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Liquidity Risk – Regulatory Framework London, 8 th August 2006 Vincent Baritsch Wholesale and Prudential Policy Division UK Financial Services Authority

Liquidity Risk – Regulatory Framework London, 8 th August 2006 Vincent Baritsch Wholesale and Prudential Policy Division UK Financial Services Authority

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Liquidity Risk – Regulatory Framework

London, 8th August 2006

Vincent Baritsch Wholesale and Prudential Policy Division

UK Financial Services Authority

Overview• Current FSA regimes

– Qualitative

– Quantitative

• Problems

• FSA ideas for change and DP24

• International developments

• Challenges

Liquidity Risk – Regulatory Issues

Stress testing and contingency funding plans – SYSC 11 applying to all CRD firms

• New requirements in force since end-2004, amended for CRD

• Apply to deposit-takers, insurers, all BIPRU investment firms

• A firm must carry out stress tests and scenario analyses for liquidity risk …

• … and must estimate the resources it would need in each of the scenarios considered

• Depends on “nature, scale, and complexity” of a firm’s business

• Considerations for branches and subsidiaries

Liquidity Risk – Regulatory Issues

GENPRU 1.2 – Adequacy of financial resources

• Applies to all BIPRU firms

• Maintain adequate liquidity resources to cover all liabilities, including contingent and prospective liabilities

• Realistic valuation methodologies

• Stress testing and CPF’s

• Manage major sources or risks, including liquidity risk

• Document risk assessments

Liquidity Risk – Regulatory Issues

Deposit-takers

• Deposit-takers must maintain a policy statement on liquidity management

– Should cover both normal and crisis management

– Should include details of the bank’s contingency funding plan

Liquidity Risk – Regulatory Issues

Existing FSA quantitative banking regimes

(1) ‘Sterling stock’ regime for major retail banks

(2) Maturity mismatch approach for other banks

Liquidity Risk – Regulatory Issues

Existing regimes: sterling stock • Five working day survival period

• Assumes no renewal of wholesale funding, outflow of 5% of retail deposits

• Covers sterling cash flows only

• Net outflows must be covered 100% by a stock of high-quality liquid assets

– defined as those eligible in Bank of England Open Market Operations

• Some allowance for holdings of other banks’ CDs

• Additionally, agreed floor for the stock (£ amount, not ratio) – ‘belt and braces’

• Consolidated reporting

Liquidity Risk – Regulatory Issues

Existing regimes: mismatch (1)• Applies to UK banks (solo) including all overseas

branches, and to UK branches of overseas banks

• Contractual cash flows (worst case) allocated to maturity bands

• Mismatch ratio for each time band calculated as net cash flow / total deposits

• Individual limits set on cumulative mismatch ratios out to 1 week and 1 month

• Quarterly reporting but daily requirement – breaches to be notified to FSA immediately

Liquidity Risk – Regulatory Issues

Existing regimes: mismatch (2)• Marketable assets assumed to deliver cash inflows on

sale/ repo rather than maturity

– Normally within the 1 week time band

– Minimum criteria include – • Prices regularly quoted• Asset regularly traded• Can be sold or repo’d on an exchange or in a deep and liquid

market for cash

– Subject to a range of discounts according to volatility, eg • 0 – 10% for Zone A central government debt• 5 – 15% for ‘qualifying’ Zone A non-government debt• 20% for equities listed on a recognised exchange• 20 – 50% for certain Zone B securities

Liquidity Risk – Regulatory Issues

Existing regimes: mismatch (3)

• FSA can agree ‘behavioural adjustments’ on some cash flows. Eg -

– reduces outflow on undrawn credit card commitments from 100% to 75%

– inflow allowed of 90% of committed lines received

• ‘Global liquidity concessions’ possible for overseas branches

– FSA to be satisfied with home country liquidity supervision

– Branch integrated with head office

– Home supervisor happy with the arrangement

Liquidity Risk – Regulatory Issues

Investment Firms regimes

• Illiquid assets either deducted from capital, or 8% charge (on top of market risk charges) + liquidity adjustments

• Aim is to promote orderly winding down in a crisis by ensuring sufficient liquid resources are available

Liquidity Risk – Regulatory Issues

Problems with the Sterling Stock regime

• Focus is on the immediate, first week period;

• No general requirements in relation to the non-sterling parts of firms' business;

• Relatively limited set of assets qualifying as part of the stock and has some undesirable behavioural and market-structural consequences; and

• Double duty of regulatory stock of sterling liquid assets with intra-day collateral needs for payment systems

Liquidity Risk – Regulatory Issues

Problems with the Mismatch regime

• Increasingly divergent from banks LRM;

• Discount factors and hair cuts applied to instruments are based on limited criteria;

• Is not tailored for different kinds of firm; and

• Marketable assets allowed are based on potentially outdated material.

Liquidity Risk – Regulatory Issues

Problems with investment firms regime

• Illiquid asset regime / liquidity adjustment relatively penal and not risk sensitive

• For many firms changes resulting from CRD may mean no effective liquidity buffers, except those from P2

• Unlevel playing field

Liquidity Risk – Regulatory Issues

FSA ideas for change

• FSA Discussion Paper 24 – October 2003

• DP, ie ‘greener’ than a Consultation Paper

• To be part of FSA’s integrated prudential sourcebook

– FSA as the single regulator

• All firms with significant liquidity risk – and all areas of business giving rise to risk

• Shortcomings in predecessor regimes

Liquidity Risk – Regulatory Issues

DP24 – main principles

• Maturity ladder with stressed cash flows

• Stress factors to approximate stress behaviour

• Limits on 1 week and 1 month gaps

• Normally solo, but recognition of groups

Liquidity Risk – Regulatory Issues

DP24 – main principles (2)

• Scope for some firms to use own approaches

• Embedded “Core Marketable Assets Requirement”

• No more “double duty”

Liquidity Risk – Regulatory Issues

DP24 Feedback

Generally agreed with –

• Need for reform

• Focus on cash flow mismatch

• Integrated approach

• Scope for group treatment

Liquidity Risk – Regulatory Issues

DP24 Feedback (2)

Concerns –

• Attempting a standard stress

• Including stress in quantitative approach

• Level of detail, degree of prescription

• Too little room for firms’ own approaches

Liquidity Risk – Regulatory Issues

DP24 Feedback (3)

More concerns – • Insufficient allowance for group-wide

management of liquidity risk

– Firms don’t like solo requirements within ILGs

– Does not fit well with central liquidity management – “trapped pockets of liquidity”

– Problem of standardising intra-group flows

Liquidity Risk – Regulatory Issues

DP24 Feedback (4)

Yet more concerns -

• Requirement for core marketable assets

• Impact of ending double duty

• Investment firms unhappy –

– too banking-oriented

– and not flexible enough

Liquidity Risk – Regulatory Issues

DP24 Feedback (5)

Other concerns –• Treatment of marketable assets• “Continuation of business”

– Some don’t like whole concept– Many concerns about debt buyback assumptions– Should not assume new wholesale placements

• Concerns about currency treatment

Liquidity Risk – Regulatory Issues

After DP24 – where next?

• Wait and see what international work brings

• Why do we need a Pillar 1 approach?

• Pillar 2 and/ or Pillar 3?

Liquidity Risk – Regulatory Issues

Bank of England reform of its operations in the Money Market

Liquidity Risk – Regulatory Issues

International context• Qualitative

– Basel Committee paper on sound practices for managing liquidity in banks (2000)

– IOSCO - Sound Practices for the Management of Liquidity Risk at Securities Firms 2002-

– IAIS – Guidance Paper on Investment Risk Management, 2004

– CRD (Capital Requirements Directive) Annex V to be implemented across the EEA

• Quantitative – no agreed international standard

Liquidity Risk – Regulatory Issues

International developments

• Joint Forum Working Group on Risk Assessment and Capital

– Looking at how firms manage the funding of liquidity risk and how it is regulated

– Stage 1 (2004) drew on regulators’ existing knowledge

– Stage 2 (2005) filled in gaps in knowledge with a detailed questionnaire for firms

– Range of Practices Paper published on the 3rd May 2006 http://www.bis.org/publ/joint16.pdf

Liquidity Risk – Regulatory Issues

Joint Forum results (1)

• Diversity of approaches across sectors• Centralisation – range of practices

– Across entities/ countries/ sectors• Diversity of approaches within sector• Main sources of liquidity risk

– reliance on volatile or concentrated sources of funding

– rating triggers

Liquidity Risk – Regulatory Issues

Joint Forum results (2)• Stress testing

– Firm-specific vs. general

– How severe?

• Contingency funding plans

– Reliance on secured funding

• Impact of regulation

– Liquidity rules in each jurisdiction

– Limits on intra-group flows

Liquidity Risk – Regulatory Issues

The future

• Lessons from DP24

• Basel Committee

– International Standards?

• EU involvement

• Balance in a proportionate way –

– Efficiency of firms’ own approaches

– Benefits of harmonisation

– Prudential concerns

Liquidity Risk – Regulatory Issues

European work - WGBD

• Re-assess major groups LRM

• Focus on potential impact on financial stability and cross-border banking activities

• Report early 2007

Liquidity Risk – Regulatory Issues

International work – Basel Committee

• New WG

• Mandate:

– Analytical stock take

– Sharing of supervisory experience

• No presumption of new standards

Liquidity Risk – Regulatory Issues

Challenges for FSA

• Promote compatibility of international approaches

• Understanding of internal models and how they could be used

• Need for simple back stop?• Ensure sectoral comparability• Group implications• Pillar 2 / Pillar 3

Liquidity Risk – Regulatory Issues

Questions?

[email protected]

Tel: 020-7066-0526

Fax: 020-7066-0527

Liquidity Risk – Regulatory Issues

Existing regimes: other

Building societies

• Must hold ‘8 day liquidity’ > 3.5% of total share and deposit liabilities

• 8 day liquidity includes CDs, CP, bank deposits

• Limits on inter-society holdings

Liquidity Risk – Regulatory Issues

Bank of England reform of its operations in the Money Market

Overview

• Voluntary remunerated reserve scheme

• Standing facilities

Liquidity Risk – Regulatory Issues

Voluntary reserve scheme – LRM benefits

• Secure repository – Highly rated

• Liquidity buffer

• Double duty

Liquidity Risk – Regulatory Issues

Standing Facilities – LRM benefits

• Ability to borrow unlimited amounts against eligible collateral

• Major role in banks CFP’s

Liquidity Risk – Regulatory Issues

References

• Sterling stock and mismatch regimes – See Chapters LS and LM in

http://fsahandbook.info/FSA/html/handbook/IPRU-BANK

• Stress testing and CFPs– See sections GENPRU 1.2 and SYSC 11 in

http://www.fsa.gov.uk/pages/library/policy/cp/2006/06_13.shtml

Liquidity Risk – Regulatory Issues

Other regimes

• Building societies regime– See Chapter 5 in

http://fsahandbook.info/FSA/html/handbook/IPRU-BSOC

• Securities firms regime– See sections 10-60 to 10-74 in

http://fsahandbook.info/FSA/html/handbook/IPRU-INV

Liquidity Risk – Regulatory Issues