33
ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey Canada Q1 2020

Manpowergroup Employment Outlook Survey Canada · 2019-12-09 · SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE SIZE: US LETTER DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    0

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Manpowergroup Employment Outlook Survey Canada · 2019-12-09 · SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE SIZE: US LETTER DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120

SMART JOB NO: 43506 QUARTER 1 2020

CLIENT: MANPOWER

SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE

SIZE: US LETTER

DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120 PAgE: 1

ARTWORK SIZE: 279.4mm x 215.9mm DATE: 23.11.19

Manpowergroup Employment Outlook SurveyCanada

Q1 2020

Page 2: Manpowergroup Employment Outlook Survey Canada · 2019-12-09 · SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE SIZE: US LETTER DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120

SMART JOB NO: 43506 QUARTER 1 2020

CLIENT: MANPOWER

SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE

SIZE: US LETTER

DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120 PAgE: 2

ARTWORK SIZE: 279.4mm x 215.9mm DATE: 23.11.19

The ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey for the first quarter 2020 was conducted by interviewing a representative sample of 1,933 employers in Canada.

All survey participants were asked, “How do you anticipate total employment at your location to change in the three months to the end of March 2020 as compared to the current quarter?”

Contents

Canadian Employment Outlook 1Organization-Size ComparisonsRegional Comparisons Sector Comparisons

global Employment Outlook 13International Comparisons – AmericasInternational Comparisons – Asia PacificInternational Comparisons – EMEA

About the Survey 30

About Manpowergroup® 31Can

adia

nE

mp

loym

ent

Out

look

Page 3: Manpowergroup Employment Outlook Survey Canada · 2019-12-09 · SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE SIZE: US LETTER DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120

ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey 1

SMART JOB NO: 43506 QUARTER 1 2020

CLIENT: MANPOWER

SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE

SIZE: US LETTER

DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120 PAgE: 1

ARTWORK SIZE: 279.4mm x 215.9mm DATE: 23.11.19

Increase Decrease No Change Don’t Know Net EmploymentOutlook

SeasonallyAdjusted

% % % % % %

14 6 79 1 8 121st Quarter 2019

16 3 80 1 13 102nd Quarter 2019

19 3 77 1 16 113rd Quarter 2019

15 6 78 1 9 124th Quarter 2019

12 6 81 1 6 101st Quarter 2020

’93 ’94 ’95 ’96 ’97 ’98 ’99 ’00 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05 ’06 ’07 ’08 ’09 ’10 ’11 ’12 ’13 ’14 ’15 ’16 ’17 ’18 ’19 ’20

Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero

-40-30-20-10

0102030405060

Canadian Employment Outlook

Canadian employers report modest hiring plans for the January to March time frame. With 12% of employers expecting to increase payrolls, 6% forecasting a decrease and 81% anticipating no change, the resulting Net Employment Outlook is +6%.

Once the data is adjusted to allow for seasonal variation, the Outlook stands at +10%. Hiring intentions decline by 2 percentage points when compared with quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year.

Throughout this report, we use the term “Net Employment Outlook.” This figure is derived by taking the percentage of employers anticipating total employment to increase and subtracting from this the percentage expecting to see a decrease in employment at their location in the next quarter. The result of this calculation is the Net Employment Outlook.

From this point forward, all data discussed in the commentary is seasonally adjusted, unless stated otherwise.

Page 4: Manpowergroup Employment Outlook Survey Canada · 2019-12-09 · SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE SIZE: US LETTER DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120

2 ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey

SMART JOB NO: 43506 QUARTER 1 2020

CLIENT: MANPOWER

SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE

SIZE: US LETTER

DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120 PAgE: 2

ARTWORK SIZE: 279.4mm x 215.9mm DATE: 23.11.19

Participating employers are categorized into one of four organization sizes: Micro businesses have less than 10 employees; Small businesses have 10-49 employees; Medium businesses have 50-249 employees; and Large businesses have 250 or more employees.

Employers in all four organization size categories anticipate job gains during the coming quarter. The strongest labour market is expected by Large employers who report a Net Employment Outlook of +26%. Elsewhere, Medium employers expect a steady hiring pace, reporting an Outlook of +13%, while Outlooks stand at +8% and +2% for Small- and Micro-size employers, respectively.

Organization-Size ComparisonsIn a quarter-over-quarter comparison, hiring prospects are 2 percentage points weaker in both the Small- and Medium-size categories. Meanwhile, Micro employers report relatively stable hiring plans and the Outlook for Large employers is unchanged.

Moderately weaker hiring intentions are reported by Large- and Medium-size employers when compared with this time one year ago, with Outlooks declining by 8 and 5 percentage points, respectively. Small employers also report a decrease of 3 percentage points, but hiring prospects remain relatively stable for Micro employers.

IncreaseOrganization-Size Decrease No Change Don’t Know Net EmploymentOutlook

SeasonallyAdjusted

% % % % % %

Large-Size 250 or more

Medium-Size 50-249

Small-Size 10-49

Micro-Size less than 10

27 6 64 3 21 26

16 7 77 0 9 13

9 7 83 1 2 8

4 4 92 0 0 2

Micro-Size less than 10Micro-Size less than 10

Graph displays Seasonally Adjusted DataGraph displays Seasonally Adjusted Data

Small-Size 10-49Small-Size 10-49 Medium-Size 50-249Medium-Size 50-249 Large-Size 250 or moreLarge-Size 250 or more

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

Page 5: Manpowergroup Employment Outlook Survey Canada · 2019-12-09 · SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE SIZE: US LETTER DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120

ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey 3

SMART JOB NO: 43506 QUARTER 1 2020

CLIENT: MANPOWER

SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE

SIZE: US LETTER

DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120 PAgE: 3

ARTWORK SIZE: 279.4mm x 215.9mm DATE: 23.11.19

Regional ComparisonsAtlantic Canada

Employers forecast positive workforce gains in the first quarter of 2020, reporting a Net Employment Outlook of +11%. Hiring prospects decline by 2 percentage points in a comparison with the final quarter of 2019, but are unchanged when compared with this time one year ago.

Payroll gains are forecast for nine of the 10 industry sectors during the forthcoming quarter. The strongest hiring plans are reported in two sectors with Net Employment Outlooks of +22% – the Finance, Insurance & Real Estate sector and the Manufacturing – Non-Durables sector, where the Outlook is the strongest reported in 12 years. Education sector employers expect an active labour market, reporting an Outlook of +21%, while Outlooks stand at +20% and +15% in the Public Administration sector and the Mining sector, respectively. Steady job growth is expected in both the Construction sector and the Services sector, with Outlooks of +13%. However, Manufacturing – Durables sector employers report gloomy hiring plans with an Outlook of -14% – the weakest forecast for the sector in four years.

Hiring intentions weaken in six of the 10 industry sectors when compared with the previous quarter. Manufacturing – Durables sector employers report a steep decline of 46 percentage points, while Outlooks are 9 percentage points weaker in both the Construction sector and the Finance, Insurance & Real Estate sector. Meanwhile, employers in four sectors report stronger hiring sentiment. The most notable improvement of 19 percentage points is reported in the Manufacturing – Non-Durables sector, and Outlooks increase by 5 percentage points in both the Public Administration sector and the Transportation & Public Utilities sector.

Employers in five of the 10 industry sectors report stronger hiring prospects in a comparison with the same period last year. A sharp increase of 41 percentage points is reported for the Manufacturing – Non-Durables sector. Elsewhere, Mining sector employers report a considerable increase of 15 percentage points, while the Education sector Outlook is 7 percentage points stronger. However, Outlooks also weaken in four sectors, most notably by 28 percentage points in the Manufacturing – Durables sector. Employers in the Construction sector and the Transportation & Public Utilities sector report decreases of 17 and 12 percentage points, respectively.

Workforce growth is anticipated in six of the seven areas during the first quarter of 2020. The strongest hiring intentions are reported in Charlottetown, where the Outlook stands at +21%. A steady increase in payrolls is expected in Moncton and Halifax, with Outlooks of +17% and +12%, respectively, while the Outlook for Cape Breton Area is +10%. However, St. John’s employers forecast a decline in staffing levels, reporting an Outlook of -3%.

Hiring prospects weaken in five areas when compared with the previous quarter, most notably by 14 percentage points in Halifax and by 12 percentage points in St. John’s. However, hiring prospects are 10 percentage points stronger in Moncton, while increasing by 5 percentage points in Cape Breton Area.

In a comparison with the first quarter of 2019, Outlooks improve in four areas, including increases of 4 percentage points in both Cape Breton Area and Moncton. Meanwhile, Outlooks decline in Halifax and Fredericton, decreasing by 10 and 4 percentage points, respectively.

+2 (+11)%

Net EmploymentOutlook

SeasonallyAdjustedIncrease Decrease No Change Don’t Know

% % % %%%

ConstructionAll Industries

EducationFinance, Insurance & Real EstateManufacturing – Durables Manufacturing – Non-Durables MiningPublic Administration ServicesTransportation & Public Utilities Wholesale & Retail Trade

6 11 83 -50 1311 9 79 21 11

17 0 83 17 21029 0 71 0 29 220 36 64 0 -36 -14

25 17 58 0 22819 13 68 0 15613 0 87 13 2007 7 83 3 0 138 0 92 0 8 108 10 81 1 -2 6

Page 6: Manpowergroup Employment Outlook Survey Canada · 2019-12-09 · SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE SIZE: US LETTER DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120

4 ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey

SMART JOB NO: 43506 QUARTER 1 2020

CLIENT: MANPOWER

SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE

SIZE: US LETTER

DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120 PAgE: 4

ARTWORK SIZE: 279.4mm x 215.9mm DATE: 23.11.19

+7 (+9)%

Net EmploymentOutlook

SeasonallyAdjustedIncrease Decrease No Change Don’t Know

% % % %%%

ConstructionAll Industries

EducationFinance, Insurance & Real EstateManufacturing – Durables Manufacturing – Non-Durables MiningPublic Administration ServicesTransportation & Public Utilities Wholesale & Retail Trade

11 12 75 -12 912 5 82 71 9

14 0 86 14 12012 2 85 1 10 1023 2 75 0 21 189 4 87 0 8513 20 65 2 7-715 4 80 11 2119 5 85 1 4 617 13 70 0 4 117 4 89 0 3 7

Ontario

With a Net Employment Outlook of +9%, employers anticipate the weakest labour market in three years during the upcoming quarter. While the Outlook remains relatively stable quarter-over-quarter, employers report a slight decline of 2 percentage points in comparison with last year at this time.

Employers in all 10 industry sectors forecast payroll growth during the next three months. The strongest hiring pace is anticipated in the Public Administration sector, where the Net Employment Outlook is +21%. Manufacturing – Durables sector employers expect steady job growth, reporting an Outlook of +18%, and Outlooks stand at +12% and +11% in the Education sector and the Transportation & Public Utilities sector, respectively. Elsewhere, fair hiring prospects are reported in the Finance, Insurance & Real Estate sector with an Outlook of +10%, and in the Construction sector, where the Outlook is +9%. Meanwhile, Services sector employers report the weakest Outlook of +6%.

When compared with the final quarter of 2019, hiring plans weaken in six of the 10 industry sectors, most notably by 8 percentage points in the Mining sector. Transportation & Public Utilities sector employers report a decline of 5 percentage points, while Outlooks are 4 percentage points weaker in both the Construction sector and the Finance, Insurance & Real Estate sector. However, hiring sentiment strengthens in four sectors, most notably by 6 percentage points in both the Education sector and the Manufacturing – Durables sector, and by 5 percentage points in the Manufacturing – Non-Durables sector.

Hiring intentions strengthen in six of the 10 industry sectors in comparison with this time one year ago, with the most noteworthy increases of 5 and 4 percentage points reported in the Manufacturing – Non-Durables sector and the Mining sector, respectively. Elsewhere, Outlooks weaken in four sectors. Construction sector employers report a decrease of 9 percentage points and Outlooks are 8 and 6 percentage points weaker in the Transportation & Public Utilities sector and the Services sector, respectively.

Job gains are forecast in all 24 areas during the upcoming quarter. The strongest hiring prospects are reported in three areas with Outlooks of +15% – Brantford, Kingston and Thunder Bay. Elsewhere, Kitchener/Cambridge Area employers report an Outlook of +13%, and the Belleville Outlook is +12%. The weakest labour markets are forecast for three areas with Outlooks of +3% – Barrie, London and Niagara Falls.

When compared with the previous quarter, hiring intentions strengthen in 10 areas, most notably by 18 percentage points in Belleville and by 14 percentage points in Thunder Bay. Kingston employers report an improvement of 10 percentage points and the Brantford Outlook is 7 percentage points stronger. However, hiring prospects weaken in 12 areas. A sharp decline of 29 percentage points is reported in Brampton, while Outlooks are 14 and 9 percentage points weaker in Kitchener/Cambridge Area and Barrie, respectively.

Hiring sentiment strengthens in nine areas in comparison with the same period last year. The most noteworthy improvements of 13 and 12 percentage points are reported in Thunder Bay and Kingston, respectively. Meanwhile, Outlooks weaken in 14 areas, including considerable decreases of 17 percentage points in Hamilton and 16 percentage points in Kitchener/Cambridge Area. The London Outlook declines by 10 percentage points and hiring plans are 9 percentage points weaker in two areas – Brampton and Durham Region.

Page 7: Manpowergroup Employment Outlook Survey Canada · 2019-12-09 · SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE SIZE: US LETTER DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120

ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey 5

SMART JOB NO: 43506 QUARTER 1 2020

CLIENT: MANPOWER

SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE

SIZE: US LETTER

DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120 PAgE: 5

ARTWORK SIZE: 279.4mm x 215.9mm DATE: 23.11.19

Quebec

The healthy hiring pace is expected to continue in the January to March time frame, with employers reporting a Net Employment Outlook of +21%. Hiring prospects decline by 2 percentage points when compared with the previous quarter, but improve by 3 percentage points in a comparison with Quarter 1 2019.

Workforce gains are forecast for nine of the 10 industry sectors during the upcoming quarter. The strongest labour market is anticipated in the Transportation & Public Utilities sector, where employers report bright hiring prospects with a Net Employment Outlook of +37%. Employers in the Manufacturing – Non-Durables sector report optimistic hiring plans with an Outlook of +27%, while Outlooks stand at +26% in two sectors – the Finance, Insurance & Real Estate sector and the Services sector. Healthy payroll gains are also expected in the Manufacturing – Durables sector, where the Outlook is +23%, and in the Public Administration sector, with an Outlook of +22%. However, Mining sector employers expect to trim payrolls, reporting the weakest hiring plans in three years with an Outlook of -8%.

In a quarter-over-quarter comparison, hiring sentiment weakens in eight of the 10 industry sectors, including a sharp decline of 30 percentage points in the Education sector. Elsewhere, Outlooks decrease by 13 and 12 percentage points in the Mining sector and the Wholesale & Retail Trade sector, respectively, while Public Administration sector employers report a decline of 10 percentage points. Meanwhile, Finance, Insurance & Real Estate sector employers report a considerable improvement of 15 percentage points.

Employers in six of the 10 industry sectors report stronger hiring intentions when compared with this time one year ago. A sharp improvement of 49 percentage points is reported in the Transportation & Public Utilities sector. Elsewhere, Services sector employers report a notable increase of 9 percentage points, while Outlooks are 8 percentage points stronger in both the Finance, Insurance & Real Estate sector and the Manufacturing – Non-Durables sector. However, hiring plans weaken in four sectors. A steep decline of 24 percentage points is reported by Mining sector employers, while Outlooks are 14 and 5 percentage points weaker in the Manufacturing – Durables sector and the Public Administration sector, respectively.

Payrolls are expected to increase in all five areas during the first quarter of 2020. Monteregie (formerly Granby) employers anticipate a robust hiring pace, reporting an Outlook of +33%, while the Outlook for Cantons de L’Est (formerly Sherbrooke) stands at +28%. Steady workforce gains are anticipated in both Laval and Montreal, with Outlooks of +18% and +15%, respectively, while the Quebec City Outlook is +10%.

Hiring plans improve in two areas when compared with the previous quarter, most notably by 11 percentage points in Monteregie (formerly Granby). However, Outlooks weaken in three areas, including a decline of 22 percentage points in Quebec City and a decrease of 7 percentage points in Montreal.

Employers in three areas report improved hiring plans when compared with this time one year ago. The Cantons de L’Est (formerly Sherbrooke) Outlook is 13 percentage points stronger, while increases of 8 and 5 percentage points are reported in Monteregie (formerly Granby) and Montreal, respectively. Meanwhile, Quebec City employers report a decline of 9 percentage points.

+11 (+21)%

Net EmploymentOutlook

SeasonallyAdjustedIncrease Decrease No Change Don’t Know

% % % %%%

ConstructionAll Industries

EducationFinance, Insurance & Real EstateManufacturing – Durables Manufacturing – Non-Durables MiningPublic Administration ServicesTransportation & Public Utilities Wholesale & Retail Trade

7 0 93 70 1817 6 76 111 21

15 0 85 15 13033 11 56 0 22 2623 5 72 0 18 2332 4 64 0 27280 28 69 3 -8-2823 8 69 15 22019 2 79 0 17 2636 7 57 0 29 379 2 86 3 7 14

Page 8: Manpowergroup Employment Outlook Survey Canada · 2019-12-09 · SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE SIZE: US LETTER DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120

6 ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey

SMART JOB NO: 43506 QUARTER 1 2020

CLIENT: MANPOWER

SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE

SIZE: US LETTER

DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120 PAgE: 6

ARTWORK SIZE: 279.4mm x 215.9mm DATE: 23.11.19

Net EmploymentOutlook

SeasonallyAdjustedIncrease Decrease No Change Don’t Know

% % % %%%

ConstructionAll Industries

EducationFinance, Insurance & Real EstateManufacturing – Durables Manufacturing – Non-Durables MiningPublic Administration ServicesTransportation & Public Utilities Wholesale & Retail Trade

11 9 80 20 1010 6 83 41 5

12 0 83 12 1356 0 94 0 6 78 3 89 0 5 1018 0 78 4 111812 16 71 1 -3-49 3 85 6 1239 4 87 0 5 615 10 75 0 5 83 7 89 1 -4 1

+4 (+5)% Western Canada

The weakest hiring pace in more than three years is forecast for the next three months. Employers report a Net Employment Outlook of +5%, declining by 2 percentage points quarter-over-quarter and by 6 percentage points when compared with this time one year ago.

Employers in nine of the 10 industry sectors expect to add to payrolls during the January to March time frame. Education sector employers forecast the strongest labour market, reporting a Net Employment Outlook of +13%. Elsewhere, steady payroll growth is expected in the Public Administration sector and the Manufacturing – Non-Durables sector, with Outlooks standing at +12% and +11%, respectively. Fair hiring prospects are reflected in Outlooks of +10% for two sectors – the Construction sector and the Manufacturing – Durables sector. Meanwhile, Mining sector employers expect to trim payrolls, reporting an Outlook of -3%, while the Outlook of +1% reported by Wholesale & Retail Trade sector employers is the weakest in 10 years.

Hiring intentions weaken in six of the 10 industry sectors when compared with the previous quarter. The most notable decline of 12 percentage points is reported by Mining sector employers, while Outlooks are 9 and 4 percentage points weaker in the Transportation & Public Utilities sector and the Finance, Insurance & Real Estate sector, respectively. Elsewhere, Outlooks improve in four sectors, including noteworthy increases of 9 percentage points in the Education sector and 4 percentage points in the Manufacturing – Durables sector.

In a year-over-year comparison, employers report weaker hiring plans in eight of the 10 industry sectors. Hiring prospects are considerably weaker in both the Transportation & Public Utilities sector and the Mining sector, declining by 19 and 16 percentage points, respectively. Wholesale & Retail Trade sector employers report a decrease of 10 percentage points, while the Construction sector Outlook declines by 6 percentage points. However, hiring intentions strengthen by 7 percentage points in the Education sector and by 6 percentage points in the Manufacturing – Non-Durables sector.

Workforce gains are forecast for nine of the 11 areas during the January to March time frame. The strongest Outlooks of +16% and +14% are reported in Victoria & Capital Regional District and Burnaby-Coquitlam, respectively. Surrey employers report steady hiring intentions with an Outlook of +11% and the Richmond-Delta Outlook is +10%. However, Red Deer employers expect to trim payrolls, reporting an Outlook of -3%.

Hiring intentions weaken in seven areas quarter-over-quarter, most notably by 15 percentage points in Red Deer and by 8 percentage points in Surrey. Elsewhere, Outlooks strengthen in four sectors, including Richmond-Delta and Winnipeg with increases of 10 and 6 percentage points, respectively.

When compared with last year at this time, hiring prospects decline in eight areas. A considerable decrease of 17 percentage points is reported in Red Deer. The Edmonton Outlook is 10 percentage points weaker and Richmond-Delta employers report a decline of 8 percentage points. Elsewhere, Outlooks improve in two areas, most notably by 7 percentage points in Saskatoon.

Page 9: Manpowergroup Employment Outlook Survey Canada · 2019-12-09 · SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE SIZE: US LETTER DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120

ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey 7

SMART JOB NO: 43506 QUARTER 1 2020

CLIENT: MANPOWER

SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE

SIZE: US LETTER

DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120 PAgE: 7

ARTWORK SIZE: 279.4mm x 215.9mm DATE: 23.11.19

Employers in nine of the 10 industry sectors forecast job gains during the January to March period. Manufacturing – Durables sector employers anticipate the strongest labour market, reporting a Net Employment Outlook of +17%. A steady hiring pace is anticipated in three sectors with Outlooks standing at +16% – the Education sector, the Manufacturing – Non-Durables sector and the Public Administration sector. Elsewhere respectable workforce gains are forecast in the Finance, Insurance & Real Estate sector and the Transportation & Public Utilities sector, with Outlooks of +14% and +12%, respectively. However, Mining sector employers expect flat hiring activity, reporting an Outlook of 0%.

Hiring intentions weaken in seven of the 10 industry sectors when compared with the previous quarter. A considerable decrease of 12 percentage points is reported by Mining sector employers, and the Outlook for the Transportation & Public Utilities sector declines by 4 percentage points. In three sectors, employers

-10

16 10

8 5

12 7

6 2

14

-8

14

12

13

11

16

0

0

17

14

16

20-5 0 5 10 15

Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook

Construction

Education

Finance, Insurance & Real Estate

Manufacturing – Durables

Manufacturing – Non-Durables

Mining

Public Administration

Services

Transportation & Public Utilities

Wholesale and Retail Trade

Sector Comparisonsreport slight decreases of 2 percentage points – the Finance, Insurance & Real Estate sector, the Services sector and the Wholesale & Retail Trade sector. Meanwhile, hiring plans strengthen by 7 percentage points in both the Education sector and the Manufacturing – Non-Durables sector, while Manufacturing – Durables sector employers report an increase of 4 percentage points.

Employers in eight of the 10 industry sectors report weaker hiring prospects when compared with this time one year ago. Transportation & Public Utilities sector employers report the most notable decline of 10 percentage points, while the Mining sector Outlook is 9 percentage points weaker. Elsewhere, hiring sentiment decreases by 5 percentage points in both the Construction sector and the Wholesale & Retail Trade sector. However, Outlooks improve by 10 and 4 percentage points in the Manufacturing – Non-Durables sector and the Education sector, respectively.

Page 10: Manpowergroup Employment Outlook Survey Canada · 2019-12-09 · SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE SIZE: US LETTER DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120

8 ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey

SMART JOB NO: 43506 QUARTER 1 2020

CLIENT: MANPOWER

SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE

SIZE: US LETTER

DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120 PAgE: 8

ARTWORK SIZE: 279.4mm x 215.9mm DATE: 23.11.19

ConstructionJob seekers can expect a steady hiring pace in the next three months, according to employers who report a Net Employment Outlook of +11%. Hiring intentions remain relatively stable quarter-over-quarter, but decline by 5 percentage points in a comparison with the same period last year.

EducationWith a Net Employment Outlook of +16%, employers anticipate respectable payroll gains during the upcoming quarter. The Outlook is the strongest reported in five years, improving by 7 percentage points when compared with the previous quarter and by 4 percentage points year-over-year.

’93 ’94 ’95 ’96 ’97 ’98 ’99 ’00 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05 ’06 ’07 ’08 ’09 ’10 ’11 ’12 ’13 ’14 ’15 ’16 ’17 ’18 ’19 ’20

Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero

-40-30-20-10

0102030405060

’93 ’94 ’95 ’96 ’97 ’98 ’99 ’00 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05 ’06 ’07 ’08 ’09 ’10 ’11 ’12 ’13 ’14 ’15 ’16 ’17 ’18 ’19 ’20

Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero

-40-30-20-10

0102030405060

0 (+11)%

+14 (+16)%

Page 11: Manpowergroup Employment Outlook Survey Canada · 2019-12-09 · SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE SIZE: US LETTER DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120

ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey 9

SMART JOB NO: 43506 QUARTER 1 2020

CLIENT: MANPOWER

SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE

SIZE: US LETTER

DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120 PAgE: 9

ARTWORK SIZE: 279.4mm x 215.9mm DATE: 23.11.19

Finance, Insurance & Real EstateEmployers expect favourable hiring opportunities in the first quarter of 2020, reporting a Net Employment Outlook of +14%. Hiring prospects decline by 2 percentage points quarter-over-quarter, but remain relatively stable in comparison with the first quarter of 2019.

Manufacturing – Durable GoodsAn upbeat hiring pace is forecast for the January to March time frame, with employers reporting a Net Employment Outlook of +17%. Hiring intentions improve by 4 percentage points when compared with the prior quarter, but decline by 2 percentage points in comparison with last year at this time.

’93 ’94 ’95 ’96 ’97 ’98 ’99 ’00 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05 ’06 ’07 ’08 ’09 ’10 ’11 ’12 ’13 ’14 ’15 ’16 ’17 ’18 ’19 ’20

Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero

-40-30-20-10

0102030405060

’93 ’94 ’95 ’96 ’97 ’98 ’99 ’00 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05 ’06 ’07 ’08 ’09 ’10 ’11 ’12 ’13 ’14 ’15 ’16 ’17 ’18 ’19 ’20

Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero

-40-30-20-10

0102030405060

+12 (+14)%

+14 (+17)%

Page 12: Manpowergroup Employment Outlook Survey Canada · 2019-12-09 · SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE SIZE: US LETTER DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120

10 ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey

SMART JOB NO: 43506 QUARTER 1 2020

CLIENT: MANPOWER

SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE

SIZE: US LETTER

DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120 PAgE: 10

ARTWORK SIZE: 279.4mm x 215.9mm DATE: 23.11.19

Manufacturing – Non-Durable GoodsThe strongest labour market in 14 years is expected during the next three months. Employers report a Net Employment Outlook of +16%, improving by 7 percentage points in comparison with Quarter 4 2019 and by 10 percentage points when compared with this time one year ago.

MiningJob seekers can expect the weakest hiring climate in three years during the first quarter of 2020, according to employers who report a Net Employment Outlook of 0%. Hiring prospects are considerably weaker both quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year, decreasing by 12 and 9 percentage points, respectively.

’93 ’94 ’95 ’96 ’97 ’98 ’99 ’00 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05 ’06 ’07 ’08 ’09 ’10 ’11 ’12 ’13 ’14 ’15 ’16 ’17 ’18 ’19 ’20

Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero

-40-30-20-10

0102030405060

’93 ’94 ’95 ’96 ’97 ’98 ’99 ’00 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05 ’06 ’07 ’08 ’09 ’10 ’11 ’12 ’13 ’14 ’15 ’16 ’17 ’18 ’19 ’20

Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero

-40-30-20-10

0102030405060

+13 (+16)%

-8 (0)%

Page 13: Manpowergroup Employment Outlook Survey Canada · 2019-12-09 · SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE SIZE: US LETTER DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120

ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey 11

SMART JOB NO: 43506 QUARTER 1 2020

CLIENT: MANPOWER

SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE

SIZE: US LETTER

DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120 PAgE: 11

ARTWORK SIZE: 279.4mm x 215.9mm DATE: 23.11.19

Public AdministrationReporting a Net Employment Outlook of +16%, employers expect the steady hiring pace to continue during the forthcoming quarter. Hiring intentions remain relatively stable in comparison with both the previous quarter and last year at this time.

ServicesEmployers anticipate the weakest labour market in two years during the January to March period, reporting a Net Employment Outlook of +8%. The Outlook is 2 percentage points weaker when compared with the previous quarter and declines by 4 percentage points in comparison with Quarter 1 2019.

’93 ’94 ’95 ’96 ’97 ’98 ’99 ’00 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05 ’06 ’07 ’08 ’09 ’10 ’11 ’12 ’13 ’14 ’15 ’16 ’17 ’18 ’19 ’20

Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero

-40-30-20-10

0102030405060

’93 ’94 ’95 ’96 ’97 ’98 ’99 ’00 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05 ’06 ’07 ’08 ’09 ’10 ’11 ’12 ’13 ’14 ’15 ’16 ’17 ’18 ’19 ’20

Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero

-40-30-20-10

0102030405060

+10 (+16)%

+5 (+8)%

Page 14: Manpowergroup Employment Outlook Survey Canada · 2019-12-09 · SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE SIZE: US LETTER DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120

12 ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey

SMART JOB NO: 43506 QUARTER 1 2020

CLIENT: MANPOWER

SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE

SIZE: US LETTER

DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120 PAgE: 12

ARTWORK SIZE: 279.4mm x 215.9mm DATE: 23.11.19

Transportation & Public UtilitiesPositive workforce gains are forecast for the coming quarter, with employers reporting a Net Employment Outlook of +12%. However, the Outlook is the weakest in two years, declining by 4 and 10 percentage points quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year, respectively.

Wholesale & Retail TradeThe weakest hiring pace in three years is anticipated during the January to March time frame, with employers reporting a Net Employment Outlook of +6%. Hiring prospects decline by 2 percentage points when compared with the previous quarter and are 5 percentage points weaker in comparison with the same period last year.

’93 ’94 ’95 ’96 ’97 ’98 ’99 ’00 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05 ’06 ’07 ’08 ’09 ’10 ’11 ’12 ’13 ’14 ’15 ’16 ’17 ’18 ’19 ’20

Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero

-40-30-20-10

0102030405060

’93 ’94 ’95 ’96 ’97 ’98 ’99 ’00 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05 ’06 ’07 ’08 ’09 ’10 ’11 ’12 ’13 ’14 ’15 ’16 ’17 ’18 ’19 ’20

Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero

-40-30-20-10

0102030405060

+7 (+12)%

+2 (+6)%

Page 15: Manpowergroup Employment Outlook Survey Canada · 2019-12-09 · SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE SIZE: US LETTER DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120

ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey 13

SMART JOB NO: 43506 QUARTER 1 2020

CLIENT: MANPOWER

SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE

SIZE: US LETTER

DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120 PAgE: 13

ARTWORK SIZE: 279.4mm x 215.9mm DATE: 23.11.19

global Employment OutlookManpowerGroup interviewed over 58,000 employers in 43 countries and territories to forecast labour market activity* in the first quarter of 2020. All participants were asked, “How do you anticipate total employment at your location to change in the three months to the end of March 2020 as compared to the current quarter?”

In the ManpowerGroup research for the first quarter of 2020, employers in 42 of 43 countries and territories surveyed expect to grow payrolls in the period up to the end of March 2020.

When compared with the previous quarter, hiring plans strengthen in 15 of the 43 countries and territories, while employers in 23 report weaker hiring prospects, with no change reported in five. In a comparison with last year at this time, employers in 12 countries and territories report stronger hiring sentiments, while hiring intentions weaken in 26 and are unchanged in five. The strongest labour markets are anticipated in Greece, Japan, Taiwan, the U.S. and Romania, while the weakest hiring activity is expected in Panama, Argentina, Costa Rica, Italy and Spain.

Payroll gains are anticipated in all 26 Europe, Middle East & Africa (EMEA) region countries surveyed during the first quarter of 2020. In a comparison with the final quarter of 2019, hiring plans strengthen in 10 countries, but weaken in 12. When compared with this time one year ago, Outlooks improve in eight countries, but decline in 13. Employers in Greece and Romania anticipate the strongest hiring pace during the next three months, while the weakest labour markets are forecast in Italy and Spain.

Employers in all seven Asia Pacific countries and territories expect to increase headcounts during the upcoming quarter. When compared with the prior quarter, hiring plans strengthen in three countries and territories, but weaken in three. In a comparison with the same period last year, hiring prospects weaken in six countries and territories, while improving in one. The strongest hiring sentiment in the region is reported by employers in Japan and Taiwan, while the most cautious Outlook is reported in China.

In the Americas, employers in nine of the 10 countries surveyed expect to increase payrolls during the next three months, while Panama employers report uncertain hiring plans and the only negative forecast globally. In a comparison with the final quarter of 2019, hiring intentions improve in two Americas countries, but decline in eight. When compared with this time one year ago, employers in three countries report stronger hiring prospects, while Outlooks weaken in seven. The region’s strongest labour markets are anticipated in the U.S. and Colombia, while the weakest hiring sentiment is reported in Panama.

Full survey results for each of the 43 countries and territories included in this quarter’s survey, plus regional and global comparisons, can be found at

www.manpowergroup.com/meos

The next ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey will be released on 10 March 2020 and will detail expected labour market activity for the second quarter of 2020.

* Commentary is based on seasonally adjusted data where available. Data is not seasonally adjusted for Croatia or Portugal.

Page 16: Manpowergroup Employment Outlook Survey Canada · 2019-12-09 · SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE SIZE: US LETTER DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120

14 ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey

SMART JOB NO: 43506 QUARTER 1 2020

CLIENT: MANPOWER

SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE

SIZE: US LETTER

DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120 PAgE: 14

ARTWORK SIZE: 279.4mm x 215.9mm DATE: 23.11.19

%

†EMEA – Europe, Middle East and Africa.

1. Number in parentheses is the Net Employment Outlook when adjusted to remove the impact of seasonal variations in hiring activity. Please note that this data is not available for all countries as a minimum of 17 quarters worth of data is required. 

* Indicates unadjusted data.

Quarter 1 2020 Net Employment Outlook

-15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45

-15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45

Greece

Japan

Taiwan

United States

Romania

Australia

Colombia

Hong Kong

Canada

India

Norway

Portugal

Turkey

Brazil

Mexico

Singapore

Finland

Hungary

Israel

Bulgaria

France

Guatemala

Poland

Slovenia

Belgium

China

Croatia

Ireland

Peru

Czech Republic

Germany

Netherlands

Sweden

Switzerland

Austria

Slovakia

South Africa

United Kingdom

Argentina

Costa Rica

Italy

Spain

Panama

Quarter 1 2020Qtr on Qtr Change

Q4 2019 to Q1 2020 Yr on Yr Change

 Q1 2019 to Q1 2020

Americas

Asia PacificAustralia

China

Hong Kong

Japan

India

Singapore

Taiwan

EMEA†

Austria

Belgium

Bulgaria

Croatia

Costa Rica

Colombia

United States

Czech Republic

Greece

Hungary

South Africa

SloveniaSlovakia

Poland

PortugalRomania

Canada

Mexico

Peru

Brazil

Argentina

Guatemala

Panama

France

Germany

Finland

Ireland

Netherlands

Norway

Spain

Turkey

Italy

Switzerland

Sweden

Israel

UK

7 (6)1

-1 (3)1

5 (6)1

12 (11)1

24 (25)1

11 (11)1

10 (10)1

8 (9)1

21 (23)1

6 (10)1

8 (9)1

5 (5)1

6 (7)1

0 (4)1

3 (4)1

2 (4)1

2 (5)1

9 (10)1

1 (1)1

2 (4)1

5 (10)1

0 (1)1

3 (2)1

-5 (-2)1

-1 (0)1

0 (0)1

1 (-1)1

-3 (-3)1

-10 (-10)1

3 (5)1

1 (1)1

-3 (-3)1

-3 (-2)1

0 (0)1

-2 (-2)1

-2 (-2)1

-7 (-7)1

-2 (-2)1

-1 (-1)1

3 (2)1

4 (7)1 -2 (0)1 0 (0)1

5 -2 -9

3 (1)1 1 (-1)1 -3 (-3)110 (11)1 1 (2)1 3 (2)1

17 (19)1 0 (-1)1 -1 (-1)1

2 (4)1 0 (2)1 0 (0)1

19 (25)1 7 (7)1 7 (7)1

4 (8)1 -2 (1)1 -8 (-7)1

2 (2)1 -2 (-1)1 -3 (-3)16 (7)1 -10 (-8)1 -13 (-13)10 (3)1 -3 (-2)1 -8 (-7)1

3 (7)1 -5 (-2)1 -5 (-5)1

10 0 1

11 (14)1 8 (4)1 1 (0)1

-3 (-2)1

0 (1)1

-2 (-4)1

-2 (-2)1

9 (9)1 1 (-1)1 2 (2)11 (1)1 -1 (-1)1 4 (5)1

-4 (-4)17 (7)1 -3 (-1)1 -3 (-3)1

-2 (-2)10 (-1)1 -5 (-5)1 -4 (-4)1

0 (1)1

-8 (-2)13 (3)1

3 (8)1 2 (4)1 4 (4)1

-5 (-5)1

-2 (-1)1

0 (1)1

-4 (-1)1

0 (0)1

2 (1)1

-7 (-5)1

3 (4)1

-3 (-3)1

0 (0)1

2 (2)1

-3 (-3)1

6 (8)1 1 (2)1 1 (1)1

5 (5)1

-1 (-2)1

-3 (-3)1

9 (9)1 

1 (2)1 -4 (-3)1 -5 (-5)1

-2 (-2)1

+25%

+25%

+23%

+19%

+14%

+11%

+11%

+11%

+10%

+10%

+10%

+10%*

+10%

+9%

+9%

+9%

+8%

+8%

+8%

+7%

+7%

+7%

+7%

+7%

+6%

+6%

+5%*

+5%

+5%

+4%

+4%

+4%

+4%

+4%

+3%

+3%

+2%

+2%

+1%

+1%

+1%

+1%

-1%

Page 17: Manpowergroup Employment Outlook Survey Canada · 2019-12-09 · SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE SIZE: US LETTER DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120

ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey 15

SMART JOB NO: 43506 QUARTER 1 2020

CLIENT: MANPOWER

SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE

SIZE: US LETTER

DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120 PAgE: 15

ARTWORK SIZE: 279.4mm x 215.9mm DATE: 23.11.19

For the first quarter of 2020, more than 23,000 employers in North, Central and South America were interviewed for the ManpowerGroup survey. Employers in nine of the 10 Americas countries expect to add to payrolls during the next three months.

Employers in the United States anticipate the strongest hiring pace in the Americas region for the ninth consecutive quarter. Hiring intentions remain relatively stable in comparison with both the prior quarter and the same period last year, and employers expect workforce gains in all 13 industry sectors in the January to March period. In the strongest U.S. sector labour market, Leisure & Hospitality, employers report a three-year high in their forecast. Solid hiring plans in two of the four U.S. regions are also fuelling the positive national Outlook, with employers in the Midwest and the South reporting their strongest forecasts in 19 and 13 years, respectively.

In Canada, employers report fair hiring prospects for the coming quarter, although hiring prospects dip slightly both quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year. Payroll gains are expected in nine of 10 industry sectors during the coming quarter, with the strongest Outlook in 14 years for the Manufacturing – Non-Durables sector and a five-year peak in the Education sector.

Mexican hiring sentiment has stabilised following a dip in the previous quarter, with employers expecting moderate job gains during the next three months, although expectations remain weaker than for the same period last year. The strongest hiring plans are reported for the Agriculture & Fishing and Services sectors, but hiring opportunities in the Transport & Communication sector are the weakest reported in 10 years.

Employers in Central America report mixed hiring prospects for the coming quarter. Guatemalan employers expect the modest hiring pace to continue, with job gains forecast for five of six industry sectors and four of five regions. However, employers in Costa Rica report their weakest Outlook since the survey

International Comparisons – Americasbegan in 2006. While payrolls are expected to grow in four of six industry sectors during Quarter 1 2020, employers expect to trim payrolls in the Construction and Transport & Communication sectors.

The weakest of the 10 Americas labour markets is anticipated in Panama, where employers report the most subdued hiring plans since the survey began 10 years ago, fuelled in part by weak hiring prospects for the Manufacture and Commerce sectors.

Brazilian employers continue to report fair hiring prospects, driven by positive hiring intentions for the Agriculture, Fishing & Mining sector, and for the Services sector where employers report a five-year high. Hiring prospects in all Brazilian regions have now recovered from the 2015/2016 recession, including Rio de Janeiro State, where the Outlook for the coming quarter is the strongest in five years.

Argentine employers continue to report a cautious hiring sentiment following last year’s economic uncertainty, with workforce gains anticipated in five of nine sectors and three of six regions in the next three months. Employers in the Construction sector are in part driving the labour market, reporting their strongest hiring plans in two years.

In Colombia, employers anticipate a steady hiring pace in Quarter 1 2020, reporting slightly stronger hiring expectations both quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year. The improvement in hiring prospects is fuelled in part by the strongest Finance, Insurance & Real Estate sector Outlook in five years.

While payroll gains are expected in seven of nine of Peru’s industry sectors during the coming quarter, hiring plans are slightly weaker for the country as a whole in comparison with both the prior quarter and last year at this time. Transportation & Utilities employers expect the strongest workforce growth in the next three months, but the Agriculture & Fishing Outlook is the weakest since the survey began in 2006.

Page 18: Manpowergroup Employment Outlook Survey Canada · 2019-12-09 · SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE SIZE: US LETTER DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120

16 ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey

SMART JOB NO: 43506 QUARTER 1 2020

CLIENT: MANPOWER

SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE

SIZE: US LETTER

DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120 PAgE: 16

ARTWORK SIZE: 279.4mm x 215.9mm DATE: 23.11.19

Brazil +9 (+9)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20112010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019  2020

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Canada +6 (+10)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment Outlook

No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20112010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Colombia +10 (+11)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20112010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Argentina +1 (+1)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20112010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019  2020

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Page 19: Manpowergroup Employment Outlook Survey Canada · 2019-12-09 · SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE SIZE: US LETTER DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120

ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey 17

SMART JOB NO: 43506 QUARTER 1 2020

CLIENT: MANPOWER

SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE

SIZE: US LETTER

DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120 PAgE: 17

ARTWORK SIZE: 279.4mm x 215.9mm DATE: 23.11.19

Costa Rica +3 (+1)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20112010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019  2020

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Guatemala +7 (+7)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20112010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Mexico +8 (+9)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20112010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Panama 0 (-1)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment Outlook

Panama joined the survey in Q2 2010 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20112010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019  2020

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Page 20: Manpowergroup Employment Outlook Survey Canada · 2019-12-09 · SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE SIZE: US LETTER DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120

18 ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey

SMART JOB NO: 43506 QUARTER 1 2020

CLIENT: MANPOWER

SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE

SIZE: US LETTER

DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120 PAgE: 18

ARTWORK SIZE: 279.4mm x 215.9mm DATE: 23.11.19

+17 (+19)%United States of AmericaSeasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20112010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019  2020

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Peru +5 (+5)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20112010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Page 21: Manpowergroup Employment Outlook Survey Canada · 2019-12-09 · SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE SIZE: US LETTER DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120

ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey 19

SMART JOB NO: 43506 QUARTER 1 2020

CLIENT: MANPOWER

SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE

SIZE: US LETTER

DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120 PAgE: 19

ARTWORK SIZE: 279.4mm x 215.9mm DATE: 23.11.19

In the ManpowerGroup survey for the first quarter of 2020, more than 14,000 employers across seven Asia Pacific countries and territories were interviewed, and employers in all seven anticipate payroll gains during the next three months.

For the seventh consecutive quarter, the strongest Asia Pacific labour market is anticipated in Japan, despite a slight decline in hiring sentiment when compared with this time last year. Hiring prospects continue to be driven by a brisk hiring pace in the Mining & Construction sector and strong demand in the Services sector, and employers in Japan’s Finance, Insurance & Real Estate sector report their strongest hiring intentions in more than 12 years.

In China, employers report moderate hiring prospects for the January to March period, reflecting a slight improvement in comparison with the final quarter of 2019. However, hiring sentiment remains at a weaker level than reported this time one year ago. Services sector employers report an uptick in hiring activity, and Transportation & Utilities sector employers anticipate the strongest hiring pace in the coming quarter. However, the flat Outlook reported by Mining & Construction sector employers is the weakest in 10 years.

Employers in India report the weakest hiring prospects since the survey began 14 years ago. Hiring sentiment dips in all seven sectors when compared with the prior quarter, and is also weaker in the majority of sectors when compared with this time one year ago. However,

International Comparisons – Asia Pacificdespite this cooling labour market, Indian employers continue to forecast payroll growth, most notably in the Services sector.

According to employers in Hong Kong, hiring prospects have slipped to a six-year low. Outlooks weaken in four of six industry sectors when compared with the previous quarter, although Mining & Construction sector employers report an uptick in hiring activity.

Singapore employers report cautiously optimistic hiring intentions for the coming quarter, reflecting a moderate improvement on the two-year low reported in Quarter 4 2019. Public Administration & Education sector employers continue to expect the strongest sector hiring pace, while the Finance, Insurance & Real Estate Outlook climbs considerably when compared with the prior quarter.

In Taiwan, employers forecast an active labour market during the next three months, fuelled by robust hiring plans in both the Services and Mining & Construction sectors.

The favourable hiring climate is forecast to continue in Australia during the first quarter of 2020, with employers reporting no quarter-over-quarter change, although the Outlook dips slightly in comparison with last year at this time. However, hiring prospects for Australia’s Finance, Insurance & Real Estate sectors slip to the weakest level reported since the survey began in 2003.

Page 22: Manpowergroup Employment Outlook Survey Canada · 2019-12-09 · SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE SIZE: US LETTER DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120

20 ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey

SMART JOB NO: 43506 QUARTER 1 2020

CLIENT: MANPOWER

SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE

SIZE: US LETTER

DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120 PAgE: 20

ARTWORK SIZE: 279.4mm x 215.9mm DATE: 23.11.19

+7 (+6)%China           Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20112010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Hong Kong +11 (+11)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20112010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

+10 (+10)%India           Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20112010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Australia +12 (+11)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20112010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Page 23: Manpowergroup Employment Outlook Survey Canada · 2019-12-09 · SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE SIZE: US LETTER DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120

ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey 21

SMART JOB NO: 43506 QUARTER 1 2020

CLIENT: MANPOWER

SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE

SIZE: US LETTER

DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120 PAgE: 21

ARTWORK SIZE: 279.4mm x 215.9mm DATE: 23.11.19

Japan +24 (+25)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20112010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019  2020

40

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

50

60

Singapore +8 (+9)%Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20112010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Taiwan +21 (+23)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20112010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Page 24: Manpowergroup Employment Outlook Survey Canada · 2019-12-09 · SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE SIZE: US LETTER DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120

22 ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey

SMART JOB NO: 43506 QUARTER 1 2020

CLIENT: MANPOWER

SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE

SIZE: US LETTER

DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120 PAgE: 22

ARTWORK SIZE: 279.4mm x 215.9mm DATE: 23.11.19

In the Europe, Middle East and Africa (EMEA) region more than 21,000 employers were surveyed by ManpowerGroup for the first quarter of 2020. Employers in all 26 countries across the region expect to grow payrolls during the next three months.

Employers in Europe’s four largest economies report variable hiring expectations for the forthcoming quarter. In France, employers report the strongest hiring sentiment in 12 years, expecting to grow payrolls in nine of 10 sectors, most particularly the Restaurants & Hotels sector, where hiring plans are the strongest since the survey began 16 years ago. By contrast, the weakest labour market in three years is forecast for Germany in the upcoming quarter. German Manufacturing sector employers report their weakest hiring plans in more than three years, while Outlooks are the weakest in 10 and 6 years for the Finance, Insurance, Real Estate & Business Services and Transport, Storage & Communications sectors, respectively.

Overshadowed by Brexit uncertainty, the weakest labour market in seven years is anticipated by UK employers, with hiring sentiment softening in seven of nine industry sectors both quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year, although hiring plans remain stronger than the national Outlook in both the Mining and Manufacturing sectors. In Italy, employers report subdued hiring plans for the coming quarter, declining slightly in comparison with both the previous quarter and last year at this time. The weak Outlook is in part driven by regional differences – South/Islands employers report their weakest forecast in more than five years, while hiring plans are the strongest in nine years for the North West.

Elsewhere in Western Europe, Dutch employers continue to anticipate slow-paced workforce gains, with expectations remaining relatively stable quarter-over-quarter and unchanged in comparison with this

International Comparisons – EMEAtime last year. In Belgium, employers continue to report a conservative hiring pace, with an unchanged Outlook in comparison with the previous quarter and this time one year ago. Belgium’s Construction sector employers anticipate the strongest labour market, strengthening considerably in comparison with the prior quarter.

Nordic region employers report mixed hiring prospects for the upcoming quarter. In Norway, employers continue to report cautiously optimistic hiring plans, unchanged in comparison with Quarter 4 2019 and moderately stronger year-over-year. Positive hiring sentiment is fuelled by the strongest Manufacturing sector Outlook in eight years and upbeat hiring intentions in the Mining & Quarrying sector. Meanwhile, Swedish employers report soft hiring prospects for the next three months, weakening in comparison with the previous quarter and last year at this time. Finance, Insurance, Real Estate & Business Services sector report the strongest of Sweden’s sector Outlooks.

In Eastern Europe, Polish employers expect the moderate hiring pace to continue in the next three months, although the Outlook is the weakest in two years. Hiring prospects weaken in seven of 10 industry sectors when compared with the previous quarter and decline in eight when compared with this time one year ago, while Construction sector employers report an uptick in the hiring pace. After cooling off slightly in the final quarter of 2019, hiring prospects for Romania strengthen for the coming quarter, most notably with healthy hiring plans for the Finance, Insurance, Real Estate & Business Services and Construction sectors.

In Greece, employers report their strongest hiring intentions since the survey began in 2008. The Greek Outlook for Quarter 1 2020 is the strongest in the EMEA region, fuelled in part by robust hiring intentions in the Wholesale & Retail Trade sector.

Page 25: Manpowergroup Employment Outlook Survey Canada · 2019-12-09 · SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE SIZE: US LETTER DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120

ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey 23

SMART JOB NO: 43506 QUARTER 1 2020

CLIENT: MANPOWER

SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE

SIZE: US LETTER

DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120 PAgE: 23

ARTWORK SIZE: 279.4mm x 215.9mm DATE: 23.11.19

Austria -1 (+3)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20112010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Belgium +5 (+6)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20112010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019  2020

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Bulgaria +4 (+7)%

Bulgaria joined the survey in Q1 2011 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20112010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019  2020

Seasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment Outlook

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Croatia +5%Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

Croatia joined the survey in Q2 2018 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20112010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019  2020

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Page 26: Manpowergroup Employment Outlook Survey Canada · 2019-12-09 · SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE SIZE: US LETTER DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120

24 ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey

SMART JOB NO: 43506 QUARTER 1 2020

CLIENT: MANPOWER

SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE

SIZE: US LETTER

DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120 PAgE: 24

ARTWORK SIZE: 279.4mm x 215.9mm DATE: 23.11.19

France +6 (+7)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero2011 2010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019  2020

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Germany 0 (+4)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20112010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Finland +3 (+8)%

Finland joined the survey in Q4 2012 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20112010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019  2020

Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Czech Republic +2 (+4)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20112010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Page 27: Manpowergroup Employment Outlook Survey Canada · 2019-12-09 · SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE SIZE: US LETTER DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120

ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey 25

SMART JOB NO: 43506 QUARTER 1 2020

CLIENT: MANPOWER

SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE

SIZE: US LETTER

DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120 PAgE: 25

ARTWORK SIZE: 279.4mm x 215.9mm DATE: 23.11.19

Greece +19 (+25)%

20112010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Hungary +4 (+8)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20112010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019  2020

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Ireland +2 (+5)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20112010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019  2020

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Israel +6 (+8)%

Israel joined the survey in Q4 2011 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20112010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Page 28: Manpowergroup Employment Outlook Survey Canada · 2019-12-09 · SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE SIZE: US LETTER DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120

26 ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey

SMART JOB NO: 43506 QUARTER 1 2020

CLIENT: MANPOWER

SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE

SIZE: US LETTER

DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120 PAgE: 26

ARTWORK SIZE: 279.4mm x 215.9mm DATE: 23.11.19

Norway +9 (+10)%

20112010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Poland +3 (+7)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20112010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Netherlands +3 (+4)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20112010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019  2020

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Italy 0 (+1)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20112010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019  2020

20

-20

-10

0

10

30

40

50

60

Page 29: Manpowergroup Employment Outlook Survey Canada · 2019-12-09 · SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE SIZE: US LETTER DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120

ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey 27

SMART JOB NO: 43506 QUARTER 1 2020

CLIENT: MANPOWER

SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE

SIZE: US LETTER

DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120 PAgE: 27

ARTWORK SIZE: 279.4mm x 215.9mm DATE: 23.11.19

Portugal +10%Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

Portugal joined the survey in Q3 2016 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20112010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019  2020

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Romania +11 (+14)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20112010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Slovakia 0 (+3)%Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

Slovakia joined the survey in Q4 2011 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20112010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Slovenia +6 (+7)%

Slovenia joined the survey in Q1 2011 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20112010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019  2020

Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Page 30: Manpowergroup Employment Outlook Survey Canada · 2019-12-09 · SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE SIZE: US LETTER DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120

28 ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey

SMART JOB NO: 43506 QUARTER 1 2020

CLIENT: MANPOWER

SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE

SIZE: US LETTER

DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120 PAgE: 28

ARTWORK SIZE: 279.4mm x 215.9mm DATE: 23.11.19

Switzerland +2 (+4)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20112010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Sweden +2 (+4)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20112010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019  2020

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Spain +1 (+1)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20112010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019  2020

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

South Africa +2 (+2)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20112010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Page 31: Manpowergroup Employment Outlook Survey Canada · 2019-12-09 · SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE SIZE: US LETTER DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120

ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey 29

SMART JOB NO: 43506 QUARTER 1 2020

CLIENT: MANPOWER

SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE

SIZE: US LETTER

DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120 PAgE: 29

ARTWORK SIZE: 279.4mm x 215.9mm DATE: 23.11.19

Turkey +5 (+10)%

Turkey joined the survey in Q1 2011 No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20112010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019  2020

Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

United Kingdom +1 (+2)%Seasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookNet Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook

No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero20112010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Page 32: Manpowergroup Employment Outlook Survey Canada · 2019-12-09 · SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE SIZE: US LETTER DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120

30 ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey

SMART JOB NO: 43506 QUARTER 1 2020

CLIENT: MANPOWER

SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE

SIZE: US LETTER

DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120 PAgE: 30

ARTWORK SIZE: 279.4mm x 215.9mm DATE: 23.11.19

The ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey is conducted quarterly to measure employers’ intentions to increase or decrease the number of employees in their workforces during the next quarter. ManpowerGroup’s comprehensive forecast of employer hiring plans has been running for more than 55 years and is one of the most trusted surveys of employment activity in the world. Various factors underpin the success of the ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey:

Unique: It is unparalleled in its size, scope, longevity and area of focus.

Projective: The ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey is the most extensive, forward-looking employment survey in the world, asking employers to forecast employment over the next quarter. In contrast, other surveys and studies focus on retrospective data to report on what occurred in the past.

Independent: The survey is conducted with a representative sample of employers from throughout the countries and territories in which it is conducted. The survey participants are not derived from ManpowerGroup’s customer base.

Robust: The survey is based on interviews with over 58,000 public and private employers across 43 countries and territories to measure anticipated employment trends each quarter. This sample allows for analysis to be performed across specific sectors and regions to provide more detailed information.

Focused: For more than five decades the survey has derived all of its information from a single question:

For the Quarter 1 2020 research, all employers participating in the survey worldwide are asked the same question, “How do you anticipate total employment at your location to change in the three months to the end of March 2020 as compared to the current quarter?”

About the Manpowergroup Employment Outlook Survey

MethodologyThe ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey is conducted using a validated methodology, in accordance with the highest standards in market research. The survey has been structured to be representative of each national economy. The margin of error for all national, regional and global data is not greater than +/- 4.0%.

The margin of error for the Canadian survey is +/- 2.2%.

Net Employment OutlookThroughout this report, we use the term “Net Employment Outlook.” This figure is derived by taking the percentage of employers anticipating an increase in hiring activity and subtracting from this the percentage of employers expecting to see a decrease in employment at their location in the next quarter. The result of this calculation is the Net Employment Outlook. Net Employment Outlooks for countries and territories that have accumulated at least 17 quarters of data are reported in a seasonally adjusted format unless otherwise stated.

Seasonal adjustments have been applied to the data for all participating countries except Croatia and Portugal. ManpowerGroup intends to add seasonal adjustments to the data for other countries in the future, as more historical data is compiled. Note that in Quarter 2 2008, ManpowerGroup adopted the TRAMO-SEATS method of seasonal adjustment for data.

Page 33: Manpowergroup Employment Outlook Survey Canada · 2019-12-09 · SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE SIZE: US LETTER DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120

SMART JOB NO: 43506 QUARTER 1 2020

CLIENT: MANPOWER

SUBJECT: MEOS Q120 – CANADA – TWO COLOUR – US LETTER SIZE

SIZE: US LETTER

DOC NAME: 43506_CANADAENgLISh_2COL_Q120 PAgE: 31

ARTWORK SIZE: 279.4mm x 215.9mm DATE: 23.11.19

ManpowerGroup® (NYSE: MAN), the leading global workforce solutions company, helps organizations transform in a fast-changing world of work by sourcing, assessing, developing and managing the talent that enables them to win. We develop innovative solutions for hundreds of thousands of organizations every year, providing them with skilled talent while finding meaningful, sustainable employment for millions of people across a wide range of industries and skills. Our expert family of brands – Manpower®, Experis®, Right Management® and ManpowerGroup® Solutions – creates substantially more value for candidates and clients across 80 countries and territories and has done so for over 70 years. In 2019, ManpowerGroup was named one of the World’s Most Ethical Companies for the tenth year and one of Fortune’s Most Admired Companies for the seventeenth year, confirming our position as the most trusted and admired brand in the industry. See how ManpowerGroup is powering the future of work: www.manpowergroup.com

About ManpowergroupAbout ManpowerGroup CanadaWith nearly 30 offices strategically located across the country, ManpowerGroup Canada’s staffing services include administrative, industrial, skilled trades and contact centre personnel as well as the assignment of contract professionals in information technology, scientific, finance, engineering, telecommunications and other professional areas under the Experis brand. More information can be found on the following websites, manpower.ca and experis.ca

Manpower, 4950 Yonge Street, Suite 700, Toronto, Ontario, M2N 6K1Tel: 416 225 4455www.manpower.ca

© 2019, ManpowerGroup. All rights reserved.