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Looking out to & for the future
Anne Somerville G21 Region Alliance
VCOSS Congress 2009
Looking out 15 years from now… …how do we perceive our future?
Liveability
Sustainability
Productivity
Quality of life is improving
Quality of life is deteriorating
Already have the best of possible worlds
Building a better world
Good as it gets so continue to endure
Do your best with what is available
Change via major forces
Change via individual
Outlook affects looking out…to the multiple futures Business as usual
Not much different to now, just later…and if nothing changes, then nothing changes…same will happen
Possible Open to potential change & uncertainties and what
“could happen”
Plausible Likelihood – what “might happen”
Preferable what we want to happen – any of above
Global…transformational change
Population 95% up in developing countries: ie youth bulges Growing middle class, declining birth rate in West Gender, indigenous, cultural, and ethnicity issues
Governance & Security Western democracy not evolving as political structure of choice Rise of non state actors that impact across borders, less control via
government, post Americanism era International financial systems Redefined regions of power: India, China, Brazil, Russia
Paradigm shifts Global alliances, cultural relativism & authoritarian regimes Free flow of capital, goods, people & increased impact of networks Consequence management & central authority of international organisations Celebrity Philanthropy
Global…more transformational change
Health, Food & Water Availability, shortages &
maldistribution Energy supplies & impacts - the
problem of plenty From pandemics to personal
wellbeing metrics
Communications & Technology Diffusion of IT, communications,
nano and bio technologies Economic and digital divides Social networking - Google,
Twitter and Facebook
National…the world’s best place to live and do business…
Economy & Productivity Infrastructure, investment, IT platforms Policy response to climate change Demographic transitions: population ageing, industry
trends Healthy workplaces, skills development, collaborations
across sectors Innovation & research
National/Regional Security Globally intelligent and integrated partners with Asia
Pacific region Global respect as a regional leader and model citizen
Climate Change & Sustainability Leader in green economy & role in global response Resilient water, ecological systems, trading schemes Population policy & immigration programs
Nationalat the leading (reform) edge…
Governance Republicanism, rights & reconciliation, citizen engagement Emphasis on modernising federation Regionally based collaborative governance models – cross sector
Health & Housing Health status & health equity for all Evidence and outcomes based practice & systems ‘Smart Health’: preventative, integrated, person centric Radical reform in housing sector
Social Inclusion Inclusion infrastructure across government Education & training - skills development to find leading edge Focus on child development as success indicator Wellness footprints: socio-economic & infrastructure planning
Regional - State system reform & risk negotiators
Benchmark of ‘A Fairer Victoria’
Principles of liveability, sustainability and productivity
Differing generational and locational experiences of risk
Need for indicators beyond system monitors
Negotiating benefits through cooperative federalism
Significant demographic shifts & challenges to equity
Waves of transformation in the health, housing & education
Unknown costs & impacts of GFC – local economies in transition
G21 towards 2050
Five Key Directions
Protect and enhance our environment
Create sustainable settlements
Strengthen our communities
Refocus our economy
Make it happen
Some obvious challenges to our flexibility and focus
Strengthen our commitment to build the necessary capability & skills to create a shared, desired future
Stay in touch with, and be touched by, our communities
Recognise the tension of vested interests that may bring more system reform, but less positive social change
Adapt the resources including ourselves to build social equity for individuals, families and communities in their quality of life
Some obvious challenges to our flexibility and focus
Build new coalitions & alliances, and know when to take independent versus collective action
Build strategy that strengthens the politics of hope, innovation and creativity across boundaries and sectors
Be mindful of the legacy for the next generation in our goals for positive change
Hope… cannot be separated from how national debates are framed and from the reality of living in a globalised world….
…it is built on belief and faith, and the trust that there is a life worth living in uncertain
times.
‘New philosophies for change’Mary Zournazi, 2002