38
US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING STRONG ® Case Study New Mexico - Watershed Responses following Major Wildfires of 2011 thru 2014 in the Albuquerque District AOR Managing for Future Risks of Fire, Post-Fire Flooding and Extreme Precipitation September 22 23, 2014 Southern Nevada Water Authority Las Vegas, NV Stephen K. Scissons, PE, CFM USACE ABQ District

Managing for Future Risks of Fire, Post-Fire Flooding and ...gmgarfin/10_Scissions_22Sep2014... · Presentation Overview ABQ District – AOR Major Wildfires – 2011 thru 2014

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    4

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Managing for Future Risks of Fire, Post-Fire Flooding and ...gmgarfin/10_Scissions_22Sep2014... · Presentation Overview ABQ District – AOR Major Wildfires – 2011 thru 2014

US Army Corps of Engineers

BUILDING STRONG®

Case Study New Mexico - Watershed

Responses following Major

Wildfires of 2011 thru 2014 in the

Albuquerque District AOR

Managing for Future Risks of Fire, Post-Fire

Flooding and Extreme Precipitation September 22 – 23, 2014

Southern Nevada Water Authority

Las Vegas, NV

Stephen K. Scissons, PE, CFM

USACE – ABQ District

Page 2: Managing for Future Risks of Fire, Post-Fire Flooding and ...gmgarfin/10_Scissions_22Sep2014... · Presentation Overview ABQ District – AOR Major Wildfires – 2011 thru 2014

BUILDING STRONG®

Presentation Overview

ABQ District – AOR

Major Wildfires – 2011 thru 2014

Case Studies

Watershed Characteristics

Rainfall and Flooding Events

Watershed Response

Watershed Recovery

Questions

Page 3: Managing for Future Risks of Fire, Post-Fire Flooding and ...gmgarfin/10_Scissions_22Sep2014... · Presentation Overview ABQ District – AOR Major Wildfires – 2011 thru 2014

BUILDING STRONG®

ABQ District – Area of Responsibility

South Pacific Division ► Sacramento District

► Los Angeles District

► San Francisco District

► Albuquerque District

Colorado – Arkansas, Upper Rio Grande

New Mexico – Canadian, Pecos, Upper San Juan, Gila, & Rio Grande

Texas – Pecos, Rio Grande

Page 4: Managing for Future Risks of Fire, Post-Fire Flooding and ...gmgarfin/10_Scissions_22Sep2014... · Presentation Overview ABQ District – AOR Major Wildfires – 2011 thru 2014

BUILDING STRONG®

Major Wildfires – 2011 thru 2014

4

Asaayi Lake Fire, 2014

Page 5: Managing for Future Risks of Fire, Post-Fire Flooding and ...gmgarfin/10_Scissions_22Sep2014... · Presentation Overview ABQ District – AOR Major Wildfires – 2011 thru 2014

BUILDING STRONG®

Major Wildfires – 2011 thru 2014

5

Page 6: Managing for Future Risks of Fire, Post-Fire Flooding and ...gmgarfin/10_Scissions_22Sep2014... · Presentation Overview ABQ District – AOR Major Wildfires – 2011 thru 2014

BUILDING STRONG®

Case Studies

Las Conchas Fire 2011

► Central New Mexico – Jemez Mountains

► ~160,000 acres (ac.)

► Human Caused (power line)

► Discussion:

• Precipitation

• Watershed / Geomorphology

Whitewater-Baldy Complex 2012

► Southwest New Mexico – Gila National Forest

► ~300,000 ac.

► Lightning caused

► Discussion:

• Precipitation

6

Page 7: Managing for Future Risks of Fire, Post-Fire Flooding and ...gmgarfin/10_Scissions_22Sep2014... · Presentation Overview ABQ District – AOR Major Wildfires – 2011 thru 2014

BUILDING STRONG®

Watershed Characteristics

Fire History

7

Select Fires in the Jemez Mountains:

La Mesa (1977) ~ 15,500 ac.

Dome (1996) ~ 16,000 ac.

Oso (1998) ~ 5,200 ac.

Cerro Grande (2000) ~ 48,000 ac

San Miguel (2009) ~1,700 ac.

South Fork (2010) ~ 20,000 ac.

Las Conchas (2011) ~ 156,600 ac.

Thompson Ridge (2013) ~ 24,000 ac.

(not shown)

Page 8: Managing for Future Risks of Fire, Post-Fire Flooding and ...gmgarfin/10_Scissions_22Sep2014... · Presentation Overview ABQ District – AOR Major Wildfires – 2011 thru 2014

BUILDING STRONG®

Watershed Characteristics

Las Conchas Fire 2011

8

Started: 26 June 2011

Contained: 03 August 2011

Burn Area: 156,600 ac.

First Day: 40,000 ac.

First 2 Days: 60,000 ac.

Burn Rate (peak est.): ~ 1ac./second

Watersheds Impacted: 20

Flow into Cochiti Reservoir – USACE

Santa Clara Canyon

Peralta Canyon

Page 9: Managing for Future Risks of Fire, Post-Fire Flooding and ...gmgarfin/10_Scissions_22Sep2014... · Presentation Overview ABQ District – AOR Major Wildfires – 2011 thru 2014

BUILDING STRONG®

Watershed Characteristics

Las Conchas Fire 2011

9

Post-Las Conchas Fire Bland Canyon August 7, 2011

Post-Las Conchas Fire Santa Clara Canyon July 8, 2011

Slope

Post-Las Conchas Fire Santa Clara Canyon

July 14, 2011

Page 10: Managing for Future Risks of Fire, Post-Fire Flooding and ...gmgarfin/10_Scissions_22Sep2014... · Presentation Overview ABQ District – AOR Major Wildfires – 2011 thru 2014

BUILDING STRONG® 10

Santa Clara Canyon: 49 mi2

Unchanged: 6%

Low: 17%

Moderate: 47%

High: 30%

Burn Severity Breakdown for two select watersheds

Peralta Canyon: 48 mi2

Unchanged: 10%

Low: 33%

Moderate: 42%

High: 15%

Watershed Characteristics

Las Conchas Fire 2011

Page 11: Managing for Future Risks of Fire, Post-Fire Flooding and ...gmgarfin/10_Scissions_22Sep2014... · Presentation Overview ABQ District – AOR Major Wildfires – 2011 thru 2014

BUILDING STRONG®

• Hydrologic Modeling Context

► HEC-HMS used to model runoff

► Vegetation

► Organic layer

► Hydrophobic soil layers

► Altered runoff characteristics

► Using burn severity mapping:

• Severe – infiltration set to zero

• Moderate – infiltration reduced by 50%

• Low – infiltration reduced by 20%

Watershed Characteristics

Page 12: Managing for Future Risks of Fire, Post-Fire Flooding and ...gmgarfin/10_Scissions_22Sep2014... · Presentation Overview ABQ District – AOR Major Wildfires – 2011 thru 2014

BUILDING STRONG®

• Hydrologic Modeling Context

► Example of Results

► Santa Clara Canyon (immediately following the fire)

Watershed Characteristics

Rainfall Event, 24-hour Duration

50% Chance 10% Chance 1% Chance

Pre-fire 300 cfs 1,900 cfs 5,000 cfs

Post-fire 2,650 cfs 8,500 cfs 20,300 cfs

Page 13: Managing for Future Risks of Fire, Post-Fire Flooding and ...gmgarfin/10_Scissions_22Sep2014... · Presentation Overview ABQ District – AOR Major Wildfires – 2011 thru 2014

BUILDING STRONG®

Rainfall Event

Santa Clara Canyon August 21, 2011

Largest Cell:

1in/8hr

NEXRAD

Page 14: Managing for Future Risks of Fire, Post-Fire Flooding and ...gmgarfin/10_Scissions_22Sep2014... · Presentation Overview ABQ District – AOR Major Wildfires – 2011 thru 2014

BUILDING STRONG®

Flooding Event

Santa Clara Canyon August 21, 2011

http://www.youtube.com/user/spausace

Page 15: Managing for Future Risks of Fire, Post-Fire Flooding and ...gmgarfin/10_Scissions_22Sep2014... · Presentation Overview ABQ District – AOR Major Wildfires – 2011 thru 2014

BUILDING STRONG®

Pond 1 Pond 2

Pond 3 Pond 4

15

Flooding Event

Santa Clara Canyon August 21, 2011

Page 16: Managing for Future Risks of Fire, Post-Fire Flooding and ...gmgarfin/10_Scissions_22Sep2014... · Presentation Overview ABQ District – AOR Major Wildfires – 2011 thru 2014

BUILDING STRONG® 16

Post-Fire/Pre-Flood Photo Taken 07 Aug 11

Cochiti Canyon / Dixon Orchard

Page 17: Managing for Future Risks of Fire, Post-Fire Flooding and ...gmgarfin/10_Scissions_22Sep2014... · Presentation Overview ABQ District – AOR Major Wildfires – 2011 thru 2014

BUILDING STRONG®

Largest Cell:

1.6in/8hr

NEXRAD

Rainfall Event

Cochiti Canyon August 21, 2011

Page 18: Managing for Future Risks of Fire, Post-Fire Flooding and ...gmgarfin/10_Scissions_22Sep2014... · Presentation Overview ABQ District – AOR Major Wildfires – 2011 thru 2014

BUILDING STRONG®

Largest Cell:

1.5in/8hr

NEXRAD

Rainfall Event

Cochiti Canyon August 22, 2011

Page 19: Managing for Future Risks of Fire, Post-Fire Flooding and ...gmgarfin/10_Scissions_22Sep2014... · Presentation Overview ABQ District – AOR Major Wildfires – 2011 thru 2014

BUILDING STRONG®

Flooding Event

Cochiti Canyon August 22, 2011

http://www.youtube.com/user/spausace

Page 20: Managing for Future Risks of Fire, Post-Fire Flooding and ...gmgarfin/10_Scissions_22Sep2014... · Presentation Overview ABQ District – AOR Major Wildfires – 2011 thru 2014

BUILDING STRONG®

Rainfall Event

Whitewater Creek

Page 21: Managing for Future Risks of Fire, Post-Fire Flooding and ...gmgarfin/10_Scissions_22Sep2014... · Presentation Overview ABQ District – AOR Major Wildfires – 2011 thru 2014

BUILDING STRONG®

Flooding Event

Whitewater Creek July 2012

Page 22: Managing for Future Risks of Fire, Post-Fire Flooding and ...gmgarfin/10_Scissions_22Sep2014... · Presentation Overview ABQ District – AOR Major Wildfires – 2011 thru 2014

BUILDING STRONG® 22

Cochiti Canyon

Post-Flood

August 25, 2011

Watershed Response

Geomorphology

Page 23: Managing for Future Risks of Fire, Post-Fire Flooding and ...gmgarfin/10_Scissions_22Sep2014... · Presentation Overview ABQ District – AOR Major Wildfires – 2011 thru 2014

BUILDING STRONG® 23

Peralta Creek, Culvert Crossing, July 21, 2011

Watershed Response

Geomorphology

Page 24: Managing for Future Risks of Fire, Post-Fire Flooding and ...gmgarfin/10_Scissions_22Sep2014... · Presentation Overview ABQ District – AOR Major Wildfires – 2011 thru 2014

BUILDING STRONG® 24

Peralta Creek, Culvert Crossing, August 21, 2011

10’

Watershed Response

Geomorphology

Page 25: Managing for Future Risks of Fire, Post-Fire Flooding and ...gmgarfin/10_Scissions_22Sep2014... · Presentation Overview ABQ District – AOR Major Wildfires – 2011 thru 2014

BUILDING STRONG® 25

Peralta Creek, Culvert Crossing, March 6, 2012

Watershed Response

Geomorphology

Page 26: Managing for Future Risks of Fire, Post-Fire Flooding and ...gmgarfin/10_Scissions_22Sep2014... · Presentation Overview ABQ District – AOR Major Wildfires – 2011 thru 2014

BUILDING STRONG® 26

Watershed Response

Geomorphology

Peralta Creek, SP-85 Culvert Crossing, 2013

Page 27: Managing for Future Risks of Fire, Post-Fire Flooding and ...gmgarfin/10_Scissions_22Sep2014... · Presentation Overview ABQ District – AOR Major Wildfires – 2011 thru 2014

BUILDING STRONG® 27

Watershed Response

Geomorphology

Village Reach -

Santa Clara Creek

July 26, 2013

Culvert Crossing Kee St. –

Santa Clara Creek

July 26, 2013

Page 28: Managing for Future Risks of Fire, Post-Fire Flooding and ...gmgarfin/10_Scissions_22Sep2014... · Presentation Overview ABQ District – AOR Major Wildfires – 2011 thru 2014

BUILDING STRONG® 28

Watershed Response

Geomorphology

Pond 3 – Santa Clara Canyon

July 26, 2013

Pond 4 – Santa Clara Canyon

July 26, 2013

Page 29: Managing for Future Risks of Fire, Post-Fire Flooding and ...gmgarfin/10_Scissions_22Sep2014... · Presentation Overview ABQ District – AOR Major Wildfires – 2011 thru 2014

BUILDING STRONG® 29

Watershed Response

Geomorphology

Pond 1 – Santa Clara Canyon – July 26 2013

Page 30: Managing for Future Risks of Fire, Post-Fire Flooding and ...gmgarfin/10_Scissions_22Sep2014... · Presentation Overview ABQ District – AOR Major Wildfires – 2011 thru 2014

BUILDING STRONG® 30

Watershed Response

Geomorphology

Bland Canyon Confluence with the Rio Grande

Pre-fire and Pre-Flooding

Page 31: Managing for Future Risks of Fire, Post-Fire Flooding and ...gmgarfin/10_Scissions_22Sep2014... · Presentation Overview ABQ District – AOR Major Wildfires – 2011 thru 2014

BUILDING STRONG® 31

Watershed Response

Geomorphology

Bland Canyon Confluence with the Rio Grande

October 2011

Page 32: Managing for Future Risks of Fire, Post-Fire Flooding and ...gmgarfin/10_Scissions_22Sep2014... · Presentation Overview ABQ District – AOR Major Wildfires – 2011 thru 2014

BUILDING STRONG® 32

Watershed Response

Geomorphology

Peralta Canyon Confluence with the Rio Grande

Pre-fire and Pre-Flooding

Page 33: Managing for Future Risks of Fire, Post-Fire Flooding and ...gmgarfin/10_Scissions_22Sep2014... · Presentation Overview ABQ District – AOR Major Wildfires – 2011 thru 2014

BUILDING STRONG® 33

Watershed Response

Geomorphology

Peralta Canyon Confluence with the Rio Grande

October 2011

Page 34: Managing for Future Risks of Fire, Post-Fire Flooding and ...gmgarfin/10_Scissions_22Sep2014... · Presentation Overview ABQ District – AOR Major Wildfires – 2011 thru 2014

BUILDING STRONG® 34

Dixon Conference Center Pre-Fire

Dixon Conference Center Post-Fire & Post-Flood

Watershed Response

Urban Areas / Values at Risk

Page 35: Managing for Future Risks of Fire, Post-Fire Flooding and ...gmgarfin/10_Scissions_22Sep2014... · Presentation Overview ABQ District – AOR Major Wildfires – 2011 thru 2014

BUILDING STRONG® 35

Watershed Response

Urban Areas / Values at Risk

Cultural Importance – Way of life

NM SJ – www.afterwildfirenm.org

Rainfall Forecasting – Monsoon Season

Early Warning Systems

Evacuation Planning

Floodplain Delineation

Sediment Risks

Decreased channel capacity

Loss of storage in retention ponds

Page 36: Managing for Future Risks of Fire, Post-Fire Flooding and ...gmgarfin/10_Scissions_22Sep2014... · Presentation Overview ABQ District – AOR Major Wildfires – 2011 thru 2014

BUILDING STRONG®

Number One Question: How long?

► Temporal Scale: Temporary vs. Permanent

► Climate Change

► Watershed Resilience

Sediment Issues

► Mass Wasting

► Sediment Movement

► Where do we put it?

Engineering: 50-yr?, 100-yr event?

Data Collection – What do we do with it?

36

Watershed Recovery

Discussion

Page 37: Managing for Future Risks of Fire, Post-Fire Flooding and ...gmgarfin/10_Scissions_22Sep2014... · Presentation Overview ABQ District – AOR Major Wildfires – 2011 thru 2014

BUILDING STRONG®

Acknowledgments

Pueblo of Santa Clara, NM

► Forestry Department

► Office of Emergency Management

Pueblo of Cochiti, NM

US Forest Service – Southwestern Regional Office

► Gila Ranger District

► Other Ranger Districts in NM

US Bureau of Reclamation – ABQ Office

NM Silver Jackets

37

Page 38: Managing for Future Risks of Fire, Post-Fire Flooding and ...gmgarfin/10_Scissions_22Sep2014... · Presentation Overview ABQ District – AOR Major Wildfires – 2011 thru 2014

BUILDING STRONG®

Questions

Stephen K. Scissons, PE, CFM

FPMS / SJ / FRMP Manager

Hydraulic Engineer

USACE - Hydrology and Hydraulics Section

4101 Jefferson Plaza NE

Albuquerque, NM 87109

Direct: 505.342.3328

[email protected]

38