888684828078

7674727068666462

30.226.023.222.622.120.5

Murray Plains (Nat)Shepparton (Nat)Gippsland East (Nat)Gippsland South (Nat)Lowan (Nat)Malvern (Lib)

Ovens Valley (Nat)Warrandyte (Lib)Hawthorn (Lib)Benambra (Lib)Mornington (Lib)Sandringham (Lib)Kew (Lib)Bulleen (Lib)

60585654525048464442403836

19.417.216.816.516.116.015.515.3

2018

22

Narracan (Lib)Mildura (Nat)Brighton (Lib)Polwarth (Lib)Nepean (Lib)Evelyn (Lib)Euroa (Nat)Morwell (Nat)Rowville (Lib)Bass (Lib)Croydon (Lib)South-West Coast (Lib)Ferntree Gully (Lib)

Caulfield (Lib)Hastings (Lib)Box Hill (Lib)

Gembrook (Lib)Mount Waverley (Lib)

14.914.514.313.813.713.513.313.213.112.612.111.911.5

343230

9.89.69.4

6.46.3

24 Eildon (Lib)Bayswater (Lib)

7.77.1

2826

8.78.6

4.84.7

Burwood (Lib)Ringwood (Lib)

South Barwon (Lib)Prahran (Lib)

1614

1122

15

10

8

655

9

7

4433

%0

0.8

Bentle

igh (L

ib)

2

1.1Monbulk (L

ib)

4

1.5Mordiallo

c (Lib)

6

1.7Ripon (Lib)

8

20

15

10

8

6

9

7

20

%

Pascoe ValeKororoit

Mill ParkFootscray

Yuroke

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7674727068

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38

40

14.614.513.913.813.613.212.412.011.511.411.211.0

17.917.516.916.316.0

St AlbansMelbourne

DandenongLara

MeltonWilliamstown

ClarindaAltona

SydenhamWerribee

TarneitBundoora

25.925.220.620.520.420.3

NorthcoteBrunswick

ThomastownBroadmeadows

PrestonRichmond

Narre Warren NorthNiddrie

Essendon

343230

4.84.54.3

Sunbury

Oakleigh

Narre Warren South

6.5

7.4

42Keysborough 9.5

Buninyong

16

1.6

Ivanhoe

18

1.7

Mulgrave22

2.4

Swin

g to

Lab

or

Swin

g to

Lib

eral

/Nat

iona

l

Lib/Nat majority

Two-party preferredResult of general election, November 27, 2010

KEY

Swing required to take seat Majority in seatsLib/Nat

51.6%Labor

48.4%123.5

Labor m

ajority

Lib-Nat majority

MACKERRAS PENDULUM VICTORIA LABOR SEATSLIB-NAT SEATS

National LaborMajority

9Liberal

39 408TOTAL

48TOTAL

40

Source: Malcolm Mackerras

0.3

Car

rum

(Li

b)

40.

4Fr

anks

ton

(Lib

)

2

0.1

Wen

dour

ee (

Lib)

8

0.2

Yan

Yea

n (L

ib)

6

2.510

Bellarine (Lib)

3.5 Forest Hill (Lib)

12

Geelong 283.9Bendigo East 263.2Bendigo West

243.1

365.1

Result of general election on November 27, 2010, as adjusted for redistribution of boundaries, October 2013. The seats of Wendouree (a re-naming of the present Labor-held Ballarat West), Yan Yean, Monbulk, Ripon and Bellarine are shown in red to indicate that they are actual Labor seats which become notionally Liberal under boundary changes.

Seats in Victorian Legislative Assembly Seats in Victorian Legislative CouncilNov 30,

2002Nov 25,

2006Nov 27,

2010Predicted

Nov 29, 2014Actual

Nov 27, 2010

Labor 62 55 43

Liberal 17 23 35

National 7 9 10

Independent 2 1 -

Total 88 88 88

Labor 18 16Liberal 15 18National 3 3Greens 3 3Country Alliance 1 -

Total 40 40

Cranbourne

14

1.2

Macedon

202.3

12

Albert P

ark1.0

Eltham

100.9