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Market size for lubes in India 2k5 and opportunities for Lube marketeers
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LubricantsOpportunity in India
2004-05Hussam Adeni
Lubricant SpecialistExBPCastrol India [email protected]
The Components - for the India Market
• India – An opportunities galore• Vehicle in India• Production• Population
• Fuel consumption• Geographical size• Lube market• Hussam Adeni – Lube specialist
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
India – Opportunities galore
• Sixth largest market in the world• Third largest market in Asia Pacific• Ranks after China and Japan• India market 1,200 million liters• Lube market worth INR 120,000
million
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
Vehicle production
• Vehicle production 5.3 million in 2002
• Annual growth in vehicles 12%
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
Vehicle population
• Total vehicle population 65 million• 2/3 wheeler contribute three fourths of
the vehicle population• Approx. 76% vehicles are 2 wheeler or
3 wheeler• Used for multiple purpose• Personal and Public passenger transport• Personal & Public goods transport
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
Vehicle population
• Total vehicle population 65 million• Approx. 76% vehicles are 2 wheeler or
3 wheeler• Passenger cars account for 10%• Buses and Trucks account for 5%
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
Vehicle population
• 76% vehicles - 2 wheeler or 3 wheeler• 10% vehicles – Passenger cars• 9% vehicles – Other• 5% vehicles – Buses and Trucks
Total vehicle population 65 million
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
Vehicle population
• 49 million - 2 wheeler or 3 wheeler• 6.6 million - Passenger cars• 6 million - Others • 3.3 million – Buses and Trucks
Total vehicle population 65 million
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
Motor Fuel demand in India
• Major Fuels• Gasoline or Motor spirit ( called
Petrol)• Diesel – HSD ( High Speed Diesel)• LPG – Gas vehicles• CNG - Gas vehicles
• Demand for Gas likely to pick up
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
Motor Fuel demand in India
• Major Fuels• Gasoline or Motor spirit ( called
Petrol)•Consumption – 7.5 million tons•Recent annual growth – 8%
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
Motor Fuel demand in India
• Major Fuels• Diesel – High Speed Diesel
•Consumption – 36.7 million tons•Recent annual growth – 0.7%
• An estimated 2% probably used to “adulterate” gasoline
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
Motor Fuel demand in India
• Major Fuels•LPG – Liquefied Petroleum Gas • Allocated for domestic use in cooking
and carries subsidies
•CNG – Compressed Natural Gas• Retailed at Gujarat and Delhi
• Demand picking up due to lower costs. • Consumption data negligible but mixed up
with non transport use
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
Environmental issue - Motor fuels
• Diesel – Sulphur content• Till Jan 2000 – 2500 ppm Nationwide• Urban centers – 500 ppm• By 2005 - 500 ppm Nationwide• By 2010 - 250 ppm Nationwide
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
Environmental issue - Motor fuels
• Gasoline – Sulphur content• Till Jan 2000 – 1000 ppm Nationwide• Urban centers – 500 ppm• By 2005 - 500 ppm Nationwide• By 2010 - 150 ppm Nationwide
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
India – Lube Market Opportunities galore
• Sixth largest market in the world• Third largest market in Asia Pacific• Ranks after China and Japan• India market 1,200 million liters• Lube market worth INR 120,000
million
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
Lube consumption- Major sectors
• India Lube market 1,200 m*
• Transport Sector - 60%• Non Transport sector - 40%
* Lube market : 1.200 million liters
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
Lube consumption- Major sectors
• India Lube market 1,200 m*• Transport Sector - 60%
•Diesel Lubes is 70%•Petrol Lubes is 30%
• Non Transport sector - 40%• Industrial• Maintenance, Process, Manufacturing
* Lube market : 1.200 million liters
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
Lube consumption- Transport sectors
• India Lube market 1,200 m*• Transport Sector - 60% 670 million Lt
• Passenger cars – 85 million Lt• 2 & 3 wheelers – 100 million Lt• Trucks & buses – 300 million Lt• Agriculture/Tractor – 40 million Lt• Railroad Oils - 45 million Lt• Marine eng/DG Sets – 40 million Lt• Auto transmsn. fluids – 50 million Lt• Others - 10 million Lt
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
Lube consumption- Non Transport sectors
• India Lube market 1,200 m*• Non Transport Sector - 40% • Approx 530 million Lt • Industrial oils – 425 million Lt• Greases - 55 million Lt• Others - 50 million Lt
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
Lubricant - Market shares in %
• Indian Oil 30%• Hindustan Petroleum 22%• BPCastrol 21%• Bharat Petroleum 10%• Others 17%
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
Lubricant - Market shares volume
• Indian Oil 365 million Lt Hindustan Petroleum 264 million Lt
• BPCastrol 252 million Lt• Bharat Petroleum 120 million Lt• Others 199 million Lt
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
Lubricant- Annual Blending capacities
• Indian Oil 430 million Lt Hindustan Petroleum 350 million Lt
• BPCastrol 300 million Lt• Bharat Petroleum 125 million Lt• Others 395 million Lt
Total capacity: 1600 million Lt/Year
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
Base oil manufacturing
• Group I
• - Capacity 900 million Lt/Yr
• - More than 700 million Lt/Yr imported• Group II*
- Nil
• Group III - Nil
* BPCL Mumbai: 150 m/Lt Yr Hydro-cracking unit under execution. Likely to be on stream by 1st Qtr 2006
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
Base oil manufacturing
• Group I • - Capacity 900 million Lt/Yr
•Hind Petroleum – 330 million Lt • Mumbai Refinery
•IOC - 300 million Lt• Haldia
•IOC L /Madras Petro - 270 million Lt• Chennai
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
Base oil manufacturing
• Group I • - Capacity 900 million Lt/Yr
•Hind Petroleum – 330 million Lt • Mumbai Refinery
•IOC - 300 million Lt• Haldia
•IOC L /Madras Petro - 270 million Lt• Chennai
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
Additive manufacturing
• Capacity 55 million kg/yrs• Lubrizol
• 50% JV – IOC & Lubrizol USA• 40 million Kg/Yr • - Mumbai
• Indian Additives• 50% JV IOC & Chevron Oronite• 15 million Kg/Yr • - Chennai
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
India – Lube Market Opportunities galore
• Sixth largest market in the world• Third largest market in Asia Pacific• Ranks after China and Japan• India market 1,200 million liters• Lube market worth INR 120,000
million
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
2005 Presentation by Hussam AdeniIndia – Lube Market Opportunities galore
Thank you
Contact details on the next page
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
Hussam AdeniEx Castrol India Lube Specialist
For an update & 2010 edition please email request
For other technical updates please visit
http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/tag/fuel-additives/
http://forums.noria.com/eve/forums?a=search&reqWords=Hussam+Adeni
Hussam Adeni [email protected]
Hussam Adeni
For more info please [email protected]
For an update & 2010 version please contact Hussam at [email protected]
Or other articles & presentations pls browse http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/tag/fuel-additives/
http://forums.noria.com/eve/forums?a=search&reqWords=Hussam+Adeni