Mainstreet - Manitoba March 14B

8/19/2019 Mainstreet - Manitoba March 14B

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Mainstreet surveyed a random sample of 1,764 Manitoba residents by Smart IVR™ on March 122016. A mixture of landlines and cell phones were surveyed. Margin of error: +/- 2.33%, 19 timout of 20. Regional margins of error: Winnipeg: +/-3.34%; Rest of Manitoba: +/-3.26%; ; times out of 20. Results were weighed by geography, age and gender based on the 20Canadian Census.

EMBARGOED UNTIL: 6 AM CST, MARCH 15, 2016

PRINT EXCLUSIVE: POSTMEDIA NETWORK INC.

[MARCH 15, 2016]

MANITOBA


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40% OF MANITOBANS SAY A GOOD SOCIAL MEDIA HISTORY IS ‘VERY IMPORTANT’

March 15, 2016 (Ottawa, ON) – A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll finds Manitobans are much less likelvote for candidates who make offensive remarks - 65% say it’s either somewhat or very important candidates not have made offensive remarks. The Mainstreet/Postmedia Poll has a margin of error of

2.33%, 19 times out of 20.

To a certain extent there will be some social desirability bias in these numbers,” said Quito MaPresident of Mainstreet Research. “These numbers validate why political parties drop candidates embro

n these types of controversies. The individual circumstances matter of course, as well as how offensiveemarks were and what actions were taken afterward.”

Only a very small percentage of voters, almost as small as the margin of error, say offensive remarksocial media would make them more likely to vote for a candidate. 1 in 4 Manitobans say the behaviwould have no effect.”

We asked Manitobans which party was best to continue important government spending while eliminawaste. The PCs lead with 41%, that’s 6% higher than their horserace number from the same poll. The Nover perform their horserace number by 3%, the Liberals match their horserace number of 16%.”

Almost 1 in 2 Manitobans (47%) support higher taxes for high income earners. Perhaps not surprisinglyhe NDP that performs best with this group when we look at the party affiliation breakdowns. But manhese voters are also choosing the PC party (21%),” Maggi finished.

About Mainstreet ResearchMainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three level

government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public affairs.

Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots of puopinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Liberal government in Br

Columbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has been the most accurate polling n several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral election. Most recently, Mainstreet was the opolling firm to correctly predict a Liberal majority government in the 2015 federal election.

-30-

Available for Interview from Toronto: Quito Maggi, [email protected]

For more information: David Valentin, (514) 913-5524 - [email protected]

"Exclusive Mainstreet/Postmedia polls are protecteby copyright. The information and/or data may onlybe rebroadcast or republished with full and propercredit and attribution to “Mainstreet/Postmedia”.


3/14

When it comes to finding the right balance

between cutting wasteful government

spending and continuing government

spending on important services, who do

you trust to do a better job?

55

50

45

40

35

30

25

20

5

0

5

0

Manitoba Winnipeg Rest of Manitoba

2 2 %

4 1 %

1 6 %

3 %

1 7 %

2 8 %

3 3 %

1 8 %

3 %

1 8 %

1 3 %

5 5 %

1 4 %

3 %

1 6 %


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Manitoba Winnipeg Rest of MB

PC

NDP

Liberal

Green

Undecided

Sample

When it comes to finding the right balance

between cutting wasteful government

spending and continuing government

spending on important services, who do

you trust to do a better job?

PC

NDP

Liberal

Green

Undecided

18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Male Female

Sample

30%

35%

16%

4%

16%

213

15%

45%

20%

3%

18%

372

23%

41%

16%

2%

18%

534

19%

47%

13%

4%

18%

645

20%

49%

15%

1%

16%

780

24%

34%

18%

5%

19%

984

22%

41%

16%

3%

17%

1764

28%

33%

18%

3%

18%

862

13%

55%

14%

3%

16%

902


5/14

Less

More

The Same

Not Sure

18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Male Female


Less

More

The Same

Not Sure

Should High-Income Earners be taxed

more, be taxed less or continue to be

charged the current rate?

36%

16%

31%

18%

50%

11%

28%

12%

56%

8%

27%

9%

47%

8%

31%

15%

51%

11%

28%

10%

42%

11%

30%

17%

47%

11%

29%

13%

49%

11%

26%

14%

42%

12%

34%

12%


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If a candidate made sexist or homophob

remarks on social media, how would it

affect your vote?


More Likely

Less Likely

No Effect

Not Sure

57%

3%

26%

14%

56%

3%

27%

15%

59%

3%

25%

13%

More Likely

Less Likely

No Effect

Not Sure

18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Male Female

60%

0%

31%

10%

61%

4%

18%

17%

58%

2%

28%

12%

47%

4%

27%

21%

60%

4%

27%

9%

55%

1%

26%

19%


7/14

And how important is it to you that a

candidate not have made embarrassing o

offensive remarks on social media?

Somewhat

Very

Not Too

Not At All

Not Sure

18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Male Female


Somewhat

Very

Not Too

Not At All

Not Sure

27%

28%

35%

6%

6%

48%

21%

13%

10%

8%

43%

28%

20%

4%

5%

46%

21%

18%

6%

9%

32%

26%

24%

10%

8%

47%

23%

21%

3%

5%

40%

25%

22%

7%

7%

38%

24%

24%

7%

7%

43%

26%

20%

6%

6%


8/14

NDP

PC

Liberal

Green

Undecided

NDP PC Liberal Undecided

76%

3%

2%

4%

15%

1%

80%

4%

4%

10%

1%

2%

72%

0%

25%

6%

3%

10%

9%

73%

PARTY AFFILIATIONVS

GOVERNMENT SPENDING

NDP

PC

Liberal

Undecided

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

76% 15%

80% 10%

72% 25%

6% 10% 9% 73%

76% of voters who believe the NDP are the best fiscal managers are voting ND


9/14

NDP

PC

Liberal

Green

Undecided

More Less The Same Not Sure

26%

21%

22%

2%

29%

18%

49%

5%

3%

25%

8%

59%

10%

9%

15%

18%

21%

18%

6%

37%

PARTY AFFILIATIONVS

TAXES ON HIGH INCOME HOUSEHOLDS

More

Less

The Same

Not Sure

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 10

26% 21% 22% 29%

18% 49% 5% 25%

8% 59% 10% 9% 15%

18% 21% 18% 6% 37%

21% of Voters who want to increase taxes on high income earners are voting PC


10/14

NDP

PC

Liberal

Green

Undecided

Less More No Effect Not Sure

19%

36%

15%

7%

23%

20%

52%

18%

2%

8%

17%

32%

19%

2%

30%

21%

31%

14%

3%

30%

PARTY AFFILIATIONVS

OFFENSIVE SOCIAL MEDIA EFFECT

Less

More

No Effect

Not Sure

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 10

19% 36% 15% 7% 23%

20% 52% 18% 8%

17% 32% 19% 30%

21% 31% 14% 30%


11/14

NDP

PC

Liberal

Green

Undecided

Important Not Important Not Sure

19%

36%

15%

5%

25%

21%

33%

20%

2%

24%

11%

29%

12%

10%

38%

PARTY AFFILIATIONVS

OFFENSIVE SOCIAL MEDIA EFFECT

Important

Not Important

Not Sure

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 10

19% 36% 15% 5% 25%

21% 33% 20% 24%

11% 29% 12% 10% 38%


12/14

When it comes to finding the right balance between cutting wasteful government spending and

continuing government spending on important services, who do you trust to do a better job?

The NDP led by Greg SelingerThe Progressive Conservative Party led by Brian Pallister

The Liberal Party led by Rana BokhariTheGreen Party led James Beddome

Undecided

Should High-Income Earners be taxed more, be taxed less or continue to be charged the current rat

Support taxing high-income earners moreSupport taxing high-income earners less

Support taxing high-income earners the current rate

Not Sure

If a candidate made sexist or homophobic remarks on social media, how would it affect your vote?

It would make you less likely to vote for the candidateIt would make you more likely to vote for the candidate

It would have no effect on your voteNot sure

And how important is it to you that a candidate not have made embarrassing or offensive remarks o

social media?

Very importantSomewhat important

Not too importantNot at all important

Not sure

SCRIPT


13/14

ONLY WE

CALLED

THELIBERAL

MAJORITY

Mainstreet Research | 132−2255B Queen Street East

| Toronto | Ontario | M4E 1G3 | Canada

“I recommend "Raiders of the Lost Campaign Arc," released Oct. 18, because it’s an interviewwith a pollster that everyone who follows politics should hear. Quito Maggi, of Mainstreet Pub

Research, was the only pollster I saw call the Liberal majority with such confidence, a weekbefore we voted.

Maggi also has the distinction of being the guy who predicted the BC Liberals would win in 20in defiance of the majority of the polls.

His technique involves picking a true bellwether riding and polling it thoroughly. His explanatiofor how he does it is well worth a listen and should be required research for anyone running

political campaign.” - Shannon Rupp, The Tyee, November 4th, 2015


14/14

Mainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all thrlevels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadi

public affairs.

Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Liber

government in British Columbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet h

been the most accurate polling firm in several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoelection. Most recently, Mainstreet was the only polling firm to correctly predict a Liberal major

government in the 2015 federal election.

CONNECT WITH US: WEBSITE

mainstreetresearch.ca

TWITTER

@MainStResearch

FACEBOOK

fb.com/mainstresearch

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Mainstreet - Manitoba March 14B