LED MARKET OVERVIEW AND FORECAST ‐ INDIA

Electric Lamp & Component Manufacturers’ Association of India

Taipei – March 12‐15, 2012

Lighting Industry in India

• Performance  year 2011

Industry growth

Growth per annum

LIGHTING INDUSTRY IN INDIA GROWTH TREND CHART

17%

7994

9290

8000

9000

10000 LIGHTING INDUSTRY IN INDIA ‐ GROWTH TREND CHART

12%9%

15%

50605711

65677167

6000

700013%

%12.5%

US $ 2 Billion

45005060

4000

5000Rs. Crores

1000

2000

3000

0

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Growth of CFL in India

10001000

1200

600

800

Qty. Million PcsQty. Million PcsQty. Million PcsQty. Million PcsQty. Million PcsQty. Million PcsQty. Million PcsQty. Million Pcs

255304

340400

400*ESTIMATES

43%

25%

*ESTIMATES43%

25%

*ESTIMATES43%

25%

*ESTIMATES43%

25%

*ESTIMATES43%

25%

*ESTIMATES43%

25%

*ESTIMATES43%

25%

*ESTIMATES43%

25%

12%

20 35 43 67 100140 200

255

0

200

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

ACTUAL

28%

ACTUAL

28%

ACTUAL

28%

ACTUAL

28%

ACTUAL

28%

ACTUAL

28%

ACTUAL

28%

ACTUAL

28% GROWTH

%

‐200

Growth – GLS Vs CFLGrowth  GLS Vs CFL

900 Qty Million Pieces

662724 710 757 780 735 766 797 755

600

700

800Qty Million Pieces

340400

500

600

100 140200 255

320 340

100

200

300

GLSCFL36 43 67 100 140

0

100

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

CFL

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Growth of CFL manufacturing dCapacity in India

YEAR No of Manufacturers Manufacturing capacity(Million pieces p.a.)

2002 5 19

2003 7 22

2004 10 29

2005 12 50

2006 13 802006 13 80

2007 16 130

2008 20 200

2009 32 350

2010 45 500 

2011 52 730

2013 (Estimate) 60 1000

Fluorescent & HID Lamps

250

180 186 190 186 179 182194

150

200

Qty. Million Pieces

100

150

10 14 17 21 18 22 26

0

50

Fluorescent Lamps HID

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 20112005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

LED LightingLED Lighting

Stimulation for LED Lighting in India

Barriers identifiedBarriers identified

• Limited availability of LED technology in Indiay gy• High initial cost of LEDs that makes the pay‐back period very long

• Absence of National standards for LEDs as a result industry is prone to import sub standard products

• Consumer awareness very low• Consumer awareness very low• Lack of testing protocols, facilities and accredited laboratories at the national level

• No incentive either to set up manufacturing facilities in India as is the case with China

Recommendations and Proposals–To constitute a central Institutional mechanism (CIM)  which along with other stake holders shall oversee the design, development and implementation of the program and put in place a robust monitoring and evaluation process by an independent agency (like National Productivity Council)National Productivity Council)–Aggregation of future LED demand under regulatory oversight is the appropriate way to significantly enhance volumes and therefore attract leading manufacturers to India and have co‐benefit of reduced cost–Mandating phased domestic manufacturing for such demands must be integrated in the g p g gpolicy framework–Appropriate fiscal incentives need to be structured by the Government to promote LEDs in India (e.g. tax, duties, tariffs, incentive to manufacture in India etc)–To give immediate push, initially to concentrate on commercial applicationsg p , y pp–Recommendation to MoP to provide atleast one LED lamp under “electricity to all villages” scheme.–Motivate Central and State government procurement agencies to take part in this programp g–Setting up of a neutral, trusted testing facility urgently. (Government approved Rs. 25 Crores for this initiative last year)–Technical standards must be mandated by BIS–Domestic manufacturing of these technology materials and processes may be encouraged g gy p y gin the first phase.

LED FOCUS AREA

Down LightersDown Lighters

– Showrooms were using Incandescent LampsShowrooms were using Incandescent Lamps

– With government regulation, changed to CFL down lights g

– CFL not effective on product display

– Showrooms changed to halogen down lightsShowrooms changed to halogen down lights

– Proposal to initiate central and state governments for regulation to commercial outlets to change to g gLED down lights

– Down Light specifications prepared by ELCOMAg p p p y

Secondary Road Street LightsSecondary Road Street Lights

– Presently haphazard installation of streetlights byPresently haphazard installation of streetlights by small and medium municipalities

– Industry gearing up for designing LED street lightsy g g p g g g

– Government (Bureau of Energy Efficiency) initiative to provide LED streetlights to > 100 p gmunicipalities as per program

– ELCOMA prepared streetlight specifications for government procurement and end users

– Street lighting guideline prepared by BEE

Self Ballasted LED LampSelf Ballasted LED Lamp

• As an introduction for domestic application, attention provided for self Ballasted LED Lamp

• Specifications prepared by ELCOMA and• Specifications prepared by ELCOMA andgovernment using it for DSM and CDM schemes

• BIS prepared standards for Self ballasted LEDBIS prepared standards for Self ballasted LEDlamp

• Product prototypes under tests• Price reduced from Rs. 1200 last year to Rs. 650.Likely to further reduce to Rs. 300 to Rs. 400 bythe end of this yearthe end of this year

LED Standards & SpecificationsLED Standards & SpecificationsINDIAN STANDARDS ON LED PUBSLISHED

Following Indian Standards on LED have been published. 

Sl No         IS No Title1.        16101 : 2012 General Lighting ‐ LEDs and LED modules – Terms and 

Definitions2. 16102(Part 1) : 2012 Self‐ Ballasted LED‐Lamps for General Lighting Services           

Part 1 Safety RequirementsPart 1 Safety Requirements3 16102(Part 2) : 2012 Self‐Ballasted LED‐Lamps for General Lighting  Services Part 2 

Performance Requirements4 16103(Part 1) : 2012  Led Modules for General Lighting‐ Safety  Requirements

5 15885(Part 2/Sec 13) : 2012   Lamp Control Gear Part 2 Particular   Requirements Section 13 d.c. or a.c.  Supplied Electronic  Controlgear for Led Modulespp g

6 16104 : 2012 d.c. or a.c. Supplied Electronic Control Gear for LED   Modules Performance Requirements

7 16105 : 2012 Method of Measurement of Lumen Maintenance of  Solid ‐State Light (LED) Sources

8 16106 : 2012 Method of Electrical and Photometric  Measurements of Solid‐State Lighting (Led) ProductsLighting (Led) Products

9         16108  : 2012       Photobiological Safety of Lamps and Lamp  Systems

A few more standards on Led Modules (IS 16103‐2) and Luminaires (IS 16107) are going to be published soon.

Specifications

– Self Ballasted LampsSelf  Ballasted Lamps

– Down Lighters

– Street LightsStreet Lights

ELECTRIC LAMP AND COMPONENT MANUFACTURERS’ ASSOCIATION OF INDIA

A-448 Defence Colony (LGF) New Delhi – 110 024 India June 2011

DRAFT SPECIFICATIONS FOR LED SELF BALLASTED LAMPS

1. SCOPE: To promote energy efficiency by phasing-out incandescent with an efficient alternative in the

form of retrofit LED lamp 2. Lamp Terminology : Self Ballasted 5 watts LED Lamp (Covered) retrofit for GLS lamp in Lamp caps of

B22 and E27.

3. Technical Requirement : The LED Chip should conform to LM80 4. Lamp Specifications

Parameter Values

Wattage 5watt 5watt

Voltage 170V~260V 170V~260V

CCT Warm white (2700K) Cool white (6500K)

Base Cap B22/E27 B22/E27

PF Minimum 0.5 Minimum 0.5

Efficacy (Complete Lamp) lm/w

=>45 =>50

CRI (Typical) >80 >65

Luminous flux =>225Lm =>250Lm

Lumen Maintenance 70% at 15000 hrs. 70% at 15000 hrs.

Life >15,000 >15,000

RoHS Compliance Pb free Pb free

Capacity to withstand surges

As per IEC Standard 61347 As per IEC Standard 61347

ELECTRIC LAMP AND COMPONENT MANUFACTURERS’ ASSOCIATION OF INDIA

A-448 Defence Colony (LGF) New Delhi – 110 024 India June 2011

DRAFT SPECIFICATIONS FOR LED DOWNLIGHTERS

1. SCOPE: To promote energy efficiency by phasing-out halogen and CFL Down lighters with an efficient

alternative in the form of LED lamp Down Lighter 2. Luminaire Terminology : Self Ballasted or with external driver but be accessible for easy lamp

replacement

3. Technical Requirement : The LED Chip should conform to LM80 4. Luminaire Specifications

Luminaire type (Covered or open)

1. LED Chip Warm White (2700K) Cool Daylight (6500K)

1.1 Lumen per Watt 85 L/W 100 L/W

1.2 C R I > 80 > 65

1.3 Range As per ANSI Standard As per ANSI Standard 1 4 W ki Lif 50 000 h 50 000 h 1.4 Working Life 50,000 hrs 50,000 hrs 1.5. Conformance LM 80 Standard LM 80 Standard

2. Material

2.1 Heat Sink

Should be scintificallt designed to ensure the efficient dissipation of heat keeping junction temperature below 90° C

Should be scintificallt designed to ensure the efficient dissipation of heat keeping junction temperature below 90° C

2.2 Driver External or Internal but be

ibl f l t External or Internal but be

ibl f l t 2.2 Driver accessible for easy replacement accessible for easy replacement

2.3 Efficiency ≥80% ≥80%

3. Electrical 3.1 Current / Voltage 50 Hz 170 to 260V 50 Hz 170 to 260V

3.2 Power Factor .9 .9

3.3 T H D As per IEC 61000-3-2 and IEC61000-3-3

As per IEC 61000-3-2 and IEC61000-3-3

4. Luminaire Performance

4.1 Efficacy =>50 =>60

4.2 CRI (Typical) >80 >65

4.3 Junction Temperature

Less than 90° C Less than 90° C

4.4 Ambient Temperature

-20°C to 50°C -20°C to 50°C

4 5 Ph t t i T t A LN 79 A LN 79 4.5 Photometric Test As per LN 79 As per LN 79

4.6 RoHS Compliance Pb free Pb free

4.7 Capacity to withstand surges

As per IEC Standard 61347 As per IEC Standard 61347

4.8 Guarantee 2 years 2 years

ELECTRIC LAMP AND COMPONENT MANUFACTURERS’ ASSOCIATION OF INDIA

A-448 Defence Colony (LGF) New Delhi – 110 024 India June 2011

DRAFT SPECIFICATIONS FOR LED SECONDARY ROAD STREET LIGHTS

SCOPE: To promote energy efficiency by phasing-out inefficient Luminaires using lamp sources like SCOPE: To promote energy efficiency by phasing-out inefficient Luminaires using lamp sources like Mercury Vapour Lamps, Halogen Lamps, CFLs or other inefficient lamps with an efficient alternative in the form of LED Street Lights Luminaire Terminology : External driver / housing with easy lamp replacement arrangement Technical Requirement : The LED Chip should conform to LM80 Luminaire Specifications

Luminaire type (Covered)

1. LED Chip Warm White (2700K) Cool Daylight (6500K)

Lumen per Watt 85 L/W 100 L/W

1.2 C R I > 80 > 65

1.3 Range As per ANSI Standard As per ANSI Standard 1.4 Working Life 50,000 hrs 50,000 hrs 1 5 C f LM 80 St d d LM 80 St d d 1.5. Conformance LM 80 Standard LM 80 Standard 2. Material

2.1 Heat Sink

Should be scientifically designed to ensure the efficient dissipation of heat keeping junction temperature below 90° C

Should be scientifically designed to ensure the efficient dissipation of heat keeping junction temperature below 90° C

2.2 Driver External or Internal but be accessible for easy replacement

External or Internal but be accessible for easy replacement

2 3 Efficiency ≥80% ≥80% 2.3 Efficiency ≥80% ≥80% 3. Electrical

3.1 Current / Voltage 50 Hz 150 to 270V 50 Hz 150 to 270V

3.2 Power Factor .9 .9

3.3 T H D < 10% or as per IEC 61000-3-2 and IEC61000-3-3

< 10% or as per IEC 61000-3-2 and IEC61000-3-3

Protection Short circuit & Over voltage protection 4. Luminaire Performance 4.1 CCT of Luminaire > 5500 K – 7000 K > 5500 K – 7000 K

4.2 CRI > 70 > 70

4.3 Efficacy =>60 =>65

4.4 Compliance IS 10322 for functional, photometric and safety requirements

IS 10322 for functional, photometric and safety requirements

4.5 junction Temperature

Less than 90° C Less than 90° C

4.6 Ambient Temperature

-20°C to 50°C -20°C to 50°C Temperature

4.7 Photometric Test As per LN 79 As per LN 79

4.8 RoHS Compliance Pb free Pb free 4.9 Capacity to withstand surges

As per IEC Standard 61347 As per IEC Standard 61347

4.10 Guarantee 2 years 2 years

AWARENESS PROGRAM– Workshops / Seminars

– LED Conclaves (Exhibition and Workshops)

M 2010 D lhi• May 2010 ‐ Delhi

• April 2011 – Hyderabad

• January 2012 – Mumbai

• MEGA LED SEMINAR IN NEW DELHI IN OCTOBER 2012

– More workshops to be organised in Kolkata, Bangalore, Chandigarh and Ahmedabad during 2012‐13

– Publication of LED Street lighting guide for Municipalities and Public Works Departments

– Articles and advertisements in special magazinesArticles and advertisements in special magazines

– Media publicity

Government SupportGovernment Support• White paper by BEE on “Stimulating LED in India”• Government notifications:• Government notifications:

– Ministry of Commerce issued notification to Delhi Government to ensure all showrooms or show windows using Incandescent Lamp or halogen lamps to immediately replace with LED down lighters. More States to follow

– Ministry of Commerce issued advisory to Ministry  of Urban Development to Ensure all medium and small municipalities change to LED Street Lightingand small municipalities change to LED Street Lighting

– Bureau of Energy  Efficiency started Pilot programs to encourage use of LED streetlights for Municipalities and Local Bodies for secondary roads, parks and parking areas etc. – 180 bodies being funded

• Government bulk procurement– Preparing bulk requirement of Railways, Airport authority, Urban Housing, Highways and otherPreparing bulk requirement of Railways, Airport authority, Urban Housing, Highways and other 

large development projects to create a large demand to encourage industry to establish– LED Self Ballasted Lamp for “Bachat Lamp Yojna”– All Households within 5 k.m. of Power Generating Plants to be given one LED bulb free

• Test Labs – Govt subsidizing establishment of LED test facilities at existing Test Lab (About Rs 25 Crores)– Govt subsidizing establishment of LED test facilities at existing Test Lab (About Rs. 25 Crores)– Expected atleast 3 more Test Labs supported by Government– Total expected 12 Test Labs by 2013

ELCOMA LED Lighting ChapterELCOMA LED Lighting Chapter

• To cover all other LED activities an LED Chapter o co e a ot e act t es a C aptecreated within ELCOMA– Membership extended to

• All LED Lighting Manufactures or assemblers –small, medium or large

• Signage Manufacturersg g• Traffic Signals and direction board manufactures• Security Lighting• ESCOs• ESCOs• Architects, Designers, Specifiers, Engineers• Test Laboratories 

Vision of Elcoma LED Lighting Chapter

• To ensure federate all stake holders of LED Lighting to work together for better end productsproducts

• Cooperation between manufacturers and ancillaries for better technology development and exchange

• To promote the consideration and discussion and resolve all questions affecting LED LightingLED Lighting

• To diffuse information to all members on new technology development and best practices

• Product specifications and certificationsU d k i f LED Li h i b i hibi i k h• Undertake promotion of LED Lighting by seminars, exhibitions, workshops etc

• Exchange of statistical information• Education for students and institutions on Energy Efficient Lighting• Coordinate with government on various issues pertaining to requirement of LED g p g q

Lighting for quality, manufacture and policy updating• Establishment of LED Lighting excellence centre

Test LaboratoriesTest Laboratories

• 2010 – No Test Lab for LED Product testing2010  No Test Lab for LED Product testing

• Initiative by government to fund one test Lab

l d k i h l b• Elcoma undertook with large Test Labs to upgrade for LED Testing

• 6 Labs have taken initiative

• 4 Labs are ready by January 2012y y y

• 8 More Labs likely by 2013

Industry penetration to LED Business

• 12 large 15 Medium and about 600 small12 large, 15 Medium and about 600 small manufacturers in LED business

• All major chip manufacturers have based• All major chip manufacturers have based offices in India

Bi i d P k i b i d i I di• Binning and Packaging being started in India

• Tie up with major Global Luminairemanufacturers by most of large companies to start manufacture in India

25

Successful launch of LED Lighting in India

• LED business was less than Rs 300 Crores inLED business was less than Rs. 300 Crores in 2009

• 2010 Increased to Rs 500 Crores• 2010 – Increased to Rs. 500 Crores

• Estimated 2011 – Rs. 850 Crores

• Estimated 2016 – Rs. 5000 Crores (US$ 1 Billion)

26

Growth of LED business in India

Value Rs. Crores

5000

4000

4500

5000

3065

4110

2500

3000

3500

300 500850

11901666

1000

1500

2000

300 500

0

500

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Year

2009    2010 2011        2012        2013      2014     2015     2016

27

Year