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Third SIAP/ESCAP
Management Seminarfor the Heads of National Statistical
Offices (NSOs) in Asia and the
Pacific
31 January – 02 February 2005,Bangkok, Thailand
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Theme: Managing Change
What New Things Will NSOs
Have To Do or How Will The
Same Things Be Done Differently
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Day 1 (31 January 2005)Time Session Responsibility
09:00-10:15 -Opening
-Overview of the Seminar
- Overview of the Change Management Process, including theconceptual framework for the Seminar
- Break/Photo
Mr.Tomas P.Africa,
Director, UNSIAPMs. DavaasurenCh. UNSIAP
Prof.Dr.Aung TunThet, UNSSC
Module I – Understanding Change
10:15-12:00 - Presentation
- Q/A
- Group Work: “Critical Assumptions of the Action Plan and
Considerations of Alternative Course of Action”
Prof. Thet
12:00-13:30 Lunch
13:30-15:15 Group Reports/Plenary Discussions/Conclusions/Recommendations
Coffee/Tea Break
Participants/
Resource Persons
Modu le II – Planning Change
15:15-17:00 - Presentation
- Q/A
- Group Work: “Securing commitments of partners and stakeholdersand identifying coordination mechanisms”
Dennis Trewin, AustralianStatistician, ABS
Participants
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Day 3 (02 February 2005)Time Session Responsibility
Modu le IV – Nat ional Strategies for the Development of Stat ist ics
09:00-11:00 Presentations
- “An Overview of NSDS”
- “World Bank Initiatives To Improve Statistics”
- “Issues related to the fundamental principles of official statistics that
have to be considered in NSDS”
- Q/A
- Coffee/Tea Break
Ms. FrancesHarper,PARIS21
Mr.Fred Vogel,Global Coordinator,ICP, WB
Mr.Heinrich
Bruengger,Director, StatisticsDivision, UNECE
11:00-12:00 Panel Discussion Panellists,Participants
12:00-13:00 Lunch
13:00-14:30 Panel Discussion
Conclusions/Recommendations
Coffee/Tea Break
Panellists,Participants
14:00-15:30 Closing and Seminar Evaluation
- Recommendations and conclusions;
- Implications for capacity building;
- Proposed date, venue, theme for 4th Management Seminar;
- Evaluation and Closing Remarks
Participants/
Resource Persons
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Expectations
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CORPORATE LESSONS
So, we will be going through change
Here’s three lessons from largecorporations to help you survive change….
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CORPORATE LESSON 1
Moral of the story is….
To be sitting and doing nothingyou must be sitting very, very high up.
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Prof.Dr.Aung Tun Thet,
UN System Staff College
Managing Change
“Change is not merely necessary to life. It is life“Alv in Toff ler
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Current situation in the world
• One billion people live on less than $1 a day
• Another 2.7 billion survive on less than $2 a day
• 6 million children a year die from malnutrition before their fifthbirthday
• Every 3.6 seconds, someone dies of starvation• 11 million children die – most under the age of five every year, and
more than 6 million of them from completely preventable causeslike, malaria, diarrhoea and pneumonia
• 114 million children do not get even a basic education
• More than 2.6 billion people lack basic sanitation
• 5 million, mostly children, die every year from water-borne diseases
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MDGs
1. Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger
2. Achieve universal primary education
3. Promote gender equality and empower women
4. Reduce child mortality5. Improve maternal health
6. Combat HIV, AIDS, Malaria and otherdiseases
7. Ensure environmental sustainability
8. Develop a global partnership for development
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Introduction
• Change is the singly most importantelement of successful management
• To remain effective, organizations (andindividuals in them) have to adopt apositive attitude to change
• Ignoring or trivialising change can becostly
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1. Establish a Sense of Urgency
• Examine external realities
• Identify and discuss crises, potentialcrises, or major opportunities
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2. Form a Powerful Guiding Coalition
• Assemble a group with enoughpower to lead the change effort
• Encourage the group to work as ateam
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3. Create a Vision
• Create a vision to help direct the changeeffort
• Develop strategies for achieving that
vision
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4. Communicate the Vision
• Use everything possible tocommunicate the new vision andstrategies
• Teach new behaviors by the exampleof the guiding coalition
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5. Empower Others to Act on the
Vision
• Get rid of obstacles tochange
• Change systems or
structures thatseriously underminethe vision
• Encourage risk taking
and nontraditionalideas, activities, andactions
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6. Plan for and Create Short-Term Wins
• Plan for visible performanceimprovements
• Create those improvements
• Recognize and reward employeesinvolved in the improvements
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7. Consolidate Improvements and
Produce Still More Change
• Use increased credibility to change systems,structures, and policies that don't fit the vision
• Hire, promote, and develop employees who canimplement the vision
• Reinvigorate the process with new projects,themes, and change agents
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8. Institutionalize New Approaches
• Articulate the connections between the newbehaviors and organizational success
• Develop the means to ensure leadershipdevelopment and succession
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• While there is no single sourceof change, there is a clearpattern to the reasons forfailure
• Most often, it is a leader'sattempt to shortcut a criticalphase of the change process
• Certainly, there is room for
flexibility in the eight stepsthat underlie successfulchange - but not a lot of room
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1. Wr iting a memo instead of l ighting a fi re
• Change efforts fail at the first critical step -establishing a sense of urgency
• Too often leaders launch their initiatives bycalling a meeting then expect people to“buy-in”
• It doesn't happen
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2. Talking too much and saying too little
• Most leadersundercommunicate theirchange vision by afactor of 10
• An effective changevision must include new,aligned behaviors onthe part of senior
executives
• Leading by example
• People watch theirbosses very closely
• Inconsistent behavior bya manager fuel thecynicism and frustration
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3. Declaring victory before the war is over
• It is important to celebrateresults but underestimatingthe difficulty and duration oforganizational transformationcan be catastrophic
• If you settle for too little toosoon, you will probably lose itall
• Celebrating incrementalimprovements is good to markprogress and sustaincommitment - but don't forgethow much work is still needed
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• All institutions need effective leadership,but nowhere is the need greater than inthe organization seeking to transform itself
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Four Dimensions Of Change
Understanding
Change
Implementing
Change
Planning
Change
Consolidating
Change
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Questions To Ask Yourself
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Questions To Ask Yourself
• Have I involved everyone who should beinvolved?
• Do I and my colleagues really believe thatinvolvement is essential for successfulCHANGE?
• Has the case for CHANGE been communicatedand understood?
• Have people had the necessary training andpreparation?
• Have management layers been kept to aminimum?
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Producing change
• Is 80 percent leadership -establishing direction,aligning, motivating, andinspiring people –
• And 20 percent management- planning, budgeting,organizing, and problemsolving
• Unfortunately, in most of thechange efforts, thesepercentages are reversed
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Questions To Ask Yourself
Have I ensured that everybody knows whatbenefits are expected from the CHANGE?
Does everybody fully understand and accept thecase for CHANGE?
Can I answer everybody’s vital question: “What’sin it for me?”
Will the planned CHANGES genuinely make
people’s jobs more interesting?What would I want done for me if my job was at
stake?
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Points To Remember
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(1)
• Change should not begin until all key questionsare answered
• Involve people in plans
• Measurement is the key to realistic planning• People work best if they identify a change with
their self-interest
• Long documents, long words, and long
explanations are off-putting• Objectives must be few in number and
unambiguous
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(2)
• The likely consequences of change, inside and outsidethe organization, need to be considered thoroughly
• All key managers must fully commit themselves to thechange philosophy
• Vital needs that must be supplied should be identifiedand catered for
• There needs to be regular liaison between alldepartments and functions affected by the CHANGE
• Everyone should understand the importance of treatingothers as allies, not enemies
• People at all levels are fully capable of understandingthe business case for CHANGE
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(4)
• Confronting opposition and opponents is apainful necessary
• If obstructive ringleaders will not reform,they will have to leave
• All senior people should develop the habitof taking and listening to everybody
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(1)
Do invite suggestionsfrom everyone
Do hold frequent formaland informal meetings
Do involve teams inplanning as well asimplementation
Do manage people’s
expectations with care
Don’t make offers people
cannot refuse
Don’t keep unnecessary
secrets or tell any lies
Don’t forget that
CHANGES shouldimprove organizationalresults
Don’t leave anybody outin the cold
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(2)
Do promote comradeshipamong CHANGE agents
Do give CHANGE agentsstretching tasks
Do encourage people toform and follow up ideasfor CHANGE
Do listen to what
CHANGE agents sayabout morale andreactions
Don’t assume that olderpeople are too set in theirways to be CHANGEagents
Don’t discourage othersby singling out CHANGEagents for specialtreatment
Don’t prevent CHANGE
agents from using theirinitiative
Don’t create anatmosphere of secrecy
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Using Change Agents
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Using Change Agents:
Quali t ies o f change agen ts
Realistic
Effective
Communication
Attentivelistener
Ideas
person
Good
collaborator
Restless
Eager for
improvement
Emotional Reactions to Change
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Emotional Reactions to Change
Time
Active
Passive
E m o t i o n a l r e s p o n s e
Stability at the
Point of change
Inabilityto act Denial
Anger
Bargaining
Depression
Acceptance
Testing
D li With N ti R ti T
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Dealing With Negative Reactions To
Change
Types of Negativity What to Do About Them
RATIONAL • Explain plan with greater clarityand detail
• Involve everybody• Institute bottom-up programme
PERSONAL • Stress improved job prospects
• Accept managerial responsibility
EMOTIONAL • Show with examples• Stage a series of meetings
• Demonstrate
• Explain the reasons for change
• Be honest
Studying All Angles
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Studying All Angles
of Change
External
Is the client satisfaction rising?Has the improved qualityincreased results?
Internal
Is the organization ordepartment meeting schedulesand targets? How is staffmorale?
Process
Is quality nearing 100 percent?Can schedules be cut? Areinnovations emerging?
Result
Is the financial position better?
R i i f
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Revision of a
CHANGE programme
Implement
CHANGE programme
Measure results
and obtain feedback
If successful,
continue programme
If necessary,revise programme
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Individual Work
• Please write down on coloured cards
1. What NEW things NSOs Have to Do
2. HOW will the SAME things be donedifferently
• As the result of the requirements ofMD/MDGs
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The Truth About Coping With
Change
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Most People Resist
Any Change That
oesn’t Jingle in
Their Pockets
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Resistance To Change
• Doesn’t surface in standardized ways
• Can be overt, implicit, immediate, ordeferred
• Easiest for management to deal with whenit is overt and immediate
• More challenging if it is implicit or deferred
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Resistance To Change
• Organizations and individuals resistchange
• In one sense this is positive since it
provides a degree of stability andpredictability to bahaviour
• Without resistance organizationalbehaviour will lead to chaotic randomness
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Resistance To Change
• Is a source of functional conflict
• Can stimulate healthy debate
• Hinders adaptation and progress
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Resistance to Change : Individuals
• Sources of resistance – Habit; Security;
Economic Factors, Fear of the Unknown
• Habit , i.e., programmed responses helps
us cope with complexities of life; whenconfronted with change this tendency torespond in our accustomed ways becomes
a source of resistance
Resistance to Change:
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Resistance to Change:
Individuals
• Securi ty – People with a high need for securityare likely to resist change because it threatenstheir sense of insecurity
• Econom ic Factors – Concern that changes willresult in lower income; Fear that they cannotperform new tasks or routines especially whenpay is closely tied to productivity
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Resistance to Change:
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Resistance to Change:
Organizations
• Organizat ions are conservat ive – actively resist change change throughstructural and group inertia and threats to
member expertise, power relationshipsand established resource allocations
Resistance to Change:
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Resistance to Change:
Organizations
• Organizations have bu i l t -in mechanism s to
produce stabi l ity – systematically select certainpeople and certain people out, people are hired
into an organization are chosen for for and thenshaped and directed to behave in certain ways
• When the organization is confronted withchange this structural inertia acts as a counter
balance to sustain stability
Resistance to Change:
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Resistance to Change:
Organizations
• Even if individuals want to change theirbehaviour, group norms act as a constraint
• Any redistribution of decision-making as theresult of change threatens the long-establishedpower relationships
• Groups in the organization that control sizeableresources often see change as a threat, thosethat benefit from current al.location of resourcesfeel threatened by changes that may effectfuture allocations
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What should the manager do?
1. Initiating change is an important part ofthe manager’s job
2. Expect resistance to change come in a
number of forms
3. Prepare to undermine this resistance
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Use Participation To Reduce
Resistance to Change
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Participation
• Having staff participate in decisions thataffect them is no panacea
• Has only a modest influence on employee
productivity, motivation and jobsatisfaction
• A potent force for combating resistance to
change
Right conditions for using
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Right conditions for using
participation
• Adequate time to participate
• Issues are relevant
• Staff have the ability to participate
• Organizational culture support staffinvolvement
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With the right conditions
• Participation can reduce resistance, obtaincommitment and increase the quality ofthe change decision
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You Can Teach Old Dog New
Tricks
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Age Discrimination
• Western cultures have historically been biasedtowards youth
• There is still a prejudice against hiring orinvesting in staff over age 50
• Part of this prejudice reflects the widely-heldstereotype that older workers have difficultieswith change
• Older staff are perceived as being inflexible,resistant to change and less trainable than theiryounger counterparts
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These perceptions are wrong
• Older workers want to learn and are justas capable of learning as any other
• They may take longer to train but once
trained perform at comparable levels toyounger workers
• Age is found not to be related to learning
and training outcomes
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These perceptions are wrong
• Older workers are more committed in thatthey are less likely to quit their jobs thattheir younger counterparts
• They have lower rates of avoidableabsences
• Workers 65 and over record higher jobsatisfaction scores than their co-workersaged 45-64
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Group Work
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Module I Understanding
hange
Group Work
Day 1 31 January 2005)
10:30-15:00
“Critical Assumptions of the ActionPlan and Considerations of
Alternative Course of Actions”
Obj ti
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Objectives
Participants will be able to:
1. Learn how to assess and validate theassumptions
2. Identify an alternative course of actionsand key tasks assessing their feasibility
E t d O t t
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Expected Outputs
1. A list of assumptions for each tasks ofthe selected two actions
2. A list of proposed alternative course of
actions for the two actions
Di ti
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Directions
1. Complete a worksheet “Criticalassumptions and alternative course ofactions”, in relation to the Case Study
2. Develop and propose an alternativecourse of actions in implementingselected two actions
Worksheet: Crit ica l Assumpt ions and
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Worksheet: Crit ica l Assumpt ions and
A l ternative Cou rse of A ct ions
Actions Key Tasks Outputs/Outcome
Assumptions Alternativeways to
implement
the tasks
1. 1.1
1.21.3
…
2. 2.1
2.2
2.3
…
Day 1 (31 January 2005)
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ay (3 Ja ua y 005)Time Session Responsibility
09:00-10:15 -Opening
-Overview of the Seminar
- Overview of the Change Management Process, including theconceptual framework for the Seminar
- Break/Photo
Mr.Tomas P.Africa,Director, UNSIAP
Ms. DavaasurenCh. UNSIAP
Prof.Dr.Aung TunThet, UNSSC
Module I – Understanding Change
10:15-12:00 - Presentation
- Q/A
- Group Work: “Critical Assumptions of the Action Plan and
Considerations of Alternative Course of Action”
Prof. Thet
12:00-13:30 Lunch
13:30-15:15 Group Reports/Plenary Discussions/Conclusions/RecommendationsCoffee/Tea Break
Participants/Resource Persons
Modu le II – Planning Change
15:15-17:00 - Presentation
- Q/A
- Group Work: “Securing commitments of partners and stakeholders
and identifying coordination mechanisms”
Dennis Trewin, AustralianStatistician, ABS
Participants
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Module II Planning hange
Group Work
Day 1 31 January 2005) 15:30-17:00
Day 2 01 February 2005) 09:00-10:30
“Securing commitments of partners and
stakeholders and identifying coordinationmechanisms”
Obj ti
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Objectives
Participants will be able to:
1. Learn how to identify What needs to bedone, by WHOM, with WHAT
RESOURCES, by WHEN and possibleCOORDINATION MECHANISMS
E t d O t t
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Expected Outputs
1. A draft of detailed Action Plan with thefollowing specifications: WHAT needs tobe done, with WHAT RESOURCES, by
WHEN, and COORDINATIONMECHANISMS
Di ti E h G
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Directions – Each Group
1. Determines major components of the tasks and assignactors involved for the ACTION PLAN
2. Determines required key resources and examines theavailability of them – financial, expertise, professional
staff, facilities and equipment3. Discusses the time frame to ensure that the key actors
and activities are properly coordinated in time
4. Identifies and highlights in the Worksheet, the tasks for
which no clear actor identified, unclear fundingsources, capacity limitations of staff, other resourcerequirements could not be identified
Worksheet: Resources Avai labi l i ty
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y
Assessment
Actions Key Tasks ResponsiblePartners
Availability offinancialresources
(1 … 5)
Low = 1
High = 5
Availability ofprofessionalstaff/
expertise
(1 … 5)
Low = 1
High = 5
Time tocomplete thetask
1. 1.1
1.2
1.3
… 2. 2.1
2.2
2.3
…
Day 2 (01 February 2005)
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Day 2 (01 February 2005)
Time Session Responsibility
Modu le II – Planning Change (cont inued)
09:00-10:45 Group Reports/Plenary Discussions/Conclusions/Recommendations
Coffee/Tea Break
Participants/
Resource Persons
Mod ule III – Implement ing and Con sol idat ing Change
10:45-12:00 - Presentation
- Q/A
- Group Work: “Identifying Monitoring Systems, including mechanisms
and indicators for work progress”
Mr.Brian Pink,
GovernmentStatistician, NewZealand
Participants
12:00-13:30 Lunch
13:30-15:15 Group Work (continued)
Coffee/Tea Break
Participants/
Resource Persons
15:15-17:00 Group Reports/Plenary Discussions/Conclusions/Recommendations Participants/
Resource Persons
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“Change is Progress – except
when it happens to us”
UN SYSTEM STAFF COLLEGE
The Principle of E ceptionalism
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The Principle of Exceptionalism
• While change elsewhere is desirable, weare a special case – immune from powerful
improvement
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Results-Based Management
The key is the Results Chain
RBM
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RBM
RESULTS
INPUT ACTIVITY OUTPUT OUTCOME IMPACT
• Human• Financial
• Technical
• MgtSeminar
• Number ofparticipants
• Positive
Reaction
• Increase in
knowledge andskills
• EnhancedPerformance
efficiency effectiveness
ASSUMPTIONS
Remember
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Remember
TELL ME I will forget
SHOW ME I might remember
INVOLVE ME I will never forget
Action 1: Develop provincial level poverty indicators
Key tasks Responsible Availability Availability Time to
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partners of financial
resource
of
professional
staff/experti
se
complete task
1.1 income
and
expenditure
household
surveys withincreased
sample size
1.2
tabulation
and
estimation by
province
11. SCI*
2. MPO*
3.
MOSW*
1. SCI
4
4
4
4
2006-2008
(focus on 2007)
12006-2008
(focus on 2008)
* SCI: Statistical Centre of Iran
* MPO: Managing and Planning Organization
* MOSW: Ministry of Social Welfare
Action 2: Improve data quality
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Key tasks Responsible
partners
Availability of
financial
resource
Availability
of
professionalstaff/expertis
e
Time to
complete task
2.1 review
data collectionmethodologies
2.2 change of
reference
periods
S1. SSCI
2. MPO3. ISS
S1. SCI
5
5
5
5
2006-2008
2006-2008
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Module III Implementing and
onsolidating hange
Group Work
Day 2 01 February 2005)
11:00-17:00
“Identifying Monitoring Systems,including mechanisms and
indicators of work progress”
Objectives
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Objectives
Participants will be able to:1. Learn how to establish good monitoring
mechanisms to achieve Action Plan
objectives
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Day 3 (02 February 2005)Time Session Responsibility
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Time Session Responsibility
Modu le IV – Nat ional Strategies for the Development of Stat ist ics
09:00-11:00 Presentations- “An Overview of NSDS”
- “World Bank Initiatives To Improve Statistics”
- “Issues related to the fundamental principles of official statistics that
have to be considered in NSDS”
- Q/A
- Coffee/Tea Break
Ms. FrancesHarper,PARIS21
Mr.Fred Vogel,Global Coordinator,ICP, WB
Mr.HeinrichBruengger,
Director, StatisticsDivision, UNECE
11:00-12:00 Synthesis and Integration: Outputs of the Group Work and Critique
-Bhutan
-Indonesia
Mr. Tomas Africa,UNSIAP
12:00-13:00 Lunch
13:00-14:30 -(Continued)- Iran
- Mongolia
Mr. Tomas Africa,UNSIAP
14:00-15:30 Closing and Seminar Evaluation
- Recommendations and conclusions;
- Implications for capacity building;
- Proposed date, venue, theme for 4th
Management Seminar;
Mr.Andrew J. Flatt,
UNESCAP
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Being A Change Agent
“Boiling Frog” phenomenon
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Boiling Frog phenomenon
Frog Prince
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Frog Prince
• You have to kissmany frogs beforeyou find the FrogPrince
Understanding the Change Process
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Understanding the Change Process
• We need to be able to work with change atthe very micro- level (persuadingindividuals within organizations to work in
new or different ways)• We also need need to be influencing the
agenda at the macro-level – changing
public opinions
Our Roles in the Change Process
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Our Roles in the Change Process
Inside Outside
Up-front
Backseat
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Matrix of Strategic Roles
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Matrix of Strategic RolesInside Outside
Up-front Champion
Within the organisation
Seen as a leader
Closely associated with
changeand moving things forward
Activist
Likely to remain an outsider
Fierce in supporting oropposing change
Has strong views andexpresses them
Back-seat
Tempered Radical
Working within theorganisation
Commitment to organisation
Work with powers-that-be
Still passionate and committed
Messenger
On the outside
May bring good or bad news A Trojan horse?
Not closely associated withchange –
always at one step removed
Question
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Question
• How might you use the four strategicchange agent roles in relation to NSOs