17
Appendix P2 Surface water resources supporting material Part 2 Section 3 Existing environment (stream flow hydrology and flooding) Part 2 Section 4 Potential impacts on stream flow patterns

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Page 1: Lower Fitzroy River Infrastructure Project draft …eisdocs.dsdip.qld.gov.au/Lower Fitzroy River...3-2 Draft environmental impact statement June 2015 Appendix P2 Surface water resources

Appendix P2 Surface water resources supporting material

Part 2 Section 3 Existing environment (stream flow hydrology and flooding)

Part 2 Section 4 Potential impacts on stream flow patterns

Page 2: Lower Fitzroy River Infrastructure Project draft …eisdocs.dsdip.qld.gov.au/Lower Fitzroy River...3-2 Draft environmental impact statement June 2015 Appendix P2 Surface water resources

i 41/20736/10/468054 Draft environmental impact statement June 2015

Appendix P2 Surf ace water resources supporting material

Table of contents

Appendix P2 Surface water resources supporting material ..................................................... i

3. Existing environment.............................................................................................. 3-1

3.1 Stream flow hydrology .................................................................................... 3-1

3.1.1 Approach and methodology ......................................................................... 3-1

3.1.2 Stream flow characteristics .......................................................................... 3-1

3.2 Flooding ......................................................................................................3-11

4. Potential impacts on stream flow patterns ................................................................. 4-1

4.1 Overview ...................................................................................................... 4-1

4.2 Stream flow hydrographs ................................................................................ 4-2

4.3 Stream flow duration curves ............................................................................ 4-2

Table index

Table 3-1 Stream gauging stations 3-2

Table 3-2 Significant flood events and peak gauge heights 3-11

Table 3-3 Annual series flood frequency analysis 3-13

Table 4-1 Flow analysis data locations 4-1

Figure index Figure 3-1 Gauging stations and flow assessment locations within and near to Project

areas .................................................................................................... 3-3

Figure 3-2 Hydrographs for the historic (1974 – 2009) period ....................................... 3-4

Figure 3-3 Hydrographs for the current (1999 – 2009) period ........................................ 3-6

Figure 3-4 Flow duration curves for the historic and current periods .............................. 3-8

Figure 3-5 Total average monthly flows for the historic and current periods ....................3-10

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Appendix P2 Surf ace water resources supporting material

3. Existing environment

3.1 Stream flow hydrology

3.1.1 Approach and methodology

To characterise flows within the Fitzroy, Mackenzie and Dawson rivers (as reflective of flows in

the Project area) flow data from four stream gauging stations was assessed as described in

Table 3-1 and shown in Figure 3-1.

Stream flow data is not available from the Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) station at Laurel Bank

(located approximately 12 km upstream from the Fitzroy Barrage). This station does not record

stream flow data but rather acts as a flood warning river height station.

A common historic period of data was selected as the period 1974 to 2009. That is a common

period for all the available record from which data from all four sites was available) Flow patterns

for a more ‘current’ period were evaluated by interrogating data for the period 1999/2000 to 2009,

covering the drought between 2004 and 2007 and wetter than average years experienced in the

region in 2008 and 2009. In terms of flow characterisation it is considered that assessment of the

historic data and the selected current period are adequate and capture high, medium and low

flow conditions experienced within the system.

For each dataset (that is from each gauging station), and for each period within the dataset (that

is historic and current records), the following information was prepared to inform discussion on

stream flow characteristics in the Project area:

Hydrographs

Flow duration curves

Average total monthly flow (in megalitres (ML)).

3.1.2 Stream flow characteristics

Figure 3-2 and Figure 3-3 show hydrographs that present flow discharges and show the longer

term variability in flows (as total annual flow) for the historic and current periods, respectively, at

each gauging station defined in Table 3-1.

Flow duration curves summarising the range and distribution of flows are shown in Figure 3-4 for

the historic and current periods at all selected gauging stations.

The average total monthly flow (ML) reflecting the seasonal variability in flow as shown in Figure

3-5 for historic and current periods for each gauging station.

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Table 3-1 Stream gauging stations

Gauging station Reference Description

The Gap 130 005A Located on the Fitzroy River at 142.1 km AMTD, approximately

1 km upstream from the existing Eden Bann Weir and situated

w ithin the current impoundment.

The associated catchment covers an area of 135,757 km2.

The gauging station commenced in 1964 at w hich time the

location w as unregulated. Since the start of operations of the

Eden Bann Weir (in 1994), the gauge has reflected a regulated

impoundment.

The gauge is currently in operation and records both time

series f low and w ater quality data.

Riverslea 130 003B Located on the Fitzroy River at 276 km AMTD w ithin an

unregulated stretch of the river approximately 11 km upstream

of the proposed Rookw ood Weir.

The associated catchment spans an area of 131,385 km2.

The record at Riverslea commenced in 1974 and is still current.

The gauge records time series f low data only.

Coolmaringa 130 105A Located at 376 km AMTD on the Mackenzie River,

dow nstream of Tartrus Weir and upstream of the confluence

w ith the Daw son River.

The associated catchment area is 76,645 km2.

The gauge commenced its record in 1971 and remains current

recording both time series f low and w ater quality data.

Beckers 130 322A Located at 71 km AMTD on the Daw son River, dow nstream of

the Neville Hew itt Weir (82.6 km AMTD).

The associated catchment spans an area of 40,500 km2.

The gauge has been in operation since 1964 and remains

current.

It records both time series f low and w ater quality data.

Page 5: Lower Fitzroy River Infrastructure Project draft …eisdocs.dsdip.qld.gov.au/Lower Fitzroy River...3-2 Draft environmental impact statement June 2015 Appendix P2 Surface water resources

Duaringa Apis Creek Road

Keppel Sands Road

Yepp

oon R

oad

Tanby Road

Byfield Road

Bajool - Port Alma Road

Emu Park Road

Farnborough Road

Capricorn Highway

Leichhardt Highway

Burnett Highway Bruce Highway

Fitzroy River

Daws

o nRiv

er

Fitzro

y Rive

r

Macken zi eRiver

Fitzroy River

IQQM4

IQQM5

IQQM2

IQQM3

IQQM1

Rookwood

MOUNT MORGAN

Lorraine Creek

Twelv

e MileCre

ek

Blackwater Creek

Charley Creek

Don River

Blackwater Creek

Beckers Station

Riverslea Station

The Gap Station

BLACKWATER

Eden Bann Weir

YEPPOON

DUARINGA

ROCKHAMPTON

GOGANGO

700,000

700,000

720,000

720,000

740,000

740,000

760,000

760,000

780,000

780,000

800,000

800,000

820,000

820,000

840,000

840,000

860,000

860,000

880,000

880,000

900,000

900,000

7,340,

000

7,340,

000

7,360,

000

7,360,

000

7,380,

000

7,380,

000

7,400,

000

7,400,

000

7,420,

000

7,420,

000

7,440,

000

7,440,

000

Job NumberRevision A

41-20736

G:\41\20736\GIS\Projects\MXD\200_Report\4120736_351_rev_a.mxd

Map Projection: Universal Transverse MercatorHorizontal Datum: Geocentric Datum of Australia (GDA94)

Grid: Map Grid of Australia 1994, Zone 55

0 5 10 15 20

Kilometres

© 2014. While GHD has taken care to ensure the accuracy of this product, GHD, DNRM, DME, SUNWATER, GBRMPA and GA make no representations or warranties about its accuracy, completeness or suitability for any particular purpose. GHD, DNRM, DME, SUNWATER, GBRMPA and GA cannot accept liability of any kind (whether in contract, tort or otherwise) for any expenses, losses, damages and/or costs (including indirect or consequential damage) which are or may be incurred as a result of the product being inaccurate, incomplete or unsuitable in any way and for any reason. *Please see Appendix for important copyright information.

Date 31 Oct 2014

Gladstone Area Water Board, SunWaterLower Fitzroy River Infrastructure Project

Gauging stations and flow assessment locations within and near to Project areas

Data Source: © Copyright Commonwealth of Australia (Geoscience Australia): Places, Waterways (2007); Sunwater: Waterways, Weir Locations - 2008; DNRM: Railways, Roads, Fitzroy River Delta, Stream Gauges - 2010; GHD: Impoundment Area, Crossings (2012), Flow assessment locations - 2014. Created by: MS *See Appendix for disclaimers and copyrights.

Level 9, 145 Ann Street Brisbane QLD 4000 Australia T +61 7 3316 3000 F +61 7 3316 3333 E [email protected] W www.ghd.com

WeirLocation

River Crossing

Fitzroy BarrageHighwayMajor Road

Streets (Local)RailwayWaterway

Fitzroy BasinUrbanised AreaImpoundment Area

Flow assessmentlocationsStream Gauges

1:800,000(at A4)

Figure 3-1Copyright: This document is and shall remain the property of GHD. The document may only be used for the purpose for which it was produced. Unauthorised use of this document in any way is prohibited. © 2014.

LEGEND

CoralSea

BRISBANE

MACKAY

ROCKHAMPTON

TOWNSVILLE

QueenslandQueensland

Based on or contains data provided by the State of Queensland (DNRM) 2013. In consideration of the State permitting use of this data you acknowledge and agree that the State gives no warranty in relation to the data (including accuracy, reliability, completeness, currency or suitability) and accepts no liability (including without limitation, liability in negligence)for any loss, damage or costs (including consequential damage) relating to any use of the data. Data must not be used for direct marketing or be used in breach of the privacy laws.

Glenroy crossing

Foleyvale crossing

Riverslea crossing

Hanrahan crossing

Coolmaringa Station

Rookwood Stage 1 Impoundment

Rookwood Stage 2 Impoundment

Rookwood Stage 2 Impoundment

Rookwood Stage 1 Impoundment

Existing Eden Bann WeirImpoundment

Eden Bann Weir Stage 2 Impoundment

Eden Bann Weir Stage 3 Impoundment

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Figure 3-2 Hydrographs for the historic (1974 – 2009) period

(a) The Gap gauging station (130 005A) (Fitzroy River)

(b) Riverslea gauging station (130 003B) (Fitzroy River)

Hydrograph 1974-2009 - The Gap (130005A)

0

5,000,000

10,000,000

15,000,000

20,000,000

25,000,000

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

To

tal an

nu

al fl

ow

(M

L)

Hydrograph 1974-2009 - Riverslea (130003B)

0

5,000,000

10,000,000

15,000,000

20,000,000

25,000,000

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

To

tal an

nu

al fl

ow

(M

L)

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(c) Coolmaringa (130 105A) gauging station (Mackenzie River)

(d) Beckers gauging station (130 322A) (Dawson River)

Hydrograph 1974-2009 - Coolmaringa (130105A)

0

5,000,000

10,000,000

15,000,000

20,000,000

25,000,000

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

To

tal an

nu

al fl

ow

(M

L)

Hydrograph 1974-2009 - Beckers (130322A)

0

1,000,000

2,000,000

3,000,000

4,000,000

5,000,000

6,000,000

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

To

tal an

nu

al fl

ow

(M

L)

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Figure 3-3 Hydrographs for the current (1999 – 2009) period

(a) The Gap gauging station(130 005A) (Fitzroy River)

(b) Riverslea gauging station (130 003B) (Fitzroy River)

Hydrograph 2000-2009 - The Gap (130005A)

0

2,000,000

4,000,000

6,000,000

8,000,000

10,000,000

12,000,000

14,000,000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

To

tal an

nu

al fl

ow

(M

L)

Hydrograph 2000-2009 - Riverslea (130003B)

0

2,000,000

4,000,000

6,000,000

8,000,000

10,000,000

12,000,000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

To

tal an

nu

al fl

ow

(M

L)

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(c) Coolmaringa (130 105A) gauging station (Mackenzie River)

(d) Beckers gauging station (130 322A) (Dawson River)

Hydrograph 2000-2009 - Coolmaringa (130105A)

0

2,000,000

4,000,000

6,000,000

8,000,000

10,000,000

12,000,000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

To

tal an

nu

al fl

ow

(M

L)

Hydrograph 2000-2009 - Beckers (130322A)

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

To

tal an

nu

al fl

ow

(M

L)

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Figure 3-4 Flow duration curves for the historic and current periods

(a)

His

tori

c p

eri

od

(1974 –

2009)

(b)

Cu

rren

t p

eri

od

(1999 –

2009)

Flow Duration Curve - 3/10/1974 to 15/9/2009

1

10

100

1,000

10,000

100,000

1,000,000

10,000,000

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

% days flow greater than

Dail

y F

low

[M

L]

Riverslea

EB The Gap

Beckers

Coolmaringa

Flow Duration Curve - 15/9/1999 to 15/9/2009

1

10

100

1,000

10,000

100,000

1,000,000

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

% daily flow greater than

Dail

y F

low

[M

L]

Riverslea

EB The Gap

Beckers

Coolmaringa

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(c) Coolmaringa gauging station (130 105A) (Mackenzie River)

(d) Beckers gauging station (130 322A) (Dawson River)

Note: standard error represented by vertical bars.

Average Total Monthly Flow (ML) - Coolmaringa (130105A)

0

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

1,400,000

1,600,000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Ave T

ota

l M

on

thly

Flo

w (

ML

)

Common Period (1974-2009) Past 10 Years (2000-2009)

Average Total Monthly Flow (ML) - Beckers (130322A)

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Ave T

ota

l M

on

thly

Flo

w (

ML

)

Common Period (1974-2009) Past 10 Years (2000-2009)

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Figure 3-5 Total average monthly flows for the historic and current periods

(a) The Gap gauging station (130 005A) (Fitzroy River)

(b) Riverslea gauging station (130 003B) (Fitzroy River)

Average Total Monthly Flow (ML) - The Gap (130005A)

0

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Ave T

ota

l M

on

thly

Flo

w (

ML

)

Common Period (1974-2009) Past 10 Years (2000-2009)

Average Total Monthly Flow (ML) - Riverslea (130003B)

0

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

1,400,000

1,600,000

1,800,000

2,000,000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Ave T

ota

l M

on

thly

Flo

w (

ML

)

Common Period (1974-2009) Past 10 Years (2000-2009)

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3.2 Flooding

The Fitzroy River at Rockhampton has a long and well-documented history of flooding with flood

records dating back to 1859. The highest recorded flood occurred in January 1918 and reached

10.11 m on the Rockhampton gauge.

A summary of significant flood events, the respective peak gauge heights along the Fitzroy River

(at Riverslea, Yaamba and Rockhampton), Mackenzie River (at Tartrus) and Dawson River (at

Moura) (in the vicinity of the Project areas) and flood classification are detailed in Table 3-2.

Table 3-2 Significant flood events and peak gauge heights

River system Fitzroy Mackenzie Dawson

Gauge description Riverslea Yaamba Rockhampton Tartrus Moura

Flood event Peak gauge height (m)*

January 1918 31.48 17.32 10.11 - -

February 1954 28.60 16.59 9.40 17.48 -

January 1978 23.15 14.75 8.15 16.60 10.46

April/May 1983 22.89 14.97 8.25 14.90 12.09

December 1990/January

1991

27.97 16.65 9.30 18.10 6.60

January 2008 21.93 14.25 7.50 16.20 8.00

December 2010/January

2011

27.38 16.55 9.20 16.34 12.66

January/February 2013 25.11 15.70 8.60 15.87 9.30

*Flood classification key (BOM

2011)

Major - inundation of large areas, isolating towns and cities, with major

disruptions occurring to road and rail l inks. Also, evacuation of many houses and

business premises may be required, and in rural areas widespread flooding of

farmland is l ikely.

2. At Rockhampton a major flood occurs when the river height exceeds 8.5 m

3. At Yaamba a major flood occurs when the river height there reaches 15.0 m

4. At Riverslea a major flood is defined as occurring when the river height is

24.0 m

5. At Tartrus, a river height of 15.0 m denotes a major flood

6. At Moura a river height of 12.0 m denotes a major flood

Moderate - inundation of low lying areas requiring the removal of stock and/or

the evacuation of some houses and main traffic bridges may be closed by

floodwaters

Minor - causes inconvenience such as closing of minor roads and the

submergence of low level bridges and makes the removal of pumps located

adjacent to the river necessary

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The January 1918 flood is considered to be the largest of the recorded events and constituted a

major flood in the lower Fitzroy River. During this period the average rainfall across the

catchment was approximately 673 mm with the heaviest rainfall occurring in the eastern part of

the Isaac River catchment, and through most of the lower Fitzroy River basin. The rainfall event

was estimated to last for 42 days. The rainfall due to this event was associated with an intense

cyclone that crossed the coast near Mackay. After crossing the coast, this cyclone produced

heavy rain over most of the State (BoM, 2010a).

The February 1954 flood event was also associated with a cyclonic event and from rain that fell in

the south-east corner of the State (BoM, 2010b), with the heaviest rainfall having occurred in the

Mackenzie River basin. The average rainfall across the catchment was approximately 500 mm

with the event lasting an estimated 28 days. The 1954 event was classified as a major flood in

both the Fitzroy and Mackenzie rivers.

The average catchment rainfall during the April/May 1983 event was 405 mm, and appears to

have been fairly evenly distributed across the entire Fitzroy River catchment. The flood event was

classified as major on the Dawson River and moderate on the Mackenzie and Fitzroy rivers

(albeit at the upper extremes of the classification).

The December 1990/January 1991 flood event was associated with rainfall from tropical cyclone

Joy which made landfall in the Ayr region and moved in a south-westerly direction. This led to

very heavy rainfall in the Isaac River basin during late December as the cyclone degenerated into

a rain depression (BoM, 2010d). Significant rainfall occurred in the lower Fitzroy River basin while

the rainfalls across the Mackenzie River and Dawson River catchments were lower still. The

average catchment rainfall for the event is estimated at 360 mm with a duration of 28 days.

Several rainfall events occurred in December 2010 that resulted in extensive rainfall across the

Fitzroy River catchment. Between 28 November and 4 December 2010, a trough remained over

eastern Australia in a humid northerly airstream and the rainfall band in central Queensland

extended from Mackay southwards to the Emerald area. Two other trough systems formed in

December (between the 7th and 13th, and 19th and 20th) that generated modest rainfall totals

(between 50 mm and 100 mm) before further moisture was brought to the region by tropical

cyclone Tasha which made landfall south of Cairns on the morning of 25 December (BoM 2011).

The largest rainfall totals were recorded in the headwaters of the Isaac River catchment, and in

the southern region of the Mackenzie River catchment. It is considered that the 2010 event

closely resembled the 1918 event in terms of rainfall with the average rainfall across the entire

catchment being approximately 642 mm. The event duration is estimated at 42 days.

Table 3-3 presents the annual series flood frequency analysis for four locations on the Fitzroy

River at Yaamba (130 001), Wattlebank (130 002), Riverslea (130 003), and The Gap (130 005)

(Figure 3-1). The existing flood extents for Eden Bann Weir (Stage 1) and the Rookwood site (no

development) are shown in Appendix E and Appendix F, respectively.

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Table 3-3 Annual series flood frequency analysis

Annual exceedance probability (AEP)

event

Peak flow rate (m3/s)

Yaamba Wattlebank Riverslea The Gap

Catchment area (km2)

136,400 135,900 131,400 135,800

1 in 2 year 2,310 2,070 2,300 2,000

1 in 5 year 6,100 4,710 5,500 4,900

1 in 10 year 9,140 7,340 8,230 7,350

1 in 20 year 12,200 10,700 11,200 9,960

1 in 50 year 16,000 16,400 15,400 13,600

1 in 100 year 18,800 22,000 18,800 16,500

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4. Potential impacts on stream flow patterns

4.1 Overview

The IQQM-Project was used to predict potential changes to flow regimes at five locations within and

downstream of the Project areas as a result of implementing selected development scenarios. This was

achieved by using the IQQM-Project to simulate the movement of surface water flows throughout the

system on a daily basis over the simulation period which for the Fitzroy WRP is the period from

1 January 1900 to 31 December 2007.

Figure 3-1 shows the assessment locations summarised in Table 4-1. Table 2-3 provides a description

of the development scenarios assessed.

Table 4-1 Flow analysis data locations

Reference Assessment

location Description

IQQM1 End of system A location dow nstream of the Fitzroy Barrage and representative

of the marine/estuarine environment. Approximately concurrent

w ith Node 0.

IQQM2 Wattlebank Dow nstream of the existing Eden Bann Weir.

IQQM3 The Gap Located at the gauging station on the Fitzroy River at 142.1 km

AMTD, approximately 1 km upstream from the existing Eden

Bann Weir and situated w ithin the current impoundment since

1994.

IQQM4 - An area dow nstream of Rookw ood but upstream of the existing

Eden Bann Weir impoundment.

IQQM5 Riverslea At the Riverslea gauging station located on the Fitzroy River at

276 km AMTD w ithin an unregulated stretch of the river

approximately 11 km upstream of the proposed Rookw ood Weir.

Hydrographs were developed to illustrate pre- and post-development flows (Section 4.2).

Flow duration curves were generated for each location comparing development scenarios to the existing

case (EB1) over the entire time series (Section 4.3). To further differentiate what is occurring at each

location for the various scenarios, a sensitivity analysis was conducted. This sensitivity check was done

by determining flow duration curves at each location for the 10th (dry) and 90th (wet) percentiles years.

Each development scenario was plotted against the existing case (EB1) to gauge the variance of the

larger flow events across the varying climatic conditions. These plots demonstrate how each scenario

responds to variance in climate, and the associated variance in rainfall. This information can be used to

determine which scenarios are impacted most or less by changing rainfall and climate and, for example,

it may show that an option which presents a more desirable median value in fact has greater uncertainty

when it comes to more extreme climatic conditions.

In addition, statistical analysis was undertaken for selected development scenarios at the end of the

system (IQQM1) to determine impacts on the marine/estuarine environment and flows to the Great

Barrier Reef World Heritage Area as described in Section 5.

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4-2 Draft environmental impact statement June 2015

Appendix P2 Surf ace water resources supporting material

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4.2 Stream flow hydrographs

Stream flow hydrographs representing pre-development (EB1, base case) versus development

scenarios are presented in Appendix C.

4.3 Stream flow duration curves

Stream flow duration curves representing pre-development (EB1, base case) versus development

scenarios are presented in Appendix D.