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1 Lecture 4: Economics and Energy

Lecture 4: Economics and Energyeleceng.dit.ie/kgaughan/notes/DT015 Energy Supply/Microsoft... · Begg, Fischer & Dornbusch ... exist when the production or consumption of a good

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Page 1: Lecture 4: Economics and Energyeleceng.dit.ie/kgaughan/notes/DT015 Energy Supply/Microsoft... · Begg, Fischer & Dornbusch ... exist when the production or consumption of a good

1

Lec

ture

4: Eco

nom

ics an

d

Ener

gy

Page 2: Lecture 4: Economics and Energyeleceng.dit.ie/kgaughan/notes/DT015 Energy Supply/Microsoft... · Begg, Fischer & Dornbusch ... exist when the production or consumption of a good

2

Neo

clas

sica

l Eco

nom

ics Prim

er

Quan

tity

Price

Supply

Curv

e

Dem

and

Curv

e

Ref

eren

ce: A

ny U

nder

gra

duat

e Eco

nom

ics te

xt co

ver

s th

is stu

ff b

ut I hav

e use

d

Beg

g, Fis

cher

& D

orn

busc

hEconomics fro

m M

cGra

w H

ill

Neoclassical

Economics

•Mar

ket

with m

ultip

le

buyers

and sel

lers

•Buyer

s an

d sel

lers

indep

enden

t an

d

rational

•All rel

evant

info

rmat

ion a

vai

lable

to a

ll p

layer

s

•Mar

ket

will re

ach a

n

equilib

rium

at th

e

poin

t w

her

e th

e

mar

gin

al c

ost o

f

pro

duct

ion =

mar

gin

al

dem

and (su

pply

and

dem

and c

urv

es

inte

rsec

t).

Page 3: Lecture 4: Economics and Energyeleceng.dit.ie/kgaughan/notes/DT015 Energy Supply/Microsoft... · Begg, Fischer & Dornbusch ... exist when the production or consumption of a good

3

What

type

of G

over

nm

ent do y

ou

hav

e?

•Market Economy

Fre

e m

arket

s ar

e use

d to

det

erm

ine

the

pro

duct

ion a

nd d

istrib

ution o

f goods

and ser

vic

es.

•Planned Economy G

over

nm

ent co

ntrols w

hat

is

pro

duce

d a

nd w

hat

quan

tities

are

pro

duce

d

•A

lmost

all rea

l gover

nm

ents

are

Mixed

Economiesco

mbin

ing som

e el

emen

ts o

f both

.

Page 4: Lecture 4: Economics and Energyeleceng.dit.ie/kgaughan/notes/DT015 Energy Supply/Microsoft... · Begg, Fischer & Dornbusch ... exist when the production or consumption of a good

4

Som

e B

asic

Conce

pts

•The

under

pin

nin

g p

rinci

ple

of th

e market economy

is that

if th

e price

of a

good fully ref

lect

s both

the

cost

of

pro

duct

ion to the

seller

and the

val

ue

of th

e good to the

buyer

then

the

mar

ket

will w

ork

to e

nsu

re that

the

optim

um

quan

tity

of th

at g

ood is pro

duce

d a

t th

e optim

um

price

. (n

eo-c

lass

ical

eco

nom

ics)

. U

nder

thes

e ci

rcum

stan

ces a

mar

ket

is sa

id to b

e ef

fici

ent.

•Private Good: A

privat

e good is one

that

if co

nsu

med

by a

per

son c

annot be

consu

med

by a

noth

er. Exam

ple

s: P

etro

l,

Food, housi

ng

•A

Public Good

is o

ne

that

even

if it is co

nsu

med

by o

ne

per

son is st

ill av

aila

ble

for co

nsu

mption b

y o

ther

s.

Exam

ple

s: D

efen

ce, R

oad

s, N

atio

nal

Par

ks, T

elev

isio

n P

rogra

ms.

•Exper

ience

sugges

ts that

gover

nm

ent is

les

s likel

y to p

roduce

privat

e goods ef

fici

ently than

the

privat

e se

ctor

(dep

ends on y

our politica

l poin

t of vie

w).

•Free Rider Problem

: If o

ne

per

son p

ays fo

r a

public

good then

oth

ers m

ay a

vai

l of it for fr

ee (fr

ee rid

er). In a

privat

e m

arket

ever

yone

may c

hoose

to w

ait fo

r so

meo

ne

else

to p

ay for th

e good a

nd n

oth

ing m

ay b

e pro

duce

d.

Alter

nat

ivel

y e

ver

yone

may indep

enden

tly p

ay for it res

ultin

g in

mas

sive

over

pro

duct

ion. P

rivat

e m

arket

s often

hav

e difficu

lty e

nsu

ring that

the

right am

ount of a

public

good is pro

duce

d. G

over

nm

ents

will often

inte

rven

e to

control th

e su

pply

of p

ublic

goods. A

n e

xam

ple

fro

m the

Ener

gy fie

ld m

ight be

the

pro

vis

ion o

f a

Nat

ional

Grid for th

e Ele

ctrici

ty S

upply

Net

work

.

•Energy is essentially a private good

but in

som

e ca

ses ev

en p

rivat

e goods m

arket

s m

ay n

ot fu

nct

ion e

ffic

iently a

nd

Market Failure

is sai

d to o

ccur. In

thes

e ca

ses gover

nm

ents

may inte

rven

e in

the

mar

ket

for privat

e goods.

Page 5: Lecture 4: Economics and Energyeleceng.dit.ie/kgaughan/notes/DT015 Energy Supply/Microsoft... · Begg, Fischer & Dornbusch ... exist when the production or consumption of a good

5

Cau

ses of M

arket

Fai

lure

•Externalities

exis

t w

hen

the

pro

duct

ion o

r co

nsu

mption o

f a

good d

irec

tly a

ffec

ts c

onsu

mer

s not

involv

ed in b

uyin

g o

r se

llin

g it an

d w

hen

those

spill over

eff

ects

are

not re

flec

ted in m

arket

price

s.

Exam

ple

s: I d

rive

a ca

r m

y n

eighbour su

ffer

s from

air p

ollution.I pai

nt m

y h

ouse

my n

eighbour

ben

efits from

hav

ing a

pre

ttie

r vie

w.

•Information Related Problems. N

eocl

assi

cal ec

onom

ics as

sum

es that

pro

duce

r an

d c

onsu

mer

s ac

t in

thei

r ow

n b

est in

tere

sts. H

ow

ever

in a

com

ple

x m

oder

n soci

ety

firm

s an

d c

onsu

mer

s m

ay n

ot hav

e ac

cess

to a

ll the

info

rmat

ion they

nee

d to m

ake

an info

rmed

dec

isio

n.

•The

neo

-cla

ssic

al m

odel

ass

um

es c

om

pet

itio

n w

ith m

any b

uyer

s an

d m

any sel

ler. If a

single

buyer

or

seller

has

the

ability to e

ffec

t m

arket

price

s si

gnific

antly they

are

sai

d to h

ave Market power

or

Monopoly Power. If a

mar

ket

is dom

inat

ed b

y a

supplier

with m

onopoly

pow

er they

will ty

pic

ally

pro

duce

too little

of a

good a

t to

o h

igh a

price

. Tra

ditio

nal

ly lar

ge

ener

gy u

tilities

hav

e en

joyed

a

monopolistic

posi

tion.

•Barriers to Entry or Exit If new

firm

s ar

e pre

ven

ted fro

m e

nte

ring a

mar

ket

(per

hap

s due

to

rest

rict

ive

lice

nsing, lar

ge

inves

tmen

t co

sts or ec

onom

ies of sc

ale)

then

incu

mben

ts w

ill en

joy som

e m

onopolistic

advan

tages

and the

mar

ket

will be

inef

fici

ent. L

ikew

ise

if ther

e ar

e bar

rier

s to

exit (fo

r ex

ample

hig

h red

undan

cy c

ost

s) then

a firm

may

continue

to supply

at an

unpro

fita

ble

rat

e ag

ain

lead

ing to a

n inef

fici

ent m

arket

. R

enow

ned

Man

agem

ent guru

Mic

hae

l Porter

iden

tified

Ener

gy a

s a

mar

ket

with h

igh b

arrier

s to

Entry –

Why?

Page 6: Lecture 4: Economics and Energyeleceng.dit.ie/kgaughan/notes/DT015 Energy Supply/Microsoft... · Begg, Fischer & Dornbusch ... exist when the production or consumption of a good

6

It M

ay B

e Effic

ient B

ut is it Fai

r?

•A

mar

ket

is th

at is w

ork

ing e

ffic

iently d

oes

not nec

essa

rily

mea

n that

it is

fai

r in

an

ethic

al sen

se. D

epen

din

g o

n w

ho sta

rts out w

ith the

most

res

ourc

es the

outc

om

es c

an

var

y w

idel

y.

•W

hen

a g

over

nm

ent in

terv

enes

to a

ddre

ss m

arket

fai

lure

the

inte

ntion is to

cre

ate

a si

tuat

ion w

her

e ev

erybody b

enef

its fr

om

the

optim

um

lev

el o

f pro

duct

ion o

f a

good o

r se

rvic

e at

the

optim

um

price

. H

ow

ever

gover

nm

ents

may

als

o inte

rven

e in

a m

anner

w

hic

h d

irec

tly b

enef

its one

sect

ion o

f so

ciet

y a

t th

e ex

pen

se o

fan

oth

er.

•Income Redistribution

is o

ne

mea

ns by w

hic

h a

gover

nm

ent ca

n try

to a

ddre

ss ineq

uity

in a

mar

ket

eco

nom

y. A

n e

xam

ple

is th

e ta

xat

ion o

f th

ose

with jobs to

pay

unem

plo

ym

ent as

sist

ance

to those

without. (C

orr

upt gover

nm

ents

may

even

attem

pt to

re

-dis

trib

ute

inco

me

the

oth

er w

ay fro

m p

oor to

ric

h.)

•Merit Goods typically include

hea

lth e

duca

tion, sh

elte

r an

d food. A

soci

ety m

ay

bel

ieve

that

ever

yone

has

a rig

ht to

cer

tain

bas

ic p

rovis

ions an

d tak

e st

eps to

pro

vid

e th

is reg

ardle

ss o

f an

indiv

idual

s ec

onom

ic sta

tus. A

n indiv

idual

’s e

ner

gy req

uirem

ent

for hea

ting / lig

hting a

nd c

ookin

g is often

see

n a

s a

mer

it g

ood

and g

over

nm

ents

may

ta

ke

step

s th

eref

ore

to spec

ific

ally

com

bat

Fuel Poverty.

Page 7: Lecture 4: Economics and Energyeleceng.dit.ie/kgaughan/notes/DT015 Energy Supply/Microsoft... · Begg, Fischer & Dornbusch ... exist when the production or consumption of a good

7

A M

arket

Vie

w o

f Ener

gy P

olicy

•A

pure

fre

e m

arket

per

spec

tive

sugges

ts that

a g

over

nm

ent

does

not nee

d to inte

rfer

e in

ener

gy m

arket

s yet

alm

ost

ev

ery g

over

nm

ent does

.

•It is poss

ible

to a

nal

yse

gover

nm

ent en

ergy p

olicy

in ter

ms

of m

arket

fai

lure

s an

d g

over

nm

ent at

tem

pts

to rec

tify

th

em.

•A

n e

xce

llen

t so

urc

e fo

r th

is w

as the

Gover

nm

ent of

Irel

and’s

1999 G

reen

pap

er o

n S

ust

ainab

le E

ner

gy w

hic

h

under

took a

com

pre

hen

sive

anal

ysis of Ir

elan

d’s

Ener

gy

supply

situat

ion fro

m the

poin

t of vie

w o

f m

arket

fai

lure

. Sad

ly this

docu

men

t no longer

see

ms to

be

avai

lable

online.

Page 8: Lecture 4: Economics and Energyeleceng.dit.ie/kgaughan/notes/DT015 Energy Supply/Microsoft... · Begg, Fischer & Dornbusch ... exist when the production or consumption of a good

8

Exam

ple

s of Ener

gy M

arket

Fai

lure

•Exte

rnal

ity

–Pollution d

ue

to foss

il fuel

com

bustio

n is a

clea

r ex

tern

ality.

Peo

ple

who o

bta

in n

o d

irec

t ben

efit fro

m the

use

of fu

el m

ust

endure

the

har

mfu

l ef

fect

s of en

ergy p

ollution. Fro

m a

mar

ket

per

spec

tive

the

price

of fu

el is to

o low

bec

ause

it only

ref

lect

s th

e pro

duce

rs c

osts it d

oes

not re

flec

t th

e co

st to those

who m

ust

endure

the

pollution. Policy

attem

pts to c

orrec

t th

is incl

ude

pro

posa

ls for Car

bon tax

and E

missions Tra

din

g S

chem

es. O

ne

difficu

lty th

at a

rise

s is e

nsu

ring that

the

additio

nal

inco

me

is

chan

nel

led b

ack to those

affec

ted. In

the

case

of pollution e

ver

yone

is a

ffec

ted so it co

uld

be

said

that

a c

arbon tax

(in

theo

ry tax

reven

ue

ben

efits ev

erybody) is a

logic

al res

ponse

.

Page 9: Lecture 4: Economics and Energyeleceng.dit.ie/kgaughan/notes/DT015 Energy Supply/Microsoft... · Begg, Fischer & Dornbusch ... exist when the production or consumption of a good

9

Ener

gy M

arket

Fai

lure

Cont.

•In

form

atio

n G

ap–

Lac

k o

f ad

equat

e in

form

atio

n is often

see

n a

s a

bar

rier

to im

pro

vem

ents

in

Eff

icie

ncy

. O

ften

a m

ore

eff

icie

nt pro

duct

or se

rvic

e w

ill co

st m

ore

up fro

nt but

less

in the

long run w

hen

ener

gy sav

ings ar

e ta

ken

into

acc

ount.

Unle

ss the

cust

om

er h

as e

nough info

rmat

ion to m

ake

an info

rmed

dec

isio

n the

appar

ently

more

expen

sive

solu

tion is likel

y to b

e over

looked

. This

pro

ble

mis

bei

ng tac

kle

d a

num

ber

way

s. A

t EU

lev

el A

pplian

ce lab

elling d

irec

tives

aff

ect al

most

all w

hite

goods (f

ridges

, co

oker

s, w

ashin

g m

achin

es) w

hic

h m

ust

now

car

ry a

nd e

ner

gy

effici

ency

lab

el. The

Ener

gy P

erfo

rman

ce in b

uildin

gs D

irec

tive

(EPB

D) w

ill

require

all buildin

gs to

be

pro

vid

ed w

ith a

n e

ner

gy rat

ing c

ertifica

te w

hen

they

are

built or at

the

poin

t of sa

le o

r re

nta

l fo

r ex

isting b

uildin

gs. G

over

nm

ent ca

mpai

gn

to p

rom

ote

the

use

of en

ergy e

ffic

ient te

chnolo

gie

s (lag

gin

g jac

ket

s, C

FL lig

ht

bulb

s) a

lso a

ttem

pt to

adder

s th

is p

roble

m. Ther

e is

als

o a

rec

ognitio

n that

the

com

ple

x n

ature

of en

ergy tec

hnolo

gy m

ay req

uire

spec

ialist

know

ledge

to m

ake

info

rmed

dec

isio

ns. T

his

has

pro

mpte

d g

over

nm

ents

to a

ctiv

ely support the

dev

elopm

ent of “e

ner

gy ser

vic

es indust

ries

”. E

ner

gy ser

vic

es c

om

pan

ies se

ll thei

r ex

per

tise

in e

ner

gy to o

ther

com

pan

ies to

ass

ist th

em

in o

ptim

isin

g thei

r en

ergy

use

.

Page 10: Lecture 4: Economics and Energyeleceng.dit.ie/kgaughan/notes/DT015 Energy Supply/Microsoft... · Begg, Fischer & Dornbusch ... exist when the production or consumption of a good

10

Ener

gy M

arket

Fai

lure

•M

onopoly

Pow

er–

In m

any c

ountrie

s el

ectric

ity a

nd g

as w

ere

histo

rica

lly p

rovid

edby

larg

e stat

e ow

ned

monopolies

. Fro

m a

mar

ket

per

spec

tive

a su

pplier

monopoly

will le

ad to inad

equat

e pro

duct

ion a

nd h

igh

price

. M

any W

este

rn n

atio

ns hav

e dism

antled

thes

e stat

e m

onopolies

and u

nder

taken

a p

rogra

mm

e of en

ergy m

arket

liber

alisat

ion.

Of co

urs

e w

hile

ener

gy itsel

f is a

privat

e good that

may

most

effici

ently b

e su

pplied

by p

rivat

e en

terp

rise

the

infras

truct

ure

(wires

or pip

elin

es) th

at a

re u

sed to d

istrib

ute

it ar

e m

ore

of a

public

good. O

ne

stra

tegy is to

privat

ise

the

sale

of en

ergy itsel

f but to

kee

p the

infras

truct

ure

in p

ublic

ow

ner

ship

. In

Ire

land the

supply

of el

ectric

ity (since

2005) an

d the

supply

of gas

(since

July

2007) hav

e bee

n fully lib

eral

ised

but th

e net

work

s re

mai

n u

nder

ce

ntral

ised

control.

Page 11: Lecture 4: Economics and Energyeleceng.dit.ie/kgaughan/notes/DT015 Energy Supply/Microsoft... · Begg, Fischer & Dornbusch ... exist when the production or consumption of a good

11

Addre

ssin

g F

airn

ess

•In

com

e Red

istrib

ution

–The

tax a

nd soci

al w

elfa

re system

s ar

e use

d in m

any c

ountrie

s to

re-d

istrib

ute

inco

me

in a

more

equitab

le m

anner

while

this

undoubte

dly

mak

es it ea

sier

for so

cial

wel

fare

rec

ipie

nts to

purc

has

e fu

el this is not sp

ecific

ally

an e

ner

gy iss

ue.

•Fuel

as a

Mer

it G

ood

–The

bas

ic fuel

req

uired

for hea

ting, lighting a

nd c

ookin

g is se

en a

s a

mer

it g

ood in m

any c

ountrie

s. In Ire

land this is ad

dre

ss thro

ugh

fuel

subsidie

s fo

r th

ose

on soci

al w

elfa

re. Subsidisin

g e

ner

gy

effici

ent m

easu

res in

low

inco

me

housing is al

so a

pilla

r of he

gover

nm

ents a

ppro

ach to tac

kin

g fuel poverty

since

those

on low

in

com

es a

re o

ften

not in

a p

osition to m

ake

the

inves

tmen

t re

quired

to

instal

l en

ergy sav

ing tec

hnolo

gie

s.

Page 12: Lecture 4: Economics and Energyeleceng.dit.ie/kgaughan/notes/DT015 Energy Supply/Microsoft... · Begg, Fischer & Dornbusch ... exist when the production or consumption of a good

12

Lookin

g c

lose

r at

Supply

and

Dem

and: Ela

stic

ity

•A

supply

curv

e or dem

and c

urv

e w

hic

h d

oes

not

var

y strongly

with p

rice

is sa

id to b

e in

-ela

stic

•A

Supply

or dem

and c

urv

e w

hic

h v

arie

s stro

ngly

with p

rice

is sa

id to b

e el

astic.

•K

now

ledge

of th

e price

ela

stic

ity o

f fu

els ca

n h

elp

a gover

nm

ent pre

dic

t th

e im

pac

t of price

chan

ges

for ex

ample

due

to im

posi

ng a

car

bon tax

.

Page 13: Lecture 4: Economics and Energyeleceng.dit.ie/kgaughan/notes/DT015 Energy Supply/Microsoft... · Begg, Fischer & Dornbusch ... exist when the production or consumption of a good

13

Ela

stic

ity D

iagra

ms

Price

Quan

tity

Dem

and

Supply

Price

Quan

tity

Dem

andSupply

Quan

tity

Supply

Dem

and

Price

Ela

stic

Supply

and D

eman

d

Ela

stic

Supply

Inel

astic

Dem

and

Inel

astic

Supply

Ela

stic

Dem

and

Page 14: Lecture 4: Economics and Energyeleceng.dit.ie/kgaughan/notes/DT015 Energy Supply/Microsoft... · Begg, Fischer & Dornbusch ... exist when the production or consumption of a good

14

Supply

Ela

stic

ity

•M

ost

nat

ions ar

e not big

enough for th

eir en

ergy d

eman

d

alone

to m

ake

an im

pac

t on g

lobal

fuel

supply

and g

lobal

fu

el p

rice

.

•Ther

efore

for a

nat

ion lik

e Irel

and the

supply

curv

e fo

r im

ported

fuel

must

be

consi

der

ed to b

e per

fect

ly e

lastic

–The

price

does

not var

y reg

ardle

ss o

f quan

tity

.

•In

eco

nom

ic ter

ms Ir

elan

d is sa

id to b

e a

“price

tak

er”

•Even

when

ther

e ar

e in

dig

enous re

sourc

es a

nat

ion is likel

y

to b

e a

price

tak

er a

s lo

ng a

s th

ere

is the

free

dom

to tra

de

that

res

ourc

e in

tern

atio

nal

ly. The

rece

nt dis

cover

y o

f oil

off H

ook H

ead for ex

ample

is unlikel

y to res

ult in low

er

Iris

h o

il p

rice

s. T

he

oil c

om

pan

y w

ill se

ll the

oil for th

e in

tern

atio

nal

goin

g rat

e.

Page 15: Lecture 4: Economics and Energyeleceng.dit.ie/kgaughan/notes/DT015 Energy Supply/Microsoft... · Begg, Fischer & Dornbusch ... exist when the production or consumption of a good

15

Dem

and E

last

icity

•O

wn P

rice

Ela

stic

ity o

f D

eman

d

–This

is def

ined

as:

Per

centa

ge

Incr

ease

in D

em

and / P

erce

nta

ge

Incr

ease

in P

rice

–Exam

ple

: The

ow

n p

rice

dem

and e

lastic

ity o

f pet

rol has

bee

n d

eter

min

ed to b

e -0

.4. Pet

rol is

cu

rren

tly p

rice

d a

t €1.1

0/litre

. W

hat

incr

ease

(or dec

reas

e) in p

etro

l co

nsu

mption w

ould

you

expec

t in

res

ponse

to a

10c

incr

ease

in the

price

of a

litre

of pet

rol?

•Sin

ce som

e fu

els m

ay b

e su

bst

itute

d for oth

ers it is al

so p

oss

ible

to c

onsi

der

the

cross

price

ela

stic

ity o

f dem

and =

Per

centa

ge

incr

ease

in D

eman

d o

f Fuel

X / P

erce

nta

ge

Incr

ease

in

Price

of Fuel

Y

Cro

ss p

rice

ela

stic

ity is par

ticu

larly u

sefu

l fo

r pre

dic

ting fuel

sw

itch

ing b

ehav

iour.

Exam

ple

: The

gover

nm

ent im

pose

s a

10c

per

litre

additio

nal

tax

on p

etro

l (p

revio

us

price

€1.1

0/litre

) in

an a

ttem

pt to

move

the

public

to b

iofu

els. It w

as n

otice

d that

the

consu

mption o

f bio

fuel

s w

ent up b

y 5

% in res

ponse

to this

move.

Cal

cula

te the

cross

price

ela

stic

ity o

f B

io fuel

to P

etro

l.

Page 16: Lecture 4: Economics and Energyeleceng.dit.ie/kgaughan/notes/DT015 Energy Supply/Microsoft... · Begg, Fischer & Dornbusch ... exist when the production or consumption of a good

16

Price

Ela

stic

ity's

•K

now

ing the

price

ela

stic

ity o

f en

ergy d

eman

d is an

im

portan

t to

ol fo

r policy

mak

ers in

ass

essing the

impac

ts o

f ch

anges

in e

ner

gy p

olicy

. U

nfo

rtunat

ely ther

e ar

e w

idel

y v

aryin

g e

stim

ates

for en

ergy e

lastic

ity's

avai

lable

fro

m d

iffe

rent so

urc

es. In

gen

eral

res

earc

her

s distinguish

bet

wee

n short ter

m e

lastic

ity long run e

lastic

ity. It tak

es tim

eto

sw

itch

from

one

fuel

type

to a

noth

er a

nd long run e

lastic

ity is th

eref

ore

gre

ater

than

short run.

•Estim

ates

of th

e price

ela

stic

ity o

f en

ergy d

eman

d v

ary fro

m -0.1

up to

-1.0

. The

Irish g

over

nm

ent has

use

d a

fig

ure

of -0

.4 in its d

elib

erat

ions

about a

poss

ible

car

bon tax

(D

epar

tmen

t of Fin

ance

Tax

Strat

egy

TSG

0223A

Oct

2002).

•Ele

ctrici

ty is usu

ally

consider

ed to b

e th

e m

ost inel

astic

“fuel

”due

to

the

lack

of al

tern

ativ

es a

vai

lable

.

Page 17: Lecture 4: Economics and Energyeleceng.dit.ie/kgaughan/notes/DT015 Energy Supply/Microsoft... · Begg, Fischer & Dornbusch ... exist when the production or consumption of a good

17

Mar

ket

Vie

w o

f Policy

Inst

rum

ents

applied

to E

ner

gy: R

egula

tion

•Regulation is direc

t gover

nm

ent in

terv

ention in the

mar

ket

pla

ce. O

ne

pote

ntial

ly c

ontrover

sial

exam

ple

is price

controls. W

hile

cappin

g the

price

of el

ectric

ity w

ill be

a popula

r m

ove

with v

ote

rs -m

arket

theo

ry

pre

dic

ts that

in a

com

pet

itiv

e m

arket

this c

ould

res

ult in a

fal

l in

supply

an

d shortag

es. If th

ere

is a

supplier

monopoly

how

ever

then

price

ca

ppin

g c

an b

e an

effec

tive

mec

han

ism

to e

nsu

re a

deq

uat

e su

pply

.In

Irel

and the

ener

gy reg

ula

tors

(CER) has

a sta

tuto

ry role

to e

nsu

re that

en

ergy p

rice

s ch

arged

a fai

r an

d rea

sonab

le. In

pra

ctise

the

CER

regula

tes th

e re

ven

ues

and tar

iffs

of th

e dom

inan

t stat

e ow

ned

su

pplier

s fo

r gas

and e

lect

rici

ty (ESB a

nd B

GE).

•Information: The

gover

nm

ent pro

visio

n o

f stat

e bodie

s an

d

info

rmat

ion ser

vic

es c

an b

e se

en a

s an

attem

pt to

addre

ss m

arket

failure

due

to info

rmat

ion d

ifficu

ltie

s.

Page 18: Lecture 4: Economics and Energyeleceng.dit.ie/kgaughan/notes/DT015 Energy Supply/Microsoft... · Begg, Fischer & Dornbusch ... exist when the production or consumption of a good

18

Eco

nom

ic Inst

rum

ents

applied

to

Ener

gy:

•Taxation

In m

any jurisd

ictions fu

el tax

es a

re lev

ied a

nd m

oto

r fu

el in p

articu

lar ex

per

ience

s hig

h

level

s of ta

xat

ion. Fro

m a

mar

ket

poin

t of vie

w this

could

be

seen

as a

just

ific

atio

n for th

e ex

tern

alitie

s at

tach

ed to fuel

consu

mption –

for ex

ample

the

cost

of ro

ads an

d the

cost

to the

environm

ent. H

ow

ever

the

inel

astici

ty o

f fu

el d

eman

d a

lso m

eans th

at fuel

tax

atio

n is a

han

dy sourc

e of re

ven

ue

footh

er u

nre

late

d n

eeds. M

arket

theo

ry p

redic

ts that

any incr

ease

in p

rice

will re

sult in a

dec

line

in c

onsu

mption a

nd c

are

nee

sto

be

taken

to a

void

dam

agin

g e

ffec

ts o

n c

om

pet

itiv

enes

s

•Differential taxation

of fu

els has

bee

n p

ropose

d a

s a

mea

ns of en

coura

gin

g fuel

sw

itch

ing in o

rder

to

ach

ieve

environm

enta

l goal

s. F

or ex

ample

in the

UK

a C

lim

ate

Chan

ge

levy (C

CL) has

bee

n

applied

to c

om

mer

cial

fuel

s since

2001 a

t a

rate

of 0.4

3p/k

Wh o

nel

ectric

ity, 0.1

5p/k

Wh o

n c

oal

and

0.1

5p/k

Wh o

n g

as. To e

mphas

ise

that

this

is not a

reven

ue

collec

ting m

easu

re the

pro

ceed

s ar

e re

cycl

ed to indust

ry v

ia red

uct

ions in

em

plo

yer

s so

cial

insu

rance

contrib

utions. P

erhap

s th

e gre

ates

t im

pac

t has

bee

n to e

nco

ura

ge

larg

e en

ergy u

sing sec

tors

to

volu

nta

rily

ente

r in

to climate change

agreements in w

hic

h they

co

mm

it to im

pro

vem

ents

in e

ner

gy e

ffic

iency

. M

ore

Info

: http://w

ww

.def

ra.g

ov.u

k

•A

tru

e Carbon Tax has

bee

n c

onsi

der

ed in som

e co

untrie

s in

cludin

g Ire

land. In

this

cas

e th

e ex

tern

ality o

f C

O2 e

mis

sions w

ould

be

reflec

ted in the

price

of fu

el v

ia a

tax

in p

roportio

n to the

emis

sions from

that

fuel

. E

conom

ic theo

ry sugges

ts that

the

optim

um

lev

el o

f ca

rbon tax

should

co

rres

pond to the

mar

ket

val

ue

of ca

rbon a

s det

erm

ined

by a

n emissions trading market

. A

lso to

avoid

im

posi

ng a

double

char

ge

larg

e en

ergy u

sers

who a

re p

arties

to the

emis

sions trad

ing sch

eme

should

be

exem

pt from

car

bon tax

and fuel

s w

hic

h h

ave

alre

ady incu

rred

a c

har

ge

under

the

emis

sions trad

ing sch

eme

(for ex

ample

Ele

ctrici

ty) sh

ould

als

o b

e ex

empt. A

tax

whic

h a

ttem

pts

to

com

pen

sate

for neg

ativ

e ex

tern

alitie

s in

know

n a

s a

Pig

ovia

nTax

(Irel

ands pla

stic

bag

lev

y).

Page 19: Lecture 4: Economics and Energyeleceng.dit.ie/kgaughan/notes/DT015 Energy Supply/Microsoft... · Begg, Fischer & Dornbusch ... exist when the production or consumption of a good

19

Eco

nom

ic Inst

rum

ents

Cont.

•SubsidiesFro

m a

fre

e m

arket

per

spec

tive

a gover

nm

ent

has

no n

eed to subsi

dis

e a

pro

fita

ble

ven

ture

and h

as n

o

busi

nes

s su

bsi

disin

g a

n u

npro

fita

ble

one.

Indee

d E

U

com

pet

itio

n leg

isla

tion m

akes

it ver

y d

ifficu

lt for a

mem

ber

to sta

te to subsidis

e its ow

n industries

to the

det

rim

ent of fo

reig

n c

om

pet

itio

n. H

ow

ever

ther

e ar

e ex

ample

s w

her

e m

arket

fai

lure

may

be

attrib

ute

d to

barriers to entry

and a

subsi

dy e

spec

ially o

f up fro

nt

cost

s m

ay red

uce

bar

rier

to e

ntry. In

ener

gy ter

ms

gover

nm

ent m

ay c

hoose

to subsi

dis

e th

e ca

pital

cost

of

more

environm

enta

lly e

ffic

ient fo

rms of en

ergy u

se in

ord

er to o

ver

com

e th

e bar

rier

to e

ntry o

f per

ceiv

ed h

igh u

p

front co

st.

Page 20: Lecture 4: Economics and Energyeleceng.dit.ie/kgaughan/notes/DT015 Energy Supply/Microsoft... · Begg, Fischer & Dornbusch ... exist when the production or consumption of a good

20

Eco

nom

ic Inst

rum

ents

: Em

issi

ons

Tra

din

g•

A m

ajor pilla

r of Euro

pe’s

clim

ate

change

resp

onse

has bee

n

the

imple

menta

tion o

f an

EU

wid

e Em

ission T

radin

g S

chem

e (E

U D

irect

ive

2003/8

7/E

C )

–First

Phas

e 2005-2

007

–Sec

ond P

has

e 2008-2

012

•U

nder

the

direct

ive

larg

e pro

ducer

s of gre

enhouse

gas

es m

ust

acquire

the

appro

priat

e num

ber of EU

car

bon a

llow

ance

s (E

UA

s). U

sefu

l R

efe

rence

: http://c

arbonpositive.

net

•EU

Asm

ay b

e bought and sold

and a

fre

e m

arket

estab

lish

es the

curr

ent price

.

•The

tota

l num

ber

of EU

Asand the

allo

cation to c

ountrie

s is

det

erm

ined

at EU

lev

el. W

ithin

a c

ountry a

llocat

ions ar

e det

erm

ined

by a

Nat

ional

Alloca

tion P

lan.

•The

ETS p

rovid

es a

sim

ple

eff

ective

mec

han

ism

for re

duci

ng

over

all em

issions by sim

ply

reduci

ng the

tota

l am

ount of EU

As

avai

lable

. G

over

nm

ents n

eed n

ot co

ncer

n them

selv

es w

ith

where

sav

ings w

ill be

mad

e but m

ark

et forc

es ensu

re that

those

w

ho c

an m

ake

savin

gs co

st e

ffec

tivel

y w

ill do so.

•In

the

firs

t phas

e al

low

ances

were

gra

ndfa

ther

ed w

ith

par

tici

pan

ts rece

ivin

g fre

e al

low

ances

bas

ed o

n h

isto

ric

em

issions. T

his h

as b

een c

riticised

as a

free

win

dfa

ll g

ift to

the

incum

bents a

nd a

rew

ard

for histo

ric

ineffic

iency.

•Ele

ctrici

ty G

ener

ators

are

a p

arty to the

EU

ETS so e

lect

rici

ty

gener

ated

fro

m foss

il fuel

s in

curs

an E

UTS c

ost.

•For Ref

erence

€20 /tc

o2e

adds 0.4

1c

to a

kw

hof nat

ura

l gas an

d

1.2

7c

to a

kw

hof el

ect

rici

ty.

Car

bon M

arket

Price

in E

uro

s per

tC

O2e

on 1

Mar

ch 2

011.

Sourc

e: h

ttp://w

ww

.poin

tcar

bon.c

om

Page 21: Lecture 4: Economics and Energyeleceng.dit.ie/kgaughan/notes/DT015 Energy Supply/Microsoft... · Begg, Fischer & Dornbusch ... exist when the production or consumption of a good

21

Wes

tern

Clim

ate

Chan

ge

Initia

tive

“The

WC

I is

a c

ollab

ora

tion o

f

indep

enden

t ju

risd

ictions w

ho c

om

mit

to w

ork

toget

her

to iden

tify

, ev

aluat

e,

and im

ple

men

t polici

es to tac

kle

clim

ate

chan

ge

at a

reg

ional

lev

el. ”

“The

central

com

ponen

t of th

e

com

pre

hen

sive

WC

I st

rate

gy is a

flex

ible

, m

arket

-bas

ed, re

gio

nal

cap

-

and-tra

de

pro

gra

m that

cap

s

gre

enhouse

gas

em

issi

ons an

d u

ses

trad

able

per

mits to

ince

ntdev

elopm

ent

of re

new

able

and low

er-p

olluting

ener

gy sourc

es”

Pro

gra

mm

e re

leas

ed in July

2010. M

ore

info

rmat

ion a

vai

lable

from

http://w

ww

.wester

ncl

imat

einitia

tive.

org

/acc

esse

d 2

0

Oct

ober

2010

Page 22: Lecture 4: Economics and Energyeleceng.dit.ie/kgaughan/notes/DT015 Energy Supply/Microsoft... · Begg, Fischer & Dornbusch ... exist when the production or consumption of a good

22

Eco

nom

ic Inst

rum

ents

: R

enew

able

Ener

gy O

bligat

ion C

ertifica

tes (R

OC

s)

•Sin

ce 2

003 E

lect

rici

ty supplier

s in

the

UK

hav

e bee

n req

uired

to

acquire

a ce

rtai

n p

erce

nta

ge

of th

e en

ergy they

supply

fro

m ren

ewab

le

sourc

es (rising to11.1

% in

2011).

•Ren

ewab

le O

bligat

ion C

ertifica

tes (R

OCs)

are

iss

ued

to p

roduce

rs

who show

that

they

hav

e pro

duce

d e

ner

gy fro

m ren

ewab

le sourc

es.

Pro

duce

rs w

ho p

roduce

a surp

lus of RO

Csar

e free

to tra

de

thes

e.

•Thus a

foss

il fuel

gen

erat

or m

ay sat

isfy

thei

r obligat

ion b

y p

urc

has

ing

RO

Csfrom

a ren

ewab

le e

ner

gy supplier

.

•In

mar

ket

ter

ms RO

Csar

e co

nver

ting a

n e

xte

rnal

ity into

a tra

dea

ble

com

modity. In

an e

ffic

ient m

arket

the

val

ue

of a

RO

C should

ev

entu

ally

move

to the

diffe

rence

in c

ost b

etw

een c

onven

tional

ener

gy

supply

and ren

ewab

le e

ner

gy supply

.

•Ele

ctrici

ty is trad

ed inte

rnat

ional

ly (fo

r ex

ample

Ire

land-U

K) but as

yet

th

ere

is n

o inte

rnat

ional

RO

C tra

din

g sch

eme.