of corporate press releases between April 2006 and August 2009, which is to the best of

    our knowledge the most complete among such datasets, by combining observations from all

    major news wire services. For that reason, we believe that our dataset contains all press

    releases that were issued in this time period. Additionally, we manually classify the press

    releases into several news categories. For example, the Apple announcement above is classified

    under the category Products & Services → New Product. We analyze how various types of

    news coming from a firm affect its stock’s return, liquidity, and volatility. This allows us to

    estimate the news-worthiness of the information released by the firm and the extent to which

    this information changes the investors’ priors about the proper valuation model and how it

    affects the informational advantage of better-informed investors. Moreover, we study how

    the reaction to different types of news has changed during the more uncertain crisis period.

    The impact of financial news has been extensively studied in the literature. We confirm

    that several documented regularities exist in the most recent data. For example, announce-

    ments of better-than-expected financial results are accompanied by high returns, and financial

    results that fall below market expectations are accompanied by negative returns. Announce-

    ments of financial decisions, such as dividend payments, share repurchases, and forward stock

    splits lead to positive price reactions and announcements about secondary debt and equity

    offerings by negative price reactions. News related to mergers and acquisitions also elicit a

    strong and positive response.

    However, we find that just as important are announcements of other corporate events.

    Such announcements were not mandatory in the past and only came about as a result of

    Reg FD. Hence, our study attempts to study stock price reactions to a comprehensive set

    of corporate news in a systematic manner. For example, we find that stock prices react

    strongly to customer losses and acquisitions. Such seemingly non-news-worthy events such as

    company awards, announcements of new meetings and events, as well as news about reaching

    new sales milestones are also accompanied by significantly positive returns. The underlying

    reason might be a temporary or a permanent increase in investor attention (Merton (1987)).

    2

  • The market reacts negatively to unfavorable legal news, management terminations, as well

    as announcements about FDA rejections and product defects. On the other hand, news

    releases about new partnerships formed, legal settlements, management additions, FDA

    approvals, and achievements in research are accompanied by significantly positive excess

    returns. Besides negative financial results, the news categories that have the largest effect

    on post-news return volatility jumps are announcements about SEC investigations, FDA

    rejections, M&A activities, and management terminations.

    We further split our time series into two subsamples—before and during the financial

    crisis. We assume that the financial crisis, which originated in the sub-prime mortgage crisis,

    ceased to be viewed as an issue for only the sub-prime mortgage originators and turned global

    on March 17, 2008. This day is the Monday following the weekend during which troubled Bear

    Stearns, having lost considerable amounts of money on its hedge funds that had exposure

    to the subprime mortgage market, signed a merger agreement with JP Morgan Chase. This

    date splits our sample at about 23.5 months of data assigned to the before-crisis period, and

    16.5 months to the period since the start of the crisis. Investigating the price reactions to

    various news categories in the before-crisis period and during the crisis period, we find that,

    on average, the post-event stock volatility has increased considerably more following news

    announcements during the more uncertain crisis time. The post-announcement decrease in

    stock liquidity has also become more pronounced.

    However, the most intriguing result is that price reactions to certain types of news

    announcements have changed. Since the crisis is characterized by a widespread difficulty

    in obtaining credit, the announcements of secondary equity offerings are accompanied by

    significantly less negative stock returns, and the returns around share buyback announce-

    ments are significantly more positive. Any news potentially signaling larger and more stable

    future cash flows (such as announcements of FDA approvals, research achievements, new

    products, customer wins, new partnerships, and generally good financial results) lead to

    higher contemporaneous returns than in the period before the crisis. On the other hand,

    news that are detrimental to future cash flow expectations (such as announcements about

    legal troubles, FDA investigations, and negative news about corporate credit) are accom-

    3

  • panied by more negative price reactions. Finally, any news about corporate reorganization

    or restructuring are viewed in a significantly more positive light.

    This paper studies price reactions to news coming from primary news sources, i.e. corpo-

    rations themselves. Another strand of literature that has recently gained momentum has

    focused on the importance of news media and internet chat board postings in disseminating

    new information to the market. These papers typically try to assess whether new information

    has a positive or a negative content based on the presence of positive or negative words in

    news stories or chat board messages and investigate whether thus quantified qualitative news

    stories can predict future returns (e.g., Chan (2003), Antweiler and Frank (2004), Das and

    Chen (2007) for internet message boards; Tetlock (2007), Tetlock, Saar-Tsechansky, and

    Macskassy (2008) for news stories, and Engelberg (2008) for news stories that accompany

    earnings announcements). Moreover, Tetlock (2009) investigates the effect of being in the

    news on the stock’s order flow and the information environment, as well as return patterns.

    Here, we work exclusively with information coming directly from firms themselves. Further,

    besides classifying whether an announcement contains positive or negative information about

    the firm, our paper is, to the best of our knowledge, the first study that hand-classifies

    corporate news based on the content of the announcement and investigates what types of

    corporate announcements are deemed most important by the market and are found to have

    an unanticipated component to actually affect stock prices, as well as how various news

    categories change stocks’ informational environment.2 We have a total of ten major news

    categories and 55 subcategories, with a total of 288,716 unique press releases.

    The rest of the paper proceeds as follows. Section II describes the data. Section III

    explains the test methodology and shows the test results of the basic hypotheses. It also

    presents additional empirical hypotheses and results for the crisis period. Section IV concludes.

    2According to the rational expectations theory, mere announcements should not affect stock prices; whatmatters for stock prices is unanticipated news revealed through corporate announcements.

    4

  • II. Data

    A. Regulation Fair Disclosure and Corporate Press Releases

    Regulation Fair Disclosure (Reg FD), implemented in October of 2000, requires that publicly

    traded companies disclose all information that might impact their market valuation simulta-

    neously to everyone. The goal of this regulation was to address the recent analyst scandal,

    where firms could disclose material information to select analyst and thus force analysts to

    issue favorable reports in return for valuable information. Reg FD forced firms for the first

    time to disclose all information, favorable or unfavorable, all at once , via a preferred method,

    and without any delay. This created the possibility to form a dataset of news that firms deem

    to be important for their valuation and to study the market reaction to different types of

    corporate action and news otherwise unrelated to firms’ strategies (passive news).

    Prior to the adoption of Reg FD, companies issued press releases, but these press releases

    did not have to contain negative news. The new SEC regulation stated explicitly that firms

    had to disclose all information in order not to give anyone an advantage of insider knowledge

    and to disclose the new information soon after it has become known. Though the SEC

    did not specifically list the types of news that had to be reported, it stated that news

    that are “material” and “nonpublic” and when “there is a substantial likelihood that a

    reasonable shareholder would consider it important” are deemed important (page 9). The

    SEC’s document further provides examples of these types of news that might be considered

    to be of investment value. On page 10 it states:

    “While it is not possible to create an exhaustive list, the following items are some

    types of information or events that should be reviewed carefully to determine

    whether they are material: (1) earnings information; (2) mergers, acquisitions,

    tender offers, joint ventures, or changes in assets; (3) new products or discoveries,

    or developments regarding customers or suppliers (e.g., the acquisition or loss of

    a contract); (4) changes in control or in management; (5) change in auditors or

    auditor notification that the issuer may no longer rely on an auditor’s audit report;

    (6) events regarding the issuer’s securities—e.g., defaults on senior securities, calls

    5

  • of securities for redemption, repurchase plans, stock splits or changes in dividends,

    changes to the rights of security holders, public or private sales of additional

    securities; and (7) bankruptcies or receiverships.”

    The innovation that enabled companies to release new information to the public simul-

    taneously rather than through analysts as intermediaries was the internet. The document

    states: “With advances in information technology, most notable the internet, information

    can be communicated to shareholders directly and in real time, without the intervention of

    an intermediary” (page 3). The SEC even suggested the steps in which the information could

    be released. On page 15 of the document, it suggests the following steps for releasing new

    information to the public:

    • First, issue a press release, distributed through regular channels, containing the

    information...

    • Second, provide adequate notice, by a press release and/or website posting, of

    a scheduled conference call to discuss the announced results...

    • Third, hold the conference call in an open manner...

    B. Our Dataset

    Our press release dataset comprises all corporate press releases issued by over 6,500 US

    companies which are publicly traded on NASDAQ, NYSE, and AMEX over the period from

    April 2006 to August 2009. The number of press announcements grows at a rate of roughly

    750 releases per day.3

    Corporate press releases are issued via news wire services which further distribute the

    information to corporate and individual subscribers. Some of these services, such as Reuters

    and Dow Jones, charge very higher fees since they include additional news items about firms

    and the economy. The fees of others, such as PR Newswire, are lower. Obviously, the various

    news wire datasets have considerable overlap. Our dataset is consolidated from the various

    news wire services, such as PR Newswire, BusinessWire, GlobeNewswire, MarketWire, and

    3Throughout the paper, we used the terms (corporate) press release, news event, and news announcementinterchangeably.

    6

  • many others. PR Newswire contains 50%-60% of all publicly traded firms, BusinessWire

    about 30%, and GlobeNewswire and MarketWire are the next in terms of coverage, and the

    rest contains significantly fewer firms. We hope that the resulting dataset contains the entire

    sample of corporate press releases.

    Among all postings, corporate press releases can be identified by the “source” printed at

    the bottom of the report. We only include those items issued by corporations rather than

    news agencies.4 The items are then manually classified into various news categories based on

    the content of the announcement texts. In the future, this classification can be automated

    based on search words. We have obtained our dataset with the help of iMiners, Inc., and we

    have worked with the company to refine the news classifications to balance the generalness

    and the specificity within each category.

    For the sake of brevity, we remove press releases for which we do not have any priors in

    terms of what influence they would have on stock returns (for example, news releases about

    a company’s participation in a charity event, establishing industry-wide awards and competi-

    tions, announcing various types of meetings, webcasts, conference calls, and the participation

    in environmental initiatives, making various statements regarding labor strikes, announcing

    various employee and industry initiatives, changes in internal policies, announcing the partic-

    ipation in various corporate surveys (such as the diversity of the labor force, security assess-

    ments, etc.), announcing forthcoming speaking engagements of their executives, the partici-

    pation in news campaigns, and so on). Furthermore, we discard categories with fewer than

    30 observations. This leaves us with 288,716 corporate press releases divided into ten major

    categories each of which, in turn, is split up into several subcategories as described in Table

    I. Besides the number of news announcements in each major category, Table I gives a brief

    description for each of the 55 subcategories. The categories span a wide array of categories

    of significantly different size. The size of the categories ranges from large categories with

    more than 50,000 announcements to very small categories with just over 500 press releases.

    The largest category, Customer & Partnerships, contains 54,552 observations and includes

    announcements on a company’s customers and partners, such as customer losses or customer

    4An exception is the category Analyst Action that, in addition to press releases by firms, contains newsissued about the firm by firms that employ securities analysts.

    7

  • wins. The second largest category comprises a total of 54,111 announcements and conveys

    financial news, e.g., on secondary offerings or on dividend payments. The category that

    provides news on a company’s products and services, such as new products, product defects,

    approvals by the FDA etc., follows with 50,194 press releases. With a mere 548 observa-

    tions, Analyst Action is the smallest category, and contains announcements of a company’s

    upgrading or downgrading by analysts, as well as information about the initiation of analysts’

    coverage of a company.

    Table II presents summary statistics on the monthly press release activity across firms.

    Panel A of the table reports the statistics for the entire sample and Panel B shows the

    statistics by size categories; Panel A shows that the average number of corporate press

    releases per firm is 1.244 per month. Panel B of the table shows that the number of press

    releases increases with firm size. The left-hand side of Panel B reports the statistics for the

    sample divided every month into NYSE-based size quintiles, and the right-hand side shows

    the statistics of sample-based size quintiles, which are constructed every month such that each

    quintile contains roughly the same number of stocks. Not surprisingly, the results indicate

    that large firms, on average, issue more corporate press releases in a given month than small

    firms. In particular, the average number of monthly news announcements increases with firm

    size from 0.434 for the smallest NYSE-based size quintile (1.072 for the smallest sample-based

    size quintile) to 3.177 for the largest NYSE-based quintile (1.528 for the largest sample-based

    quintile).

    All other data, i.e., time series of daily stock prices/returns, trading volumes (number

    of shares traded), and the return of the CRSP value-weighted index are obtained from the

    CRSP daily files. The dollar trading volume needed for the construction of the Amihud

    (2002) illiquidity measure in Section B.2 is computed as the product of the daily trading

    volume (number of shares traded) and the end-of-day stock price.

    III. Test Results

    In this section, we investigate the impact of various types of news on stock returns, volatility

    and liquidity. News that the market deems most material for the stock prices but that are also

    8

  • relatively easy to interpret will be accompanied by larger immediate price reactions. Those

    news that are somewhat unusual and unique to a company will likely not lead to an immediate

    price reaction, but will create a larger informational asymmetry between investors who are

    better- and worse-informed about the impact of the news on the fair firm value. Finally, some

    of such press releases will create the need for the additional news or the interpretation of the

    impact of the original news announcements and will lead to higher future stock volatility and

    more informational asymmetries until a sufficient amount of new information is released and

    market participants agree on the new equilibrium valuation.

    A. News’ Impact on Stock Returns

    A.1. Event Study Methodology

    To assess the immediate impact of news releases on stock prices, we follow the common event

    study methodology. For each firm i, the abnormal return on day t, ARit, is specified as:

    ARit = Rit − E(Rit|Xt), (1)

    where Rit and E(Rit|Xt) are the actual and normal returns respectively for day t, and Xt is

    the conditioning information for the model. Assuming that returns can be described by the

    market model, the abnormal return is defined as:

    ARit = Rit − α̂i − β̂iRmt, (2)

    where Rit and Rmt are the day-t returns on security i and the market portfolio, which we

    proxy with the CRSP value-weighted index. The coefficients α̂i and β̂i are OLS estimates

    from regressions of firm i’s daily returns on the return on the market portfolio over the 200

    days prior to the event window.

    The event window extends from one day before to five days after the day of the press

    release. As is common in event studies, we start the window one day before the actual

    announcement day in case the news has leaked to the market before the actual press release.

    We keep the event window relatively short because a) we are interested in the short-term

    9

  • impact of news on stock prices and b) we want to minimize the incidence of overlapping

    event windows across firms. Thus, we first compute the average daily abnormal return for

    each firm i issuing a press release on day t:5

    CARit =1

    7

    t+5∑τ=t−1

    ARiτ , (3)

    Next, we calculate the average CAR across all firm-announcement observations. In order

    not to understate the standard errors for statistical inference, we correct for the correlation

    between individual CARs estimated over overlapping event windows by clustering errors by

    the week in which the press release was issued.

    A.2. Event Study Results

    Before turning to the actual test results, consider first the plot of individual CAR observations

    for each news categroy in Figure 1. The plot shows that different types of news categories

    lead to different standard deviations of CARs. Moreover, some categories result in more

    negatively-shifted and some in more positively-shifted CARs. The plot of the CARs of all

    categories in Figure 2 shows clearly that most press releases convey information affecting

    firm valuations. Positive news lead to positive CARs, while negative news to negative

    CARs. Individual plots of CARs for select news categories are presented in Figure 3. The

    left-hand side of the figure shows plots for categories that include positive announcements

    (introductions of a new product, FDA approvals, legal settlements, new partnerships, and

    a research achievements); the right-hand side shows plots for categories containing news

    with a negative impact on firms’ stock prices (product defects, FDA rejections, announce-

    ments about legal troubles, such as a stockholder lawsuit, management terminations, and

    secondary debt offerings). All plots show that news leak in the market prior to the official

    news announcements. However, following news announcements, prices adjust and generally

    stabilize at the new level without reverting back to the pre-announcement level. Table III

    presents the results of the formal test for the sign of the price reaction following different

    types of news announcements. The table reports the average CAR and the p-value of the

    5Henceforth, for convenience we refer to the average daily abnormal return as CAR.

    10

  • two-sided t-test. The results confirm the previously reported regularities, especially when it

    comes to financial news that have been extensively studied in prior literature.

    The first category, Analyst Action, is somewhat unusual in that besides the press releases

    issued by the firm itself it also includes announcements that have been issued by firms that

    employ securities analysts, such as Zacks. Consistent with prior literature (e.g., Barber,

    Lehavy, McNichols, and Trueman (2001), McNichols and O’Brien (1997)) we find that news

    of recommendation upgrades and initiation of coverage lead to positive price reactions and

    downgrades cause prices to fall. Indeed, the average CAR is significantly positive and equal

    to 0.174% for analyst recommendation upgrades, 0.534% for the initiation of coverage, and

    significantly negative (-1.035%) for analyst downgrades.

    Similarly, when firms succeed or fail in obtaining financing capital and/or rating agencies

    make public positive or negative announcements about the corporate debt (in Positive Credit

    News and Negative Credit News), stock prices react positively and negatively, respectively,

    though insignificantly. Prior literature that studied debt ratio changes is somewhat split

    in the empirical findings; some studies claim that stock prices do not react to changes in

    bond ratings (e.g., Kliger and Sarig (2000)) while others find that equity prices react only to

    rating downgrades (Hand, Holthausen, and Leftwich (1992) and Goh and Ederington (1993)).

    Consistently with the latter findings, Dichev and Piotroski (2001) show that long-run stock

    returns are negative following bond downgrades, and that this underperformance is most

    pronounced for small firms with low-rated debt.

    Turning to financial decisions, extensively-studied in prior literature, our results are

    consistent with prior findings. In particular, corporate announcements of dividend payments

    result in positive CARs (see Fama (1998) and Brealey, Myers, and Allen (2006) for a liter-

    ature review). According to the asymmetric information models of Myers and Majluf (1984)

    and Myers (1984), also summarized in detail in Brealey, Myers, and Allen (2006), secondary

    equity offerings signal that stocks might be overpriced, and equity prices should fall upon the

    announcement. This theory is confirmed by Smith (1986), among others. Similarly issuance

    of additional debt may be also interpreted as a negative signal in some circumstances, and

    prices would react negatively as well. For example, Akhigbe, Easterwood, and Pettit (1997)

    11

  • show that prices react negatively to announcements of new debt issuances when the need

    to raise debt is motivated by an unexpected cash shortfall. Poor negative performance for

    firms that issue stocks through secondary equity offerings is documented in Loughran and

    Ritter (1995). On the other hand, a share buyback signals that equity might be undervalued,

    and prices should react positively (first reported by Lakonishok and Vermaelen (1990) and

    Ikenberry, Lakonishok, and Vermaelen (1995)). In a more recent study, Peyer and Vermaelen

    (2009) confirm the existence of the repurchase anomaly in more recent data. The price

    reactions that we document are consistent with these hypotheses. Additionally, press releases

    announcing forward stock splits are accompanied by positive price reactions, also consistent

    with the signaling models and previously documented, for instance, by Ikenberry, Rankine,

    and Stice (1996). Large positive (negative) abnormal returns around announcements about

    forward (reverse) stock splits suggest that markets underreact to both forward and reverse

    stock splits (e.g., Desai and Jain (1997)).6

    Negative news about corporate performance (such as lower-than-expected earnings and

    sales) result in negative price reactions. Lower-than-expected financial results, summarized

    within the category Negative Financial Results, lead to significantly negative CARs, while

    higher-than-expected earnings, reported within Positive Financial Results, lead to signif-

    icantly positive CARs (see, for example, Ball and Kothari (1991), Stice (1991), Kothari

    (2001), and Vega (2006) who study stock price reactions to earnings surprises).

    Among the less-frequently analyzed news categories, we show that news that potentially

    signal higher and more stable future cash flows, such as announcements about product

    approvals, FDA drug approvals (in the U.S. and in Europe), new patents, the successful

    completion of research projects, the acquisition of new customers and joint partnerships, are

    accompanied by positive price reactions (see, e.g., Pakes (1985), Jaffe (1986), and Austin

    (1993)). The positive market reaction to the announcement of joint partnerships has been

    previously documented by McConnell and Nantell (1985) using a sample of 210 firms involved

    in 136 joint ventures and Woolridge and Snow (1990) using 197 joint venture announcements.

    The positive reaction to new product announcements that we document here is also consistent

    6See Yildizhan (2009) for a survey on this topic.

    12

  • with the earlier result in Woolridge and Snow (1990) who show this effect using a sample of

    241 such announcements.

    Not surprisingly, negative news about current or future cash flows (customer/partner

    loss, FDA rejection, product defect, etc.) are accompanied by significantly negative price

    reactions (see, e.g., Jarrell and Peltzman (1985), Barber and Darrough (1996), Alexander

    (1999), and Fornell, Mithas, Morgeson III, and Krishnan (2006)). Interestingly, Jarrell and

    Peltzman (1985) find that the penalty in terms of stock returns even exceeds the direct costs

    associated with product recalls.

    Spin-off announcements can be expected to be positive as they signal that corporations

    refocus the attention on their core business (see Cusatis, Miles, and Woolridge (1993), Desai

    and Jain (1999), and Chemmanur and Yan (2004), among others). However, examining

    78 voluntary corporate spin-offs that were completed between 1972 and 1987, Seward and

    Walsh (1996) do not find that spinoff announcements are accompanied by positive abnormal

    returns. Yet, in our more comprehensive and more recent dataset, we document that the

    market indeed reacts positively to spinoff announcements.

    As for corporate infrastructure investments, a study by Woolridge and Snow (1990) shows

    that the market tends to react positively to corporate investment announcements. We,

    however, document no significant reaction to the announcements of neither additional capital

    investment nor the scaling back or the abandonment of ongoing corporate operations (Positive

    and Negative Infrastructure News categories).

    Announcements of negative legal issues, such as stockholder lawsuits, are responded to

    negatively and announcements of settlements positively, confirming the findings of, e.g.,

    Bhagat, Brickley, and Coles (1994) and Bizjak and Coles (1995).

    As for announcements of changes in the management team, management additions are

    interpreted as good news, and management terminations (voluntary and involuntary combined)

    are reacted to negatively. These findings contribute to previous literature on stock price

    reactions following managerial turnover, such as Furtado and Rozeff (1987), Weisbach (1988),

    Bonnier and Bruner (1989), and Huson, Parrino, and Starks (2001).

    13

  • Finally, consistent with the Merton (1987) hypothesis that attention increases the investor

    base and decreases the cost of capital, the types of news that put firms in the limelight, such

    as announcements in the category Company Awards, as well as news on sponsorships of

    industry events, and investor meetings, are accompanied by positive returns.

    B. News’ Impact on the Informational Environment

    Besides the impact of corporate press releases on stock returns, news could affect the stocks’

    informational environment. We investigate changes in volatility and liquidity following news

    announcements. (Idiosyncratic) volatility measures how prices move in response to new

    information and how frequently new information is released. If valuation priors are weakened

    as a result of a news announcement, there is an increased demand for new information or

    for additional information clarifying the impact of the news announcement. Moreover, prices

    would move more in response to new information as a greater degree of updating on the

    news is taking place. Hence, news releases that decreases valuation uncertainty would lead to

    volatility decreases. Announcements that increase valuation uncertainty and whose impact on

    a firm’s valuation is difficult to assess would result in higher future (idiosyncratic) volatility.

    Liquidity measures how much a unit of trade moves prices. When the degree of informa-

    tional asymmetry is low, prices would not respond as strongly to trades, as traders are not

    perceived to trade because of an informational advantage but rather for liquidity reasons.

    When concerns about informational asymmetries are high, prices would move more in the

    direction of the trade and their liquidity will be lower.

    We employ the Amihud (2002) measure of liquidity, which produces a good approxi-

    mation of liquidity that can be calculated from trade-by-trade high-frequency transaction

    data. If a news announcement is hard to interpret, concerns might arise that some investors,

    perhaps insiders, are better adept at processing this information, and, as a consequence, the

    stock’s liquidity will decrease. If, on the other hand, new information removes the informa-

    tional advantage of better-informed traders and levels the playing field, then liquidity should

    increase.

    14

  • We measure volatility and liquidity in the periods before and after news announcements

    and check whether they increase or decrease as a result of the news releases.

    B.1. Change in Volatility

    In order to test variance changes across firms, we estimate for each news announcement

    the pre-event variance and the post-event variance over 21 days.7 We then calculate for

    each corporate press release the ratio of the two variances and test the null hypothesis that

    the average ratio (across firms) is equal to one using a standard parametric Student t-test.

    Formally, the null hypothesis is stated as

    H0 : var [Rpost]− var [Rpre] = 0, or equivalently,

    var [Rpost] /var [Rpre] = 1,

    where [Rpre] denotes returns from periods before a news announcement and [Rpost] denotes

    returns from periods after a news announcement. Following Ohlson and Penman (1985), we

    use the approximation var [Rδ] = E [R2δ ] , δ = {pre, post}, and rewrite the null hypothesis as

    H0 : E[R2post

    ]− E

    [R2pre

    ]= 0, or equivalently,

    E[R2post

    ]/E[R2pre

    ]= 1.

    Not many papers have specifically studied changes in volatility following certain firm

    events, which is somewhat surprising since the consequences of event-induced volatility could

    be substantial for firms in several ways. Specifically, “increased volatility could alter the

    firm’s investment policy going forward via an increased cost of capital or by a reduction in the

    attractiveness of the firm’s equity as a medium for acquisitions or compensation. Increased

    volatility also could affect the various agency relationships in the firm, exacerbating conflicts

    7Throughout the paper, the tests on changes in variance are performed by using the variance of returns.As a robustness check, we have also estimated idiosyncratic volatilities and re-run the tests based on theseestimates. The results are similar and the conclusions remain the same.

    15

  • between stockholders and bondholders and hindering resolution of stockholder-management

    problems...” (Clayton, Hartzell, and Rosenberg (2005), pages 1779-1780). Among the few,

    that have studied that question, Kliger and Sarig (2000) find that when Moody’s announces

    better- (worse-) than-expected ratings, the volatilities implied by prices of options on the fine-

    rated issuers’ shares decline (rise). Clayton, Hartzell, and Rosenberg (2005) find that CEO

    departures, especially the forced ones that in the authors’ view create “higher uncertainty

    over the firm’s strategic direction and management’s ability to run the firm” (page 2), lead

    to significant increases in stock volatility. Besides, event-induced changes in volatility are

    found for announcements of stock splits by Ohlson and Penman (1985), Dubofsky (1991),

    and Koski (1998).

    Table IV presents the mean of the ratio of pre- to post-event variance for each subcat-

    egory. In addition, the table lists the p-values for the null hypothesis that the mean ratio

    is different from one.8 Except for the category Class Action (with an insignificant decrease

    in post-event volatility), volatility ratios are exceeding one for all categories, meaning that

    stock return volatility increases following press releases. As indicated by p-values close to

    zero, these increases in volatility are significant (at least) at the 5% level for all categories.

    We observe the highest event-induced volatilities for news announcements in the categories

    Negative Pre-Announcements and FDA Rejection, with increases in volatility of 80% and

    62%, respectively. These types of news apparently lead to an immense uncertainty with

    regard to the firms’ correct valuation and, consequently, to strong price movements following

    news releases. Announcements about analyst upgrades of firms’ ratings and news about

    secondary offerings are accompanied with low levels—of just about 10%—of event-induced

    volatility, indicating their marginally destabilizing effect on stock prices.

    B.2. Change in Liquidity

    Following Amihud (2002), we employ the ratio of the absolute daily stock return to its dollar

    trading volume as a measure for illiquidity.9 The ratio reflects the daily price response per

    8The standard deviations of volatility changes are clustered for events within the same month.9We chose the Amihud (2002) measure as an indicator for illiquidity due to its simple data requirements

    compared to those of other illiquidity measures.

    16

  • one dollar of trading volume. Formally, we calculate the illiquidity measure, Illiq, for stock i

    on day t as follows:

    Illiqi,t =|Ri,t|

    Volumei,t, (4)

    where Ri,t is the return on stock i on day t and Volumei,t is corresponding trading volume in

    dollars.

    In order to test for changes in (il-)liquidity across firms, we employ a similar procedure

    to that described for the increase in variance. In particular, we first calculate for each news

    announcement the Amihud (2002) measure over the 21 days before and after the event.

    Second, we compute for each news event the ratio of the pre- and post-event measure and

    test the null hypothesis that the average ratio of pre- and post-event illiquidity (across firms)

    is equal to one using a standard t-test. The null hypothesis is formalized as:

    H0 : Illiqpost − Illiqpre = 0, or equivalently,

    Illiqpost/Illiqpre = 1,

    where Illiqpre and Illiqpost denote Amihud (2002) illiquidity measures before and after a news

    announcement, respectively.

    Most previous studies on liquidity changes around corporate events focus on the impact

    of announcements of share buybacks (e.g., Singh, Zaman, and Krishnamurti (1994) and

    Ginglinger and Hamon (2007)), secondary equity offerings on stocks’ liquidity (e.g., Kothare

    (1997)), and index changes (e.g., Hegde and McDermott (2006)). Our results for changes

    in the Amihud illiquidity measure after various types of corporate news announcements

    are presented in Table V.10 Values of the illiquidity measure greater than one for almost

    all categories indicates that news announcements generally lead to higher informational

    asymmetry and, consequently, to lower liquidity, implying the informational environment

    becomes more uncertain. That is, owing to the fear of better informed or more sophisticated

    10The standard deviations of liquidity changes are clustered for events within the same month.

    17

  • market participants, fewer people are willing to trade stocks after corporate press releases.

    Moreover, most of the decreases in liquidity, as indicated by p-values close to zero, are signif-

    icant. With drops of roughly 40%, the largest significant decreases in liquidity are found for

    the categories Negative Pre-Announcements, FDA Rejection, and Reverse Split. Among the

    few exceptions that do not (significantly) reduce liquidity are press releases about delisting

    rumors, class action lawsuits against the firms, and approvals of drugs in Europe.

    C. The Impact of the Financial Crisis

    The current financial crisis has been called the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression.

    The crisis has originated in the collapse of the housing bubble. The after-effects of the

    bubble’s collapse and scope of its effect on the rest of the economy emerged only gradually.

    In 2006-2007, the effect of the collapsing bubble was felt by home construction and real estate

    lending companies, many of which reported significant losses and filed for bankruptcy. Over

    time, hedge funds and investment banks with exposure to mortgage-backed securities began

    reporting investment losses as well. We argue that the crisis turned global—affecting all

    sectors of the U.S. economy and the international markets—after the first investment bank,

    Bear Stearns, fell and had to be sold in a fire-sale to JP Morgan Chase on March 16, 2008

    in order to avoid filing for bankruptcy. This major bank failure at once raised the level of

    the crisis among concerns about contagion to an economy-wide phenomenon; worries about

    credit supplied by hedge funds and investment banks spread to all sectors of the economy.

    Some argue that the crisis really started with the collapse of Lehman Brothers, which did not

    happen until September 17, 2008. It is also possible to argue that the crisis started earlier,

    when major mortgage lending companied had failed. While it is impossible to pinpoint

    precisely the start date of the crisis, choosing any date between the third quarter of 2007

    when the effects of the collapsing real estate market started to be widely felt and the collapse

    of Lehman Brothers will likely not significantly change the outcome of our analysis. Here,

    we assume that the market was under the impression that the U.S. economy has entered

    the crisis period on Monday, March 17, 2008, the first trading day after the fire-sale of Bear

    Stearns to JP Morgan was finalized.

    18

  • The financial crisis was characterized by a shortage of credit, falling consumer demand,

    and widespread legal scandals. In this environment, it is natural to expect that certain types

    of corporate news would be perceived differently by the market. For example, the news about

    plans to raise additional capital would be perceived less negatively because it was believed

    that additional capital was truly needed due to the freezing of credit markets. Any good news

    about future cash flows would be perceived much more positively. Likewise, any negative

    news about future cash flows would be perceived much more negatively due to potential

    bankruptcy concerns. Figure 4 plots individual CAR observations separately for the periods

    before and after the start of the economic crisis, and confirms the conjecture that the market

    reaction to different types of news has changed after the start of the crisis. Besides changes in

    the mean CARs, the figure shows that the crisis period is characterized by a higher dispersion

    of how the market reacts to news. Figure 5 provides a graphical illustration of the differences

    in the impact of news announcements on stock returns. For each subcategory, the figure

    plots the mean CAR for the periods before the crisis (indicated by the dark bars) and after

    the start of the crisis (indicated by the light bars). The general picture of the figure is that

    the market reaction to both negative and positive press releases are stronger since the start

    of the crisis; positive news are followed by more positive price reactions, while negative news

    are associated with more negative price reactions.

    Additionally, news releases are likely to have a larger impact on stocks’ return volatility

    and liquidity, since the crisis period is characterized by a more uncertain informational

    environment. Priors on the correct valuation have likely become more diffuse during the

    crisis period, and, hence, new information would likely produce a significant shift in the

    priors in the highly uncertain crisis period. In particular, we expect news announcements to

    increase the level of informational asymmetry more since the start of the crisis—and conse-

    quently reduce post-event liquidity more significantly—as well as to induce larger increases in

    volatility. A quick first indicator for this conjecture is the comparison of the CAR variances

    for each subcategory in both the pre-crisis and the crisis period. The plots of the CAR

    variances in Figure 6 show that, with very few exceptions, the variance of the CAR in a

    given subcategory is larger in the crisis period than before the start of the crisis, indicating

    19

  • an increase in informational uncertainty and asymmetry during the crisis. Figures 7 and 8

    provide a comparison of the ratios of return variances and liquidities, respectively, for both

    sample periods, and confirm that post-event increases in volatility and decreases in liquidity

    became larger since the start of the crisis. In the following, we formally check whether the

    conjectures hold true by investigating the differences in the market response to corporate

    press releases in the periods before and during the crisis.

    Before turning to the actual test results for the periods before and during the crisis, it

    is interesting to see to what extent the content of press releases issued by firms has changed

    during the economic crisis compared to the pre-crisis period. For each period, Table VI

    presents the number of news announcements in each subcategory as well as the respective

    percentage fraction in the total number of press releases for a given category. (Since the time

    period before the crisis is longer than that after the start of the crisis, it contains more obser-

    vations of press releases.) We observe some interesting changes in the nature of corporate

    announcements. While there are fewer positive news about corporate performance (e.g.,

    Positive Credit News and Positive Infrastructure News), there are relatively more announce-

    ments about negative performance results. For instance, the percentage share of Delisting

    Rumors increases from below 1% to more than 2%, and the frequency of announcements

    about firms’ difficulties in obtaining credit (Negative Credit News) almost triples. A similar

    pattern is found in the category Financial ; positive financial news become less frequent,

    whereas negative financial announcements become more frequent. The frequency of news

    covering the launch of a new product or the introduction of a new service provided by the

    company decreases by three percentage points, which is the news category that has experi-

    enced the largest decline.

    C.1. Test Results for the Cumulative Abnormal Returns

    Turning to the actual test results on the reaction to corporate press releases for the periods

    before and during the crisis, we first consider differences in the stock price response to

    corporate announcements. For each subcategory, the mean of the CARs and the p-value

    of the corresponding t-test for the average CAR being equal to zero for the respective sample

    20

  • periods are provided in Table VII. Furthermore, the last column of the table presents, for

    each subcategory, the result of the t-test for the null hypothesis that the mean event-CARs

    for the periods before and during the crisis are equal. For the sake of brevity, we focus the

    description of the results on the most conspicuous and significant findings with respect to a

    change in the market reaction to news from the pre-crisis period to the period after the start of

    the crisis. As mentioned earlier, we observe that for the majority of subcategories the average

    CAR is larger in magnitude while having the same sign during the crisis. On the one hand,

    cash-flow stabilizing or, potentially, cash-flow increasing news, such as the launch of a new

    product or a new partnership, and various news within the category M&A are accompanied

    with more positive price reactions during the crisis than before the crisis. Furthermore, the

    market values the positive signal of share buybacks more during the crisis period, resulting in

    an increase in the mean CAR from 0.350% before the crisis to 0.593% during the crisis. On

    the other hand, news on downgrades of a firm’s rating as well as announcements that lead

    to higher cash-flow uncertainty or, otherwise, negatively affect a company’s outlook (e.g.,

    customer loss, failed research, product defect, negative legal issues) are followed by more

    negative price responses. However, there are exceptions to this general tendency towards

    more extreme price reactions. For instance, news on secondary equity offerings (SEOs) are

    followed by less negative price reactions during the crisis period (CAR is equal to −0.045%

    with an insignificant p-value) than during the pre-crisis period (CAR is equal to −0.163%

    and the p-value is significant at the 1% level). It seems that the market is less concerned

    about the possibility that stocks are overpriced and more sympathetic to the possibility

    that firms do need capital in light of the prevailing credit crunch. Therefore, firms are no

    longer penalized for issuing equity. Interestingly, for other subcategories, such as Reorga-

    nization and Retirement, the direction of the market’s reaction to press releases reverses

    relative to the pre-crisis period. While before the crisis restructuring efforts by the firms’

    management as well as any type of managerial change or re-organization were perceived as

    negative news, as indicated by negative CARs (e.g., CARs for Reorganization and Retirement

    equal to −0.132% and −0.091%, respectively), the same type of news is followed by positive

    price reactions during the crisis period (CARs for Reorganization and Retirement equal to

    21

  • 0.430% and 0.031%, respectively). It seems that since the beginning of the crisis the market

    is more concerned about corporate governance mechanisms, in particular negative effects on

    firms’ performance due to the agency problem which arises from the separation of ownership

    and control (management).11 As a result, announcements regarding the improvement of

    managerial structures or changes in management are perceived as good news and therefore

    accompanied by positive stock price reactions.

    As indicated by significant p-values in the last column of Table VII, the difference in mean

    CARs for the periods before and after the start of the crisis are statistically significant in

    many cases. For example, while the price reactions to FDA approvals are significant in both

    periods, the reaction in the post-crisis period is significantly stronger. Similarly, while being

    significantly positive for both periods before and during the crisis, announcements about

    legal settlements are perceived as significantly more positive during the crisis.

    C.2. Test Results for Changes in Volatility and Liquidity

    This section outlines the results for differences in event-induced changes in stocks’ volatility

    and liquidity. For the periods before and during the crisis, Table VIII presents, for each

    subcategory, the average ratio of post-to pre-event volatility. In addition, the table includes

    the p-values of the t-tests for event-induced changes in volatility for both periods before

    and during the crisis, and the test results for the null hypothesis that these changes are the

    same for both periods. Similarly, Table IX presents the results for event-induced changes

    in liquidity. Variance ratios in Table VIII larger than one in connection with significant p-

    values, for almost all categories, confirm that the post-event volatility tends to be higher for

    both sub-periods. Comparing the magnitudes of these increases, we find that some events

    result in larger and some in smaller increases in volatility for the two sub-periods. During the

    crisis period, post-event volatility tends to be larger following news about delisting rumors,

    mergers and acquisitions, and rating downgrades, among others. This implies that these

    types of news lead to larger post-announcement valuation uncertainty during the crisis than

    in the pre-crisis period, and, as a consequence, to larger volatility increases. On the contrary,

    some types of press releases are found to create smaller increases in valuation uncertainty for

    11Shleifer and Vishny (1997) provide a survey on the topic of agency problems in corporations.

    22

  • the crisis period. Examples for such press releases are the announcements of both positive

    and negative financial results and pre-announcements, as well as news on SEC investigations

    and other legal troubles. These news became more common, and not surprisingly, the market

    learned how to interpret such news.

    The findings for event-induced changes in liquidity (Table IX) are similar to those for

    changes in volatility. For both the pre-crisis period and the period after the start of the

    crisis, corporate press releases, generally, lead to decreases in liquidity, indicating the higher

    post-event informational asymmetry in the second sub-period. As for the magnitude of

    post-event decreases in liquidity, there is no clear tendency, as is the case for event-induced

    volatility.

    IV. Conclusion

    For this paper we have collected a comprehensive dataset of corporate press releases, which

    since the SEC’s Regulation Fair Disclosure include all the corporate news that are deemed

    to be material for firm valuation. Using this unique dataset on corporate events, we further

    classified the news into various categories and investigated the impact of the different types of

    news on stock prices and the informational environment. We also subdivided our time series

    into the sub-periods before and during the financial crisis. Not surprisingly, we found that

    announcements about secondary equity offerings were viewed less negatively and positive

    cash flow news were perceived significantly more positively by the market. On the other

    hand, among the widespread bankruptcy concerns, the market reacted significantly more

    negatively to negative cash flow news and the announcements of legal troubles. In future

    work, we plan to further the scope of our research by assessing the process of price discovery

    using high-frequency return data and by investigating what factors influence the speed of

    post-event price discovery across firms and industries.

    23

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  • Appendix

    Appendix A. Typical Press Release Headlines

    Here we provide some examples of typical press release headlines within each news category.

    1. Analyst Action

    (i) Downgrade

    Aetna Inc. (AET) 27-04-2006 15:16:14 S&P Equity Research Downgrades Shares of

    Aetna to ’Hold’ (3-STARS) from ’Buy’ (4-STARS)

    Biovail Corporation (BVF) 20-06-2008 12:31:00 CIBC World Markets Equity Research

    Downgrades Target Price of BVF from $12.00 to a Staggering Low of $7.50 Based on

    Potential Incumbent Win in Proxy Battle

    (ii) Initiation

    American Capital Ltd. (ACAS) 17-05-2006 11:11:26 William Blair & Company Initiates

    Coverage of American Capital Strategies, Ltd. With Outperform Rating

    (iii) Upgrade

    Alcoa Inc. (AA) 19-10-2006 10:24:30 Alcoa’s Hungary Operations Named Most Efficient

    Based on Financial Measure

    Affiliated Computer Services, Inc. (ACS) 05-02-2007 08:15:00 ACS Rates ’Positive’ in

    Leading Analyst Firm’s Latest MarketScope Report for HRO Services

    2. Awards

    (i) Company Award

    Dell Inc. (DELL) 26-04-2006 12:00:05 Dell Receives Top U.S. Government Award for

    Workplace Diversity Efforts

    Constellation Engy (CEG) 31-03-2006 9:44:40 Baltimore Gas and Electric Company

    Ranks Highest in the East Region With Business Customers According to the 2006 J.D.

    Power and Associates Electric Utility Business Customer Satisfaction Study

    (ii) Product Award

    Oracle Corp. (ORCL) 07-06-2006 8:02:20 Oracle’s Siebel Universal Customer Master

    Wins ’Gold Award’ for Master Data Management in Bloor Research Study

    30

  • Xerox Corp. (XRX) 13-06-2006 6:00:01 Xerox Imaging and Repository Operations Earn

    ISO/IEC 27001 Accreditation for Security

    3. Corporate

    (i) Delisting Rumors / Possibility

    Circuit City Stores, Inc. (CCTYQ) 30-10-2008 16:05:00 Circuit City Stores, Inc. Receives

    Notification from NYSE about Non-Compliance with a Continued Listing Standard

    (ii) Difficulties

    Williams-Sonoma, Inc. (WSM) 08-01-2009 06:00:03 Williams-Sonoma, Inc. Announces

    a 22.6% Decrease in 2008 Holiday Revenues

    (iii) Improvements

    Hayes Lemmerz International, Inc. (HAYZ) 07-04-2006 8:00:30 Hayes Lemmerz Initiates

    Major Restructuring to Enhance Competitive Position

    (iv) IPO Filing with SEC

    Stoneridge, Inc. (SRI) 23-10-2007 16:47:00 Stoneridge, Inc. Announces Brazilian Joint

    Venture IPO Filing

    (v) Negative Credit News

    Affiliated Computer Services, Inc. (ACS) 20-03-2007 15:49:27 Fitch Places Affiliated

    Computer Services on Rating Watch Negative On LBO Offer

    (vi) Negative Infrastructure News

    Furniture Brands International, Inc. (FBN) 05-02-2006 16:46:01 Thomasville Furniture

    Industries Announces Closing of Case Goods Manufacturing Facility

    Arapaho Capital Corp. (AHO) 07-06-2006 17:13:53 Ahold intends to divest 46 Tops

    stores in Northeast Ohio

    (vii) Positive Credit News

    Gasco Energy Inc. (GSX) 30-03-2006 16:15:27 Gasco Energy Secures Revolving Line of

    Credit

    Autonation Inc. (AN) 03-04-2006 8:47:50 AutoNation, Inc. Receives Lender Commit-

    ments for $600 Million Term Loan

    31

  • (viii) Positive Infrastructure News

    Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ) 25-04-2006 8:57:07 Verizon Wireless Expands Its

    Network in Rensselaer County

    Centerra Gold Inc. (CG) 29-03-2006 8:30:02 Centerra Gold Continues to Expand

    Kumtor SB Zone and Adds 1 Million Ounces of Reserves at the Gatsuurt Project

    4. Customers and Partnerships

    (i) Customer / Partnership Loss

    Anika Therapeutics, Inc. (ANIK) 03-12-2007 18:01:01 Anika Therapeutics and Galderma

    Complete Termination of License, Development and Supply Agreements

    America Service Group Inc. (ASGR) 21-08-2006 18:30:25 America Service Group to

    Terminate Contract with Florida Department of Corrections

    (ii) Customer Win

    Electro Scientific Industries, Inc. (ESIO) 25-04-2006 21:22:01 ESI Receives Follow-on

    Multi-System Order from Hynix Semiconductor Inc. for Its Model 9830 Semiconductor

    Link Processing System; 9830 Order Furthers ESI’s Momentum in the Asia Market

    The Boeing Company (BA) 25-04-2006 5:00:33 Singapore Aircraft Leasing Enterprise

    Orders 10 More Boeing 737s

    (iii) Milestones

    Travelzoo Inc. (TZOO) 04-06-2006 8:11:01 Travelzoo(R) Publications Surpass 10 Million

    Subscribers; Travel Enthusiasts Trust Internet Media Company on Where to Find the

    Best Travel Offers

    Cyberonics, Inc. (CYBX) 05-01-2006 16:01:44 Cyberonics Announces 1,100th Patient

    Treated With VNS Therapy(tm) for Treatment-Resistant Depression (TRD) Since FDA

    Approval

    (iv) New Partnership

    Independence Holding Company (IHC) 25-07-2006 16:21:44 Independence Holding Company

    Announces New Relationship with Carolina Benefit Administrators to Market and Admin-

    ister Group and Individual Major Medical

    32

  • Dolby Laboratories, Inc. (DLB) 31-07-2006 8:00:51 Dolby Announces Deal With Infitec

    GmbH to Provide 3-D Technology for Dolby Digital Cinema; New technology to Provide

    High-Quality and Flexible Digital 3-D Solution

    5. Financial

    (i) Dividend Payments

    NSC Groupe SA (NSC) 25-04-2006 9:41:49 Norfolk Southern Declares Quarterly Dividend

    Holly Energy Partners, L.P. (HEP) 25-04-2006 6:45:29 Holly Energy Partners Declares

    Distribution; Increases Quarterly Distribution From 0.625to0.64 Per Unit

    (ii) Forward Split

    Cascade Financial Corporation (CASB) 25-04-2006 20:00:10 Cascade Financial Corpo-

    ration Declares 5-for-4 Stock Split

    Sonic Corporation (SONC) 04-06-2006 17:00:30 Sonic Declares Three-for-Two Stock

    Split

    (iii) Negative Financial Results

    Silicon Motion Technology Corp. (SIMO) 27-04-2006 17:00:43 Silicon Motion Technology

    Corporation Announces First Quarter Results for the Period Ended March 31, 2006:

    Market Conditions Contribute to Sequential Weakness but Growth Expected to Pick

    Up in Q2

    RPM International Inc. (RPM) 08-01-2009 07:30:00 RPM Reports Decline in Sales, Net

    Income for Fiscal 2009 Second Quarter

    (iv) Negative Pre-Announcement

    Keynote Systems, Inc. (KEYN) 04-03-2006 7:30:02 Keynote’s Preliminary Second Quarter

    2006 Revenue Below Expectations

    (v) Positive Financial Results

    Kennametal Inc. (KMT) 26-04-2006 7:30:39 Kennametal Reports Strong Third Quarter

    (vi) Positive Pre-Announcement

    OM Group, Inc. (OMG) 25-04-2006 7:01:50 OM Group Increases Outlook for 2006 First

    Quarter Earnings Per Share

    33

  • (vii) Restatement

    Richardson Electronics, Ltd. (RELL) 04-04-2006 19:00:27 Richardson Electronics, Ltd.

    to Restate its Financial Statements

    (viii) Reverse Split

    Sequenom, Inc. (SQNM) 06-02-2006 12:52:08 Sequenom Implements Reverse Stock Split

    Idera Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (IDRA) 22-06-2006 9:00:12 Idera Pharmaceuticals to Effect

    a Reverse Stock Split

    (ix) Secondary Offering: Debt

    Dean Foods Company (DF) 05-10-2006 6:30:27 Dean Foods Announces Launch of $300

    Million Senior Notes Public Offering

    (x) Secondary Offering: Equity

    Kimco Realty Corporation (KIM) 30-03-2006 8:01:40 Kimco Announces Offering of 10

    Million Shares of Common Stock

    (xi) Share Buyback

    Papa John’s Int’l, Inc. (PZZA) 19-04-2006 18:08:01 Papa John’s Increases Stock Repur-

    chase Authorization to $575 Million

    6. Legal

    (i) Class Action

    Pixelplus Co., Ltd. (PXPL) Shareholder Class Action Filed Against Pixelplus Co., Ltd.

    by the Law Firm of Schiffrin & Barroway, LLP

    (ii) Negative Legal Issues

    LifePoint Hospitals, Inc. (LPNT) 17-04-2006 14:07:01 Dissident Stockholder Files Suit

    against LifePoint Hospitals, Inc.

    (iii) SEC Investigation

    One Liberty Properties, Inc. (OLP) 21-06-2006 16:30:01 One Liberty Properties Receives

    Notification of Formal Investigation from the SEC

    (iv) Settlement

    Freddie Mac (FRE) 18-04-2006 15:53:42 Freddie Mac Settles With Federal Election

    Commission

    34

  • 7. M&A

    (i) Acquisition

    Plains Exploration & Production Company (PXP) 24-04-2006 7:58:41 PXP Announces

    Agreement to Acquire Stone Energy and Elimination of 2007 and 2008 Crude Oil Collars

    (ii) Merger

    Gerdau Ameristeel Corporation (GNA) 28-04-2006 16:14:05 Sheffield Steel Announces

    53% Shareholder Agreement of Merger With Gerdau

    (iii) Spinoff

    Level 3 Communications, Inc. (LVLT) 20-07-2006 16:19:01 Level 3 Signs Agreement to

    Sell Software Spectrum Subsidiary for $287 Million

    8. Management

    (i) Additions

    Guest-Tek Interactive Entertainment Ltd. (GTK) 25-04-2006 9:03:26 Lottery Industry

    Veteran Connie Laverty Joins GTECH as Senior Vice President and Chief Marketing

    Officer

    (ii) Compensation

    Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) 04-06-2006 16:05:31 Duke Energy Releases Details of

    CEO Compensation Package

    (iii) Promotions

    EMCOR Group, Inc. (EME) 04-03-2006 10:32:01 Mark A. Pompa to Succeed Leicle

    E. Chesser as Chief Financial Officer of EMCOR Group; Mr. Chesser to become Vice

    Chairman of EMCOR Group, to retire at the end of 2006

    (iv) Reorganization

    PepsiAmericas, Inc. (PAS) 15-05-2006 17:01:05 airforce(R) Nutrisoda(R) Announces

    New Management Team

    (v) Retirement

    Safeguard Scientifics, Inc. (SFE) 24-05-2006 11:37:01 Safeguard Scientifics Announces

    Retirement of Directors Anthony L. Craig and Robert Ripp

    35

  • (vi) Termination

    Energy Partners, Ltd. (EPL) 19-04-2006 18:07:01 EPL Announces Departure of David

    Looney as Chief Financial Officer

    9. Meetings and Events

    (i) Company Sponsored

    Arrow Electronics, Inc. (ARW) 26-04-2006 17:16:01 Arrow Electronics Works with

    Technology Suppliers to Facilitate 2006 Open Architecture Seminars

    (ii) Industry Events

    Aspect Medical Systems, Inc. (ASPM) 25-04-2006 9:45:01 Aspect Medical to Webcast

    Presentation at Deutsche Bank 31st Annual Health Care Conference on May 2, 2006

    (iii) Investor Meetings

    N S Group Inc. (NSS) 16-06-2006 9:26:01 NS Group to Present at the NIRI Regional

    Investor Conference in Cincinnati, Ohio; Presentation June 20th

    Socket Mobile Inc. (SCKT) 27-06-2006 16:05:31 Socket Communications to Present to

    Investors at the C.E. Unterberg, Towbin Emerging Growth Conference

    10. Products and Services

    (i) Failed Research

    Bristol Myers Squibb Co. (BMY) 18-05-2006 14:00:30 Bristol-Myers Squibb Announces

    Discontinuation of Development of Muraglitazar, an Investigational Oral Treatment for

    Type 2 Diabetes

    (ii) FDA / general Approval

    General Electric Company (GE) 20-04-2006 9:00:07 U.S. FDA Approves GE Healthcare’s

    Next-Generation Digital Mammography System for Improved Breast Care

    (iii) FDA Investigation

    Pharmacyclics, Inc. (PCYC) 05-09-2006 7:30:56 Pharmacyclics to Submit New Drug

    Application for Xcytrin(R) for Treatment of Lung Cancer Patients With Brain Metas-

    tases

    (iv) FDA Rejection

    36

  • Cephalon, Inc. (CEPH) 08-09-2006 17:02:18 Cephalon Receives Non-Approvable Letter

    on SPARLON(TM)

    (v) New Product

    Nokia Corporation (NOK) 25-04-2006 5:44:57 Digitally Divine Nokia N73 - the Ultimate

    Challenge to the Digital Camera

    (vi) Patent Award

    Assurant, Inc. (AIZ) 28-06-2006 12:50:04 Assurant Awarded Patents for Call Processing

    System

    (vii) Pharmaceutical Approval EU

    Biogen Idec Inc. (BIIB) 29-06-2006 2:30:21 TYSABRI(R) Receives Approval in European

    Union for the Treatment of Relapsing Remitting Forms of Multiple Sclerosis

    (viii) Product Defect

    Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) 31-03-2006 17:08:26 Ortho-Clinical Diagnostics Issues a Voluntary

    Product Recall for VITROS(R) Immunodiagnostic Products Signal Reagent

    (ix) Research Achievements

    Somaxon Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (SOMX) 04-10-2006 6:01:04 Somaxon Pharmaceuticals

    Announces Positive Phase 3 Results with SILENOR(TM) for the Treatment of Adults

    with Chronic Insomnia

    (x) Updates & Upgrades

    Sony Corporation (SNE) 06-01-2006 13:00:28 Sony Strengthens BRAVIA Flat-Panel

    LCD Line With Full HD Models and 1080p Inputs

    37

  • −0.2 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2

    Updates & UpgradesResearch AchievementsProduct DefectPharmaceutical Approval EUPatent AwardNew ProductFDA RejectionFDA InvestigationFDA ApprovalFailed ResearchApprovalsInvestor MeetingsIndustry EventsCompany SponsoredTerminationRetirementReorganizationPromotionsCompensationAdditionsSpinoffMergerAcquisitionSettlementSEC InvestigationNegative Legal IssuesClass ActionShare BuybackSecondary Offering: EquitySecondary Offering: DebtReverse SplitRestatementPos. Pre−AnnouncementPos. Financial ResultsNeg. Pre−AnnouncementNeg. Financial ResultsForward SplitDividend PaymentsNew PartnershipMilestonesCustomer WinCustomer LossPositive Infrastructure NewsPositive Credit NewsNegative Infrastructure NewsNegative Credit NewsIPO Filing with SECImprovementsDifficultiesDelisting RumorsProduct AwardCompany AwardUpgradeInitiationDowngrade

    mean abnornal return

    mean abnormal return

    Figure 1. Boxplot of the Cumulative Abnormal Returns. For each news category, the cumulativeabnormal returns of each news event are plotted.

    38

  • Fig

    ure

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    39

  • New Product

    FDA Approval

    Settlement

    New Partnership

    Research Achievements

    Product Defect

    FDA Rejection

    Negative Legal Issues

    Termination

    Secondary Offering: Debt

    Figure 3. Plots of the Cumulative Abnormal Return for Select Categories. For select categories,which have not been covered in previous literature, the figure plots the cumulative abnormal return over theperiod from 21 days before the event to 21 after the event. Abnormal returns are computed using the marketmodel as a measure for the normal return.

    40

  • Fig

    ure

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    41

  • Figure 5. Means of the Cumulative Abnormal Returns Before and After the Crisis. For eachnews category, the means of the cumulative abnormal returns are plotted for the period before (dark bars)and during the crisis (light bars).

    42

  • Figure 6. Variances of the Cumulative Abnormal Returns. For each news category, the variancesof the cumulative abnormal returns are plotted for the period before (dark bars) and during the crisis (lightbars).

    43

  • Figure 7. Variance Ratios Before and After the Crisis. For each news category, the variance ratiosare plotted for the period before (dark bars) and during the crisis (light bars).

    44

  • Figure 8. Amihud Ratios Before and After the Crisis. For each news category, the ratios of theAmihud illiquidity measure are plotted for the period before (dark bars) and during the crisis (light bars).

    45

  • Table I

    Press Release Categories

    Category Subcategory Obs. Description

    1. Analyst Downgrade 77 Rating of company is downgradedAction Initiation 114 Coverage of company is initiated(548) Upgrade 357 Rating of company is upgraded

    2. Awards Company Award 10,903 Company is rewarded for achievements(13,574) Product Award 2,671 Company receives award for one of its products

    3. Corporate Delisting Rumors 3,916 Receipt of notice of non-compliance/potential delisting(13,773) Difficulties 283 Negative performance, e.g. decrease in sales

    Improvements 1,455 Positive performance, e.g. increase in sales or revenue growthIPO Filing with SEC 218 Filing for Initial Public Offering, e.g. of subsidiary, with SECNegative Credit News 230 Financing pressure or difficultiesNegative Infrastructure News 55 Company has to close facilities or needs to exit certain marketsPositive Credit News 976