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1 Let them print cake! 3D Printing & Food Security Michael Petch – Black Dog Consulting 3D Food Printing Conference, Venlo. 11 th April 2016 [email protected] @michaellpetch

Let them print cake! 3D Printing & Food Security

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Page 1: Let them print cake! 3D Printing & Food Security

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Let them print cake! 3D Printing & Food Security

Michael Petch – Black Dog Consulting

3D Food Printing Conference, Venlo. 11th April 2016

[email protected] @michaellpetch

Page 2: Let them print cake! 3D Printing & Food Security

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10 FOOD ACCESS: PROBLEMS

11 FOOD ACCESS: SOLUTIONS

03 ABOUT ME

04 WHAT IS FOOD SECURITY? .

05 FOOD RIOTS THROUGH HISTORY

06 MACRO TRENDS

07 FAO FRAMEWORK

13 FOOD UTILIZATION: SOLUTIONS

14 FOOD STABILITY: PROBLEMS

15 FOOD STABILITY: SOLUTIONS

16 OPPORTUNITIES & CONCLUSION

agenda 3D PRINTING & FOOD SECURITY

08 FOOD AVAILABILITY: PROBLEMS

09 FOOD AVAILABILITY: SOLUTIONS

12 FOOD UTILIZATION: PROBLEMS

17 QUESTIONS?

Page 3: Let them print cake! 3D Printing & Food Security

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MICHAEL PETCH Author, analyst, & consultant.

Image Credit: Gyges 3D

Page 4: Let them print cake! 3D Printing & Food Security

4 What is food security? The four pillars of food security.

Availability

Access

Utilization

Stability

Sufficient quantities of food available on a consistent basis.

Sufficient resources to obtain appropriate food for a nutritious diet.

Appropriate use based on knowledge of basic nutrition , food safety and adequate water/sanitation.

The infrastructure and supply chains are not subject to undesired or unplanned disruption.

How? “Food security exists all people at all times have physical, social and economic access to sufficient, safe and nutritious food to meet their dietary needs and food preferences for an active, healthy life.”

When?

70% increase in global food production required by 2050. – FAO 2015

Page 5: Let them print cake! 3D Printing & Food Security

5 Food Riots through History “The forcible reduction of the price of food by riot … the crowd itself conducted the sale.” - George Rudé, 1964. The Crowd in History: A Study of Popular Disturbances in France & England, 1730-1848.

1789 Women’s March on Versailles

1977 Egyptian Bread

Riots

2016 Food Banks USA: >50m

(Feeding America) UK: >1m

(Trussell Trust) Image Credits: Bibliothèque nationale de France, New York Times, Getty Images, Trussell Trust.

2006 – 2008 - Rice: 217%

- Wheat: 136% -Corn: 125%

(Timmer, 2010)

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Macro-Trends “A (dystopian) future of pizza flavoured sugar cubes”

-Jason Mosbrucker 3digitalcooks.com

Chart Data Source: http://www.fao.org/worldfoodsituation/foodpricesindex/en/

Drivers of Consumer Price Fluctuations

Fuel, fertilizer, transport costs, speculation/hoarding & biofuel. (Tadesse et al, 2014 cf. Gilbert, 2010 re: biofuel)

Economic & Legal

Polarisation of income/precarity of labour. Free Trade vs. Protectionism (Kanbur & Stiglitz, 2015. Piketty, 2014.)

Demographic & Social Trends

Aging population, urbanisation/mega-cities, work/life balance & diet. (Godfray & Garnett, 2014) Carbon Futures?

Oil/food price correlation (Headey & Fan, 2008) Climate Change (Nelson et al, 2009. Asseng et al, 2015)

Page 7: Let them print cake! 3D Printing & Food Security

7 FAO Framework

Image Source: http://www.fao.org/fileadmin/user_upload/agn/pdf/Food_and_Nutrition_Security-Strategy_Note.pdf

Linkages between the overall development context, the food economy, households, and individual well-being.

Page 8: Let them print cake! 3D Printing & Food Security

8 Food Availability: Problems

Image Credits: Carlolyn Baker, Landmark, Food Online

Physical existence of food in the market

Page 9: Let them print cake! 3D Printing & Food Security

9 Food Availability: Solutions?

Image Credits: brightagrotech.com, materialise.com, Els Engel, honeyflow.com

Page 10: Let them print cake! 3D Printing & Food Security

10 Food Access: Problems

Image Credits: FAO, Reuters, Ministry of Agriculture United Republic of Tanzania

The ability of all people to obtain enough food for themselves and their family

Page 11: Let them print cake! 3D Printing & Food Security

11 Food Access: Solutions?

Mechanisation of Agriculture

Reduction/Use of Spoilage

Local Produce, food miles, wastage Decrease number of intermediaries Microbial Fuel Cells Disaster Mitigation

Long-life meal packs Long term Community Recovery Alt protein sources Alt energy sources

Rapid-Retooling Zhejiang Province Fire Brigade

Image Credits: http://2013.igem.org/Team:Bielefeld-Germany/Project/MFC

Page 12: Let them print cake! 3D Printing & Food Security

12 Food Utilization: Problems

Image Credits: Actionaid.org.uk , W. Cline: Global Warming & Agriculture Study.

“Includes food storage, processing, health and sanitation as they relate to nutrition” - USAID

Page 13: Let them print cake! 3D Printing & Food Security

13 Food Utilization: Solutions?

Image Credits: Lockheed Martin, Kettering University / Sarah Church, American Chemical Society/ Molenaar et al. 2016

Balanced Nutritional Content, Water Desalination/Filtration, humanitarian assistance, Microbial Fuel Cells

Page 14: Let them print cake! 3D Printing & Food Security

14 Food Stability: Problems

Image Credits: Christies, Suroosh Alvi, DPA

Causes of conflict: poverty, underemployment, inequalities in natural resources

Page 15: Let them print cake! 3D Printing & Food Security

15 Food Stability: Solutions?

Image Credits: Ames Lab/DOE, Lawrence Livermore National Lab

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Increase Agricultural Productivity

Halt Environmental

Damage

Alter Consumption Patterns

Address Food Waste & Loss

Research New Agriculture Models

Opportunities & Conclusions What Next?

Your Turn!

Page 17: Let them print cake! 3D Printing & Food Security

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Questions?

[email protected] @michaellpetch

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References Asseng, S., Ewert, F., Martre, P., Rötter, R. P., Lobell, D. B., Cammarano, D., ... & Reynolds, M. P. (2015). Rising temperatures reduce global wheat production. Nature Climate Change, 5(2), 143-147.   Castro, F. A., Benmansour, H., Graeff, C. F., Nüesch, F., Tutis, E., & Hany, R. (2006). Nanostructured organic layers via polymer demixing for interface-enhanced photovoltaic cells. Chemistry of materials, 18(23), 5504-5509.   Denkenberger, D. C., & Pearce, J. M. (2015). Feeding everyone: Solving the food crisis in event of global catastrophes that kill crops or obscure the sun.Futures, 72, 57-68.   Gilbert, C. L. (2010). How to understand high food prices. Journal of Agricultural Economics, 61(2), 398-425.   Godfray, H. C. J., & Garnett, T. (2014). Food security and sustainable intensification. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. B, 369(1639), 20120273.   Headey, D., & Fan, S. (2008). Anatomy of a crisis: the causes and consequences of surging food prices. Agricultural Economics, 39(s1), 375-391.   Kanbur, R., & Stiglitz, J. (2015). Wealth and income distribution: New theories needed for a new era.

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References Molenaar, S. D., Mol, A. R., Sleutels, T. H., Ter Heijne, A., & Buisman, C. J. (2016). The Microbial Rechargeable Battery: Energy Storage and Recovery through Acetate. Environmental Science & Technology Letters.   Nelson, G. C., Rosegrant, M. W., Koo, J., Robertson, R., Sulser, T., Zhu, T., ... & Magalhaes, M. (2009). Climate change: Impact on agriculture and costs of adaptation (Vol. 21). Intl Food Policy Res Inst.   Oh, J. Y., Lee, T. I., Jang, W. S., Chae, S. S., Park, J. H., Lee, H. W., ... & Baik, H. K. (2013). Mass production of a 3D non-woven nanofabric with crystalline P3HT nanofibrils for organic solar cells. Energy & Environmental Science, 6(3), 910-917.   Piketty, T. (2014). Capital in the 21st Century. Cambridge: Harvard Uni.   Rowen, H. H. (1978). John de Witt. Grand Pensionary of Holland, 1625-1672.   Tadesse G, Algieri B, Kalkuhl M & von Braun J (2014) Drivers and triggers of international food price spikes and volatility Food Policy 47 117–28   Timmer, Peter C. (2010). "Reflections on food crises past". Food Policy 35 (1): 1–11.   Zhu, C., Liu, T., Qian, F., Han, T. Y. J., Duoss, E. B., Kuntz, J. D., ... & Li, Y. (2016). Supercapacitors based on 3D hierarchical graphene aerogels with periodic macropores. Nano letters.