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März 2002 © Michael Klemen / Private Page 1
m-business .... what works, what not ....
Globalisierung und m-Business:
mobile commerce... wireless enabled business
Michael KlemenKrems, 07.03.2002
März 2002 © Michael Klemen / Private Page 2
m-business .... what works, what not ....
• M-commerce - an emerging business force that will drive £75 billion global revenue by 2005 of which Europe’s share will be £40 billion and the multiple players who want to capture this revenue
• Austria – where are we
• Trends impacting m-commerce and factors for consideration in capturing m-commerce value - how to understand the landscape and the challenges for both Business and Technology.
• Examples / first experiences enable already certain solutions and why it is important to understand geographic differences when creating solutions.
• What value 3G will provide and the challenges it faces as m-commerce applications evolve.
Introduction1.
März 2002 © Michael Klemen / Private Page 3
m-business .... what works, what not ....
• The mobile market worldwide is …… moving... (booming?)
• Is the market potential for m-commerce significant - £75 billion by 2005 - Europe’s share will be £40 billion Merrill Lynch, Wireless Internet, June 2000
• how much revenue will m-commerce capture from/through mobile data
• Multiple players are trying to capture this potential
• There are challenges which must be overcome before this value is realised and mass market adoption is achieved -There have been some successes to date but real business value is yet to be proven
• 2.5 and 3G will impact m-commerce but there are some issues
• Technology is not the only driving force
Introduction1.
März 2002 © Michael Klemen / Private Page 4
m-business .... what works, what not ....
Source: Gartner Dataquest (February 2002)
Mobile Connections & Annual Growth Rates: Europe, 4Q01
Data2.
März 2002 © Michael Klemen / Private Page 5
m-business .... what works, what not ....
Integrate the mobile solution with all other channels
Users
Internet/ PC
Wireless Devices
Broadband
Physical location
IVR/Call Center
• Brand• Information• Functionality• Experience
…must be appropriate,orchestrated and integrated
Solution4.
März 2002 © Michael Klemen / Private Page 6
m-business .... what works, what not ....
Type A Adoption Type B Adoption Type C Adoption
Benefit
TimeSource: Gartner Research
Wireless cycle5.
Peak of inflatedExpectations
Slope ofEnlightenment
TechnologyTrigger
Trough ofDisillusionment
Plateau ofProductivity
Wireless available in market leaders
2001
Devices available Limited Software
1994 - 1997
2003 – 2004
Wireless fever
2004 - 2005
Expectations of users not widely met
2006
Some enterprises will gain great success
Wireless technology adapted in most software applications
2008
März 2002 © Michael Klemen / Private Page 7
m-business .... what works, what not ....
• With multiple players involved in creating a successful mobile transaction, need to figure out how the revenue and costs will be allocated
• Unclear value proposition for mobile within realm of corporate objectives needs to be clarified
• It’s not the time for thoughtless spending on technology. Clear business value and return on investment must be measurable and targets established up front
• How can 3G help extend my brand? What are the band risks of an unsuccessful deployment?
• In a dynamic business and technology environment, how do we create flexible and sustainable partnerships to create sustainable competitive advantage
• All players will want to control the relationship and own the customer data - who will?
• Who captures the revenue?
• How does mobile deliver on corporate strategy & goals?
• What is the business case? How big will this be?
• How can our brand extend to mobile?
• Who are the critical partners to pursue?
• Who owns the user?
Open aspects5.
März 2002 © Michael Klemen / Private Page 9
m-business .... what works, what not ....
US JAPANEUROPE
I-mode’s example shows that new business models are possible as a result of mobile
Uncertain outcome due to high Internet penetration, strong portal brands, poor infrastructure, and failure of operators to capitalise on the Internet
Consumer use of mobile technology among the highest in the world, but less experience in fixed Internet
Software
Hardware
Services
DeviceEnd User FunctionTrans Content
Devices, entertainment and telcos dominate
Internet players are battling with Telcos for control
Software
Hardware
Services
DeviceEnd User FunctionTrans Content
Telcos dominateMobile data is more accepted
Software
Hardware
Services
DeviceEnd User FunctionTrans Content
März 2002 © Michael Klemen / Private Page 10
m-business .... what works, what not ....
Applications & Monthly FeesConvenience: Subway direction 100yen Highway direction 100yen Train & Traffic Free Phone #, address yen Apartment Search Free What’s on sale - neighborhood 30yen News and Weather Free Recruitment FreeSports: Baseball, Sumo.. Free Horse Races - results 300yenStock Market: Stock indexes Free Stock prices 100-500yenCommunication: Personal ads 10-150yen Group Trip Listing 100yen/moFortune Telling: Woman fortune chat room 200yen Love, marriage 200yen Tell it to an angel 200yen Your star + Blood type 100yen/mo
Japan ahead : NTTDocomo
Examples7.
März 2002 © Michael Klemen / Private Page 12
m-business .... what works, what not ....
Heart diagnostics & monitoring
Examples7.
März 2002 © Michael Klemen / Private
m-business .... what works, what not ....
• Which user segments can best benefit?
• What user situations, tasks, problems can mobile improve?
• Which services should be applied to which device?
• Will users trust the services?
• Who will the user call when there is a problem?
• How does mobile deliver on corporate strategy & goals?
• What’s the business case? How big will this be?
• How can our brand extend to mobile?
• Who are the critical partners to pursue?
• Which technologies (HW & SW) are most suitable?
• What are the implications for back-end systems?
• Which vendors are best? How should they be evaluated?
• In-house vs. ASP?
• How can security be maintained?
Page 16
Users
Business
Technology
Conclusions9.
März 2002 © Michael Klemen / Private Page 17
m-business .... what works, what not ....
KPN Mobile, in which DoCoMo has a 15% stake, is planning to start i-mode in Germany, Belgium and the Netherlands this spring.
Sony Ericsson's new handset with the integrated camera, the P800, is the most advanced of the three new GSM models
Sony , Ericsson Venture Unveils Its First Mobile-Phone Handsets
Predictions9.
crazy again ...
As of 1:46 a.m. EST Thursday, March 7, 2002