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7/26/2019 Many a slip between the cup and the lip: The effects of default-based nudges on pro-social behavior and attitudes.
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Many a slip between the cup and the lip:The effects of default-based nudges on
pro-social behavior and attitudes.
Alexia Gaudeul1 & Magdalena Kaczmarek2
Georg-August-Universitt, Gttingen
Institute of Psychosocial Medicine and Psychotherapy,University Hospital Jena
May 24, 2016Kassel
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The Nudger
The Nudge
The Nudgee
Wealth,
Health, andHappyness!!!
Any aspect of the choicearchitecture that altersbehavior in a predictable waywithout forbidding any options
or significantly changing theireconomic incentives (Thaler &Sunstein, 2008)
Supposedly in a way thatpeople, after careful
consideration, would considerto be in their best interest (proself vs. pro social?)
Nudges
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Gap between long term goals and short term behavior
System 2 (Reasoning, Explicit):
Goal oriented & reflective
Requires cognitive engagement
Driven by values and intentions
Intervention
Changing Mind:
Alter beliefs and attitudesthrough information
Motivate with prospect of futurebenefits
Results: Modest effectiveness
Nudges and why they are needed
System 1 (Intuitive, Implicit):
Automatic and affective
Requires no or little cognitiveengagement
Driven by immediate feelings andtriggered by our environment
Intervention
Altering social and physicalenvironments to make certain
behaviors more likely Social norm feedback (taxes)
Changing defaults (organdonation
Altering physical environments(Ikea, supermarkets)
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Nudging Make non-smoking more visible
through mass media campaigns
communicating that the majority
do not smoke and the majority of
smokers want to stop
Serve drinks in smaller glasses
Make salad rather than chips thedefault side order
Make stairs, not lifts, more
prominent and attractive in public
buildings
Legislation Ban smoking in public places
Increase price of cigarettes
Regulate pricing through duty or
minimum pricing per unit
Ban industrially produced transfatty acids
Increase duty on petrol year on
year (fuel price escalator)
Smoking
Alcohol
Diet
Physical
Activity
Nudges Many domains of applications
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Nudges Examples
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Nudges Examples
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The nudgee might rebel!
What about the nudgee?
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Limited research from the perspective of the nudgee (the personbeing nudged).
Do they prefer overt or covert nudges? (Felsen et al., Public attitudes towards overt and covert nudges,
Judgment and Decision Making, 2013) People prefer conscious decisional enhancements
What do they think about the nudge?
(Gunnlaugsson, Informed Nudges, 2014)
Revealing manipulation neg. affects acceptance of the intervention
What about the nudgee?
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Who wants to be nudged? (Pedersen et al , Who wants paternalism?, Bulletin of Economic Research,
2012)
Attitudes towards nudges are not linked to self- control, but attitudestowards strong paternalism are.
What do they think about the nudger? (Kataria et al, Paternalism with Hindsight , Social Choice and Welfare,
2014)
Consequential stand on paternalism, punishment when outcome is bad
Do nudgees stop thinking about their choices? (de Haan & Linde, Good Nudge Lullaby , 2011)
Do nudgees start ignoring or avoiding nudges? (Damgaard & Gravert, The effect of deadlines on charitable giving , 2016)
What about the nudgee?
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Research questionsand hypotheses
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How does the nudge affect peoples perception of charities andof the nudged behavior?
Can a one-time nudge change peoples mind about thedesirable action?
or do they react to it mechanically, i.e. once the nudge is gone, thebehavior is also gone?
Research questions
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In this case, the nudge leads to a change in attitude
possible longer term effect.
Nudge Change in attitude
cdf attitude
Threshold for contribution
People
Attitude
Nudge
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In this case, the nudge works by making it easier to contribute
less likely to survive
Nudge Pressure to contribute
cdf attitudeThreshold for contribution
People
Attitude
Nudge
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H1: The default option is more likely to be chosen at the time ofapplication
H2: Attitudes towards or against the charity and the nudginginstitution will be shaped by resisting or yielding to a nudge.
H3: Pledges in the second phase will reflect attitudes generatedin the first phase.
H4: People who are nudged towards charity giving will be lesscommitted to actually donate than people who decided to do
so against the nudge.
Hypotheses
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The experiment
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1st Phase People are offered 2 to fill a survey.
Four treatments:
Nudge to pledge.
Nudge to keep. Nudge to pledge with choice.
Nudge to keep with choice.
2nd Phase: Free choice to pledge or keep 2 again.
3rd Phase: Collect money (4) and contribute.
The experiment
Pledge
Pledge
Donation
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The experiment
Randomized
emails to 3762
subjects
(Max Planck
Orsee database)
Questionnaires and Filler Tasks
Demographic variables, Questions
regarding attitudes to risk, fairness
and trust, Big Five, CRT.
Manipulation
1. No nudge (n=210)
2. Nudge (n=190)
3. No nudge with choice (n=191)
4. Nudge with choice (n=195)
5. Control (n=202)
Attitude Measures
towards charity
towards the nudger (MPI)
towards the nudge
Questionnaires and Filler Tasks
Demographic variables , Questions
regarding attitudes to risk, fairness
and trust, Big Five, CRT.
Manipulation
1. No nudge (1&2; n=346)
2. No nudge with choice (3&4;
n=330)
Attitude Measures
towards charity
towards the nudger (MPI)
towards the nudge
Payout
(N=460)
3 days 2 weeks 3 days 2 weeks
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1. I would like to know more about the charity (+)
2. I think the work of the charity is important (+)
3. I am interested in the work of the charity (+)
4. I am indifferent about the work of the charity (-)
5. I think the work of the charity has got meaning (+)
6. There should be more charities like . . . (+)
7. The charity makes good use of its money (+)
8. The charity wastes its money (-)9. My opinion of the charity is positive (+)
10. The charity contributes in an important way (+)
Attitude to the charities
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1. I would like to have the opportunity to contribute in futureexperiments (+)
2. I would contribute money to charities in future experiments (+)
3. I felt forced to contribute (-)
4. I am happy with my decision (+)
5. I do not like this campaign for donations (-)
Attitude to the nudge
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The sample
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Demographics and consistency in answers
First periodSecond period
consistency
Age 24 99%
Female 65% 100%
German 95% 100%
Education56% Abitur
22% Bachelor
96%
98%
Parents
education
34% Both Abitur
27% One Abitur
96%
97%
Environment
26% Village
36% Town
33% City
92%
82%
89%
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Findings
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Pledges and donations
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Pledges and donations
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Result 1: Participants who were nudged to pledge were almosttwice more likely to pledge donations to charities in the firstphase of the experiment. This confirms hypothesis 1.
In treatments with a choice of charities: 37.9% of 190 participantspledged in the treatment with a default to pledge vs. 19.8% of 212participants if the default was to keep.
(two-sample test of proportions, z-statistic=-4.02, p
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Result 2: Nudges did not affect attitudes of pledging or nonpledging participants. This goes against Hypothesis 2.
Index of attitude to charities with a Cronbach's alpha taking values from0.86 to 0.92 depending on the charity.
Whether with choice of charities and whether pledged or not, nodifference in attitude to charities depending on if there was a nudge topledge or a nudge to keep.
Effect on attitudes
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Result 3: Participants who were nudged to pledge in the firstphase were neither more nor less likely to pledge in the secondphase. This confirms hypothesis 3.
Without choice of charities, 21.6% of participants who were nudged topledge in the first phase pledged in the second phase, compared with20.1% if they had been nudged to keep
(z-statistic=-0.33, Pr(Z
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Pledged 4 Pledged 2 Pledged 0
Nudge to keep 28,0% 42,9% 56,4%
Nudge to pledge 29,4% 46,2% 67,3%
Nudge to keep
Choice of charities
43,3% 35,3% 60,7%
Nudge to pledge
Choice of charities
22,2% 47,1% 64,9%
Total 30,4% 43,2% 61,9%
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Note: Good correspondence between pledges, recall of pledges and actualdonations
Commitment to pledges
% of participants coming to collect
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Result 4: Nudging participants to pledge to a charity did notmake those who pledged less likely to collect. This contradictshypothesis 4. However, nudging to pledge did make non-pledging participants less likely to collect.
Subjects who pledged in the nudge to pledge treatments were notless likely to come collect the money than those who pledged in thenudge to keep treatments.
But subjects who did not pledge in the nudge to pledge treatments
were more likely to come collect the money than those who did notpledge in the nudge to keep treatments.
Commitment to pledge
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Summary, discussionand conclusion
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Strong impact of default nudges on individual pledgingbehavior,
but neither do those pledges predict long-term commitment,
nor do they translate into actual giving.
Yielding to a nudge was not associated with better attitudes tocharities but neither did not yielding lead to hardening in theattitudes of participants.
because the nudged behavior did not generate significant cognitivedissonance to be compensated for by changes in attitudes?
Nudges worked only at the margin, on people close toindifference? no long-lasting effect of the nudge.
Summary and discussion
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In terms of actual donations, pledging default does not lead to morecommitment to pledge among pledging participants, but to morecommitment not to pledge among non-pledging participants.
revealed effect of nudges on attitudes?
Summary
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Decisions can be guided towards the preferred outcome forthose people who do not hold strong preferences against it.
Those who resist a nudge may become more committed to thatresistance.
Nudges are better accepted if there is some leeway in how torespond to the nudge.
Default nudges are effective for specific and limited alterationsof behavior, but are not enough for transformational changes in
values and attitudes needed for long-term success.
Conclusion