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Making Tradeoffs in Investment Decision-making:
Lessons learned from Oregon DOT TAMP Development
Sam Haffner, ODOT TAMP Coordinator2018 TAM Peer Exchange, San Diego, CA
July 15, 2018
Alternate title:
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Making tradeoffs in Investment Decision-making:
Lessons learned from ODOT TAMP Development
Tradeoffs between work
types
(preservation $ vs. maintenance $)
Tradeoffs between projects
($ for bridge A vs. $ for bridge B)
Tradeoffs between assets
($ for bridge vs. $ for pavement vs. $ for other assets)
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Investment Tradeoffs
Tradeoffs between work
types
(preservation $ vs. maintenance $)
Tradeoffs between projects
($ for bridge A vs. $ for bridge B)
Tradeoffs between assets
($ for bridge vs. $ for pavement vs. $ for other assets)
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Investment Tradeoffs
ODOT is confident in its use of data collection and management systems to optimize tradeoffs within individual major asset categories
Single asset
Tradeoffs between work
types
(preservation $ vs. maintenance $)
Tradeoffs between projects
($ for bridge A vs. $ for bridge B)
Tradeoffs between assets
($ for bridge vs. $ for pavement vs. $ for other assets)
5
Investment Tradeoffs
Oregon’s TAMP drew attention to the need for asset management that supports data-informed cross-asset decision-making…
Multi-asset
Tradeoffs between work
types
(preservation $ vs. maintenance $)
Tradeoffs between projects
($ for bridge A vs. $ for bridge B)
Tradeoffs between assets
($ for bridge vs. $ for pavement vs. $ for other assets)
6
Investment Tradeoffs
Tradeoff decisions between assets are less data-driven and rely on expertise and professional judgement
Multi-asset
Pavement Investment TradeoffsPart I
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Friction
Contractor Images & Ratings
Good Fair
PoorVery Poor
Windshield Surveys
Smoothness & Rut Depth
Pavement Investment TradeoffsCondition Assessment/Data Sources
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Pavement Investment TradeoffsState Performance Measures
Route StrategyLevel of Importance
1. Interstate*2. Fix-it Priority Corridors*3. Other State Level NHS Routes4. State Highway (non-NHS)
*Fix-it Priority Corridors are all part of the NHS and SHSNote: figure not to scale
Interstate System
(IS)
State Highway SystemODOT
Fix-it Priority
Corridors*
Local (non-state)System
city, county, other agency
National Highway System
(NHS)
Local NHS
Pavement Investment TradeoffsHighway System Priority
1. Conditions forecast by Region
2. Compare forecast to target (by Hwy. class)
3. Determine $ needs in each Region to reach target
4. Allocate funding proportional to need
Pavement Investment TradeoffsRegional Allocation
Bridge Investment TradeoffsPart II
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Bridge Investment TradeoffsCondition Assessment/Data Sources
Bridge Program
initial Needs List creation
BrM DatabaseNBI condition, paint,
scour, restricted bridges, vertical clearance, etc.
MaintenanceRegion Bridge Crews and MBM Engineer
provides input
InspectorsBridge inspectors
provide input on bridge conditions
PreservationBridge Preservation
Engineer provides list of painting and CP
needs
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Bridge Investment TradeoffsState Performance Measures
ODOT Categories of Distressed Bridges
Structurally Deficient (FHWA)
Condition:Deteriorated condition of deck, substructure, or superstructure
Other Deficiencies (ODOT)
Freight Mobility:Load capacity,
vertical clearance
Bridge safety:Scour and rail deficiencies
Serviceability:Painting, cathodict protection, movable
bridge repairs, low service life
Route StrategyLevel of Importance
1. Interstate*2. Fix-it Priority Corridors*3. Other State Level NHS Routes4. State Highway (non-NHS)
*Fix-it Priority Corridors are all part of the NHS and SHSNote: figure not to scale
Interstate System
(IS)
State Highway SystemODOT
Fix-it Priority
Corridors*
Local (non-state)System
city, county, other agency
National Highway System
(NHS)
Local NHS
Bridge Investment TradeoffsHighway System Priority
Bridge Investment TradeoffsAdditional prioritization factors
State Bridge Program Priorities• Protection of high value coastal,
historic and major river and border crossings
• Replacement of bridges beyond point of cost effective preservation
• Address safety issues
• Projects that extend the service life of deck and other structural components.
• Critical maintenance activities beyond funding capabilities of the Major Bridge Maintenance Program
Regional Priorities• Maintenance Impacts
• Community Impacts (economics, travel time, freight & modal impacts, etc.)
• Safety Impact
• Detour or alternative route availability
• Project Delivery Staffing implications
• Community and political priorities
Cross-Asset Investment Tradeoffs: Governance
Part III
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Oregon Transportation
Plan
Transportation Commission, KPMs
State Legislature
TAMP Investment Strategies
Cross-asset investment decisions
Subject matter expertsprofessional judgement
Pavement and bridge management systemsdata analysis
Policy guidance
Technical guidance
Cross-Asset Investment TradeoffsGovernance Framework
Cross-Asset Investment TradeoffsLessons learned through TAMP Development
We have iterative approach with
input from a large number of SME’s, regions,
etc. but…
Need for clear communication
on the governance of
investment decisions
Concern that over-reliance on
data tools for decision-making
could create “black-box”
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Cross-Asset Investment Tradeoffs: Improvement Efforts
Part IV
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Cross-Asset Investment TradeoffsMoving toward a priority-corridor approach
21*Fix-it Priority Corridors are all part of the NHS and SHS
Note: figure not to scale
Interstate System
(IS)
State Highway SystemODOT
Fix-it Priority Corridors*
Local (non-state)System
city, county, other agency
National Highway System
(NHS)
Local NHS
Revenue
Bridge Program
Corridor A
Corridor B
Pavement Program
Corridor A
Corridor B
Other Assets
Corridor A
Corridor B
Cross-Asset Investment TradeoffsMoving toward a priority-corridor approach
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Revenue
Corridor A
Pavement Needs
Bridge Needs
Other Asset Needs
Corridor B
Pavement Needs
Bridge Needs
Other Asset Needs
Old approach: Moving toward new approach:
Cross-Asset Investment TradeoffsBridge/Pavement Split (18-21 STIP)
Pilot effort to integrate pavement and bridge project selection for STIP
Corridor prioritization approach
Beyond asset condition: risk factors, lifecycle cost, etc.
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Criteria for Pavement and Bridge Projects (scored 1-5) Scoring
1. Highway Classification (Interstate, Priority Corridor, NHS, Regional) 1 2 3 4 5
2. Average Daily Traffic (ADT) 1 2 3 4 5
3. Average Daily Truck Traffic (ADTT) 1 2 3 4 5
4. Unit cost of projects and years of service provided (using BPI for bridge and cost per lane mile per year for pavement)
1 2 3 4 5
5. Opportunity Costs (based on maintenance cost risk factors and delayed preservation risk factors)
1 2 3 4 5
6. Bridge and Pavement Program-specific priorities (multiple factors incl. PM impact, safety needs, impact on maintenance cost, etc.)
1 2 3 4 5
7. Regional Priorities (multiple factors incl. community considerations, safety impact, economic impact)
1 2 3 4 5
Cross-Asset Investment TradeoffsBridge/Pavement Split (18-21 STIP)
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Bridge $218m
Major Bridge Maint. $39m
Interstate Maint.
(Pavement)$93m
Regional Pavement
$179m
40 Pavement
Projects
44 Bridge Projects
Regional Pavement Distrib.Region 1Region 2Region 3Region 4Region 5
Cross-Asset Investment TradeoffsBridge/Pavement Split Results
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Limited to pavement and
bridge-Other assets need to be
included
Further buy-in from asset managers needed to
formalize and expand process
Ensure process remains
transparent, collaborative, and includes regional input
Issues and lessons learned:
Cross-Asset Investment TradeoffsBridge/Pavement Split (18-21 STIP)
Thank you