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Lectures in Macroeconomics- Charles W. Upton The Transition from Communism

Lectures in Macroeconomics- Charles W. Upton The Transition from Communism

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Page 1: Lectures in Macroeconomics- Charles W. Upton The Transition from Communism

Lectures in Macroeconomics- Charles W. Upton

The Transition from Communism

Page 2: Lectures in Macroeconomics- Charles W. Upton The Transition from Communism

The Transition from Communism

1989

• Berlin Wall falls in November 1989.

• By Christmas Poland, East Germany, Hungary, Czechoslovakia, Rumania, Bulgaria, and Albania have eliminated Communist Governments.

Page 3: Lectures in Macroeconomics- Charles W. Upton The Transition from Communism

The Transition from Communism

1990

• German Unification, October 1990.

Page 4: Lectures in Macroeconomics- Charles W. Upton The Transition from Communism

The Transition from Communism

1991

• Soviet Union ends Christmas Day, 1991.

Page 5: Lectures in Macroeconomics- Charles W. Upton The Transition from Communism

The Transition from Communism

The Puzzle

1tttt LKAY

Page 6: Lectures in Macroeconomics- Charles W. Upton The Transition from Communism

The Transition from Communism

The Puzzle

1tttt LKAY

AMarxist Economies < AMarket Economies

Page 7: Lectures in Macroeconomics- Charles W. Upton The Transition from Communism

The Transition from Communism

The Expected Pattern

Y

time

Page 8: Lectures in Macroeconomics- Charles W. Upton The Transition from Communism

The Transition from Communism

The Expected Pattern

Y

time

Page 9: Lectures in Macroeconomics- Charles W. Upton The Transition from Communism

The Transition from Communism

The Expected Pattern

Y

time

Page 10: Lectures in Macroeconomics- Charles W. Upton The Transition from Communism

The Transition from Communism

The Actual Pattern

Y

time

Page 11: Lectures in Macroeconomics- Charles W. Upton The Transition from Communism

The Transition from Communism

Issues

• Transition Problems

• Legal Systems

• Safety Net

Page 12: Lectures in Macroeconomics- Charles W. Upton The Transition from Communism

The Transition from Communism

The People’s Pizzeria

• The Peoples Pizzeria to be privatized.

• Shares are transferred to someone– Cannot exercise managerial control– Whole organization is incompetent and

collapses in the light of privatization

Page 13: Lectures in Macroeconomics- Charles W. Upton The Transition from Communism

The Transition from Communism

The People’s Pizzeria

AMP

APP

Page 14: Lectures in Macroeconomics- Charles W. Upton The Transition from Communism

The Transition from Communism

The People’s Pizzeria

AMP

APP

Page 15: Lectures in Macroeconomics- Charles W. Upton The Transition from Communism

The Transition from Communism

The People’s Pizzeria

AMP

APPTransition to new

businesses means a temporary decline in

productivity

Page 16: Lectures in Macroeconomics- Charles W. Upton The Transition from Communism

The Transition from Communism

Managing Miller’s Pizzeria

• Limited knowledge of how one works in a market economy– Showing up on time

• Limited legal system– Cannot enforce contracts

• High level of Corruption

Page 17: Lectures in Macroeconomics- Charles W. Upton The Transition from Communism

The Transition from Communism

The Stages of Transition

Feudalism

Capitalism

Communism

Page 18: Lectures in Macroeconomics- Charles W. Upton The Transition from Communism

The Transition from Communism

The Stages of Transition

Feudalism

Capitalism

Communism

Communism

Chaos

Capitalism

Page 19: Lectures in Macroeconomics- Charles W. Upton The Transition from Communism

The Transition from Communism

The Social Welfare System

• Hungary– 40% income tax– 40% social security tax– 24% VAT

Page 20: Lectures in Macroeconomics- Charles W. Upton The Transition from Communism

The Transition from Communism

Effective Taxes

100Forints

Page 21: Lectures in Macroeconomics- Charles W. Upton The Transition from Communism

The Transition from Communism

Effective Taxes

100Forints

29Forints Welfare

Page 22: Lectures in Macroeconomics- Charles W. Upton The Transition from Communism

The Transition from Communism

Effective Taxes

100Forints

29Forints Welfare

71Forints

Page 23: Lectures in Macroeconomics- Charles W. Upton The Transition from Communism

The Transition from Communism

Effective Taxes

100Forints

29Forints Welfare

71Forints

29Forints Income

Tax

Page 24: Lectures in Macroeconomics- Charles W. Upton The Transition from Communism

The Transition from Communism

Effective Taxes

100Forints

29Forints Welfare

71Forints

29Forints Income

Tax

42Forints

Page 25: Lectures in Macroeconomics- Charles W. Upton The Transition from Communism

The Transition from Communism

Effective Taxes

100Forints

29Forints Welfare

71Forints

29Forints Income

Tax

42Forints

9Forints VAT

Page 26: Lectures in Macroeconomics- Charles W. Upton The Transition from Communism

The Transition from Communism

Effective Taxes

100Forints

29Forints Welfare

71Forints

29Forints Income

Tax

42Forints

9Forints VAT

33Forints

Page 27: Lectures in Macroeconomics- Charles W. Upton The Transition from Communism

The Transition from Communism

The Response

• Cheat– Work for yourself– Deduct everything

• Don’t Work Hard

• Corruption

Page 28: Lectures in Macroeconomics- Charles W. Upton The Transition from Communism

The Transition from Communism

End

©2003 Charles W. Upton. All rights reserved