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8/2/2019 lutfi anwar 0910440287
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Persamaan Simultan
LAPORAN PRAKTIKUM METODE KUANTITATIF
Analisis Persamaan Simultan
Disusun Oleh :
Lutfi Anwar 0910440287
PROGRAM STUDI AGRIBISNIS
JURUSAN SOSIAL EKONOMI PERTANIAN
FAKULTAS PERTANIAN
UNIVERSITAS BRAWIJAYA
MALANG
2012
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Hasil SPSS
Two-stage Least Squares Analysis Persamaan 1
Notes
Output Created 27-Apr-2012 23:39:16
Comments
Input Active Dataset DataSet0
Filter
Weight
Split File
N of Rows in Working Data File 21
Date
Missing Value
Handling
Definition of Missing User-defined missing values are treated as missing.
Cases Used Statistics are based on all cases with valid data for all
variables across all equations.
Syntax 2SLS Dt WITH POPt It PDG Dt1
/INSTRUMENTS PDGt1 It POPt NTt Dt1 St
PRODGt PDVt L_T IMG PWG PDG
/CONSTANT
/SAVE PRED.
Resources Processor Time 0:00:00.015
Elapsed Time 0:00:00.016
Time Series
Settings (TSET)
Amount of Output PRINT = DEFAULT
Saving New Variables NEWVAR = CURRENT
Treatment of User-Missing Values MISSING = EXCLUDE
Equations Include CONSTANT
Variables Created
or Modified
FIT_1 Fit for Dt, MOD_1 Equation 1
[DataSet0]
Model Description
Type of Variable
Equation 1 Dt dependent
POPt predictor & instrumental
It predictor & instrumental
PDG predictor & instrumental
Dt1 predictor & instrumental
PDGt1 instrumental
NTt instrumental
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St instrumental
PRODGt instrumental
PDVt instrumental
L_T instrumental
IMG instrumental
PWG instrumental
MOD_1
Model Summary
Equation 1 Multiple R .754
R Square .569
Adjusted R Square .461
Std. Error of the Estimate 407810.695
ANOVA
Sum of Squares df Mean Square F Sig.
Equation 1 Regression 3.510E12 4 8.774E11 5.276 .007
Residual 2.661E12 16 1.663E11
Total 6.171E12 20
Coefficients
Unstandardized CoefficientsB Std. Error
Equation 1 (Constant) -6.009E6 3155699.191
POPt 63.212 25.613
It -6.449 4.134
PDG -786.267 348.899
Dt1 .290 .183
Coefficients
Beta t Sig.
Equation 1 (Constant) -1.904 .075
POPt 2.266 2.468 .025
It -.429 -1.560 .138
PDG -2.040 -2.254 .039
Dt1 .342 1.584 .133
Coefficient Correlations
POPt It PDG Dt1
Equation 1 Correlations POPt 1.000 -.732 -.976 -.386
It -.732 1.000 .774 .011
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Persamaan Simultan
PDG -.976 .774 1.000 .276
Dt1 -.386 .011 .276 1.000
Two-stage Least Squares Analysis p`Persamaan 2
Notes
Output Created 27-Apr-2012 23:40:16
Comments
Input Active Dataset DataSet0
Filter
Weight
Split File
N of Rows in Working Data File 21
Date
Missing Value
Handling
Definition of Missing User-defined missing values are treated as missing.
Cases Used Statistics are based on all cases with valid data for all
variables across all equations.
Syntax 2SLS PRODGt WITH PDG L_T PDVt
/INSTRUMENTS PDGt1 It POPt NTt Dt Dt1 St PDVt
L_T IMG PWG PDG
/CONSTANT
/SAVE PRED.
Resources Processor Time 0:00:00.000
Elapsed Time 0:00:00.028
Time Series
Settings (TSET)
Amount of Output PRINT = DEFAULT
Saving New Variables NEWVAR = CURRENT
Treatment of User-Missing
Values
MISSING = EXCLUDE
Equations Include CONSTANT
Variables Created
or Modified
FIT_2 Fit for PRODGt, MOD_2 Equation 1
[DataSet0]Model Description
Type of Variable
Equation 1 PRODGt dependent
PDG predictor & instrumental
L_T predictor & instrumental
PDVt predictor & instrumental
PDGt1 instrumental
It instrumental
POPt instrumentalNTt instrumental
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Dt instrumental
Dt1 instrumental
St instrumental
IMG instrumental
PWG instrumental
MOD_2
Model Summary
Equation 1 Multiple R .751
R Square .563
Adjusted R Square .486
Std. Error of the Estimate 198533.192
ANOVA
Sum of Squares df Mean Square F Sig.
Equation 1 Regression 8.647E11 3 2.882E11 7.313 .002
Residual 6.701E11 17 3.942E10
Total 1.535E12 20
Coefficients
Unstandardized Coefficients
B Std. ErrorEquation 1 (Constant) 424545.267 469878.355
PDG 139.932 294.932
L_T -.069 .113
PDVt 293793.286 74698.666
Coefficients
Beta t Sig.
Equation 1 (Constant) .904 .379
PDG .728 .474 .641
L_T -.926 -.608 .551
PDVt .679 3.933 .001
Coefficient Correlations
PDG L_T PDVt
Equation 1 Correlations PDG 1.000 -.994 .244
L_T -.994 1.000 -.211
PDVt .244 -.211 1.000
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Two-stage Least Squares Analysis Persamaan 3
Notes
Output Created 27-Apr-2012 23:42:22
CommentsInput Active Dataset DataSet0
Filter
Weight
Split File
N of Rows in Working Data File 21
Date
Missing Value
Handling
Definition of Missing User-defined missing values are treated as missing.
Cases Used Statistics are based on all cases with valid data for all
variables across all equations.Syntax 2SLS PDG WITH PWG NTt IMG PDGt1
/INSTRUMENTS PDGt1 It POPt NTt Dt Dt1 St
PRODGt PDVt L_T IMG PWG
/CONSTANT
/SAVE PRED.
Resources Processor Time 0:00:00.031
Elapsed Time 0:00:00.019
Time Series
Settings (TSET)
Amount of Output PRINT = DEFAULT
Saving New Variables NEWVAR = CURRENTTreatment of User-Missing Values MISSING = EXCLUDE
Equations Include CONSTANT
Variables Created
or Modified
FIT_3 Fit for PDG, MOD_3 Equation 1
[DataSet0]
Model Description
Type of Variable
Equation 1 PDG dependent
PWG predictor & instrumental
NTt predictor & instrumental
IMG predictor & instrumental
PDGt1 predictor & instrumental
It instrumental
POPt instrumental
Dt instrumental
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Dt1 instrumental
St instrumental
PRODGt instrumental
PDVt instrumental
L_T instrumental
MOD_3
Model Summary
Equation 1 Multiple R .989
R Square .977
Adjusted R Square .972
Std. Error of the Estimate 242.446
ANOVA
Sum of Squares df Mean Square F Sig.
Equation 1 Regression 40604217.234 4 10151054.309 172.696 .000
Residual 940479.718 16 58779.982
Total 41544696.952 20
Coefficients
Unstandardized Coefficients
B Std. ErrorEquation 1 (Constant) -361.370 136.438
PWG .691 .179
NTt .054 .049
IMG -9.259E-5 .000
PDGt1 .667 .110
Coefficients
Beta t Sig.
Equation 1 (Constant) -2.649 .018
PWG .346 3.871 .001
NTt .132 1.104 .286
IMG -.040 -.607 .552
PDGt1 .577 6.087 .000
Coefficient Correlations
PWG NTt IMG PDGt1
Equation 1 Correlations PWG 1.000 -.414 -.103 -.295
NTt -.414 1.000 -.465 -.578
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IMG -.103 -.465 1.000 .126
PDGt1 -.295 -.578 .126 1.000
FREQUENCIES VARIABLES=Dt PRED_DT PRODGt PRED_PRODGt PDG PRED_PDGt/STATISTICS=MEAN /ORDER=ANALYSIS.
Frequencies
Notes
Output Created 27-Apr-2012 23:48:56
Comments
Input Data C:\Users\drago\Documents\SEMESTER
6\Metkuan\metkuan praktikum\MINGGU
5\baru\data.sav
Active Dataset DataSet1
Filter
Weight
Split File
N of Rows in Working Data File 21
Missing Value
Handling
Definition of Missing User-defined missing values are treated as missing.
Cases Used Statistics are based on all cases with valid data.
Syntax FREQUENCIES VARIABLES=Dt PRED_DT PRODGt
PRED_PRODGt PDG PRED_PDGt
/STATISTICS=MEAN
/ORDER=ANALYSIS.
Resources Processor Time 0:00:00.015
Elapsed Time 0:00:00.017
[DataSet1] C:\Users\drago\Documents\SEMESTER 6\Metkuan\metkuanpraktikum\MINGGU 5\baru\data.sav
Statistics
Dt Fit for Dt,
MOD_1
Equation 1
PRODGt Fit for PRODGt,
MOD_2
Equation 1
PDG Fit for PDG,
MOD_3
Equation 1
N Valid 21 21 21 21 21 21
Missing 0 0 0 0 0 0
Mean 3.4144E6 3.4143640E6 2.0042E6 2.0041987E6 2054.9524 2.0549524E3
Frequency Table
Dt
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Valid 1910968.00 1 4.8 4.8 4.8
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2769278.00 1 4.8 4.8 9.5
2940631.00 1 4.8 4.8 14.3
2943923.00 1 4.8 4.8 19.0
3160562.00 1 4.8 4.8 23.8
3187530.00 1 4.8 4.8 28.6
3190974.00 1 4.8 4.8 33.3
3284303.00 1 4.8 4.8 38.1
3328465.00 1 4.8 4.8 42.9
3366006.00 1 4.8 4.8 47.6
3368570.00 1 4.8 4.8 52.4
3374606.00 1 4.8 4.8 57.1
3392090.00 1 4.8 4.8 61.9
3489930.00 1 4.8 4.8 66.7
3514290.00 1 4.8 4.8 71.4
3922160.00 1 4.8 4.8 76.2
3964030.00 1 4.8 4.8 81.0
3977884.00 1 4.8 4.8 85.7
4073471.00 1 4.8 4.8 90.5
4102519.00 1 4.8 4.8 95.2
4439453.00 1 4.8 4.8 100.0
Total 21 100.0 100.0
Fit for Dt, MOD_1 Equation 1
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Valid 2332572.31984 1 4.8 4.8 4.8
2671775.78783 1 4.8 4.8 9.5
3083020.84805 1 4.8 4.8 14.3
3098497.78845 1 4.8 4.8 19.0
3124355.57057 1 4.8 4.8 23.8
3261216.31730 1 4.8 4.8 28.6
3273234.29627 1 4.8 4.8 33.3
3312400.89649 1 4.8 4.8 38.1
3328543.65060 1 4.8 4.8 42.9
3466606.19994 1 4.8 4.8 47.6
3497376.54222 1 4.8 4.8 52.4
3531931.53545 1 4.8 4.8 57.1
3537296.72627 1 4.8 4.8 61.9
3558538.71445 1 4.8 4.8 66.7
3562899.59662 1 4.8 4.8 71.4
3584361.06236 1 4.8 4.8 76.2
3694790.08193 1 4.8 4.8 81.0
3704176.13921 1 4.8 4.8 85.7
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Persamaan Simultan
3867040.23189 1 4.8 4.8 90.5
4102456.26459 1 4.8 4.8 95.2
4108552.42969 1 4.8 4.8 100.0
Total 21 100.0 100.0
PRODGt
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Valid 1488269.00 1 4.8 4.8 4.8
1493933.00 1 4.8 4.8 9.5
1631918.00 1 4.8 4.8 14.3
1690004.00 1 4.8 4.8 19.0
1725467.00 1 4.8 4.8 23.8
1755354.00 1 4.8 4.8 28.6
1898809.00 1 4.8 4.8 33.3
2004051.00 1 4.8 4.8 38.1
2014574.00 1 4.8 4.8 42.9
2051645.00 1 4.8 4.8 47.6
2059576.00 1 4.8 4.8 52.4
2094195.00 1 4.8 4.8 57.1
2108348.00 1 4.8 4.8 61.9
2119585.00 1 4.8 4.8 66.7
2175874.00 1 4.8 4.8 71.4
2191986.00 1 4.8 4.8 76.2
2241742.00 1 4.8 4.8 81.0
2252667.00 1 4.8 4.8 85.7
2306484.00 1 4.8 4.8 90.5
2329811.00 1 4.8 4.8 95.2
2453881.00 1 4.8 4.8 100.0
Total 21 100.0 100.0
Fit for PRODGt, MOD_2 Equation 1
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Valid 1588501.64145 1 4.8 4.8 4.8
1673735.44886 1 4.8 4.8 9.5
1791326.28511 1 4.8 4.8 14.3
1802182.65890 1 4.8 4.8 19.0
1803586.71636 1 4.8 4.8 23.8
1832676.32263 1 4.8 4.8 28.6
1833952.11673 1 4.8 4.8 33.3
1874326.44313 1 4.8 4.8 38.1
2015851.42873 1 4.8 4.8 42.9
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2038858.48940 1 4.8 4.8 47.6
2066127.46790 1 4.8 4.8 52.4
2071942.11495 1 4.8 4.8 57.1
2074443.96632 1 4.8 4.8 61.9
2099687.91771 1 4.8 4.8 66.7
2129785.38959 1 4.8 4.8 71.4
2157082.98293 1 4.8 4.8 76.2
2191222.36857 1 4.8 4.8 81.0
2191225.82959 1 4.8 4.8 85.7
2203549.72562 1 4.8 4.8 90.5
2280452.87026 1 4.8 4.8 95.2
2367654.81525 1 4.8 4.8 100.0
Total 21 100.0 100.0
PDG
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
Valid 592.00 1 4.8 4.8 4.8
615.00 1 4.8 4.8 9.5
653.00 1 4.8 4.8 14.3
729.00 1 4.8 4.8 19.0
890.00 1 4.8 4.8 23.8
1041.00 1 4.8 4.8 28.6
1125.00 1 4.8 4.8 33.3
1215.00 1 4.8 4.8 38.1
1256.00 1 4.8 4.8 42.9
1260.00 1 4.8 4.8 47.6
1430.00 1 4.8 4.8 52.4
1461.00 1 4.8 4.8 57.1
1525.00 1 4.8 4.8 61.9
2572.00 1 4.8 4.8 66.7
2640.00 1 4.8 4.8 71.4
2989.00 1 4.8 4.8 76.2
3619.00 1 4.8 4.8 81.0
3745.00 1 4.8 4.8 85.7
4110.00 1 4.8 4.8 90.5
4212.00 1 4.8 4.8 95.2
5475.00 1 4.8 4.8 100.0
Total 21 100.0 100.0
Fit for PDG, MOD_3 Equation 1
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Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative
Percent
Valid 435.13722 1 4.8 4.8 4.8
524.39733 1 4.8 4.8 9.5
558.04707 1 4.8 4.8 14.3
638.08432 1 4.8 4.8 19.0
784.47740 1 4.8 4.8 23.8
1002.02162 1 4.8 4.8 28.6
1161.08917 1 4.8 4.8 33.3
1279.18829 1 4.8 4.8 38.1
1378.38642 1 4.8 4.8 42.9
1423.32122 1 4.8 4.8 47.6
1505.84925 1 4.8 4.8 52.4
1591.98505 1 4.8 4.8 57.1
1759.65675 1 4.8 4.8 61.9
2387.74419 1 4.8 4.8 66.7
2523.67749 1 4.8 4.8 71.4
3253.02277 1 4.8 4.8 76.2
3676.24204 1 4.8 4.8 81.0
3868.88011 1 4.8 4.8 85.7
3942.63414 1 4.8 4.8 90.5
4379.67565 1 4.8 4.8 95.2
5080.48251 1 4.8 4.8 100.0
Total 21 100.0 100.0