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EUtQp@ATO(Alwayskeep our base secure)

April 30,2002

SUBJECT: COUNTRIES FOR U.SJDODTO EMPHASIZE - AND WHY

1\UxiedfCanada - Homeland security depends on ourneighbootbeingreasonably successful politically, economically and orderly and helpful from asecurity standppint. . ... i. /; rM f.,'6ti It::' -!-J::' " 'l 1u,..tiVf t -U_ ."J, 1"'/. . J ......Central/South America - We can't tolerate extremis ormass diso{def -:}o.f:i-u.h\ I.._

""H.. I7't-Y u;Italy - Government is leaning ourway; can help counter EU et.al; can assistinmoving NATO and Europe in the right direction.Norway -same as Italy.UK- U.S. special relationship - it is helpful.Poland -Can be the NATO transformation centerpiece and help shiftNATO's weight east; special relationship with Ukraine; is realistic aboutRussia from experience.Spain - Need one or two more countries in NATO and Europe to be helpful;U.$.basingin Spain is important.

- Lo.rdROllertsoncan be helpful. ... '- - - . Other? f .... jl)t\4.VV UJi . fV ' I::VVV. .nt- d .

El\st Asia (Needed to favorably affect PRC's entry into the world)Japan .... The single most important factor to moderate China's behavior is asuccessful Japan, with a booming economy. U.S. must focus to help make ithappen.Korea - North Korea will collapse or get pushed one day. A united Koreawill have a period ofyears copingwith the disaster in North Korea, butthereafter it will have a powerful economy and can help serve, with Japan, asa moderating influence on China.Australia - A special relationship; valued location.

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Declassified By Ch RDD,ESDWHS .IAW EO 12958 as amendedSep 18, 2008

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Slnaapore - In our camp; with same geo-strategic views.Vl.etnam? - Could help to moderate the PRC; important location.Other?

Muslim NitiQI), (So many nations with somanypeople, with amix ofhannful views andreal needs - they cannot be ignored; we need to work to create some successful models.)Turkey - A democracy and aMuslim success; we must help keep it so.Pakistan -.Apotential"poster boy" for theMuslimworld; we must help.Indonesia - Too bigwith too many people to ignore; has serious extremistproblem.Jordan- A friend, with the right instincts; we must help it survive.Egypt - Still a leader in theMuslim world.

SQU1l1 A.sia (Large populations)India - A democracy and aMuslim success; we must help keep itso.

Csrntral Asia-(Evolving, looking for counterweight to Russia and PRC; enormousenergy potential, secular muslims v. religious extremism)Kazakhstan - Big; oil-rich; leading ourway; see theU.S. as counterbalanceto PRC and Russia.AZjerbaijan - Friendly, potential as war on forward operating baseKyrgyzstan - Friendly.lJzb.ldstan - concerned aboutRussia, has chosen the U.S.Afghanistan - A potential liability; U.S. has a stake in it not failing.

Declassified By Ch RI>. ...fAW EO 12958 D,ESDWHSSep 18, 2008 as amendedDHRlazn043002.5.01

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08-M-3282