Management of Country Risk

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    MANAGEMENT OF COUNTRY

    RISK

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    INTRODUCTION

    Unanticipated changes in business condition

    Wide variety of risks in country and across the glob

    Spreading risk by set-up of new projects

    Financial risks and Political risks

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    NATURE OF COUNTRY RISK

    Macro risks

    -country level

    -global level

    Micro risks

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    KINDS OF COUNTRY RISK

    Political Risk

    -transfer risk

    -operational risk

    -control risk

    Financial Risk

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    POLITICAL RISK FACTORS

    Political stability

    Philosophy and ideology of political parties

    Integration into the world system

    Ethnic and religious stability

    Attitude of host country consumers

    Expropriation

    Disruptions in operations

    Blockage of funds

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    Contd..

    Loss of intellectual property right

    Economic source of political risk

    Corruption

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    FINANCIAL RISK FACTORS

    Current and potential economic health of the

    host country

    Financial state of the host country

    Monetary and fiscal policies of the host

    country

    Splurging by government

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    ANALYSING COUNTRY RISK

    Macro perspective

    Micro perspective

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    COUNTRY RISK ASSESSMENT TECHNIQUES

    Checklist approach

    Delphi technique

    Statistical techniques

    Spot visits

    Combination of techniques

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    MEASURES TO MINIMISE COUNTRY RISK

    Pre-investment stage

    i. Avoidance

    ii. Insurance

    iii. Negotiating the investment environment

    iv. Structuring the investment

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    Operating policies

    i. Planned disinvestment

    ii. Short term profit maximisation

    iii. Measures to reduce risk of post operation

    expropriation

    iv. Adaptation

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    References

    International Business Management, F.L. Bascunan,

    Global Vision Publishing House, 2011

    Multinational Financial Management, R.M.

    Srivastava, Excel Books, 2008