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Marginal Thinking • The effects of additional or marginal, changes in a given situation • People try to make themselves better off • People make decisions based on what they expect to happen • The rule of rational choice states that individuals will pursue on activity if they expect to happen the marginal benefits to be greater than the marginal cost.

Marginal Thinking, Economic Growth

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Page 1: Marginal Thinking, Economic Growth

Marginal Thinking

• The effects of additional or marginal, changes in a given situation

• People try to make themselves better off• People make decisions based on what they

expect to happen• The rule of rational choice states that

individuals will pursue on activity if they expect to happen the marginal benefits to be greater than the marginal cost.

Page 2: Marginal Thinking, Economic Growth

Zero Pollution Would Be Too Costly

• We all know the benefits of a cleaner environment, but what would we have to give up– that is, what marginal cost would we have to incur– to achieve zero pollution?

• The point is NOT that we shouldn’t be concerned about the environment; rather, we have to weigh the expected marginal benefits of a cleaner environment against the expected marginal costs of a cleaner environment. THIS IS NOT to say the environment should not be cleaner, only that zero pollution levels would be far too costly in terms of what we would have to give up.

Page 3: Marginal Thinking, Economic Growth

The Factors of Production

Page 4: Marginal Thinking, Economic Growth

The Production Possibilities Curve

(PPC)Using Economic Models…

Step 1: Explain concept in wordsStep 2: Use numbers as examplesStep 3: Generate graphs from numbersStep 4: Make generalizations using graph

4

Page 5: Marginal Thinking, Economic Growth

What is the Production Possibilities Curve?• A production possibilities graph (PPG) is a

model that shows alternative ways that an economy can use its scarce resources

• This model graphically demonstrates scarcity, trade-offs, opportunity costs, and efficiency.

4 Key Assumptions• Only two goods can be produced • Full employment of resources• Fixed Resources (Ceteris Paribus)• Fixed Technology

5

Page 6: Marginal Thinking, Economic Growth

a b c d e f14 12 9 5 0 00 2 4 6 8 10

BikesComputers

NOW GRAPH IT: Put bikes on y-axis and computers on x-axis

Production “Possibilities” Table

Each point represents a specific combination of goods that can be

produced given full employment of resources.

6

Page 7: Marginal Thinking, Economic Growth

Bik

es

Computers

14

12

10

8

6

4

2

00 2 4 6 8 10

A

B

C

D

E

G

Inefficient/ Unemployment

Impossible/Unattainable (given current resources)

Efficient

PRODUCTION POSSIBILITIESHow does the PPG graphically demonstrates scarcity,

trade-offs, opportunity costs, and efficiency?

7

Page 8: Marginal Thinking, Economic Growth

2 Bikes2.The opportunity cost of moving from b to d is…

4.The opportunity cost of moving from f to c is…

3.The opportunity cost of moving from d to b is…

7 Bikes

4 Computer

0 Computers

5.What can you say about point G?Unattainable

1. The opportunity cost of moving from a to b is…

Example:

Opportunity Cost

8

Page 9: Marginal Thinking, Economic Growth

The Production Possibilities Curve (or Frontier)

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Page 10: Marginal Thinking, Economic Growth

PIZZA 0 1 2 3 4Burger…. 4 3 2 1 0

• List the Opportunity Cost of moving from a-b, b-c, c-d, and d-e.

• Constant Opportunity Cost- Resources are easily adaptable for producing either good.

• Result is a straight line PPC (not common)

PRODUCTION POSSIBILITIESA B C D E

10

Page 11: Marginal Thinking, Economic Growth

PIZZA 18 17 15 10 0ROBOTS 0 1 2 3 4

• List the Opportunity Cost of moving from a-b, b-c, c-d, and d-e.

• Law of Increasing Opportunity Cost-• As you produce more of any good, the

opportunity cost (forgone production of another good) will increase.

• Why? Resources are NOT easily adaptable to producing both goods.

A B C D EPRODUCTION POSSIBILITIES

Page 12: Marginal Thinking, Economic Growth

1 Bike2.The PER UNIT opportunity cost of moving from b to c is…

4.The PER UNIT opportunity cost of moving from d to e is…

3.The PER UNIT opportunity cost of moving from c to d is…

1.5 (3/2) Bikes

2 Bikes

2.5 (5/2) Bikes

= Opportunity CostUnits Gained

1. The PER UNIT opportunity cost of moving from a to b is…

Example:

PER UNIT Opportunity CostHow much each marginal

unit costs

NOTICE: Increasing Opportunity Costs 12

Page 13: Marginal Thinking, Economic Growth

Shifting the Production Possibilities Curve

13

Page 14: Marginal Thinking, Economic Growth

PRODUCTION POSSIBILITIES4 Key Assumptions Revisited

• Only two goods can be produced • Full employment of resources• Fixed Resources (4 Factors)• Fixed Technology

What if there is a change?3 Shifters of the PPC

1. Change in resource quantity or quality 2. Change in Technology3. Change in Trade 14

Page 15: Marginal Thinking, Economic Growth

PRODUCTION POSSIBILITIES

Q

Q

Rob

ots

Pizzas

1413121110 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

What happens if there is an increase

in population?

15

Page 16: Marginal Thinking, Economic Growth

PRODUCTION POSSIBILITIES

Q

Q

Rob

ots

Pizzas

1413121110 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

A’

B’

C’

D’

E’

What happens if there is an increase

in population?

16

Page 17: Marginal Thinking, Economic Growth

Technology improvements in pizza

ovens

Q

Q

Rob

ots

Pizzas

1413121110 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

PRODUCTION POSSIBILITIES

17

Page 18: Marginal Thinking, Economic Growth

The Production Possibilities Curve and Efficiency

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Page 19: Marginal Thinking, Economic Growth

Productive Efficiency- • Products are being produced in the

least costly way. • This is any point ON the Production

Possibilities CurveAllocative Efficiency-

• The products being produced are the ones most desired by society.

• This optimal point on the PPC depends on the desires of society.

Two Types of Efficiency

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Page 20: Marginal Thinking, Economic Growth

Productive and Allocative EfficiencyB

ikes

Computers

14

12

10

8

6

4

2

00 2 4 6 8 10

A

B

C

D

F

E

Which points are productively efficient?Which are allocatively efficient?

G

20

Productively Efficient points are A through D

Allocative Efficient points depend on the

wants of society (What if this represents a

country with no electricity?)

Page 21: Marginal Thinking, Economic Growth

Capital Goods versus Consumer Goods

• Economies that choose to invest more of their resources for the future will grow faster than those that don’t.

• To generate economic growth, a society must produce fewer consumer goods– like games, DVD players, cell phones, cars, vacations and so on--- in the present and produce more capital goods– like machines, factories, tools, and education.

Page 22: Marginal Thinking, Economic Growth

• Sacrifice some present consumption of consumer goods and services to experience growth in the future.

• Investing in capital goods, like computers and other new technological equipment, as well as upgrading skills and knowledge, expands the ability to produce in the future.

• That is, the economy that invest now(consumes less now) will be able to produce, and therefore consume, more in the future.

Page 23: Marginal Thinking, Economic Growth

A- FAVORSCONSUMER GOODS

B- FAVORSCAPITAL GOODS

Consumer goods

Cap

ital G

oods

CURRENTCURVE

FUTURECURVE

Consumer goodsC

apita

l Goo

ds

FUTURECURVE

CURRENTCURVE

Capital Goods and Future Growth

Country BCountry A23

Page 24: Marginal Thinking, Economic Growth

PPC PracticeDraw a PPC showing changes for each of the

following:Pizza and Robots (3)

1. New robot making technology2. Decrease in the demand for pizza

3. Mad cow disease kills 85% of cows

Consumer goods and Capital Goods (4) 4. BP Oil Spill in the Gulf 5. Faster computer hardware 6. Many workers unemployed 7. Significant increases in education

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Page 25: Marginal Thinking, Economic Growth

New robot making technologyQ

Q

Rob

ots

Pizzas

Question #1

25

A shift only for Robots

Page 26: Marginal Thinking, Economic Growth

Decrease in the demand for pizzaQ

Q

Rob

ots

Pizzas

Question #2

26

The curve doesn’t shift!A change in demand

doesn’t shift the curve

Page 27: Marginal Thinking, Economic Growth

Mad cow disease kills 85% of cowsQ

Q

Rob

ots

Pizzas

Question #3

27

A shift inward only for Pizza

Page 28: Marginal Thinking, Economic Growth

BP Oil Spill in the GulfQ

QCap

ital G

oods

(Gun

s)

Consumer Goods (Butter)

Question #4

28

Decrease in resources decrease production

possibilities for both

Page 29: Marginal Thinking, Economic Growth

Faster computer hardwareQ

QCap

ital G

oods

(Gun

s)

Consumer Goods (Butter)

Question #5

29

Quality of a resource improves shifting the

curve outward

Page 30: Marginal Thinking, Economic Growth

Many workers unemployedQ

QCap

ital G

oods

(Gun

s)

Consumer Goods (Butter)

Question #6

30

The curve doesn’t shift!Unemployment is just a point inside the curve

Page 31: Marginal Thinking, Economic Growth

Significant increases in educationQ

QCap

ital G

oods

(Gun

s)

Consumer Goods (Butter)

Question #7

31

The quality of labor is improved. Curve shifts

outward.

Page 32: Marginal Thinking, Economic Growth

Scarcity Means There Is Not Enough For Everyone

Government must step in to help allocate (distribute) resources 32

Page 33: Marginal Thinking, Economic Growth

Every society must answer three questions:

The Three Economic Questions1. What goods and services should be

produced? 2. How should these goods and services be

produced? 3. Who consumes these goods and services?

The way these questions are answered determines the economic system

An economic system is the method used by a society to produce and distribute goods and

services. 33

Page 34: Marginal Thinking, Economic Growth

Economic Systems1. Centrally-Planned (Command)

Economy2. Free Market Economy3. Mixed Economy

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Page 35: Marginal Thinking, Economic Growth

Centrally-Planned Economies

(aka Communism)

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Page 36: Marginal Thinking, Economic Growth

Centrally Planned EconomiesIn a centrally planned economy (communism) the government…

1. owns all the resources. 2. decides what to produce, how much to produce, and who will receive it.

Examples:– Cuba, China, North Korea, former Soviet Union

Why do centrally planned economies face problems of poor-quality goods, shortages,

and unhappy citizens? NO PROFIT MEANS NO INCENTIVES!!

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Page 37: Marginal Thinking, Economic Growth

Advantages and Disadvantages

1. Low unemployment-everyone has a job

2. Great Job Security-the government doesn’t go out of business

3. Equal incomes means no extremely poor people

4. Free Health Care

What is GOOD about Communism?

What is BAD about Communism?

1. No incentive to work harder

2. No incentive to innovate or come up with good ideas

3. No Competition keeps quality of goods poor.

4. Corrupt leaders5. Few individual

freedoms37

Page 38: Marginal Thinking, Economic Growth

Free Market System(aka Capitalism)

38

Page 39: Marginal Thinking, Economic Growth

Characteristics of Free Market1. Little government involvement in the economy.

(Laissez Faire = Let it be)

2. Individuals OWN resources and answer the three economic questions.

3. The opportunity to make PROFIT gives people INCENTIVE to produce quality items efficiently.

4. Wide variety of goods available to consumers.

5. Competition and Self-Interest work together to regulate the economy (keep prices down and quality up).

Reword for Communism 39

Page 40: Marginal Thinking, Economic Growth

Example of Free MarketExample of how the free market regulates itself:If consumers want computers and only one company is making them… Other businesses have the INCENTIVE to start making computers to earn PROFIT. This leads to more COMPETITION….Which means lower prices, better quality, and more product variety. We produce the goods and services that society wants because “resources follow profits”.

The End Result: Most efficient production of the goods that consumers want, produced at the lowest

prices and the highest quality.40

Page 41: Marginal Thinking, Economic Growth

The Invisible HandThe concept that society’s goals will be met as

individuals seek their own self-interest.

Example: Society wants fuel efficient cars…•Profit seeking producers will make more.•Competition between firms results in low prices, high quality, and greater efficiency. •The government doesn’t need to get involved since the needs of society are automatically met.

Competition and self-interest act as an invisible hand that regulates the free market.

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Page 42: Marginal Thinking, Economic Growth

Connection to the PPCCommunism in the

Long RunFree Markets in the

Long Run

Consumer goods

Cap

ital G

oods

CURRENTCURVE

FUTURECURVE

Consumer goodsC

apita

l Goo

ds

FUTURECURVE

CURRENTCURVE

Puerto RicoCuba42

Page 43: Marginal Thinking, Economic Growth

The Circular Flow Model

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Page 44: Marginal Thinking, Economic Growth

The Circular Flow ModelProduct Markets

-HH buy-BF sell

Product Markets-HH sell-BF buy

Households-buy goods and services

-sell inputs(factors of production

Business Firms-sell goods and services

-buy inputs(factors of production

Goods and service purchased

Consumption spendingRevenue

Goods and service sold

Capital, land, labor and Entrepreneurship Inputs of productions

Money IncomeWages, Rent, Interest, and profit