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March 2015 CONFIDENTIAL
Please see the end of this presentation for important disclosures.
LUV for Oil?
1 1
Summary
Current oil prices reflect the trough of a cycle. ROACE is at record lows, capital spending is being slashed, production growth is nonexistent within current cash flows and the marginal E&P operator is in need of capital to stay in business.
Much of the recent collapse in oil appears to be the result of a deceleration in demand and a strengthening of the USD. History suggests that a recovery from this trough will be demand-led and supply-supported.
Consensus expects a recovery in the second half of 2015. While this remains plausible, the risks appear to be to the downside, with a longer trough driven by a flood of new capital into the space and a weak macro backdrop.
The increased volatility and low commodity prices are likely to be positive for long-term oil prices, lowering confidence in investment, lowering planning assumptions and instilling capital discipline in a sector where it has been lacking. This appears similar to the events of 1998, which led to a multi-year bull cycle.
2 2
Kimmeridge Commodity Outlook Framework
Over the long term, oil and gas prices have trended in line with the capital intensity of the industry. Since 1998 the capital intensity of the industry has expanded circa 8% per annum on a per barrel basis, despite the shale revolution.
While prices have trended with the marginal cost, they have also been reflective of near-term supply/demand trends, such that when spare capacity is tight, operators earn outsized returns and are incentivized to add production. In contrast, when demand is low, prices tend to trend below the marginal cost, leaving the high-cost players to reduce volumes.
Today, oil and gas prices are trending below the marginal cost of supply, with prices having collapsed in the face of decelerating GDP and stable supply. Current pricing is unsustainable. However, the timing of a recovery is likely to be demand-led and later than consensus, driven by liquidity, lease dynamics and irrational operator behavior.
3 3
The Trend of Rising Capital Intensity Has Come from Moving Down the Resource Triangle
Capital employed per barrel of production has expanded for all companies. While XOM’s has risen from $30 per flowing barrel to $100 per flowing barrel, the US E&P group has gone from $78/boe to $212/boe.
0
50
100
150
200
250
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
CE/
bbl o
f pro
duct
ion
E&Ps XOM
Upstream capital employed per flowing barrel
4 4
Over the Long Term, Oil Prices Have Cycled Around the Marginal Cost
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
WTI
Oil
($/b
bl)
Oil Price Estimated Marginal Cost Estimated Cash Cost Estimated Price of DD
2010 to 2014 was unusual for the low level of volatility around the
marginal cost
In 2000 the marginal cost of supply began to
rise with the end of cheap oil and a reduction in global spare capacity
In 2008 the rapid growth in Chinese demand led
prices to trade above the marginal cost before collapsing with the
financial crisis
The current drop appears comparable to 1998 being demand led; while absolute prices differ, relative % drops are similar
Source: SCB, Kimmeridge
5 5
R² = 0.39
0.0x
0.2x
0.4x
0.6x
0.8x
1.0x
1.2x
1.4x
1.6x
1.8x
2.0x
0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0
Oil
Pric
e R
elat
ive
to th
e M
argi
nal C
ost
OPEC Spare Capacity (Mbpd)
Oil Prices Relative to the Marginal Cost
Oil prices have continued to trade around the marginal cost (adjusted for supply/demand). However, as fears grow about a deflating marginal cost and growing spare capacity, prices have trended below the line.
January 2015
Source: SCB, Kimmeridge
6 6
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
E
2015
E
Ble
nded
Rea
lizat
ion
$/bo
e
RO
ACE
%
The Rising Marginal Cost has Meant that Higher Prices have not Led to Higher Returns
If current pricing persists ($50/bbl and $3.5/mcf gas), then 2015 ROACE would be lowest for the peer group in 20 years, indicative of a cyclical trough.
7 7
Supply: Summary
While investors have focused on US supply growth as the cause of the collapse in crude prices, the reality is that total global supply growth is not abnormally high, due to weak non-OPEC/non-US supply.
The growth in US supply and the inability to export does however create the potential for significant “local” dislocations, including the risk that US inventories will become effectively full, putting pressure on WTI cash pricing.
OPEC growth has been significant, driven by the return of Libya. Risks exist on both sides of this equation with more supply likely in the event of an Iranian resolution and less supply possible due to political unrest in Libya/Iraq/Nigeria/Venezuela.
Long-term supply is likely to be negatively impacted by the return of volatility to the crude market. This was a meaningful outcome of the 1998 downturn and we would expect it to be repeated.
8 8
The US Flood
Investors are concerned about US volume growth for good reason.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Jan-
1920
May
-192
5Se
p-19
30Ja
n-19
36M
ay-1
941
Sep-
1946
Jan-
1952
May
-195
7Se
p-19
62Ja
n-19
68M
ay-1
973
Sep-
1978
Jan-
1984
May
-198
9Se
p-19
94Ja
n-20
00M
ay-2
005
Sep-
2010
Prod
uctio
n M
bpd
-0.4
-0.2
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
Jan-
2010
May
-201
0
Sep-
2010
Jan-
2011
May
-201
1
Sep-
2011
Jan-
2012
May
-201
2
Sep-
2012
Jan-
2013
May
-201
3
Sep-
2013
Jan-
2014
May
-201
4
Year
ove
r yea
r gro
wth
Mbp
d
Source: EIA
9 9
The International Drought
Outside of the US, new exploration has been extremely limited.
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
# of
Not
able
(10+
Mbo
e) D
isco
verie
s by
Typ
e
Total DiscoveriesTotal OffshoreTotal Onshore
AAPG Explorer 2014 “The world did not see any surprising high volume discoveries”
AAPG Explorer 2013 “it was the Chinese year of the elephant but it wasn’t even the year of the Big Gorilla for exploration”
AAPG Explorer 2012 “shocking resurgence of oil production in North America was 2012’s leading energy story. Tight oil development, continued with discoveries in the Gulf of Mexico contributed”
AAPG Explorer 2011 “2011 may be seen as a year when frontier acreage, if not stealing the limelight, certainly earned the right to share center stage with unconventionals” AAPG Explorer
2010 “Brazil Discoveries Set 2010 Pace”
AAPG Explorer 2009 “Despite the low oil price impediments, the industry responded with a remarkable year especially in Brazil”
Source: AAPG, IHS
10 10
The Combined Non-OPEC Effect
However, overall, non-OPEC supply growth has been in line with history due to limited international growth.
-3%
-2%
-1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
E20
16
Non
-OPE
C S
uppl
y G
row
th
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
E20
1620
1820
20
Oil
Prod
uctio
n M
bpd
US Non-OPEC (ex US)
Source: EIA, SCB, Kimmeridge
11 11
The Near-Term Reaction to Price is Being Felt
The economics of drilling have been rapidly felt in a peer group with limited access to new cash flow sources. As a result, the rig count has collapsed and rates will follow supporting a 20% reduction in F&D.
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
3Q 1
995
3Q 1
996
3Q 1
997
3Q 1
998
3Q 1
999
3Q 2
000
3Q 2
001
3Q 2
002
3Q 2
003
3Q 2
004
3Q 2
005
3Q 2
006
3Q 2
007
3Q 2
008
3Q 2
009
3Q 2
010
3Q 2
011
3Q 2
012
3Q 2
013
3Q 2
014
Hig
h Pe
rmia
n R
ig R
ate
$/da
y 0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
7/17
/198
79/
16/1
988
11/1
7/19
891/
18/1
991
3/20
/199
25/
21/1
993
7/22
/199
49/
22/1
995
11/2
2/19
961/
23/1
998
3/26
/199
95/
26/2
000
7/27
/200
19/
27/2
002
11/2
6/20
031/
28/2
005
3/31
/200
66/
01/2
007
8/01
/200
810
/02/
2009
12/0
3/20
102/
03/2
012
4/05
/201
36/
06/2
014
Oil
Rig
Cou
nt
Kimmeridge day rate decline
projection
Source: Citi, Kimmeridge Source: Baker Hughes
12 12
How Much Can the US Grow When Living Within Cash Flow? Zero.
-50%
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
300%
- 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000
3-ye
ar P
rove
d D
evel
oped
Rec
ycle
Rat
io
Cumulative Production (mboepd)
From 2010-2013 (2014 data has yet to be reported) the peer group’s recycle ratio was 114%, implying 1.4% annual production growth ($95/bbl WTI and $3.50/mcf). However, the group also issued considerable debt allowing them to spend at an effective recycle rate of 131% to deliver 3% aggregate growth. Based on current commodity prices, even with a reduction in F&D of 20%, the peer group’s recycle ratio would be 88% (with no cost deflation it would be 70%), implying a decline in production of -1.2% to -3% (a swing of 575-850kboepd per year).
2011-13 Recycle ratio by operator (average 114%)
2015F Recycle ratio by operator (average 88%)
13 13
Demand: An Uneven Recovery
While the focus has been on US supply, the directional change in oil prices in 2014 appears to have been demand related, which has seen negative revisions since mid-year.
The IMF now expects global GDP growth to edge up only slightly from 3.3% last year to 3.5% in 2015. That is down from a 3.8% forecast for 2015 in its World Economic Outlook published in October. It forecasts growth picking up only slightly next year and cut its 2016 forecasts from 4.0% to 3.7%.
Historically (only one in nine times), have oil prices risen with GDP below 3%. For a material appreciation, yoy GDP growth has averaged 4%+.
14 14
Global GDP and the Demand Problem
Historically, oil prices have correlated closely with GDP growth with the exception of 2007 when prices dropped steeply in the face of strong growth.
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
-1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
E
YoY
WTI
Cha
nge
%
GD
P G
row
th R
eal %
GDP Growth % YoY Change in Oil
15 15
2600
3000
3400
3800
4200
4600
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%Fe
b-00
Jul-0
0D
ec-0
0M
ay-0
1O
ct-0
1M
ar-0
2Au
g-02
Jan-
03Ju
n-03
Nov
-03
Apr-0
4Se
p-04
Feb-
05Ju
l-05
Dec
-05
May
-06
Oct
-06
Mar
-07
Aug-
07Ja
n-08
Jun-
08N
ov-0
8Ap
r-09
Sep-
09Fe
b-10
Jul-1
0D
ec-1
0M
ay-1
1O
ct-1
1M
ar-1
2Au
g-12
Jan-
13Ju
n-13
Nov
-13
Apr-1
4Se
p-14
Dis
tilla
te p
rodu
ct s
uppl
ied
(Kbb
l/d)
Load
ed im
boun
d co
ntai
ner g
row
th
3-month av. Y-o-y growth Inbound West Coast container TEUs
Trailing 13-week average distillate supplied
Decline in distillate demand coincides with a steep decline in loaded inbound container traffic
Recovery in both distillate demand and loaded
inbound container traffic in 2010
Distillate demand and inbound container traffic strong in 2013 and 2014,
although December container traffic shows a slowdown, but this could be impacted by strikes
US Demand Remains Strong Driven by Strong GDP
Source: US Dept. of Transport, EIA
16 16
And Falling Prices/Higher Employment
-10%
-8%
-6%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
1/1/
2006
4/1/
2006
7/1/
2006
10/1
/200
61/
1/20
074/
1/20
077/
1/20
0710
/1/2
007
1/1/
2008
4/1/
2008
7/1/
2008
10/1
/200
81/
1/20
094/
1/20
097/
1/20
0910
/1/2
009
1/1/
2010
4/1/
2010
7/1/
2010
10/1
/201
01/
1/20
114/
1/20
117/
1/20
1110
/1/2
011
1/1/
2012
4/1/
2012
7/1/
2012
10/1
/201
21/
1/20
134/
1/20
137/
1/20
1310
/1/2
013
1/1/
2014
4/1/
2014
7/1/
2014
10/1
/201
41/
1/20
15
Mon
th o
n m
onth
cha
nge
in D
eman
d (L
agge
d 6
m &
Adj
fo
r em
ploy
men
t)
Mon
th o
n M
onth
Cha
nge
in G
asol
ine
Pric
e %
Price DemandSource: EIA, Bureau of Labor Statistics
17 17
International Demand has Decelerated
China Imports have been robust, up 10% or 600kbpd, but this is largely a result of storage growth.
18 18
China Underlying Demand has Been Weak (Up just 2-3%)
Last year China added 75-100mmbls to storage (200-300kbpd) supporting imports.
2015 demand is forecast at 4.0%, suggesting that if inventory build slows, imports could drop circa 100kbpd (yoy). January imports were weak (flat yoy and down 8% on December).
19 19
1.0
0.6
1.0 1.3
2.3
0.6
1.3
1.8
3.4
3.8
3.1 3.3
1.0
0.4 0.6
-0.7
-0.3 -0.4
-1.0
-2.1
-0.3
0.3
-0.1 -0.3
-0.9
-0.2
-1.8
-4.2
-3.3
-2.9
-2.3
-3.1
1.8
3.8
5.0
5.6
1.1
-0.1
1.0 1.1
-1.1
-0.4
-1.1
-0.7
0.1
1.4 1.3 1.1
0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4
-0.4 -0.6 -0.7 -0.7
1.1 1.2
0.2 0.1 0.3
0.0
-0.2
-0.6 -0.3
0.1 0.0 0.1
-0.4 -0.7 -0.8
-0.4
-1.3 -1.6
-1.4 -1.4 -1.4 -1.5
-0.9 -0.5
-1.4
-1.9
-0.8 -0.6
-1.2 -1.2 -1.1
-0.5
0.2
0.6
2.0
1.1
1.6
2.5
-0.2
-0.6 -0.3
-0.1
-0.6
-1.0 -1.0
-0.1
0.3 0.3
0.9
1.4
0.4
0.8 0.9 0.8
0.2 0.1
-0.4 -0.1
0.6 0.8
-5.0
5.0
15.0
25.0
35.0
45.0
55.0
65.0
75.0
85.0
95.0
105.0
115.0
125.0
135.0
-5.0
-4.0
-3.0
-2.0
-1.0
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
1Q02
2Q02
3Q02
4Q02
1Q03
2Q03
3Q03
4Q03
1Q04
2Q04
3Q04
4Q04
1Q05
2Q05
3Q05
4Q05
1Q06
2Q06
3Q06
4Q06
1Q07
2Q07
3Q07
4Q07
1Q08
2Q08
3Q08
4Q08
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
4Q09
1Q10
2Q10
3Q10
4Q10
1Q11
2Q11
3Q11
4Q11
1Q12
2Q12
3Q12
4Q12
1Q13
2Q13
3Q13
4Q13
1Q14
2Q14
3Q14
4Q14
1Q15
E2Q
15E
3Q15
E4Q
15E
2016
E20
17E
WTI
Pric
e $/
bbl
Wor
ldw
ide
Dem
and/
Non
OPE
C S
uppl
y M
bpd
IEA Oil Non-OPEC Supply & WW Demand Revisions Final #s -- Original #s vs. Oil Price
WW Demand Non-OPEC Supply12MF Oil Strip
The Deceleration in GDP and Demand has Led the Decline in Oil
Change in global GDP outlook will drive the recovery of the oil price, not supply reductions.
Source: IEA, Bloomberg
20 20
Currency, Interest Rates and Free Money
While historical and future oil prices are likely to be driven primarily by the marginal cost of supply and spare capacity (i.e. supply/demand), historical data suggests that currency/interest rates are an additional variable.
A leading factor in the crude downturn was the reversal from an accelerating GDP world (1H2014) to a decelerating one (2H2014). At the same time, the relative interest rate and exchange rate outlook for USD/EUR and USD to other currencies also reversed.
In the near term, dollar strength appears likely given the indications that the Fed will raise rates (at least a quarter this year). However, job and inflation data suggest that a moderation of this position (to no rate rise or further easing) isn’t impossible, which in turn may lead to dollar weakening and a modest recovery in crude.
21 21
Relationship of WTI to the DXY Index (2006-Present)
While the correlation is moderate, there is a clear directional relationship between currencies and crude.
R² = 0.4396
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
65 85 105
DXY
Inde
x
Oil (WTI $/bbl)
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
1/6/
2006
4/6/
2006
7/6/
2006
10/6
/200
61/
6/20
074/
6/20
077/
6/20
0710
/6/2
007
1/6/
2008
4/6/
2008
7/6/
2008
10/6
/200
81/
6/20
094/
6/20
097/
6/20
0910
/6/2
009
1/6/
2010
4/6/
2010
7/6/
2010
10/6
/201
01/
6/20
114/
6/20
117/
6/20
1110
/6/2
011
1/6/
2012
4/6/
2012
7/6/
2012
10/6
/201
21/
6/20
134/
6/20
137/
6/20
1310
/6/2
013
1/6/
2014
4/6/
2014
7/6/
2014
10/6
/201
41/
6/20
15
DXY
Inde
x
WTO
I $/b
bl
Source: Bloomberg
22 22
Jobs Data and Impact on US Rate Decisions
The impact of the growing energy sector on the jobs market should not be underestimated and raises the possibility that the fall in unemployment stalls, further limiting inflation.
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
Jan-
05Ju
l-05
Jan-
06Ju
l-06
Jan-
07Ju
l-07
Jan-
08Ju
l-08
Jan-
09Ju
l-09
Jan-
10Ju
l-10
Jan-
11Ju
l-11
Jan-
12Ju
l-12
Jan-
13Ju
l-13
Jan-
14Ju
l-14
Empl
oym
ent I
ndex
ed to
Jan
200
5
North DakotaTexasRest of US
Employment growth in the rest of the US slower to recover post-financial crisis, but in Jun 2014 back
at peak 2007 levels
Note data ends in Jun 2014
Strong employment growth in North
Dakota and Texas driven by tight oil
boom and ancillary services
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
1100
1200
1300
1400
Jan-
05Ju
l-05
Jan-
06Ju
l-06
Jan-
07Ju
l-07
Jan-
08Ju
l-08
Jan-
09Ju
l-09
Jan-
10Ju
l-10
Jan-
11Ju
l-11
Jan-
12Ju
l-12
Jan-
13Ju
l-13
Jan-
14Ju
l-14
Jan-
15
Oil
Prod
uctio
n In
dexe
d to
Jan
200
5
North DakotaTexasRest of US
Strong oil production growth in North Dakota
and Texas driven by tight oil production from the Bakken and Permian
Oil production in the rest of the
US has been broadly flat
Note data ends in Nov 2014
Source: EIA Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
23 23
What if Inflation Remains Non-Existent?
If US inflation remains limited and unemployment stagnates, a single interest rate rise may be realistic, with future easing raising the potential of USD weakening.
24 24
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
WTI
Oil
($/b
bl)
Estimated Price of DD Estimated Cash Cost Oil PriceEstimated Marginal Cost Consensus
Source: SCB, Kimmeridge
Summary & Conclusions
Based on current conditions, Kimmeridge believe the risks to commodity prices versus consensus are negative in the 12-24-month time frame and positive in the 2-4 year outlook. Key factors that would alter this: • A return to easing in the US (hence large scale currency
movement), • Large economic stimulation packages in Europe, China, etc. • Political disruption, or • A sovereign/corporate high yield credit crisis (limiting new
distressed capital into the system)
25 25
Summary of Positive & Negative Factors
Influence Positive for Price Negative for Price
Marginal Cost Capital intensity continues to rise Material efficiency gains slowing impact of rig decline Service deflation bottoms Deflation in services/materials Low ROACE continue Technological evolution to improve EUR/well Supply Factors Reduction in US rig count, operators live within cash flow Iran nuclear deal Limited new liquidity (distress is the high yield market) Distressed capital flows into insolvent companies Distress in sovereign bonds (Venezuela/Russia) Stabilization in Iraq/Libya Supply interruptions (Libya, Iraq, Nigeria, Venezuela) "Full" storage Non-OPEC, Non-US continued decline OPEC decision to act
Export allowance/domestic growth (reducing WTI differential) Demand Factors Recovery in Global GDP Deceleration in US GDP China and RoW Stimulus Greek exit & Europe stagnation China SPR build China deceleration and/or credit crisis Negative Petro State revisions Industrial base expansion (Chemicals) Japanese stagnation Macro Dollar weakening Dollar strengthening
US return to easing RoW rate cutting/weakening and negative interest rates US deflation/rising unemployment
Source: Kimmeridge
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Disclosures
Offering by Fund Documents Only The material provided in this presentation is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any securities relating to any of the products referenced herein, notwithstanding that any such securities may be currently being offered to others. Any such offering will be made only in accordance with the terms and conditions set forth in the Offering Memorandum pertaining to such Fund. Prior to investing, investors are strongly urged to review carefully the Offering Memorandum (including the risk considerations described therein), the Subscription Agreement and all related Fund documents (“Fund Documents”), to ask such additional questions of the Investment Manager as they deem appropriate, and to discuss any prospective investment in the Fund with their legal and tax advisers. In the case of any inconsistency between the descriptions or terms in this presentation and the Fund Documents, the Fund Documents shall control. Fund securities shall not be offered or sold in any jurisdiction in which such offer, solicitation or sale would be unlawful until the requirements of the laws of such jurisdiction have been satisfied. No person has been authorized to give any information or to make any representation, warranty, statement or assurance not contained in the Fund Documents and, if given or made, such other information or representation, warranty, statement or assurance may not be relied upon. Inherent Risks An investment in the Funds is speculative and involves a high degree of risk. Opportunities for withdrawal and transferability of interests are restricted, so investors may not have access to capital when it is needed. There is no secondary market for the interests and none is expected to develop. Leverage may be employed in the portfolio and the portfolio may be concentrated, which can make investment performance volatile. An investor should not make an investment unless it is prepared to lose all or a substantial portion of its investment. The fees and expenses charged in connection with this investment may be higher than the fees and expenses of other investment alternatives and may offset profits. There is no guarantee that investment objectives will be achieved. The past performance of the investment team should not be construed as an indicator of future performance. Kimmeridge Energy may modify its investment approach and portfolio parameters in the future in a manner which it believes is consistent with its overall investment objectives. This presentation is not intended for public use or distribution. Forward Looking Statements This presentation contains “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, Section 27A of the Securities Act and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act. Forward-looking statements give our current expectations or forecasts of future events. They include statements regarding our anticipated future operating and financial performance. Although we believe the expectations and statements reflected in these and other forward-looking statements are reasonable, we can give no assurance they will prove to have been correct. They can be affected by inaccurate assumptions, by inaccurate information from third parties, or by known or unknown risks and uncertainties. You should understand that the following important factors could affect the Fund’s results and could cause those results or other outcomes to differ materially from those expressed or implied in the forward-looking statements relating to: (1) amount, nature, and timing of property acquisitions or capital expenditures; (2) the market for oil and gas acreage or properties; (3) drilling of wells and other planned exploitation activities; (4) timing and amount of future production of oil or gas; (5) quantities of discovered or probable, potential or proved reserves of oil or gas; (6) marketing of and market prices for oil, gas or oil or gas properties generally or in any particular location; (7) operating costs such as lease operating expenses, administrative costs and other expenses; (8) our future operating or financial results; (9) cash flow and anticipated liquidity; (10) the timing, success and cost of exploration and exploitation activities; (11) governmental and environmental regulation of the oil and gas industry; (12) environmental liabilities relating to potential pollution arising from our operations or the operations of acquirers of acreage positions we may purchase; (13) industry competition, conditions, performance and consolidation; (15) the availability of drilling rigs and other oilfield equipment and services; and (16) natural events. We caution you not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. This presentation and all of the information contained in it, including without limitation all text, data, graphs, charts is the property of Kimmeridge Energy Management Company, LLC or its affiliates (collectively, “Kimmeridge”), or Kimmeridge’s licensors, direct or indirect suppliers or any third party involved in making or compiling any information and is provided for informational purposes only. The information has been derived from sources believed to be reliable but is not guaranteed as to accuracy and does not purport to be a complete analysis of any security, company or industry involved. The user of the information assumes the entire risk of any use it may make or permit to be made of the information. NONE OF THE INFORMATION PROVIDERS MAKES ANY EXPRESS OR IMPLIED WARRANTIES OR REPRESENTATIONS WITH RESPECT TO THE INFORMATION (OR THE RESULTS TO BE OBTAINED BY THE USE THEREOF), AND TO THE MAXIMUM EXTENT PERMITTED BY APPLICABLE LAW, EACH INFORMATION PROVIDER EXPRESSLY DISCLAIMS ALL IMPLIED WARRANTIES (INCLUDING, WITHOUT LIMITATION, ANY IMPLIED WARRANTIES OF ORIGINALITY, ACCURACY, TIMELINESS, NON-INFRINGEMENT, COMPLETENESS, MERCHANTABILITY AND FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE) WITH RESPECT TO ANY OF THE INFORMATION.
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