CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA GOP PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 2016 If the Republican Primary for President were being held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote between... BANNER 1 KEY REGIONS GENDER AGE GENDER/AGE EDUCATION =================================== =========== ============================= =================================== ======================= NORTH PIED- WEST- TRI- SOUTH -EAST MONT CHAR- ERN MEN MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN WOMEN HS OR 2 YR 4 YR POST TOTAL ANGLE -EAST NC TRIAD LOTTE NC MEN WOMEN 18-25 26-40 41-55 56-65 66+ 18-44 45-64 65+ 18-44 45-64 65+ LESS COLL COLL GRAD (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) (X) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 500 84 68 42 111 109 86 250 250 26 61 142 107 163 67 103 80 53 102 94 142 153 133 71 100% 17% 14% 8% 22% 22% 17% 50% 50% 5% 12% 28% 21% 33% 13% 21% 16% 11% 20% 19% 28% 31% 27% 14% o W DONALD J. TRUMP --------------- MAR 5-7, 2016 162 29 21 17 34 37 24 87 75 6 15 32 48 61 21 34 33 11 27 37 55 55 35 16 32% 35% 31% 41% 30% 34% 28% 35% 30% 22% 26% 23% 45% 37% 31% 33% 41% 21% 26% 39% 39% 36% 27% 22% (1) (1) (2) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (2) (2) (2) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (2) (1) (1) (1) (1) (2) (2) KL kL RS Rs WX X JAN 18-19, 2016 133 19 23 13 36 19 23 71 61 4 20 25 29 55 11 31 29 13 22 27 - - - - 27% 21% 32% 33% 33% 17% 29% 29% 25% 12% 31% 20% 26% 33% 15% 32% 39% 30% 20% 27% - - - - F bF f JL Os OS JAN 13-14&16, 2016 126 28 12 8 27 31 21 72 54 5 14 36 28 43 24 26 21 4 27 24 38 49 25 14 25% 31% 18% 20% 25% 27% 25% 29% 22% 18% 23% 26% 26% 26% 29% 28% 30% 11% 24% 23% 35% 32% 16% 19% c i R R R r r WX WX TED CRUZ -------- MAR 5-7, 2016 131 26 24 13 29 22 16 70 61 10 22 40 26 33 17 34 19 24 22 14 33 41 42 14 26% 31% 35% 31% 26% 20% 19% 28% 24% 37% 36% 28% 24% 20% 26% 33% 23% 45% 22% 15% 23% 27% 31% 20% (2) (2) (1) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (1) (1) (1) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (1) (2) (2) (2) (2) (1) (3) g FG N sT oQST x JAN 18-19, 2016 113 25 20 8 19 27 14 69 44 6 10 36 32 28 21 30 19 6 23 15 - - - - 23% 27% 29% 20% 18% 25% 17% 28% 18% 20% 16% 28% 28% 17% 27% 31% 25% 14% 21% 15% - - - - g I kN kN RT JAN 13-14&16, 2016 112 16 17 11 25 23 20 61 51 10 12 29 34 27 20 24 17 8 30 14 19 34 44 15 22% 17% 27% 31% 23% 20% 24% 24% 20% 37% 20% 21% 31% 16% 24% 25% 23% 23% 26% 13% 17% 22% 28% 20% lN t T T U JOHN R. KASICH -------------- MAR 5-7, 2016 57 10 7 7 7 14 12 29 29 3 5 16 15 19 6 12 11 4 16 9 11 14 18 14 11% 12% 10% 18% 7% 13% 14% 11% 12% 10% 8% 11% 14% 12% 9% 11% 14% 7% 15% 10% 8% 9% 14% 20% (3) (3) (3) (3) (4) (4) (4) (3) (4) *(4) (4) (4) (3) (3) (4) (3) (3) (4) (3) (4) (3) (3) (3) (4) UV JAN 18-19, 2016 11 4 - - 2 2 2 3 9 - 1 1 6 4 - 1 2 1 6 2 - - - - 2% 5% - - 2% 2% 3% 1% 3% - 1% - 5% 2% - 1% 2% 2% 5% 2% - - - - cd JL j O JAN 13-14&16, 2016 11 1 2 2 2 2 1 7 3 - - 3 1 6 - 4 3 - - 3 1 - 4 5 2% 1% 3% 6% 2% 2% 1% 3% 1% - - 2% 1% 4% - 4% 4% - - 3% 1% - 3% 7% jk JK OrS ors ors v uV Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C/D/E/F/G H/I J/K/L/M/N O/P/Q/R/S/T U/V/W/X N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C / FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE Continued

CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA GOP PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 2016 If the Republican Primary for President were being held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote between... BANNER 1 KEY REGIONS GENDER AGE GENDER/AGE EDUCATION =================================== =========== ============================= =================================== ======================= NORTH PIED- WEST- TRI- SOUTH -EAST MONT CHAR- ERN MEN MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN WOMEN HS OR 2 YR 4 YR POST TOTAL ANGLE -EAST NC TRIAD LOTTE NC MEN WOMEN 18-25 26-40 41-55 56-65 66+ 18-44 45-64 65+ 18-44 45-64 65+ LESS COLL COLL GRAD (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) (X) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- MARCO RUBIO ----------- MAR 5-7, 2016 54 5 4 - 16 15 13 17 37 3 8 21 4 19 7 5 5 7 15 14 8 13 15 18 11% 6% 6% - 15% 14% 15% 7% 15% 10% 13% 15% 3% 12% 10% 5% 6% 13% 15% 15% 6% 8% 11% 25% (4) (4) (4) (5) (3) (3) (3) (4) (3) (3) (3) (3) (5) (4) (3) (5) (4) (3) (4) (3) (4) (4) (4) (1) D D bcD cD cD H m M M PQ PQ UVW JAN 18-19, 2016 50 10 7 - 8 13 12 28 23 3 5 10 8 24 7 8 12 4 6 12 - - - - 10% 11% 11% - 8% 12% 14% 11% 9% 11% 8% 8% 7% 15% 10% 9% 16% 10% 6% 13% - - - - D D D D D lm s JAN 13-14&16, 2016 54 13 5 3 10 15 8 22 33 - 6 18 10 20 9 5 8 5 14 13 12 7 21 14 11% 14% 8% 8% 9% 13% 10% 9% 13% - 10% 13% 9% 12% 11% 5% 11% 14% 13% 13% 11% 5% 13% 19% J J J J p p V V BEN CARSON ---------- MAR 5-7, 2016 15 1 1 2 3 5 2 7 7 - 1 10 1 3 - 5 2 3 2 2 3 6 5 - 3% 1% 2% 5% 3% 5% 2% 3% 3% - 2% 7% 1% 2% - 5% 2% 6% 2% 2% 2% 4% 4% - (5) (7) (7) (4) (6) (5) (6) (5) (5) (7) (5) (7) (5) (4) (5) (5) (6) (5) (7) (5) (5) JkMN j O X X JAN 18-19, 2016 35 5 4 2 9 9 6 8 27 - 9 17 3 6 2 5 1 8 12 7 - - - - 7% 6% 6% 5% 8% 8% 7% 3% 11% - 13% 13% 3% 4% 3% 5% 1% 18% 11% 7% - - - - H JMn JMN J OpQ oQ q JAN 13-14&16, 2016 46 6 5 6 11 9 9 24 22 9 7 14 6 9 12 7 5 8 8 6 11 22 9 4 9% 7% 7% 17% 10% 7% 11% 10% 9% 35% 12% 10% 5% 6% 15% 8% 6% 23% 7% 6% 10% 14% 6% 5% lMN t pQsT WX MIKE HUCKABEE ------------- MAR 5-7, 2016 10 - 1 - 3 1 5 7 3 3 2 - 4 1 5 2 - - 2 1 5 3 1 - 2% - 2% - 3% 1% 5% 3% 1% 10% 4% - 4% 1% 7% 2% - - 2% 1% 4% 2% 1% - (6) (6) (7) *(8) (5) (6) (7) *(4) (6) (4) (7) (5) (7) (7) (6) (5) (6) (7) bd BD L qr X x JAN 18-19, 2016 12 - - 1 6 3 2 3 9 - 2 - 5 6 1 1 1 1 3 5 - - - - 2% - - 4% 6% 3% 2% 1% 4% - 3% - 4% 3% 1% 1% 1% 3% 3% 5% - - - - BC bc JL JL JAN 13-14&16, 2016 13 1 2 2 2 4 1 4 9 - 1 3 2 7 1 1 2 - 4 4 1 7 3 2 3% 1% 4% 6% 2% 4% 1% 2% 3% - 2% 2% 2% 4% 1% 1% 3% - 4% 4% 1% 4% 2% 3% j J r R u Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C/D/E/F/G H/I J/K/L/M/N O/P/Q/R/S/T U/V/W/X N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C / FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE Continued

CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA GOP PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 2016 If the Republican Primary for President were being held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote between... BANNER 1 KEY REGIONS GENDER AGE GENDER/AGE EDUCATION =================================== =========== ============================= =================================== ======================= NORTH PIED- WEST- TRI- SOUTH -EAST MONT CHAR- ERN MEN MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN WOMEN HS OR 2 YR 4 YR POST TOTAL ANGLE -EAST NC TRIAD LOTTE NC MEN WOMEN 18-25 26-40 41-55 56-65 66+ 18-44 45-64 65+ 18-44 45-64 65+ LESS COLL COLL GRAD (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) (X) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- JEB BUSH -------- MAR 5-7, 2016 8 2 - - 4 1 1 1 7 - - 3 3 2 - - 1 - 6 1 3 - 4 1 2% 3% - - 3% 1% 1% - 3% - - 2% 3% 1% - - 1% - 6% 1% 2% - 3% 1% (7) (5) (5) *(8) (7) (9) (6) (7) (6) (6) (6) (5) (7) (6) (6) (7) cd H jk jk OPqRt v JAN 18-19, 2016 19 4 - - 7 4 5 5 14 - 3 5 6 5 2 2 1 2 8 4 - - - - 4% 4% - - 7% 4% 6% 2% 6% - 4% 4% 5% 3% 2% 2% 2% 5% 8% 4% - - - - CD cd CD h J J J pq JAN 13-14&16, 2016 13 2 3 - 4 1 3 9 4 - 1 4 2 7 1 5 3 1 - 3 2 5 3 2 3% 2% 5% - 4% 1% 4% 4% 2% - 2% 3% 2% 4% 1% 5% 5% 3% - 3% 2% 4% 2% 3% d j J S s s RAND PAUL --------- MAR 5-7, 2016 6 1 1 - 1 1 1 6 - - 2 3 - - 2 3 - - - - 2 1 - 2 1% 2% 2% - 1% 1% 1% 2% - - 4% 2% - - 3% 3% - - - - 2% 1% - 3% (8) (6) (5) (8) (7) (8) (7) (5) (6) (6) (6) (8) (7) (5) I jmn qrst JAN 18-19, 2016 12 3 1 - 2 3 3 7 5 3 2 5 1 1 4 3 - 1 2 1 - - - - 2% 3% 2% - 2% 2% 4% 3% 2% 10% 4% 4% 1% 1% 6% 3% - 3% 2% 1% - - - - d q JAN 13-14&16, 2016 10 3 - - 2 4 2 6 4 - 4 6 - 1 4 3 - 1 2 1 1 2 7 1 2% 4% - - 2% 3% 2% 3% 2% - 6% 4% - 1% 4% 3% - 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 4% 1% cd cd jmn JMn q u CHRIS CHRISTIE -------------- MAR 5-7, 2016 1 - - - - 1 - 1 - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - - - - 1 - - - - - 1% - - - - - 1% - - 2% - - - - - - - - 2% (9) (6) (8) (8) (7) (6) JAN 18-19, 2016 20 6 - 8 4 - 2 15 5 - 5 9 4 2 11 2 2 - 5 - - - - - 4% 6% - 20% 4% - 2% 6% 2% - 8% 7% 4% 1% 14% 2% 2% - 5% - - - - - CF CFg CF I Jn JN j PqRT RT JAN 13-14&16, 2016 20 3 3 - 8 3 3 14 6 - 5 6 6 3 5 6 3 - 6 - 3 3 12 2 4% 4% 5% - 7% 3% 3% 5% 3% - 8% 4% 6% 2% 5% 6% 5% - 6% - 3% 2% 7% 3% d D d J J J j rt RT rt RT V RICK SANTORUM ------------- JAN 18-19, 2016 5 1 - - - 3 1 3 2 3 - 1 1 - 3 - - - 2 - - - - - 1% 1% - - - 3% 1% 1% 1% 12% - 1% 1% - 4% - - - 2% - - - - - cde JAN 13-14&16, 2016 2 - 1 - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - 1 - 1 1 - - - - 1 - 1 - - - 1% - 1% - - 1% - - 2% - 1% - 1% 1% - - - - 1% - 1% - Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C/D/E/F/G H/I J/K/L/M/N O/P/Q/R/S/T U/V/W/X N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C / FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE Continued

CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA GOP PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 2016 If the Republican Primary for President were being held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote between... BANNER 1 KEY REGIONS GENDER AGE GENDER/AGE EDUCATION =================================== =========== ============================= =================================== ======================= NORTH PIED- WEST- TRI- SOUTH -EAST MONT CHAR- ERN MEN MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN WOMEN HS OR 2 YR 4 YR POST TOTAL ANGLE -EAST NC TRIAD LOTTE NC MEN WOMEN 18-25 26-40 41-55 56-65 66+ 18-44 45-64 65+ 18-44 45-64 65+ LESS COLL COLL GRAD (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) (X) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- CARLY FIORINA ------------- JAN 18-19, 2016 12 3 1 - 1 6 1 6 6 - 1 6 4 2 1 3 2 - 5 1 - - - - 2% 3% 1% - 1% 6% 1% 2% 2% - 1% 5% 3% 1% 2% 3% 2% - 5% 1% - - - - Deg J j R JAN 13-14&16, 2016 12 6 - 2 - 3 1 2 10 - 1 3 5 2 - 2 - 2 5 2 2 2 5 2 2% 6% - 5% - 3% 1% 1% 4% - 2% 2% 5% 1% - 2% - 6% 5% 2% 2% 1% 3% 3% CE H j J OQ JIM GILMORE ----------- NO PREFERENCE 29 3 6 1 3 9 6 13 15 3 2 9 3 12 3 4 6 4 5 7 13 7 6 2 6% 4% 9% 2% 3% 8% 7% 5% 6% 11% 3% 6% 3% 8% 5% 4% 7% 7% 5% 7% 9% 5% 4% 3% e e m x OTHER 3 - 1 - 1 1 - 1 2 - 1 1 1 - 1 - - - 1 1 1 - 2 - 1% - 2% - 1% 1% - - 1% - 2% 1% 1% - 2% - - - 1% 1% 1% - 1% - REFUSED 25 5 1 1 9 2 6 10 14 - 2 6 4 13 3 2 5 - 6 8 7 11 4 2 5% 6% 1% 3% 8% 2% 7% 4% 6% - 4% 4% 4% 8% 5% 2% 6% - 6% 8% 5% 7% 3% 3% CF J J J R R pR Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C/D/E/F/G H/I J/K/L/M/N O/P/Q/R/S/T U/V/W/X N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C / FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE

CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA GOP PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 2016 If the Republican Primary for President were being held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote between... BANNER 2 EMPLOYMENT MARITAL PARTY REG PARTY REG/GENDER IDEOLOGY RACE STATUS STATUS INCOME =========== ======================= ============================= =========== ================= =========== ========================= UN- $50K GOP GOP IND IND VERY SMWT AF. FULL RET- EMPL- AND $50K- $100K- TOTAL GOP IND MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN LIB MOD CONS CONS CONS AMER. WHITE TIME IRED OYED MRRD SNGL UNDER $100K $200K $200K+ (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 500 395 105 196 199 54 51 22 90 386 246 139 4 471 256 189 25 371 57 133 136 65 18 100% 79% 21% 39% 40% 11% 10% 4% 18% 77% 49% 28% 1% 94% 51% 38% 5% 74% 11% 27% 27% 13% 4% h h M Uv DONALD J. TRUMP --------------- MAR 5-7, 2016 162 121 41 62 59 25 16 12 23 125 76 49 - 154 72 78 6 115 19 49 54 13 7 32% 31% 39% 32% 30% 46% 31% 57% 26% 33% 31% 35% - 33% 28% 41% 24% 31% 34% 37% 40% 20% 40% (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (2) (1) (1) (2) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (3) (1) dE IJKl M O V V JAN 18-19, 2016 133 103 29 54 49 17 12 20 24 85 58 27 5 120 - - - - - - - - - 27% 26% 28% 28% 24% 30% 25% 49% 28% 23% 24% 22% 19% 26% - - - - - - - - - JKL JAN 13-14&16, 2016 126 97 29 49 48 22 7 4 16 103 75 28 1 117 56 52 9 95 15 24 47 20 2 25% 25% 28% 26% 23% 35% 16% 15% 18% 27% 31% 21% 12% 25% 22% 27% 46% 25% 27% 24% 31% 27% 10% eG i hIL o W w TED CRUZ -------- MAR 5-7, 2016 131 109 22 61 49 9 12 3 9 119 100 19 2 124 78 36 6 101 16 31 39 18 2 26% 28% 21% 31% 24% 17% 24% 13% 10% 31% 41% 13% 44% 26% 31% 19% 22% 27% 28% 23% 29% 28% 12% (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (3) (3) (4) (2) (1) (3) (1) (2) (1) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (1) (3) F HIL HIJL P w JAN 18-19, 2016 113 90 24 51 39 18 5 2 8 104 77 27 2 110 - - - - - - - - - 23% 23% 23% 26% 19% 33% 11% 4% 9% 29% 32% 22% 8% 24% - - - - - - - - - G eG HI HIL HI JAN 13-14&16, 2016 112 85 26 44 42 17 9 - 15 97 71 25 3 106 64 40 4 82 16 21 40 8 3 22% 22% 25% 23% 20% 27% 22% - 17% 26% 29% 19% 33% 23% 25% 21% 20% 22% 29% 21% 26% 11% 18% H H HIL H v V JOHN R. KASICH -------------- MAR 5-7, 2016 57 38 20 21 17 7 12 4 23 31 17 14 1 55 30 21 4 45 5 14 12 15 2 11% 10% 19% 11% 8% 14% 24% 17% 25% 8% 7% 10% 29% 12% 12% 11% 15% 12% 9% 11% 9% 23% 10% (3) (4) (3) (3) (4) (3) (2) (2) (2) (4) (4) (4) (2) (3) (3) (4) (4) (3) (4) (3) (3) (2) (4) B dE JKL TU JAN 18-19, 2016 11 6 5 2 4 1 4 1 5 5 4 2 - 11 - - - - - - - - - 2% 2% 5% 1% 2% 2% 9% 2% 6% 2% 2% 1% - 2% - - - - - - - - - d M JAN 13-14&16, 2016 11 9 2 5 3 2 - 2 5 3 1 2 - 11 3 6 - 8 - 1 2 3 - 2% 2% 2% 3% 2% 3% - 7% 6% 1% - 2% - 2% 1% 3% - 2% - 1% 1% 4% - G g jk M Q S w Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C D/E/F/G H/I/J/K/L M/N O/P/Q R/S T/U/V/W N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C / FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE Continued

CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA GOP PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 2016 If the Republican Primary for President were being held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote between... BANNER 2 EMPLOYMENT MARITAL PARTY REG PARTY REG/GENDER IDEOLOGY RACE STATUS STATUS INCOME =========== ======================= ============================= =========== ================= =========== ========================= UN- $50K GOP GOP IND IND VERY SMWT AF. FULL RET- EMPL- AND $50K- $100K- TOTAL GOP IND MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN LIB MOD CONS CONS CONS AMER. WHITE TIME IRED OYED MRRD SNGL UNDER $100K $200K $200K+ (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ MARCO RUBIO ----------- MAR 5-7, 2016 54 46 8 15 31 2 6 1 13 41 20 21 - 49 22 23 5 42 6 12 12 8 5 11% 12% 7% 8% 16% 4% 11% 4% 14% 11% 8% 15% - 11% 9% 12% 20% 11% 11% 9% 9% 13% 25% (4) (3) (4) (4) (3) (6) (4) (4) (3) (3) (3) (2) (4) (4) (3) (3) (4) (3) (4) (4) (4) (2) DF hk M JAN 18-19, 2016 50 44 7 23 21 4 2 - 9 40 26 14 2 48 - - - - - - - - - 10% 11% 6% 12% 10% 8% 5% - 10% 11% 11% 11% 9% 10% - - - - - - - - - g H H H H JAN 13-14&16, 2016 54 43 11 17 26 5 7 5 15 34 19 14 - 51 28 22 1 48 2 11 11 20 4 11% 11% 11% 9% 12% 7% 16% 19% 18% 9% 8% 11% - 11% 11% 11% 4% 13% 3% 10% 7% 26% 20% jK M S TU BEN CARSON ---------- MAR 5-7, 2016 15 11 3 5 6 2 1 - 4 10 5 6 1 12 10 4 - 13 - 1 4 3 - 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 2% - 5% 3% 2% 4% 27% 2% 4% 2% - 3% - 1% 3% 5% - (5) (5) (5) (6) (6) (4) (5) (5) (5) (6) (5) (3) (5) (5) (5) (5) (8) (5) (5) H H H H Q Q S w w JAN 18-19, 2016 35 29 6 8 21 - 6 2 2 30 19 11 - 35 - - - - - - - - - 7% 7% 6% 4% 10% - 13% 4% 3% 8% 8% 9% - 8% - - - - - - - - - F DF F I i i M JAN 13-14&16, 2016 46 36 10 22 14 2 8 - 7 37 20 17 1 41 25 15 3 34 6 9 17 6 2 9% 9% 10% 12% 7% 3% 19% - 8% 10% 8% 13% 10% 9% 10% 8% 16% 9% 11% 9% 11% 8% 12% F eF H H H H MIKE HUCKABEE ------------- MAR 5-7, 2016 10 10 - 7 3 - - - 1 9 6 3 - 10 7 2 1 5 4 8 - 1 - 2% 2% - 3% 1% - - - 1% 2% 2% 2% - 2% 3% 1% 4% 1% 6% 6% - 2% - (6) (6) (5) (7) (9) (6) (5) (6) (6) (6) (6) (5) (7) (5) (5) (7) C FG H H M UW JAN 18-19, 2016 12 8 5 1 7 2 2 - 1 12 8 4 3 10 - - - - - - - - - 2% 2% 4% 1% 3% 4% 5% - 1% 3% 3% 3% 10% 2% - - - - - - - - - d H H h JAN 13-14&16, 2016 13 13 - 4 9 - - 1 - 12 7 4 1 12 7 5 - 8 2 6 3 1 - 3% 3% - 2% 4% - - 4% - 3% 3% 3% 11% 3% 3% 3% - 2% 4% 6% 2% 1% - C fg FG I I I Q Q W Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C D/E/F/G H/I/J/K/L M/N O/P/Q R/S T/U/V/W N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C / FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE Continued

CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA GOP PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 2016 If the Republican Primary for President were being held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote between... BANNER 2 EMPLOYMENT MARITAL PARTY REG PARTY REG/GENDER IDEOLOGY RACE STATUS STATUS INCOME =========== ======================= ============================= =========== ================= =========== ========================= UN- $50K GOP GOP IND IND VERY SMWT AF. FULL RET- EMPL- AND $50K- $100K- TOTAL GOP IND MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN LIB MOD CONS CONS CONS AMER. WHITE TIME IRED OYED MRRD SNGL UNDER $100K $200K $200K+ (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ JEB BUSH -------- MAR 5-7, 2016 8 8 - 1 7 - - - 2 6 3 3 - 8 4 2 - 6 - 2 1 - - 2% 2% - 1% 4% - - - 2% 2% 1% 2% - 2% 2% 1% - 2% - 2% 1% - - (7) (7) (8) (5) (7) (7) (7) (7) (7) (8) (7) (6) (7) (7) C DFG H h M q S JAN 18-19, 2016 19 18 1 4 14 1 - 3 3 13 10 3 3 15 - - - - - - - - - 4% 4% 1% 2% 7% 2% - 9% 4% 3% 4% 2% 11% 3% - - - - - - - - - c g DG JAN 13-14&16, 2016 13 10 3 6 4 3 - - 2 10 3 7 - 13 5 6 - 9 - 2 5 3 - 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 5% - - 2% 3% 1% 5% - 3% 2% 3% - 2% - 2% 3% 4% - G g g H h Hk M Q Q S W w RAND PAUL --------- MAR 5-7, 2016 6 4 2 4 - 2 - - 3 2 1 1 - 6 4 1 - 5 - 2 1 1 - 1% 1% 2% 2% - 4% - - 4% 1% - 1% - 1% 2% 1% - 1% - 2% 1% 2% - (8) (8) (6) (7) (5) (6) (8) (8) (8) (8) (7) (8) (8) (6) (6) (8) eg h M q S JAN 18-19, 2016 12 9 3 4 5 3 - 4 1 6 2 5 - 12 - - - - - - - - - 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 5% - 11% 2% 2% 1% 4% - 3% - - - - - - - - - g G k M JAN 13-14&16, 2016 10 5 5 3 2 4 2 3 5 3 2 1 - 9 10 - - 10 - 1 4 2 - 2% 1% 5% 1% 1% 6% 4% 10% 5% 1% 1% 1% - 2% 4% - - 3% - 1% 2% 3% - b jl M PQ S w CHRIS CHRISTIE -------------- MAR 5-7, 2016 1 - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - - - 1 1 - - 1 - - - 1 - - - 1% - - 2% - - 1% - - - - - - - - - - - - 2% - (9) (7) (7) (8) (9) (9) (9) (6) JAN 18-19, 2016 20 20 - 15 5 - - - 10 10 3 7 6 14 - - - - - - - - - 4% 5% - 8% 2% - - - 13% 3% 1% 5% 25% 3% - - - - - - - - - C EFG FG HJK H Hk JAN 13-14&16, 2016 20 15 5 9 6 5 - 6 6 8 5 3 3 17 17 3 - 14 3 6 9 2 3 4% 4% 4% 5% 3% 7% - 23% 7% 2% 2% 2% 34% 4% 7% 2% - 4% 5% 6% 6% 3% 16% G G G JKL PQ q RICK SANTORUM ------------- JAN 18-19, 2016 5 4 1 3 1 - 1 - 4 1 1 - - 5 - - - - - - - - - 1% 1% 1% 2% - - 2% - 5% - - - - 1% - - - - - - - - - M JAN 13-14&16, 2016 2 1 1 1 - 1 - - - 2 1 1 - 2 1 - 1 1 1 1 - 1 - - - 1% - - 1% - - - - - 1% - - - - 5% - 2% 1% - 1% - Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C D/E/F/G H/I/J/K/L M/N O/P/Q R/S T/U/V/W N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C / FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE Continued

CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA GOP PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 2016 If the Republican Primary for President were being held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote between... BANNER 2 EMPLOYMENT MARITAL PARTY REG PARTY REG/GENDER IDEOLOGY RACE STATUS STATUS INCOME =========== ======================= ============================= =========== ================= =========== ========================= UN- $50K GOP GOP IND IND VERY SMWT AF. FULL RET- EMPL- AND $50K- $100K- TOTAL GOP IND MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN LIB MOD CONS CONS CONS AMER. WHITE TIME IRED OYED MRRD SNGL UNDER $100K $200K $200K+ (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ CARLY FIORINA ------------- JAN 18-19, 2016 12 6 5 3 4 3 3 1 2 8 5 4 - 11 - - - - - - - - - 2% 2% 5% 1% 2% 5% 5% 3% 3% 2% 2% 3% - 2% - - - - - - - - - M JAN 13-14&16, 2016 12 10 2 2 8 - 2 1 2 9 2 6 - 11 4 4 - 11 - 2 1 3 1 2% 3% 2% 1% 4% - 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% 5% - 2% 2% 2% - 3% - 2% 1% 5% 6% dF k M q Q S JIM GILMORE ----------- NO PREFERENCE 29 23 6 12 12 2 4 2 6 19 5 14 - 27 13 12 4 17 4 10 9 1 - 6% 6% 5% 6% 6% 3% 8% 9% 7% 5% 2% 10% 1% 6% 5% 6% 16% 5% 7% 8% 7% 2% - k K jK vW vW OTHER 3 3 - 1 2 - - - - 3 2 1 - 2 2 - - 2 1 - - 1 - 1% 1% - 1% 1% - - - - 1% 1% 1% - - 1% - - 1% 2% - - 1% - REFUSED 25 21 3 7 14 3 - - 4 20 12 8 - 24 13 10 - 19 2 3 3 2 2 5% 5% 3% 4% 7% 6% - - 5% 5% 5% 6% - 5% 5% 5% - 5% 4% 2% 2% 3% 12% G G g H H H H M Q Q Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C D/E/F/G H/I/J/K/L M/N O/P/Q R/S T/U/V/W N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C / FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE

CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA GOP PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 2016 As you may know, [INSERT CHOICE FROM Q13] has dropped out of the presidential race. Out of the following candidates who are still running in the Republican Primary for President, for whom would you vote between: BANNER 1 KEY REGIONS GENDER AGE GENDER/AGE EDUCATION =================================== =========== ============================= =================================== ======================= NORTH PIED- WEST- TRI- SOUTH -EAST MONT CHAR- ERN MEN MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN WOMEN HS OR 2 YR 4 YR POST TOTAL ANGLE -EAST NC TRIAD LOTTE NC MEN WOMEN 18-25 26-40 41-55 56-65 66+ 18-44 45-64 65+ 18-44 45-64 65+ LESS COLL COLL GRAD (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) (X) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- BASE=CHOICE Q.13 39 5 3 2 11 9 9 22 17 3 6 18 8 6 8 11 3 3 10 4 14 11 11 4 100% 12% 9% 5% 28% 24% 23% 56% 44% 6% 14% 45% 20% 15% 21% 28% 7% 8% 26% 10% 35% 28% 27% 11% TED CRUZ 11 1 1 1 4 1 3 9 2 3 2 6 1 - 5 4 - 2 - - 2 5 3 1 28% 25% 32% 54% 38% 12% 29% 41% 12% 100% 38% 31% 12% - 58% 39% - 67% - - 16% 42% 31% 26% (1) (2) (2) (1) (1) (2) (1) (1) (3) (1) (1) (4) (1) (1) (1) (3) (1) (1) (2) i KLMN N QST QST qSt JOHN KASICH 7 1 2 - 2 - 2 6 2 - 1 2 2 2 1 3 1 - 1 1 4 2 - 1 19% 22% 68% - 19% - 24% 25% 11% - 22% 13% 26% 35% 15% 30% 36% - 9% 25% 30% 21% - 27% (2) (3) (1) (3) (2) (2) (4) (2) (3) (1) (1) (2) (2) (1) (3) (2) (1) (2) (1) dF r W DONALD TRUMP 5 1 - - 3 - 1 2 3 - 1 2 2 - 1 1 - 1 2 - 2 - 3 - 14% 28% - - 27% - 13% 11% 17% - 21% 13% 24% - 14% 12% - 33% 18% - 16% - 30% - (3) (1) (2) (3) (3) (2) (3) (2) (3) (3) (3) (2) (2) (2) (2) cdf vx MARCO RUBIO 5 - - 1 1 3 - 1 4 - - 1 2 2 - - 1 - 2 2 1 2 2 - 12% - - 46% 9% 32% - 4% 23% - - 6% 25% 33% - - 31% - 19% 51% 7% 17% 19% - (4) (2) (4) (1) (4) (1) (4) (2) (2) (2) (1) (1) (4) (3) (3) bcg opr DON'T KNOW/UNSURE 9 1 - - 1 5 2 4 5 - 1 6 1 2 1 2 1 - 5 1 4 2 1 2 24% 25% - - 8% 56% 25% 18% 31% - 19% 32% 13% 33% 13% 19% 33% - 44% 24% 31% 20% 11% 47% CDE J R REFUSED 1 - - - - - 1 - 1 - - 1 - - - - - - 1 - - - 1 - 2% - - - - - 10% - 5% - - 5% - - - - - - 9% - - - 9% - Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C/D/E/F/G H/I J/K/L/M/N O/P/Q/R/S/T U/V/W/X N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C / FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE

CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA GOP PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 2016 As you may know, [INSERT CHOICE FROM Q13] has dropped out of the presidential race. Out of the following candidates who are still running in the Republican Primary for President, for whom would you vote between: BANNER 2 EMPLOYMENT MARITAL PARTY REG PARTY REG/GENDER IDEOLOGY RACE STATUS STATUS INCOME =========== ======================= ============================= =========== ================= =========== ========================= UN- $50K GOP GOP IND IND VERY SMWT AF. FULL RET- EMPL- AND $50K- $100K- TOTAL GOP IND MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN LIB MOD CONS CONS CONS AMER. WHITE TIME IRED OYED MRRD SNGL UNDER $100K $200K $200K+ (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ BASE=CHOICE Q.13 39 33 7 16 16 5 1 - 12 28 15 13 1 36 26 9 1 30 4 13 6 6 - 100% 83% 17% 42% 42% 14% 3% - 30% 70% 38% 32% 3% 92% 67% 23% 2% 76% 9% 33% 16% 16% - TED CRUZ 11 8 3 6 2 3 - - 3 8 6 2 1 10 10 - - 9 3 5 1 4 - 28% 24% 51% 34% 13% 61% - - 29% 28% 38% 17% 100% 28% 39% - - 29% 72% 35% 17% 69% - (1) (1) (1) (1) (2) (1) (1) (1) (2) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (2) G eG N PQ u JOHN KASICH 7 7 - 6 2 - - - 1 7 2 4 - 7 6 2 - 4 1 3 1 - - 19% 23% - 34% 12% - - - 8% 24% 15% 34% - 21% 21% 22% - 14% 28% 25% 16% - - (2) (2) (2) (3) (4) (2) (2) (1) (2) (2) (2) (3) (2) (2) (3) C FG M Q v DONALD TRUMP 5 4 1 2 2 - 1 - 3 2 1 1 - 5 2 1 1 4 - 3 1 - - 14% 13% 17% 15% 12% - 100% - 28% 8% 8% 8% - 15% 9% 14% 100% 15% - 23% 20% - - (3) (4) (2) (3) (4) (2) (4) (4) (4) (3) (3) (3) (2) (3) (1) DEF M OP S MARCO RUBIO 5 5 - 1 4 - - - 2 3 2 1 - 4 2 3 - 3 - - 1 - - 12% 15% - 5% 24% - - - 16% 11% 13% 8% - 11% 8% 31% - 10% - - 14% - - (4) (3) (4) (1) (3) (3) (3) (3) (4) (4) (1) (4) (4) C FG m q s DON'T KNOW/UNSURE 9 7 2 2 5 2 - - 2 7 3 4 - 9 5 3 - 9 - 2 1 2 - 24% 23% 32% 12% 34% 39% - - 18% 27% 21% 34% - 23% 21% 32% - 29% - 17% 19% 31% - G M Q q S REFUSED 1 1 - - 1 - - - - 1 1 - - 1 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2% 3% - - 6% - - - - 3% 6% - - 2% 3% - - 3% - - 14% - - Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C D/E/F/G H/I/J/K/L M/N O/P/Q R/S T/U/V/W N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C / FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE

CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA GOP PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 2016 And of the following, who is best described by the phrase: Cares about people like me. BANNER 1 KEY REGIONS GENDER AGE GENDER/AGE EDUCATION =================================== =========== ============================= =================================== ======================= NORTH PIED- WEST- TRI- SOUTH -EAST MONT CHAR- ERN MEN MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN WOMEN HS OR 2 YR 4 YR POST TOTAL ANGLE -EAST NC TRIAD LOTTE NC MEN WOMEN 18-25 26-40 41-55 56-65 66+ 18-44 45-64 65+ 18-44 45-64 65+ LESS COLL COLL GRAD (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) (X) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 500 84 68 42 111 109 86 250 250 26 61 142 107 163 67 103 80 53 102 94 142 153 133 71 100% 17% 14% 8% 22% 22% 17% 50% 50% 5% 12% 28% 21% 33% 13% 21% 16% 11% 20% 19% 28% 31% 27% 14% TED CRUZ 144 37 24 15 33 20 15 82 62 10 22 46 33 33 23 39 20 20 27 14 37 49 40 16 29% 44% 36% 36% 30% 18% 17% 33% 25% 38% 36% 32% 30% 20% 34% 38% 25% 37% 27% 15% 26% 32% 30% 23% (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (4) (3) (1) (2) (1) (1) (1) (2) (3) (1) (1) (2) (1) (1) (3) (2) (1) (1) (2) eFG FG FG FG i N N n T qsT T T DONALD TRUMP 126 18 16 13 29 26 24 63 63 6 10 24 36 50 13 22 28 9 26 28 47 35 33 10 25% 22% 23% 31% 26% 24% 29% 25% 25% 22% 17% 17% 34% 31% 19% 21% 36% 17% 25% 30% 33% 23% 25% 15% (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (1) (1) (2) (1) (2) (3) (4) (1) (1) (2) (2) (1) (3) (2) (1) (1) (2) (2) (4) KL KL OPR vX x JOHN KASICH 88 15 11 5 11 25 21 50 37 3 10 25 16 34 13 20 17 3 17 17 22 25 27 14 18% 17% 17% 11% 10% 23% 24% 20% 15% 10% 16% 18% 15% 21% 19% 20% 22% 7% 16% 18% 15% 17% 20% 20% (3) (3) (3) (3) (4) (2) (2) (3) (4) (4) (4) (2) (3) (2) (3) (3) (3) (4) (4) (2) (3) (3) (3) (3) dE dE r R R r R MARCO RUBIO 65 6 7 4 19 20 10 18 48 3 12 24 8 19 7 5 6 15 19 14 12 15 19 19 13% 7% 11% 9% 17% 18% 12% 7% 19% 10% 19% 17% 7% 12% 10% 5% 7% 27% 18% 15% 8% 10% 14% 27% (4) (4) (4) (4) (3) (3) (4) (4) (3) (3) (2) (3) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (2) (3) (4) (4) (4) (4) (1) B B H M M oPQ PQ Pq UVW DON'T KNOW/UNSURE 66 8 6 5 15 17 15 32 34 5 7 20 11 23 12 12 8 6 11 17 22 21 12 10 13% 9% 9% 13% 13% 16% 17% 13% 14% 20% 12% 14% 10% 14% 18% 12% 10% 12% 10% 18% 16% 14% 9% 14% q OTHER 7 1 2 - 2 1 1 2 5 - - 2 3 2 - 2 - - 3 2 1 4 2 - 1% 1% 3% - 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% - - 1% 3% 1% - 2% - - 3% 2% 1% 3% 1% - jk oqr x REFUSED 4 - 1 - 2 1 - 3 1 - - 1 1 2 - 2 1 - - 1 1 2 - 1 1% - 1% - 2% 1% - 1% - - - 1% 1% 1% - 2% 1% - - 1% 1% 1% - 2% Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C/D/E/F/G H/I J/K/L/M/N O/P/Q/R/S/T U/V/W/X N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C / FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE

CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA GOP PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 2016 And of the following, who is best described by the phrase: Cares about people like me. BANNER 2 EMPLOYMENT MARITAL PARTY REG PARTY REG/GENDER IDEOLOGY RACE STATUS STATUS INCOME =========== ======================= ============================= =========== ================= =========== ========================= UN- $50K GOP GOP IND IND VERY SMWT AF. FULL RET- EMPL- AND $50K- $100K- TOTAL GOP IND MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN LIB MOD CONS CONS CONS AMER. WHITE TIME IRED OYED MRRD SNGL UNDER $100K $200K $200K+ (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 500 395 105 196 199 54 51 22 90 386 246 139 4 471 256 189 25 371 57 133 136 65 18 100% 79% 21% 39% 40% 11% 10% 4% 18% 77% 49% 28% 1% 94% 51% 38% 5% 74% 11% 27% 27% 13% 4% TED CRUZ 144 116 28 68 48 14 14 2 10 132 109 24 3 135 89 37 6 108 17 36 42 23 3 29% 29% 26% 35% 24% 26% 27% 8% 11% 34% 44% 17% 77% 29% 35% 20% 22% 29% 30% 27% 31% 36% 18% (1) (1) (2) (1) (2) (3) (2) (4) (4) (1) (1) (3) (1) (1) (2) (2) (1) (1) (2) (1) (1) (3) E HIL HIJL N P DONALD TRUMP 126 93 33 44 49 19 14 11 17 96 62 33 - 118 51 65 4 91 17 38 40 9 6 25% 24% 32% 23% 25% 36% 27% 52% 19% 25% 25% 24% - 25% 20% 34% 16% 24% 30% 29% 30% 13% 30% (2) (2) (1) (2) (1) (1) (1) (1) (3) (2) (2) (1) (2) (2) (1) (4) (2) (2) (1) (2) (3) (1) d IJKL M Oq V V JOHN KASICH 88 64 23 36 28 14 10 5 30 52 24 28 - 84 49 32 5 69 7 22 23 18 3 18% 16% 22% 19% 14% 26% 19% 22% 34% 14% 10% 20% - 18% 19% 17% 18% 19% 12% 17% 17% 28% 15% (3) (3) (3) (3) (4) (2) (3) (2) (1) (3) (4) (2) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (4) (3) (3) (2) (4) e JKL K M tu MARCO RUBIO 65 53 13 15 38 3 10 2 17 46 25 21 - 60 31 23 7 48 8 15 15 8 5 13% 13% 12% 8% 19% 6% 19% 9% 19% 12% 10% 15% - 13% 12% 12% 28% 13% 13% 11% 11% 13% 25% (4) (4) (4) (4) (3) (4) (4) (3) (2) (4) (3) (4) (4) (4) (4) (1) (4) (3) (4) (4) (4) (2) DF df k M DON'T KNOW/UNSURE 66 60 6 29 31 2 4 2 13 51 20 31 - 63 31 28 3 45 8 19 15 4 2 13% 15% 6% 15% 15% 4% 8% 9% 14% 13% 8% 22% - 13% 12% 15% 11% 12% 15% 15% 11% 7% 12% C F F k hJK M OTHER 7 5 2 - 5 2 - - 2 5 3 2 1 6 2 2 1 7 - 3 1 1 - 1% 1% 2% - 2% 4% - - 2% 1% 1% 1% 23% 1% 1% 1% 4% 2% - 2% 1% 2% - DG H S REFUSED 4 4 - 3 1 - - - 1 3 3 - - 4 3 1 - 4 - - 1 1 - 1% 1% - 2% 1% - - - 1% 1% 1% - - 1% 1% 1% - 1% - - 1% 2% - c m s Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C D/E/F/G H/I/J/K/L M/N O/P/Q R/S T/U/V/W N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C / FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE

CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA GOP PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 2016 If the Republican Primary Election for U.S. Senate were held today, for whom would you vote between: Larry Holmquist, Paul Wright, Greg Brannon, or Richard Burr? BANNER 1 KEY REGIONS GENDER AGE GENDER/AGE EDUCATION =================================== =========== ============================= =================================== ======================= NORTH PIED- WEST- TRI- SOUTH -EAST MONT CHAR- ERN MEN MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN WOMEN HS OR 2 YR 4 YR POST TOTAL ANGLE -EAST NC TRIAD LOTTE NC MEN WOMEN 18-25 26-40 41-55 56-65 66+ 18-44 45-64 65+ 18-44 45-64 65+ LESS COLL COLL GRAD (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) (X) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 500 84 68 42 111 109 86 250 250 26 61 142 107 163 67 103 80 53 102 94 142 153 133 71 100% 17% 14% 8% 22% 22% 17% 50% 50% 5% 12% 28% 21% 33% 13% 21% 16% 11% 20% 19% 28% 31% 27% 14% o W TOTAL BURR ---------- MAR 5-7, 2016 208 38 26 16 52 48 27 101 107 7 22 64 38 77 22 38 41 21 45 41 58 66 50 34 42% 45% 39% 39% 47% 44% 31% 41% 43% 25% 36% 45% 35% 47% 33% 37% 51% 39% 44% 44% 41% 43% 38% 48% (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) G g M Op JAN 18-19, 2016 226 41 27 11 64 52 32 129 96 10 28 59 46 82 36 46 47 14 44 39 - - - - 45% 44% 38% 26% 60% 47% 39% 52% 39% 34% 44% 46% 40% 50% 46% 48% 63% 32% 40% 40% - - - - BCDfG d I r pRST TOTAL BRANNON ------------- MAR 5-7, 2016 68 15 11 6 15 10 11 50 18 3 13 23 20 10 13 28 9 9 5 4 13 26 19 8 14% 18% 16% 15% 14% 9% 12% 20% 7% 10% 21% 16% 19% 6% 20% 27% 11% 17% 5% 4% 9% 17% 15% 12% (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (3) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) I N N N ST QST t st u JAN 18-19, 2016 34 15 3 1 6 7 3 17 17 - 4 11 14 5 4 8 4 3 10 4 - - - - 7% 16% 5% 2% 6% 6% 3% 7% 7% - 7% 8% 12% 3% 5% 9% 6% 8% 9% 4% - - - - CDEFG j Jn JN J TOTAL HOLMQUIST --------------- MAR 5-7, 2016 13 - 2 1 4 2 4 7 6 - 4 3 3 3 3 3 1 1 3 2 2 6 3 2 3% - 3% 3% 4% 2% 5% 3% 2% - 7% 2% 3% 2% 5% 3% 1% 2% 3% 2% 1% 4% 2% 3% (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (4) (3) (3) (3) (3) (4) (4) (3) (3) (3) b b J j j j JAN 18-19, 2016 3 1 1 - - - 1 3 - - - 2 1 - 1 2 - - - - - - - - 1% 1% 1% - - - 1% 1% - - - 1% 1% - 1% 2% - - - - - - - - TOTAL WRIGHT ------------ MAR 5-7, 2016 8 3 1 - 2 2 - 5 3 3 1 - 2 2 4 - 1 - 1 2 4 2 2 - 2% 4% 1% - 2% 2% - 2% 1% 11% 2% - 2% 1% 6% - 1% - 1% 2% 3% 1% 2% - (4) (3) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (2) (4) (4) (4) (3) (4) (4) (3) (3) (4) (4) pr x JAN 18-19, 2016 17 1 1 6 5 3 1 9 9 - 1 9 2 5 6 1 1 1 4 4 - - - - 3% 2% 2% 15% 4% 2% 1% 3% 3% - 2% 7% 2% 3% 8% 1% 1% 3% 4% 4% - - - - Jkm j Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C/D/E/F/G H/I J/K/L/M/N O/P/Q/R/S/T U/V/W/X N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C / FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE Continued

CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA GOP PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 2016 If the Republican Primary Election for U.S. Senate were held today, for whom would you vote between: Larry Holmquist, Paul Wright, Greg Brannon, or Richard Burr? BANNER 1 KEY REGIONS GENDER AGE GENDER/AGE EDUCATION =================================== =========== ============================= =================================== ======================= NORTH PIED- WEST- TRI- SOUTH -EAST MONT CHAR- ERN MEN MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN WOMEN HS OR 2 YR 4 YR POST TOTAL ANGLE -EAST NC TRIAD LOTTE NC MEN WOMEN 18-25 26-40 41-55 56-65 66+ 18-44 45-64 65+ 18-44 45-64 65+ LESS COLL COLL GRAD (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) (X) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- TOTAL LEAN/UNDECIDED -------------------- MAR 5-7, 2016 194 26 28 18 35 45 42 83 111 14 20 50 42 68 24 32 27 23 45 44 65 50 54 25 39% 31% 42% 43% 31% 41% 49% 33% 45% 53% 34% 35% 39% 42% 35% 31% 34% 42% 44% 46% 46% 32% 41% 36% BE H p Pq V JAN 18-19, 2016 212 32 37 22 32 46 42 90 122 19 30 46 47 69 31 36 23 24 50 48 - - - - 42% 35% 53% 56% 30% 42% 51% 36% 49% 66% 47% 36% 41% 42% 40% 37% 30% 55% 46% 49% - - - - bE e e bE H Lmn pQ Q Q DEFINITELY BURR 145 25 19 12 36 32 20 71 74 3 12 42 28 61 14 25 32 9 33 32 41 43 39 22 29% 30% 29% 29% 32% 29% 24% 28% 30% 10% 19% 30% 26% 37% 21% 24% 40% 16% 32% 34% 29% 28% 29% 31% j JKM OPR R oR PROBABLY BURR 63 13 7 4 17 16 7 30 33 4 10 22 10 17 8 14 9 12 12 9 18 22 11 12 13% 15% 10% 10% 15% 15% 8% 12% 13% 16% 17% 16% 10% 10% 12% 13% 11% 23% 12% 9% 13% 15% 9% 17% t DEFINITELY BRANNON 50 14 8 6 10 4 6 35 15 3 10 18 14 5 11 19 5 8 5 2 8 20 15 6 10% 17% 12% 15% 9% 4% 7% 14% 6% 10% 17% 13% 13% 3% 17% 18% 6% 15% 5% 2% 5% 13% 12% 9% Fg f f I N N N qsT QST t U u PROBABLY BRANNON 18 1 2 - 5 6 5 15 3 - 2 5 6 5 2 9 4 1 - 2 5 6 4 2 4% 1% 3% - 4% 5% 5% 6% 1% - 4% 4% 6% 3% 3% 9% 5% 2% - 2% 4% 4% 3% 3% D D D I J J J rST S DEFINITELY HOLMQUIST 8 - 2 - 2 2 2 2 6 - 2 1 3 2 1 1 - 1 3 2 2 4 1 1 2% - 3% - 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% - 3% 1% 3% 1% 2% 1% - 2% 3% 2% 1% 3% 1% 1% j PROBABLY HOLMQUIST 5 - - 1 2 - 2 5 - - 2 2 - 1 2 2 1 - - - - 2 2 1 1% - - 3% 2% - 2% 2% - - 4% 1% - 1% 4% 2% 1% - - - - 1% 2% 1% I DEFINITELY WRIGHT 4 - 1 - 2 1 - 2 2 - 1 - 1 2 1 - 1 - 1 1 1 1 2 - 1% - 1% - 2% 1% - 1% 1% - 2% - 1% 1% 2% - 1% - 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% - PROBABLY WRIGHT 4 3 - - - 1 - 3 1 3 - - 1 - 3 - - - - 1 3 1 - - 1% 4% - - - 1% - 1% - 11% - - 1% - 4% - - - - 1% 2% 1% - - Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C/D/E/F/G H/I J/K/L/M/N O/P/Q/R/S/T U/V/W/X N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C / FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE Continued

CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA GOP PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 2016 If the Republican Primary Election for U.S. Senate were held today, for whom would you vote between: Larry Holmquist, Paul Wright, Greg Brannon, or Richard Burr? BANNER 1 KEY REGIONS GENDER AGE GENDER/AGE EDUCATION =================================== =========== ============================= =================================== ======================= NORTH PIED- WEST- TRI- SOUTH -EAST MONT CHAR- ERN MEN MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN WOMEN HS OR 2 YR 4 YR POST TOTAL ANGLE -EAST NC TRIAD LOTTE NC MEN WOMEN 18-25 26-40 41-55 56-65 66+ 18-44 45-64 65+ 18-44 45-64 65+ LESS COLL COLL GRAD (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) (X) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- LEAN HOLMQUIST 3 1 - - 1 1 - 2 1 - - 3 - 1 - 1 1 - 1 - - 1 1 1 1% 2% - - 1% 1% - 1% - - - 2% - 1% - 1% 1% - 1% - - 1% 1% 1% LEAN WRIGHT 2 - 2 - - - - 1 1 - - - 1 1 - 1 - - - 1 - - 1 1 - - 3% - - - - - - - - - 1% 1% - 1% - - - 1% - - 1% 1% LEAN BRANNON 5 1 - - 2 - 2 1 4 - - 3 - 2 - 1 - - 2 2 1 2 2 - 1% 1% - - 2% - 3% - 2% - - 2% - 1% - 1% - - 2% 2% 1% 1% 2% - jkm LEAN BURR 11 - - 4 2 2 3 4 7 - 1 5 3 3 1 3 - - 4 3 3 3 2 3 2% - - 9% 2% 2% 4% 2% 3% - 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 3% - - 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 4% bc bc J j j qr QR qr HARD UNDECIDED 173 24 26 14 30 42 37 75 98 14 19 40 38 61 22 26 26 23 37 38 60 43 48 20 35% 28% 39% 34% 27% 38% 43% 30% 39% 53% 32% 28% 35% 38% 34% 25% 33% 42% 36% 41% 42% 28% 36% 29% e bE H l p p P Vx NAMED OTHER 1 1 - - - - - 1 - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 1 - - 1% - - - - - - - - - - - 1% - - 1% - - - - - 1% - REFUSED 7 1 - - 3 1 2 2 5 - - 1 3 3 - 1 1 - 3 2 - 3 3 1 1% 1% - - 3% 1% 2% 1% 2% - - 1% 3% 2% - 1% 1% - 3% 2% - 2% 2% 2% jk jk or Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C/D/E/F/G H/I J/K/L/M/N O/P/Q/R/S/T U/V/W/X N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C / FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE

CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA GOP PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 2016 If the Republican Primary Election for U.S. Senate were held today, for whom would you vote between: Larry Holmquist, Paul Wright, Greg Brannon, or Richard Burr? BANNER 2 EMPLOYMENT MARITAL PARTY REG PARTY REG/GENDER IDEOLOGY RACE STATUS STATUS INCOME =========== ======================= ============================= =========== ================= =========== ========================= UN- $50K GOP GOP IND IND VERY SMWT AF. FULL RET- EMPL- AND $50K- $100K- TOTAL GOP IND MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN LIB MOD CONS CONS CONS AMER. WHITE TIME IRED OYED MRRD SNGL UNDER $100K $200K $200K+ (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 500 395 105 196 199 54 51 22 90 386 246 139 4 471 256 189 25 371 57 133 136 65 18 100% 79% 21% 39% 40% 11% 10% 4% 18% 77% 49% 28% 1% 94% 51% 38% 5% 74% 11% 27% 27% 13% 4% h h M Uv TOTAL BURR ---------- MAR 5-7, 2016 208 175 33 78 97 23 10 6 38 163 109 54 2 197 100 89 6 166 18 47 57 24 13 42% 44% 32% 40% 49% 42% 20% 29% 42% 42% 44% 39% 50% 42% 39% 47% 23% 45% 31% 36% 42% 37% 71% (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) C G G G oQ TUV JAN 18-19, 2016 226 183 43 97 86 32 11 18 32 173 111 62 7 208 - - - - - - - - - 45% 46% 41% 50% 42% 57% 22% 44% 38% 48% 47% 50% 30% 45% - - - - - - - - - G G eG TOTAL BRANNON ------------- MAR 5-7, 2016 68 47 21 39 8 12 10 1 5 62 46 16 2 63 43 18 2 46 11 15 21 14 1 14% 12% 20% 20% 4% 21% 19% 5% 6% 16% 19% 11% 49% 13% 17% 9% 8% 12% 19% 12% 15% 21% 6% (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (3) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) b E E E HI HIl P W JAN 18-19, 2016 34 26 8 13 13 4 4 1 3 30 25 4 - 32 - - - - - - - - - 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 8% 2% 4% 8% 11% 4% - 7% - - - - - - - - - HL HiL M TOTAL HOLMQUIST --------------- MAR 5-7, 2016 13 7 6 5 2 2 4 5 3 5 3 2 - 13 10 2 1 10 2 4 6 2 - 3% 2% 6% 3% 1% 4% 7% 23% 3% 1% 1% 1% - 3% 4% 1% 4% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% - (3) (3) (3) (3) (4) (3) (3) (2) (3) (4) (4) (4) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (4) (3) (3) (3) IJKL M p w W JAN 18-19, 2016 3 1 2 1 - 2 - - 1 2 1 1 - 3 - - - - - - - - - 1% - 2% - - 3% - - 1% 1% - 1% - 1% - - - - - - - - - TOTAL WRIGHT ------------ MAR 5-7, 2016 8 6 2 4 2 1 1 - 1 7 4 3 - 8 6 2 - 2 4 2 5 - - 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 2% - 1% 2% 2% 2% - 2% 2% 1% - 1% 7% 2% 4% - - (4) (4) (4) (4) (3) (4) (4) (4) (3) (3) (3) (4) (4) (4) (4) (3) (4) (4) H h M Q VW JAN 18-19, 2016 17 15 2 9 7 - 2 - 10 7 4 3 6 11 - - - - - - - - - 3% 4% 2% 4% 3% - 4% - 12% 2% 2% 2% 25% 2% - - - - - - - - - F F HJKL H h h Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C D/E/F/G H/I/J/K/L M/N O/P/Q R/S T/U/V/W N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C / FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE Continued

CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA GOP PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 2016 If the Republican Primary Election for U.S. Senate were held today, for whom would you vote between: Larry Holmquist, Paul Wright, Greg Brannon, or Richard Burr? BANNER 2 EMPLOYMENT MARITAL PARTY REG PARTY REG/GENDER IDEOLOGY RACE STATUS STATUS INCOME =========== ======================= ============================= =========== ================= =========== ========================= UN- $50K GOP GOP IND IND VERY SMWT AF. FULL RET- EMPL- AND $50K- $100K- TOTAL GOP IND MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN LIB MOD CONS CONS CONS AMER. WHITE TIME IRED OYED MRRD SNGL UNDER $100K $200K $200K+ (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ TOTAL LEAN/UNDECIDED -------------------- MAR 5-7, 2016 194 152 42 66 86 17 25 9 42 141 80 61 - 183 92 75 16 139 22 61 48 23 4 39% 39% 40% 34% 43% 31% 50% 43% 47% 37% 33% 44% 1% 39% 36% 40% 64% 37% 39% 46% 35% 35% 24% df df jK K M OP uw JAN 18-19, 2016 212 162 49 71 91 19 30 21 34 146 94 52 11 198 - - - - - - - - - 42% 41% 47% 37% 45% 33% 63% 52% 41% 40% 39% 42% 46% 43% - - - - - - - - - DEF DEFINITELY BURR 145 120 25 52 68 19 6 4 23 116 81 35 2 138 65 71 3 116 12 31 44 17 8 29% 30% 24% 27% 34% 34% 12% 20% 26% 30% 33% 25% 50% 29% 25% 38% 14% 31% 21% 23% 33% 27% 46% G G G OQ t PROBABLY BURR 63 55 8 26 29 4 4 2 15 47 27 19 - 59 35 18 2 50 6 17 13 7 4 13% 14% 8% 13% 14% 8% 8% 9% 16% 12% 11% 14% - 13% 14% 10% 10% 13% 11% 13% 9% 10% 24% c M DEFINITELY BRANNON 50 32 18 25 6 10 9 1 3 46 34 12 2 45 31 12 2 33 8 11 16 10 1 10% 8% 17% 13% 3% 18% 17% 5% 4% 12% 14% 8% 49% 10% 12% 6% 8% 9% 15% 8% 12% 15% 6% B E E E I hI P PROBABLY BRANNON 18 15 3 13 2 2 1 - 2 16 12 4 - 17 13 6 - 13 2 4 4 4 - 4% 4% 3% 7% 1% 4% 2% - 2% 4% 5% 3% - 4% 5% 3% - 3% 4% 3% 3% 6% - Eg H H h M Q Q w W w DEFINITELY HOLMQUIST 8 3 5 1 2 1 4 2 3 3 2 1 - 8 5 2 1 5 2 3 4 - - 2% 1% 5% 1% 1% 2% 7% 9% 3% 1% 1% 1% - 2% 2% 1% 4% 1% 3% 2% 3% - - b d M vw PROBABLY HOLMQUIST 5 4 1 4 - 1 - 3 - 2 1 1 - 5 5 - - 5 - 1 2 2 - 1% 1% 1% 2% - 2% - 15% - 1% - 1% - 1% 2% - - 1% - 1% 1% 4% - eg ijkl M PQ S DEFINITELY WRIGHT 4 2 2 1 1 1 1 - 1 3 3 - - 4 3 1 - 1 1 2 2 - - 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% - 1% 1% 1% - - 1% 1% - - - 1% 2% 1% - - hl hl m PROBABLY WRIGHT 4 4 - 3 1 - - - - 4 1 3 - 4 3 1 - 1 3 - 3 - - 1% 1% - 2% - - - - - 1% - 2% - 1% 1% 1% - - 5% - 2% - - c hi m tvw Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C D/E/F/G H/I/J/K/L M/N O/P/Q R/S T/U/V/W N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C / FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE Continued

CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA GOP PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 2016 If the Republican Primary Election for U.S. Senate were held today, for whom would you vote between: Larry Holmquist, Paul Wright, Greg Brannon, or Richard Burr? BANNER 2 EMPLOYMENT MARITAL PARTY REG PARTY REG/GENDER IDEOLOGY RACE STATUS STATUS INCOME =========== ======================= ============================= =========== ================= =========== ========================= UN- $50K GOP GOP IND IND VERY SMWT AF. FULL RET- EMPL- AND $50K- $100K- TOTAL GOP IND MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN LIB MOD CONS CONS CONS AMER. WHITE TIME IRED OYED MRRD SNGL UNDER $100K $200K $200K+ (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ LEAN HOLMQUIST 3 3 - 2 1 - - - - 3 1 2 - 2 1 1 1 3 - - 2 - - 1% 1% - 1% 1% - - - - 1% - 2% - - - - 5% 1% - - 2% - - c hi s LEAN WRIGHT 2 1 1 1 - - 1 - - 2 2 - - 2 1 1 - 2 - 1 - 1 - - - 1% - - - 2% - - - 1% - - - - - - - - 1% - 1% - LEAN BRANNON 5 4 1 1 3 - 1 1 1 3 2 1 - 5 3 2 - 3 1 2 2 - - 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% - 2% 4% 1% 1% 1% 1% - 1% 1% 1% - 1% 2% 2% 1% - - f M q LEAN BURR 11 9 2 3 6 1 1 2 2 7 5 2 - 11 4 3 2 8 1 3 4 2 - 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 8% 2% 2% 2% 2% - 2% 2% 1% 8% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% - M W HARD UNDECIDED 173 134 38 59 75 16 23 7 39 126 70 56 - 163 83 68 13 122 20 55 39 20 4 35% 34% 36% 30% 38% 29% 45% 31% 43% 33% 28% 40% 1% 35% 32% 36% 51% 33% 36% 41% 29% 31% 24% d jK K M U NAMED OTHER 1 1 - 1 - - - - 1 - - - - 1 - 1 - 1 - - - 1 - - - - 1% - - - - 1% - - - - - - 1% - - - - - 2% - REFUSED 7 6 1 2 4 - 1 - - 7 4 3 - 6 4 2 - 7 - 3 - 1 - 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% - 2% - - 2% 2% 2% - 1% 2% 1% - 2% - 2% - 2% - f I i M s Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C D/E/F/G H/I/J/K/L M/N O/P/Q R/S T/U/V/W N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C / FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE

CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA GOP PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 2016 If the Republican Primary Election for North Carolina Governor were being held today, for whom would you vote between: Pat McCrory, Charles Kenneth Moss, or C. Robert Brawley? BANNER 1 KEY REGIONS GENDER AGE GENDER/AGE EDUCATION =================================== =========== ============================= =================================== ======================= NORTH PIED- WEST- TRI- SOUTH -EAST MONT CHAR- ERN MEN MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN WOMEN HS OR 2 YR 4 YR POST TOTAL ANGLE -EAST NC TRIAD LOTTE NC MEN WOMEN 18-25 26-40 41-55 56-65 66+ 18-44 45-64 65+ 18-44 45-64 65+ LESS COLL COLL GRAD (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) (X) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 500 84 68 42 111 109 86 250 250 26 61 142 107 163 67 103 80 53 102 94 142 153 133 71 100% 17% 14% 8% 22% 22% 17% 50% 50% 5% 12% 28% 21% 33% 13% 21% 16% 11% 20% 19% 28% 31% 27% 14% o W TOTAL MCCRORY ------------- MAR 5-7, 2016 324 56 47 29 71 68 53 165 159 12 42 94 61 115 46 60 59 37 58 64 84 110 83 45 65% 66% 70% 70% 64% 62% 62% 66% 64% 46% 70% 66% 57% 71% 69% 58% 73% 70% 57% 68% 59% 72% 63% 64% (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) M PS U JAN 13-14&16, 2016 316 68 35 26 76 58 52 171 144 14 42 85 70 105 60 58 53 22 64 59 72 92 98 53 63% 76% 54% 70% 70% 50% 63% 68% 58% 53% 71% 60% 63% 64% 71% 63% 73% 62% 57% 58% 66% 60% 62% 70% CFg F cF I st ST TOTAL BRAWLEY ------------- MAR 5-7, 2016 30 4 1 4 3 12 5 21 9 9 4 9 7 2 8 11 2 4 5 - 8 6 10 6 6% 5% 1% 10% 3% 11% 6% 8% 4% 32% 6% 6% 6% 1% 12% 11% 2% 8% 5% - 5% 4% 8% 9% (2) (2) (3) (2) (3) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (3) (3) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) CE I klmN N N qT QT t T JAN 13-14&16, 2016 41 6 6 1 5 12 10 21 20 - 6 21 7 7 7 13 1 2 12 6 9 11 13 8 8% 7% 9% 3% 5% 11% 12% 8% 8% - 10% 15% 7% 4% 8% 14% 1% 5% 11% 6% 8% 7% 8% 10% d d J JMN J J q Qt Q TOTAL MOSS ---------- MAR 5-7, 2016 13 2 1 - 4 3 3 7 7 - - 2 7 4 - 5 2 - 4 3 4 3 3 3 3% 3% 2% - 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% - - 2% 7% 2% - 5% 2% - 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 4% (3) (3) (2) (2) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (2) (2) (3) (3) (3) (2) (3) (3) (3) (3) D JKLn jk OR or or TOTAL LEAN/UNDECIDED -------------------- MAR 5-7, 2016 127 20 18 8 30 26 24 55 72 6 15 36 30 41 12 26 17 12 33 26 46 32 33 16 25% 24% 27% 20% 27% 24% 28% 22% 29% 22% 24% 25% 28% 25% 19% 25% 21% 22% 33% 28% 32% 21% 25% 23% oq V JAN 13-14&16, 2016 140 14 21 10 27 46 22 56 85 13 10 35 33 49 17 22 17 12 36 37 28 48 45 15 28% 16% 33% 27% 25% 39% 26% 22% 34% 47% 18% 25% 30% 30% 20% 23% 24% 33% 33% 36% 25% 32% 29% 20% B BEg H k k K o Op x DEFINITELY MCCRORY 243 43 34 22 53 53 37 123 120 7 26 67 41 101 31 41 51 26 36 58 60 81 68 32 49% 51% 51% 52% 48% 49% 43% 49% 48% 25% 43% 47% 38% 62% 46% 40% 63% 48% 35% 62% 43% 53% 51% 46% JKLM oPS oPS u PROBABLY MCCRORY 82 12 13 7 18 15 16 42 40 5 16 27 20 13 15 19 8 12 22 6 24 28 16 13 16% 15% 19% 18% 16% 14% 19% 17% 16% 20% 27% 19% 19% 8% 23% 18% 10% 22% 22% 6% 17% 19% 12% 19% N N N qT qT T QT Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C/D/E/F/G H/I J/K/L/M/N O/P/Q/R/S/T U/V/W/X N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C / FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE Continued

CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA GOP PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 2016 If the Republican Primary Election for North Carolina Governor were being held today, for whom would you vote between: Pat McCrory, Charles Kenneth Moss, or C. Robert Brawley? BANNER 1 KEY REGIONS GENDER AGE GENDER/AGE EDUCATION =================================== =========== ============================= =================================== ======================= NORTH PIED- WEST- TRI- SOUTH -EAST MONT CHAR- ERN MEN MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN WOMEN HS OR 2 YR 4 YR POST TOTAL ANGLE -EAST NC TRIAD LOTTE NC MEN WOMEN 18-25 26-40 41-55 56-65 66+ 18-44 45-64 65+ 18-44 45-64 65+ LESS COLL COLL GRAD (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) (X) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- DEFINITELY BRAWLEY 20 - - 4 2 11 2 13 7 6 4 6 4 1 5 7 1 4 3 - 4 5 8 3 4% - - 10% 2% 10% 3% 5% 3% 21% 6% 4% 4% 1% 8% 6% 1% 8% 3% - 3% 3% 6% 4% bc BCEG n n t qT t t PROBABLY BRAWLEY 10 4 1 - 1 1 3 8 2 3 - 4 3 1 3 4 1 - 2 - 4 1 2 3 2% 5% 1% - 1% 1% 3% 3% 1% 11% - 2% 3% 1% 4% 4% 1% - 2% - 3% 1% 2% 4% d i k k RT DEFINITELY MOSS 6 1 1 - 2 1 1 2 4 - - 1 3 2 - 1 1 - 2 2 3 1 1 1 1% 1% 2% - 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% - - 1% 3% 1% - 1% 1% - 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 2% jk PROBABLY MOSS 8 1 - - 3 2 2 5 3 - - 1 5 2 - 4 1 - 2 1 2 2 2 2 2% 1% - - 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% - - 1% 4% 1% - 4% 1% - 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 3% JKl OR LEAN MCCRORY 14 2 1 1 5 5 - 10 4 - 1 3 6 4 1 8 1 - 1 3 2 5 5 2 3% 3% 1% 2% 4% 5% - 4% 2% - 2% 2% 5% 2% 2% 7% 1% - 1% 3% 1% 3% 4% 3% G G J J oQRS r LEAN MOSS 3 1 - - - - 2 1 2 - - 2 - 1 - - 1 - 2 - 1 - 2 - 1% 1% - - - - 3% - 1% - - 2% - 1% - - 1% - 2% - 1% - 2% - LEAN BRAWLEY 1 - - - - - 1 1 - - 1 - - - 1 - - - - - - - 1 - - - - - - - 1% - - - 2% - - - 2% - - - - - - - 1% - HARD UNDECIDED 109 17 17 7 26 21 21 43 66 6 12 30 24 36 10 18 15 12 30 24 42 27 25 14 22% 20% 26% 18% 23% 19% 24% 17% 26% 22% 20% 21% 23% 22% 15% 17% 19% 22% 30% 25% 30% 18% 19% 20% H OPq VW REFUSED 5 2 - - 2 - 1 2 3 - - 1 2 2 - 1 1 - 2 1 - 2 3 - 1% 3% - - 2% - 1% 1% 1% - - 1% 2% 1% - 1% 1% - 2% 1% - 1% 2% - x Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C/D/E/F/G H/I J/K/L/M/N O/P/Q/R/S/T U/V/W/X N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C / FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE

CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA GOP PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 2016 If the Republican Primary Election for North Carolina Governor were being held today, for whom would you vote between: Pat McCrory, Charles Kenneth Moss, or C. Robert Brawley? BANNER 2 EMPLOYMENT MARITAL PARTY REG PARTY REG/GENDER IDEOLOGY RACE STATUS STATUS INCOME =========== ======================= ============================= =========== ================= =========== ========================= UN- $50K GOP GOP IND IND VERY SMWT AF. FULL RET- EMPL- AND $50K- $100K- TOTAL GOP IND MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN LIB MOD CONS CONS CONS AMER. WHITE TIME IRED OYED MRRD SNGL UNDER $100K $200K $200K+ (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 500 395 105 196 199 54 51 22 90 386 246 139 4 471 256 189 25 371 57 133 136 65 18 100% 79% 21% 39% 40% 11% 10% 4% 18% 77% 49% 28% 1% 94% 51% 38% 5% 74% 11% 27% 27% 13% 4% h h M Uv TOTAL MCCRORY ------------- MAR 5-7, 2016 324 258 66 128 130 37 29 15 54 253 172 81 4 306 159 138 13 238 34 81 98 42 11 65% 65% 63% 65% 65% 68% 57% 69% 60% 66% 70% 58% 100% 65% 62% 73% 50% 64% 59% 61% 72% 64% 58% (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) L N Oq t JAN 13-14&16, 2016 316 256 59 137 119 34 25 11 42 259 167 92 5 296 157 126 13 236 32 57 102 54 8 63% 65% 56% 73% 57% 54% 60% 39% 48% 69% 68% 70% 54% 64% 62% 66% 65% 63% 59% 57% 67% 71% 42% EF HI HI HI w tw TOTAL BRAWLEY ------------- MAR 5-7, 2016 30 23 7 18 5 3 4 2 6 22 10 12 - 29 21 3 2 18 10 5 10 2 1 6% 6% 7% 9% 3% 6% 8% 9% 7% 6% 4% 9% - 6% 8% 2% 9% 5% 18% 3% 7% 3% 6% (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (3) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (3) (2) E M P r JAN 13-14&16, 2016 41 26 15 10 16 11 4 5 15 20 16 4 3 35 29 8 2 35 3 9 12 7 1 8% 7% 14% 6% 8% 17% 9% 18% 17% 5% 6% 3% 34% 7% 11% 4% 9% 9% 5% 9% 8% 9% 5% b De JKL P TOTAL MOSS ---------- MAR 5-7, 2016 13 7 6 4 3 3 4 - 6 8 5 3 - 13 9 4 1 10 1 4 1 5 - 3% 2% 6% 2% 2% 5% 7% - 6% 2% 2% 2% - 3% 3% 2% 4% 3% 1% 3% 1% 8% - (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (2) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (2) H H H M w UW TOTAL LEAN/UNDECIDED -------------------- MAR 5-7, 2016 127 103 24 44 59 12 13 5 23 99 58 41 - 117 65 42 9 100 12 41 27 14 7 25% 26% 23% 22% 30% 21% 25% 22% 25% 26% 24% 30% - 25% 25% 23% 37% 27% 21% 31% 20% 22% 36% M u JAN 13-14&16, 2016 140 110 30 39 72 17 13 11 31 95 62 34 1 132 66 56 4 101 20 34 38 15 10 28% 28% 29% 21% 34% 27% 31% 38% 36% 25% 25% 26% 12% 28% 26% 29% 21% 27% 36% 33% 25% 20% 52% D j v uV DEFINITELY MCCRORY 243 189 53 93 97 30 23 12 36 193 134 58 4 227 110 114 9 183 22 49 75 33 10 49% 48% 51% 47% 48% 55% 45% 55% 40% 50% 55% 42% 100% 48% 43% 60% 36% 49% 38% 37% 55% 51% 53% IL N OQ T t PROBABLY MCCRORY 82 69 13 35 34 7 6 3 18 60 37 23 - 80 49 24 4 55 12 32 23 9 1 16% 17% 13% 18% 17% 13% 12% 13% 20% 16% 15% 16% - 17% 19% 12% 14% 15% 21% 24% 17% 13% 5% M p vW w Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C D/E/F/G H/I/J/K/L M/N O/P/Q R/S T/U/V/W N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C / FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE Continued

CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA GOP PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 2016 If the Republican Primary Election for North Carolina Governor were being held today, for whom would you vote between: Pat McCrory, Charles Kenneth Moss, or C. Robert Brawley? BANNER 2 EMPLOYMENT MARITAL PARTY REG PARTY REG/GENDER IDEOLOGY RACE STATUS STATUS INCOME =========== ======================= ============================= =========== ================= =========== ========================= UN- $50K GOP GOP IND IND VERY SMWT AF. FULL RET- EMPL- AND $50K- $100K- TOTAL GOP IND MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN LIB MOD CONS CONS CONS AMER. WHITE TIME IRED OYED MRRD SNGL UNDER $100K $200K $200K+ (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ DEFINITELY BRAWLEY 20 12 7 9 3 3 4 1 4 14 8 7 - 20 14 2 - 12 7 4 4 2 1 4% 3% 7% 5% 2% 6% 8% 5% 5% 4% 3% 5% - 4% 6% 1% - 3% 12% 3% 3% 3% 6% e M PQ PROBABLY BRAWLEY 10 10 - 8 2 - - 1 2 7 2 5 - 9 7 1 2 6 3 1 6 - - 2% 3% - 4% 1% - - 4% 2% 2% 1% 4% - 2% 3% - 9% 2% 5% 1% 4% - - C eFG M p tVW DEFINITELY MOSS 6 3 3 1 2 1 2 - 1 5 3 2 - 6 3 3 - 4 - 1 1 1 - 1% 1% 3% - 1% 2% 4% - 1% 1% 1% 1% - 1% 1% 1% - 1% - 1% 1% 2% - H M q s PROBABLY MOSS 8 4 4 3 1 2 2 - 5 3 2 1 - 8 6 1 1 6 1 3 - 4 - 2% 1% 3% 2% - 3% 4% - 5% 1% 1% 1% - 2% 2% - 4% 2% 1% 2% - 6% - Hjkl M uw LEAN MCCRORY 14 13 1 9 4 1 - 2 1 11 8 3 - 14 9 3 1 11 - 4 4 2 1 3% 3% 1% 4% 2% 2% - 8% 1% 3% 3% 2% - 3% 3% 2% 4% 3% - 3% 3% 3% 7% G g M S LEAN MOSS 3 2 1 1 1 - 1 - 2 1 - 1 - 3 2 1 - 2 1 1 1 1 - 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% - 2% - 2% - - 1% - 1% 1% 1% - 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% - m LEAN BRAWLEY 1 1 - 1 - - - - - 1 1 - - 1 1 - - 1 - 1 - - - - - - 1% - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 1% - - - HARD UNDECIDED 109 87 22 33 54 10 12 3 19 86 49 37 - 99 53 39 8 86 11 35 23 11 5 22% 22% 21% 17% 27% 19% 23% 13% 22% 22% 20% 27% - 21% 21% 20% 33% 23% 19% 27% 17% 17% 30% D M u REFUSED 5 4 1 2 2 - 1 - 1 4 2 2 - 5 2 2 - 5 - 2 - 2 - 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% - 2% - 1% 1% 1% 1% - 1% 1% 1% - 1% - 2% - 3% - M Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C D/E/F/G H/I/J/K/L M/N O/P/Q R/S T/U/V/W N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C / FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE

CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA GOP PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 2016 If the Republican Primary Election for Secretary of State were being held today, for whom would you vote between: Michael LaPaglia or A.J. Daoud? BANNER 1 KEY REGIONS GENDER AGE GENDER/AGE EDUCATION =================================== =========== ============================= =================================== ======================= NORTH PIED- WEST- TRI- SOUTH -EAST MONT CHAR- ERN MEN MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN WOMEN HS OR 2 YR 4 YR POST TOTAL ANGLE -EAST NC TRIAD LOTTE NC MEN WOMEN 18-25 26-40 41-55 56-65 66+ 18-44 45-64 65+ 18-44 45-64 65+ LESS COLL COLL GRAD (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) (X) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 500 84 68 42 111 109 86 250 250 26 61 142 107 163 67 103 80 53 102 94 142 153 133 71 100% 17% 14% 8% 22% 22% 17% 50% 50% 5% 12% 28% 21% 33% 13% 21% 16% 11% 20% 19% 28% 31% 27% 14% o W **D/S (LAPAGLIA - DAOUD) 3 -1 -6 -1 6 3 1 3 - -6 3 - - 6 -4 4 3 -1 - 2 4 -4 -1 3 1% -1% -8% -3% 5% 3% 1% 1% - -22% 5% - - 4% -6% 4% 3% -2% - 2% 3% -3% -1% 5% C BCD BCD BC LM ORS ORS Ors VW VW TOTAL LAPAGLIA -------------- MAR 5-7, 2016 62 13 8 4 15 12 11 32 30 - 12 18 15 17 8 17 7 9 12 10 18 17 16 11 12% 15% 12% 9% 13% 11% 13% 13% 12% - 19% 13% 14% 10% 12% 16% 9% 16% 12% 10% 13% 11% 12% 16% J J J J JAN 13-14&16, 2016 29 9 2 1 8 6 3 15 14 4 3 11 5 6 10 4 1 1 7 6 3 10 12 3 6% 10% 3% 3% 7% 5% 4% 6% 5% 16% 4% 8% 5% 4% 12% 4% 2% 2% 6% 6% 3% 7% 8% 4% c Qr u TOTAL DAOUD ----------- MAR 5-7, 2016 59 13 14 5 9 9 10 29 30 6 9 18 15 11 12 12 5 10 12 8 14 21 17 8 12% 16% 20% 12% 8% 8% 12% 12% 12% 22% 15% 13% 14% 7% 18% 12% 6% 18% 12% 8% 10% 14% 13% 11% EF n N q q JAN 13-14&16, 2016 35 3 3 5 10 9 5 23 12 3 1 12 7 12 3 12 9 5 4 3 8 14 9 5 7% 3% 5% 15% 9% 8% 6% 9% 5% 11% 1% 9% 7% 7% 3% 13% 12% 14% 4% 3% 7% 9% 6% 7% b i K k K OST osT ot TOTAL LEAN/UNDECIDED -------------------- MAR 5-7, 2016 351 54 45 29 79 81 64 170 181 20 39 93 71 128 43 64 63 34 72 75 107 102 94 47 70% 64% 67% 68% 71% 74% 74% 68% 73% 78% 64% 65% 66% 79% 65% 62% 79% 64% 71% 80% 75% 67% 71% 67% KLM oP oPr JAN 13-14&16, 2016 425 76 56 31 89 101 73 205 219 19 56 117 95 138 72 75 58 29 100 90 97 124 132 66 85% 85% 87% 82% 82% 86% 87% 82% 88% 73% 94% 83% 86% 84% 85% 81% 80% 84% 89% 88% 88% 81% 84% 88% h LmN DEFINITELY LAPAGLIA 32 8 4 3 9 5 4 13 19 - 4 9 9 11 1 10 2 5 5 9 10 5 11 7 6% 9% 6% 7% 8% 4% 4% 5% 8% - 6% 6% 8% 6% 2% 10% 2% 10% 5% 9% 7% 3% 8% 10% j J J J OQ OQ v v PROBABLY LAPAGLIA 30 5 4 1 6 7 7 19 12 - 8 9 7 6 7 6 6 3 7 1 8 12 6 4 6% 6% 6% 3% 5% 7% 8% 8% 5% - 13% 6% 6% 4% 10% 6% 7% 6% 7% 1% 6% 8% 4% 5% Jn J J J T t T T LEAN LAPAGLIA 4 - - - - 2 2 3 1 - 2 1 - 1 2 - 1 1 - - 1 - - 3 1% - - - - 2% 3% 1% - - 4% 1% - 1% 3% - 1% 2% - - 1% - - 5% vw UNDECIDED 332 54 44 27 71 77 59 159 174 18 31 88 70 126 35 63 60 30 69 75 101 102 86 43 66% 64% 65% 65% 64% 70% 69% 63% 69% 68% 51% 62% 65% 77% 53% 61% 75% 56% 67% 80% 71% 67% 65% 60% k KLM OPr OPRS Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C/D/E/F/G H/I J/K/L/M/N O/P/Q/R/S/T U/V/W/X N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C / FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE Continued

CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA GOP PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 2016 If the Republican Primary Election for Secretary of State were being held today, for whom would you vote between: Michael LaPaglia or A.J. Daoud? BANNER 1 KEY REGIONS GENDER AGE GENDER/AGE EDUCATION =================================== =========== ============================= =================================== ======================= NORTH PIED- WEST- TRI- SOUTH -EAST MONT CHAR- ERN MEN MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN WOMEN HS OR 2 YR 4 YR POST TOTAL ANGLE -EAST NC TRIAD LOTTE NC MEN WOMEN 18-25 26-40 41-55 56-65 66+ 18-44 45-64 65+ 18-44 45-64 65+ LESS COLL COLL GRAD (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) (X) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- LEAN DAOUD 15 - 1 1 8 2 2 8 7 3 6 4 1 2 6 1 2 3 4 - 5 1 8 1 3% - 2% 3% 8% 2% 2% 3% 3% 10% 9% 3% 1% 1% 8% 1% 2% 5% 4% - 3% 1% 6% 2% Bcfg MN pT t V PROBABLY DAOUD 30 8 6 2 4 3 7 16 14 6 2 8 7 7 8 5 4 5 4 5 9 12 7 2 6% 10% 9% 4% 3% 3% 8% 7% 5% 22% 4% 6% 7% 4% 11% 5% 5% 10% 4% 5% 6% 8% 6% 3% f DEFINITELY DAOUD 29 5 7 3 5 6 3 13 16 - 7 10 8 4 5 8 1 5 8 3 5 9 10 6 6% 6% 11% 8% 5% 5% 3% 5% 7% - 11% 7% 7% 3% 7% 7% 1% 9% 8% 3% 4% 6% 7% 8% g Jn Jn Jn J Q Q REFUSED 27 5 1 5 8 7 1 19 8 - 1 13 6 7 3 10 5 1 5 2 4 13 6 4 5% 6% 2% 11% 7% 7% 1% 7% 3% - 2% 9% 6% 4% 5% 10% 6% 2% 5% 2% 3% 9% 4% 6% cg cG cg i JK J J RT U Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C/D/E/F/G H/I J/K/L/M/N O/P/Q/R/S/T U/V/W/X N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C / FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE

CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA GOP PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 2016 If the Republican Primary Election for Secretary of State were being held today, for whom would you vote between: Michael LaPaglia or A.J. Daoud? BANNER 2 EMPLOYMENT MARITAL PARTY REG PARTY REG/GENDER IDEOLOGY RACE STATUS STATUS INCOME =========== ======================= ============================= =========== ================= =========== ========================= UN- $50K GOP GOP IND IND VERY SMWT AF. FULL RET- EMPL- AND $50K- $100K- TOTAL GOP IND MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN LIB MOD CONS CONS CONS AMER. WHITE TIME IRED OYED MRRD SNGL UNDER $100K $200K $200K+ (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 500 395 105 196 199 54 51 22 90 386 246 139 4 471 256 189 25 371 57 133 136 65 18 100% 79% 21% 39% 40% 11% 10% 4% 18% 77% 49% 28% 1% 94% 51% 38% 5% 74% 11% 27% 27% 13% 4% h h M Uv **D/S (LAPAGLIA - DAOUD) 3 -4 7 -1 -4 3 4 -1 5 - -4 4 - 3 -8 5 3 -5 1 7 1 1 -2 1% -1% 7% - -2% 6% 8% -5% 6% - -2% 3% -3% 1% -3% 3% 11% -1% 1% 5% - 1% -14% B dE dE HJK k jK O o UW TOTAL LAPAGLIA -------------- MAR 5-7, 2016 62 43 19 23 20 10 10 5 15 42 24 18 1 58 32 22 4 42 7 21 20 8 2 12% 11% 18% 12% 10% 18% 19% 23% 17% 11% 10% 13% 23% 12% 12% 12% 15% 11% 12% 16% 15% 13% 12% b k JAN 13-14&16, 2016 29 23 6 12 11 3 3 2 6 20 13 7 - 27 13 7 4 20 7 4 7 5 4 6% 6% 6% 7% 5% 5% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% - 6% 5% 4% 21% 5% 14% 4% 5% 7% 19% M p TOTAL DAOUD ----------- MAR 5-7, 2016 59 47 12 23 24 6 6 6 10 42 28 15 1 55 40 17 1 46 6 14 19 8 5 12% 12% 12% 12% 12% 11% 12% 27% 11% 11% 11% 11% 27% 12% 16% 9% 4% 12% 10% 11% 14% 12% 26% jkl PQ JAN 13-14&16, 2016 35 29 7 20 9 3 4 3 4 28 15 13 - 32 21 13 1 25 5 9 13 7 1 7% 7% 6% 11% 4% 5% 9% 12% 5% 7% 6% 10% - 7% 8% 7% 5% 7% 9% 9% 8% 10% 5% E M TOTAL LEAN/UNDECIDED -------------------- MAR 5-7, 2016 351 282 69 133 148 36 33 10 57 282 183 99 1 332 169 141 19 257 43 90 89 42 11 70% 71% 66% 68% 74% 67% 65% 46% 64% 73% 74% 71% 21% 70% 66% 75% 76% 69% 76% 68% 65% 64% 63% Hi Hi H M O JAN 13-14&16, 2016 425 335 89 150 185 55 34 21 74 323 212 111 9 396 216 166 13 321 42 85 127 64 14 85% 85% 85% 80% 89% 87% 82% 77% 85% 86% 86% 84% 100% 85% 86% 87% 63% 85% 78% 84% 83% 84% 76% D N q Q DEFINITELY LAPAGLIA 32 18 14 9 9 4 10 3 7 22 13 8 - 31 14 15 2 21 4 9 10 4 2 6% 5% 13% 5% 5% 8% 19% 14% 8% 6% 5% 6% - 7% 6% 8% 8% 6% 8% 7% 8% 7% 12% B DE M PROBABLY LAPAGLIA 30 25 5 14 11 5 - 2 8 20 10 10 1 27 17 8 2 21 2 12 9 4 - 6% 6% 5% 7% 6% 10% - 9% 9% 5% 4% 7% 23% 6% 7% 4% 8% 6% 4% 9% 7% 6% - G G G W W W LEAN LAPAGLIA 4 3 1 2 1 1 - - 1 3 1 2 - 3 4 - - 3 1 - 1 - 1 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% - - 1% 1% - 2% - 1% 2% - - 1% 2% - 1% - 6% h m pq Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C D/E/F/G H/I/J/K/L M/N O/P/Q R/S T/U/V/W N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C / FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE Continued

CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA GOP PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 2016 If the Republican Primary Election for Secretary of State were being held today, for whom would you vote between: Michael LaPaglia or A.J. Daoud? BANNER 2 EMPLOYMENT MARITAL PARTY REG PARTY REG/GENDER IDEOLOGY RACE STATUS STATUS INCOME =========== ======================= ============================= =========== ================= =========== ========================= UN- $50K GOP GOP IND IND VERY SMWT AF. FULL RET- EMPL- AND $50K- $100K- TOTAL GOP IND MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN LIB MOD CONS CONS CONS AMER. WHITE TIME IRED OYED MRRD SNGL UNDER $100K $200K $200K+ (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ UNDECIDED 332 266 66 124 143 35 31 10 53 267 177 90 1 314 155 140 15 244 39 86 83 39 9 66% 67% 62% 63% 72% 64% 61% 46% 59% 69% 72% 65% 21% 67% 61% 74% 61% 66% 68% 65% 61% 60% 50% d Hi HI M O LEAN DAOUD 15 12 3 7 5 1 2 - 3 12 5 7 - 15 9 1 4 10 3 4 5 2 1 3% 3% 3% 4% 2% 1% 4% - 3% 3% 2% 5% - 3% 4% - 15% 3% 6% 3% 4% 3% 6% h H H H M P p PROBABLY DAOUD 30 24 6 13 11 3 3 4 6 20 11 9 1 28 20 8 - 20 6 7 10 2 1 6% 6% 5% 7% 6% 5% 5% 17% 7% 5% 4% 7% 27% 6% 8% 4% - 5% 10% 5% 7% 3% 5% Q Q DEFINITELY DAOUD 29 23 7 10 13 3 3 2 4 22 16 6 - 27 20 8 1 26 - 8 9 5 4 6% 6% 6% 5% 7% 6% 7% 11% 5% 6% 7% 4% - 6% 8% 4% 4% 7% - 6% 7% 8% 20% M S REFUSED 27 23 4 17 6 2 2 1 7 19 12 7 1 26 15 8 1 26 1 7 8 8 - 5% 6% 4% 8% 3% 4% 4% 4% 8% 5% 5% 5% 29% 5% 6% 4% 4% 7% 2% 5% 6% 12% - E s W W W Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C D/E/F/G H/I/J/K/L M/N O/P/Q R/S T/U/V/W N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C / FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE

CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA GOP PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 2016 If the Republican Primary Election for Attorney General were being held today, for whom would you vote between: Buck Newton or Jim O'Neill? BANNER 1 KEY REGIONS GENDER AGE GENDER/AGE EDUCATION =================================== =========== ============================= =================================== ======================= NORTH PIED- WEST- TRI- SOUTH -EAST MONT CHAR- ERN MEN MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN WOMEN HS OR 2 YR 4 YR POST TOTAL ANGLE -EAST NC TRIAD LOTTE NC MEN WOMEN 18-25 26-40 41-55 56-65 66+ 18-44 45-64 65+ 18-44 45-64 65+ LESS COLL COLL GRAD (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) (X) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 500 84 68 42 111 109 86 250 250 26 61 142 107 163 67 103 80 53 102 94 142 153 133 71 100% 17% 14% 8% 22% 22% 17% 50% 50% 5% 12% 28% 21% 33% 13% 21% 16% 11% 20% 19% 28% 31% 27% 14% o W **D/S (NEWTON - O'NEILL) 3 6 -1 12 -10 6 -9 10 -7 -3 4 -2 1 3 6 -3 8 -3 -2 -2 -3 11 -1 -4 1% 7% -2% 29% -9% 5% -11% 4% -3% -11% 6% -1% 1% 2% 9% -3% 10% -5% -2% -2% -2% 7% -1% -6% CEG EG BCEFG CEG I L L L PRST PRST UWX TOTAL NEWTON ------------ MAR 5-7, 2016 108 24 15 13 25 25 7 65 43 3 18 28 24 35 20 22 23 9 17 17 25 40 31 11 22% 28% 23% 31% 22% 23% 8% 26% 17% 11% 29% 19% 23% 22% 31% 22% 28% 18% 16% 18% 17% 26% 24% 15% G G G G G I s st ux JAN 13-14&16, 2016 26 5 - 6 6 4 5 18 8 1 4 7 3 11 5 4 9 3 2 3 3 10 9 4 5% 6% - 15% 6% 3% 6% 7% 3% 3% 6% 5% 3% 7% 6% 4% 12% 8% 2% 3% 2% 7% 6% 5% C Cf C c C i pST u TOTAL O'NEILL ------------- MAR 5-7, 2016 105 17 17 1 34 19 16 55 50 6 14 30 24 32 14 26 15 12 19 19 27 30 33 15 21% 21% 24% 3% 31% 18% 19% 22% 20% 22% 23% 21% 22% 20% 22% 25% 19% 23% 18% 20% 19% 19% 25% 21% D D DFg D D JAN 13-14&16, 2016 82 13 10 6 32 15 5 45 37 4 11 24 21 22 13 19 12 8 17 13 23 22 23 14 16% 15% 16% 17% 30% 13% 5% 18% 15% 16% 19% 17% 19% 13% 16% 21% 17% 22% 15% 12% 21% 14% 15% 19% g g g BCdFG g TOTAL LEAN/UNDECIDED -------------------- MAR 5-7, 2016 269 41 36 24 48 58 61 121 148 18 29 79 53 89 30 50 41 32 62 54 86 77 61 44 54% 49% 53% 58% 43% 53% 71% 48% 59% 67% 48% 56% 50% 55% 45% 49% 51% 60% 60% 58% 61% 50% 46% 62% BCEF H o vW W JAN 13-14&16, 2016 386 68 52 25 69 97 74 183 203 22 45 107 85 128 66 68 49 25 92 86 83 118 123 57 77% 76% 82% 68% 64% 83% 88% 73% 81% 81% 75% 76% 77% 78% 78% 73% 68% 71% 82% 83% 76% 77% 78% 75% e E dE BDE h Q Q DEFINITELY NEWTON 66 16 12 10 14 14 1 38 28 3 8 20 13 23 13 13 13 6 9 13 13 27 20 7 13% 19% 18% 23% 12% 13% 1% 15% 11% 11% 12% 14% 12% 14% 19% 12% 16% 12% 9% 14% 9% 18% 15% 9% G G G G G Ux PROBABLY NEWTON 42 8 3 3 11 11 5 27 15 - 10 8 11 12 8 10 9 3 7 4 12 14 11 4 8% 9% 5% 8% 10% 10% 6% 11% 6% - 16% 6% 10% 8% 12% 9% 12% 6% 7% 4% 8% 9% 9% 6% i Jl J J J t LEAN NEWTON 11 2 1 3 - 4 1 4 7 - 3 5 1 3 1 1 2 3 3 1 2 2 4 2 2% 3% 2% 6% - 4% 1% 2% 3% - 4% 3% 1% 2% 2% 1% 2% 5% 3% 1% 2% 1% 3% 3% E J j UNDECIDED 246 37 35 22 45 52 56 109 137 18 25 68 52 83 27 46 36 29 55 52 81 73 52 40 49% 44% 51% 52% 40% 47% 65% 44% 55% 67% 41% 48% 49% 51% 40% 45% 45% 54% 54% 56% 57% 48% 39% 56% BEF H o o W W Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C/D/E/F/G H/I J/K/L/M/N O/P/Q/R/S/T U/V/W/X N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C / FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE Continued

CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA GOP PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 2016 If the Republican Primary Election for Attorney General were being held today, for whom would you vote between: Buck Newton or Jim O'Neill? BANNER 1 KEY REGIONS GENDER AGE GENDER/AGE EDUCATION =================================== =========== ============================= =================================== ======================= NORTH PIED- WEST- TRI- SOUTH -EAST MONT CHAR- ERN MEN MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN WOMEN HS OR 2 YR 4 YR POST TOTAL ANGLE -EAST NC TRIAD LOTTE NC MEN WOMEN 18-25 26-40 41-55 56-65 66+ 18-44 45-64 65+ 18-44 45-64 65+ LESS COLL COLL GRAD (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) (X) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- LEAN O'NEILL 12 1 - - 4 2 5 8 4 - 2 6 - 3 2 3 2 - 3 1 3 2 6 2 2% 2% - - 3% 2% 5% 3% 2% - 3% 5% - 2% 3% 3% 3% - 3% 1% 2% 1% 4% 3% cd CD JM jm r r PROBABLY O'NEILL 61 13 11 1 16 9 11 34 28 3 10 17 14 17 12 12 9 4 13 10 16 20 16 9 12% 15% 17% 3% 14% 8% 13% 13% 11% 11% 17% 12% 13% 10% 18% 12% 12% 8% 13% 10% 12% 13% 12% 13% D D D D DEFINITELY O'NEILL 44 4 5 - 18 11 5 21 22 3 4 12 10 15 2 13 6 8 5 9 11 9 17 6 9% 5% 8% - 17% 10% 6% 9% 9% 11% 6% 9% 9% 9% 4% 13% 7% 14% 5% 10% 8% 6% 13% 9% d D BcDG D D Os v REFUSED 18 2 - 3 4 6 2 9 9 - - 6 6 6 2 5 2 - 5 4 4 6 7 1 4% 3% - 8% 3% 6% 2% 3% 4% - - 4% 6% 4% 3% 4% 2% - 5% 4% 3% 4% 5% 2% c c C JK JK JK R R R Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C/D/E/F/G H/I J/K/L/M/N O/P/Q/R/S/T U/V/W/X N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C / FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE

CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA GOP PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 2016 If the Republican Primary Election for Attorney General were being held today, for whom would you vote between: Buck Newton or Jim O'Neill? BANNER 2 EMPLOYMENT MARITAL PARTY REG PARTY REG/GENDER IDEOLOGY RACE STATUS STATUS INCOME =========== ======================= ============================= =========== ================= =========== ========================= UN- $50K GOP GOP IND IND VERY SMWT AF. FULL RET- EMPL- AND $50K- $100K- TOTAL GOP IND MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN LIB MOD CONS CONS CONS AMER. WHITE TIME IRED OYED MRRD SNGL UNDER $100K $200K $200K+ (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 500 395 105 196 199 54 51 22 90 386 246 139 4 471 256 189 25 371 57 133 136 65 18 100% 79% 21% 39% 40% 11% 10% 4% 18% 77% 49% 28% 1% 94% 51% 38% 5% 74% 11% 27% 27% 13% 4% h h M Uv **D/S (NEWTON - O'NEILL) 3 -1 4 4 -5 6 -2 -4 -10 18 15 3 4 -2 -1 -3 4 9 -6 -4 - 1 -1 1% - 4% 2% -3% 11% -3% -20% -12% 5% 6% 2% 99% - - -1% 16% 2% -11% -3% - 2% -6% B EG DEG HI HIl HI N oP S t T TOTAL NEWTON ------------ MAR 5-7, 2016 108 84 24 50 34 15 9 4 13 91 58 32 4 98 56 39 6 85 6 25 29 15 4 22% 21% 23% 25% 17% 28% 18% 18% 15% 23% 24% 23% 99% 21% 22% 21% 25% 23% 11% 19% 22% 23% 24% e e i i N S JAN 13-14&16, 2016 26 22 4 16 6 2 2 3 1 21 15 7 - 24 14 11 - 16 2 8 5 1 1 5% 6% 4% 9% 3% 3% 4% 11% 1% 6% 6% 5% - 5% 6% 6% - 4% 3% 8% 3% 1% 6% E I I M Q Q V TOTAL O'NEILL ------------- MAR 5-7, 2016 105 85 20 46 39 9 11 8 24 73 43 29 - 100 57 41 2 76 12 28 29 14 5 21% 21% 19% 23% 20% 17% 21% 38% 27% 19% 18% 21% - 21% 22% 22% 8% 21% 22% 21% 21% 21% 29% jk k M q q JAN 13-14&16, 2016 82 61 21 32 29 13 8 4 13 64 43 20 - 76 47 28 3 62 12 14 29 16 2 16% 15% 20% 17% 14% 20% 20% 14% 15% 17% 18% 15% - 16% 19% 14% 15% 17% 21% 14% 19% 21% 12% M TOTAL LEAN/UNDECIDED -------------------- MAR 5-7, 2016 269 212 57 92 120 29 28 9 48 210 137 73 - 256 135 100 16 192 38 73 73 33 9 54% 54% 55% 47% 60% 53% 56% 40% 54% 54% 55% 53% 1% 54% 53% 53% 63% 52% 67% 55% 54% 51% 47% D M r JAN 13-14&16, 2016 386 306 80 135 171 48 32 19 72 287 184 104 9 360 190 148 17 293 40 78 117 59 15 77% 77% 76% 72% 82% 77% 76% 70% 82% 76% 75% 79% 100% 77% 75% 77% 85% 78% 74% 78% 77% 78% 82% D N DEFINITELY NEWTON 66 48 19 27 21 12 7 3 5 58 38 21 3 59 34 25 3 54 5 14 16 11 3 13% 12% 18% 14% 11% 21% 14% 13% 6% 15% 15% 15% 76% 13% 13% 13% 12% 15% 9% 11% 11% 17% 19% e I I I N PROBABLY NEWTON 42 36 6 23 12 4 2 1 8 32 20 12 1 38 23 13 3 32 1 11 14 4 1 8% 9% 6% 12% 6% 7% 4% 5% 9% 8% 8% 8% 23% 8% 9% 7% 12% 8% 2% 8% 10% 6% 5% eg S LEAN NEWTON 11 8 4 4 4 - 4 - 1 10 5 5 - 11 8 1 1 10 2 3 5 1 1 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% - 7% - 1% 3% 2% 3% - 2% 3% 1% 5% 3% 3% 2% 4% 2% 6% f f f H H H M p Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C D/E/F/G H/I/J/K/L M/N O/P/Q R/S T/U/V/W N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C / FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE Continued

CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA GOP PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 2016 If the Republican Primary Election for Attorney General were being held today, for whom would you vote between: Buck Newton or Jim O'Neill? BANNER 2 EMPLOYMENT MARITAL PARTY REG PARTY REG/GENDER IDEOLOGY RACE STATUS STATUS INCOME =========== ======================= ============================= =========== ================= =========== ========================= UN- $50K GOP GOP IND IND VERY SMWT AF. FULL RET- EMPL- AND $50K- $100K- TOTAL GOP IND MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN LIB MOD CONS CONS CONS AMER. WHITE TIME IRED OYED MRRD SNGL UNDER $100K $200K $200K+ (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ UNDECIDED 246 194 52 82 112 27 25 8 44 192 128 63 - 234 119 99 13 173 35 69 62 31 7 49% 49% 49% 42% 56% 50% 49% 36% 49% 50% 52% 45% 1% 50% 47% 52% 53% 47% 61% 52% 46% 47% 41% D M r LEAN O'NEILL 12 10 2 6 4 2 - 1 3 8 3 5 - 11 8 1 1 9 2 1 6 1 - 2% 3% 2% 3% 2% 3% - 4% 3% 2% 1% 4% - 2% 3% - 5% 2% 3% 1% 4% 2% - G g M P tW PROBABLY O'NEILL 61 48 13 28 21 6 7 4 15 42 22 19 - 56 31 25 1 45 7 16 18 5 5 12% 12% 12% 14% 10% 11% 13% 19% 17% 11% 9% 14% - 12% 12% 13% 4% 12% 13% 12% 13% 8% 29% k M q v DEFINITELY O'NEILL 44 36 7 18 18 3 4 4 9 31 21 10 - 44 27 16 1 31 5 12 11 8 - 9% 9% 7% 9% 9% 6% 8% 19% 9% 8% 9% 7% - 9% 10% 9% 4% 8% 9% 9% 8% 12% - M W W W REFUSED 18 15 3 8 7 1 2 1 5 12 8 4 - 18 8 8 1 18 - 7 4 4 - 4% 4% 3% 4% 4% 2% 4% 4% 5% 3% 3% 3% - 4% 3% 4% 4% 5% - 5% 3% 5% - M S W W w Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C D/E/F/G H/I/J/K/L M/N O/P/Q R/S T/U/V/W N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C / FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE

CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA GOP PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 2016 If the Republican Primary Election for Superintendent of Public Instruction were being held today, for whom would you vote between: Mark Johnson, J. Wesley Sills, or Rosemary Stein? BANNER 1 KEY REGIONS GENDER AGE GENDER/AGE EDUCATION =================================== =========== ============================= =================================== ======================= NORTH PIED- WEST- TRI- SOUTH -EAST MONT CHAR- ERN MEN MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN WOMEN HS OR 2 YR 4 YR POST TOTAL ANGLE -EAST NC TRIAD LOTTE NC MEN WOMEN 18-25 26-40 41-55 56-65 66+ 18-44 45-64 65+ 18-44 45-64 65+ LESS COLL COLL GRAD (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) (X) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 500 84 68 42 111 109 86 250 250 26 61 142 107 163 67 103 80 53 102 94 142 153 133 71 100% 17% 14% 8% 22% 22% 17% 50% 50% 5% 12% 28% 21% 33% 13% 21% 16% 11% 20% 19% 28% 31% 27% 14% o W TOTAL JOHNSON ------------- MAR 5-7, 2016 80 18 9 3 27 13 8 42 38 6 9 23 13 28 9 20 12 10 11 17 26 24 19 12 16% 22% 14% 8% 25% 12% 9% 17% 15% 21% 16% 17% 13% 17% 14% 20% 15% 20% 10% 18% 18% 15% 14% 16% (1) (1) (2) (1) (1) (1) (2) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (2) (1) (2) (1) (1) (1) (2) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) dG cDFG s JAN 13-14&16, 2016 57 12 4 2 21 12 7 36 21 5 9 15 10 18 14 14 8 4 7 11 21 14 17 6 11% 13% 6% 5% 19% 10% 8% 14% 9% 19% 16% 11% 9% 11% 16% 14% 12% 11% 6% 11% 19% 9% 11% 8% CDfG i S s VwX TOTAL STEIN ----------- MAR 5-7, 2016 55 8 10 2 9 12 14 29 26 3 5 19 17 10 10 13 6 5 15 7 15 18 16 6 11% 10% 15% 4% 8% 11% 16% 11% 11% 11% 9% 14% 16% 6% 15% 12% 8% 9% 15% 7% 10% 11% 12% 9% (2) (2) (1) (2) (2) (2) (1) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (1) (2) (1) (2) (2) (2) (1) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) d D N N t JAN 13-14&16, 2016 37 4 3 6 8 5 11 17 19 2 5 12 9 8 10 3 4 6 9 5 10 11 8 7 7% 5% 5% 15% 8% 4% 13% 7% 8% 9% 9% 8% 8% 5% 12% 3% 6% 16% 8% 5% 9% 7% 5% 9% f f p p TOTAL SILLS ----------- MAR 5-7, 2016 12 2 2 - 3 3 2 8 4 - 1 3 3 4 2 3 3 - 2 2 4 5 3 - 2% 3% 3% - 2% 3% 2% 3% 2% - 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% - 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% - (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) j j J r r x X x TOTAL LEAN/UNDECIDED -------------------- MAR 5-7, 2016 331 53 46 32 65 75 61 161 171 18 45 89 66 113 45 58 57 38 68 64 94 103 84 48 66% 63% 67% 77% 59% 68% 71% 64% 68% 68% 74% 63% 61% 70% 68% 56% 71% 72% 67% 68% 66% 67% 63% 68% E e P JAN 13-14&16, 2016 400 71 55 30 78 101 65 193 207 19 44 113 91 132 61 77 56 26 96 85 79 125 130 61 80% 79% 87% 80% 72% 86% 77% 77% 83% 73% 75% 81% 83% 80% 72% 82% 78% 73% 86% 82% 72% 82% 83% 81% E E O u U DEFINITELY JOHNSON 47 11 7 2 14 9 4 24 23 - 5 14 12 17 6 13 6 3 8 12 14 15 12 6 9% 13% 11% 6% 12% 8% 5% 10% 9% - 8% 10% 11% 10% 9% 12% 7% 5% 8% 13% 10% 10% 9% 8% g g J J J J PROBABLY JOHNSON 33 7 2 1 14 5 4 18 15 6 4 10 2 11 3 8 6 8 2 5 12 9 6 6 7% 8% 3% 3% 12% 4% 5% 7% 6% 21% 7% 7% 2% 7% 5% 8% 8% 15% 2% 5% 8% 6% 5% 8% CDFg M M s s s Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C/D/E/F/G H/I J/K/L/M/N O/P/Q/R/S/T U/V/W/X N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C / FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE Continued

CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA GOP PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 2016 If the Republican Primary Election for Superintendent of Public Instruction were being held today, for whom would you vote between: Mark Johnson, J. Wesley Sills, or Rosemary Stein? BANNER 1 KEY REGIONS GENDER AGE GENDER/AGE EDUCATION =================================== =========== ============================= =================================== ======================= NORTH PIED- WEST- TRI- SOUTH -EAST MONT CHAR- ERN MEN MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN WOMEN HS OR 2 YR 4 YR POST TOTAL ANGLE -EAST NC TRIAD LOTTE NC MEN WOMEN 18-25 26-40 41-55 56-65 66+ 18-44 45-64 65+ 18-44 45-64 65+ LESS COLL COLL GRAD (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) (X) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- DEFINITELY STEIN 33 2 7 - 7 7 9 15 18 - 3 15 10 4 5 7 3 3 11 3 7 10 12 4 7% 3% 10% - 6% 7% 11% 6% 7% - 5% 11% 10% 2% 7% 7% 3% 6% 11% 3% 5% 6% 9% 6% bD D D bD j JN JN J QT PROBABLY STEIN 23 6 3 2 2 5 5 14 9 3 2 4 7 6 5 5 4 1 4 4 8 8 5 2 5% 7% 5% 4% 2% 4% 5% 6% 3% 11% 4% 3% 6% 4% 8% 5% 5% 2% 4% 4% 6% 5% 4% 3% DEFINITELY SILLS 7 1 - - 3 3 - 5 2 - - 2 1 4 - 2 3 - 1 1 1 4 2 - 1% 1% - - 2% 3% - 2% 1% - - 1% 1% 2% - 2% 3% - 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% - jk or x PROBABLY SILLS 5 1 2 - - - 2 3 2 - 1 1 2 1 2 1 - - 1 1 3 1 1 - 1% 1% 3% - - - 2% 1% 1% - 2% 1% 2% 1% 3% 1% - - 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% - LEAN JOHNSON 6 1 - - 2 2 1 4 2 - 2 1 - 3 2 - 2 - 1 1 1 1 2 1 1% 1% - - 2% 2% 1% 2% 1% - 4% 1% - 2% 3% - 2% - 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% jm LEAN SILLS 2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - - 1 1 - - - - - - 2% - - 1% - - - - - 1% - - 2% - - - 1% 1% - - LEAN STEIN 9 2 - - 2 2 3 3 6 - 3 2 2 2 3 - - 1 3 2 - 3 2 4 2% 2% - - 2% 2% 4% 1% 2% - 5% 2% 2% 1% 5% - - 2% 3% 2% - 2% 2% 6% cd j pq u U HARD UNDECIDED 314 49 46 32 60 70 57 152 162 18 39 86 64 107 40 58 54 37 64 61 92 98 80 43 63% 59% 67% 77% 54% 64% 66% 61% 65% 68% 64% 60% 60% 66% 60% 56% 67% 70% 63% 65% 65% 64% 60% 61% e BE e NAMED OTHER 2 - - 1 1 - - 1 1 - - 2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - - 1 1 - - - 3% 1% - - - - - - 2% - - - 1% - - 1% - - - 1% 2% REFUSED 20 2 1 3 6 6 1 10 10 - - 5 8 7 - 8 2 - 5 5 3 4 9 3 4% 3% 2% 8% 5% 6% 1% 4% 4% - - 3% 7% 4% - 8% 2% - 5% 5% 2% 3% 7% 5% g JK JK JK OqR OR OR u Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C/D/E/F/G H/I J/K/L/M/N O/P/Q/R/S/T U/V/W/X N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C / FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE

CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA GOP PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 2016 If the Republican Primary Election for Superintendent of Public Instruction were being held today, for whom would you vote between: Mark Johnson, J. Wesley Sills, or Rosemary Stein? BANNER 2 EMPLOYMENT MARITAL PARTY REG PARTY REG/GENDER IDEOLOGY RACE STATUS STATUS INCOME =========== ======================= ============================= =========== ================= =========== ========================= UN- $50K GOP GOP IND IND VERY SMWT AF. FULL RET- EMPL- AND $50K- $100K- TOTAL GOP IND MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN LIB MOD CONS CONS CONS AMER. WHITE TIME IRED OYED MRRD SNGL UNDER $100K $200K $200K+ (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 500 395 105 196 199 54 51 22 90 386 246 139 4 471 256 189 25 371 57 133 136 65 18 100% 79% 21% 39% 40% 11% 10% 4% 18% 77% 49% 28% 1% 94% 51% 38% 5% 74% 11% 27% 27% 13% 4% h h M Uv TOTAL JOHNSON ------------- MAR 5-7, 2016 80 65 15 31 34 11 4 6 8 66 44 22 1 76 37 30 9 61 8 27 20 12 1 16% 16% 14% 16% 17% 20% 8% 29% 8% 17% 18% 16% 23% 16% 14% 16% 36% 16% 13% 21% 15% 19% 7% (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (2) (1) (2) (1) (1) (1) (2) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1) (2) g g I I I i op w JAN 13-14&16, 2016 57 45 13 27 18 9 4 3 5 49 32 17 - 56 36 19 - 43 6 13 14 8 - 11% 11% 12% 14% 8% 14% 9% 12% 6% 13% 13% 13% - 12% 14% 10% - 11% 11% 13% 9% 11% - e I i i M Q Q W W W TOTAL STEIN ----------- MAR 5-7, 2016 55 43 12 23 20 6 7 5 16 34 20 15 - 52 30 18 2 40 5 11 18 8 2 11% 11% 12% 12% 10% 11% 13% 23% 17% 9% 8% 10% - 11% 12% 10% 9% 11% 9% 9% 13% 12% 11% (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (1) (2) (1) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (2) (1) jK M JAN 13-14&16, 2016 37 29 7 14 16 4 3 3 9 24 16 8 1 31 24 9 3 26 6 7 11 6 2 7% 7% 7% 7% 8% 6% 8% 10% 10% 6% 6% 6% 11% 7% 9% 5% 15% 7% 11% 7% 7% 8% 11% p TOTAL SILLS ----------- MAR 5-7, 2016 12 7 5 5 2 3 2 - 6 6 - 6 1 10 6 5 1 7 2 5 2 1 - 2% 2% 5% 2% 1% 6% 4% - 7% 1% - 4% 27% 2% 2% 3% 4% 2% 4% 4% 1% 2% - (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (1) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) HjK HK HK W TOTAL LEAN/UNDECIDED -------------------- MAR 5-7, 2016 331 261 70 126 135 34 36 10 57 263 172 90 2 312 172 127 11 243 42 82 92 38 15 66% 66% 67% 65% 68% 63% 71% 44% 63% 68% 70% 65% 50% 66% 67% 67% 42% 66% 74% 62% 68% 58% 82% H H h Q Q tV JAN 13-14&16, 2016 400 316 84 144 172 49 35 20 72 301 195 106 8 373 191 159 17 304 42 80 125 62 17 80% 80% 80% 77% 83% 78% 83% 74% 82% 80% 79% 81% 89% 80% 76% 83% 85% 81% 76% 79% 82% 81% 89% o DEFINITELY JOHNSON 47 37 10 18 19 6 3 3 3 41 29 11 1 44 22 19 5 39 1 13 14 7 1 9% 9% 9% 9% 10% 11% 7% 14% 4% 11% 12% 8% 23% 9% 9% 10% 20% 11% 2% 10% 10% 10% 7% I I S PROBABLY JOHNSON 33 27 6 13 14 5 1 3 4 25 14 11 - 32 15 12 4 22 7 14 6 6 - 7% 7% 5% 7% 7% 9% 2% 14% 5% 7% 6% 8% - 7% 6% 6% 16% 6% 12% 11% 4% 9% - g g M uW W W Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C D/E/F/G H/I/J/K/L M/N O/P/Q R/S T/U/V/W N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C / FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE Continued

CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA GOP PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 2016 If the Republican Primary Election for Superintendent of Public Instruction were being held today, for whom would you vote between: Mark Johnson, J. Wesley Sills, or Rosemary Stein? BANNER 2 EMPLOYMENT MARITAL PARTY REG PARTY REG/GENDER IDEOLOGY RACE STATUS STATUS INCOME =========== ======================= ============================= =========== ================= =========== ========================= UN- $50K GOP GOP IND IND VERY SMWT AF. FULL RET- EMPL- AND $50K- $100K- TOTAL GOP IND MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN LIB MOD CONS CONS CONS AMER. WHITE TIME IRED OYED MRRD SNGL UNDER $100K $200K $200K+ (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ DEFINITELY STEIN 33 26 7 12 14 3 4 3 7 22 14 8 - 30 17 11 2 24 1 9 10 3 1 7% 6% 7% 6% 7% 5% 8% 15% 8% 6% 6% 6% - 6% 7% 6% 9% 6% 2% 7% 8% 5% 7% M s PROBABLY STEIN 23 17 6 11 6 3 3 2 8 13 6 7 - 22 13 7 - 17 4 3 8 5 1 5% 4% 5% 6% 3% 5% 5% 8% 9% 3% 2% 5% - 5% 5% 4% - 4% 7% 2% 6% 8% 5% jK M Q Q DEFINITELY SILLS 7 4 3 3 1 2 1 - 3 4 - 4 1 4 5 2 - 6 1 2 2 1 - 1% 1% 3% 1% - 4% 2% - 3% 1% - 3% 27% 1% 2% 1% - 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% - hk hk hk Q PROBABLY SILLS 5 3 2 2 1 1 1 - 3 2 - 2 - 5 1 3 1 1 1 3 - - - 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 2% - 3% 1% - 2% - 1% - 2% 4% - 2% 2% - - - hk M LEAN JOHNSON 6 4 2 2 2 2 - - 2 4 3 1 - 6 3 2 - 4 1 1 1 - 1 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 4% - - 2% 1% 1% 1% - 1% 1% 1% - 1% 2% 1% 1% - 7% h M LEAN SILLS 2 2 - 2 - - - - - 2 1 1 - 2 1 1 - 1 - 1 - - - - - - 1% - - - - - - - 1% - - - - - - - 1% - - - LEAN STEIN 9 6 3 1 5 2 1 1 3 5 2 3 - 8 7 2 1 7 - 1 1 2 3 2% 2% 3% 1% 3% 4% 2% 4% 4% 1% 1% 2% - 2% 3% 1% 4% 2% - 1% 1% 3% 18% M S tu HARD UNDECIDED 314 249 65 122 128 30 35 9 51 252 167 85 2 296 162 122 10 231 41 79 90 36 11 63% 63% 62% 62% 64% 55% 69% 40% 57% 65% 68% 61% 50% 63% 63% 65% 38% 62% 72% 60% 66% 55% 58% H Hi h Q Q NAMED OTHER 2 2 - 1 1 - - - 1 1 - 1 - 2 2 - - 1 - 1 - 1 - - 1% - 1% 1% - - - 1% - - 1% - - 1% - - - - 1% - 2% - REFUSED 20 17 2 10 8 - 2 1 3 16 11 5 - 20 9 8 2 19 - 6 4 5 - 4% 4% 2% 5% 4% - 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% - 4% 3% 4% 8% 5% - 4% 3% 7% - F F M S W w W Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C D/E/F/G H/I/J/K/L M/N O/P/Q R/S T/U/V/W N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C / FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE

CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA GOP PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 2016 If the Republican Primary Election for Commissioner of Insurance were being held today, for whom would you vote between: Joe McLaughlin, Ronald Ron Pierce, or Mike Causey? BANNER 1 KEY REGIONS GENDER AGE GENDER/AGE EDUCATION =================================== =========== ============================= =================================== ======================= NORTH PIED- WEST- TRI- SOUTH -EAST MONT CHAR- ERN MEN MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN WOMEN HS OR 2 YR 4 YR POST TOTAL ANGLE -EAST NC TRIAD LOTTE NC MEN WOMEN 18-25 26-40 41-55 56-65 66+ 18-44 45-64 65+ 18-44 45-64 65+ LESS COLL COLL GRAD (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) (X) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 500 84 68 42 111 109 86 250 250 26 61 142 107 163 67 103 80 53 102 94 142 153 133 71 100% 17% 14% 8% 22% 22% 17% 50% 50% 5% 12% 28% 21% 33% 13% 21% 16% 11% 20% 19% 28% 31% 27% 14% o W TOTAL MCLAUGHLIN ---------------- MAR 5-7, 2016 51 10 10 4 8 8 9 28 22 3 12 18 5 14 11 10 8 8 8 6 14 17 11 9 10% 12% 15% 11% 8% 8% 11% 11% 9% 11% 19% 13% 4% 8% 16% 9% 10% 15% 8% 6% 10% 11% 8% 13% (1) (1) (1) (1) (3) (2) (1) (1) (2) (1) (1) (1) (3) (1) (1) (2) (1) (1) (2) (2) (1) (1) (2) (1) Mn M t TOTAL CAUSEY ------------ MAR 5-7, 2016 50 7 8 4 14 8 8 23 27 - 8 17 12 12 9 10 4 5 13 9 9 15 20 6 10% 8% 12% 10% 13% 8% 10% 9% 11% - 13% 12% 12% 7% 14% 10% 5% 10% 12% 10% 7% 10% 15% 9% (2) (2) (2) (2) (1) (1) (2) (2) (1) (2) (2) (1) (2) (2) (1) (3) (2) (1) (1) (3) (2) (1) (2) J J J J q U JAN 13-14&16, 2016 50 9 6 4 16 8 8 23 27 2 6 11 12 18 8 7 8 5 10 11 9 20 10 11 10% 10% 9% 10% 15% 7% 9% 9% 11% 8% 10% 8% 11% 11% 10% 7% 11% 15% 9% 11% 8% 13% 6% 14% f w TOTAL PIERCE ------------ MAR 5-7, 2016 30 5 7 1 9 7 2 18 12 3 5 5 8 9 5 8 5 3 5 4 12 10 7 1 6% 5% 10% 3% 8% 6% 2% 7% 5% 11% 8% 4% 7% 6% 7% 8% 7% 5% 5% 4% 8% 7% 6% 1% (3) (3) (3) (3) (2) (3) (3) (3) (3) (2) (3) (3) (2) (3) (3) (3) (2) (3) (3) (3) (2) (3) (3) (3) g g X X x JAN 13-14&16, 2016 32 2 1 4 10 5 9 19 12 5 2 10 5 10 7 6 6 3 6 3 11 7 11 2 6% 2% 2% 12% 9% 5% 11% 8% 5% 19% 3% 7% 5% 6% 8% 7% 9% 9% 5% 3% 10% 5% 7% 2% bc BC BC X TOTAL LEAN/UNDECIDED -------------------- MAR 5-7, 2016 348 62 42 28 74 81 61 168 180 20 36 93 75 122 41 66 61 37 70 72 105 103 87 51 70% 73% 63% 66% 67% 74% 71% 67% 72% 78% 60% 66% 70% 75% 61% 64% 76% 70% 69% 77% 74% 68% 65% 72% Kl op op JAN 13-14&16, 2016 418 79 57 29 82 104 67 207 211 19 51 119 92 135 70 80 57 27 96 88 89 125 135 63 84% 88% 89% 79% 75% 89% 80% 83% 84% 73% 87% 85% 84% 83% 82% 86% 79% 76% 86% 86% 81% 82% 86% 84% E E E DEFINITELY MCLAUGHLIN 31 6 10 2 5 2 6 14 17 - 6 10 5 11 3 5 6 6 6 5 9 10 9 3 6% 7% 15% 6% 5% 2% 7% 6% 7% - 10% 7% 4% 7% 5% 5% 7% 11% 6% 5% 6% 7% 7% 5% EF J J J J PROBABLY MCLAUGHLIN 20 4 - 2 3 6 3 14 6 3 6 8 - 3 7 5 2 2 2 1 5 6 2 6 4% 5% - 5% 3% 6% 4% 6% 2% 11% 9% 6% - 2% 11% 4% 2% 4% 2% 1% 4% 4% 2% 8% c c C c i Mn Mn m qsT w Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C/D/E/F/G H/I J/K/L/M/N O/P/Q/R/S/T U/V/W/X N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C / FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE Continued

CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA GOP PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 2016 If the Republican Primary Election for Commissioner of Insurance were being held today, for whom would you vote between: Joe McLaughlin, Ronald Ron Pierce, or Mike Causey? BANNER 1 KEY REGIONS GENDER AGE GENDER/AGE EDUCATION =================================== =========== ============================= =================================== ======================= NORTH PIED- WEST- TRI- SOUTH -EAST MONT CHAR- ERN MEN MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN WOMEN HS OR 2 YR 4 YR POST TOTAL ANGLE -EAST NC TRIAD LOTTE NC MEN WOMEN 18-25 26-40 41-55 56-65 66+ 18-44 45-64 65+ 18-44 45-64 65+ LESS COLL COLL GRAD (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) (X) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- DEFINITELY CAUSEY 35 3 6 4 9 8 4 14 21 - 3 14 9 9 5 6 3 3 11 7 6 9 15 4 7% 4% 9% 10% 8% 8% 4% 5% 8% - 4% 10% 8% 6% 7% 6% 3% 5% 10% 8% 5% 6% 11% 6% J J J q u PROBABLY CAUSEY 15 3 2 - 5 - 4 9 6 - 6 3 4 3 4 4 1 2 2 2 3 5 5 2 3% 4% 3% - 5% - 5% 4% 2% - 9% 2% 3% 2% 7% 4% 1% 4% 2% 2% 2% 3% 4% 3% df DF DF Jn j j j DEFINITELY PIERCE 7 1 3 - 1 2 - 5 2 - 1 1 3 2 1 3 1 - 1 1 3 2 2 - 1% 1% 4% - 1% 2% - 2% 1% - 2% 1% 3% 1% 2% 3% 1% - 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% - dg j r PROBABLY PIERCE 23 3 4 1 8 5 2 13 10 3 3 4 5 8 3 5 5 3 4 3 9 8 6 1 5% 4% 6% 3% 7% 4% 2% 5% 4% 11% 6% 3% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 5% 4% 3% 6% 5% 4% 1% x x LEAN MCLAUGHLIN 6 - - 1 1 3 1 5 1 - - 1 2 3 1 2 2 - - 1 1 1 1 2 1% - - 2% 1% 3% 1% 2% - - - 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% - - 1% 1% 1% 1% 3% bc jk LEAN PIERCE 2 - 1 - - - 1 - 2 - - 1 1 - - - - - 2 - 1 - 1 - - - 1% - - - 1% - 1% - - 1% 1% - - - - - 2% - 1% - 1% - LEAN CAUSEY 7 3 - - 3 - 1 3 4 - - 2 3 2 1 1 1 - 3 1 2 2 1 2 1% 4% - - 3% - 1% 1% 2% - - 1% 3% 1% 2% 1% 1% - 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% 3% jk r HARD UNDECIDED 333 59 41 27 70 78 58 160 173 20 36 89 69 118 39 63 58 37 65 70 101 100 84 47 67% 70% 61% 64% 63% 71% 68% 64% 69% 78% 60% 63% 64% 72% 58% 61% 72% 70% 64% 75% 71% 66% 63% 66% l o OPs NAMED OTHER 3 - - 1 1 - 1 2 1 - - 1 2 - - 2 - - 1 - 1 1 1 - 1% - - 3% 1% - 1% 1% - - - 1% 2% - - 2% - - 1% - 1% 1% 1% - REFUSED 18 1 - 3 5 5 4 11 8 - - 7 6 5 1 7 3 - 5 3 1 7 7 4 4% 2% - 7% 4% 5% 5% 4% 3% - - 5% 5% 3% 2% 7% 3% - 5% 3% 1% 5% 5% 5% C C c JK JK JK R r R r U U Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C/D/E/F/G H/I J/K/L/M/N O/P/Q/R/S/T U/V/W/X N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C / FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE

CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA GOP PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 2016 If the Republican Primary Election for Commissioner of Insurance were being held today, for whom would you vote between: Joe McLaughlin, Ronald Ron Pierce, or Mike Causey? BANNER 2 EMPLOYMENT MARITAL PARTY REG PARTY REG/GENDER IDEOLOGY RACE STATUS STATUS INCOME =========== ======================= ============================= =========== ================= =========== ========================= UN- $50K GOP GOP IND IND VERY SMWT AF. FULL RET- EMPL- AND $50K- $100K- TOTAL GOP IND MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN LIB MOD CONS CONS CONS AMER. WHITE TIME IRED OYED MRRD SNGL UNDER $100K $200K $200K+ (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 500 395 105 196 199 54 51 22 90 386 246 139 4 471 256 189 25 371 57 133 136 65 18 100% 79% 21% 39% 40% 11% 10% 4% 18% 77% 49% 28% 1% 94% 51% 38% 5% 74% 11% 27% 27% 13% 4% h h M Uv TOTAL MCLAUGHLIN ---------------- MAR 5-7, 2016 51 37 14 22 15 6 7 5 12 34 19 15 - 47 31 15 1 37 7 19 13 7 2 10% 9% 13% 11% 8% 12% 15% 24% 13% 9% 8% 11% - 10% 12% 8% 4% 10% 13% 15% 10% 11% 13% (1) (1) (2) (1) (2) (2) (1) (1) (2) (1) (2) (1) (1) (1) (2) (3) (2) (1) (1) (2) (2) (2) jk M TOTAL CAUSEY ------------ MAR 5-7, 2016 50 35 14 15 21 8 6 3 15 31 20 11 2 46 29 17 2 38 2 11 15 10 3 10% 9% 14% 7% 11% 15% 12% 14% 16% 8% 8% 8% 50% 10% 12% 9% 7% 10% 4% 8% 11% 16% 18% (2) (2) (1) (2) (1) (1) (2) (3) (1) (2) (1) (2) (2) (2) (1) (2) (1) (3) (3) (1) (1) (1) jkl JAN 13-14&16, 2016 50 40 10 17 22 6 4 3 6 41 28 13 - 46 26 16 3 33 6 8 15 7 2 10% 10% 9% 9% 11% 9% 10% 11% 7% 11% 11% 10% - 10% 10% 9% 15% 9% 12% 8% 10% 10% 11% M TOTAL PIERCE ------------ MAR 5-7, 2016 30 23 7 13 10 5 2 4 3 23 16 7 - 28 19 9 3 20 6 13 8 3 - 6% 6% 7% 7% 5% 9% 4% 19% 3% 6% 7% 5% - 6% 7% 5% 12% 5% 10% 10% 6% 5% - (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (2) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (3) (1) (3) (2) (2) (3) (3) i M W W w JAN 13-14&16, 2016 32 26 5 15 11 4 1 3 1 26 18 8 - 29 18 13 1 19 8 9 8 5 - 6% 7% 5% 8% 5% 7% 2% 12% 1% 7% 7% 6% - 6% 7% 7% 5% 5% 15% 9% 6% 7% - g I I i M W W W TOTAL LEAN/UNDECIDED -------------------- MAR 5-7, 2016 348 281 67 133 147 34 33 8 59 279 180 100 2 328 165 141 17 256 41 84 97 43 13 70% 71% 64% 68% 74% 64% 64% 38% 65% 72% 73% 72% 50% 70% 64% 75% 68% 69% 73% 63% 71% 65% 69% H H H H O JAN 13-14&16, 2016 418 328 90 153 175 53 37 21 79 310 199 111 9 390 209 161 16 323 40 83 129 64 17 84% 83% 86% 82% 84% 85% 87% 77% 91% 82% 81% 84% 100% 84% 83% 84% 79% 86% 74% 83% 85% 84% 89% JK N DEFINITELY MCLAUGHLIN 31 21 11 11 10 3 7 3 7 21 17 5 - 30 17 12 1 25 3 13 6 2 1 6% 5% 10% 6% 5% 6% 15% 14% 7% 6% 7% 3% - 6% 7% 6% 4% 7% 5% 10% 5% 3% 7% e M v PROBABLY MCLAUGHLIN 20 16 3 11 6 3 - 2 5 12 2 10 - 17 14 3 - 12 4 7 7 5 1 4% 4% 3% 5% 3% 6% - 10% 6% 3% 1% 7% - 4% 6% 1% - 3% 7% 5% 5% 7% 6% G G g k k K M PQ q Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C D/E/F/G H/I/J/K/L M/N O/P/Q R/S T/U/V/W N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C / FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE Continued

CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA GOP PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 2016 If the Republican Primary Election for Commissioner of Insurance were being held today, for whom would you vote between: Joe McLaughlin, Ronald Ron Pierce, or Mike Causey? BANNER 2 EMPLOYMENT MARITAL PARTY REG PARTY REG/GENDER IDEOLOGY RACE STATUS STATUS INCOME =========== ======================= ============================= =========== ================= =========== ========================= UN- $50K GOP GOP IND IND VERY SMWT AF. FULL RET- EMPL- AND $50K- $100K- TOTAL GOP IND MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN LIB MOD CONS CONS CONS AMER. WHITE TIME IRED OYED MRRD SNGL UNDER $100K $200K $200K+ (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ DEFINITELY CAUSEY 35 26 9 8 18 5 3 2 10 22 13 9 1 32 20 14 1 24 2 8 11 7 1 7% 7% 8% 4% 9% 10% 6% 10% 11% 6% 5% 6% 27% 7% 8% 7% 4% 6% 4% 6% 8% 11% 7% d PROBABLY CAUSEY 15 9 6 6 3 3 3 1 5 9 6 3 1 14 10 3 1 14 - 3 4 3 2 3% 2% 5% 3% 2% 6% 5% 5% 6% 2% 2% 2% 23% 3% 4% 2% 4% 4% - 2% 3% 5% 11% S DEFINITELY PIERCE 7 3 4 2 1 3 1 - 1 6 5 1 - 7 4 2 1 6 1 5 1 - - 1% 1% 4% 1% 1% 5% 2% - 1% 2% 2% 1% - 1% 2% 1% 4% 2% 1% 3% 1% - - H H M vw PROBABLY PIERCE 23 20 3 11 9 2 1 4 2 17 11 6 - 21 14 7 2 14 5 8 7 3 - 5% 5% 3% 6% 4% 4% 2% 19% 2% 4% 4% 5% - 5% 6% 4% 8% 4% 9% 6% 5% 5% - ijkl M W W w LEAN MCLAUGHLIN 6 4 2 3 1 2 - - 2 4 4 - - 5 4 2 - 4 - 1 1 2 - 1% 1% 2% 1% - 4% - - 2% 1% 1% - - 1% 2% 1% - 1% - 1% 1% 3% - hl hl M q s LEAN PIERCE 2 2 - - 2 - - - - 2 1 1 - 2 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - - 1% - - 1% - - - - 1% - 1% - - 1% - - 1% - - 1% - - LEAN CAUSEY 7 6 1 3 3 - 1 - 2 5 4 1 - 7 3 2 1 4 1 - 2 1 1 1% 2% 1% 2% 2% - 2% - 2% 1% 2% 1% - 1% 1% 1% 4% 1% 2% - 1% 1% 5% H h M HARD UNDECIDED 333 269 64 127 141 33 32 8 55 268 171 97 2 314 156 138 16 246 40 83 93 40 12 67% 68% 61% 65% 71% 60% 63% 38% 61% 70% 69% 70% 50% 67% 61% 73% 64% 66% 71% 62% 68% 61% 64% h H H H O NAMED OTHER 3 2 1 2 - - 1 - 1 2 2 - - 3 3 - - 2 - - - 1 - 1% 1% 1% 1% - - 2% - 1% 1% 1% - - 1% 1% - - 1% - - - 1% - m REFUSED 18 17 2 11 6 - 2 1 1 16 10 6 - 18 9 7 2 17 - 6 3 1 - 4% 4% 2% 5% 3% - 3% 4% 1% 4% 4% 4% - 4% 3% 3% 9% 5% - 4% 2% 2% - F F M S W Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C D/E/F/G H/I/J/K/L M/N O/P/Q R/S T/U/V/W N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C / FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE

CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA GOP PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 2016 If the Republican Primary Election for Commissioner of Agriculture were being held today, for whom would you vote between: Andy Stevens or Steve Troxler? BANNER 1 KEY REGIONS GENDER AGE GENDER/AGE EDUCATION =================================== =========== ============================= =================================== ======================= NORTH PIED- WEST- TRI- SOUTH -EAST MONT CHAR- ERN MEN MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN WOMEN HS OR 2 YR 4 YR POST TOTAL ANGLE -EAST NC TRIAD LOTTE NC MEN WOMEN 18-25 26-40 41-55 56-65 66+ 18-44 45-64 65+ 18-44 45-64 65+ LESS COLL COLL GRAD (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) (X) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 500 84 68 42 111 109 86 250 250 26 61 142 107 163 67 103 80 53 102 94 142 153 133 71 100% 17% 14% 8% 22% 22% 17% 50% 50% 5% 12% 28% 21% 33% 13% 21% 16% 11% 20% 19% 28% 31% 27% 14% **D/S (STEVENS - TROXLER) -106 -23 -11 -11 -32 -11 -18 -60 -46 3 -11 -33 -32 -33 -6 -28 -26 -10 -24 -11 -6 -45 -37 -18 -21% -27% -16% -27% -29% -10% -20% -24% -18% 12% -18% -23% -29% -21% -9% -27% -32% -19% -24% -12% -4% -29% -28% -25% BE KLMN PQS PQs VWX TOTAL STEVENS 65 12 10 4 15 14 10 32 33 6 12 21 10 15 13 14 4 10 11 12 24 19 14 8 ------------- 13% 14% 14% 9% 13% 13% 12% 13% 13% 22% 20% 15% 10% 10% 20% 14% 5% 19% 11% 12% 17% 12% 11% 11% n Q Q q q TOTAL TROXLER 171 35 21 15 47 25 28 92 79 3 23 54 42 49 20 42 30 20 36 23 30 64 51 25 ------------- 34% 42% 31% 36% 42% 23% 32% 37% 32% 10% 38% 38% 39% 30% 29% 41% 37% 38% 35% 25% 21% 42% 39% 36% F F J J J j T t U U U TOTAL LEAN/UNDECIDED 241 35 35 20 46 61 45 114 127 18 25 57 48 92 31 37 45 20 51 55 83 64 59 33 -------------------- 48% 41% 52% 47% 41% 56% 52% 45% 51% 68% 41% 40% 45% 57% 47% 36% 56% 38% 50% 59% 58% 42% 45% 47% bE l KLM Pr p PR VW DEFINITELY STEVENS 29 3 6 4 7 5 3 12 17 - 5 10 4 10 5 5 2 4 5 8 10 6 9 4 6% 4% 9% 9% 6% 5% 4% 5% 7% - 8% 7% 4% 6% 7% 5% 2% 7% 5% 8% 7% 4% 7% 6% J J J J q PROBABLY STEVENS 36 9 3 - 8 9 7 20 16 6 7 11 6 6 9 9 2 6 6 4 15 13 5 3 7% 11% 5% - 7% 8% 8% 8% 6% 22% 11% 8% 6% 4% 13% 9% 2% 12% 6% 4% 10% 8% 4% 5% D d D D D n Qt Q w LEAN STEVENS 6 1 1 1 1 - 2 3 3 - 2 1 1 2 2 - 1 - 2 1 1 2 3 - 1% 1% 1% 3% 1% - 3% 1% 1% - 4% 1% 1% 1% 4% - 1% - 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% - x UNDECIDED 221 30 32 15 43 61 40 105 117 18 20 54 44 85 28 37 40 19 45 52 79 61 52 28 44% 35% 48% 36% 39% 56% 47% 42% 47% 68% 33% 38% 41% 52% 42% 36% 50% 36% 44% 55% 56% 40% 39% 39% BDE Klm KLm P Pr VWX LEAN TROXLER 13 4 2 3 2 - 2 6 7 - 2 2 3 6 1 1 4 1 4 2 3 1 4 5 3% 5% 3% 8% 2% - 2% 2% 3% - 4% 2% 3% 3% 2% 1% 4% 2% 4% 2% 2% 1% 3% 7% f f j J V PROBABLY TROXLER 61 9 6 5 15 11 15 38 22 - 6 19 14 21 7 19 13 2 12 9 12 24 12 12 12% 10% 9% 12% 13% 10% 17% 15% 9% - 11% 14% 13% 13% 10% 18% 16% 4% 11% 9% 8% 16% 9% 18% I J J J J Rt R uw u DEFINITELY TROXLER 110 27 15 10 32 14 13 53 57 3 16 35 28 28 13 23 17 18 24 14 19 39 39 13 22% 32% 22% 24% 29% 12% 15% 21% 23% 10% 27% 24% 26% 17% 19% 23% 21% 34% 24% 15% 13% 26% 29% 18% FG FG T U Ux REFUSED 24 2 2 3 4 9 3 13 10 - 1 9 7 6 2 9 2 2 4 4 4 6 8 5 5% 3% 3% 8% 4% 8% 4% 5% 4% - 2% 7% 7% 4% 3% 9% 2% 4% 4% 4% 3% 4% 6% 6% Jk J J q Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C/D/E/F/G H/I J/K/L/M/N O/P/Q/R/S/T U/V/W/X N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C / FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE

CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA GOP PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 2016 If the Republican Primary Election for Commissioner of Agriculture were being held today, for whom would you vote between: Andy Stevens or Steve Troxler? BANNER 2 EMPLOYMENT MARITAL PARTY REG PARTY REG/GENDER IDEOLOGY RACE STATUS STATUS INCOME =========== ======================= ============================= =========== ================= =========== ========================= UN- $50K GOP GOP IND IND VERY SMWT AF. FULL RET- EMPL- AND $50K- $100K- TOTAL GOP IND MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN LIB MOD CONS CONS CONS AMER. WHITE TIME IRED OYED MRRD SNGL UNDER $100K $200K $200K+ (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 500 395 105 196 199 54 51 22 90 386 246 139 4 471 256 189 25 371 57 133 136 65 18 100% 79% 21% 39% 40% 11% 10% 4% 18% 77% 49% 28% 1% 94% 51% 38% 5% 74% 11% 27% 27% 13% 4% **D/S (STEVENS - TROXLER) -106 -84 -22 -46 -38 -14 -8 -3 -21 -81 -61 -20 1 -99 -51 -37 -7 -93 -3 -12 -38 -5 -9 -21% -21% -21% -23% -19% -26% -16% -14% -23% -21% -25% -15% 21% -21% -20% -20% -27% -25% -4% -9% -28% -7% -50% k N R Uw UW TOTAL STEVENS 65 51 14 27 24 5 9 6 13 46 23 23 2 60 40 21 1 45 10 25 17 11 1 ------------- 13% 13% 14% 14% 12% 9% 19% 26% 15% 12% 9% 17% 50% 13% 16% 11% 4% 12% 17% 19% 12% 17% 5% k k Q W w TOTAL TROXLER 171 134 36 73 62 19 18 9 34 127 83 44 1 159 92 59 8 138 12 36 55 16 10 ------------- 34% 34% 35% 37% 31% 35% 35% 40% 37% 33% 34% 32% 29% 34% 36% 31% 31% 37% 21% 27% 40% 25% 55% S TV TV TOTAL LEAN/UNDECIDED 241 190 51 83 107 31 20 7 39 194 128 66 1 229 109 103 14 166 34 67 57 33 7 -------------------- 48% 48% 48% 42% 54% 56% 40% 31% 43% 50% 52% 48% 21% 49% 43% 55% 57% 45% 60% 50% 42% 50% 40% D d h H O r DEFINITELY STEVENS 29 19 10 8 11 3 7 3 6 19 13 7 2 27 16 13 - 23 2 12 4 8 - 6% 5% 9% 4% 5% 6% 13% 16% 7% 5% 5% 5% 50% 6% 6% 7% - 6% 4% 9% 3% 11% - n Q Q uW W uW PROBABLY STEVENS 36 32 5 18 13 2 3 2 7 27 10 17 - 33 24 9 1 22 7 13 12 4 1 7% 8% 4% 9% 7% 3% 6% 10% 8% 7% 4% 12% - 7% 10% 5% 4% 6% 12% 10% 9% 6% 5% f K M P LEAN STEVENS 6 5 1 2 3 1 - 1 1 4 2 2 - 6 3 3 - 6 - 1 1 2 1 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% - 6% 1% 1% 1% 1% - 1% 1% 2% - 2% - 1% 1% 3% 5% g M q q S UNDECIDED 221 175 46 78 97 27 19 5 33 182 119 63 1 209 97 97 12 151 32 63 51 28 5 44% 44% 44% 40% 49% 49% 38% 25% 36% 47% 48% 45% 21% 44% 38% 52% 49% 41% 57% 47% 38% 44% 29% d Hi Hi h O r LEAN TROXLER 13 9 4 3 6 3 1 - 5 8 7 1 - 13 8 3 2 8 2 3 5 2 1 3% 2% 3% 1% 3% 5% 2% - 6% 2% 3% 1% - 3% 3% 2% 8% 2% 3% 2% 4% 3% 5% Hl H H M PROBABLY TROXLER 61 48 13 29 19 9 4 4 12 45 25 20 1 57 33 21 2 51 4 14 20 9 2 12% 12% 12% 15% 9% 17% 7% 18% 13% 12% 10% 14% 29% 12% 13% 11% 10% 14% 7% 10% 14% 14% 11% DEFINITELY TROXLER 110 86 24 43 43 10 14 5 22 82 58 24 - 101 58 38 5 87 8 22 35 7 8 22% 22% 23% 22% 21% 18% 27% 22% 24% 21% 24% 17% - 22% 23% 20% 21% 24% 14% 17% 26% 10% 44% M V TV REFUSED 24 20 3 13 7 - 3 1 5 18 13 5 - 24 15 5 2 22 1 5 8 6 - 5% 5% 3% 7% 4% - 7% 4% 5% 5% 5% 4% - 5% 6% 3% 8% 6% 2% 4% 6% 9% - F F f M p W W W Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C D/E/F/G H/I/J/K/L M/N O/P/Q R/S T/U/V/W N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C / FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE

CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA GOP PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 2016 Please tell me if you would vote FOR or AGAINST the Connect NC Public Improvement Bond, which will be on the ballot this March and reads: The issuance of two billion dollars State of North Carolina Public Improvement Bonds constituting general obligation bonds of the State secured by a pledge of the faith and credit and taxing power of the State for the purpose of providing funds, with any other available funds, to fund capital improvements and new facilities for the State, including, without limitation, the construction and furnishing of new facilities and the renovation and rehabilitation of existing facilities for, without limitation, the University of North Carolina System, the North Carolina Community College System, water and sewer systems, the State's National Guard, the Department of Agriculture and Consumer Services, attractions and parks, and the Department of Public Safety. BANNER 1 KEY REGIONS GENDER AGE GENDER/AGE EDUCATION =================================== =========== ============================= =================================== ======================= NORTH PIED- WEST- TRI- SOUTH -EAST MONT CHAR- ERN MEN MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN WOMEN HS OR 2 YR 4 YR POST TOTAL ANGLE -EAST NC TRIAD LOTTE NC MEN WOMEN 18-25 26-40 41-55 56-65 66+ 18-44 45-64 65+ 18-44 45-64 65+ LESS COLL COLL GRAD (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) (X) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 500 84 68 42 111 109 86 250 250 26 61 142 107 163 67 103 80 53 102 94 142 153 133 71 100% 17% 14% 8% 22% 22% 17% 50% 50% 5% 12% 28% 21% 33% 13% 21% 16% 11% 20% 19% 28% 31% 27% 14% o W **D/S (FOR - AGAINST) 77 14 10 6 18 9 19 15 63 13 17 4 11 33 13 -7 9 19 19 25 32 17 14 15 15% 17% 15% 15% 16% 8% 22% 6% 25% 48% 28% 2% 10% 20% 19% -7% 11% 35% 18% 27% 23% 11% 11% 21% f f F H LMn LM L LM P P PQs P PQ VW vw FOR --- MAR 5-7, 2016 244 44 32 21 51 51 45 111 133 18 33 57 52 84 35 37 39 32 51 50 73 69 61 40 49% 52% 48% 51% 46% 47% 52% 44% 53% 69% 55% 40% 48% 51% 52% 36% 49% 60% 50% 53% 52% 45% 46% 57% h l l l p p P p P JAN 13-14&16, 2016 208 37 24 19 43 47 38 107 100 13 22 55 49 68 34 39 35 15 48 37 45 58 65 37 42% 42% 38% 51% 39% 40% 45% 43% 40% 50% 37% 39% 44% 42% 40% 42% 49% 43% 43% 36% 41% 38% 41% 49% AGAINST ------- MAR 5-7, 2016 167 29 22 15 33 42 25 96 70 5 16 54 41 50 22 44 30 13 32 25 41 52 47 25 33% 35% 33% 36% 30% 39% 29% 39% 28% 21% 27% 38% 38% 31% 33% 43% 38% 24% 31% 27% 29% 34% 35% 36% I RsT JAN 13-14&16, 2016 173 36 19 9 41 43 24 96 77 4 23 48 42 56 30 37 28 9 36 32 39 50 59 24 35% 40% 30% 25% 38% 37% 29% 38% 31% 16% 39% 34% 38% 34% 36% 40% 39% 26% 32% 31% 35% 33% 37% 31% i j j DON'T KNOW/NEED MORE 86 12 13 5 27 15 14 39 47 3 11 29 15 28 10 19 10 8 19 19 26 30 25 4 INFORMATION 17% 14% 19% 13% 25% 13% 16% 16% 19% 10% 19% 20% 14% 17% 15% 19% 12% 16% 19% 20% 18% 20% 18% 6% bdF X X X REFUSED 3 - - - - 1 2 3 - - - 2 - 1 - 2 1 - - - 1 1 - 1 1% - - - - 1% 2% 1% - - - 2% - 1% - 2% 1% - - - 1% 1% - 2% i Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C/D/E/F/G H/I J/K/L/M/N O/P/Q/R/S/T U/V/W/X N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C / FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE

CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA GOP PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 2016 Please tell me if you would vote FOR or AGAINST the Connect NC Public Improvement Bond, which will be on the ballot this March and reads: The issuance of two billion dollars State of North Carolina Public Improvement Bonds constituting general obligation bonds of the State secured by a pledge of the faith and credit and taxing power of the State for the purpose of providing funds, with any other available funds, to fund capital improvements and new facilities for the State, including, without limitation, the construction and furnishing of new facilities and the renovation and rehabilitation of existing facilities for, without limitation, the University of North Carolina System, the North Carolina Community College System, water and sewer systems, the State's National Guard, the Department of Agriculture and Consumer Services, attractions and parks, and the Department of Public Safety. BANNER 2 EMPLOYMENT MARITAL PARTY REG PARTY REG/GENDER IDEOLOGY RACE STATUS STATUS INCOME =========== ======================= ============================= =========== ================= =========== ========================= UN- $50K GOP GOP IND IND VERY SMWT AF. FULL RET- EMPL- AND $50K- $100K- TOTAL GOP IND MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN LIB MOD CONS CONS CONS AMER. WHITE TIME IRED OYED MRRD SNGL UNDER $100K $200K $200K+ (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 500 395 105 196 199 54 51 22 90 386 246 139 4 471 256 189 25 371 57 133 136 65 18 100% 79% 21% 39% 40% 11% 10% 4% 18% 77% 49% 28% 1% 94% 51% 38% 5% 74% 11% 27% 27% 13% 4% h h M Uv **D/S (FOR - AGAINST) 77 63 14 18 45 -3 17 8 29 39 17 22 2 67 36 40 2 53 7 26 18 4 5 15% 16% 13% 9% 23% -6% 34% 37% 32% 10% 7% 16% 42% 14% 14% 21% 9% 14% 12% 19% 13% 6% 28% F DF DF JKl JKL K Oq V v FOR --- MAR 5-7, 2016 244 190 54 89 101 22 32 13 51 179 111 68 3 226 126 98 11 180 26 67 69 29 11 49% 48% 52% 45% 51% 41% 63% 60% 56% 46% 45% 49% 71% 48% 49% 52% 42% 49% 47% 50% 51% 45% 61% DF k JAN 13-14&16, 2016 208 168 39 83 86 25 15 11 43 153 93 60 2 194 108 79 6 163 21 37 73 31 9 42% 43% 38% 44% 41% 39% 35% 39% 49% 41% 38% 46% 22% 42% 43% 41% 29% 43% 38% 37% 48% 41% 47% AGAINST ------- MAR 5-7, 2016 167 127 40 71 56 26 15 5 22 140 93 47 1 160 90 57 8 127 20 41 52 25 6 33% 32% 38% 36% 28% 47% 29% 23% 24% 36% 38% 34% 29% 34% 35% 30% 33% 34% 35% 31% 38% 38% 33% e Eg I I JAN 13-14&16, 2016 173 129 44 67 62 29 15 10 24 139 98 41 3 164 89 70 5 129 18 36 50 26 4 35% 33% 42% 36% 30% 46% 36% 38% 27% 37% 40% 31% 34% 35% 35% 37% 24% 34% 32% 36% 33% 35% 19% E I DON'T KNOW/NEED MORE 86 76 10 33 43 7 4 4 18 63 40 23 - 82 38 33 6 62 9 25 14 11 1 INFORMATION 17% 19% 10% 17% 21% 12% 8% 17% 20% 16% 16% 17% 1% 17% 15% 17% 25% 17% 16% 19% 11% 17% 5% C g fG M uw REFUSED 3 3 - 3 - - - - - 3 2 1 - 3 2 1 - 2 1 - 1 - - 1% 1% - 2% - - - - - 1% 1% 1% - 1% 1% - - 1% 2% - 1% - - c efg hi m Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C D/E/F/G H/I/J/K/L M/N O/P/Q R/S T/U/V/W N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C / FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE

CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA GOP PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 2016 Part of the Affordable Care Act, also known as ObamaCare, would expand the current Medicaid Program. Currently, North Carolina has chosen not to expand its Medicaid program. To fund this expansion over the next ten years, the federal government will borrow about $50 billion dollars while North Carolina taxpayers will have to spend another $3 billion dollars. The majority of those covered under this Medicaid expansion will be able-bodied, childless males. With that in mind, do you think that North Carolina should keep its program or expand it? BANNER 1 KEY REGIONS GENDER AGE GENDER/AGE EDUCATION =================================== =========== ============================= =================================== ======================= NORTH PIED- WEST- TRI- SOUTH -EAST MONT CHAR- ERN MEN MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN WOMEN HS OR 2 YR 4 YR POST TOTAL ANGLE -EAST NC TRIAD LOTTE NC MEN WOMEN 18-25 26-40 41-55 56-65 66+ 18-44 45-64 65+ 18-44 45-64 65+ LESS COLL COLL GRAD (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) (X) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 500 84 68 42 111 109 86 250 250 26 61 142 107 163 67 103 80 53 102 94 142 153 133 71 100% 17% 14% 8% 22% 22% 17% 50% 50% 5% 12% 28% 21% 33% 13% 21% 16% 11% 20% 19% 28% 31% 27% 14% **D/S (KEEP EXISTING 244 39 32 23 57 59 35 134 110 15 25 79 53 72 38 51 45 24 52 34 63 80 61 39 MEDICAID PROGRAM - EXPAND 49% 46% 47% 55% 51% 54% 40% 54% 44% 58% 41% 56% 49% 44% 57% 49% 56% 45% 51% 36% 44% 52% 46% 55% MEDICAID PROGRAM) g I kn T t T T KEEP EXISTING MEDICAID 331 57 45 28 73 79 50 174 157 18 38 100 72 104 48 69 57 34 68 56 88 103 88 51 PROGRAM 66% 67% 66% 68% 65% 72% 58% 70% 63% 69% 62% 70% 67% 64% 72% 67% 71% 63% 67% 59% 62% 68% 66% 72% g t EXPAND MEDICAID PROGRAM 87 18 13 5 16 20 15 40 47 3 13 21 19 31 10 19 11 10 16 22 25 23 26 12 17% 21% 19% 13% 14% 18% 18% 16% 19% 11% 21% 15% 18% 19% 15% 18% 14% 18% 15% 23% 18% 15% 20% 17% DON'T KNOW/NEED MORE 77 8 10 7 23 10 19 34 43 5 9 21 17 24 9 15 10 9 19 15 27 24 18 8 INFORMATION 15% 9% 15% 17% 20% 9% 22% 14% 17% 20% 15% 15% 16% 15% 14% 15% 13% 16% 18% 16% 19% 16% 13% 11% BF BF REFUSED 4 2 - 1 - - 1 2 3 - 1 - - 3 - - 2 1 - 1 2 1 1 - 1% 3% - 3% - - 1% 1% 1% - 2% - - 2% - - 2% 3% - 1% 1% 1% 1% - jlm Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C/D/E/F/G H/I J/K/L/M/N O/P/Q/R/S/T U/V/W/X N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C / FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE

CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA GOP PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 2016 Part of the Affordable Care Act, also known as ObamaCare, would expand the current Medicaid Program. Currently, North Carolina has chosen not to expand its Medicaid program. To fund this expansion over the next ten years, the federal government will borrow about $50 billion dollars while North Carolina taxpayers will have to spend another $3 billion dollars. The majority of those covered under this Medicaid expansion will be able-bodied, childless males. With that in mind, do you think that North Carolina should keep its program or expand it? BANNER 2 EMPLOYMENT MARITAL PARTY REG PARTY REG/GENDER IDEOLOGY RACE STATUS STATUS INCOME =========== ======================= ============================= =========== ================= =========== ========================= UN- $50K GOP GOP IND IND VERY SMWT AF. FULL RET- EMPL- AND $50K- $100K- TOTAL GOP IND MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN LIB MOD CONS CONS CONS AMER. WHITE TIME IRED OYED MRRD SNGL UNDER $100K $200K $200K+ (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 500 395 105 196 199 54 51 22 90 386 246 139 4 471 256 189 25 371 57 133 136 65 18 100% 79% 21% 39% 40% 11% 10% 4% 18% 77% 49% 28% 1% 94% 51% 38% 5% 74% 11% 27% 27% 13% 4% **D/S (KEEP EXISTING 244 195 49 99 96 35 15 10 26 208 147 61 - 232 128 88 15 187 27 62 72 37 14 MEDICAID PROGRAM - EXPAND 49% 49% 47% 51% 48% 64% 29% 46% 29% 54% 60% 44% 5% 49% 50% 47% 58% 50% 47% 47% 53% 57% 79% MEDICAID PROGRAM) G G dEG Il IL I M TUv KEEP EXISTING MEDICAID 331 261 71 132 128 41 29 15 53 262 176 86 2 313 174 122 17 251 34 85 96 47 16 PROGRAM 66% 66% 67% 68% 64% 76% 58% 69% 59% 68% 71% 62% 52% 66% 68% 65% 67% 68% 60% 64% 70% 72% 90% eg Il TUv EXPAND MEDICAID PROGRAM 87 66 21 33 33 7 15 5 27 54 29 25 2 81 46 34 2 64 7 23 24 10 2 17% 17% 20% 17% 16% 13% 29% 22% 30% 14% 12% 18% 47% 17% 18% 18% 9% 17% 13% 17% 18% 15% 10% f JKl DON'T KNOW/NEED MORE 77 66 12 28 37 6 6 2 9 66 39 27 - 73 34 30 6 53 14 23 13 9 - INFORMATION 15% 17% 11% 15% 19% 11% 11% 9% 10% 17% 16% 20% 1% 16% 13% 16% 23% 14% 25% 17% 10% 14% - i i M W W W REFUSED 4 3 1 2 1 - 1 - 1 3 3 - - 4 1 3 - 3 1 1 3 - - 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% - 2% - 1% 1% 1% - - 1% 1% 2% - 1% 2% 1% 2% - - hl hl M q vw Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C D/E/F/G H/I/J/K/L M/N O/P/Q R/S T/U/V/W N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C / FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE

CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA GOP PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 2016 A new program to help families and students is being proposed in many states. Education Savings Accounts - or ESAs as they are commonly known - allow state funds to be used by parents to create a personal account to pay for K through 12 education expenses including: tuition, tutoring, testing, fees and books. Would you say you support or oppose an Education Savings Account program? BANNER 1 KEY REGIONS GENDER AGE GENDER/AGE EDUCATION =================================== =========== ============================= =================================== ======================= NORTH PIED- WEST- TRI- SOUTH -EAST MONT CHAR- ERN MEN MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN WOMEN HS OR 2 YR 4 YR POST TOTAL ANGLE -EAST NC TRIAD LOTTE NC MEN WOMEN 18-25 26-40 41-55 56-65 66+ 18-44 45-64 65+ 18-44 45-64 65+ LESS COLL COLL GRAD (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) (X) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 500 84 68 42 111 109 86 250 250 26 61 142 107 163 67 103 80 53 102 94 142 153 133 71 100% 17% 14% 8% 22% 22% 17% 50% 50% 5% 12% 28% 21% 33% 13% 21% 16% 11% 20% 19% 28% 31% 27% 14% **D/S (SUPPORT - OPPOSE) 119 20 6 13 36 23 22 60 59 21 22 31 29 15 20 31 10 32 21 5 44 27 31 18 24% 23% 9% 32% 32% 21% 25% 24% 23% 81% 37% 22% 27% 9% 29% 30% 12% 61% 21% 6% 31% 18% 23% 25% C C Cf C C KLMN lN N N QT QT OPQST T V TOTAL SUPPORT 269 48 31 24 60 60 46 137 131 24 37 77 61 70 40 58 39 39 55 37 77 81 73 37 ------------- 54% 57% 46% 57% 54% 55% 53% 55% 53% 90% 61% 54% 57% 43% 60% 57% 48% 74% 53% 40% 55% 53% 55% 53% KLMN N n N T T pQST t TOTAL OPPOSE 150 28 25 10 25 37 24 77 73 3 15 45 32 55 21 27 29 7 34 32 33 54 42 20 ------------ 30% 34% 37% 25% 22% 34% 28% 31% 29% 10% 24% 32% 30% 34% 31% 27% 36% 13% 33% 34% 23% 35% 32% 28% E e J j J r r R R R U STRONGLY SUPPORT 163 27 24 17 37 36 21 88 75 12 24 48 38 40 25 37 25 24 31 20 36 53 53 20 33% 32% 35% 41% 33% 33% 25% 35% 30% 47% 39% 34% 35% 25% 38% 36% 31% 45% 30% 22% 26% 35% 40% 28% g n n n T T T Ux SOMEWHAT SUPPORT 106 21 7 6 23 23 24 50 56 11 13 28 23 30 15 21 14 15 24 17 41 28 20 18 21% 25% 11% 15% 21% 21% 28% 20% 23% 43% 22% 20% 22% 18% 23% 20% 17% 28% 23% 18% 29% 18% 15% 25% C c c C VW SOMEWHAT OPPOSE 54 9 9 4 10 11 10 32 21 3 12 16 8 14 13 10 9 6 9 7 18 15 17 4 11% 11% 13% 11% 9% 10% 11% 13% 9% 10% 20% 12% 7% 9% 19% 10% 12% 11% 9% 7% 13% 10% 13% 6% MN t STRONGLY OPPOSE 96 19 17 6 15 26 14 45 51 - 2 29 24 41 8 18 19 1 25 25 15 39 25 16 19% 23% 25% 14% 13% 24% 17% 18% 21% - 4% 20% 22% 25% 12% 17% 24% 2% 24% 27% 11% 26% 19% 22% e E JK JK JK r R oR oR OpR U u u DON'T KNOW/NEED MORE 78 7 10 8 26 11 16 34 44 - 9 19 14 35 6 16 13 7 14 22 29 18 18 12 INFORMATION 16% 8% 15% 19% 24% 10% 19% 14% 17% - 15% 14% 13% 22% 9% 16% 16% 13% 14% 24% 21% 12% 13% 17% BF b J J J Jlm Os v REFUSED 3 1 1 - - 1 - 1 2 - - 1 - 2 - 1 - - - 2 2 - - 1 1% 1% 2% - - 1% - - 1% - - 1% - 1% - 1% - - - 2% 1% - - 2% Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C/D/E/F/G H/I J/K/L/M/N O/P/Q/R/S/T U/V/W/X N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C / FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE

CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA GOP PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 2016 A new program to help families and students is being proposed in many states. Education Savings Accounts - or ESAs as they are commonly known - allow state funds to be used by parents to create a personal account to pay for K through 12 education expenses including: tuition, tutoring, testing, fees and books. Would you say you support or oppose an Education Savings Account program? BANNER 2 EMPLOYMENT MARITAL PARTY REG PARTY REG/GENDER IDEOLOGY RACE STATUS STATUS INCOME =========== ======================= ============================= =========== ================= =========== ========================= UN- $50K GOP GOP IND IND VERY SMWT AF. FULL RET- EMPL- AND $50K- $100K- TOTAL GOP IND MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN LIB MOD CONS CONS CONS AMER. WHITE TIME IRED OYED MRRD SNGL UNDER $100K $200K $200K+ (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 500 395 105 196 199 54 51 22 90 386 246 139 4 471 256 189 25 371 57 133 136 65 18 100% 79% 21% 39% 40% 11% 10% 4% 18% 77% 49% 28% 1% 94% 51% 38% 5% 74% 11% 27% 27% 13% 4% **D/S (SUPPORT - OPPOSE) 119 97 21 52 46 8 13 9 8 100 49 51 2 104 87 11 14 86 22 41 39 3 5 24% 25% 20% 26% 23% 16% 26% 40% 9% 26% 20% 37% 52% 22% 34% 6% 56% 23% 38% 31% 29% 4% 28% f Ik Ik I IJK P oP r V V V TOTAL SUPPORT 269 213 56 110 103 27 28 15 41 210 128 83 3 247 153 82 19 198 37 77 79 31 11 ------------- 54% 54% 53% 56% 52% 50% 56% 70% 45% 55% 52% 59% 76% 52% 60% 43% 74% 53% 65% 58% 58% 48% 58% Ik I P P TOTAL OPPOSE 150 116 34 58 57 19 15 7 33 110 78 32 1 143 66 71 4 112 15 36 40 28 6 ------------ 30% 29% 32% 30% 29% 35% 30% 30% 37% 29% 32% 23% 24% 30% 26% 38% 18% 30% 27% 27% 29% 43% 30% L l OQ Tu STRONGLY SUPPORT 163 129 34 70 58 17 17 10 26 124 82 41 3 146 99 50 9 121 19 35 57 21 3 33% 33% 32% 36% 29% 32% 33% 47% 29% 32% 33% 30% 76% 31% 39% 26% 35% 33% 34% 26% 42% 31% 18% N P TW SOMEWHAT SUPPORT 106 85 21 40 45 10 11 5 15 87 45 41 - 101 54 33 10 77 18 42 22 11 7 21% 21% 20% 20% 23% 18% 23% 23% 16% 22% 18% 30% - 21% 21% 17% 38% 21% 31% 32% 16% 16% 40% IK M p UV uv SOMEWHAT OPPOSE 54 43 10 26 17 6 4 1 13 40 26 13 - 54 30 18 2 41 8 15 13 13 1 11% 11% 10% 13% 9% 12% 8% 6% 14% 10% 11% 10% - 11% 12% 10% 10% 11% 14% 11% 9% 20% 5% M uw STRONGLY OPPOSE 96 73 24 33 40 12 11 5 20 71 52 19 1 89 36 53 2 72 7 21 28 16 5 19% 18% 23% 17% 20% 23% 22% 24% 22% 18% 21% 13% 24% 19% 14% 28% 8% 19% 13% 16% 20% 24% 25% l OQ DON'T KNOW/NEED MORE 78 63 15 26 37 8 7 - 16 62 39 22 - 78 35 33 2 57 4 18 17 6 2 INFORMATION 16% 16% 15% 13% 18% 15% 14% - 18% 16% 16% 16% - 17% 14% 18% 8% 15% 8% 14% 12% 9% 12% H H H H M REFUSED 3 3 - 1 2 - - - - 3 1 2 - 3 1 2 - 3 - 1 - - - 1% 1% - 1% 1% - - - - 1% - 2% - 1% - 1% - 1% - 1% - - - c hi m s Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C D/E/F/G H/I/J/K/L M/N O/P/Q R/S T/U/V/W N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C / FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE

CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA GOP PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 2016 Of the following candidates in the Democrat Presidential Primary field - which candidate could you see yourself possibly voting for in November: Bernie Sanders or Hillary Clinton? BANNER 1 KEY REGIONS GENDER AGE GENDER/AGE EDUCATION =================================== =========== ============================= =================================== ======================= NORTH PIED- WEST- TRI- SOUTH -EAST MONT CHAR- ERN MEN MEN MEN WOMEN WOMEN WOMEN HS OR 2 YR 4 YR POST TOTAL ANGLE -EAST NC TRIAD LOTTE NC MEN WOMEN 18-25 26-40 41-55 56-65 66+ 18-44 45-64 65+ 18-44 45-64 65+ LESS COLL COLL GRAD (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) (X) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 500 84 68 42 111 109 86 250 250 26 61 142 107 163 67 103 80 53 102 94 142 153 133 71 100% 17% 14% 8% 22% 22% 17% 50% 50% 5% 12% 28% 21% 33% 13% 21% 16% 11% 20% 19% 28% 31% 27% 14% **D/S (SANDERS - CLINTON) 59 20 11 10 11 4 5 34 25 10 4 5 21 20 11 13 10 5 6 13 24 20 9 5 12% 23% 16% 23% 10% 3% 6% 14% 10% 37% 6% 3% 19% 12% 17% 13% 12% 10% 6% 14% 17% 13% 7% 7% EFG Fg eFG f kL KL L s s WX w BERNIE SANDERS 112 24 16 14 21 21 16 57 55 10 13 26 28 35 17 24 16 11 20 23 39 34 24 15 22% 29% 23% 33% 19% 19% 19% 23% 22% 37% 21% 18% 26% 22% 25% 24% 20% 21% 20% 25% 27% 23% 18% 22% w HILLARY CLINTON 53 5 5 4 11 17 11 23 30 - 9 21 8 16 5 11 6 6 14 10 14 14 15 10 11% 5% 7% 10% 10% 16% 13% 9% 12% - 15% 15% 7% 10% 8% 11% 8% 11% 13% 11% 10% 9% 11% 15% Bc J Jm J J NONE/DON'T KNOW 311 53 44 21 74 65 54 155 156 17 37 84 66 108 40 60 56 35 63 59 85 97 92 35 62% 63% 65% 51% 67% 60% 63% 62% 62% 63% 60% 59% 62% 66% 59% 58% 70% 65% 61% 62% 60% 64% 69% 50% x X REFUSED 23 2 3 3 5 6 5 14 9 - 2 12 5 4 5 7 2 1 6 2 4 7 3 9 5% 3% 5% 6% 4% 5% 5% 6% 4% - 4% 8% 4% 2% 7% 7% 2% 3% 6% 2% 3% 5% 2% 13% JN J J UvW Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C/D/E/F/G H/I J/K/L/M/N O/P/Q/R/S/T U/V/W/X N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C / FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE

CIVITAS / NORTH CAROLINA GOP PRIMARY STUDY / MARCH 2016 Of the following candidates in the Democrat Presidential Primary field - which candidate could you see yourself possibly voting for in November: Bernie Sanders or Hillary Clinton? BANNER 2 EMPLOYMENT MARITAL PARTY REG PARTY REG/GENDER IDEOLOGY RACE STATUS STATUS INCOME =========== ======================= ============================= =========== ================= =========== ========================= UN- $50K GOP GOP IND IND VERY SMWT AF. FULL RET- EMPL- AND $50K- $100K- TOTAL GOP IND MEN WOMEN MEN WOMEN LIB MOD CONS CONS CONS AMER. WHITE TIME IRED OYED MRRD SNGL UNDER $100K $200K $200K+ (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L) (M) (N) (O) (P) (Q) (R) (S) (T) (U) (V) (W) ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ ------ BASE=TOTAL SAMPLE 500 395 105 196 199 54 51 22 90 386 246 139 4 471 256 189 25 371 57 133 136 65 18 100% 79% 21% 39% 40% 11% 10% 4% 18% 77% 49% 28% 1% 94% 51% 38% 5% 74% 11% 27% 27% 13% 4% **D/S (SANDERS - CLINTON) 59 48 11 27 21 8 4 2 4 52 28 24 - 52 28 21 5 37 9 18 18 4 4 12% 12% 11% 14% 11% 14% 7% 10% 5% 14% 11% 18% 2% 11% 11% 11% 20% 10% 17% 14% 13% 7% 22% I I I BERNIE SANDERS 112 83 29 43 40 15 15 9 27 77 40 37 1 103 60 39 7 81 14 34 31 13 6 22% 21% 28% 22% 20% 27% 29% 40% 30% 20% 16% 26% 29% 22% 23% 21% 30% 22% 24% 26% 23% 20% 33% jK jK K HILLARY CLINTON 53 35 18 16 19 7 11 6 23 24 12 12 1 51 32 18 3 44 4 16 13 9 2 11% 9% 17% 8% 9% 13% 22% 29% 25% 6% 5% 9% 27% 11% 12% 10% 10% 12% 8% 12% 9% 13% 11% B De JKL JKL NONE/DON'T KNOW 311 258 53 126 133 30 23 7 39 264 185 79 1 296 149 126 14 227 36 79 87 40 10 62% 65% 51% 64% 67% 55% 46% 31% 43% 68% 75% 57% 24% 63% 58% 67% 55% 61% 64% 60% 64% 61% 56% C G G HIL HIjL HI m o REFUSED 23 19 4 11 8 3 1 - 2 21 10 11 1 21 16 6 1 19 2 3 5 3 - 5% 5% 4% 6% 4% 6% 2% - 3% 5% 4% 8% 21% 4% 6% 3% 5% 5% 4% 2% 4% 5% - H H Hi W w Significance Z-testing shown at 95% in UPPERCASE and 90% in lowercase in the groupings: B/C D/E/F/G H/I/J/K/L M/N O/P/Q R/S T/U/V/W N A T I O N A L R E S E A R C H I N C / FOR THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE