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LOA University:
Planning, Programming, Budgeting, and Execution (PPBE)
and
Congress
Roberta Tomasini Professor of Financial Management
Defense Acquisition [email protected]
703-805-3764
PPBE and Congress Outline
• PB 17 (8)
• PPBE (4)– PPBE Phases
– PPBE Process and Schedule
• Congressional Enactment
2
$490
$470
$510
$610
$590
$570
$550
$530
FY10 FY11 FY12FY13FY 10-11-12 ActualsFY 2015 PBCurrent Caps
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21FY 2013 PB/DSGFY 2017 PB
FY 2016 PBOriginal BCA Caps
Original BCA Caps
PB 17 vs Current Caps and Prior Budgets(Dollars in Billions)
3
How we hit the lower FY 2017 topline(Dollars in Billions)
-$25
-$20
-$15
-$10
-$5
$0
$5
$10
FY 2017
$+5.0B
$-21.8B
Net C
ut to
Base B
ud
get
Gross BBA cut
OCO Relief$-16.8B
New Efficiencies,$-0.4B
Inflation Savings,$-2.4B
Net Program changes,$-11.2B
Fuel Savings,$-2.8B
Comparison to FY 2016 PB Plan for FY 2017 4
Cuts to hit the lower FY 2017 Topline
• We will procure fewer weapons systems than planned:– 9 AH-64 Apache helicopters (Army)– 24 UH-60 Blackhawk helicopters (Army)– 5 F-35 A Joint Strike Fighters– 2 V-22 aircraft (Navy)– 3 C-130J aircraft (Air Force)– 4 LCAC Service Life Extension Programs (Navy)– 77 Joint Light Tactical Vehicles (Marine Corps)
• Aircraft procurement accounts reduced $4.4 billion• Shipbuilding reduced $1.75 billion• Other procurement accounts reduced $2.6 billion• Reduce plans for new military construction projects by $1.1
billion
Comparison to FY 2016 PB Plan for FY 2017 5
FY 2017 Base Funding
Army$122.9
Navy$155.4
Air Force$151.
1
Defense Wide$94.5
FY 2017 Request: $523.9 billion
By Appropriation Title By Military Department
RDT&E,$71.4
Military Construction and Family Housing,
$7.4
Procurement,$102.5
Military Personnel,
$135.2
O&M,$205.8
6
FY 2017 OCO Funding
Army$25.0
Navy$9.5
Air Force 15.8
Defense Wide$8.5
FY 2017 Request: $58.8 billion
By Appropriation Title By Military Department
RDT&E, $.3Military Construction and Family Housing,
$7.4Military
Personnel,$3.5
Procurement,$9.5
O&M,$45.0
7
FY 2017 Total Base and OCO Funding
Army$148.0
Navy$164.8
Air Force$166.
9
Defense Wide
$102.9
FY 2017 Request: $582.7 billion
By Appropriation Title By Military Department
RDT&E,$71.7
Military Construction and Family Housing,
$7.6
Procurement,$112.0
MilitaryPersonnel,
$138.5
O&M,$250.9
8
9
Secretary Carter’s Priorities for This Budget
• Given the current level of budget resources ($800B in Budget Control Act cuts), wecan’t reduce all risk. Instead, the Department must:– Prioritize conventional deterrence against our most advanced adversaries
– Focus more on the shape than the size of the force
o Seek the best balance between force structure (size), modernization (capability) andreadiness
o Emphasize lethality and capability of the force rather than size
o Emphasize posture rather than presence
– Emphasize innovation
o Attracting, retaining, and managing talent (Force of the Future)
o Update war plans and operational concepts
o Pursue “offset” technologies
o Institutional efficiency and reform
“Today’s security environment is dramatically different … and itrequires new ways of thinking and new ways of acting”
Secretary Carter, February 2, 2016
10
FY 2017 Force Structure
• Force structure assessed sufficient to execute the strategy
• Major elements include:
– 14 SSBNs, 450 ICBMs
– 96 Operational Bombers (154 total)
– 287-ship Navy with 11 Carriers in FY 2017
• (Building to a 308-ship Navy)
– 54+1 Tactical fighter squadrons
– 990k Army Total End Strength (460k Active)
• (30 Active BCTs in FY 2017)
– 221k Marine Corps Total End Strength (182k Active)
FY 2017 Force Structure Sufficient to Execute Strategy
PPBE Phases
• Planning (OSD Policy) – Assess capabilities / review threat– Develop guidance
• Programming (OSD CAPE)– Turn guidance into achievable, affordable packages– Five-year program (Future Years Defense Program)
• Budgeting (OSD Comptroller)– Test for efficient funds execution – Scrub budget year– Prepare defensible budget
• Execution Review (concurrent with program/budget review)– Develop performance metrics– Assess actual output against planned performance– Adjust resources to achieve desired performance goals
11
Future Years Defense Program (FYDP)
• Computer Database Maintained by OSD CAPE
• Contains Approved Force Structure and Resources for all Defense Programs
• Updated 3 Times this PPBE Cycle:– Program Objectives Memorandum (POM) – Jun– Budget Estimate Submission (BES) Dec – President’s Budget (PB) - TBD
• Reflects PY, CY, BY, + 4 Out-Years
3 additional years for force structure only
• Component PPBE databases• Navy: PBIS
• Air Force : ABIDES
• Army: PROBE
19 20 21 22181716
12
CIA – Central Intelligence AgencyCOCOM – Combatant CommanderCPR – Chairman’s Program RecommendationDIA – Defense Intelligence AgencyDPG – Defense Planning GuidanceJCS – Joint Chiefs of StaffNDS – National Defense StrategyNMS – National Military StrategyNSS – National Security StrategyOSD – Office of the Secretary of DefenseQDR – Quadrennial Defense ReviewSCMR – Strategic Choices and Management ReviewUSD(P) – Undersecretary of Defense (Policy)
APR/MAY
PPBE Process – Planning Phase Lead by USD (P)
PresidentNational Security CouncilCIA/DIA/JCS/OSD
(JCS,COCOMs,
SERVICES)
NMS
DPG
NSS
Planning Phase focus:
• Threat vs. Capabilities• Update strategy• Guidance for programming & budgeting
NDSOSDLevel
JCSLevel
QDR
FEB/MAR
CPR
Every 4 Years
Guidance for POM/BES submission and OSD Integrated Program/Budget Review
YEAR 1 YEAR 2Elapsed Time: 15-16 Months
Feb 16 Fiscal Guidance
27-30 Jun 16 Component POM Briefs to 3-Stars
30 Jun 16 Component POM Submissions Due (Line item/PE level of detail)
29 Jul 16 Issue Nominations Due
15 Aug 16 Issue Nomination Disposition
15 Aug–10 Nov 16 Program Review
10 Nov 16 PDMs
1 Dec 16 BES due to OSD
1 Dec 16 Budget Justification Material due to OSD
Dec 16 – Jan 17 Budget Review
TBD PBDs
TBD Budget Lock
TBD President’s Budget Released
Source: Joint CAPE & USD(C) memo dated 26 Feb 2016
FY 18–22 Program/Budget Review Schedule
14
Version 3.4, 11-3-15 15
Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct
President’s Budget toCongress
BUDGETRESOLUTION
AUTHORIZATION
APPROPRIATION
HBC
SBC
HAC
SAC
HASC
SASC
HEARINGS
MARKUPS
CONFCONCURRENTRESOLUTION
HEARINGS
MARKUPS
HEARINGS MARKUPS
HEARINGS MARKUPS
FLOOR
FLOOR
FLOOR
FLOOR
CONF
FLOOR
FLOOR
HEARINGS MARKUPS FLOOR
CONF
FLOOR
HEARINGS MARKUPS FLOOR FLOOR
Authorizations Act
Notional Enactment Process and Timeline
Appropriations Act
Version 3.4, 11-3-15
Backups
16
Key PPBE Action Officers
• AIR FORCE: Program Element Monitor ( PEM )– Works for Air Force SAE (SAF/AQ)– Each Air Force program element is assigned a PEM– Interfaces with Using Commands, Material Command, Air Staff, Air Secretariat, OSD, and
sometimes Congress– A PEM may be responsible for more than one program element
• ARMY: Department of Army Systems Coordinator (DASC)– Works for Army SAE (ASA/ALT)– Interfaces with Using Commands, Developing Commands, Army Staff, Army Secretariat, OSD,
and Congress
• NAVY: Requirements Officer ( RO )– Works for resource sponsor on OPNAV staff (e.g., Navy Aviation resource sponsor is N98)– Interfaces with Using Commands, Systems/Developing Commands, OPNAV Staff, Navy
Secretariat, and OSD
USD (Comptroller)DAU – EPMC 15-05
FY 2017 budget – Some Significant Items• S&T @ $12.5 billion (2.4% of TOA)• 63 F-35 - $10.5 billion: F-35A (43); F-35B (16); F-35C (4) (FYDP: $59B)• 10 new warships - $20.2 billion (2 SSN; 2 DDG; 2 LCS; 1 LHD; 3
others)• Cyber capabilities - $6.8 billion (up from $5.5B)• Rotary Lift aircraft - $6.7 billion• Unmanned Systems - $3.2 billion• Long Range Strike Bomber - $1.4 billion ($12.1 billion in the FYDP)• Space Programs - $7.0 billion (zero satellites)• Ground Vehicles - $4.1 billion• Ammunition - $5.0 billion (up from $3.9 billion)• Precision Guided Missiles - $2.3 billion• Ballistic Missile Defense - $9.1 billion (MDA @ $7.5 billion)• Ohio Replacement Program - $1.9 billion ($13.2 billion in the FYDP)• Nuclear Enterprise - $6.1 billion (of which $1.6 billion went to NNSA)
12
PB 2017 Focus on Technology Innovation• Funds science and technology to further innovation (FY 2017, $12.5 billion;
FYDP, $65.0 billion)
• Creates new connections with commercial sector– Establishing experimental defense innovation units
– IN-Q-TEL
• Funds innovative “offset technologies” to bolster conventional deterrence (FYDP, $18B). Examples:– Assured positioning, navigation and timing
– Large displacement unmanned undersea vehicles
– High speed strike weapons
– Arsenal plane
– Hypersonics
– Low-cost unmanned systems
– High-Velocity Projectiles from “powder guns”
DoD needs to accelerate delivering new capabilities
(Quantities/Dollars in Billions)
• Shipbuilding
• Space
Major Investments in the FY 2017 Budget
Requires Funding in 5-Year Plan + FY 2017 OCO*Includes Base + OCO Procurement and RDT&E Funding 11
• Aircraft FY 2017 FYDP
F-35 Joint Strike Fighter (USAF, USMC, USN) 63/$10.1 404/$56.3F/A-18 (Navy) 2/$0.4 16/$2.2KC-46 Tanker Replacement (Air Force) 15/$3.1 75/$15.7AH-64E Apache helicopters (Army) 52/$1.1 275/$5.6MQ-9 Reaper 24/$1.1 24/$3.9
Virginia Class submarines (Navy) 2/$5.2 9/$29.4
DDG-51 AEGIS Destroyers (Navy) 2/$3.4 10/$18.3Littoral Combat ships (Navy) 2/$1.3 7/$5.6
Evolved Expendable Launch Vehicle (Air Force) 5/$1.8 23/$9.4Global Positioning System (Air Force) --/$0.8 10/$5.6
FY 15
DJJ F M A M J A S O NJJ F M A M J A S O N D JJ F M A M J A S O N D
FY14 Cycle
Execution
FY 14 and prior
FY15 Cycle
Program/Budgeting Execution
FY 16
FY16 Cycle
FY17Cycle
Planning
CY14 CY15 CY16
Enactment Execution
FY 15 and prior
Enactment
FY 17
Planning
2nd Yr
2nd Yr
2nd
Enactment
FY18Cycle
3rd Yr
3rd Yr
FY 16 and prior
FY 17-21 DPG
Exec
FY17 & prior
Planning
Program/Budgeting
Program/Budgeting
PB – President’s Budget
FY 16-20DPG
Resource Allocation Process Overlap
FY 18-22 DPG
FY 17-21 POMFY 17 BES
FY 16-20 POMFY 16 BES
PB
PB
PB
DPG – Defense Planning Guidance
FY 18-22 POMFY 18 BES
BES – Budget Estimate Submission POM – Program Objectives Memorandum
• FY 16 (Base) Revised Security Revised Non-Security– Current Law (BCA 2011) $523B $493B– Revised Cap (BBA 2015) $548B $518B– Delta +$25B +$25B
• FY 17 (Base)– Current Law (BCA 2011) $536B $504B– Revised Cap (BBA 2015) $551B $519B– Delta +$15B +$15B
• Total Federal Govt Discretionary Base increase $80B (FY 16 $50B; FY 17 $30B)• Defense
– FY 16 Base -$12B (PB 16 $534B - $522B BBA 2015)– FY 16 OCO +$7B (PB 16 $52B - $59B BBA 2015)– FY 16 Net -$5B– FY 17 Base -$21B (PB 16 $547B - $526B BBA 2015)– FY 17 OCO +$2B (PB 16 $57B - $59B BBA 2015)– FY 17 Net -$19B
22
Bipartisan Budget Act of 2015
• Debt ceiling suspended until March 2017
• Revenue sources:– Tightening tax rules for business relationships– Selling off crude oil reserve– Auctioning off government controlled wireless spectrums
• Spending adjustments– Make changes to Medicare and Social Security
23
Bipartisan Budget Act of 2015 Cont.
PPBE – Program/Budget Submission/Review
Components/Defense Agencies
BESPBMBIAdv Questions/
OSD/OMB Budget Hearings
Yr 2 JUL SEP
Year 3 JAN/FEBOCT
Issue Resolution
SECDEF/DEPSECDEFSLRG & DMAGPOM
OSD/CAPE
CPA
DECNOV
JCS
USD(C) &OMB
BES – Budget Estimate SubmissionCAPE – Cost Assessment & Prgm EvaluationCOCOM – Combatant CommanderCPA – Chairman’s Program AssessmentDMAG – Deputy’s Management Action GroupFYDP – Future Years Defense ProgramMBI – Major Budget IssuesOMB – Office of Management and BudgetPB – President’s BudgetPOM – Program Objectives MemorandumRMD – Resource Management DecisionSLRG – Senior Leader Review Group
FYDPUpdate
FYDP Update
3-Star Group
Program Review focus:• Compliance with DPG
IssueTeams
Budget Review focus: - Pricing - Phasing - Funding policies - Budget execution
RMDs
Services / PEO / PM Answer / Reclama
DoD“Large Group”
FYDPUpdate
13
FY 2017 Budget Supports• Planned force structure levels
• Service readiness recovery plans
• A safe, secure and reliable nuclear force at New START levels
• Force of the Future initiatives
• Modernization:– DDG modernization and SSN upgrades
– Surface ship advanced munitions and sensor technologies
– Investment in space capabilities
– Hypersonic research and development
– Cyber tools for Combatant Commanders
– Army aviation modernization plan
– Marine Corps vehicle modernization plan
• Key reform proposals (e.g., TRICARE)
PPBE Overview (3/3):“Will Cost” vs “Should Cost”USD (AT&L) and USD(C) 22 Apr 11 Memo
• Will Cost• Used for programming and budgeting• Used for acquisition program baselines (APBs)• Used for all reporting requirements external to DoD
• Should Cost• Scrutinize every element of government and contractor costs• 3 ways to develop should cost estimates:
• Bottoms –Up estimate• Determine specific discrete and measurable items• Use competitive contracting and contract negotiations to identify
should cost savings (old FAR definition)
26
PROGRAM ELEMENT (PE): Smallest aggregation of resources normally controlled by OSD- PE NUMBER: Used to track and identify resources; seven digit number followed by an alphabetic suffix
• PROGRAM 2 ( GENERAL PURPOSE FORCES ) 0203752A - Aircraft Engine CIP 0204136N - F/A-18 Squadrons 0207163F - AMRAAM
• PROGRAM 3 ( C3, INTEL & Space) 0303158A - Joint Command and Control Program (JC2)0307207N - Aerial Common Sensor (ACS)0305164F - NAVSTAR GPS (User Equipment)
A - ARMY
N - NAVY
M - MARINE
F - AF
D - OSD
C - MDA
E - DARPA
J - JCS
S - DLA
BB - SOCOM
DBD - DFAS
A - ARMY
N - NAVY
M - MARINE
F - AF
D - OSD
C - MDA
E - DARPA
J - JCS
S - DLA
BB - SOCOM
DBD - DFAS
Ref: DoD 7045.7 - H
PPBE Building Blocks (3/3) Program Elements
27
DOD COMPONENTS
Strategic Forces
General Purpose Forces
Command, Control, Comm, Intell & Space
Mobility Forces
Guard & Reserve Forces
Research and Development
Central Supply & Maintenance
Training, Medical, & Other Personnel Activities
Administration and Associated Activities
Support of Other Nations
Special Operations Forces
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
(6)
(7)
(8)
(9)
(10)
(11)
Procu
rem
ent
Military
Constru
ctio
n
Militar
y Per
sonnel
Ops & M
ainte
nance
Other
NAVY
DEF AGENCIES
OTHER
DOD APPROPRIATIONS
AIR FORCE
ARMY
RDT&E
MAJOR FORCE
PROGRAMS
PPBE Building Blocks (2/3) Future Years Defense Program (FYDP)
28
Planning, Programming, Budgeting and Execution
Joint CapabilitiesIntegration andDevelopment System (JCIDS)
DefenseAcquisitionSystem
PPBE Overview (1/8) Three Major DoD Management Systems
QDR QDR
29
Senior Leader Review GroupAKA “The Large Group”
• Secretary of Defense• Deputy Secretary of Defense• Secretary or Under Secretary of the Army• Secretary or Under Secretary of the Navy• Secretary or Under Secretary of Air Force• Chairman Joint Chiefs of Staff• Vice Chairman Joint Chiefs of Staff• Under Secretary of Defense (AT&L)*• Under Secretary of Defense (Policy)*• Under Secretary of Defense (Comptroller) /Chief Financial Officer*• Under Secretary of Defense (Intelligence)*• Under Secretary of Defense (P&R)*• Commandant or Assistant Commandant
of the Marine Corps• Director of Administration and Management
• Chief or Vice Chief of Staff of the Army
• Chief or Vice Chief of Naval Operations
• Chief of Staff or Vice Chief of the AirForce• General Counsel• ASD (Legislative Affairs)• ASD (Networks & InformationIntegration/Chief Information Officer• ASD for Public Affairs• Director, Cost Assessment and
ProgramEvaluation• Director, Joint Staff• Deputy Chief Management Officer• Chief, National Guard Bureau* Or Principal Deputy
30
OSD Budget Review - Micro Level
• Phasing– Development to Production (Concurrency)– Schedules: Acq Milestones, Testing, Contract Award– First/Fourth Quarter new starts are at risk
• Pricing– Basis of Estimates for programs and Cost Exhibits– Contract data– Inflation, Learning curves, Production rates, Unit costs
• Policy - Annual, Incremental and Full funding• Execution - likelihood budget request can be
executed– Historical (3-5 years) track record– Obligation Rates, Expenditure Rates– Availability of prior year funds for budget year efforts
31
Defense Appropriations“Colors of Money”
RDT&E
PROC
MILPERS
O&M
MILCON
Military Personnel (MILPERS) Active & Reserve Forces
Operation & Maintenance (O&M) Active & Reserve Forces (civilian Salaries, supplies, spares, fuels, travel, etc…) Environmental Restoration Former Soviet Union Threat Reduction Overseas Humanitarian, Disaster, & Civic Aid
Procurement Aircraft Missiles Weapons Weapons & Tracked Combat Vehicles Ammunition Other Procurement Shipbuilding & Conversion Marine Corps Defense wide procurement National Guard & Reserves
Research, Development, Test &Evaluation (RDT&E) Basic Research Applied Research Advanced Technology Development Advanced Component Development & Prototypes System Development & Demonstration RDT&E Management Support Operational Systems Development
Military Construction (MILCON) Facilities Family Housing Base Realignment & Closure (BRAC)
Other Defense Health Program Chemical Agents & Munitions Destruction Drug Interdiction & Counter-Drug Activities Joint Improvised Explosive Device Defeat Fund Rapid Acquisition Fund Office of the Inspector General 32
Life CycleCost
ICE
FiscalEnvironment
CostAnalysis
Estimate
AnnualFunding
IncrementalFunding
MFP PE BESFunding Policies
Planning, Programming,Budgeting and Execution
President’sBudget
Commitment Reprogramming
Budget Authority Obligation Expenditure Outlay
BudgetExecution
Congressional Enactment
Force StructureModernizationOperational CapabilityReadinessSustainability
POE
CCA
SAC SASC SBC HAC HASC HBC
DoD Budget Overview (1/4)FM Scope: From Requirement to Capability
OperationalConcept
AoA
Capabilities-Based
Assessment
Feedback
CAIV
FullFunding
(Exceptions)
FYDP DPG POM RMD
Acquisition Program Baseline
BudgetResolution
Authorization
& Appropriation Laws
Capability Docs
33