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Local Climate Impacts Profile (LCLIP) for the Omagh District Council area June 2012

Local Climate Impacts Profile (LCIP) for the Omagh District ......1 1. Introduction 1.1 Background A Local Climate Impact Profile (LCLIP) is a tool which is intended to assist local

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Page 1: Local Climate Impacts Profile (LCIP) for the Omagh District ......1 1. Introduction 1.1 Background A Local Climate Impact Profile (LCLIP) is a tool which is intended to assist local

Local Climate Impacts Profile (LCLIP) for the Omagh District Council area

June 2012

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Acknowledgements This report on the first local climate impact profile (LCLIP) in Northern Ireland was

undertaken by the Chartered Institute of Environmental Health in Northern Ireland (CIEH

NI) in partnership with Omagh District Council.

Authors: Colin Eskins, Gary McFarlane (CIEH), Dr Ian Leitch, Raymond Smyth (Omagh DC)

Other Contributors: Dr Joanna Wydenbach (CIEH), Jane O‟Neill (Omagh DC)

and interviewees from 8 Departments as detailed below.

It is hoped that this report will assist Omagh District Council in developing a robust climate

change adaptation strategy and may assist other local authorities in Northern Ireland to do

likewise.

Arts & Tourism Mr. Frank Sweeny

Building Control Mr. Sean Kelly

Client Services Mr. Kevin O‟Gara

Corporate Services Mr. Danny McSorley

Development Mr. Harry Parkinson

Emergency planning coordinator

(WGEHS)

Ms. Joan M. McCaffrey

Environmental Health Mr. David Gillis

Finance Ms. Joan McCaffrey

Human Resources Ms. Rosemary Rafferty

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Abbreviations

CCPB Civil Contingencies Policy Branch CE Chief Executive CIEH NI Chartered Institute of Environmental Health Northern Ireland EHO Environmental Health Officer EMS Environmental Management System EPCO Emergency Planning Coordinating Officer IPCC International Panel on Climate Change LCLIP Local Climate Impact Profile NILGA Northern Ireland Local Government Association OFMDFM Office of First Minister and Deputy First Minister PSNI Police Service of Northern Ireland SAM Sustainable Audit Matrix SEHO Senior Environmental Health Officer WGEHS Western Group Environmental Health Service UKCIP United Kingdom Climate Impact Profile

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Table of Contents Acknowledgements ................................................................................................. ii

Abbreviations ......................................................................................................... iii

Table of Contents .................................................................................................... iv

List of Figures .......................................................................................................... vi

1. Introduction .................................................................................................. 1

1.1 Background ....................................................................................................... 1

1.2 Benefits ............................................................................................................. 1

1.3 Current UK overview .......................................................................................... 1

1.4 Climate change .................................................................................................. 1

1.5 Aim and objectives ............................................................................................. 2

2. Methodology .................................................................................................. 4

2.1 Phase 1: Media trawl .......................................................................................... 4

2.2 Interviews ......................................................................................................... 4

3. Northern Ireland’s Climate ............................................................................ 5

3.1 Temperature ..................................................................................................... 5

3.2 Sunshine ........................................................................................................... 5

3.3 Rainfall .............................................................................................................. 5

3.4 Snowfall ............................................................................................................ 6

3.5 Wind ................................................................................................................. 6

4. Omagh Climate Profile .................................................................................. 7

4.1 Omagh .............................................................................................................. 7

4.2 Temperature ..................................................................................................... 7

4.3 Rainfall .............................................................................................................. 7

4.4 Wind ................................................................................................................. 7

4.5 Sunshine ........................................................................................................... 8

4.6 Snowfall ............................................................................................................ 8

4.7 Sleet/snowfall .................................................................................................... 8

5. UK Climate Projections ‘09 ............................................................................ 9

6. Media Trawl ................................................................................................. 10

6.1 Strong winds ................................................................................................... 10

6.2 Heavy rainfall/flooding ..................................................................................... 10

6.3 High temperatures ........................................................................................... 11

6.4 Frost, ice, snow ............................................................................................... 11

6.5 Lightning ......................................................................................................... 11

6.6 High impact events .......................................................................................... 11

6.7 Tabulated media trawl- weather findings by type of event .................................. 12

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6.7.1 Media trawl findings: heavy rainfall/flooding ............................................... 12

6.7.2 Media trawl findings: strong winds ............................................................. 13

6.7.3 Media trawl findings: frost/ice/snow .......................................................... 14

6.7.4 Media trawl findings: high temperatures ..................................................... 15

6.7.5 Media trawl findings: lightning .................................................................. 15

7. Council Departmental Interviews ............................................................... 16

8. Results ......................................................................................................... 17

8.1 Impact of past weather related events .............................................................. 17

8.2 Monitoring, recording or assessing the risks associated with severe weather ....... 17

8.2.1 Advance monitoring .................................................................................. 17

8.2.2 Investigative tools (to assess impacts) ........................................................ 17

8.2.3 Planning for the future .............................................................................. 17

8.2.4 Suggestions as to how ODC might better prepare for dealing with future

events. …………………………………………………………………………………………………………….18

8.2.5 Assessment of the impact that past weather events had had upon

departmental operations ......................................................................................... 18

8.2.6 Any future plans for stakeholder engagement on climate related events ....... 18

8.2.7 Disadvantaged groups ............................................................................... 18

9. Deprivation .................................................................................................. 20

9.1 Deprivation by Ward ........................................................................................ 20

10. Other Financial Costs................................................................................... 21

11. Discussion and Recommendations .............................................................. 22

11.1 Discussion ...................................................................................................... 22

11.1.1 Departmental Reviews .................................................................................. 22

11.1.2 Data recording ............................................................................................. 22

11.1.3 Partnerships ................................................................................................. 23

11.1.4 Vulnerable groups ........................................................................................ 23

11.2 Recommendations and next steps towards adaptation ....................................... 23

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List of Figures

Fig1: Summary of climate change projections for Northern Ireland to 2050 based on a

medium scenario..........................................................................................................9

Fig. 2: Pie chart illustrating the percentages of headlines, discovered during the media trawl

of local newspapers, attributed to each extreme weather event occurring between January

2001 and December 2010 ............................................................................................10

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1. Introduction 1.1 Background

A Local Climate Impact Profile (LCLIP) is a tool which is intended to assist local authorities

better understand the vulnerabilities of their particular area to the impacts of climate

change. Such understanding is seen as a powerful catalyst to develop awareness within local

authorities, as well as providing a useful starting point towards developing a climate change

adaptation strategy.

In order to assess current vulnerabilities, there is a need to understand how and why the

local authority area is affected by the weather and how this impinges on its ability to deliver

services.

The methodology has been developed by the UK Climate Impacts Partnership (UKCIP). The

UKCIP was established in 1997 to help co-ordinate scientific research into the impacts of

climate change, and to help organisations adapt to those unavoidable impacts. UKCIP is

based at the Environmental Change Institute at the University of Oxford.

1.2 Benefits

An LCLIP is a starting point towards creating a climate change adaption strategy. It can

help highlight problem areas and prepare the local authority to respond better to future

events. It can also assist in raising awareness of potential impacts with key stakeholders,

for example elected members, Council staff, local businesses and the general public. Using

the findings from an LCLIP helps inform future planning and adaptation to ensure continuity

of services and also to return cost savings in areas such as emergency provisions, preparing

properties for winter, or minimising insurance claims.

1.3 Current UK overview

To date 106 councils in England have completed LCLIPs, with many more councils

committed to doing the same. Scotland and Wales have produced four LCLIPs each, with

more expected.

Omagh District Council (ODC) is the first local authority in Northern Ireland (NI) to complete

an LCLIP.

1.4 Climate change

Our climate is changing. The following points highlight some of those documented changes:

Eight of the warmest 15 years globally have occurred since 20001.

1Studies by the UK Met Office, the Climate Research Office Unit and the NASA Institute for Space Studies.

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The observed global temperature increase since 1990 has been 0.33oC, a figure

which lies at the upper end of the 2007 International Panel on Climate Change‟s

(IPCC) predicted range (Fusell 2009)

Over the next two decades, a warming of 0.2oC is expected per decade (IPCC,

2007).

By the end of the 21st century, best estimates from a range of six differing scenarios

have projected global temperatures to rise by between 1.8-4.0oC (IPCC, 2007).

Apart from gradual climate change, it is expected that there will be an increased frequency

and intensity of some extreme weather events. Floods, droughts, heat waves and storm

surges could become more frequent and intense (Van Vuuren et al, 2010).

Such changes will create a number of impacts, including direct health impacts:

Temperature-related mortality is expected to rise with heat waves (IPCC, 2007).

Increased flooding will damage property, displace people and affect crop yields, but

it will also bring about the spread of disease and injury (Van Vuuren et al, 2010).

The IPCC report highlights that such weather related events will lead to an increased

burden on services due to a rise in human health issues such as diarrhoeal diseases,

cardio-respiratory diseases and an altered spatial distribution of some infectious

diseases.

The potential impacts of global warming are complex. NI is likely to face warmer and drier

summers, contrasted with milder and wetter winters, leading to increased likelihood of

periods of drought and flooding. These changes have the potential to affect all sectors of

society, from health and social care to economic market activity. Potential impacts include:

The destruction of property

The spread of diseases

The displacement of large groups of people (from other regions of the world)

An increase in heat related fatalities

Logistical problems in providing aid and support.

1.5 Aim and objectives

This LCILP provides a profile of the ODC area‟s vulnerability to climate change. In the past,

the district experienced a number of extreme weather events such as flooding, which led to

property damage, caused distress to residents, and placed extra demands on the Council‟s

services. This report examines past weather related events and how their impacts were

managed.

The aims of this LCLIP are:

1. To gather information on past impacts of extreme weather events within the ODC

area

2. To asses the vulnerability of ODC to these events from an operational and financial

point of view

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3. To assess climate change impacts on vulnerable/deprived groups within ODC.

4. To highlight possible future impacts.

5. To provide information that will help inform future climate change adaptation

measures.

The objectives to achieve these are:

1. To catalogue all significant weather events affecting ODC area over a ten year

period.

2. To establish how all ODC departments were affected by the extreme weather events

and to determine how they might better respond in the future.

3. To assess the impacts of these events and their associated costs, where possible.

4. To highlight these impacts in relation to future climate change scenarios.

5. To produce recommendations for action by ODC.

6. To produce a foundation for a climate change adaptation strategy.

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2. Methodology This LCLIP is based on the methodology5 designed by UKCIP which involves a two phased

research approach. The first phase involved a media trawl of local newspapers in order to

identify weather events which affected the area during a ten year timeframe (from January

2001 to December 2010). The second phase involved conducting interviews with the heads

of Departments in ODC.

2.1 Phase 1: Media trawl

A media trawl of the two local newspapers, the Ulster Herald and the Tyrone Constitution,

was undertaken to identify the weather events which received headline attention. Copies of

each issue of each newspaper from the study period, January 2001 to December 2010, were

accessed from archives and were manually searched for relevant information. Information

gathered included: the source newspaper, the headline, date of event, weather type, for

example wind, excessive rainfall etc and its impact and significance.

2.2 Interviews

To determine whether or not, and if so to what extent, the operations within various Council

departments had been affected by any weather events, staff within the following eight

departments were interviewed:

Arts and Tourism.

Building Control.

Corporate Services.

Development.

Environmental Health (incorporating Emergency Planning).

Finance.

Human Resources.

Technical Services.

Interviews took place with the Chief Officer or a nominated senior member of staff from

each department and were conducted by the Policy Researcher from the CIEH, with the

support of a Senior EHO from Omagh District Council and a Principal EHO from the Western

Group Environmental Health Service.

Specific attention was paid to two weather events identified from the media search results

as having had the highest impacts on the Omagh area: a flash flooding incident in 2007 and

a prolonged period of frost, ice and snow in January 2010.

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3. Northern Ireland‟s Climate The NI climate is characterised by the moderating effects of the Atlantic Ocean, the

indented shape of the coastline and the presence of high ground which results in localised

differences in temperature, cloud and precipitation.

3.1 Temperature

The main factors influencing temperature are distance from the sea and altitude. During

winter, temperatures are influenced to a large extent by the surface of the surrounding sea

which reaches its lowest temperature level in late February or early March. Therefore

around coastal areas, February is normally the coldest month.

The lowest temperatures generally occur away from the moderating influence of the sea.

The lowest officially accepted temperature recorded in NI was -18.7oC, at Castlederg,

County Tyrone on 23 December 2010.

July is normally the warmest month, with average daily maximum temperatures varying

from around 17oC in upland areas and along the north coast, to almost 20oC in low lying

areas to the south of Lough Neagh and in Fermanagh. The highest temperature ever

recorded was 30.8oC measured at both Knockarevan in County Fermanagh on 30 June 1976

and at Shaw‟s Bridge in Belfast on 12 July 1983.

3.2 Sunshine

NI is cloudier than the rest of the UK because of the hilly nature of the terrain and its

proximity to the Atlantic Ocean. However, the coastal strip of County Down manages an

annual average total of over 1400 hours of sunshine.

The least sunny parts are the upland areas of the north and west, with annual average

totals of less than 1100 hours. Mean monthly sunshine figures reach a maximum in May

and are at their lowest in December.

3.3 Rainfall

Rainfall varies widely, with the wettest places being in the Sperrin, Antrim and Mourne

Mountains. Exposure to rain-bearing winds off the Atlantic results in higher average rainfalls

in the more western counties of Fermanagh, Londonderry/Derry and Tyrone. In the wettest

areas, rainfall totals reach 1950 mm. Average annual totals are just below 800 mm. The

highest rainfall areas have average annual totals of about 1600 mm. In all areas, the

wettest months are between October and January.

The combination of close proximity to active weather systems arriving from the Atlantic and

the extensive areas of upland can lead to notable daily and monthly rainfalls. Periods of

prolonged rainfall can lead to widespread flooding, for example, the autumn of 2000 was

the wettest season for over 100 years with several flooding episodes, including a fall of 167

mm of rain at the Silent Valley, County Down over 48 hours in early November.

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3.4 Snowfall

Snowfalls rarely occur if the temperature is higher than 4oC. The number of days during

which snow falls, increases with increasing latitude and altitude. Snowfall is comparatively

rare near sea level in NI.

The average number of days each year when sleet or snow falls varies from around 10 days

near the east coast, to over 35 days in the Sperrin, Antrim and Mourne mountains.

The average annual number of days with snow lying in Northern Ireland varies from less

than 10 in coastal areas, to over 30 in the mountains. A day of lying snow is defined as the

ground being more than 50% covered at 0900. The number of days of snowfall and snow

cover varies enormously from year to year. During the last 50 years it has ranged from zero

to in excess of 30 days during the winters of 1962/63 and 1981/82. In heavy snowfalls there

can be quite extensive drifting of snow in strong winds, especially over higher ground.

3.5 Wind

NI is one of the windier parts of the UK, particularly over the highest ground and along the

coasts of counties Antrim and Down.

The strongest winds are in the winter months, especially from November to January.

Gales2 occur most frequently in low altitude areas, such as along the coasts of counties

Antrim and Down, with an average of around 15 days of gales each year. The number of

gales decreases inland to 5 days or fewer around Lough Neagh.

Wind speed is sensitive to local topographic effects.

A prevailing south-westerly wind direction throughout the year is typical in low lying inland

locations. However, in spring, north, north-east and easterly winds occur frequently.

2If the wind reaches a mean speed of 34 knots or more over any ten consecutive minutes, then that day is classed as having a

gale.

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4. Omagh Climate Profile3 4.1 Omagh

The district of Omagh covers an area of almost 113,000 hectares (440 square miles),

making it the second largest district council area in NI. It has a population of some 52,500.

The county town of Omagh is at the centre with the rest of the district primarily rural in

character, with people living in scattered small towns and villages or in dispersed rural

communities.3

Omagh town is situated at the confluence of the Camowen, Strule and Drumragh rivers,

within a natural bowl-shaped valley that is enclosed to the north by the mountain of

Mullaghcarn.

4.2 Temperature

Due to its inland western locality, the area can experience some of the highest temperatures

in NI.

Monthly maximum temperatures during the time under study ranged from 4.1oC (January

2010) to 21.8oC (July 2006) with an average of 13.06oC.

Minimum temperatures ranged from 11.9oC (July 2006) to -2.2oC (January 2010), with an

average of 5.54oC.

4.3 Rainfall

Compared to other low-lying areas in NI, Omagh tends to experience wetter conditions on

an annual basis, due to its proximity to the Sperrin Mountains.

Monthly rainfall totals ranged from 29.9 mm (February 2009) to 226.3 mm (November

2009) with an average of 96.82 mm. On the 12 July 2007 the Edenfel weather station

recorded a total of 94.7 mm of rain, which was the wettest day in the station‟s history, since

it was established in 1872.

4.4 Wind

Monthly average wind speeds ranged from 5.01 knots (December 2009) to 10.69 knots

(January 2005), with an average of 6.8 knots.

3 NIEA, 1-February-2010.Omagh Farmland Geodiversity Profile. [online] Available at:

<http://www.doeni.gov.uk/niea/print/landscape/country_landscape/22/22-geo.htm> [Accessed 23-

January-2011].

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4.5 Sunshine

Monthly average hours of sunshine ranged from 26.2 hours (November 2007) to 229 hours

(May 2008), with an average of 101.25 hours.

4.6 Snowfall

As Omagh lies in the foot-hills of the Sperrin Mountains, the area tends to see rather more

days of falling and lying snow in winter, and a higher incidence of frost than other low-lying

areas.

The annual number of days with snowfall ranged from 1 day in 2007 to 24 days in 2009,

and from January-August 2010. The annual average number of days of snowfall is 8.

4.7 Sleet/snowfall

The average number of days each year of sleet/snowfall varies from around 10 near the

east coast to over 35 in the mountains of Sperrin, Antrim and Mourne4 .

4 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/ni/print.html

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5. UK Climate Projections „09 The following figure depicts climate projections for NI based on the findings of the UK

Climate Projection ‟09.5 All projected values are relative to 2009 climate conditions and the

projections illustrate what the climate may be like, long into the future.

Estimating our future climate is an imprecise science as the outcomes depend greatly on

changes in greenhouse gas emissions. Climate change modelling for a medium scenario for

the UK into the 2050s has indicated rising temperatures, even if emissions are cut

significantly.

Fig 1. Based on the medium scenario, the following points summarise the projections for NI

to 2050:

Average summer temperature 2.2oC Increase

Average winter temperature 1.7oC Increase

Average summer rainfall 13% Decrease

Average winter rainfall 9% Increase

More prolonged winter rainfall may well result in an increased incidence of flooding –

(perhaps similar to that experienced in Fermanagh in Autumn 2009). While rainfall in

summer is expected to decrease overall, a greater proportion may fall as intense short

duration episodes increasing the risk of flash flooding in summer, (as happened in Omagh in

2007). This type of rainfall however tends to be more localised in nature and the reduction

in summer rainfall overall would increase the risk of more prolonged periods of exceptionally

dry weather or even periods of drought.

Ref. UKCP09, DEFRA. 50% probability level

5UK Climate Impacts Programme, 1-December-2010. LCLIP: Local Climate Impacts Profile. [online] Available at: <http://www.ukcip.org.uk/lclip/> [Accessed 23-January-2011].The UK Climate Projections (UKCP09) give climate information for the UK up to the end of this century. Projections of future changes to our climate are provided, based on simulations from climate models. The purpose of providing information on the possible future climate is to help those needing to plan how they will adapt to help society and the natural environment to cope with a changing climate.

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6. Media Trawl The two local newspapers, the Ulster Herald and the Tyrone Constitution, were searched for

stories concerning extreme weather events in the Omagh area between January 2001 and

December 2010 (i.e. a total study period of 10 years). The trawl produced 58 headlines,

illustrated in Fig.2 below.

Fig. 2: Pie chart illustrating the percentages of headlines, discovered during the media

trawl of local newspapers, attributed to each extreme weather event occurring between

January 2001 and December 2010.

A breakdown of weather events and the years in which they occurred can be seen in the

table on page 12.

6.1 Strong winds

Strong winds were mentioned in a total of 16 headlines during the study period. This

weather event was deemed to be headline news in eight of the ten studied years. The

impacts from this weather type were reported to be damage to property, power failure, and

disruption to services, all of which most commonly resulted from felled trees. The majority

of these weather events and their impacts have been considered to have had a medium

level of significance.

6.2 Heavy rainfall/flooding

Heavy rainfall/ flooding was mentioned in 13 headlines during the study period. This

weather event was headline news in 6 years, with at least two headlines each year between

2007 and 2010. The impacts from these events were disruption to services, damage to

buildings/subsidence and surface water flooding. Eleven of these 13 events were

considered as having medium or high significance level.

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6.3 High temperatures

High temperatures were mentioned in 10 headlines in 5 of the studied years. The impact of

these events was to encourage more outdoor activity. These events were considered as

being of low significance for ODC.

6.4 Frost, ice, snow

Frost, ice, and snow were mentioned in 18 headlines during the studied period. These

weather events were the most reported events, occurring in 8 of the years studied. Frost,

ice and snow occurred at least once in eight consecutive years from 2003 to 2010. The

impacts of these events were disruption to everyday living, particularly where power failure

was involved. The majority of these events were considered to have had a medium level of

significance.

6.5 Lightning

During the ten years studied, lightning damage was reported only once. This happened in

2005. The impact of this event was damage to two private homes. This event was

considered to have had a low level of significance.

6.6 High impact events

Two events occurred within the period under study that were considered as having a high

level of significance.

Event 1: Flash flooding, June 2007

Impact: Severe disruption of normal life.

Farm lanes were impassable or partly washed away.

Businesses and homes were flooded and contaminated with mud, animal waste and

sewage.

Heating boilers failed.

Electricity supplies were considered unsafe to use in the soggy conditions.

Event 2: Prolonged period of frost, ice and snow, January 2010.

Impacts: Disruption to normal life for a three week period.

Heavy falls of snow and repeated sub zero temperatures left many roads impassable

for drivers with some people trapped in their homes.

Gritting of roads was a priority but the benefit of the grit was soon swallowed up by

the next fall of snow.

Even those on foot suffered as footpaths went ungritted and there were many minor

injuries through people slipping and falling in the treacherous conditions.

Food deliveries to shops were delayed and schools stayed closed.

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6.7 Tabulated media trawl- weather findings by type of event

6.7.1 Media trawl findings: heavy rainfall/flooding

Source Headline Date of Event

Impact Significance

Tyrone Constitution

Wet..wet..wet as Winter takes an early grip

21 Oct 02

Disruption to processes

Medium

Tyrone Constitution

Outrage at flooding 25-26 Nov 04

Damage to buildings / subsidence

High

Tyrone Constitution

Flooding havoc 12 June 07 Disruption to processes

High

Ulster Herald Flash floods cause chaos

12 June 07 Disruption to processes

High

Tyrone Constitution

Residents in fear of future flood occurrences

12 June 07

Damage to buildings / subsidence

High

Tyrone Constitution

Flash flooding continues to cause chaos in Tyrone

19-26 Nov 07

Surface water flooding

Low

Tyrone Constitution

Flood waters wreak havoc across county

16 Aug 08

Damage to buildings / subsidence

High

Ulster Herald Shields slam Rivers Agency for lack of foresight

16 Sept 08

Damage to buildings / subsidence

Medium

Tyrone Constitution

Major clean up after flash floods wreak havoc

19 Aug 09

Damage to buildings / subsidence

High

Ulster Herald Newtown householders demand Compo

22 Aug 09

Damage to buildings / subsidence

Medium

Tyrone Constitution

Residents put on a heroic face in aftermath of devastating floods

19 Aug 09

Damage to buildings / subsidence

Medium

Ulster Herald Homeowners and businesses feared extensive flooding

4 Sept 10 Damage to buildings / subsidence

Low

Tyrone Constitution

Heavy rain brings flooding to local area

5 Nov 10

Disruption to processes

Medium

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6.7.2 Media trawl findings: strong winds

Source Headline Date of Event

Impact Significance

Ulster Herald Close shave as tree falls on bin lorry

21 Aug 01 Disruption to processes

Low

Tyrone Constitution

Storm force winds brings down trees and cause blackouts

27 Jan 02

Disruption to processes

Medium

Ulster Herald Storm force winds disrupt 2000 power lines locally

27 Jan 02

Power failure

Medium

Tyrone Constitution

Tyrone battered as storm rages

7 Jan 05

Disruption to processes

Medium

Ulster Herald Sewage overflow as storm strikes

8 Jan 05

Power failure

Medium

Tyrone Constitution

Power blackout across Tyrone as severe winds return.

14 Feb 05

Power failure

Low

Tyrone Constitution

Over 6,000 homes blacked out in turbulent end of year

31 Dec 06

Power failure

Medium

Tyrone Constitution

Thousands of homes blacked out as gust of wind reach 70mph

10 Jan 07

Power failure

Medium

Tyrone Constitution

Stormy conditions cause disruption on roads

8 Jan 08

Damage to buildings / subsidence

Medium

Tyrone Constitution

March roaring Wreaking havoc for drivers and homeowners

3 March 08

Damage to buildings / subsidence

Medium

Tyrone Constitution

725 Gortin residents left without power in weekend blackout and Icy spell leaves Aghyaran residents without power

6 Jan 09

Power failure

Low

Tyrone Constitution

Lashing rain, gales and snow wreak havoc across West Tyrone

18 Jan 09

Disruption to processes

Medium

Tyrone Constitution

Weekend gale force winds wreak havoc across Omagh District

24 & 25 Oct 09

Power failure

Medium

Tyrone Constitution

Gale force winds cause havoc for locals

8 July 10

Power failure

Medium

Tyrone Constitution

Miraculous escape for family as tree crashes down on car

5 Sept 10

Damage to buildings / subsidence

Medium

Ulster Herald Gortin man recounts close escape from falling tree

4 Sept 10

Damage to buildings / subsidence

Medium

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6.7.3 Media trawl findings: frost/ice/snow

Source Headline Date of Event

Impact Significance

Tyrone Constitution

Winter Wonderland 6 Feb 03 Disruption to processes

Medium

Ulster Herald Cold snap causes chaos on the roads

4 Feb 03 Disruption to processes

Low

Tyrone Constitution

Snow comes early for Christmas

20 Dec 03 Disruption to processes

Medium

Tyrone Constitution

Dreams of a white Christmas come true

25 Dec 04 Disruption to processes

Low

Tyrone Constitution

Snow puts halt to school lessons for thousands locally

18 Jan 05 Disruption to processes

Low

Ulster Herald 5,000 children miss school as cold snap bites in Tyrone

17 Jan 05 Disruption to processes

Medium

Tyrone Constitution

Blanket of snow heralds official arriving of snow

2 March 06 Disruption to processes

Low

Tyrone Constitution

Winter returns with a vengeance

17 March 07 Disruption to processes

Low

Tyrone Constitution

Spring vanishes and replaced by blanket of snow

3-10 April 08

Disruption to processes

Low

Tyrone Constitution

Drivers turn into gauntlet as icy snap causes mayhem on roads

4-11 Dec 08

Disruption to processes

Medium

Ulster Herald Icy roads 'nothing to do with a lack of grit' - Roads Service

9 Dec 08

Disruption to processes

Medium

Ulster Herald Schools close and roads blocked as stormy weather hits Tyrone

20 Jan 09

Disruption to processes

Medium

Tyrone Constitution

Snow and ice brings woes for motorists and pedestrians

24-26 Jan 09

Disruption to processes

Medium

Tyrone Constitution

Its Brrritsh summer time with an Arctic Feel

30 March 10 Disruption to processes

Low

Ulster Herald Freak winter weather causes blackouts and havoc for local motorists

31 March 10 Power failure

Medium

Tyrone Constitution

Plumbridge family trapped by 8ft of snow

8 April 10 Disruption to processes

Medium

Ulster Herald The Big Freeze 7 & 14 Dec 10

Disruption to processes

High

Tyrone Constitution

Injury toll mounts as icy grip shows no mercy

24 Dec 09 – 14 Jan 2010

Disruption to processes

Medium

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6.7.4 Media trawl findings: high temperatures

Source Headline Date of Event

Impact Significance

Ulster Herald Mild Indian summer gives way to heavy rain

24 Feb 02 Low

Tyrone Constitution

Summer at last after wet June and July

8 Aug 02 Low

Tyrone Constitution

Marvellous May and the Heat is on

27 May 04 Low

Tyrone Constitution

Omagh basks in record breaking temperatures

14-20 July 06

Low

Ulster Herald Tyrone makes hay while sun shines

20 July 06

Low

Tyrone Constitution

Hot weather likely cause of fish kill

03 Aug 06

Changes in biodiversity

Low

Tyrone Constitution

Sunsational temperatures peak in Castlederg

2 June 09

Changes in lifestyle Low

Ulster Herald Derg hottest place this week

1 June 09

Low

Tyrone Constitution

Stocking oats while the sun shone

10-17 Sept 09

Changes in lifestyle

Low

Ulster Herald Locals make hay in the fine sunshine

24 June 10 Low

6.7.5 Media trawl findings: lightning

Source Headline Date of Event

Impact Significance

Tyrone Constitution

Terrifying ordeal as lightening strikes homes

1 Jan 05 Damage to buildings / subsidence

Medium

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7. Council Departmental Interviews Interviews were conducted with staff from all eight Council departments. Additionally, an interview

was conducted with the Emergency Planning Coordinator within the Western Group Environmental

Health Service as it provides emergency planning support to ODC.

Interviews were based on a series of questions which focused on the following areas:

1. Past weather events that had impacted on the department (either in terms of their ability to

provide services or demand on resources)

2. Mechanisms currently in place to record and assess the impacts of severe weather (monitoring;

risk assessments; records)

3. The extent to which planning had taken place for the future (consideration of the long term

impacts; procedures or policies for severe weather events or adaptation; training; etc)

4. Questions as to how ODC might better prepare for dealing with future events

5. Assessment of the impact that past weather events had had upon individual departmental

operations

6. Any future plans for stakeholder engagement on climate related events

7. An assessment of the extent to which climate related events had disproportionately affected

vulnerable groups

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8. Results 8.1 Impact of past weather related events

Flooding and frost/ice/snow were identified by most departments as key weather events which had

impacted on their ability to provide services. A summary of the nature of these impacts included:

ODC premises and facilities (e.g. community centres) rendered unusable

Costs associated with the repairs/clean up

Mobility issues for staff preventing them getting to work and the knock on effect on service

provision (decreased capacity)

Impact of Council policies on staffing levels (e.g. carer‟s leave policy)

Increased workload due to ODC‟s coordinating role in such circumstances

Increased demand from the public for services (often not the responsibility of the Council

but which adds to the overall workload in terms of facilitating responses to such requests)

Increased workload in acting as a communication hub (media releases; briefings for elected

representatives; etc)

Use of ODC facilities to provide temporary respite for affected families and/or individuals

Additional services required as a direct result of severe weather

Two of the departments interviewed did not identify any impacts as a result of severe weather.

8.2 Monitoring, recording or assessing the risks associated with severe weather

8.2.1 Advance monitoring

In terms of assessing the risk of severe weather, all departments cited information received from

the Met Office as their primary source of information.

8.2.2 Investigative tools (to assess impacts)

There are currently no investigative tools used (or data recorded/measured) that would allow the

Council to quantify all of the impacts outlined in the previous section.

Some measurement is carried out with regard to carers leave taken under the Councils policy on the

same and within Western Group Environmental Health Service, which provides support to ODC on

emergency planning, there is a proposal to record the impact of severe weather by means of a

logging system.

One of the 8 Council departments had undertaken some analysis to quantify the impacts from

previous events with additional hours worked as a result of the incidents being costed. The costs of

dealing with the flooding in 2007 by administrative and field workers were largely absorbed within

the department‟s budget with resultant impacts on other planned activities and with overtime

payments being reimbursed by central government.

8.2.3 Planning for the future

Only 1 department had specifically considered the long term impacts of climate change on its

operations.

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Two departments interviewed had developed departmental policies and/or procedures specifically

for extreme/severe weather events. In one of these departments additional staff training had also

been undertaken.

However, the Council does have an emergency management and business continuity plan.

Emergency planning in the ODC area is facilitated and coordinated from within the Western Group

Environmental Health Service. This includes not just ODC but also 4 other councils in the west of NI

namely Derry CC, Fermanagh DC, Strabane DC and Limavady BC. The emergency management plan

does provide for coordination and integration in a given emergency scenario, particularly between

the Council and other public bodies and agencies.

It was recognised by the Chief Executive that there was a need for ongoing development of the

emergency procedures manual in light of experience gained.

8.2.4 Suggestions as to how ODC might better prepare for dealing with future events.

The general consensus from all those interviewed was that ODC was well prepared for dealing with

future events.

There was a suggestion from 1 department that improvement of the communication infrastructure

that would allow staff to work more effectively from home would help in future scenarios as one of

the impacts of severe weather was the inability of some staff to travel to the administrative centre.

A back-up IT system that was shared with other councils was also suggested as a potential

improvement.

8.2.5 Assessment of the impact that past weather events had had upon departmental

operations

In terms of their assessments of the severity of the impacts only one department considered past

extreme weather events to have had a high impact on their area of service overall. In all other

cases the interviewees considered the overall impact to be low.

As outlined at 8.2.2 above, one department has undertaken some work to quantify the impacts of

previous events in terms of increased/additional demands on services.

8.2.6 Any future plans for stakeholder engagement on climate related events

No departments currently have any plans to discuss climate change implications with any

stakeholder groups. However, in some cases departments commented that they would, “be able to

identify groups with which it could discuss these matters in the future”.

8.2.7 Disadvantaged groups

Interviewees were asked to identify disadvantaged groups which either had or could suffer

disproportionately as a result of severe weather events.

Four of the departments interviewed did not identify any such groups.

The remaining 4 identified the following groups:

Rural dwellers.

Young first time buyers of homes who may not consider flooding, snow or energy demands.

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Populations inhabiting the foothills of the Sperrin Mountains for whom mobility was a

problem during frost/ice/snow events.

Wards on the periphery of the district and one urban ward containing the CKS community

centre, all of which had the most mobility issues during frost and snow.

The elderly.

Residents or home owners, who may have an inability to protect their property from

flooding.

The residents/owners of areas of high density housing/commercial buildings built within a

hot spot or high risk area.

One department interviewed suggested that there was a need to better identify, “at risk/vulnerable

groups”.

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9. Deprivation 9.1 Deprivation by Ward

A simple exercise was carried out in an attempt to match flood damage (and subsequent payments)

with deprivation in the wards of the ODC area. Data on deprivation was provided by NISRA* and

was matched with the payments made to householders who sustained flood damage in 2007 and is

illustrated in the table below. Of 94 payments made, 61 fell in the ten most deprived wards and 33

fell in the 11 least deprived wards. This finding merits further investigation but would suggest that

there is a link between deprivation and susceptibility/risk.

Omagh DC- Ward/Deprivation/Payments table Ref. Nisra 2010

(x)= number of payments made in ward

0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450

Lisanelly (6)

Fintona

Gortrush (8)

Drumquin

Strule (9)

Coolnagard (25)

Termon

Dromore

Camowen (11)

Drumnakilly (2)

Sixmilecross

Owenkillew

Dergmoney (1)

Beragh

Killyclogher (4)

Newtownsaville

Gortin

Clanabogan (1)

Trillick

Drumragh (27)

Fairy Water

higher deprivation lower deprivation

61 payments in 10 most

deprived wards

33 payments in 11

least deprived

wards

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10. Other Financial Costs

The financial cost to the NI Executive of dealing with the flooding in 2007 was estimated at

approximately £95,000.

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11. Discussion and Recommendations 11.1 Discussion

The interviews carried out with departments suggest that the senior management in ODC believe

that the Council is in a reasonable position to cope with future extreme weather events. They also

predominantly perceive such events to be of low impact overall.

However this is almost entirely a subjective assessment/perception, since, with one exception, no

department was able to really quantify the impact that extreme weather has had on their

operations.

The climate projections highlighted in this report, however suggests future extreme events will

increase in both magnitude and frequency, thus placing a likely additional strain on resources in

ODC.

11.1.1 Departmental Reviews

Each department‟s approach to extreme weather events is shaped by the past experiences of their

staff. This review has highlighted the need for a more systematic analysis looking at the effects

extreme weather on departmental operations. Case studies based on past events should be

developed and the possible impacts each weather event may have upon each department in the

future should be anticipated/predicted based upon the analysis provided in this report (see page

12). In doing this there should be an assessment of how each department monitors these effects

and this information should be used to review, adapt and plan for future events. Staff training would

be an essential element of this process.

A problem affecting all departments during extreme weather events is the inability to travel to and

from work. Often travel is not possible, so in order to minimise disruption to operations, a new

system which allows remote working from home should be considered and developed. This may

also facilitate staff in taking carer‟s leave, without compromising ODC services and allow the carer‟s

leave policy to be reviewed.

11.1.2 Data recording

There are wide variations and little consistency in records kept with no department currently

keeping complete records on how these events directly impacted upon their services. This makes it

difficult to review activities and develop robust adaptation strategies. In many cases, planning and

responding to weather related events is dependant on the past experience of a senior member of

staff. These arrangements are often informal with no procedures or policies in place, so when that

staff member retires or leaves the employ of the Council, their experience and knowledge are lost.

There is a need to develop a standard monitoring database system. Better record keeping is

essential to improve understanding of how weather events impact upon operations. Only when the

full extent of impacts are recorded and assessed can a plan for adaptation be drawn up and

standard policies and procedures put in place. Key data might include:

extra staff hours worked to deal with events.

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costings that can be attributed specifically to these events (including accounting codes which

enable these costs to be drawn out when required).

areas affected

numbers of people affected

11.1.3 Partnerships

Partnerships, in the context of emergency and resilience planning between the Council and other

local authorities/agencies have been historically informal. However, this is changing. It is now

recognised that in order to achieve the best outcomes, the Council needs to formalise all such

partnerships. Formal cross-sectoral partnership relationships will allow for protocols to be drawn up,

and to make clear each agency‟s roles and responsibilities during extreme events. These

relationships should also facilitate information sharing which will be to the benefit of each involved

party, and ultimately the public.

11.1.4 Vulnerable groups

The interviews show that not all departments perceived there to be identifiable vulnerable groups,

for example, the elderly, those living alone, those with limited resources, and those with mental or

physical health problems, who might or would be adversely affected by extreme weather events.

This situation needs to be addressed as clearly there are such groups and it is essential that future

adaptation plans consider this.

The simple exercise carried out to match flood inconvenience payments to disadvantaged wards has

revealed a much higher proportion of payments being made in the top 50% of disadvantaged wards

when compared to the remaining less disadvantaged wards. A much more detailed statistically valid

analysis of the situation should be carried out to determine the exact relationship between flood

damage and disadvantage.

11.2 Recommendations and next steps towards adaptation

ODC is one of Northern Irelands leading local authorities in terms of its efforts to reduce the

environmental impacts of its own activities and services and in turn reduce its emissions. It is clear

that ODC is playing its part in efforts to mitigate future climate impacts6.

However, this LCLIP work has focused specifically on the nature, frequency and occurrence of

previous climate impacts and through doing so seeks to provide baseline information on how well

ODC is prepared for future weather events.

6 At the time of publishing this report, ODC have been ranked 5th place from the 17 local authorities which

participated in the 13th Arena N.I. Environmental Benchmarking Survey which is run on behalf of the Northern

Ireland Environment Agency by Business in the Community‟s ARENA Network.

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Inertia within the climate system means that the effects of past green house gas emissions will

continue to be experienced for a considerable period of time regardless of any future steps taken to

reduce emissions. Adaptation is therefore crucial, involving responding to slow gradual changes and

sudden changes such as extreme weather events. Evidence shows that the major climate change

events faced by the Council in recent years are flooding and ice and snow.

This LCLIP has shown that ODC needs to further build upon its adaptation planning. To date the

organisation has coped admirably on an adhoc basis, however, it is clear that often additional

strains (both human and financial) are placed on departments. It is also clear that in some cases

staff do not perceive extreme weather related events as being of real, significant impact on either

their department or ODC as a whole. This may be in part due to the lack of any current systematic

assessment of such impacts using relevant data, but on the other hand it may simply be a

perception. Regardless of the reasons this presents challenges for the organisation in terms of both

awareness as well as the priority that some staff may attach to adaptation planning.

Current climate change projections suggest that it is likely that the frequency and nature of some

extreme weather events will increase. It is therefore imperative that adequate adaptation planning

takes place. As already noted, work has begun on the production of emergency plans, and

partnerships which were once informal are being formalised. In recognition of these activities, a

series of recommendations/next steps have been identified:

Use the findings from this LCLIP to review each department‟s response to extreme weather

events, where possible develop case studies from past events and assess possible future

impact

As well as extreme weather events, the impact of more gradual climate change on each

Council department should be considered further

Develop protocols for responding to extreme weather events for each department identifying

common approaches where possible

Consider training of back up staff who would be available for emergencies

Consider the provision of facilities to allow for home working by key staff, coupled with a

review of carer‟s leave arrangements

Establish a monitoring database system to record the impact of weather events; to be used

across all departments. The database should be able to capture all activities and their

associated costs when dealing with a weather related event. Examples of categories for

possible inclusion are creation of an events log, recording of manpower costs (including

overtime payments), equipment costs (including hire costs), loss or damage to vehicles,

buildings, staff injury, insurance claims and consequent premium increases

Develop further formal partnerships with external agencies, with clear protocols and

responsibilities during extreme weather events

Identify all the vulnerable groups and areas potentially at risk during extreme weather

events

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Conduct follow up meetings with all those involved in the interview process to begin work on

an adaptation process

Use LCLIP findings to make the case for current and future adaptation, to create the

capacity for the development of an adaptation strategy or climate change action plan looking

at future risks and opportunities.

CIEH Northern Ireland Omagh District Council

123 York Street Belfast BT15 1AB The Grange, Mountjoy Road, Omagh, BT79 7BL

Telephone 028 9024 3883 Tel. 028 82245321/82256202

Email : [email protected] Email: [email protected]

www.cieh-nireland.org www.omagh.gov.uk