AgendaUpdate on Population Growth

and Enrollment Projections

Process and Recommendations for the Select Facilities Study

Review of Existing and Additional CIP Projects

Costs and Timeline

Discussion

Update on Population

Growth and Enrollment Projections

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Enrollment Projection Components

Trend data by school (Cohort

Model)Housing Data

Internal Choice

(Including Virtual)

External Choice (Charter,

Homeschool, Private)

Demographic Changes Birth Trends Program or

Boundary Changes Future Planning Considerations

Economic Factors

Greenville County and Greenville County School District Population

Note: 1980 and 1990 does not include Pre-K students. Additionally, Greenville County School District’s attendance boundary incorporates sections of Laurens and Spartanburg Counties.

Greenville County Population Source: U.S. Census Bureau

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Greenville County Population 2000, 2010 and 2019 with Age Breakdown

Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey

POPULATION PERCENT POPULATION PERCENT POPULATION PERCENTAGE 2000 OF TOTAL 2010 OF TOTAL 2019 OF TOTAL AGE

UNDER 5 25,655 6.8% 31,498 7.0% 31,988 6.1% UNDER 5

AGE 5-17 67,729 17.8% 78,058 17.2% 88,080 16.8% AGE 5-17

AGE 18-21 21,422 5.6% 24,234 5.4% 25,577 4.9% AGE 18-21

AGE 22-29 42,975 11.3% 49,042 10.8% 56,770 10.8% AGE 22-29

AGE 30-39 60,110 15.8% 63,354 14.0% 73,141 14.0% AGE 30-39

AGE 40-49 57,943 15.3% 63,995 14.1% 64,622 12.3% AGE 40-49

AGE 50-64 59,209 15.6% 84,591 18.7% 99,022 18.9% AGE 50-64

AGE 65-UP 44,573 11.7% 58,087 12.8% 84,342 16.1% AGE 65-UP

TOTAL 379,616 452,859 523,542 TOTAL

Housing - Single-Family Building Permits

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Note: GCSD Planning Department estimates a yield of 0.4 students per single-family unit

Housing - Multi-Family Building Permits

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Note: GCSD Planning Department estimates a yield of 0.2 students per multi-family unit

Subdivisions Remaining with Lots to be Built by High School

High #Subdivisions Lots to GoZone 1

Berea 5 191Travelers Rest 27 1,907Wade Hampton 7 344

Zone 2Blue Ridge 19 1,272Eastside 6 209Greer 18 1,455Riverside 14 867

Zone 3Carolina 2 51Greenville 5 87JL Mann 14 976

Zone 4Fountain Inn 20 2,353Hillcrest 28 2,437Mauldin 11 456

Zone 5Southside 20 3,301Woodmont 34 2,882

Total 230 18,788

Multi-FamilyDevelopments

Since 2014(20,100 Total Units)

-Constructed

-Permitted and Under Construction

-Submitted, Planned, or Filed

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South Carolina Public Charter School DistrictNotes: East Link Academy (Chinese Immersion School) opened for 2018-19 school year with students in PK-4th grade and will add a grade yearly through 8th grade.

Quest Charter closed prior to the 2019-20 school year

Berea Early College was approved to open for the 2021-22 school year but has deferred to open until the 2022-23 school year. It is anticipated they will likely serve grades 4K-12th at full buildout.

GREEN of Five Forks was approved to open for the 2021-22 school year but has deferred to open until the 2022-23 school year. It is anticipated the school will open with 5K-6th and will add a grade yearly through 12th grade at full buildout. Berea Early College and GREEN of Five Forks are replications of existing schools in Greenville.

LEAD Academy was approved by the Greenville County Board of Zoning Appeals on September 9, 2020 to add an additional building on site which will house a gymnasium and potential 4K classrooms.

*These schools moved from oversight by GCS to the SCPCSD for the 2017-18 school year.**Legacy Early College was approved by SCPCSD to add a 4K program for the 2020-21 school year.

SCPCSD Charter School Grades Served

2020-21 Enrollment

Maximum Enrollment

East Link Academy 4K-6 189 936GREEN Charter School 4K- 12 986 1,000Greenville Tech CharterHigh

9-12 448 440

Greer Middle CollegeCharter*

9 – 12 504 445

LEAD Academy 5K – 8 411 396Legacy Early CollegeCharter*

**4K – 12 1,616 1,430

Meyer Center* 4K – 2 87 100NEXT Charter High School 9-12 221 1,200

Total 4,462 5,947

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Greenville County Schools Charter Schools

Charter School Grades Served

2020-21 Enrollment

Maximum Enrollment

Langston Charter Middle 6 – 8 445 618

Charter Institute at ErskineCharter School Grades

Served2020-21

EnrollmentMaximum

Enrollment

Brashier Middle CollegeCharter*

9 - 12 446 440

*Brashier Middle College Charter transferred from the SCPCSD to the CharterInstitute at Erskine for the 2020-21 school year.

Elementary Projection

Projections 2022-2026

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Middle School Projection

Projections 2022-2026

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High School Projection

Projections 2022-2026

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Difference 15th Day 2020-21 to 6th Day 2021-22

Elementary (5K-5th) 1,441 (2019-20 to 2020-21) (2,962)(2018-19 to 2019-20) 115

Middle (6th-8th) (197)(2019-20 to 2020-21) (203)(2018-19 to 2019-20) 794

High (9th-12th) 875(2019-20 to 2020-21) 547(2018-19 to 2019-20) 284

Notes: Decrease in student population 2019-20 to 2020-21 due to Covid Pandemic. Differences from 2019-20 to 2020-21 and 2018-19 to 2019-20 were 15th Day to 15th Day numbers.

Summary50+ age population continues to increase

Elementary school student population is increasing, then softens (long term lower birth impact)Middle school student population is leveling out over the next 5 years

High school student population is increasing over the next 5 years

Projections reflect continued strong job growth

Future new charter schools, charter school expansions, or charter school closures will impact projectionsHousing inventory is changing (developer incentives for more diverse options for residential development)

Process and Recommendations

for the Facilities Study

• At the end of the BEST construction program, the Board made a commitment that schools that were minimally or not modernized as part of the BEST program would be brought up to the same high-quality standards when funding became available once the bonds were paid off in 2028.

• Timing for the study allows the District to• Acquire land if needed• Use MARS funds efficiently• Plan for future revenue streams• Be transparent to the school

communities

Background and Scope

Goal of the Study is to identify which schools should be in the next CIP Cycle, recommend a general scope to estimate costs, and consider a timeline that balances financial capacity.

Alexander ES Donaldson Career CenterWelcome ES Enoree Career CenterCrestview ES Golden Strip Career CntrBryson MS J Harley Bonds Career CntrHughes AcademyNorthwest MS Overbrook CDCWoodmont MS Greenview CDC

Sullivan CenterWest Greenville Center

The study included a strategic challenge to consider the

reorganization of Fountain Inn as a K-8 school.

Goodwin, Mills, Cawood(GMC), a Southeast comprehensive multi-disciplined firm including, but not limited, to architecture, interior design, civil engineering, electrical engineering, surveying, etc.

o Marc Warren (GMC Architects)o Dan Reider (Buford Goff & Associates)

Public Pathways Inc., an educational programming, demographic planning, facility educational specification and educational adequacy evaluation firm.

o Deanna Newman

Introduction of Consultants

Greenville County Schools Planning and Facilities Staff

Evaluation, Ranking, and Scope

Utilization

Physical Condition Assessment

Educational Adequacy Assessment

Condition AssessmentGoodwyn, Mills, Cawood (April 2019– August 2021)

An interdisciplinary team evaluated each campus in the following areas:

Infrastructure: Physical conditions for Architectural, Site and Building Envelope, Fire/Life Safety/Accessibility, Mechanical, Electrical, and Plumbing.

Safety and Security: Life Safety and Security Systems.

Health and Well Being: Overall characteristics of the facility including Material condition and life expectancy, Environmental Quality, Accessibility Compliance and Acoustics and Lighting.

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Building components were assigned a condition score ranging from 1-10 with 10 being ‘like new’ and 1 being ‘poor to unacceptable’.

A

B

C

D

F

“Overall, Alexander Elementary School is in fair condition with a number of serviceable years to come. The major limitations are related to the site including car and bus drive loops, building systems, code compliance and accessibility. A detailed code analysis should be conducted if any major renovations or additions are planned as these could trigger upgrades to the existing facility such as Fire Walls, Fire Alarm, Sprinkler System and accessibility corrections.“ (GMC)

Most of the age-related concerns apply to the 1965 building (53 years old) and can be addressed with a mechanical and fire safety upgrade. Humidity issues should be able to be addressed with this upgrade.

Alexander ES sits on a sloped 11.35 acre site. Improving vehicular circulation will require a comprehensive look at all the site features.

By 2031, even the newest building at Alexander ES will be 30 years old and will need modernization.

RANKING ORDER: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16Northwest

MSDonaldson

CCWest

GreenvilleBryson

MSOverbrook

CDCAlexander

ESGolden

Strip CCJ Harley

Bonds CCHughes

AcademyWelcome

ESCrestview

ESWoodmon

t MSSullivan Center

Fountain Inn ES

Enoree CC

Greenview CDC

Area (GSF) 108,601 67,474 35,656 126,408 16,933 71,318 72,082 137,264 136,995 90,216 83,250 144,206 46,447 109,951 73,865 47,882

Architecture 4 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 7 6 6 7 8 9 9

Site Amenities & Conditions 4 4 3 5 4 4 6 5 5 5 6 7 6 7 8 7

Structural 7 6 6 5 6 6 5 7 6 5 7 7 5 7 6 7

Mechanical 3 4 6 5 5 3 4 6 4 6 6 8 7 9 9 9

Electrical 6 4 6 7 5 7 4 4 6 7 6 6 6 7 6 9

Plumbing 3 7 7 6 7 7 6 6 8 7 8 7 7 9 8 8

Building / Fire Code Compliance

3 6 4 5 4 4 7 5 4 4 6 7 5 4 8 8

Passive & Active Security

5 3 5 5 5 6 5 7 5 6 6 7 6 5 8 8

Material Life Expectancy 6 6 5 5 7 6 7 6 6 7 7 6 8 8 9 9

Environment Quality 5 5 5 5 5 4 6 6 6 6 5 7 7 8 9 7

Accessibility 4 4 3 4 4 5 6 5 5 5 6 6 9 6 7 7

Acoustics / Lighting 6 4 4 5 6 7 5 4 7 7 7 6 8 9 9 8

Overall Grade 4.67 4.75 4.92 5.17 5.25 5.42 5.58 5.58 5.67 6.00 6.33 6.67 6.75 7.25 8.00 8.00

Educational 78% 77% 103% 96% 68% 78% 81% 101% 90% 88% 80% 93% N/A 83% 80% 177%

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Educational Adequacy Assessment

Public Pathways and GCS Staff

Benchmark: Prototype Educational Specifications

BEST Educational Specification +

Newest buildings that have been built in GCS:STEM education; media center; collaborative learning spaces

Space matrix that flex with capacity

Enrollment Projection out 5 years: How big does this school need to be to serve its future population?

Is the site adequate for an addition?

Are there non-capital solutions?

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Factors that impact the teaching and learning environmentComprehensive schools were compared to the prototypes in four categories: • administration • academic • core• electivesThe primary focus was on whether there was sufficient space to offer the program given the current or projected enrollment. Other qualitative elements of the campus (adjacencies, classroom amenities, internal circulation, etc.) were noted by exception.

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A final weighted average was based on the relative space usage in the building (example: ‘Academics’ is weighted double because it is roughly ½ of the square footage in the building).

Educational Adequacy Scores

School Reports and Recommendations

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Issues and Options Decision Process1 – What is its ranking based on Physical Condition?

2 - Can it be modernized and brought up to ‘new school’ standards?

• Design challenges

• Site constraints

3 – Should it be replaced? Can it be done on site?

4 – Can another appropriate site be found?

5 – Is there another solution that will provide a high-quality educational environment that is equal to or better for students and staff?

RENOVATION: The rejuvenation or upgrading of existing facilities by installation or replacement of materials and equipment and includes, but is not limited to, interior or exterior reconditioning of facilities and spaces; air-conditioning, heating, or ventilating equipment; fire alarm systems; emergency lighting; electrical systems; and complete roofing or roof replacement, including replacement of membrane or structure.

Glossary of Terms (From the GCS LRFP)

MODERNIZATION: comprehensive upgrading of schools to ‘like new’ school standards. This requires a comprehensive evaluation of schools that are 35 years old or older for a determination of the need for rehabilitation, remodeling or replacement of the facility.

COMPREHENSIVE MAINTENANCE: The upkeep of educational and ancillary plants. including, but not limited to, roof or roofing replacement short of complete replacement of membrane or structure; repainting of interior or exterior surfaces; resurfacing of floors; repair or replacement of glass; repair of hardware, furniture, equipment, electrical fixtures, and plumbing fixtures; and repair or resurfacing of parking lots, roads, and walkways. "Maintenance and repair' shall not include renovation except for the replacement of equipment with new equipment or equal systems meeting current code requirements, provided that the replacement item neither places increased demand upon utility services or structural supports nor adversely affects the function of safety to life systems. (MARS)

Non-Capital Solution Overbrook CDC

Good Physical ConditionGreenview CDC Sullivan CenterWoodmont MS

Schools Not Recommended for the Next CIP

Cycle

Schools Recommended for Replacement

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Northwest Middle School

Options: Due to design and configuration, no modernization option proposed.

Option 1: Replace the entire facility on a new site (Recommendation).

Option 2: Raze and rebuild Northwest MS on a different part of the campus to the current middle school prototype

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Donaldson Career CenterQualitative observations Because of the separate

buildings, the campus is difficult to secure, and circulation is awkward.

There are significant space deficiencies limiting several programs.

There is a need for more-high bay space to meet the prototype space requirements.

No modernization option proposed.

Option 1: Raze and rebuild Donaldson Career Center on the current site.

Option 2: Replace the entire facility on a new site (Recommendation).

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West Greenville

Option 1: Renovate/replace major building systems as needed.

Option 2: Replace with a modern compact building on a new site (Recommendation).

Option 3: Close and excess building; Relocate programs or consider alternative delivery models

Qualitative observations

West Greenville received one of the worst grades of all the schools evaluated in this round.

The architecture of the original building is out-of-date and low roof heights limit the options for mechanical system upgrades. The exterior brick is in poor condition. The site has challenges that will be difficult to address.

Although the building is currently functioning adequately, the school district should consider whether future investment in the building is prudent.

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Bryson Middle School Options: Due to configuration and safety concerns, no modernization option is proposed.

Option 1: Raze and rebuild Bryson MS to the current middle school prototype on a different part of the campus or an alternative site.

Option 2: Convert Fountain Inn ES to a PK-8 school; Close Bryson with the opening of a new middle school in south to also provide relief to Woodmont and Hillcrest middle schools. (Recommendation)

Qualitative observations More than 20 of Bryson’s classrooms are undersized

as well as most of its labs. Much of the equipment is obsolete and under functioning

The 1950’s high school design does not reflect current middle school design expectations.

The campus is challenging to secure because of the exterior walkways.

By 2028, the oldest buildings on the Bryson Campus will be 74 years old.

Schools Recommended for Partial

Replacement/Modernization

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Hughes Middle School

Options:

Option 1: Modernize older buildings after 2028.

Option 2: Raze and rebuild the older classroom wings to prototype standards. (Recommendation)

Option 3: Replace the entire facility on the current campus

Qualitative observations

Hughes Academy campus was originally built as three separate buildings in 1956. In 2001 a major addition connected the buildings and created a new front door.

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Welcome Elementary School

Option 1: Build an addition to increase capacity and modernize existing buildings after 2028; note that the entire addition to address educational adequacy would be approximately 12,000 SF.

Option 2: Raze and replace the campus with a modern compact building on another part of the site after 2028; capacity for 750.

Option 3: Raze and replace the oldest section of the campus. Replace the razed section and add approximately 12,000 SF; resulting in a complete modernization: capacity for 750. (Recommendation)

Qualitative observations

Welcome Elementary School was built in 1964 on the site of the former Welcome High School. For 110 years this very visible corner in the Welcome community has been the site of a public school. A major addition and renovation of the original building was completed in 1998 just prior to the Greenville BEST Program.

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Crestview Elementary School

Option 1: Modernize the existing structure after 2029; note that the addition to address educational adequacy would be approximately 16,000 gross SF including an expanded or new cafeteria.

Option 2: Raze all or a portion of the campus and replace it with a modern compact building on another part of the site at the end of this cycle of facility projects; capacity for 800; Core for 1000.

Option 3: Raze the oldest portion, approximately 28,000SF, of the campus and replace it along with a 16,000 SF addition; capacity for 800. (Recommendation)

Qualitative observations

Crestview Elementary School was built in 1970 as a small open plan school north of the City of Geer. It has had two additions, one in 1997 (with renovation) and an early childhood addition in 2007. No renovation work was performed as part of the BEST program.

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Options for Alexander ESOption 1: Provide enrollment relief through a boundary change with adjacent schools (Westcliffe ES, Hollis ES, and/or Monaview ES); additions at the receiving schools as necessary; modernize Alexander ES after 2028.

Option 2: Build an addition to increase capacity and modernize existing buildings after 2028; note that the entire addition to address educational adequacy would be approximately 13,000 SF.

Option 3: Consolidate Alexander ES into adjacent school(s); additions at receiving school(s) as necessary; repurpose or excess Alexander ES building (TBD). (Recommendation)

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Golden Strip Career Center

Qualitative observations The labs at Golden Strip are across the board

generally smaller than the prototype recommends. There are several classrooms on the interior of the

building with no natural light.

Option 1: Consider a renovation to upgrade and replace older systems and equipment.

Option 2: Raze and rebuild to prototype standards on existing site. (Recommendation)

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Career and Technology CentersJ. Harley Bonds CC Enoree CC

A modernization of this campus is not prioritized for this CIP period.

Option: Replace culinary arts wing. (Recommended)

Modernization of this campus is the final school recommended in this cycle.

Option: Demolish the older buildings and reconstruct to bring campus up to prototype. (Recommended)

Long Range Facilities Plan and

Timeline

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Current LRFP/CIP - Additions Ellen Woodside ESFork Shoals ESSimpsonville ESMountain View E

New AdditionsSue Cleveland ESGrove ESRalph Chandler MS

Capacity Enhancements

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Other Facility Requirements

• Former East Gantt ES• Former Wade Hampton ES• Gymnasium at Former Southside HS (MT Anderson)

Demolition Projects

• Additional Stadium Seating, Mauldin HS

Athletic Projects

Site Acquisitions

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Proposed Changes to Capital Improvement Program (CIP) Through FY36

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Proposed Changes to Capital Improvement Program (CIP) Through FY36

Discussion